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Barclays CEO Energy Conference
SEPTEMBER 4, 2018
Cautionary Statement
This presentation includes "forward-looking statements". Such forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond AR’s control. All statements, except for statements of historical fact, made in this release regarding activities, events or developments AR expects, believes or anticipates will or may occur in the future, such as those regarding future commodity prices, future production targets, completion of natural gas or natural gas liquids transportation projects, future earnings, Consolidated Adjusted EBITDAX, Stand-Alone E&P Adjusted EBITDAX, Consolidated Adjusted Operating Cash Flow, Stand-Alone Adjusted Operating Cash Flow, Free Cash Flow, future capital spending plans, improved and/or increasing capital efficiency, continued utilization of existing infrastructure, gas marketability, estimated realized natural gas, natural gas liquids and oil prices, acreage quality, access to multiple gas markets, expected drilling and development plans (including the number, type, lateral length and location of wells to be drilled, the number and type of drilling rigs and the number of wells per pad), projected well costs, future financial position, future technical improvements and future marketing opportunities, are forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this release. Although Antero believes that the plans, intentions and expectations reflected in or suggested by the forward-looking statements are reasonable, there is no assurance that these plans, intentions or expectations will be achieved. Therefore, actual outcomes and results could materially differ from what is expressed, implied or forecast in such statements.
AR cautions you that these forward-looking statements are subject to all of the risks and uncertainties, most of which are difficult to predict and many of which are beyond the AR’s control, incident to the exploration for and development, production, gathering and sale of natural gas, NGLs and oil. These risks include, but are not limited to, commodity price volatility, inflation, lack of availability of drilling and production equipment and services, environmental risks, drilling and other operating risks, regulatory changes, the uncertainty inherent in estimating natural gas and oil reserves and in projecting future rates of production, cash flow and access to capital, the timing of development expenditures, and the other risks described under the heading "Item 1A. Risk Factors" in AR’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2017.
Any forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which such statement is made and the Company undertakes no obligation to correct or update any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable law.
This presentation includes certain financial measures that are not calculated in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”). These measures include (i) Consolidated Adjusted EBITDAX, (ii) Stand-Alone E&P Adjusted EBITDAX, (iii) Consolidated Adjusted Operating Cash Flow, (iv) Stand-Alone E&P Adjusted Operating Cash Flow, (v) Free Cash Flow. Please see “Antero Definitions” and “Antero Non-GAAP Measures” for the definition of each of these measures as well as certain additional information regarding these measures, including the most comparable financial measures calculated in accordance with GAAP.
ANTERO RESOURCES | BARCLAYS 2018 CEO ENERGY CONFERENCE
Antero Resources Corporation is denoted as “AR” in the presentation, Antero Midstream Partners LP is denoted
as “AM” and Antero Midstream GP LP is denoted as “AMGP”, which are their respective New York Stock Exchange ticker
symbols. For general assumptions and financial disclosures please see Antero Resources’ website presentation.
The Size and Scale to Capitalize on the Resource
3 ANTERO RESOURCES | BARCLAYS 2018 CEO ENERGY CONFERENCE
Market Cap……….……...........
Enterprise Value….……………
Corporate Debt Ratings………
Stand-Alone Leverage………..
Net Production (2018E)….......
Liquids................................
3P Reserves………..…...........
NGLs(1)...........................
Condensate.........................
Net Acres………….…...………
Core Drilling Locations……….
Hedge Mark to Market………..
AR Midstream Ownership (53%)
$6.0B
$9.9B
Ba2 / BB+ / BBB-
2.6x
2.7 Bcfe/d
130,000 Bbl/d
54.6 Tcfe
2,131 MMBbls
131 MMBbls
620,000
3,295
$1.2B
$2.9B Note: Equity market data as of 8/30/18. Balance sheet data, hedge mark to market as of 6/30/18. Reserves as of 12/31/2017. Enterprise value excludes AM net debt. See 2018 Guidan ce in Appendix. (1) NGL 3P Reserves contain 1,318 MMBbls of C3+ NGLs and 812 MMBbls of ethane. Assumes approximately 31% ethane recovery leaving 1,808 MMBbls of ethane in the natural gas stream.
Antero Resources Profile Antero Acreage
SW Marcellus Core
Ohio Utica Core
Antero’s Unique Business Strategy
4 ANTERO RESOURCES | BARCLAYS 2018 CEO ENERGY CONFERENCE
1
Sustainable Development of World Class Liquids-Rich Resource Base • Top U.S. NGL producer with most exposure to rising NGL prices
Differentiated strategy for delivering shareholder value over the long-term:
Maintain Strong Balance Sheet & Financial Flexibility • Target leverage at or below 2.0x in 2019 driven by cash flow generation
2
Attractive Cash Flow and Debt-Adjusted Production Growth • 5-year free cash flow of $1.6 Billion at 2017 year-end strip prices
• 23% debt-adjusted annual production growth
3 Control Development & Mitigate Market Risks • Industry leading hedge book and firm transportation portfolio
• Control infrastructure buildout and capture midstream value chain through
ownership in Antero Midstream
4
5
Disciplined Focus on Returns & Capital Efficiency • Management incentives focused on rate of return metrics, disciplined growth and
free cash flow generation
0
5
10
15
20
25
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E
Nu
mb
er
of
Dri
llin
g R
igs
In M
illi
on
s
Stand-Alone Adjusted Cash Flow From Operations D&C Capital Antero Rig Count
Capital Discipline Leads to Free Cash Flow
5
Stand-Alone Adjusted Cash Flow Alongside D&C Capital Expenditures
D&C Capital Investment Fully Funded with Cash Flow Note: Stand-alone adjusted cash flow from operations represents net cash provided by operating activities as reported in the Parent column of AR’s guarantor footnote to its financial statements before changes in current assets and liabilities, plus the AM cash distributions payable to AR, plus the earn out payments expected from Antero Midstream asso ciated with the 2015 water drop down transaction. Estimates assume strip pricing as of 12/31/2017.
