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Supported bySupported byNational Human Genome Research Institute and National Institute on AgingNational Human Genome Research Institute and National Institute on Aging
RO1 HG/AG 02213 (The REVEAL Study)RO1 HG/AG 02213 (The REVEAL Study)National Institute on Aging RO1 AG09029 (The MIRAGE Study), National Institute on Aging RO1 AG09029 (The MIRAGE Study),
K24 AG027841 and P30 AG13846 (BU ADCC)K24 AG027841 and P30 AG13846 (BU ADCC)
Enrichment of Prevention Trials throughEnrichment of Prevention Trials throughGenetic Risk Assessment and APOE DisclosureGenetic Risk Assessment and APOE Disclosure
for Alzheimer’s Disease: Data from the REVEAL Studyfor Alzheimer’s Disease: Data from the REVEAL Study
Robert C. Green, MD, MPHRobert C. Green, MD, MPHFellow in Genetics, Harvard Medical SchoolFellow in Genetics, Harvard Medical School
Professor of Neurology, Genetics and EpidemiologyProfessor of Neurology, Genetics and EpidemiologyBoston University Schools of Medicine and Public HealthBoston University Schools of Medicine and Public Health
Financial Disclosures in the Past 5 YearsFinancial Disclosures in the Past 5 Years
Research Grants: Research Grants: NIH, Myriad, Elan, LillyNIH, Myriad, Elan, Lilly
Speaking (compensated*): Speaking (compensated*): Pfizer, ForestPfizer, Forest
Advisory (compensated*): Advisory (compensated*): Schering-Plough, GlaxoSmithKline Schering-Plough, GlaxoSmithKline
Advisory (uncompensated): Advisory (uncompensated): 23andMe, Navigenics, Myriad23andMe, Navigenics, Myriad
Equity: Equity: NoneNone
*less than $5,000/year*less than $5,000/year
Can prevention trials be enriched through selection of Can prevention trials be enriched through selection of individuals who are at increased genetic risk for AD?individuals who are at increased genetic risk for AD?
Can a large sample of APOE e4 heterozygotes or Can a large sample of APOE e4 heterozygotes or homozygotes be collected in order to enrich homozygotes be collected in order to enrich
prevention trials?prevention trials?
Cumulative Risk of Dementia in Cumulative Risk of Dementia in First-Degree Relatives of Patients with ADFirst-Degree Relatives of Patients with AD
40 50 60 70 80 90 100
0
.1
.2
.3
.4
.5
.6
.7
Age (years)
Cu
mu
lati
ve R
isk
Relatives of White Probands
Spouses of White Probands
Lautenschlager et al, Lautenschlager et al, Ann NeurolAnn Neurol, 1996, 1996Green et al., Green et al., JAMAJAMA, 2002, 2002
Farrer et al., JAMA, 1997
Odds of Alzheimer’s Disease by Odds of Alzheimer’s Disease by APOE and AgeAPOE and Age
Should APOE Genotyping be used for Risk Should APOE Genotyping be used for Risk Assessment in Assessment in Asymptomatic IndividualsAsymptomatic Individuals??
• Is it an authentic marker for risk?Is it an authentic marker for risk?
Yes, but it offers only susceptibility information…Yes, but it offers only susceptibility information…
• Do people want to know their risk of developing AD?Do people want to know their risk of developing AD?
WOULD YOU LIKE TO KNOW YOUR OWN WOULD YOU LIKE TO KNOW YOUR OWN RISK OF DEVELOPING AD????RISK OF DEVELOPING AD????
APOE Genotyping for Risk AssessmentAPOE Genotyping for Risk AssessmentConventional Wisdom in 2000Conventional Wisdom in 2000
Why we should Why we should NOTNOT do risk assessment do risk assessment for Alzheimer’s Disease with APOE…for Alzheimer’s Disease with APOE…
• Psychological harm or discrimination may occurPsychological harm or discrimination may occur
• No treatment available to prevent ADNo treatment available to prevent AD
• Five (!) consensus conference recommendationsFive (!) consensus conference recommendations
APOE Genotyping for Risk AssessmentAPOE Genotyping for Risk AssessmentThe REVEAL “Rationale” in 2000The REVEAL “Rationale” in 2000
Why we should Why we should EXPLOREEXPLORE risk assessment for Alzheimer’s risk assessment for Alzheimer’s Disease using APOE…Disease using APOE…
• Define at-risk persons to enrich prevention trialsDefine at-risk persons to enrich prevention trials
• Explore responsive or vulnerable sub-populationsExplore responsive or vulnerable sub-populations
• Respond to self-interested family membersRespond to self-interested family members
• Develop clinical paradigms for the use of Develop clinical paradigms for the use of susceptibility markers in common disorderssusceptibility markers in common disorders
The REVEAL StudyThe REVEAL Study
Is risk information beneficial or toxic? Is risk information beneficial or toxic?
