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A presentation at keralapadanacongress at University of Kerala Hall on 2nd Jan 2011.
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A rubber cultivator presentsA rubber cultivator presentsAn Analysis of Indian Rubber StatisticsAn Analysis of Indian Rubber Statistics
Courtesy: Indian Rubber Board, Kottayam, Kerala, INDIA
Sources: CAPEXIL, Kolkatta and Council for leather Exports, Chennai.
Monthly Statistics of Foreign Trade of India, published by DGCI & S, Kolkotta
Rubber Statistical Bulletin of the International Rubber Study Group
Economic Survey, Govt. of India
Automotive Component Manufacturers Association of India(ACMA), New
Delhi.
Automotive Tyre Manufacturers Association, New Delhi. Etc.
World Rubber Cultivated Area In '000 Hectare
World Rubber Planted Area
As per IRS Vol. 33, 2010
Indonesia Thailand Malaysia China India Vietnam Brazil Sri Lanka PhilippinesCambodia Nigeria Liberia Myanmar Cote d'lvoire Philippines Cameroon D.R.of Congo
Country End of Holdings Estates TotalIndonesia 2009 NA NA 3435Thailand 2009 NA NA 2756Malaysia 2009 1177 60 1237China 2008 NA NA 932India 2009 620 67 687Vietnam 2009 325 349 674Brazil 2009 NA NA 159Sri Lanka 2009 NA NA 124Philippines 2008 NA NA 123Cambodia NA NA NANigeria 2009 112 61 173Liberia 1999 49 60 109Myanmar 2006 NA NA 295Cote d'lvoire 2009 112 50 162Philippines 2008 NA NA 123Cameroon 2005 4 36 40D.R.of Congo 1999 10 25 35
000'Hectares
Rubber Cultivated AreaWorld
World Production and Consumption Natural and Synthetic Rubber
1990 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008p 2009p
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
World Rubber Production and Consumption
Natural and Synthetic Rubber
PRODUCTION -NR CONSUMPTION -NR PRODUCTION -SR CONSUMPTION -SR
YEAR
'000
TO
NNES
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
Prices of International RSS 3 and Domestic RSS 4
International RSS3 Kottayam RSS 4
Year
Rupe
es/Q
uinta
lPrices of International RSS 3 &
Domestic RSS 4 from 1990 to 2009
World Export of Natural RubberBy Top Six
1990 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006p 2007p 2008p 2009p
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
World Export of Natural Rubber
By Top Six
Thailand Indonesia Malaysia Vietnam Liberia India
YEAR
'000
TO
NNES
World Import of Natural RubberBy Top Six
1990 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008p 2009p
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
World Import of Natural Rubber
By Top Six
China U.S.A Japan Rep.of Korea Germany India
YEAR
'000
TO
NNES
Production of Natural Rubber By the Top Five
1990 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008p 2009p
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
Production of Natural Rubber
By the Top Five
Thailand Indonesia Malaysia India China
YEAR
'000
TO
NNES
Consumption of Natural Rubber By the Top Five
1990 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006p 2007 2008p 2009p
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
Consumption of Natural Rubber
By the Top Five
China U.S.A India Japan Malaysia
YEAR
'000
TO
NNES
Production and Consumption Thailand
1990 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008p 2009p
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
Production and Consumption
Thailand
Production Consumption
YEAR
'000
TO
NNES
Production and ConsumptionIndonesia
1990 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008p 2009p
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
Production and Consumption
Indonesia
Production Consumption
YEAR
'000
TO
NNES
Production and Consumption Malaysia
1990 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008p 2009p
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
Production and Consumption
Malaysia
Production Consumption
YEAR
'000
TO
NNES
1990 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008p 2009p
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1000
Production and Consumption
India
Production Consumption
YEAR
'000
TO
NNES
Production and ConsumptionIndia
Production and Consumption China
1990 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008p 2009p
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
Production and Consumption
China
Production Consumption
YEAR
'000
TO
NNES
Cultivated Area and Tapped AreaIndia and Kerala
1990-91 91-92 92-93 93-94 94-95 95-96 96-97 97-98 98-99 99-00 00-01 01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08p 08-09p 09-10p
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
800000
Cultivated Area and Tapped Area
India and Kerala
Cultivated Area India Tapped Area India Cultivated Area Kerala Tapped Area Kerala
YEAR
'000
Hec
tare
Production of Natural RubberIndia and Kerala
1990-91 91-92 92-93 93-94 94-95 95-96 96-97 97-98 98-99 99-00 00-01 01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08p 08-09p 09-10p
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
800000
900000
1000000
Production of Natural Rubber
India and Kerala
India Kerala
YEAR
'000
Ton
nes
Productivity of Natural RubberKilograms/Hectare
1990-91 91-92 92-93 93-94 94-95 95-96 96-97 97-98 98-99 99-00 00-01 01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08p 08-09p 09-10p
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
Productivity of NR per Hectare
India and Kerala
India Kerala
YEAR
Kilog
ram
s/He
ctar
e
Export and Import of India