(1) D&C maintenance capital represents $590MM per year to hold production flat at 2.3 Bcfe/d which was year-end 2017 exit rate.
(2) Free cash flow definition includes $175MM of maintenance land spending, but excludes $175MM discretionary land spending.
48% reduction in D&C capital budget
and 15 rig reduction since 2014
Future D&C capital budgets that are
measured and within cash flow
Free Cash Flow(2)
ANTERO RESOURCES | DISCIPLINED FOCUS ON RETURNS & CAPITAL EFFICIENCY
D&C Maintenance Capital(1)
Near Term Free Cash Flow Inflection Point
6
Stand-Alone Cash Flow(1)
Antero Is Approaching a Free Cash Flow Inflection Point Note: Stand-Alone Adjusted Operating Cash Flow represents net cash provided by operating activities as reported in the Parent column of AR’s guarantor footnote to its financial statements before changes in current assets and liabilities, plus the AM cash distributions payable to AR, plus the earn out payments expected from Antero Midstream associat ed with the 2015 water drop down transaction.
(1) Based on 12/31/2017 strip pricing.
Capital discipline to reduce completion
crews and D&C capex in 2H18
Production growth and strong liquids
prices drives free cash flow
in 4Q18 and beyond
ANTERO RESOURCES | DISCIPLINED FOCUS ON RETURNS & CAPITAL EFFICIENCY
Ca
sh
Ou
tsp
en
d
Fre
e C
ash
Flo
w G
en
era
tio
n
Q4 2018 represents
a free cash flow
inflection point
2019E – 2022E Q3 2018 Q4 2018
Delevering & Return of Capital Potential
Capital Efficiencies Keep D&C Capital in Check
7 ANTERO RESOURCES | DISCIPLINED FOCUS ON RETURNS & CAPITAL EFFICIENCY
42% Decline in well costs since 2014
54% Permanent cost efficiencies
Efficiencies Expected to Offset Service Cost Inflation
Achievements to Date Next Steps in Efficiency Evolution
46% Vendor-related cost reductions
Drilling Longer laterals to >12,000 average
Improved drill-out efficiency
Completions Concurrent operations with larger
pads to reduce cycles time
Supply Costs Self-sourcing sand, with potential per
well savings up to $500K
Compelling Full Cycle Well Economics
8
Single Well Economics Bridge to Corporate Level Returns
Fully Burdened Corporate Level Well Economics are Outstanding Note: See company presentation on Antero Resources investor relations website for further detail behind full cycle and half cycle single well economics; WACC calculated using CAPM. (1) ROR (D&C only) burdened with 60% of AM fees to give credit for AM ownership/distributions and variable firm transportation fe es only (i.e. excluding sunk demand costs).
(2) Incremental 40% of AM fees represent the full midstream fees AR pays to AM on complete stand-alone basis (i.e. no credit for midstream ownership). Includes increase in D&C capital to
account for full water fees paid to AM.
(3) 2.4 bcfe/1,000’ EUR assumes ethane rejection.
111%
102%
82%
61%
49%
37%
9%
20%
20%
13%
12%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
ROR(D&C only)
Pad cost& facilities
Half cycleROR
Fixed FTfees
ROR withfull FT fees
Full AMfees
ROR-fullyburdened
fees
G&A ROR post-G&A
Land costs Full cycle(corporate)
ROR
AR WACC ≈ 8%
ANTERO RESOURCES | DISCIPLINED FOCUS ON RETURNS & CAPITAL EFFICIENCY
Fully burdened well economics
support investment
Corporate ROR
well in excess of cost of capital
(1) (2)
Half cycle
ROR
Full cycle
ROR
Well Assumptions
12,000’ Lateral
1250 BTU Wellhead Gas
2.4 Bcfe/1,000’ EUR(3)
6/30/2018 Strip Pricing
Antero is Very Well Positioned in the Core of the Core
9
Positioned in the Marcellus Liquids Core of the Core
Northern Rich High-Graded Core
2.24 Bcfe/1,000’ Avg. EUR
61% Undeveloped
Southern Rich High-Graded Core
2.24 Bcfe/1,000’ Avg. EUR
66% Undeveloped AR Holds 62% of Undeveloped
Southwest Marcellus Core ~2.9 Million Acres
~76% Undeveloped
Antero Acreage
Antero Marcellus Wells
Industry Marcellus Wells
Antero Marcellus Rig
Industry Marcellus Rig
Dry Gas High-Graded Core
2.30 Bcfe/1,000’ Avg. EUR
74% Undeveloped AR Holds 13% of Undeveloped
> 1,300 lb/ft Completions
High- Graded Core Areas
Most Active Operators
Percent Undeveloped
Advanced Completions
(>1,300 lbs/ft)
Bcfe / 1,000’
Wells
Northern Rich RRC, CNX, HG 67% 2.24 474
Southern Rich AR, EQT, SWN 70% 2.24 517
Dry Gas EQT, CVX, RRC, CNX
78% 2.30 747
Note: Excludes 600,000 urban acres. EURs assume full ethane rejection. Based on Antero reserve engineering of most recent state and internal production data.