Empirically measure the benefits and risks of Empirically measure the benefits and risks of genetic susceptibility testing…genetic susceptibility testing…
REVEAL QuestionsREVEAL Questions
How can we clearly communicate risk How can we clearly communicate risk information based on genetics?information based on genetics?
Cupples et al. Genetics in Medicine, 2004
Gene
Risk
Risk of AD by APOE in Women
0102030405060708090
100
40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85
Age
Ris
k
APOE 34 General Population First Degree
Cupples et al., Cupples et al., Genetics in MedicineGenetics in Medicine, 2004, 2004
Cupples et al., Cupples et al., Genetics in MedicineGenetics in Medicine, 2004, 2004Christensen et al., Christensen et al., Genetics in MedicineGenetics in Medicine, 2008, 2008
REVEAL QuestionsREVEAL Questions
Who wants to know?Who wants to know?
24%
64%
Systematically Ascertained Self Referred
Persons Agreeing to Participate in REVEAL
Roberts et al. Roberts et al. Genetics in MedicineGenetics in Medicine, 2004, 2004
REVEAL QuestionsREVEAL Questions
What happens to them when they find out?What happens to them when they find out?
REVEAL I: Randomized Clinical Trial
301 Participated in Informational Phone
Interview
51 Assigned to Receive Risk Assessment Without Genotype
Disclosure
111 Assigned to Receive Risk Assessment With Genotype
Disclosure
218 Participated inEducation Session
183 Participated in Private Counseling and Blood
Draw
Follow Up at:Six WeeksSix Months
Twelve Months
162 Randomized
Green et al., NEJM, 2009
REVEAL I Study: Mean Anxiety Scale ScoreREVEAL I Study: Mean Anxiety Scale Score
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
6 week 6 month 12 month
BA
I Sco
re
GND GD GDε4- GDε4+Green et al., NEJM, 2009
REVEAL I Study: Adjusted Impact of Event Scores
0
2
4
6
8
10
6 week 6 month 12 month
IES
Sco
re
GND GD GDε4- GDε4+
Green et al., NEJM, 2010
Post-Disclosure Change to Depression Symptoms: Post-Disclosure Change to Depression Symptoms: 1 year1 year
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
-15 andbelow
-14 to -5 -4 to 4 5 to 14 15 andabove
Per
cen
tag
e o
f C
ases
Change in CES-D from baseline (points)
Controls
APOE ε4-
APOE ε4+
CES-D ScoreGreen et al., NEJM, 2009
REVEAL QuestionsREVEAL Questions
Are they satisfied with the information?Are they satisfied with the information?
Would Do Risk Assessment Again…Would Do Risk Assessment Again…
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Yes No
Controls
Intervention Group
APOE ε4-
APOE ε4+
Green et al., NEJM, 2009
REVEAL QuestionsREVEAL Questions
Can they recall the information?Can they recall the information?
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6 weeks 1 year
Accurate
Inaccurate
Don't Know
Recall of Disclosure InformationRecall of Disclosure InformationAPOE Status (positive or negative)APOE Status (positive or negative)
Eckert et al., Genet Med, 2006
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
6 weeks 1 year 6 weeks 1 year
Accurate
Inaccurate
Don't Know
Recall of Risk Information:Recall of Risk Information:Lifetime Risk Figures within 5 PointsLifetime Risk Figures within 5 Points
Eckert et al., Genet Med, 2006
REVEAL QuestionsREVEAL Questions
Does the information change their behavior Does the information change their behavior (insurance purchasing)?(insurance purchasing)?
Insurance Changes 1 YearAfter APOE Disclosure
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
% e
nd
ors
ing
ch
an
ge
Health Life Disability LTC
Control E4 Negative E4 Positive
Zick et al., Health Affairs, 2005.
REVEAL QuestionsREVEAL Questions
Does the information change their behavior Does the information change their behavior (health behavior)?(health behavior)?
