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Global market review of OE gearbox clutches – forecasts to 2011 2005 edition 3rd edition

Automotive Industry News & Analysis | Market …...automated manual transmission (AMT). Our product fitment forecasts in Our product fitment forecasts in chapter two extends to xxxx,

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Page 1: Automotive Industry News & Analysis | Market …...automated manual transmission (AMT). Our product fitment forecasts in Our product fitment forecasts in chapter two extends to xxxx,

Global market review of OE gearbox clutches –

forecasts to 2011

2005 edition

3rd edition

Page 2: Automotive Industry News & Analysis | Market …...automated manual transmission (AMT). Our product fitment forecasts in Our product fitment forecasts in chapter two extends to xxxx,

Page i

Global market review of OE gearbox clutches – forecasts to 2011 3rd edition by Matthew Beecham

October 2005

Published by

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Page 3: Automotive Industry News & Analysis | Market …...automated manual transmission (AMT). Our product fitment forecasts in Our product fitment forecasts in chapter two extends to xxxx,

Page ii

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Copyright statement

© 2005 All content copyright Aroq Limited. All rights reserved.

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Page 4: Automotive Industry News & Analysis | Market …...automated manual transmission (AMT). Our product fitment forecasts in Our product fitment forecasts in chapter two extends to xxxx,

Page iii

Table of contents

Single-user licence edition............................................................................................................. ii Copyright statement .................................................................................................................. ii

Table of contents ........................................................................................................................... iii

List of tables .................................................................................................................................... v

List of figures ................................................................................................................................. vi

just-auto.com’s research portfolio .............................................................................................. vii Incredible ROI for your budget – single and multi-user licences..............................................vii

just-auto.com membership ......................................................................................................... viii

Chapter 1 Introduction.................................................................................................................... 1 Clutch systems take centre stage ............................................................................................. 1 Report coverage........................................................................................................................ 1

Chapter 2 The market ..................................................................................................................... 2 Market players........................................................................................................................... 2

LuK ................................................................................................................................... 2 Valeo ................................................................................................................................ 3 ZF Sachs .......................................................................................................................... 3

Market shares ........................................................................................................................... 3 Market forecasts........................................................................................................................ 5 Capital investments................................................................................................................. 10

Toyota............................................................................................................................. 10 Renault/Nissan ............................................................................................................... 11 Maruti.............................................................................................................................. 11 Ricardo ........................................................................................................................... 11

Chapter 3 Technical review.......................................................................................................... 12 Defining the elements ............................................................................................................. 12 Tomorrow’s gearboxes............................................................................................................ 16 CVTs ....................................................................................................................................... 17 Dual clutch transmission ......................................................................................................... 19 Motorsport innovations............................................................................................................ 26 New types of clutches and transmissions ............................................................................... 26

Chapter 4 Manufacturers.............................................................................................................. 30 Aisin Seiki................................................................................................................................ 30 Exedy ...................................................................................................................................... 31 FCC Co Ltd ............................................................................................................................. 34

Motorcycle clutches ........................................................................................................ 35

Page 5: Automotive Industry News & Analysis | Market …...automated manual transmission (AMT). Our product fitment forecasts in Our product fitment forecasts in chapter two extends to xxxx,

Page iv

Vehicle clutches.............................................................................................................. 35 LuK.......................................................................................................................................... 37 Valeo ....................................................................................................................................... 38 ZF Sachs................................................................................................................................. 41

Online sources of information ..................................................................................................... 46 Free email newsletters ............................................................................................................ 46 Other research reports ............................................................................................................ 46 Global news and feature articles............................................................................................. 46 Search the web ....................................................................................................................... 46

Your feedback ............................................................................................................................... 47

Page 6: Automotive Industry News & Analysis | Market …...automated manual transmission (AMT). Our product fitment forecasts in Our product fitment forecasts in chapter two extends to xxxx,

Page v

List of tables

Table 1: Manual transmission markets – percentage of fitment and numbers of units (‘000s) in

Western Europe, NAFTA, Eastern Europe, Asia, Japan, Mercosur, Other, 2000-

2005............................................................................................................................ 5

Table 2: Manual transmission markets – percentage of fitment and numbers of units (‘000s) in

Western Europe, NAFTA, Eastern Europe, Asia, Japan, Mercosur, Other, 2006-

2011............................................................................................................................ 6

Table 3: Manual gearbox OE clutch market values, Western Europe, NAFTA, Eastern Europe,

Asia, Japan, Mercosur, other regions, 2000-2011 (€’000) ......................................... 8

Table 4: Automated manual transmission markets (including twin-clutch) – Percentage of fitment

and numbers of units (‘000s) in Europe, NAFTA and Japan, 2000-2011................... 9

Table 5: Predicted market values of automated manual transmissions (including twin clutches),