ANTERO RESOURCES | SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF WORLD CLASS LIQUIDS-RICH RESOURCE BASE
3,295
2,333
1,605
1,259
720 714 663 588 583 556
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
AR A B C D E F G H I
Un
drilled
Location
s
Largest Undrilled Core Liquids Drilling Inventory
10
10,848’ 9,563’ 6,775’ 7,723’ 6,040’ 9,583’ 8,905’ 8,396’ 7,731’ 8,639’
Antero Holds 40% of Core
Undrilled Liquids-Rich Locations
Largest Inventory in Appalachia
(1) Peers include Ascent, CHK, CNX, COG, CVX, EQT, GPOR, HG, RRC and SWN. Based on Antero analysis of undeveloped acreage in the core of the Marcellus and Ohio Utica plays. Excludes deep Utica resource in West Virginia & Pennsylvania.
Who Can Consistently Drill
Long Laterals?
Who Has the
Running Room?
Core Marcellus & Utica Undrilled Locations(1)
Lateral Length:
ANTERO RESOURCES | SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF WORLD CLASS LIQUIDS-RICH RESOURCE BASE
Rich Gas Locations
NE PA Dry Gas
Dry Gas Locations
117
33%
10%
34%
15%
11% 11%
17%
11%
13% 13%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
AR EOG RRC DVN APC COP OXY MRO NBL PXD
NG
L %
of
Pre
-Hed
ge P
rod
uct R
eve
nu
es
Con
sen
su
s C
2+
NG
Ls (
MB
bl/d
)
2018 Consensus C2+ NGL Production
(1)
Leader in Leverage to NGL Prices
11
Top NGL Producers in the U.S.
Source: Bloomberg consensus, SEC filings and company press releases. Note: Volumes represent consensus as of 8/30/2018. 2Q 2018 realized prices are weighted average including ethane (C2) where applicable. Percent of 2Q 2018 total product revenues is calculated on a pre-hedge basis.
(1) 2Q 2018 actual NGL revenue percentage based on unhedged revenue.
* Denotes consensus inclusive of international NGL production.
NGLs Generate 33%
of AR Revenue (1)
2Q 2018
$26.35 $27.86 $23.69 $24.10 $34.88 $26.71 $28.87 $25.62 $24.39 $28.83
Antero Delivers Highest Exposure to Rising NGL Prices
Pre-hedged Realized NGL Price ($/Bbl)
Pre-Hedge NGL % of Total Product Revenues
ANTERO RESOURCES | SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF WORLD CLASS LIQUIDS-RICH RESOURCE BASE
* * * *
$2.70 $2.70 $2.97
$3.53
$0.27
$0.56
$0.07 $3.60
$0.00
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
$3.50
$4.00
Antero Weight Avg.Dry Gas Price
BTU uplift(1100 BTU Gas)
C2+ NGLs (25%Ethane Recovery)
Condensate All-in RealizedPrice
Liquids Differentiates Antero
12
Liquids Uplift Before Hedges - 2018 ($/Mcfe)
ANTERO RESOURCES | SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF WORLD CLASS LIQUIDS-RICH RESOURCE BASE
Liquids-rich acreage and production
provides upgrade vs. dry gas peers
Peer leading leverage
to rising liquids prices
$2.91
Represents
$(0.21) weighted
average
differential for AR
before BTU uplift
Note: Weighted average differential gas before BTU uplift from Antero analyst day. Updated natural gas and NGL strip prices as of 8 /30/2018.
$/Mcfe
$2.49
Tailgate of plant
gas BTU
Uplift from NGL
recovery, net of
gas shrink
Condensate
production at the
well pad
Nymex
Dominion
South
Antero’s NGL Pricing Uplift from Mariner East 2
13
31
Mont
Belvieu
Conway
Europe Netback 2019
NWE Price ($/Gal) $1.02
Pipeline, Terminal &
Shipping Cost (1) $(0.24)
NWE Netback $0.78
Blended Conway / MB
Netback $0.67
Uplift vs. 1Q18 Average
Differential +$0.11
Asia Netback 2019
FEI Price ($/Gal) $1.10
Pipeline, Terminal &
Shipping Cost (1) $(0.33)
Asia Netback $0.77
Blended Conway / MB
Netback $0.67
Uplift vs. 1Q18 Average
Differential +$0.10
International Markets Domestic Markets
Marcus
Hook
Antero Blended Netback 2019
Conway/Mt. Belvieu Price ($/Gal) $0.83
Average 1H 2018 Differential $0.16
Blended Conway/MB Netback $0.67
Source: Poten Partners. Prices reflect blended price of propane and butane based on Antero’s ME2 volume commitment. Note: Based on Baltic forward shipping rates and propane strip prices as of 08/27/18. Includes associated port and canal fees and charges.
