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ASSESSING THE EVOLUTION AND OPPORTUNITIES OF PASTA AROUND THE WORLD WORLD PASTA DAY AND CONGRESS 2016, MOSCOW JACK SKELLY, FOOD ANALYST

ASSESSING THE EVOLUTION AND OPPORTUNITIES OF PASTA … · assessing the evolution and opportunities of pasta around the world world pasta day and congress 2016, moscow jack skelly,

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Page 1: ASSESSING THE EVOLUTION AND OPPORTUNITIES OF PASTA … · assessing the evolution and opportunities of pasta around the world world pasta day and congress 2016, moscow jack skelly,

ASSESSINGTHEEVOLUTIONANDOPPORTUNITIESOFPASTAAROUNDTHEWORLDWORLDPASTADAYANDCONGRESS2016,MOSCOW

JACKSKELLY,FOODANALYST

Page 2: ASSESSING THE EVOLUTION AND OPPORTUNITIES OF PASTA … · assessing the evolution and opportunities of pasta around the world world pasta day and congress 2016, moscow jack skelly,

INTRODUCTION

MARKETSUMMARY

OPPORTUNITIESINPASTA

CONCLUSIONS

Page 3: ASSESSING THE EVOLUTION AND OPPORTUNITIES OF PASTA … · assessing the evolution and opportunities of pasta around the world world pasta day and congress 2016, moscow jack skelly,

©Euromonitor International

3

TheWorldofPasta:QualifiedOptimismfortheFutureASSESSINGTHEGROCERYBASKET

AGlobalDish

Numerousgrowthopportunitiesworldwide

Roomforinnovation

Page 4: ASSESSING THE EVOLUTION AND OPPORTUNITIES OF PASTA … · assessing the evolution and opportunities of pasta around the world world pasta day and congress 2016, moscow jack skelly,

©Euromonitor International

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Pasta:AGlobalFoodASSESSINGTHEEVOLUTIONANDOPPORTUNITIESOFPASTAAROUNDTHEWORLD

US$23billionSPENTONPASTAIN2016

13milliontonnesOFPASTACONSUMEDIN2016

1%ANNUALGROWTH,2011-2016

Page 5: ASSESSING THE EVOLUTION AND OPPORTUNITIES OF PASTA … · assessing the evolution and opportunities of pasta around the world world pasta day and congress 2016, moscow jack skelly,

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VolumesaleshaveperformedsteadilyASSESSINGTHEEVOLUTIONANDOPPORTUNITIESOFPASTAAROUNDTHEWORLD

2%VOLUMEANDVALUEANNUALGROWTH,2016-2021

Page 6: ASSESSING THE EVOLUTION AND OPPORTUNITIES OF PASTA … · assessing the evolution and opportunities of pasta around the world world pasta day and congress 2016, moscow jack skelly,

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Russia:TheSecondLargestPastaMarketintheWorldASSESSINGTHEEVOLUTIONANDOPPORTUNITIESOFPASTAAROUNDTHEWORLD

Increasedconsumptionofpasta

Domesticproduction

73%ofallstaplesalesspentonpasta

Page 7: ASSESSING THE EVOLUTION AND OPPORTUNITIES OF PASTA … · assessing the evolution and opportunities of pasta around the world world pasta day and congress 2016, moscow jack skelly,

INTRODUCTION

MARKETSUMMARY

OPPORTUNITIESINPASTA

CONCLUSIONS

Page 8: ASSESSING THE EVOLUTION AND OPPORTUNITIES OF PASTA … · assessing the evolution and opportunities of pasta around the world world pasta day and congress 2016, moscow jack skelly,

©Euromonitor International

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ValuegrowthwillbetheaimofthegameinsaturatedmarketsASSESSINGTHEEVOLUTIONANDOPPORTUNITIESOFPASTAAROUNDTHEWORLD

4.7millionTonnesOFPASTAVOLUMESALES

40%OFGLOBALPASTAVOLUMESALES

<1%ANNUALGROWTH,2011-2016

Page 9: ASSESSING THE EVOLUTION AND OPPORTUNITIES OF PASTA … · assessing the evolution and opportunities of pasta around the world world pasta day and congress 2016, moscow jack skelly,