Europe, NAFTA and Japan, 2000-2011 (€’000) ....................................................... 10

Table 6: Exedy Corporation’s sales by operating division, 2004-2005 (% of net sales) ................ 31

Table 7: Exedy Corporation’s sales by geographical region, 2004-2005 (% of net sales)............. 32

Table 8: Exedy Corporation’s overseas network............................................................................ 32

Table 9: FCC Co Ltd’s sales by product group, 2003-2005 (% of total sales) ............................... 36

Table 10: LuK’s clutch-related businesses worldwide.................................................................... 37

Table 11: Valeo Transmissions’ facilities worldwide ...................................................................... 39

Table 12: ZF Friedrichshafen’s key data, 2004.............................................................................. 43

Table 13: ZF Sachs’ key data, 2004 .............................................................................................. 44

Table 14: ZF Sachs’ selected key powertrain business production figures (Units)........................ 44

Page 7: Automotive Industry News & Analysis | Market …...automated manual transmission (AMT). Our product fitment forecasts in Our product fitment forecasts in chapter two extends to xxxx,

Page vi

List of figures

Figure 1: European clutch market shares for passenger cars and light commercial vehicles, 2004

(% of volume).............................................................................................................. 4

Figure 2: ZF Sachs’ 7 DCT 50 ....................................................................................................... 18

Figure 3: Q&A with BorgWarner..................................................................................................... 20

Figure 4: Q&A with LuK GmbH ...................................................................................................... 22

Figure 5: Q&A with Continental Automotive Systems.................................................................... 24

Page 8: Automotive Industry News & Analysis | Market …...automated manual transmission (AMT). Our product fitment forecasts in Our product fitment forecasts in chapter two extends to xxxx,

Page vii

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Page 9: Automotive Industry News & Analysis | Market …...automated manual transmission (AMT). Our product fitment forecasts in Our product fitment forecasts in chapter two extends to xxxx,

Page viii

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Page 10: Automotive Industry News & Analysis | Market …...automated manual transmission (AMT). Our product fitment forecasts in Our product fitment forecasts in chapter two extends to xxxx,

Chapter 1 Introduction

Chapter 1 Introduction

Page 1

Clutch systems take centre stage

Of the three main vehicle markets of the developed world, Europe remains

unique in that nearly xx% of passenger cars are sold with manual

transmission. Europe’s sceptical consumers, however, may be persuaded to

embrace new technologies such as the dual-clutch transmission pioneered by

Volkswagen Group.

Although automatic transmissions are gaining a greater market share,

especially in northern Europe, consumer resistance remains strong. Motorists

with an interest in performance prefer changing gear for themselves, while

those more concerned with economy still believe that – quite apart from their

extra cost – automatic transmissions deliver inferior economy.

Emerging technologies include automatic clutches and electric manual

transmissions. Research into these technologies is particularly advanced in

Europe and Japan.

Report coverage

In this third edition reviewing the key market drivers for OE vehicle gearbox

clutches, just-auto updates the analysis of the impact of the ‘alternative’

transmissions types, such as belt-and-pulley continuously variable

transmission (CVT), the roller-in-toroid infinitely variable transmission and the

automated manual transmission (AMT). Our product fitment forecasts in

chapter two extends to xxxx, determi ning the market (by volume and value)

worldwide (and by major car-producing region) for manual transmissions and

AMTs. Chapter three reviews the technical advances in clutches, defining the

parts that make up the clutch itself as well as what we can expect to see in

tomorrow’s cars. This chapter includes exclusive interviews with BorgWarner,

Continental Automotive Systems and LuK. Chapter four provides brief profiles

of the major clutch manufacturers, namely, Aisin Seiki Exedy, FCC, LuK, Valeo

and ZF Sachs.

Page 11: Automotive Industry News & Analysis | Market …...automated manual transmission (AMT). Our product fitment forecasts in Our product fitment forecasts in chapter two extends to xxxx,

Chapter 2 The market

Chapter 2 The market

Page 2

Market players

The three main manufacturers of clutches for passenger cars and light

vehicles are LuK, Valeo and ZF Sachs.

LuK Headquartered in Bűhl, Germany, LuK’s clutch business employs 8,500 people

at 19 production sites in Germany, France, Brazil, UK, India, Korea, Mexico,

South Africa, Hungary and the US. In 2006, LuK will open its first production

site in China.

The company manufactures clutches, dual mass flywheels, hydraulic systems

and transmission parts. Its most recent innovations include components for

CVTs and AMTs. The company produces over xxm clutches annually for

passenger cars and tractors. In addition, the company produces some 3m

lock-up clutches and nearly xm dual mass flywheels for the OE and

aftermarket. This business generated sales of €x.xbn in 2004. LuK claims that

one in four cars worldwide is fitted with a LuK clutch as original equipment. As

far as the OE market for clutches for passenger cars in North America market

is concerned, a spokeswoman for the company told just-auto: “LuK is [the]

clear market leader in the comparably small segment of clutches for manual

transmission applications.”