(1) Based on Wall Street research. Antero cost may be lower.
Mariner East 2 (“ME2”)
Initial Capacity (4Q18): Committed volumes
Full Capacity (3Q19): 275 MBbl/d
AR Commitments: 35 Mbbl/d C3
15 MBbl/d C4
AR Expansion Rights: 50 Mbbl/d C3/C4
ANTERO RESOURCES | SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF WORLD CLASS LIQUIDS-RICH RESOURCE BASE
Mariner East 2 will allow AR to access
international LPG markets and realize a
~$4.20/Bbl uplift on its exported barrels
50,000 Bbl/d Mariner East 2 commitment
equates to over $75 MM of
incremental annual cash flow
4Q 2018
AR C3+ Barrel 1Q 2018 Avg Price 2Q 2018 Avg Price Balance 2018 (1) Price ∆
Propane 57% $0.87 $0.87 $1.03 $0.16
N. Butane 16% $0.84 $0.89 $1.21 $0.32
IsoButane 10% $1.05 $1.20 $1.22 $0.02
Natural Gasoline 17% $1.39 $1.53 $1.58 $0.05
C3+ Blended ($/Gal) $0.97 $1.02 $1.17 $0.15
C3+ Blended ($/Bbl) $40.81 $42.77 $49.09 $6.32
Mont Belvieu Product Pricing ($/Gallon)
Strong Propane/Butane Price Improvement
14
Strong C3+ NGL Prices 2H 2018
Source: Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) pricing data. Assumes C3+ barrel weightings of: propane 57%, normal butane 16%, Isobutane 10%, pentanes 17%. 1) Balance 2018 represents strip pricing as of 8/30/2018.
$0.00
$0.20
$0.40
$0.60
$0.80
$1.00
$1.20
$1.40
$1.60
$1.80
$2.00
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
$/G
allon
(C
3+
NG
Ls)
Strong Global LPG Demand and Prices Have Driven U.S. Exports Higher and Propane Inventories to 5-Year Lows
Balance 2018 (1)
C3+ $49.09 / Bbl
ANTERO RESOURCES | SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF WORLD CLASS LIQUIDS-RICH RESOURCE BASE
+
+
+ +
$0.10/ Mcfe
$0.15/ Mcfe < $0.10/
Mcfe
$0 $0
$0.125/Mcfe
$0.20/Mcfe
$469 $0.45/Mcfe
$585 $0.48/Mcfe
$224 $0.15/Mcfe
$37 $35
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
2018Guidance
2019 Target
2020Target
2021Target
2022Target
$ M
illio
ns
Net Marketing Expense (High End)
Net Marketing Expense (Low End)
Hedge Gains
15
A Paired Trade – Hedges Support Firm Commitments
Hedge Gains More than Offset Marketing Expense – Hedges Support FT Commitments
Firm Transportation Portfolio
Allows Antero to achieve:
Effectively
Hedge NYMEX
Index
A key advantage as our product is
delivered to NYMEX-
related markets
Premium Price
Certainty
Less volatility and
greater surety in
realized prices
2018 - 2022 Cumulative:
Hedge Gains: $1,350
Marketing Expense: ($461)
Net Uplift: $889
Hedge Portfolio Supports
Firm Commitments
ANTERO RESOURCES | CONTROL DEVELOPMENT & MITIGATE INDUSTRY RISKS
~100% of 2018 and 2019 Target Gas Production Hedged at $3.50/MMBtu
Rover Pipeline Uplift and Optionality
16
Unlocks development optionality between
Marcellus and Utica and provides further
Chicago & Gulf Coast exposure
Rover Sherwood Lateral expected to be
placed into service in September
Rover Pipeline Map
Chicago via Rover
($/MMBtu) 2019
Chicago Price ($/MMBtu)(1) $2.64
Approximate Variable Cost $(0.06)
Netback Price $2.58
TETCO M2 Price $(2.09)
Uplift vs. TETCO M2(1) $0.49
Gulf Coast via ANR
($/MMBtu) 2019
Gulf Coast Price ($/MMBtu)(1) $2.66
Approximate Variable Cost $(0.04)
Netback Price $2.62
TETCO M2 Price $(2.09)
Uplift vs. TETCO M2(2) $0.53
Ability to utilize 800 MMcf/d Rover
capacity with both Marcellus
production (Sherwood Processing
Plant) and Utica production
(Seneca Processing Plant)
Rover Phase 1A (in-service)
Rover Phase 1B (in-service)
Rover Laterals (3Q18-4Q18)
