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Alternatives to borrower-based measures in mitigating risks from real estate markets: the Belgian experience Thomas Schepens Vilnius, 12 May 2017

Alternatives to borrower-based measures in mitigating ... 2 Presentation Structure of the presentation Developments in the Belgian mortgage market Financial Stability Report 2016,

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Page 1: Alternatives to borrower-based measures in mitigating ... 2 Presentation Structure of the presentation Developments in the Belgian mortgage market Financial Stability Report 2016,

Alternatives to borrower-based measures in mitigating

risks from real estate markets: the Belgian experience

Thomas Schepens

Vilnius, 12 May 2017

Page 2: Alternatives to borrower-based measures in mitigating ... 2 Presentation Structure of the presentation Developments in the Belgian mortgage market Financial Stability Report 2016,

Presentation 2

Structure of the presentation

► Developments in the Belgian mortgage market

● Financial Stability Report 2016, Thematic article

► Macroprudential measure for IRB banks

● 5% risk weight add-on (since 2013)

● proposed new measure (two components)

5% risk weight add-on

additional macroprudential capital buffer for loans with

indexed LTV > 80 % (size of buffer calculated on basis

van LGD floors of resp. 20 % and 30 % for loans with

ILTV > 80 % and ILTV > 90 %)

Page 3: Alternatives to borrower-based measures in mitigating ... 2 Presentation Structure of the presentation Developments in the Belgian mortgage market Financial Stability Report 2016,

Presentation 3

Developments in the Belgian mortgage market

Page 4: Alternatives to borrower-based measures in mitigating ... 2 Presentation Structure of the presentation Developments in the Belgian mortgage market Financial Stability Report 2016,

Presentation 4

Developments in the Belgian mortgage market

Page 5: Alternatives to borrower-based measures in mitigating ... 2 Presentation Structure of the presentation Developments in the Belgian mortgage market Financial Stability Report 2016,

Presentation 5

Developments in the Belgian mortgage market

Page 6: Alternatives to borrower-based measures in mitigating ... 2 Presentation Structure of the presentation Developments in the Belgian mortgage market Financial Stability Report 2016,

Presentation 6

Developments in the Belgian mortgage market

Page 7: Alternatives to borrower-based measures in mitigating ... 2 Presentation Structure of the presentation Developments in the Belgian mortgage market Financial Stability Report 2016,

Presentation 7

Developments in the Belgian mortgage market

Page 8: Alternatives to borrower-based measures in mitigating ... 2 Presentation Structure of the presentation Developments in the Belgian mortgage market Financial Stability Report 2016,

Presentation 8

Developments in the Belgian mortgage market

Page 9: Alternatives to borrower-based measures in mitigating ... 2 Presentation Structure of the presentation Developments in the Belgian mortgage market Financial Stability Report 2016,

Presentation 9

Developments in the Belgian mortgage market

Page 10: Alternatives to borrower-based measures in mitigating ... 2 Presentation Structure of the presentation Developments in the Belgian mortgage market Financial Stability Report 2016,

Presentation 10

Developments in the Belgian mortgage market

Page 11: Alternatives to borrower-based measures in mitigating ... 2 Presentation Structure of the presentation Developments in the Belgian mortgage market Financial Stability Report 2016,

Presentation 11

Developments in the Belgian mortgage market

Page 12: Alternatives to borrower-based measures in mitigating ... 2 Presentation Structure of the presentation Developments in the Belgian mortgage market Financial Stability Report 2016,

Presentation 12

Developments in the Belgian mortgage market

Page 13: Alternatives to borrower-based measures in mitigating ... 2 Presentation Structure of the presentation Developments in the Belgian mortgage market Financial Stability Report 2016,

Presentation 13

Macroprudential measure for IRB banks

► 5% risk weight add-on for IRB banks (since 2013)

● = similar to sectoral CCyB

► proposed new measure for IRB banks (2 components)

● 5% risk weight add-on

● additional macroprudential capital buffer for loans with

indexed LTV > 80 %

size of buffer calculated on basis van LGD floors of

20 % for loans with ILTV > 80 %

30 % for loans with ILTV > 90 %