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U.S. Global Investors, Inc. 7900 Callaghan Rd. San Antonio, TX 78229 210.308.1234 Anticipate Before You Participate Understanding Market Volatility of Emerging Markets and Natural Resources is Key to Managing Expectations Frank E. Holmes Chief Investment Officer U.S. Global Investors, Inc. % % RISK RETURN

anticipate before you participate · Morgan Stanley India Investment Invest cash Raise cash Raise cash Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund 3-Year sigma as of 6/14/06 Probability

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U.S. Global Investors, Inc.7900 Callaghan Rd.San Antonio, TX 78229210.308.1234

Anticipate Before You ParticipateUnderstanding Market Volatility of Emerging Markets and Natural

Resources is Key to Managing Expectations

Frank E. HolmesChief Investment Officer

U.S. Global Investors, Inc.

%

%RISK

RET

UR

N

2www.usfunds.com

Multidisciplinary Focus

According to Morningstar, alpha is a measure of the difference between a fund’s actual returns and its expected performance, given its level of risk as measured by beta. A positive alpha indicates the fund has performed better than its beta would predict. In contrast, a negative alpha indicates the fund’s underperformance, given the expectations established by the fund’s beta. All MPT statistics (alpha, beta, and R-squared) are based on a least-squared regression of the fund’s return over Treasury bills (called excess return) and the excess returns of the fund’s benchmark index.

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Complex Adaptive Systems

Source: Trojan Mice

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Time Management

Top DownMonday

We focus on macroeconomic factors and their inter-market relationships.

Bottom UpTuesday through Friday

We focus on finding the best stocks to own, based on critical drivers.

OrganizeData

Rate of change over 5/20/60 days

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Cycles – Principles of Continuous Revolution

Every cycle – irrespective of degree or significance – contains its own unique rhythm.

From daily tides to the solar system, life is governed by the cyclical principle.

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Cycles – Where are we on the…

Kuznet Cycle – 20-year Emerging Market Cycle That Drives Commodity Demand.

Presidential Election Cycle – 4-Year Cycle

Seasonal Cycle – Commodity and Stock Market Patterns

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Mean ReversionInvestments can have wide price swings during any given year. But, over time, they usually revert to their long-term averages. This principle is called “mean reversion.”

The Concept of Mean Reversion

Low returns have a positive trend

High returns have a negative trend

Reversion Level

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Market Exuberance…

Source: Deutsche Securities estimates

Through the Cycle Discounts and Premium to NPV

60

70

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90

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140

NP

V

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PV

(%)

NPV (lhs) Price/NPV (rhs)

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Presidential CyclePresidential Cycle on Cycle comparison

90

95

100

105

110

115

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140

48464442403836343230282624222018161412108642

Last 13 Presidential Cycles (since 1953) George W. Bush Second term (through May 31st)

Source: Bloomberg

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Annual Cyclical Pattern - Oil

Source: U.S. Global Research

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Annual Cyclical Pattern – Natural Gas

Source: U.S. Global Research

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Annual Cyclical Pattern – Gold

Source: U.S. Global Research

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Annual Cyclical Pattern – Platinum

Source: U.S. Global Research

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Annual Cyclical Pattern - Copper

Source: U.S. Global Research

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Standard Deviation (sigma)

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-20.00%-15.00%-10.00%

-5.00%0.00%5.00%

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Dev -1 Std Dev 1 Std Dev 2 Std Dev -2 Std Dev Mean

MSCI Emerging Markets Index

Invest cash

Raise cashRaise cash

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index 3-Year sigma as of 6/14/06

Invest cash

Probability Graph: # of occurrences % of occurrences+ 2 Std. Dev 1 0.13%+1 Std. Dev 117 15.25%-1 Std. Dev 85 11.08%-2 Std. Dev 42 5.48%Current: -2.21 std dev

Source: Bloomberg

Raise cash

Invest cash

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-40.00%

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Morgan Stanley India Investment

Invest cash

Raise cash

Raise cash

Morgan Stanley India Investment Fund 3-Year sigma as of 6/14/06

Probability Graph: # of occurrences % of occurrences+ 2 Std. Dev 30 2.55%+1 Std. Dev 162 13.76%-1 Std. Dev 192 16.31%-2 Std. Dev 14 1.19%Current: -1.66 std dev

