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Presentation by futuristAnne Lise Kjaer
TheCatalan Agency for Competitiveness - October 29, 2009
THE FUTURE OF LUXURY 2015+Tomorrows People & Emotional Consumption
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THE JOURNEY
Todays Society
Luxury Today and TomorrowTrend MappingKey Society DriversTomorrows ConsumerCase StudiesCompetitive P.O.A.Conclusion
Luxury Trends 2015+
www.kjaer-global.com
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1970s 1980sNeo-Fordism
INDIVIDUAL CORPORATE
THE FUTURE
1910s
Militarism
1950s 1960sFordism
EMOTIONAL
CONSUMPTION
EMPOWERMENT
BRANDS
Luxury Trends 2015+
Self-Realisation Brand Equity
Mass ProdcutionMass Consumption
Sustenance Basic Products
Security More Choice
1990s 2000sPost-Modernity
The 21st century
Specialisation
Social ResponsibleToday
Neo-Holism / Glocalisation
Individualisation
Sustainability
1920s 1930s
Subconscious Automatism / BernaysPublic RelationsSocial Attachment
pre 1900 1900
Industrialisation / Urbanisation
kjaerglobal2009evolutionofneedsintheWest
EVOLUTION OF CONSUMPTION
We are entering a new era where value sets are shifting
www.kjaer-global.com
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Luxury Trends 2015+
Sustainability is our new religion - transforming our world, society and how we do business
www.kjaer-global.com
THE SUSTAINABILITY AGE
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Luxury Trends 2015+
Companies and organisations must facilitate, educate, inspire and
convey an ethical message to meet the needs of tomorrows people
EMPATHIC LEADERSHIP
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CONTRASTS CO-EXISTLuxury Trends 2015+
Conscious Consumption - Deep LuxuryConspicuous Consumption - Shallow Luxury
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THE WHOLE BRAIN
RIGHT BRAINSynthesis & Big Picture
LEFT BRAINAnalysis & Details
4. SPIRITUAL1. SCIENTIFIC
2. SOCIAL 3. EMOTIONAL
Luxury Trends 2015+
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LifestyleCurators
ClimateChange
FoodieCulture
PersonalPampering
PERSONAL FULFILMENT
2.SOCIAL
3.EMOTIONAL
4.SPIRITUAL
1.SCIENTIFIC
UNIVERSAL AWARENESS
EmpowermentBrands
RethinkingWork/Leisure
Web 2.0
COMMUNICATION NATIONCARING COMPANIES
AuthenticityRediscovered
PURCHASE DRIVERS GLOBAL SUSTAINERSHEALTH & WELLNESS
PATCHWORK SOCIETY
GreyPower
RedefinedFamilies CreativeClass FemaleEmpowerment Five StarYouthECONOMIC DRIVERS
CustomisedConvenience
PREMIUM ECONOMIES
InnerPeace
RediscoveredWisdom
KarmaCapitalism
Art / ScienceConvergence
ConvergenceTechnology
PermaYouth
GLOBAL POLITICS
CreativeCapital
Living theBrand
One PlanetLiving
WORK/LIFE BALANCE
Philanthropy
CreditChallenges
EmergentMarkets
CulturalConsumption
IntelligentReduction
Luxury Trends 2020+
Transparency
DeepLuxury
ConsciousConsuming
EMERGENT TECHNOLOGIES
SmartEverything
CleanTech
Glocalisation RetailCurating
TREND ATLAS
www.kjaer-global.com
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NAVIGATING COMPLEXITY
Trends can present new opportunities. However without a Trend Atlas navigating
the future is like travelling to an unknown location without your GPS switched on
Luxury Trends 2015+
www.kjaer-global.com
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KEY DRIVERS
* Transparency
* New Economies & Glocalisation
* Convergence Technology & Convenience
* Empowerment Brands
* Intelligent Consumption
* Authenticity Rediscovered
* Deep Luxury & Personal Pampering
* Philanthropy & Karma Capitalism
Luxury Trends 2015+
www.kjaer-global.com
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TRANSPARENCY
The urgency of sustainable consumption requires all to promote a transparent and authentic
understanding of quality and manufacturing including respect for each other and the planet
Luxury Trends 2015+
www.kjaer-global.com
Patagonia invests in clean tech, policing waste and encourage tracebility
Katharine Hamnett & Lily Cole fight child labour in the fashion industryLuxury ethical council: initiated by luxury cashmere brand Rumah
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GLOCALISATION & NEW ECONOMIES
Connectivity and integration drives globalisation. Local cultural capital reflected in the
brand is attractive to tomorrows people and gives an edge over global competition
Luxury Trends 2015+
www.kjaer-global.com
Story telling, especially about origin and people is vital
Still Made Here home-grown creative capital gains currency
iittala
GroupsheadofficeinHelsinki
SavilleRowtailors
Global trade / local values HSBC sponsor China Design Now
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Iconic brand culture has resulted in people increasingly being attracted by the emotional
aspects of brands. Be inspiring, informative and ethical - truly empowering people
EMPOWERMENT BRANDSLuxury Trends 2015+
www.kjaer-global.com
Danish Luxury label Noir founded Illuminati to manufacture high quality cotton fabrics in Uganda
www.eco-asia.info/content/en/f-noir
Frederic Malle Perfumer Creater of bespoke personal fragrances
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CONVERGENCE TECHNOLOGY & CONVENIENCELuxury Trends 2015+
Convergence technology has empowered the individual in ways previously undreamt of.