Natural Gas Pricing Hub
1. Futures prices as of 8/30/18.
2. Based on 2019 Tetco M2 futures prices and includes $0.14 of variable cost
ANTERO RESOURCES | CONTROL DEVELOPMENT & MITIGATE INDUSTRY RISKS
Midstream Driving Value for AR Since Inception
17 ANTERO RESOURCES | CONTROL DEVELOPMENT & MITIGATE INDUSTRY RISKS
~$1.9B Organic Project Backlog
~$800MM JV
Project Backlog
WELL PAD
LOW PRESSURE GATHERING
HIGH PRESSURE GATHERING
COMPRESSION
GAS PROCESSING
(50% INTEREST)
REGIONAL
GATHERING
PIPELINE
(15% INTEREST)
FRACTIONATION TERMINALS & STORAGE
Y-GRADE PIPELINE
(ETHANE, PROPANE, BUTANE)
NGL PRODUCT PIPELINES
LONG HAUL PIPELINE
INTERCONNECT
END USERS
PDH PLANT
~$1.0B
Downstream
Investment
Opportunity Set
Note: Third party logos denote company operator of respective asset. (1) Midstream proceeds received by AR to date plus market value of AR’s 53% ownership of AM at 6/30/18 divided by the approx imate $1.3B
of AR capital invested at time of AM IPO.
AM Assets AM/MPLX JV Assets Potential AM Opportunities
Upstream Downstream
Capture midstream value chain →
realized 4.6x unlevered ROI through
AM ownership(1)
Control the midstream infrastructure buildout
for downstream visibility and takeaway
assurance
AR controls
midstream buildout
through AM
ownership
$3.36
$2.97
$2.07 $2.06
$1.61 $1.86
$-
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
$3.50
$4.00
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1H 2018
AR Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 4 Peer 5 Peer 3
EBITDAX Margin
($/Mcfe)
18
Consistent Leader in EBITDAX Margin
On a Stand-Alone EBITDAX Margin Basis, Antero has Consistently Outperformed its Appalachian Peers Through Up and Down Commodity Cycles
Source: SEC filings and company press releases. AR 2017 margins exclude $0.10/Mcfe negative impact from WGL and SJR natural gas contract disputes. Peers include CNX, COG, EQT, RRC & SWN. (1) AR and EQT EBITDAX include distributions from midstream ownership. Cash costs for AR and EQT represent stand-alone GPT, production taxes, LOE and cash G&A. Post-hedge and post
net marketing expense where applicable.
WTI Price
($/Bbl) WTI Oil Price ($/Bbl)
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
Stand-Alone EBITDAX Margin vs WTI Oil Price
ANTERO RESOURCES | ATTRACTIVE CASH FLOW AND DEBT-ADJUSTED PRODUCTION GROWTH
Sustainable margins through the price cycles Antero’s integrated strategy has resulted in
peer-leading EBITDAX margins for over 5 years
($1,500)
($1,000)
($500)
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
2014A 2015A 2016A 2017A 2018Guidance
2019Target
2020Target
2021Target
2022Target
Lower Capital & Higher Liquids Prices → Free Cash Flow
ANTERO RESOURCES | ATTRACTIVE CASH FLOW AND DEBT-ADJUSTED PRODUCTION GROWTH
$60 Oil / $2.85 Gas Case Stand-Alone E&P Free Cash Flow Outspend
Strip Pricing Base Case
Note: See definitions for free cash flow and assumptions behind long-term targets in Appendix of website presentation; free cash flow calculation includes $200MM maintenance land spending, but excludes $300MM discretionary land spending.
D&C Capital Investment Fully Funded with Cash Flow
→ $1.6B of Targeted Free Cash Flow Over the Next 5 Years
$50 Oil / $2.85 Gas Case
$2.8B
$1.0B
$1.6B
We Are
Here
5-Year
Cumulative
Free Cash
Flow
19
Stand-Alone Free Cash Flow:
Resource Capture & Delineation Cash Flow Harvest Mode
3.9x
3.6x
2.8x 2.9x
0.0x
0.5x
1.0x
1.5x
2.0x
2.5x
3.0x
3.5x
4.0x
4.5x
5.0x
2014A 2015A 2016A 2017A 2018Guidance
2019Target
2020Target
2021Target
2022Target
Sta
nd
-Alo
ne F
inan
cia
l Leve
rag
e
12/31/17 Strip Pricing (Base Case)
$60 Oil / $2.85 Gas
$50 Oil / $2.85 Gas
Cash Flow Growth → Delevering Profile
23% Debt-Adjusted
Production CAGR
Through 2022
Generates Free
Cash Flow
Balance Sheet
Deleveraging &
Optionality
Note: See Appendix for key definitions and assumptions. Stand-alone financial leverage is calculated by dividing year-end stand-alone debt by last twelve months stand-alone EBITDAX. Note all free cash flow after land spending is assumed to be used for debt reduction.
