Benno Benno Mwitumba Ulingeta Obadia Mbamba. ORSEA Conference 20142 A high standard or level. Degree of excellence. Distinguishing feature. Faculty, skill,

Benno Benno MwitumbaUlingeta Obadia Mbamba

ORSEA Conference 2014 2

A high standard or level. Degree of excellence. Distinguishing feature. Faculty, skill, accomplishment. Satisfaction of a customer’s needs or

requirements.

Quality is “totality of characteristics of an entity that bear on its ability to satisfy stated and implied needs”.

Most of developed countries invested a lot in education

Same approaches have been adopted in the URT through different programs such as Primary Education Development Program, Secondary Education Development Program.

There are 4,102 secondary schools 300 more than the previous year and 4 times as many as in 2000


However, in year 2008 form two examination pass rates dropped to 72% for boys and 65% for girls

The number of pupils taking the examination rose from 280,000 in 2007 to 415,000 in 2008, but only around the same number of pupils passed in both years


This draws some areas of interests to learn more on what should be done in order to improve the education system of Tanzania.

Admission and the graduates draw large area of interests to answer questions: What should be done to improve the admission criteria during the selection processes? Are these criteria good predictors of first year university performances?


UDSM has been admitting the best students and, therefore, expected them to have better performance during all years of studies

A number of students admitted at the UDSM do either, abscond studies or obtain poor results such as supplementary, carry over and some discontinued completely from studies

Need to analyze whether these criteria are good predictor of undergraduate performance of first academic yearsORSEA Conference 2014 6

The main purpose of this study is to evaluate the predictive ability of secondary schools performance to first year undergraduate performance


Model of evaluation of performance in Universities will probably need be revised following the results of analysis of this study as to whether undergraduate grade points average (GPA) should be revalued or not?


Theoretical Framework – Prediction and expectancy theories were used in this study

Empirical framework: based on several studies done in Tanzania and in the world


The performance level from form six results (ACSEE) significantly affects the first year undergraduate results at the University level.


Positivist, used secondary data first year undergraduate studies (dependent

variable) advanced level certificates (independent

Variable) Other variables were also captured – sex,

subject combinations, academic year at the University

Used three cohorts of 2011, 2012 and 2013used regression analysis – observing all

assumptions of regressions




11% predictive

ability

Model is significan

t

Both constants and F6 results are significant

Same results were obtained when analysis done based on Sex Subject combinations Year studied


Sufficient to conclude that Form Six results points have moderate contribution towards our prediction model

Policy makers and other stakeholders need to review the admission criteria to incorporate other criteria


Prediction of admission criteria focused only on quantitative analysis ignoring the qualitative characteristics during analysis.

Only first year grades points were quantified focusing university undergraduate performance while there might be several contributing factors towards the performance of University Students

Used one university and one degree



Documents

Benno Benno Mwitumba Ulingeta Obadia Mbamba. ORSEA Conference 20142 A high standard or level. Degree of excellence. Distinguishing feature. Faculty, skill,