Health Behavior Changes at 1 YearHealth Behavior Changes at 1 Year(Vitamins, Exercise, Medications)(Vitamins, Exercise, Medications)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
APOE ε4+ APOE ε4- Control
*
Chao, et al. Alz Dis Assoc Dis, 2008
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Any Nutritional Change Supplements
ε4- ε4+
*
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Any Nutritional Change Supplements
ε4- ε4+
*
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Any Nutritional Change Supplements
ε4- ε4+
*
Health Behavior Changes at 6 WeeksHealth Behavior Changes at 6 Weeks(Nutrition and Supplements)(Nutrition and Supplements)
Vernarelli et al., in pressVernarelli et al., in press
REVEAL QuestionsREVEAL Questions
Can genetic information be disclosed safely Can genetic information be disclosed safely in an abbreviated manner?in an abbreviated manner?
120 Assigned to Extended Protocol
232 Assigned to Condensed Protocol
112 Completed Pre-education Questionnaire
357 Participated in Phone Interview
106 Participated in in-person Education Session
198 Participated in Question and Answer Session, Blood Draw
210 Completed Education Brochure Sent by Mail
217 Completed Pre-education Questionnaire & Medical History
93 Received Risk Assessment/APOE disclosure
101 Participated in Individual Counseling Session, Medical History & Blood Draw
187 Received Risk Assessment/APOE disclosure
352 Randomized
Follow-up:6 Weeks6 Months
12 Months
REVEAL II
The REVEAL II Study: The REVEAL II Study: Condensed “Education”Condensed “Education”
REVEAL II: Mean Adjusted BAI ScoresREVEAL II: Mean Adjusted BAI Scores
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
6 week 6 month 12 month
Mea
n B
AI S
core
Extended ε4- Condensed ε4+ Extended ε4- Condensed ε4+
*Adjusted for age, gender, years of education, baseline CES-D, baseline score (no baseline score for IES)
REVEAL II: Mean Adjusted IES ScoresREVEAL II: Mean Adjusted IES Scores
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
6 week 6 month 12 month
Mea
n IE
S S
core
Extended ε4- Condensed ε4+ Extended ε4- Condensed ε4+
*Adjusted for age, gender, years of education, baseline CES-D, baseline score (no baseline score for IES)
REVEAL QuestionsREVEAL Questions
Does genetic testing change Does genetic testing change
self-perceived risk?self-perceived risk?
Among those who accurately recall their risk disclosure (n = 158)Among those who accurately recall their risk disclosure (n = 158)47.5% continue to believe otherwise!47.5% continue to believe otherwise!
Linnenbringer et al., Linnenbringer et al., Genetics in MedicineGenetics in Medicine, in press, in press
REVEAL QuestionsREVEAL Questions
Who do people tell about Who do people tell about
their genetic results?their genetic results?
Who did you tell about the results of your test?
64%
51%
35%
12%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Family Member Spouse orSignificant Other
Friends HealthProfessional
Ashida et al., Ashida et al., J Health CommunicationJ Health Communication, in press., in press.
REVEAL III: The Impact of Pleiotropic EffectsREVEAL III: The Impact of Pleiotropic Effects
AD-only Risk Assessment(n=138)
Randomization(n=291)
Ed, Counsel & Test (n=153)• Educational Brochure
• Informed Consent• Q&A • Blood Draw
AD Risk Assessment w. CVD Risk Disclosure (n=119)
Ed, Counsel & Test (n=138)• Educational Brochure
• Informed Consent• Q&A • Blood Draw
6 Week Follow-Up (n=252)12 Month Follow-Up (n=195. In progress)
REVEAL III: What Were People Told?REVEAL III: What Were People Told?
At ConsentAt Consent
• “…“…Your APOE genotype can also give us some general information Your APOE genotype can also give us some general information about the chance for you to develop cardiovascular (heart) disease in the about the chance for you to develop cardiovascular (heart) disease in the future…”future…”
During Disclosure (& Boosters)During Disclosure (& Boosters)
• ““In addition to Alzheimer’s disease, APOE has been found to be In addition to Alzheimer’s disease, APOE has been found to be connected to heart disease. Some studies have shown that people who connected to heart disease. Some studies have shown that people who carry e4 also have a higher risk of developing heart disease. Potential carry e4 also have a higher risk of developing heart disease. Potential strategies to reduce the risk of coronary artery disease associated with strategies to reduce the risk of coronary artery disease associated with e4 include smoking cessation, a healthy diet, weight loss, treatment of e4 include smoking cessation, a healthy diet, weight loss, treatment of elevated cholesterol, and exercise (with your doctor’s permission).”elevated cholesterol, and exercise (with your doctor’s permission).”