1990-91 91-92 92-93 93-94 94-95 95-96 1996-97 97-98 98-99 99-00 00-01 01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
160000
180000
200000
Export and Import of Natural Rubber
India
Import Export
YEAR
'000
TO
NNES
Value of Export and Import India
95-96 96-97 97-98 98-99 99-00 00-01 01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10p
0
2000000
4000000
6000000
8000000
10000000
12000000
14000000
16000000
18000000
Value of Export and Import
Import ExportYEAR
Millio
n Rs
Value of Export and Import per quintal
95-96 96-97 97-98 98-99 99-00 00-01 01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10p
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
11000
12000
Prices of Export and Import Per Quintal
Compared with Market Prices
Import Export International RSS 3 Domestic RSS 4
YEAR
'000
Rup
ees
Total Units and Area Hectares1990 - 91 2008 - 09
Units Area Hectares Units Area Hectares
Be low 2 Hectares 763022 33240 1 1 1 14540 511218
2 to 4 Hectares 13 100 33 149 12580 38790
4 to 20 Hectares 4465 3 1915 53 10 45370
20 to 40 Hectares 120 3407 88 2579
40 to 200 Hectares 130 1 1348 1 12 9444
200 to 400 Hectares 22 6262 22 668 1
400 to 600 Hectares 22 1 1051 16 827 1
Above 600 Hectares 332 45550 268 39627TOTAL 78 1213 475083 1 132936 66 1980
Opened to Liberalisation Opened to Liberalisation Globalisation & PrivatisationGlobalisation & Privatisation
Availability of Natural Rubber Tonnes
Year 1990-91 91-92 92-93 93-94 94-95
Previous Balance 69610 86430 81250 71140 77015
Production 329615 366745 393490 435160 471815
Import 49013 15070 17884 19940 8093
Total Availability 448238 468245 492624 526240 556923Consumption, Export, Balance Stock & Missing Tonnes
Consumption 364310 380150 414105 450480 485850
Export 5834 5999 186 1961
Balance Stock 86430 81250 71140 77015 69550
Missing -2502 1011 1380 -1441 -438
Total 448238 468245 492624 526240 556923
Cultivated Area Hectare 475083 488514 499374 508420 515547
Tapped Area Hectare 306413 324540 330500 338550 346270
Productivity Kgs/Hectare 1076 1130 1191 1285 1362
POST WTO SCENARIOPOST WTO SCENARIO
Availability of Natural Rubber Tonnes
Year 1995-96 96-97 97-98 98-99 99-00
Previous Balance 69550 103190 107310 147300 187965
Production 506910 549425 583830 605045 622265
Import 51635 19770 32070 29534 20213
Total Availability 628095 672385 723210 781879 830443
Consumption, Export, Balance Stock & Missing Tonnes
Consumption 525465 561765 571820 591545 628110
Export 1130 1598 1415 1840 5989
Balance Stock 103190 107310 147300 187965 192570
Missing -1690 1712 2675 529 3774
Total 628095 672385 723210 781879 830443
Cultivated Area Hectare 524075 533246 544534 553041 559584
Tapped Area Hectare 356444 365580 376670 387100 394800
Productivity Kgs/Hectare 1422 1503 1549 1563 1576
Availability of Natural Rubber Tonnes
Year 00-01 01-02 02-03 03-04 04-05 05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10
Previous Balance 192570 183900 193070 117995 78340 106200 93020 165190 167120 200015
Production 630405 631400 649435 711650 749665 802625 852895 825345 864500 831400
Import 8970 49769 26217 44199 72835 45285 89699 86394 77616 176756
Total Availability 831945 865069 868722 873844 900840 954110 1035614 1076929 1109236 1208171
Consumption, Export, Balance Stock & Missing Tonnes
Consumption 631475 638210 695425 719600 755405 801110 820305 861455 871720 930565
Export 13356 6995 55311 75905 46150 73830 56545 60353 46926 25090
Balance Stock 183900 193070 117995 78340 106200 93020 165190 167120 200015 253975
Missing 3214 26794 -9 -1 -6915 -13850 -6426 -11999 -9425 -1459
Total 831945 865069 868722 873844 900840 954110 1035614 1076929 1109236 1208171
Cutivated Area Hectare 562670 566555 569667 575980 584090 597610 615200 635400p 661980p 687000p
Tapped Area Hectare 399901 400713 407953 427935 439720 447015 454020 458830 463130 466031
Productivity Kgs/Hectare 1576 1576 1592 1663 1705 1796 1879 1799 1867 1784
POST EXIM POLICY SCENARIOPOST EXIM POLICY SCENARIO
CURRENT SCENARIO
Rubber Statistics for the Year 2010-11
NR April May June July August September
Previous Balance 253975 238700 230420 223370 223630 196210
Production 53500 56400 56850 58500 72500 77500
Import 10876 15372 11985 17975 22262 36106
Availability 318351 310472 299255 299845 318392 309816
Consumption 78250 79150 75450 76200 79500 80500
Export 2227 1498 618 24 17 194
Missing -826 -596 -183 -9 42665 -13
Stock Balance 238700 230420 223370 223630 196210 229135
Total 318351 310472 299255 299845 318392 309816
Sale by Growers and Purchase by Manufacturers
Sale by Growers and Purchase by Manufacturers 2010-11 O/S Growers Production Sale by Gwr Import Purchase by MfrApril 98025 53500 60350 10876 61124May 91175 56400 57845 15372 59168June 89730 56850 58535 11985 58970July 88045 58500 50340 17975 53630August 96205 72500 79785 22262 58148September 88920 77500 58220 36106 48409October 108200NovemberDecemberJanuaryFebruaryMarchTOTAL 375250 365075 114576 339449
Sale= (opening Stock + production) - month end stock with growers.
Purchase = (Consumption +Monthend Stock) – (Opening stock + Import)
What is Missing?Previous balance or opening stock + Production + Import = Consumption + Export + Balance Stock
But this never tallies. Always there will be huge differences in positive and negative figures.
Negative missing on mathematical error means publishing excess stock than actual and positive missing is against it. Both these are to reduce the prices of various types of Rubber.
For more Details Visit: http://goo.gl/UQQBX