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ButmanypossibilitiesexistforpastaworldwideASSESSINGTHEEVOLUTIONANDOPPORTUNITIESOFPASTAAROUNDTHEWORLD

6.9millionTonnesOFPASTAVOLUMESALES

6millionTonnesUNMETMARKETPOTENTIAL(EXCL.CHINA+INDIA)

>2%ANNUALGROWTH,2011-2016

Page 10: ASSESSING THE EVOLUTION AND OPPORTUNITIES OF PASTA … · assessing the evolution and opportunities of pasta around the world world pasta day and congress 2016, moscow jack skelly,

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ThepolarisationofconsumptionhabitsallowsgrowthforpastaASSESSINGTHEEVOLUTIONANDOPPORTUNITIESOFPASTAAROUNDTHEWORLD

Difficulties• Declineofsetmealtimes

• Increasein“snacking”• Moreadventurouspalates

Opportunities• Popularityofscratchcooking

• Desirefortransparencyinfoodpurchases

• Perimetershopping

Page 11: ASSESSING THE EVOLUTION AND OPPORTUNITIES OF PASTA … · assessing the evolution and opportunities of pasta around the world world pasta day and congress 2016, moscow jack skelly,

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HowcanPastaappealtoconsumersonhealthgrounds?ASSESSINGTHEEVOLUTIONANDOPPORTUNITIESOFPASTAAROUNDTHEWORLD

FreshMeat

FreshDairy

OtherDeliFood

FreshlyBakedGoods

FreshFruit&

Vegetab

les

Dairy

ProcessedMeat&

Seafoo

d

Stap

les

Sauces,D

ressings&

Cond

imen

ts

Biscuits,Sweet&

Savou

rySna

cks,

Confectio

nery

BakedGo

ods

Frozen

Foo

d

IceCream

Oils&Fats

ReadyMeals

Soup

BabyFoodNonFoods

StoreEn

tran

ce

Checkouts Checkouts Checkouts Checkouts

The Perimeter Shop Scratch & Semi-Scratch Cooking

Page 12: ASSESSING THE EVOLUTION AND OPPORTUNITIES OF PASTA … · assessing the evolution and opportunities of pasta around the world world pasta day and congress 2016, moscow jack skelly,

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E-commerce:Apotentialnewavenueforgrowth?ASSESSINGTHEEVOLUTIONANDOPPORTUNITIESOFPASTAAROUNDTHEWORLD

US$181billionOfe-commercegrocerysalesby2019

Page 13: ASSESSING THE EVOLUTION AND OPPORTUNITIES OF PASTA … · assessing the evolution and opportunities of pasta around the world world pasta day and congress 2016, moscow jack skelly,

INTRODUCTION

MARKETSUMMARY

OPPORTUNITIESINPASTA

OUTLOOK

Page 14: ASSESSING THE EVOLUTION AND OPPORTUNITIES OF PASTA … · assessing the evolution and opportunities of pasta around the world world pasta day and congress 2016, moscow jack skelly,

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VolumeForecast:OptimismaroundtheworldforPasta’sgrowthASSESSINGTHEEVOLUTIONANDOPPORTUNITIESOFPASTAAROUNDTHEWORLD

1.4millionTonnesOFADDITIONALPASTAVOLUMESALESBETWEEN2016AND2021

52%OFGLOBALPASTAVOLUMESALESWILLCOMEFROMMARKETSOUTSIDETOP10

2%ANNUALGROWTH,2016-2021

10000

11000

12000

13000

14000

15000

16000

ForecastVolumeGrowth:ContributionsofTop10PastaConsumers,2016-2021('000tonnes)

Volu

me

Sale

s (‘0

00 T

onne

s) 2

016

Page 15: ASSESSING THE EVOLUTION AND OPPORTUNITIES OF PASTA … · assessing the evolution and opportunities of pasta around the world world pasta day and congress 2016, moscow jack skelly,

THANKYOUFORLISTENINGJack SkellyFood [email protected]: Jack Skelly