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Ann S. Bisconti, PhDAnn S. Bisconti, PhD
Bisconti Research, Inc.Bisconti Research, Inc.
[email protected]@bisconti.com
New Opinion Climate For Nuclear Energy
And Global Nuclear Energy Partnership (GNEP)
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Buzz: Nuclear Energy is “Cool”Buzz: Nuclear Energy is “Cool”
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ConvergingConverging FactorsFactorsConvergingConverging FactorsFactors
EnergySupply
Oil and Gas Costs
Geopolitical Consequences
Climate Change/
Clean Air
Energy Demand
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23-Year Trends Show Big Change23-Year Trends Show Big Change
Bisconti Research national public Bisconti Research national public opinion surveys:opinion surveys: 1,000 U.S. adults age 18+ 1,000 U.S. adults age 18+ Margin of error plus or minus 3 Margin of error plus or minus 3
percentage pointspercentage points
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68% Favor Use of Nuclear Energy68% Favor Use of Nuclear Energy(Trend 1983-2006, Annual Averages)(Trend 1983-2006, Annual Averages)
20
40
60
80
1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006
Oppose
Favor
49
46
29
68
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The Buzz: Heard About in Past YearThe Buzz: Heard About in Past Year
45
54
62
71
39
47
48
60
0 20 40 60 80
Nuclear for globalwarming
Nuclear for cleanair
Need to build morenuclear plants
Need for nuclearenergy
All U.S. Public
College Graduate Voters
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Nuclear Power in the NewsNuclear Power in the News
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Nuclear Power in the NewsNuclear Power in the News
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Supporters EngagedSupporters EngagedNationally and LocallyNationally and Locally
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Five Steps of Support for New PlantsFive Steps of Support for New PlantsFive Steps of Support for New PlantsFive Steps of Support for New Plants
Important
for our energy
future
86%
Prepare to build
77%
Definitely build
61%
Accept new
reactors at nearest
plant
73%
Renew licenses
84%
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BBC Poll, June 2006: % Favor BBC Poll, June 2006: % Favor Building New Nuclear Power Plants Building New Nuclear Power Plants
24
28
31
35
38
42
47
49
50
52
53
53
54
60
63
65
66
66
69
0 25 50 75 100
Ukraine
Russia
Poland
Germany
France
Chile
Brazil
Israel
Great Britain
Canada
Italy
Australia
Mexico
Philippines
United States
South Korea
Kenya
India
Egypt
U.S. 63%
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BBC Poll, June 2006:BBC Poll, June 2006:Percent Concerned About Global Energy IssuesPercent Concerned About Global Energy Issues
79
82
82
0 25 50 75 100
Competition for energy will lead togreater conflict and war between
nations
Way the world produces and usesenergy is causing environmental
problems including climate change
Energy shortages and prices willdestabilize world economy
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Broad Support for GNEP ConceptBroad Support for GNEP Concept
““Would you approve or disapprove of a U.S. initiative Would you approve or disapprove of a U.S. initiative to collaborate with other nations that use commercial to collaborate with other nations that use commercial nuclear energy to develop technologies for recycling nuclear energy to develop technologies for recycling used nuclear fuel and reducing radioactive waste?” used nuclear fuel and reducing radioactive waste?”
ApproveApprove 7777
DisapproveDisapprove 2020
(Don’t know)(Don’t know) 3 3
Bisconti Research, March 2006Bisconti Research, March 2006
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Focus Groups on GNEPFocus Groups on GNEPCommunicationsCommunications
10 focus groups in April-May 200610 focus groups in April-May 2006
Reactions to GNEP concepts and plansReactions to GNEP concepts and plans
Perceived benefitsPerceived benefits
Language barriersLanguage barriers
Questions Questions
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GNEP MessagesGNEP Messages
Percent Ranked First or SecondPercent Ranked First or Second
Reduce reliance on fossil fuelsReduce reliance on fossil fuels 7171
Greenhouse gases/global warmingGreenhouse gases/global warming 4646
Good use of waste for energyGood use of waste for energy 3131
Helps developing nationsHelps developing nations 2525
Reduces wasteReduces waste 2121
U.S. technology leadershipU.S. technology leadership 8 8
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GNEP Benefits PerceivedGNEP Benefits Perceived
Less global reliance on fossil fuels:Less global reliance on fossil fuels: Less conflict, global stabilityLess conflict, global stability Abundant energy, better quality of life for Abundant energy, better quality of life for
everyone, education, health, water, improve everyone, education, health, water, improve economy, alleviate povertyeconomy, alleviate poverty
Healthier environmentHealthier environment
Control misuse of weaponsControl misuse of weapons
Reduce waste—good useReduce waste—good use
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What is that?What is that?
Nuclear fuel cycleNuclear fuel cycle
Closed fuel cycleClosed fuel cycle
Cradle-to-grave leasingCradle-to-grave leasing
Non-proliferationNon-proliferation
Proliferation-resistance Proliferation-resistance
TransuranicsTransuranics
FissionFission
IAEAIAEA
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How do we get from here to there?How do we get from here to there?
Today: 103 nuclear power plants in U.S. todayToday: 103 nuclear power plants in U.S. today 1 typical nuclear power plant provides enough 1 typical nuclear power plant provides enough
electricity for city like Seattle or Bostonelectricity for city like Seattle or Boston
Tomorrow: Steps toward new plants under wayTomorrow: Steps toward new plants under way Community expressions of supportCommunity expressions of support
Future: advanced technology, GNEP Future: advanced technology, GNEP collaborationcollaboration
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What about other sources?What about other sources?
We need all our energy sourcesWe need all our energy sources
The federal government is developing The federal government is developing clean fossil fuels, renewable energy, clean fossil fuels, renewable energy, energy efficiencyenergy efficiency
Nuclear energy because: clean air Nuclear energy because: clean air energy, reliable, affordable, large-scaleenergy, reliable, affordable, large-scale Future transportation (hydrogen), water Future transportation (hydrogen), water
(desalination)(desalination)
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Safety FirstSafety First