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ANR Monthly Customer Update August 2019

ANR Monthly Customer Update€¦ · • The current volume in storage is abovethe five-year average level by about 4-Bcf. • From July 16 – August 18, storage activity averaged

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Page 1: ANR Monthly Customer Update€¦ · • The current volume in storage is abovethe five-year average level by about 4-Bcf. • From July 16 – August 18, storage activity averaged

ANR Monthly Customer UpdateAugust 2019

Page 2: ANR Monthly Customer Update€¦ · • The current volume in storage is abovethe five-year average level by about 4-Bcf. • From July 16 – August 18, storage activity averaged

• Stock up on gas and keep your car full

• Bring patio furniture and outdoor items inside

• Protect your home to reduce damage

• Turn off gas, water and other utilities if recommended

• Make sure you have a battery powered radio

• Have cash on hand

• First-aid kit available

• Cell phone chargers available

• Stock up on food and supplies

• Understand your insurance policy

• Stock up on infant and pet supplies as needed

Safety moment – Hurricane preparedness

Page 3: ANR Monthly Customer Update€¦ · • The current volume in storage is abovethe five-year average level by about 4-Bcf. • From July 16 – August 18, storage activity averaged

Storage Update

Jeffery Keck, Operations Planning

Operational Update

Michael Gosselin, Gas Control & Planning

Noms & Scheduling

DeAnna Parsell, Noms & Scheduling

Agenda

Page 4: ANR Monthly Customer Update€¦ · • The current volume in storage is abovethe five-year average level by about 4-Bcf. • From July 16 – August 18, storage activity averaged

Storage UpdateJeffery Keck – Operations Planning

Page 5: ANR Monthly Customer Update€¦ · • The current volume in storage is abovethe five-year average level by about 4-Bcf. • From July 16 – August 18, storage activity averaged

EIA Storage Position: The big picture

Date ANR’s Reported EIA Storage Inventory (MMcf)

August 9, 2019 145,417

August 10, 2018 109,988

August 11, 2017 187,027

2.738 Tcf as of Friday, August 9, 2019

Page 6: ANR Monthly Customer Update€¦ · • The current volume in storage is abovethe five-year average level by about 4-Bcf. • From July 16 – August 18, storage activity averaged

Storage Position

Working gas in underground storage compared with the five-year maximum and minimum

161,214 MMcf as of 8/18/19

-

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

3/31

4/30

5/31

6/30

7/31

8/31

9/30

10/3

1

MM

cf

5 Yr Max - Min Range 5 Yr Avg 2019

Page 7: ANR Monthly Customer Update€¦ · • The current volume in storage is abovethe five-year average level by about 4-Bcf. • From July 16 – August 18, storage activity averaged

Storage inventory – 2019 vs. 2018

58%

69% 70%

59%

47%52% 50%

45%

64%

73%

57%51%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

ANR Pipeline ANRSCo Blue Lake Eaton Rapids

Physical Inventory Positions as of August 18

Five-year average July 11, 2018 July 11, 2019

35%

16%11%3%

36%

% of Certificated Storage Capacity

ANR Pipeline

ANRSCo

Blue Lake

Eaton Rapids

Unfilled

Percent of Storage Capacity

2019 Percent Full

YOY Difference (2018-19) August 18

ANR Pipeline 64% 17.4%

ANRSCo 73% 20.6%

Blue Lake 57% 7.0%

Eaton Rapids 51% 6.2%

Page 8: ANR Monthly Customer Update€¦ · • The current volume in storage is abovethe five-year average level by about 4-Bcf. • From July 16 – August 18, storage activity averaged

Storage Operations

• The current volume in storage is abovethe five-year average level by about 4-Bcf.

• From July 16 – August 18, storage activity averaged an injection over 0.8-Bcf/d, which reflects a continued strong injection pattern. While injections have been consistent, it has varied from about 500-MMcf/d up to about 1.2-Bcf/d.

• ANR met all firm customer demand for storage activity during this period.

• Capacity is 64% full about 2/3 of the way through the summer season.

• Injections are expected to increase starting in September. ANR believes it is positioned well to meet all firm demand for injection.

