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Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development Low carbon intensity and green methanol: Iceland and beyond

Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development · abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price 10/17/2019 20 EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent “Green premium”

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Page 1: Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development · abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price 10/17/2019 20 EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent “Green premium”

Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development

Low carbon intensity and green methanol: Iceland and beyond

Page 2: Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development · abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price 10/17/2019 20 EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent “Green premium”

10/17/2019 2

Ample supply of renewable energy but location and availability doesn’t match demand

Problem #1

Page 3: Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development · abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price 10/17/2019 20 EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent “Green premium”

10/17/2019 3

Growing use of fossil fuels causing climate change, ocean acidification and urban pollution

Problem #2

Page 4: Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development · abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price 10/17/2019 20 EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent “Green premium”

10/17/2019 4

Transform electricity and CO2 into clean-burning liquid fuel – methanol - which is carbon neutral

Solution (since 2012)

Page 5: Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development · abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price 10/17/2019 20 EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent “Green premium”

CO2-to-methanol: A liquid energy carrier which scales sustainably

CRI Emissions-to-Liquids (ETL) platform

5

H2

Page 6: Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development · abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price 10/17/2019 20 EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent “Green premium”

CRI’s Emissions-to-Liquids technology platform

10/17/2019 6

Clean conversion

CO2 purification

Electrolysis

One step hydrogenation of CO2Flue gas emissions

Renewable energy

Transport

Chemicals

Methanol

H2 rich emissions

Modular Offtake

1.4 t

0.2 t

1 t

11.5 MWh*

*Total load based on alkaline water electrolysis

H2

Page 7: Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development · abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price 10/17/2019 20 EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent “Green premium”

Building on more than 12 years of full value-chain experience

10/17/2019 7

Pilot plant Plant commissioned Foreign projects Commercial scale0.001 t/d 4 t/d 150-300 t/d

2006 2007 2012 2014 2015 2016 2018 2019 2021

Capacity added12 t/d 2 t/d

Methanol FC cars M100 fleet test UK Gasoline blendingCompany launched NL gasoline blending

637016 727504

Page 8: Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development · abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price 10/17/2019 20 EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent “Green premium”

10/17/2019 8

Energy source: Icelandic gridCO2 source: Geothermal gasCO2 conversion: 5,600 t/yrCapacity: 4,000 t/yr methanolElectrolyzers: 6 MW (alkaline)

First CCU-to-fuel plantSvartsengi, Iceland 2012 –

Page 9: Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development · abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price 10/17/2019 20 EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent “Green premium”

10/17/2019 9

Site of second CCU-to-fuel plantRWE power-plant Bergheim-Niederaussem, Germany

Energy source: Wind powerCO2 source: Coal combustionCO2 conversion: 500 t/yrCapacity: 350 t/yr methanolElectrolyzers: 0.6 MW (PEM)

Page 10: Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development · abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price 10/17/2019 20 EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent “Green premium”

10/17/2019 10

Plant adapts dynamically providing flexible load and energy storage

Site of second CCU-to-fuel plantRWE power-plant Bergheim-Niederaussem, Germany

Energy source: Wind powerCO2 source: Coal combustionCO2 conversion: 500 t/yrCapacity: 350 t/yr methanolElectrolyzers: 0.6 MW (PEM)

Page 11: Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development · abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price 10/17/2019 20 EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent “Green premium”

10/17/2019 11

Site of third CCU-to-fuel plantSSAB steel-works Lulea, Sweden

Energy source: Blast furnace gasCO2 source: Blast furnace gasCO2 conversion: 500 t/yrCapacity: 350 t/yr methanol

Page 12: Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development · abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price 10/17/2019 20 EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent “Green premium”

10/17/201912

Site of third CCU-to-fuel plantSSAB steel-works Lulea, Sweden

Energy source: Blast furnace gasCO2 source: Blast furnace gasCO2 conversion: 500 t/yrCapacity: 350 t/yr methanol

Plant uses waste gas streams from steel-making process

Page 13: Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development · abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price 10/17/2019 20 EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent “Green premium”

10/17/2019 13

Surplus or stranded energy Industrial waste gas

= Transport fuels= Zero fossil chemicals

+

Page 14: Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development · abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price 10/17/2019 20 EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent “Green premium”

CRI developing pipeline of Carbon Capture and Utilization (CCU) projectsEurope – defossilizing mobility China: low carbon clean urban air

10/17/2019 14

First projects: 50,000 – 100,000 t/yr First projects: 100,000 – 250,000 t/yr

CRI ETL platform with electrolysis CRI ETL platform with coke-oven gas

Page 15: Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development · abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price 10/17/2019 20 EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent “Green premium”

10/17/201915

Initial objectives of fleet trial 2016-2017

Demonstrate performance of M100 cars

Implement a green methanol value chain

Document CO2 savings and sustainability

Develop and test best practices

Results 2016-2019

> 400,000 km accumulated

Over 73% reduction of WTW CO2 emissions

Ownership costs < than BEV

Positive driver experience

Geely Emgrand 7 M100 in Iceland

Page 16: Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development · abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price 10/17/2019 20 EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent “Green premium”