We can shop 24/7, find the best deal on compare sites and get support by social networks
www.kjaer-global.com
Applications software makes peoples life easier Connecting with people via social networks to stay ahead of the competition
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INTELLIGENT CONSUMPTIONLuxury Trends 2015+
www.kjaer-global.com
The influential and informed individual practises sustainability by doing and this is filtering
through every level of society. Businesses must offer intelligent choices with authentic values
Quiet understated luxury Absolute limited editionConscious and ethical One Planet Living for global change
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www.kjaer-global.com
AUTHENTICITY REDISCOVERED
In a world of mass produced we crave authenticity and timeless quality. We want
the real thing: experiences that enhance our lives and tell a story of origin and traceability
Luxury Trends 2015+
Time before everything became branded and disposable
Going back to your roots to recover your economy
Simple and honest design where quality and utility are intrinsic
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DEEP LUXURY & PERSONAL PAMPERING
Meaning and empathy are increasingly important factors in understanding
consumer needs. Good karma and personal pampering has become big business
Luxury Trends 2015+
www.kjaer-global.com
Luxury spas for personal pampering to improve health
Foodies want local and high quality
Consumers want products with personal meaning
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PHILANTHROPY & KARMA CAPITALISMLuxury Trends 2020+
www.kjaer-global.com
Growth global philanthropy indicates people need for social participation and value-related
self-expression. Wealth is now measured by how much you can afford to give away
Karma Capitalism - The Co-operative Bank and Amnesty International have joined forcesGates and Buffet are leading the way in philanthropy
AMEX Red support Good Causes
Member of the G.O.O.D. Club
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The key trends clearly indicate
a polarised society sharing
lifestyles and value sets
across conventional borders
TOMORROWS PEOPLE
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Luxury Trends 2015+
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The WE people The ME People
CONTRASTING MINDSETSLuxury Trends 2015+
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EXCLUSIVEDeep Luxur y
The Trend Atlas indicates two key types: ME and WE people. The trends are closely
linked to value sets that are essential when creating products and services
REALAuthenticity
HOLISTIC
Personal Pampering
PROGRESSConvergence Technology
STIMULATINGNew Economies
INFORMEDIntelligent Consumption
ENGAGINGEmpowermentBrands
EMPOWERINGConvenience
FULFILLMENTPhilanthropy
HONESTTransparency
UNCONVENTIONALKarma Capitalis m
TOGETHERNESSGlocalisation
CULTURAL
POETIC
NATURE
URBAN
EmotionalRational
ME
WE
Luxury Trends 2015+ LUXURY KEY DRIVERS
www.kjaer-global.com
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Luxury Trends 2015+ URBAN TRIBES
www.kjaer-global.com
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COMMUNICATION & MEDIA
Specialist, individual & forward-thinking
Clubs/magazines for connoisseurs
Networking - an 'insider
ATMOSPHERE
Urban and contemporary
Scene setting - social performance
Polished surfaces
KEY DETAILS
Designer furniture and fittings
Style before comfort
Indoor & outdoor blend seamlessly
Luxury Trends 2015+ URBAN TRIBES - EXPERIENCES
www.kjaer-global.com
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DESIGNERS
Comme de Garcon
Yohji Yamamoto
Costume Nationale
FASHION & TEXTILES
Luxury materials
No superfluous trims
Leathers and fur
SILHOUETTES
Urban / Architectural / Technical
Sleek and Tailored
Sophisticated, Sexy Avant-garde
Luxury Trends 2015+ URBAN TRIBES - FAVOURITE BUYS
www.kjaer-global.com