LuK is relatively unknown, considering its products feature in one in four cars

built worldwide. However, the company has an interesting portfolio of products.

Its key transmission technologies include ECM (electronic clutch management,

which dispenses with the clutch pedal), ASG (autoshift gearbox, which

automates the gear shifting process) and USG (uninterrupted shift gearbox,

where an extra clutch partially fills the torque interruption during a shift). It has

also developed the ESG (electrical shift gearbox) in which a starter/generator

is coupled in parallel with one of the two input shafts. The PSG concept

(similar to Volkswagen’s DSG) is of particular importance to LuK.

Page 12: Automotive Industry News & Analysis | Market …...automated manual transmission (AMT). Our product fitment forecasts in Our product fitment forecasts in chapter two extends to xxxx,

Chapter 3 Technical review

Chapter 3 Technical review

Page 12

Defining the elements

Transmissions generally fall into one of two camps:

○ Manually-shifted transmissions with spur gears in a countershaft

arrangement.

○ Load-actuated automatic transmissions with planetary-gear sets.

According to Bosch, the basic elements of the manually-shifted transmission

are:

○ Single or multiplate dry clutch for interrupting and engaging the power flow;

actuation may be power-assisted to deal with high operating forces.

○ Variable-ratio gear transmission unit featuring permanent-mesh gears in

one of several individual assemblies.

○ Shift mechanism with shift lever.

A friction clutch consists of a pressure plate, a clutch disk – featuring bonded

or riveted friction surfaces – and the second friction surface represented by the

engine-mounted flywheel. The flywheel and pressure plate provide the thermal

absorption required for friction operation of the clutch; flywheel and pressure

plate are connected directly to the engine, while the clutch disk is mounted on

the transmission’s input shaft.

The pressure plate is basically the pressure mechanism that clamps the disc to

the flywheel to get the vehicle moving. Pressing in the pedal relieves the

pressure from the clutch disc to disengage the engine from the drivetrain for

shifting or stopping.

The clutch disc is the central connecting element of the clutch. Together with

the pressure plate, it disengages and engages the engine from and with the

drivetrain. The clutch disc transfers engine torque to the transmission input

shaft. The clutch disc is a flat plate with friction materials on both sides. As the

pressure plate is engaged (pedal let out), the clutch disc is clamped to the

flywheel. When the pressure plate is disengaged, (pedal pushed in) the clutch

Page 13: Automotive Industry News & Analysis | Market …...automated manual transmission (AMT). Our product fitment forecasts in Our product fitment forecasts in chapter two extends to xxxx,

Chapter 4 Manufacturers

Chapter 4 Manufacturers

Page 30

Aisin Seiki

Aisin Seiki is one of the leading manufacturers in terms of clutch sales,

although it is still mainly concerned with the Asian market. Its drivetrain

products group designs and produces automatic transmission; manual

transmissions; automated manual transmissions; continuously variable

transmission; clutch cover and discs. More specifically, its clutch products

include:

○ Clutch covers

○ Clutch discs (torsion rubber type)

○ Clutch discs (coil spring type)

○ Clutch disc (variable hysteresis type)

○ Flywheel with torsional damper

○ Torque converter

In Japan, Aisin produces clutch covers, discs and automatic transmissions at

its Ogawa plant, in Anjo prefecture. Aisin also produces and sells clutches at

the following sites:

○ Aisin (Australia) Pty Ltd – production of door latches and sales of clutches

and domestic sewing machines

○ PT Aisin Indonesia – clutch covers and other drivetrain related

components, door latches and other body related components, intake

manifolds and other engine related components

○ Liberty Mexicana SA de CV – production of water pumps and rebuilding of

clutch covers

○ Aisin Asia Pte Ltd, Singapore – sales of clutches for the aftermarket and

domestic sewing machines

Aisin’s strategic alliance with clutch maker, Exedy aims to provide a worldwide

network of drivetrain related products in North America and Asia. Aisin has a

xx.x% equity stake in Exedy, making it the company’s main shareholder. The

partners are using each other’s manufacturing facilities in North America to

increase local content and become more competitive.

Page 14: Automotive Industry News & Analysis | Market …...automated manual transmission (AMT). Our product fitment forecasts in Our product fitment forecasts in chapter two extends to xxxx,

Online sources of information Page 46

Online sources of information

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Page 15: Automotive Industry News & Analysis | Market …...automated manual transmission (AMT). Our product fitment forecasts in Our product fitment forecasts in chapter two extends to xxxx,

Your feedback Page 47

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