Leverage targets inclusive of $500 MM of maintenance and discretionary land capex from 2018 - 2022
Delevering Supported By:
• 2.4 Tcfe Hedge Position • 4.7 Bcf/d FT Portfolio
• $1.4B of Targeted AM
Distributions
S&P Upgrade to BB+
Moody’s Ba2 Outlook “Positive”
BBB- Rating Fitch Has Rated AR Investment Grade
2Q 2018
Leverage: 2.6x
20 ANTERO RESOURCES | MAINTAIN STRONG BALANCE SHEET & FINANCIAL FLEXIBILITY
21
Antero Profile Should Drive Multiple Expansion
Approaching an Elite Group of E&Ps With Scale, Double Digit Growth, Low Leverage & Free Cash Flow Generation
Source: Bloomberg & Antero Estimates as of 8/30/18. (1) Adjusted EBITDAX and Adjusted Operating Cash Flow are non-GAAP measures. AR EV/EBITDAX multiple also reflects an enterprise value that excludes AR ownership of AM, and EBITDAX excludes AM distributions
received by AR, for comparative purposes with peer E&P multiples. For additional information regarding these measures, pleas e see “Antero Definitions” and “Antero Non-GAAP Measures” in the Appendix.
ANTERO RESOURCES | MAINTAIN STRONG BALANCE SHEET & FINANCIAL FLEXIBILITY
U.S. Publicly Traded E&Ps
Leverage < 3.0x
Enterprise Value
> $10B
Production Growth >15%
Leverage <2.0x
Free Cash Flow
# of
Companies
Median Debt/
Adjusted
EBITDAX
Median EV/
2019 Adj.
EBITDAX
53 2.2x 5.3x
37 1.5x 5.3x
17 1.5x 6.2x
9 1.5x 6.2x
6 1.0x 7.2x
5 0.8x 7.3x
EOG
CXO
PXD
AR 2019E
unhedged
EBITDAX
Multiple: 4.6x
Scale
Growth
Low Leverage
Permian & Appalachia
FCF Generation
COG
CLR
in 2019
in 2018
Premium for:
Disciplined Capital Efficient Midstream Model
Antero Midstream At A Glance
23
Market Cap……………….......
Enterprise Value….........…….
LTM Adjusted EBITDA(1)……..
% Gathering/Compression…
% Water…..…..…..…..……..
Net Debt/LTM EBITDA……....
Corporate Debt Rating……….
$5.6B
$7.0B
$619 MM
65%
35%
2.3x
Ba2 / BB+ /BBB-
Note: Equity market data as of 8/30/2018. Balance sheet data as of 6/30/2018. 1. LTM Adjusted EBITDA as of 6/30/18. Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure. For additional information regarding this measure, please see “Antero Midstream Non-GAAP Measures” in the Appendix.
ANTERO MIDSTREAM │DISCIPLINED CAPITAL EFFICIENT MIDSTREAM MODEL
AM Highlights
AMGP Highlights
Market Cap……………….......
Net Debt/LTM EBITDA...…….
$3.2B
–
Antero Midstream Utica Assets
Antero Midstream Marcellus Assets
Compressor Station: In Service
Antero Clearwater Facility
Processing Facility
Compressor Station: 2018
Gathering Pipeline Fresh Water Pipeline Stonewall Pipeline
Sherwood Processing Facility – 1.8 Bcf/d
Existing Capacity
Antero Clearwater Treatment Facility
60,000 Bbl/d Capacity Stonewall JV Pipeline
New Smithburg JV Processing Facility –
Civil Work Under Way
AM Long-Term Distribution and Coverage Targets
24
$1.03 $1.33
$1.72
$2.21
$2.85
$3.42
$4.10 1.8x
1.4x 1.3x
0.0x
0.2x
0.4x
0.6x
0.8x
1.0x
1.2x
1.4x
1.6x
1.8x
2.0x
$0.00
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
$3.50
$4.00
$4.50
2016A 2017A 2018Guidance
2019Target
2020Target
2021Target
2022Target
DC
F C
ove
rag
e R
ati
o
Dis
trib
uti
on
Pe
r U
nit
Distribution Guidance
(Mid-point)
Long-Term Distribution Targets and DCF Coverage
Capital investment philosophy with disciplined financial policies result in ability to target peer-leading distribution growth through 2022
Distribution Target
(Mid-point) DCF Coverage Targets
Note: Implied yield based on AM unit price as of 8/30/18.
Implied Yield
9.6%
5.8%
ANTERO MIDSTREAM │DISCIPLINED CAPITAL EFFICIENT MIDSTREAM MODEL
AMGP Long-Term Distribution Targets
25
AMGP Long-Term Distribution Targets (Midpoint)
As a result of AM targeting 20% distribution growth in 2021 and 2022, AMGP is targeting distribution growth of 29% and 27% in 2021 and 2022
$0.54
$0.88
$1.34
$1.73
$2.20 64%
53%
29% 27%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
$0.00
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
2018Guidance
2019Target
2020Target
2021Target
2022Target
AMGP Distributions Per Share Year-over-Year Distribution Growth
163%
Note: Represents midpoint of target range. 2018 growth based on full year 2017 distribution of $0.205/share. Based on AMGP Share price of $17.28 as of 8/30/18.
