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Azores Green Islands: Maximizing Azores Green Islands: Maximizing Renewable Electricity in São Miguel Renewable Electricity in São Miguel MIT MIT-Portugal Green Islands Project Portugal Green Islands Project A. A. Pina Pina, IST , IST E. E. Spang Spang, MIT , MIT C. Silva, IST C. Silva, IST S. Connors, MIT S. Connors, MIT Electricity production • 53.2% Fuel • 41.4% Geothermal • 5.4% Hydro Primary energy consumption The Azores are highly dependent on fossil fuel imports, but the abundant natural resources they possess allow envisioning a more energy sustainable and independent system. The main goal of this work is to model and design scenarios that: • Enable high penetrations of renewable energy in electricity production; • Enable the increase the share of renewables in primary energy; • Allow the decrease of overall fossil fuel consumption. HOW? Introduction Geo (MW) Hydro (MW) Wind (MW) Biomass (MW) Storage (MW) Elect. GR (%) Energy GR (%) Domestic Gains EVs BAU 37 5 9 4 5 MPPRen 47 9 9 10 15 4 5 MPPRenDom 47 9 9 10 15 4 5 MPPRenAll 47 9 9 10 15 2 1 MPPRenAllEV 47 9 9 10 15 2 1 Primary energy consumption • 86.6% Oil products • 6.6% Butane • 6.1% Renewables The modeling was performed with TIMES, which is an optimization tool for the design of energy systems. The model being built aims to include: High temporal resoultion High detail on resource availability High disaggregation of energy demand High detail on demand dynamics and savings Methodology and Scenarios Results and Conclusions 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 GWh Electricity Production Biomass Wind Hydro 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 TJ Primary Energy Consumption Renewables Gasoline Asphalt Butane Azores Government targets (2018) • 50% electricity in energy consumption • 75% renewable electricity 40% renewable energy •These scenarios show that the introduction of renewables and storage systems can help increase renewable energy penetration in the short term. On the long term, however, the high consumption growth rates have a large impact and reduce the penetration of renewables. BAU MPPRen •These scenarios incorporate energy efficiency measures, showing better results. It becomes clear that it is crucial to understand energy consumption and possible efficiency gains. MPPRenDom MPPRenAll •The last scenario shows how the introduction of electric vehicles can help reduce primary energy consumption. While there is a shift from the consumption of regular transportation fuels to Fuel Oil consumption for electricity production, there is an increase in efficiency which allows a larger penetration of renewables in terms of primary energy consumption. MPPRenAllEV References: 1. EDA Statistical Information Report, December 2007; 2. DGEG Fuel consumption statistics 2006; 3. R. Loulou, U. Remme, A. Kanudia, A. Lehtila, G. Goldstein, “ETSAP-TIAM: the TIMES integrated assessment model Part I: Model structure”, Springer, February 2007; 4. F. Amorim, B. Palmintier, A. Pina, “Azores Green Islands: Looking at Demand”, AGS 2009. 0 100 Current BAU MPPRen MPPRenDom MPPRenAll MPPRenAllEV BAU MPPRen MPPRenDom MPPRenAll MPPRenAllEV 2007 2013 2018 Geothermal Fuel 0 2000 Current BAU MPPRen MPPRenDom MPPRenAll MPPRenAllEV BAU MPPRen MPPRenDom MPPRenAll MPPRenAllEV 2007 2013 2018 Butane Diesel Fuel 40% renewable energy consumption (primary) Althought the scenarios developed show how renewable energy penetration can increase significantly, they do not meet the goals set by the Azores Government. Furthermore, future work will include broader economics and sustainability metrics to better determine the impact of the scenarios designed. This work will also expand to include more resource and demand dynamics.

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Page 1: Azores Green Islands: Maximizing A. A. PinaPina, IST, IST ... 4.pdf · consumption and possible efficiency gains. MPPRenDom MPPRenAll •The last scenario shows how the introduction

Azores Green Islands: Maximizing Azores Green Islands: Maximizing Renewable Electricity in São MiguelRenewable Electricity in São Miguel

MITMIT--Portugal Green Islands ProjectPortugal Green Islands Project

A. A. PinaPina, IST, ISTE. E. SpangSpang, MIT, MITC. Silva, ISTC. Silva, IST

S. Connors, MITS. Connors, MIT

Electricity production

• 53.2% Fuel

• 41.4% Geothermal

• 5.4% Hydro

Primary energy consumption

The Azores are highly dependent on fossil fuel imports, but the abundant natural resources they possess allow envisioning a more energy sustainable

and independent system. The main goal of this work is to model and design scenarios that:

• Enable high penetrations of renewable energy in electricity production;

• Enable the increase the share of renewables in primary energy;

• Allow the decrease of overall fossil fuel consumption.

HOW?

Introduction

Geo(MW)

Hydro(MW)

Wind(MW)

Biomass(MW)

Storage(MW)

Elect. GR(%)

Energy GR(%)

DomesticGains

EVs

BAU 37 5 9 4 5

MPPRen 47 9 9 10 15 4 5

MPPRenDom 47 9 9 10 15 4 5 ����

MPPRenAll 47 9 9 10 15 2 1 ����

MPPRenAllEV 47 9 9 10 15 2 1���� ����

Primary energy consumption

• 86.6% Oil products

• 6.6% Butane

• 6.1% Renewables

The modeling was performed with TIMES, which is an optimization

tool for the design of energy systems.

The model being built aims to include:

High temporal

resoultion

High detail on

resource

availability

High

disaggregation

of energy

demand

High detail on

demand

dynamics and

savings

Methodology and Scenarios

Results and Conclusions

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

GW

h

Electricity Production

Biomass

Wind

Hydro 4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

TJ

Primary Energy Consumption

Renewables

Gasoline

Asphalt

Butane

Azores Government targets

(2018)

• 50% electricity in energy

consumption

• 75% renewable electricity

• 40% renewable energy

• These scenarios show that the introduction of renewables and storage systems can help increase renewable energy penetration in the

short term. On the long term, however, the high consumption growth rates have a large impact and reduce the penetration of renewables.

BAU

MPPRen

• These scenarios incorporate energy efficiency measures, showing better results. It becomes clear that it is crucial to understand energy

consumption and possible efficiency gains.

MPPRenDom

MPPRenAll

• The last scenario shows how the introduction of electric vehicles can help reduce primary energy consumption. While there is a shift from

the consumption of regular transportation fuels to Fuel Oil consumption for electricity production, there is an increase in efficiency which

allows a larger penetration of renewables in terms of primary energy consumption.MPPRenAllEV

References: 1. EDA Statistical Information Report, December 2007; 2. DGEG Fuel consumption statistics 2006; 3. R. Loulou, U. Remme, A. Kanudia, A. Lehtila, G. Goldstein, “ETSAP-TIAM: the TIMES integrated assessment model Part I: Model structure”, Springer, February 2007; 4. F. Amorim, B. Palmintier, A. Pina, “Azores Green Islands: Looking at Demand”, AGS 2009.

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2007 2013 2018

Hydro

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2007 2013 2018

Butane

Diesel

Fuel

• 40% renewable energy

consumption (primary)

Althought the scenarios developed show how renewable energy penetration can increase significantly, they do not meet the goals set by the Azores

Government. Furthermore, future work will include broader economics and sustainability metrics to better determine the impact of the scenarios

designed. This work will also expand to include more resource and demand dynamics.