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Andrews 3/27/00 SP 1
Pregnancy Follow-up Pregnancy Follow-up StudiesStudies
Lessons from Glaxo Lessons from Glaxo WellcomeWellcome
ExperienceExperience
Andrews 3/27/00 SP 2
OutlineOutline
Historical case studyHistorical case study Lessons learnedLessons learned Future possibilitiesFuture possibilities Key issues Key issues
Points to Consider in Deciding When to Establish a Pregnancy Follow-up
Study
Points to Consider in Deciding When to Establish a Pregnancy Follow-up
Study
Likelihood of 1st trimester exposureLikelihood of 1st trimester exposure Potentially large exposed population Potentially large exposed population
of sexually active women Ages 15-44of sexually active women Ages 15-44 Animal data and relationship toAnimal data and relationship to
effect on human fetuseffect on human fetus Underlying medical conditionUnderlying medical condition Medication’s mechanism of actionMedication’s mechanism of action FDA pregnancy category ratingFDA pregnancy category rating
Andrews 3/27/00 SP 4
Case-study: AcyclovirCase-study: AcyclovirBackgroundBackground
Antiviral medicine to treat Antiviral medicine to treat
herpes simplex virus infections herpes simplex virus infections Pregnancy registry established in Pregnancy registry established in
1984 due to:1984 due to:• Potential for unintentional 1st trimester Potential for unintentional 1st trimester
exposure to new chemical entityexposure to new chemical entity
• Historic precedent of less specific Historic precedent of less specific
antiviral agents for toxic effectsantiviral agents for toxic effects
Andrews 3/27/00 SP 5
Acyclovir Study - OriginsAcyclovir Study - Origins
Acyclovir Study established 1984Acyclovir Study established 1984
– Part of broad epidemiologic safety programPart of broad epidemiologic safety program
– Joint effort with CDCJoint effort with CDC
– Objective: Monitor for risks of birth defects Objective: Monitor for risks of birth defects following antenatal acyclovir exposurefollowing antenatal acyclovir exposure
– Duration: Use registry approach until other, Duration: Use registry approach until other, more efficient, methods could address the more efficient, methods could address the questionquestion
Andrews 3/27/00 SP 6
Design Considerations Design Considerations (1)(1)
Exposures of potential Exposures of potential interestinterest– Oral acyclovirOral acyclovir– IV acyclovirIV acyclovir– Topical acyclovirTopical acyclovir
– Maternal Maternal exposuresexposures
– Paternal exposuresPaternal exposures
– Trimester Trimester 11, 2, 3, 2, 3
Outcomes of potential Outcomes of potential interestinterest– Overall major birth Overall major birth
defectsdefects– Specific birth Specific birth
defectsdefects– Minor events Minor events – Delayed developmentDelayed development– Maternal Maternal
complicationscomplications– Spontaneous abortionSpontaneous abortion
Andrews 3/27/00 SP 7
Design Considerations Design Considerations (2)(2)
Objective: Estimate risk of major birth Objective: Estimate risk of major birth defectsdefects
Cohort study neither ethical nor Cohort study neither ethical nor feasible because outcomes are too rarefeasible because outcomes are too rare
Case-control not feasible Case-control not feasible – Exposures too rareExposures too rare– No No a prioria priori hypotheses hypotheses
No existing data resources available No existing data resources available and sufficientand sufficient
Andrews 3/27/00 SP 8
Design Considerations Design Considerations (3)(3)
Exposure registration and followup study Exposure registration and followup study – Prospective enrollment requiredProspective enrollment required– Birth defect comparator needed (population Birth defect comparator needed (population
rate)rate)– Outcomes: birth defects consistent with CDC Outcomes: birth defects consistent with CDC
definitionsdefinitions– Other outcomes not within scope (e.g., Other outcomes not within scope (e.g.,
maternal events, spontaneous abortion) maternal events, spontaneous abortion) because because • different / more data neededdifferent / more data needed• methods not appropriatemethods not appropriate
Inclusion CriteriaInclusion Criteria
Trimester 1 Trimester 2
Trimester 3
Birth
Ultrasound16 weeks
PROSPECTIVE (included)Case reported before outcome known
RETROSPECTIVE(excluded) Case reported after outcome known
Andrews 3/27/00 SP 10
Method - Data CollectionMethod - Data Collection
Initial data collected at enrollment Initial data collected at enrollment – Exposure, timing, EDD, prenatal testingExposure, timing, EDD, prenatal testing– Potential confounders specific to the studyPotential confounders specific to the study
Basic information from single reporter Basic information from single reporter – Likely to be motivatedLikely to be motivated– Likely to have exposure and outcome Likely to have exposure and outcome
informationinformation– Will not require additional stepsWill not require additional steps
Methods - Follow-UpMethods - Follow-Up Follow-Up:Follow-Up:
– Form sent to health professional Form sent to health professional at EDDat EDD
– Monthly reminders until data Monthly reminders until data obtainedobtained
– Patient identifiers (not names) Patient identifiers (not names) used and deleted at completionused and deleted at completion
– Thank you letter with Thank you letter with encouragement to register other encouragement to register other exposures, and to solicit longer exposures, and to solicit longer term outcomes, if knownterm outcomes, if known
Andrews 3/27/00 SP 12
Targeted Follow-UpTargeted Follow-Upof Birth Defectsof Birth Defects
Initiated by registry staffInitiated by registry staff Targeted to specific birth defect Targeted to specific birth defect
cases reportedcases reported Based on CDC teratology reviewBased on CDC teratology review Could include questions from GW Could include questions from GW
Drug Surveillance M.D. Drug Surveillance M.D.