3.1%
7.8%
ANTERO MIDSTREAM │DISCIPLINED CAPITAL EFFICIENT MIDSTREAM MODEL
Most Integrated Liquids Business in the U.S.
26
World Class E&P
Operator in Appalachia
Contiguous Core Acreage Position Allows for Long
Lateral Drilling and Significant Capital Efficiencies
Largest NGL Producer in the U.S. Leads to Peer
Leading Cash Flow Margins
Optimized 5-Year Plan Results in High Return Drilling
& Free Cash Flow
Midstream Ownership & Integration Delivers Value and
Just-in-Time Infrastructure Buildout
53% Ownership
ANTERO RESOURCES | BARCLAYS 2018 CEO ENERGY CONFERENCE
A Leading Northeast
Infrastructure Platform Levered Exposure to Northeast
Infrastructure Buildout
Appendix
27
APPENDIX | 2018 GUIDANCE
Updated 2018 Guidance
Stand-Alone Consolidated
Net Daily Production (Bcfe/d) ~2.7
Net Liquids Production (BBl/d) ~130,000
Natural Gas Realized Price Differential to
Nymex $0.05 to $0.10 Premium
C3+ NGL Realized Price
(% of Nymex WTI) 57.5% – 62.5%
Cash Production Expense ($/Mcfe) $2.05 – $2.15 $1.60 – $1.70
Marketing Expense ($/Mcfe)
(10% Mitigation Assumed) $0.10 – $0.125
G&A Expense ($/Mcfe)
(before equity-based compensation) $0.125 – $0.175 $0.15 - $0.20
Adjusted EBITDAX $1,700 – $1,800 $2,050 – $2,150
Adjusted Operating Cash Flow $1,480 – $1,600 $1,750 – $1,900
Net Debt / LTM Adjusted EBITDAX Low 2x Mid 2x
D&C Capital Expenditures ($MM) $1,500 $1,300
Land Capital Expenditures ($MM) $150
($25 MM Maintenance)
$150
($25 MM Maintenance)
Note: See Appendix for key definitions. Cash flow and EBITDAX guidance based on 12/31/2017 strip pricing . 2018 average NYMEX and WTI pricing was $2.83/MMBtu and $59.57/Bbl, respectively. (1) Includes lease operating expense, gathering, compression, processing and transportation expense and production and ad valorem taxes .
28
APPENDIX | 5-YEAR ASSUMPTIONS
Antero Guidance and Long-Term Target Assumptions
Stand-Alone Consolidated
Net Daily Production (MMcfe/d) 20% CAGR through 2020 and 15% Growth in each of
2021 and 2022
Natural Gas Realized Price Differential
to Nymex
$0.05 to $0.10 Premium (2018)
$0.00 to $0.10 Premium (2019 – 2022)
C3+ NGL Realized Price
(% of Nymex WTI)
57.5% – 62.5% (2018)
69% (2019+) – ME2 Fees Booked to Transport Costs
Realized Oil Price Differential to WTI ($5.00) – ($6.00)
Cash Production Expense ($/Mcfe)(1) $2.05 - $2.15 (2018)
$2.10 – $2.25 (2019 – 2022)
$1.60 - $1.70 (2018)
$1.65 – $1.75 (2019 – 2022)
Marketing Expense ($/Mcfe)
$0.10 - $0.125 (2018)
$0.15 – $0.20 (2019)
<$0.10 (2020)
$0.00 (2021 – 2022)
G&A Expense ($/Mcfe)
(before equity-based compensation)
$0.125 – $0.175 (2018 – 2019)
$0.10 – $0.15 (2020 – 2022)
$0.15 - $0.20 (2018 – 2019)
$0.10 – $0.15 (2020 – 2022)
Cash Interest Expense ($/Mcfe)
$0.175 – $0.225 (2018 – 2019)
$0.10 – $0.15 (2020 – 2021)
<$0.10 (2022)
$0.25 – $0.30 (2018 – 2019)
$0.20 – $0.25 (2020 – 2022)
Well Costs ($MM / 1,000’)
(Assumes 12,000’ completions at
2,000 lbs. per foot of proppant)
Marcellus: $0.95 MM
Utica: $1.07 MM
Marcellus: $0.80 MM
Utica: $0.95 MM
(1) Includes lease operating expense, gathering, compression, processing and transportation expense and production and ad valorem taxes.
29
30 APPENDIX | 5-YEAR ASSUMPTIONS
Antero Guidance and Long-Term Target Assumptions (Cont.)
