Barents Sea Ecosystem Resilience under global environmental change

2010-2013

Annual Meeting – 4-7 October 2011 - Herdla

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 October 2011 - HerdlaBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 October 2011 - Herdla

Bar-EcoRe: main objective

evaluate the effects of global environmental change on the future structure and resilience of the Barents Sea ecosystem

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 October 2011 - HerdlaBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 October 2011 - Herdla

Bar-EcoRe: main objective

evaluate the effects of global environmental change on the future structure and resilience of the Barents Sea ecosystem

quantitative data analysis and modelling

climate and fishing-induced

species comp, spatial structure, trophic network

ability to absorb disturbance and maintain function

fish and benthos communities

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 October 2011 - HerdlaBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 October 2011 - Herdla

Bar-EcoRe: more specific questions

•What are the key characteristics of past temporal and spatial variations in fish and benthos communities and how are these related to past climate variability and fishing pressure?

•How does climate variability and change propagate through the Barents Sea ecosystem and influences species interactions?

•How can the combined effects of fisheries and climate modify the spatial distribution of plankton, benthos and fish species in the Barents Sea?

•What determines vulnerability or resilience of the Barents Sea ecosystem and how will these be affected by possible future changes in climate and fisheries regimes?

•Can we detect early warning signals and can we evaluate management strategies with regards to ecosystem resilience?

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 October 2011 - HerdlaBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 October 2011 - Herdla

Bar-EcoRe: The structure

WP1: Community

structure

WP2: Trophic

interactions

WP3: Population distribution

WP4: Resilience

& Early warningS

cie

nti

fic

Ad

vis

oty

Pa

nel

Sta

keh

old

ers

Pa

ne

l

Thinking Working Disseminating

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 October 2011 - HerdlaBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 October 2011 - Herdla

Bar-EcoRe: The Stakeholder Panel

Sta

keh

old

ers

Pa

ne

l

Thinking Working Disseminating

provide advice to ensure that results are presented in a

form understandable

and useful to managers

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 October 2011 - HerdlaBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 October 2011 - Herdla

Timeline

2010 2011 2012 2013

WP1

WP2

WP3

WP4

PDM

data assemblybiogeography

space-time changes

climate effects on community changes

Model developmentsModel evaluations

Model projections

Trophic interactions Trophic control

Trophic transfer

Network analysis

Options for Ecosystem approach to management

Functional diversity

Vulnerable species

Early warning signals

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 October 2011 - HerdlaBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 October 2011 - Herdla

What is going to happen now?

4 Days meeting

1st Day: presentation of scientific results to SAP2nd Day: feedback from SAP and discussion

3rd Day: presentation of project structure, science and dissemination plan to SHP and discussion

4th Day: activity planning for 2011/2012

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 October 2011 - HerdlaBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 October 2011 - Herdla

What is going to happen on DAY 3

9:00-10:00: BarEcoRe in a nutshell, an introductionand 8 highlights

Break10:15-11:30: Discussion

Lunch break12:30-14:00: Group work

Project Participants: Action plan for 2012Stakeholder Panel: Dissemination plan

Break14:30-16:00: BarEcoRe dissemination plan, discussion

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 October 2011 - HerdlaBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 October 2011 - Herdla

BarEcoRe Science highlights

BarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 October 2011 - HerdlaBarEcoRe Annual Meeting – 4-7 October 2011 - Herdla

Barents Sea Ecosystem Resilience under global environmental change

2010-2013

Annual Meeting – 4-7 October 2011 - Herdla