Methods - AnalysisMethods - Analysis
Separate prospective/retrospective Separate prospective/retrospective reportsreports
Estimate birth defect risk Estimate birth defect risk (proportion) from prospective (proportion) from prospective reportsreports
Compare risk against “expected” Compare risk against “expected” riskrisk
Evaluate specific birth defectsEvaluate specific birth defects Analyze defects for evidence of Analyze defects for evidence of
patterns or uniquenesspatterns or uniqueness Review of all data by Advisory Review of all data by Advisory
CommitteeCommittee
Andrews 3/27/00 SP 14
RecruitmentRecruitment
Challenge: Encourage enrollment without Challenge: Encourage enrollment without communicating an inappropriate message communicating an inappropriate message – Avoid implying drug should be used in Avoid implying drug should be used in
pregnancy pregnancy – Avoid suggesting a known risk existsAvoid suggesting a known risk exists
Options:Options:– Use existing health information linesUse existing health information lines– Referrals from TIS, CDC, FDAReferrals from TIS, CDC, FDA– Medical newsletters, journals, MMWRMedical newsletters, journals, MMWR– Scientific meetings, presentationsScientific meetings, presentations– Package insertPackage insert
Andrews 3/27/00 SP 15
Sources of Calls and Referrals
Sources of Calls and Referrals
RegistryRegistry
CDC CDC Health CareProviders
Health CareProviders PatientsPatients Clinical TrialsClinical Trials
Operating Companies
Operating Companies
InternationalSources
InternationalSources
GeneticCounselors
GeneticCounselors
Company Sales Force
Company Sales Force
Teratogen Information
Services
Teratogen Information
Services
Other Manufacturers
Other Manufacturers
Advisory CommitteeAdvisory Committee
Reviewed dataReviewed data Assisted in disseminating informationAssisted in disseminating information Members representedMembers represented
- Centers for Disease Control and Centers for Disease Control and PreventionPrevention
- Academic medical Academic medical practitioners/epidemiologistspractitioners/epidemiologists
- Glaxo Wellcome medical departmentGlaxo Wellcome medical department- Could be expanded to include other Could be expanded to include other
disciplines, groupsdisciplines, groups Expertise in STDs, Obstetrics, Expertise in STDs, Obstetrics,
Teratology, Pediatrics, EpidemiologyTeratology, Pediatrics, Epidemiology
Andrews 3/27/00 SP 17
Acyclovir Registry -- Acyclovir Registry -- Prospective Prospective Reports Reports
June 1984 - April 1999June 1984 - April 1999
EarliestTrimester ofExposure
Outcomes
with Birth
Defects
Live Births
Without Birth
Defects
Spont.
Pregnancy
Losses
Induced
Termina-
tions
Total
Unspecified 0 1 0 1 2
First 19 577 b 77 83 756
Second 2 194 c 0 1 197
Third 7 282d 2 0 291
Total 28 1054 79 85 1246
b Includes 7 sets of twins.c Includes 2 sets of twins.d Includes 3 sets of twins.