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Luxury Trends 2015+ CULTURAL EXPLORERS
www.kjaer-global.com
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ATMOSPHERE
Urban community
Social space and themed interiors
Quirky, ironic and humorous
KEY DETAILS
Untreated woods and brick walls
Well-worn leather
Informal with focus on music
MEDIA & COMMUNICATION
Intimate, stimulating and imaginative
Insider knowledge viral marketing
Peer-to-peer networks & web focus
Luxury Trends 2015+ CULTURAL EXPLORERS - EXPERIENCES
www.kjaer-global.com
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DESIGNERS
Marc Jacobs
Paul & Joe
Paul Smith
FASHION & TEXTILES
Contrasting reclaimed / luxury materials
Loves badges, details and trims
Abundant fabric and layering
SILHOUETTES
Eclectic with a personal twist
Influenced by global culture
Relaxed, informal edgy sporty
Luxury Trends 2015+ CULTURAL EXPLORERS - FAVOURITE BUYS
www.kjaer-global.com
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Luxury Trends 2015+ NATURE SUSTAINERS
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KEY DETAILS
Un-pretentious without pastiche
Cosy, caring and authentic
Organic Everything
ATMOSPHERE
Inclusive spaces
Sustainable & honest materials
Relaxed and informal
MEDIA & COMMUNICATION
Socially & environmentally responsible
Goods labelled with clear informationTransparent sourcing
NATURE SUSTAINERS - EXPERIENCESLuxury Trends 2015+
www.kjaer-global.com
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DESIGNERS
No Logo & Independent brands
Charity Shops
Edun
FASHION & TEXTILES
Organic materials, dyes and prints
Sustainable sources
Wooden beads, shells & cork trim
SILHOUETTES
Relaxed - Casual
Soft and Layered
Thoughtful and Creative
NATURE SUSTAINERS - FAVOURITE BUYSLuxury Trends 2015+
www.kjaer-global.com
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Luxury Trends 2015+ POETIC MODERNISTS
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Inconspicuous Luxury
MEDIA & COMMUNICATION
Logic & intuitive information architecture
Always Ideas over Logos
Complex simplicity - a bit surreal
ATMOSPHERE
Calm and intimate
Curated, Intriguing and spiritual spaces
Considered and thoughtful
KEY DETAILS
Inconspicuous High-spec Luxury
Insider design and designers
Sophisticated, artistic and light
POETIC MODERNISTS - EXPERIENCESLuxury Trends 2015+
www.kjaer-global.com
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DESIGNERS
Hussein Chalayan
Jens Laugesen
Modern Vintage
FASHION & TEXTILES
Rich and textured fabrics
High tech accessories and materials
Shells and Mother of Pearl
SILHOUETTES
Geometric - intellectual cuts
Minimal and modern romantic
Otherworldly - pure and refined
POETIC MODERNISTS - FAVOURITE BUYSLuxury Trends 2015+
www.kjaer-global.com
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PLAN OF ACTIONLuxury Trends 2015+
www.kjaer-global.com
# 1: From:Arrogant and snobbish
To: Welcoming and Nurturing
# 2: From: Brand validates customers
To: Customers Validate Brand
# 3: From: Price Premium is imposed
To: Price Premium is Earned
# 4 From: Command and control management
To: Team-based Innovation and Learning
# 5 From: Key assets - bricks & mortar
To: Key Assets - People & Relationships
# 6 From: Economies of scale
To: Economies of Customer Share
# 7 From: Me too in multiple segments
To: Unique & Exclusive in Few Segments
# 8 From: Customers adapting to business
To: Bus iness Adapting to Customers
# 9 From: Dialogue - feared and ridiculed
To: Dialogue - Embraced and Ac ted Upon
# 10 From: Disconnected interactions
To: Seamless Customer Journeys
# 11 From: Traditional luxury marketing
To: Word-of-Mouth, Referrals
# 12 From: Socially disengaged
To: Socially Responsible
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CONCLUSIONLuxury Trends 2015+
www.kjaer-global.com
To lead have perspective and be people-centric - truly empower people on all levels. Only
then can you create successful products to engage tomorrows emotional experience hunters