• Those in control arm learn about CVD if they askThose in control arm learn about CVD if they ask
Any Behavior ChangeAny Behavior Change
No ε4 ε4+
% r
epo
rtin
g c
han
ge
45%
57%
48%
77%
0%
100%
AD-Only Risk InfoAD & CVD Risk Info
Exercise ChangeExercise Change
No ε4 ε4+
% r
epo
rtin
g c
han
ge
27%34%
24%
63%
0%
100%
AD-Only Risk InfoAD & CVD Risk Info
Diet ChangeDiet Change
No ε4 ε4+
% r
epo
rtin
g c
han
ge
27%33%
28%
53%
0%
100%
AD-Only Risk InfoAD & CVD Risk Info
Mental Exercise ChangeMental Exercise Change
No ε4 ε4+
% r
epo
rtin
g c
han
ge
16%
25%34% 37%
0%
100%
AD-Only Risk InfoAD & CVD Risk Info
REVEAL IV (2010-2013)REVEAL IV (2010-2013)
Can we combine risk elements of Can we combine risk elements of GENOTYPE GENOTYPE and and PHENOTYPEPHENOTYPE? ?
What is the impact of APOE on risk of developing What is the impact of APOE on risk of developing AD in persons with MCI?AD in persons with MCI?
Data for Risk Estimates in REVEAL IVData for Risk Estimates in REVEAL IV
Petersen et al., Petersen et al., NEJM, 2005NEJM, 2005..
Data for Risk Estimates in REVEAL IVData for Risk Estimates in REVEAL IV
Estimated from primary data provided by Petersen et al.Estimated from primary data provided by Petersen et al.
Can prevention trials be enriched through selection of Can prevention trials be enriched through selection of individuals who are at increased genetic risk for AD?individuals who are at increased genetic risk for AD?
Can a large sample of APOE e4 heterozygotes or Can a large sample of APOE e4 heterozygotes or homozygotes be collected in order to enrich homozygotes be collected in order to enrich
prevention trials?prevention trials?
PARADEMagazine!
August 23, 2008
Direct toConsumerMarketing
(DTC)
Moleculargenetictesting
Personal Genome Testing and Disclosure
REVEAL
My Navigenics ResultsMy Navigenics Results
APOE-4 Genotypes in the US Caucasian Population
3/3 (67%)3/3 (67%)
2/3 (8%)2/3 (8%)
2/2 (1%)2/2 (1%)
3/4 (20%)3/4 (20%)
4/4 (2%)4/4 (2%)
2/4 (3%)
Enriched Research Registry
11,500 (23%) e4/ex11,500 (23%) e4/ex
50,000 volunteers50,000 volunteers
1000 (2%) e4/e41000 (2%) e4/e4
REVEAL Study Collaborators
ConsultantsGeorge Annas, JD, MPHBarbara Biesecker, MSDeepak Bhatt, MDDeborah Blacker, MD, ScDGail Geller, PhDEric Juengst, PhDJason Karlawish, MDTheresa Marteau, PhDRonald Petersen, PhD, MDKimberly Quaid, PhD Deborah Roter, DrPHEric Topel, MD
Boston UniversityRobert C. Green, MD, MPH (PI)Susan Hiraki, MS, CGCLindsay A. Farrer, PhDRobert Stern, PhDL. Adrienne Cupples, PhDTamsen Brown, CGCClara Chen, MHSWinston ChungMichael CassidyHolly Gooding
University of MichiganScott Roberts, PhD (Co-PI)Erin Linnenbringer, MS, CGCKurt Christensen, MPHWendy Uhlmann, MD, CGC
Howard UniversityThomas Obisesan, MD, MPH Grace-Ann Fasaye, ScM, CGC Charmaine Royal, PhDTiffiney Greer, CGC
Case Western
Melissa Barber, ScM
Peter Whitehouse, MD
Cornell
Normal Relkin, MD, PhD
Elana Cox, MS
Lisa Ravdin, PhD
External Advisory BoardRobert Cook-Deegan, PhD