Page 9: ANR Monthly Customer Update€¦ · • The current volume in storage is abovethe five-year average level by about 4-Bcf. • From July 16 – August 18, storage activity averaged

Operational UpdateMichael Gosselin – Gas Control & Operations Planning

Page 10: ANR Monthly Customer Update€¦ · • The current volume in storage is abovethe five-year average level by about 4-Bcf. • From July 16 – August 18, storage activity averaged

SWML Northbound flowed 95 percent full, with scheduled volumes averaging 585-MDth/d

Wisconsin deliveries averaged 494-MDth/d

Michigan Leg South through St. John Eastbound flowed an average volume of 710-MDth/d

Woolfolk averaged a northbound flow of 576-MDth/d

ANR Pipeline storage averaged an injection of 693-MDth/d

Deliveries between Eunice and Patterson averaged 920-MDth/d. Eunice Southbound averaged 47-MDth/d and deliveries to Duralde averaged 294-MMcf/d. ANR received 124-MDth/d from offshore at Patterson

Southbound flows through Jena averaged 1,118-MDth/d

REX Shelbyville receipts averaged 729-MDth/d and Westrick Interconnect averaged 1,322-MDth/d

Deliveries to MichCon at Willow Run averaged 575-MDth/d

ANR July average daily system flows

ANR

Great Lakes

5

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

7

6

8

9

4

1

2

Page 11: ANR Monthly Customer Update€¦ · • The current volume in storage is abovethe five-year average level by about 4-Bcf. • From July 16 – August 18, storage activity averaged

ANR monthly deliveries to power plants

232.54

284.94270.1

324.80

185.30

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

225

250

275

300

325

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

MM

Dth

Total monthly power plant deliveries

Dec

Nov

Oct

Sep

Aug

Jul

Jun

May

Apr

Mar

Feb

Jan

135.9

107.74

153.7134.3

0

25

50

75

100

125

150

175

200

2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018 2018-2019

MM

Dth

Total Deliveries

Winter power plant deliveries

Mar

Feb

Jan

Dec

Nov

Oct

112.54

158.1142.2

183.5

110.6

0255075

100125150175200

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

MM

Dth

Total Deliveries

Summer power plant deliveriesApr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Page 12: ANR Monthly Customer Update€¦ · • The current volume in storage is abovethe five-year average level by about 4-Bcf. • From July 16 – August 18, storage activity averaged

2019 ANR Mainline maintenance projects

SE Area/SEML• SE Area – 16 meter station communication upgrades over the

summer• SE Area – Patterson Fire & Gas Detection upgrade Sept. 12 - 13• SEML – Eight ILI pig runs through September• SEML – Sardis/Brownsville – overhauls and compressor

maintenance• SEML – Five pig trap modifications through the end of year• SEML – Greenville Fire & Gas upgrade in November

Tie-Line• Four integrity digs September - October

SW Area and SWML• SWML - Eight compressor overhauls through the end

of the year• SWML – Four pig runs through the end of the year• SWML – Four pipeline integrity digs scheduled

August – November• SWA – Meade Fire & Gas upgrade Sept. 4 - 10

Wisconsin • Two pig runs through September • 16 pipeline integrity digs through October• 12 meter station communication upgrades scheduled

through November• Class change South of Woodstock June 17 – Sept. 15

Michigan Leg North and South• MLS – Seven integrity digs September - October• MLS – One ILI pig run this week August 21 - 24• MLN – Hamilton Compressor OH June 17 – Sept. 16• MLN – One ILI pig run Sept. 9 - 13ANR Storage Complex• Two compressor OH’s remain for summer season• Reed City/Loreed Fields – pipeline maintenance through

August• One pig run scheduled for the summer

Page 13: ANR Monthly Customer Update€¦ · • The current volume in storage is abovethe five-year average level by about 4-Bcf. • From July 16 – August 18, storage activity averaged

ANR posted capacity impacts – August 2019

Red River (Rec) Int (LOC #185837) PSO ID #9335Firm Primary only August 3 – Sept. 1