Source: Bloomberg

Raise cash

Invest cash

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-3 0 .0 0 %

-2 0 .0 0 %

-1 0 .0 0 %

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Eastern European Fund (EUROX)

Invest cash

Raise cashRaise cash

Eastern European Fund 5-Year sigma as of 6/14/06

Probability Graph: # of occurrences % of occurrences+ 2 Std. Dev 24 1.84%+1 Std. Dev 198 15.15%-1 Std. Dev 210 16.07%-2 Std. Dev 38 2.91%Current: -2.48 std dev

Source: Bloomberg

Raise cash

Invest cashInvest cashInvest cashInvest cash

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-40 .00%

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China Region Opportunity Fund (USCOX)

Raise cashRaise cash

China Region Opportunity Fund 5-Year sigma as of 6/14/06

Probability Graph: # of occurrences % of occurrences+ 2 Std. Dev 26 1.99%+1 Std. Dev 180 13.77%-1 Std. Dev 189 14.46%-2 Std. Dev 22 1.68%Current: -0.31 std dev

Source: Bloomberg

Raise cash

Invest cashInvest cash

Invest cash

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-40 .00%

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Global Resources Fund (PSPFX)

Raise cashRaise cash

Global Resources Fund 5-Year sigma as of 6/14/06

Probability Graph: # of occurrences % of occurrences+ 2 Std. Dev 9 0.69%+1 Std. Dev 222 16.99%-1 Std. Dev 168 12.85%-2 Std. Dev 41 3.14%Current: -0.34 std dev

Source: Bloomberg

Raise cash

Invest cash

Invest cash

Invest cashInvest cash

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Trade Weighted Dollar Index (DXY)

Raise cash

Trade Weighted Dollar Index 5-Year sigma as of 6/14/06

Probability Graph: # of occurrences % of occurrences+ 2 Std. Dev 28 2.14%+1 Std. Dev 182 13.93%-1 Std. Dev 257 19.66%-2 Std. Dev 12 0.92%Current: -1.14 std dev

Source: Bloomberg

Raise cash

Invest cashInvest cash

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-15.00%-10.00%-5.00%0.00%5.00%

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Gold

Invest cash

Raise cash

Raise cash

Spot Gold $/OZ 5-Year sigma as of 6/20/06

Probability Graph: # of occurrences % of occurrences+ 2 Std. Dev 32 2.45%+1 Std. Dev 132 10.10%-1 Std. Dev 171 13.08%-2 Std. Dev 18 1.38%Current: 0.06 std dev

Source: Bloomberg

Raise cash

Invest cash

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Gold Rate of Change

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

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100%

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The gold market’s monthly decline is extreme when compared over 30 years to date. This has happened 16 times over the past 30 years.The last time was over 20 years ago. (1981-1983)

Gold – 20 Day Rate of Change

18.59% as of 6/14/06

Source: Bloomberg

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-40.00%-30.00%-20.00%-10.00%

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Amex Gold Bugs Index (HUI)

Invest cash

Raise cashRaise cash

Amex Gold BUGS Index (HUI) 3-Year sigma as of 6/14/06

Invest cash

Probability Graph: # of occurrences % of occurrences+ 2 Std. Dev 17 1.44%+1 Std. Dev 171 14.53%-1 Std. Dev 215 18.27%-2 Std. Dev 2 0.17%Current: -0.44 std dev

Source: Bloomberg

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-30.00%

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Philadelphia Gold & Silver Index (XAU)

Invest cash

Raise cash

Raise cash

Philadelphia Gold & Silver Index (XAU) 3-Year sigma as of 6/14/06

Probability Graph: # of occurrences % of occurrences+ 2 Std. Dev 29 2.22%+1 Std. Dev 187 14.31%-1 Std. Dev 204 15.61%-2 Std. Dev 23 1.76%Current: -0.38 std dev

Source: Bloomberg

Raise cash

Invest cashInvest cash

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-60.00%-40.00%-20.00%

0.00%20.00%40.00%60.00%

80.00%100.00%

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World Precious Minerals Fund (UNWPX)