Stand-Alone E&P Consolidated
Adjusted Operating Cash Flow(1) $10.4B
(Cumulative 2018 – 2022) N/A
Annual D&C Capital Expenditures ($MM) $1,500 – $1,600 (2018 – 2020)
$1,700 – $2,000 (2021 – 2022)
$1,300 – $1,400 (2018 – 2021)
$1,600 – $1,700 (2022)
Land Maintenance Expenditures ($MM)(2) ~$200 (Cumulative 2018 – 2022)
Free Cash Flow(1) $1.6B
(Cumulative 2018 – 2022) N/A
Leasehold Growth Capital Expenditures ($MM) ~$300 (Cumulative 2018 – 2022)
Number of Well Completions 790 well completions
Marcellus EUR per 1,000’ of Lateral 2.0 Bcf/1,000’; 2.5 Bcfe/1,000’ (25% ethane recovery)
Utica EUR per 1,000’ of Lateral 2.0 Bcfe/1,000’ (ethane rejection)
Note: See Appendix for key definitions. Cash flow guidance is based on 12/31/2017 strip pricing. Average NYMEX pricing was $2.83/MMBtu, $2.81/MMBtu, $2.82/MMBtu, $2.85/MMBtu and $2.89/MMBtu in 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021 and 2022. Average WTI pricing was $59.57/Bbl, $56.19/Bbl, $53.76/Bbl, $52.29/Bbl and $51.67/Bbl for 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021 and 2022.
(1) Adjusted Operating Cash Flow and Free Cash Flow are non-GAAP financial measures. For additional information regarding these measures, please see the following pages (“Antero Definitions” and “Antero Non -GAAP
Measures”).
(2) Includes leasehold capital expenditures required to achieve targeted working interest percentage.
Guidance Summary - 2018
31
Guidance
2017
Guidance
2018
Guidance Change
Net Income ($MM) $305 - $345 $435 - $480 +41%
Adjusted EBITDA ($MM) $520 - $560 $705 - $755 +35%
DCF ($MM) $405 - $445 $575 - $625 +41%
Distribution Growth 28 – 30% 28 – 30% -
DCF Coverage 1.30x – 1.45x 1.25x - 1.35x -7%
Maintenance Capex ($MM) $65 $65 0%
Growth Capex ($MM) $735 $585 -20%
Total Capex ($MM) $800 $650 -19%
APPENDIX: GUIDANCE
Adjusted EBITDA and Distributable Cash Flow are non-GAAP measures. For additional information regarding these measures, please see “Antero Midstream Non-GAAP Measures” in the Appendix.
Material reduction in U.S. propane
inventories relative to the 5-year average
Current propane days of supply are
31% below last year and 42%
below the 5-year average
Strong Propane Fundamentals
32
Propane Days of Supply U.S. Propane Inventories
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Days o
f S
up
ply
5-Yr Range 2018 2017 5-Yr Avg 2013-2017
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
MM
Bb
ls
5-Yr Range 2017 2018 5-Yr Avg 2013-2017
Source: EnVantage Inc. and Energy Information Administration (EIA).
MB C3 $1.03/gallon
remainder of 2018
2017
2018
2017
2018
ANTERO RESOURCES | SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF WORLD CLASS LIQUIDS-RICH RESOURCE BASE
Note: 2H 2018 based on 2018 balance strip pricing as of 7/25/2018. Local index represents a blend of Dominion South and TET CO M2 pricing. Midwest index represents a blend of Chicago and MichCon pricing. Gulf
Coast index represents a blend of Gulf and Nymex-based pricing.
Antero 2018 Firm Transport Index Breakdown
Expected Natural Gas Price Realization Improvement
~97% of Antero Gas Is Expected to be Sold in Favorably Priced Markets in the Balance of 2018
33
59% 60%
17% 14%
16% 23%
8% 3%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1H 2018 2H 2018
Index Differential % of Gas Sold Differential % of Gas Sold
Local Markets(1) $(0.55) 8% $(0.43) 3%
Midwest $0.07 16% $(0.07) 23%
TCO $(0.20) 17% $(0.22) 14%
Gulf Coast $(0.14) 59% $(0.11) 60%
Wtd.Avg. Differential: $(0.15) 100% $(0.13) 100%
BTU Uplift $0.24 $0.24
All-in vs. NYMEX +$0.09 +$0.11
+$0.05 - $0.10 Updated forecast
premium to NYMEX
after BTU uplift
5% decrease to
Local Markets Local
Midwest
TCO
Gulf Coast
8% increase in
exposure to Midwest
& Gulf Cost Markets
ANTERO RESOURCES | CONTROL DEVELOPMENT & MITIGATE INDUSTRY RISKS
$1,150
$2,830
$5,995
$795 $179
$311 $395
$250
$2,915
$0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
$7,000
AM IPO (2014) Sale of WaterBusiness
(2015)
Sale of AMUnits (2016)
Sale of AMUnits (9/6/17)
AMDistributions
Received as of6/30/18
Total Proceedsto Date
ExpectedEarnout
Payments(2019E-2020E)
Pre-tax Valueof AM Units
Held by AR @$29.74
(08/30/18)
Pre-taxCumulative
Value of AnteroMidstream
Cash
Pro
ceed
s (
SM
M)
Midstream Driving Value for AR Since Inception
Antero Midstream Return on Investment for AR (Pre-tax)(1)
4.6x
ROI unlevered
Takeaway
Assurance
Return on
Investment
Downstream
Visibility
(1) Midstream proceeds received by AR to date plus market value of AR’s 53% ownership of AM at 6/30/18 divided by the approximate $1.3B of AR capital invested at time of AM IPO.
34 ANTERO RESOURCES | CONTROL DEVELOPMENT & MITIGATE INDUSTRY RISKS