Mooreland Northbound (LOC #9505448) PSO ID #936236-MMcf/d (leaving 170-MMcf/d August 27

Beaver-CIG (REC FR CIG) (LOC #16435) PSO ID #936340-MMcf/d (leaving 120-MMcf/d available) Sept. 4 – 10

E.G. Hill from Gageby (LOC #226643)PSO ID #936325-MMcf/d (leaving 200-MMcf/d available) Sept. 4 – 10

Greensburg/CP (REC) (LOC #385402) PSO ID #9363570-MMcf/d (leaving 75-MMcf/d available) Sept. 4 – 10

Page 14: ANR Monthly Customer Update€¦ · • The current volume in storage is abovethe five-year average level by about 4-Bcf. • From July 16 – August 18, storage activity averaged

ANR posted capacity impacts – August 2019

SWML Northbound (LOC#226630) CN ID #9366100-MMcf/d (leaving 589-MMcf/d available) August 21 – 2245-MMcf/d (leaving 644-MMcf/d available) August 23 – 2655-MMcf/d (leaving 634-MMcf/d available) August 2745-MMcf/d (leaving 644-MMcf/d available) August 28 – Sept 370-MMcf/d (leaving 619-MMcf/d available) Sept. 4 – 1020-MMcf/d (leaving 669-MMcf/d available) Sept. 11 – 22100-MMcf/d (leaving 589-MMcf/d available) Sept. 23 – 30

Joliet NGPL Receipt (LOC# 2610) & Youngs Road Delivery (LOC# 523090) PSO ID #9339Firm Primary only August 19 – 23

St. John Eastbound (LOC ID #226633) PSO ID #9338400-MMcf/d (leaving 859-MMcf/d available) August 19 – 23

Bridgman Northbound (LOC #226632) CN ID #9351325-MMcf/d (leaving 1276-MMcf/d available) June 17 – Sept. 16

Page 15: ANR Monthly Customer Update€¦ · • The current volume in storage is abovethe five-year average level by about 4-Bcf. • From July 16 – August 18, storage activity averaged

ANR posted capacity impacts – August 2019

Eunice Total Location (LOC #505592) PSO ID #9365115-MMcf/d (leaving 1,060 MMcf/d available) August 21 – 26

Jena Southbound (LOC #9505489) PSO ID #9346120-MMcf/d (leaving 1060-MMcf/d available) August 20 – 26

Cottage Grove Southbound (LOC #505614) CN ID #9349100-MMcf/d (leaving 1049-MMcf/d available) August 16 – Oct 31

Page 16: ANR Monthly Customer Update€¦ · • The current volume in storage is abovethe five-year average level by about 4-Bcf. • From July 16 – August 18, storage activity averaged

Outage postings

• Service impacts are estimates. Actual nominations, markets, weather and pipeline conditions determine any level of curtailments.

• Projects may be added, altered, delayed or cancelled. Emergent work cannot be planned and will happen from time to time.

• Notice of such planned work, including additions or changes, will be provided via a posting under the Planned Service Outage (PSO) category in GEMS. Emergent work will be posted under the Critical Notice category as soon as possible.

Page 17: ANR Monthly Customer Update€¦ · • The current volume in storage is abovethe five-year average level by about 4-Bcf. • From July 16 – August 18, storage activity averaged

ANR Nominations & SchedulingDeAnna Parsell – Noms and Scheduling

Page 18: ANR Monthly Customer Update€¦ · • The current volume in storage is abovethe five-year average level by about 4-Bcf. • From July 16 – August 18, storage activity averaged

Wisconsin area constraints

Flow Throughs:• Sandwich Northbound• Woodstock Northbound• Kewaskum Northbound• Stevens Point Westbound• Weyauwega WestboundGroups and Points:• Two Rivers Lateral (Group)• Madison Lateral (Group)• Madison Lateral North (Group)• Milwaukee Lateral (Group)• Racine Lateral (Group)• Wisconsin Rapids (Point)• Abbotsford/Edgar (Point)

Page 19: ANR Monthly Customer Update€¦ · • The current volume in storage is abovethe five-year average level by about 4-Bcf. • From July 16 – August 18, storage activity averaged

During peak winter periods, ANR can declare an Extreme Condition Situation when:

• Any portion of ANR’s system throughput approaches capacity

• Extreme weather conditions exist

• ANR experiences operating pressures that can be significantly greater or less than normal operations, such that ANR’s ability to receive or deliver quantities of gas to meet service obligations is impaired.