Invest cash

Raise cashRaise cash

World Precious Minerals Fund 5-Year sigma as of 6/14/06

Probability Graph: # of occurrences % of occurrences+ 2 Std. Dev 10 0.77%+1 Std. Dev 219 16.76%-1 Std. Dev 176 13.47%-2 Std. Dev 11 0.84%Current: -0.23 std dev

Source: Bloomberg

Raise cash

Invest cashInvest cashInvest cash

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-60 .00%

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Gold Shares Fund (USERX)

Invest cash

Raise cashRaise cash

Gold Shares Fund 5-Year sigma as of 6/14/06

Probability Graph: # of occurrences % of occurrences+ 2 Std. Dev 14 1.07%+1 Std. Dev 199 15.23%-1 Std. Dev 202 15.46%-2 Std. Dev 14 1.07%Current: -0.01 std dev

Source: Bloomberg

Raise cash

Invest cashInvest cashInvest cash

28www.usfunds.com

Sentiment (Panic/Euphoria Model )SM

The Panic/Euphoria Model fell further into panic territory the week of 6/16/06.

Previous panic readings argue for significant market gains in the next six months with better than 90% historical probability.

The Panic/Euphoria reading the week of 6/16/06 was -0.63. Source: Citigroup Investment Research – U.S. Equity Strategy

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-30 .0 0%-25 .0 0%-20 .0 0%-15 .0 0%-10 .0 0%

-5 .0 0%0 .0 0%5 .0 0%

10 .0 0%15 .0 0%20 .0 0%25 .0 0%

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All American Equity Fund (GBTFX)

Invest cash

Raise cashRaise cash

All American Equity Fund 5-Year sigma as of 6/14/06

Probability Graph: # of occurrences % of occurrences+ 2 Std. Dev 5 0.38%+1 Std. Dev 201 15.38%-1 Std. Dev 118 9.03%-2 Std. Dev 55 4.21%Current: -0.83 std dev

Source: Bloomberg

Raise cash

Invest cashInvest cash

Invest cash

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-30.00%-25.00%-20.00%-15.00%-10.00%-5.00%0.00%5.00%

10.00%15.00%20.00%25.00%

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Holmes Growth Fund (ACBGX)

Invest cash

Raise cashRaise cash

Holmes Growth Fund 5-Year sigma as of 6/14/06

Probability Graph: # of occurrences % of occurrences+ 2 Std. Dev 3 0.23%+1 Std. Dev 188 14.38%-1 Std. Dev 106 8.11%-2 Std. Dev 46 3.52%Current: -0.78 std dev

Source: Bloomberg

Raise cash

Invest cashInvest cashInvest cash

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Fund Sigma (Standard Deviation)

6.89%4.18%2.05%S&P 500 Index

17.79%9.96%4.77%Amex Gold BUGS Index (HUI)

7.30%4.47%2.04%All American Equity Fund (GBTFX)

7.60%4.38%2.23%Holmes Growth Fund (ACBGX)

11.30%5.54%2.35%China Region Opportunity Fund (USCOX)

10.18%6.13%2.75%Eastern European Fund (EUROX)

13.15%6.96%2.80%Global Resources Fund (PSPFX)

19.81%10.16%4.19%World Precious Minerals Fund (UNWPX)

19.15%10.16%4.46%Gold Shares Fund (USERX)

QuarterlyMonthlyWeeklyFund

Magnitude for 1 standard deviation (1 sigma*) as of 6/14/06

* Sigma is the Greek notation for standard deviation. Normally distributed random data series fall within +1 sigma from the mean around 68% of the time.

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Suggestions To Manage Risk

1. Limit risk exposure to specific asset class.ie: Resources 25% International 25%

2. Use dollar cost averaging model to build a position in any fund or asset class.

3. Rebalance different asset classes annually or quarterly.

Naturally, a program of regular investing doesn’t assure a profit or protect against loss in a declining market. You should evaluate your ability to continue in such a program in view of the possibility that you may have to redeem fund shares in periods of declining share prices as well as in periods of rising prices.

Further, by diversifying into different asset classes as suggested by Roger Gibson and rebalancing annually, investors increase their mathematical odds to capture the power of “mean reversion” and manage the emotions of fear and greed better.

Diversification does not protect an investor from market risks and does not assure a profit.