2022 2024 2026 2028 20300%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

14%

2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020

EU 2009- : Increasing obligation for renewable energy in road transport

10/17/2019 16

Source: Eurostat, directive 2009/28, 2018/2001 (RED II)

New mandate: focus on sustainability

Share of energy in road transport

Gap10%

14%

Page 17: Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development · abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price 10/17/2019 20 EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent “Green premium”

Sodium chloride electrolysis

Water electrolysis

Separation of H2Recycled carbon fuel

Low carbon intensity methanol processes and EU framework

Energy source Upstream CRI Output (EU directives)

Renewable transport fuel from

non-biological sources*

+

+

Carbon Recycling International

* Also known as e-fuel

H2

H2

CCU fuel

Page 18: Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development · abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price 10/17/2019 20 EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent “Green premium”

Automaker obligation disconnected from renewable energy mandate

10/17/2019 18

Not battery electric = penalty Alternative: WTW perspectiveTargets for tailpipe emissions

2

4

6

8

2010 2020 2030 2040

EU China US

10 L/100 km

Page 19: Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development · abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price 10/17/2019 20 EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent “Green premium”

4.1 tCO2EV – Chinese grid

2.1 tCO2

2.3 tCO2

0.4 tCO2

CO2 footprint for light vehicle

10/17/2019 19

Gasoline

CRI methanol – byproduct H2

CRI methanol – 100% wind*

Annual net emissionsFuel 0 1 2 3 4 5

Sources: COREPER, OECD, Covenant of Mayors for Climate and Energy, CRI

Page 20: Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development · abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price 10/17/2019 20 EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent “Green premium”

Implied value of CO2 abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price

10/17/2019 20

EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent

“Green premium” based on bioethanol market price

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

Realized market prices 2018-2019*

800 €/t 140 €/MWh

Energy eq. price

€38

*Source: Energy Census; Ethanol = T2 Ethanol CIF Rotterdam; EuroBOB = European gasoline blendstock CIF Rotterdam

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

Feb-18 May-18 Aug-18 Nov-18 Feb-19

€900/t ethanol Per MWh LHV: €120

Realized priceAverage 2018-2019

€85

Price of energy eq. in gasoline (EuroBOB)

Premium for ethanol on energy eq. basis

Observable ethanol market price

€47

-170 kgCO2/MWh

= €38

-1 t CO2

= €223

Value of CO2 abatementImputed from premium for ethanol

Page 21: Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development · abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price 10/17/2019 20 EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent “Green premium”

Solar energy striking earth in one hour = global energy consumption per year

10/17/2019 21

122,100 TWh

Global primary energy consumption per year

Oil 6.02 TWh

Coal 4.91

Gas 4.15

Hydro 0.42

Nuclear 0.27

Non-hydro renewable 0.12

Total 15.9 TWh

Solar energy striking earth per year

52,900 TWh

Source : EIA

Page 22: Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development · abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price 10/17/2019 20 EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent “Green premium”

Does Europe have sufficient energy to switch to e-fuels?

Europe: Road transport energy demand

10/17/2019 22

Europe: Renewable energy potential

RooftopOnshore Offshore Thermal Utility

6000 TWh/yr

5000

4000

3000

2000

1000

0 0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

2020 2030 2040 2050

Fossil fuels Electricity H2 Methane PtL

Source: LBST/German Energy Agency 2017 “E-fuels: The potential of electricity-based fuels for low-emission transport in the EU”

6000 TWh/yr

Page 23: Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development · abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price 10/17/2019 20 EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent “Green premium”

Cost of electricity generation falling sharply

US on-shore wind LCOE - unsubsidized US utility PV solar LCOE - unsubsidized

10/17/2019 23

135124

71 72 7059 55

47 45 42 38 34 31 28 25 23 21

0

50

100

150

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025

125

98

79

6455

5043

3631

26 22 19 16 14

0

50

100

150

2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025

$150/MWh $150/MWh

Source: Data 2009 – 2018 from Lazard; Forecast 2019 - 2025: CRI

10% CAGR 2013-2018 16% CAGR 2013-2018

? ?

Page 24: Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development · abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price 10/17/2019 20 EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent “Green premium”

A new ecosystem of circular economy and energy

10/17/2019 24

Process industry

Power sector Mobility and freight

Government

Public & NGOs

Fossil fuels

Auto industry

Ag industry

Stakeholders

Direct ecosystem Indirect ecosystem

Page 25: Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development · abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price 10/17/2019 20 EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent “Green premium”

Take away points

10/17/2019 25

We have a problem Technology is ready New markets are openingCost falling and supply rising

Page 26: Benedikt Stefansson, Director of Business Development · abatement derived from EU bioethanol market price 10/17/2019 20 EuroBOB market price methanol equivalent “Green premium”

10/17/2019 26

Benedikt StefanssonDirector of Business Development

E-mail: benedikts [at] cri.is