To communicate these Extreme Conditions to our Customers, ANR uses phased philosophy when posting Extreme Condition Situation Critical notices as follows on the next two slides.

Note that the guidance items presented for these phases are subject to change at ANR’s discretion in order to best ensure system integrity.

Extreme Condition Situation notices – Phased philosophy

Page 20: ANR Monthly Customer Update€¦ · • The current volume in storage is abovethe five-year average level by about 4-Bcf. • From July 16 – August 18, storage activity averaged

Phase 1: Post a weather advisory indicating colder weather is forecasted & that shippers should align receipts and deliveries to minimize imbalances to support system integrity.

• Guidance for notice is forecast for Green Bay, Madison & Milwaukee, Wisc., where high temperatures are less than 20° F for two or more consecutive days.

Phase 2: Post declaration of Extreme Condition Situation indicating the area(s) of ANR’s system that are affected, typically ANRs Northern Market Area (ML7).

• Guidance for notice is forecast for Green Bay, Madison & Milwaukee, Wisc., where average temperatures are less than 15° F for two or more consecutive days or other operational conditions exist.

Actions and impacts associated with Phase 2 notices could include some or all the following:• Indicate services that are required to be on uniform hourly takes over a 24-hour period.• Indicate services that are required to be at their contractual hourly rate.• Indicate ITS-3 will be approved on a best efforts basis and will flow based on the approved nominated hourly rate.• Indicate limitation or denial of operational flexibility.• Indicate ETS & FTS-3 Secondary nominations will flow on a uniform hourly basis.• Limitation of Interruptible & Overrun Transportation Services including MBS.• Deny Incremental ITS-3 Nominations.• Unauthorized Overrun will not be permitted

Extreme conditions - Phase 1 and 2

Page 21: ANR Monthly Customer Update€¦ · • The current volume in storage is abovethe five-year average level by about 4-Bcf. • From July 16 – August 18, storage activity averaged

Phase 3: Post declaration of Extreme Condition Situation indicating the area(s) of ANR’s system that are affected. • Guidance for notice is forecast for Green Bay, Madison & Milwaukee, Wisc., where average temperatures are less than

10° F, nominations exceed 90% of the Wisconsin Contracted Capacity or other operational conditions exist.

Actions and impacts associated with Phase 3 notices could include items from Phase 2 and some or all the following:• No interruptible, overrun or MBS Withdrawal Services in the area affected by the notice.• Firm Secondary services will be scheduled up to the posted Operational Capacity in the area affected by the notice.• No Firm Secondary services will be scheduled in the area affected by the notice.• Indicate No Operational Flexibility for Power Plant, must flow based on contractual rights.• Indicate that FTS-3 customer must flow at their contractual hourly profile

Phase 4: Issuance of an OFO – Operational Flow Order. • Guidance for an OFO Notice is System Integrity Requirements or Determination of Unacceptable Shipper(s) behavior.

Actions and Impacts to be specified in the OFO

Extreme Conditions - Phase 3 and 4

Page 22: ANR Monthly Customer Update€¦ · • The current volume in storage is abovethe five-year average level by about 4-Bcf. • From July 16 – August 18, storage activity averaged

Questions?

Page 23: ANR Monthly Customer Update€¦ · • The current volume in storage is abovethe five-year average level by about 4-Bcf. • From July 16 – August 18, storage activity averaged

For further customer assistance concerning scheduling priorities related to your specific firm service agreement(s), firm service rights and features, GEMS new user training, virtual and face-to-face meetings, etc., please contact the ANR Noms & Scheduling Team:

Toll Free: 1-800-827-5267

Group Email: [email protected]

Web address for the ANRPL Tariff: www.anrebb.tcenergy.com

ANR Customer Assistance