Andrews 3/27/00 SP 18
Results: Birth Defects
Results: Birth Defects
First -Trimester Exposure: First -Trimester Exposure: 19/59619/596
3.2% (95% CI: 2.0%, 5.0%)3.2% (95% CI: 2.0%, 5.0%)
Any Trimester Exposure: Any Trimester Exposure: 28/108228/1082
2.6% (95% CI: 1.8%, 3.8%)2.6% (95% CI: 1.8%, 3.8%)
Does not differ from general Does not differ from general populationpopulation
Andrews 3/27/00 SP 19
ConclusionsConclusions
No pattern among prospectively or No pattern among prospectively or retrospectively reported birth defectsretrospectively reported birth defects
Potential limitations should be Potential limitations should be recognized (underreporting, recognized (underreporting, differential reporting, losses to follow-differential reporting, losses to follow-up) up)
Despite these limitations, these Despite these limitations, these results are useful in the course ofresults are useful in the course of counseling women following counseling women following inadvertent prenatal exposureinadvertent prenatal exposure
Andrews 3/27/00 SP 20
Information useful to patients and Information useful to patients and physiciansphysicians
Useful to GW in evaluation of safetyUseful to GW in evaluation of safety Information included in product labelInformation included in product label Changed label from Category C to BChanged label from Category C to B Study data informed the CDC STD Study data informed the CDC STD
Treatment GuidelinesTreatment Guidelines
Value of the StudyValue of the Study
Pregnancy Follow-up Studies
Pregnancy Follow-up Studies
Acyclovir -- June 1984 (now closed)Acyclovir -- June 1984 (now closed) AntiretroviralsAntiretroviralsaa -- 1 Jan 1989 -- 1 Jan 1989 Lamotrigine -- 1 Sept 1992Lamotrigine -- 1 Sept 1992 Valacyclovir -- Jan 1995 (now closed)Valacyclovir -- Jan 1995 (now closed) Sumatriptan -- 1 Jan 1996Sumatriptan -- 1 Jan 1996 NA AED Pregnancy RegistryNA AED Pregnancy Registryaa -- Nov -- Nov
19961996 Bupropion -- 1 Sept 1997Bupropion -- 1 Sept 1997 Naratriptan -- 1 Oct 1997Naratriptan -- 1 Oct 1997
aa Multi-company sponsored studiesMulti-company sponsored studies
Andrews 3/27/00 SP 22
Lessons Lessons
Design must be targeted to the Design must be targeted to the questionsquestions
Simplicity is essential in data gatheringSimplicity is essential in data gathering Voluntary recruitment of sufficient Voluntary recruitment of sufficient
numbers of relevant exposures is numbers of relevant exposures is difficultdifficult
Follow-up is a challengeFollow-up is a challenge Ideal must be balanced by practicalityIdeal must be balanced by practicality
Andrews 3/27/00 SP 23
Ideal study Ideal study designdesign
Probability Probability of of obtainingobtaining
useful useful datadata
Probability Probability of of obtainingobtaining
useful useful datadata
MEDICATION SAFETY STUDIESMEDICATION SAFETY STUDIES
Andrews 3/27/00 SP 24
Broad surveillance for increased risks of major birth defects ?
Basic Approach
Monitoring for specific birth defect?
Case-control study
Monitoring for subtle or delayed event?
Targeted follow up study
Yes
NO
Basic Approach
Yes
TAILOR DESIGN TO THE QUESTION
Andrews 3/27/00 SP 25
SELECT THE METHOD APPROPRIATE SELECT THE METHOD APPROPRIATE TO THE OUTCOMES OF INTERESTTO THE OUTCOMES OF INTEREST
Basic registry designed to evaluate Basic registry designed to evaluate risk of major birth defectsrisk of major birth defects
Other outcomes can be better studied Other outcomes can be better studied with different methodswith different methods– spontaneous abortionspontaneous abortion– maternal outcomesmaternal outcomes– infant outcomes requiring long-term infant outcomes requiring long-term
follow-upfollow-up– infant outcomes requiring medical infant outcomes requiring medical
examination for confirmationexamination for confirmation
Andrews 3/27/00 SP 26
Selecting the Right Selecting the Right ApproachApproach
High
Low
Sam
ple
Siz
e Com
ple
xi
ty
Nature of Information
Frequency of majorbirth defects
Delayed effectsCross-drugcomparisonFrequency
of all birth defects in first year
Andrews 3/27/00 SP 27
Impact of Methods on Impact of Methods on Case Capture and Case Capture and
Follow-upFollow-up
Consent required
Number of Referral steps
Complexity of data collection
Duration of follow-up
100%
? 50 %
Andrews 3/27/00 SP 28
Other ApproachesOther Approaches
Large linked databases offer promise Large linked databases offer promise Identification of all exposures within a Identification of all exposures within a
populationpopulation Not dependent on voluntary reporting Not dependent on voluntary reporting Follow-up information collected for Follow-up information collected for
other purposesother purposes Sample size may be achievable if Sample size may be achievable if
multiple populations can be usedmultiple populations can be used
Case-Control studies remain usefulCase-Control studies remain useful
Andrews 3/27/00 SP 29
Issues Issues New consent/IRB considerations must balance New consent/IRB considerations must balance
individuals’ interests with impediments to individuals’ interests with impediments to conducting voluntary registries. Regulations conducting voluntary registries. Regulations should facilitate, not hinder, public health should facilitate, not hinder, public health monitoring functionsmonitoring functions
Adverse event reporting should follow study Adverse event reporting should follow study guidelines, not spontaneous guidelines guidelines, not spontaneous guidelines
Value and use of information need to be Value and use of information need to be better understood (confirm safety & identify better understood (confirm safety & identify new signals) new signals)