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Asset Allocation

25% - Fixed Income

25% - Domestic Equities

25% - International

25% - Resources (Hard Assets)

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Dollar Cost Averaging

StableVolatile

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Four Asset Classes

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Significant Slowdown Coming2 Yrs Ago Latest

Oil $37 $7010-Year Bond 4.74% 5.13%Fed Funds 1.00% 5.00%Yield Curve 374 bp 13 bpCentral Bank Tightenings* 20 83NAHB Housing Index 68 43 (e)Federal Deficit** -$459 b -$182 bReal DPI Y/Y % (Disposable Personal Income) 2.7% 1.3% (e)Real MZM Y/Y % 1.7% 0.5% (e)Leading Indicators Y/Y% 8.0% 1.9% (e)

Source: ISI Group* Global 12 Month Sum ** 6 Month SAAR

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Will It Be Different This Time?

Fed Tightening Cycle Financial Crisis1970 Penn Central1974 Franklin National1980 First Penn / Latin America1984 Continental Illinois1987 Black Monday1990 S&L Crisis1994 Mexico1997 Pacific Rim/Russia/LTCM2000 Nasdaq Collapse2006 ?

Every tightening cycle in the past has been associated with a financial crisis.

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Reasons for Secular Bull Market in Commodities

Demand Drivers:1. Global “synchronicity” of economies2. Asia’s strong GDP & IP growth rate

Supply Drivers (Restrictions):1. Higher barriers to entry due to global environmental and governmental regulations2. Long lead time from exploration to production3. Geopolitical events

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Bull Market Risks

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DisclosureFor more complete information about the

Eastern European Fund (EUROX), China Region Opportunity Fund (USCOX), Global Emerging Markets Fund (GEMFX), Global Resources Fund (PSPFX),

Gold Shares Fund (USERX), World Precious Minerals Fund (UNWPX)or any U.S. Global fund, including charges and expenses, obtain a funds prospectus by

visiting us at www.usfunds.com or call 1-800-US-FUNDS (1-800-873-8637). Please consider carefully the fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. Read it carefully

before investing. Distributed by U.S. Global Brokerage, Inc. An investment in a money market fund is neither insured nor guaranteed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation or any other government agency. Although the fund seeks to preserve the value of your investment

at $1.00 per share, it is possible to lose money by investing in the fund.All opinions and estimates in this report constitutes U.S. Global Investors’ judgment as of the date of this report and are subject to change without

notice and provided in good faith, fairness and reasonableness but without legal responsibility. Foreign and emerging market investing involves special risks such as currency fluctuation and less public disclosure, as well as economic and political risk. Gold funds may be susceptible to adverse

economic, political or regulatory developments due to concentrating in a single theme. The price of gold is subject to substantial price fluctuations over short periods of time and may be affected by unpredicted international monetary and political policies. We suggest investing no more than 3% to 5% of your portfolio in gold or gold stocks. The S&P 500 Stock Index is a widely recognized capitalization-weighted index of 500 common stock prices in U.S.

companies. NAHB Housing Index is an indicator of market conditions from the perspective of builders, and has shown to correlate with current and future housing starts. The Nasdaq Composite Index is a capitalization-weighted index of all Nasdaq National Market and SmallCap stocks. The AMEX Gold Bugs Index (HUI) is a modified equal-dollar weighted index of companies involved in major gold mining. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index is a

free float-adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure equity market performance in the global emerging markets. The Philadelphia Stock Exchange Gold and Silver Index (XAU) is a capitalization-weighted index that includes the leading companies involved in the

mining of gold and silver. Tax-exempt Income is federal income tax free. A portion of this income may be subject to state and local income taxes, and if applicable, may subject certain investors to the Alternative Minimum Tax as well. Bond funds are subject to interest-rate risk; their value declines as

interest rates rise. A program of regular investing doesn’t assure a profit or protect against loss in a declining market. You should evaluate your ability to continue in such a program in view of the possibility that you may have to redeem fund shares in periods of declining share prices as well as in

periods of rising prices. Investing in small- and mid-cap stocks may be more risky and more volatile than investing in large-cap stocks. Holdings as a percentage of net assets as of 3/31/06: Pen Central (0.00%); Franklin National (0.00%); First Penn (0.00%); Continental Illinois (0.00%); Morgan

Stanley India Investment Fund (0.00%)