BESLEY & PERSSON - 2011 - Pillars of Prosperity (Slides)

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    Extreme FragilityHigh FragilityModerate FragilityLow FragilityNo FragilityNo Data

    Polity IV State Fragility Index (2008)

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    0

    1 0

    2 0

    3 0

    4 0

    5 0

    T a x

    S h a r e o

    f G D P

    .4 .6 .8 1Property Rights Protection Index

    High income in 2000 Mid income in 2000Low income in 2000 Fitted values

    Fiscal and Legal Capacity

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    0

    1 0

    2 0

    3 0

    4 0

    5 0

    T a x

    S h a r e o

    f G D P

    .4 .6 .8 1Property Rights Protection Index

    No Civil War Some Civil WarFitted values

    Fiscal and Legal Capacity

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    0

    1 0

    2 0

    3 0

    4 0

    5 0

    T a x

    S h a r e o

    f G D P

    .2 .4 .6 .8 1Property Rights Protection Index

    No Fragility Some fragilityFitted values

    Fiscal and Legal Capacity

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    0

    . 2

    . 4

    . 6

    . 8

    1

    P r o p o r t i o n o

    f C o u n

    t r i e s

    1800 1850 1900 1950 2000

    YearIncome Tax VAT

    Fiscal capacity in a sample of 75 countries

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    2 0

    1 0

    0

    1 0

    2 0

    T a x

    s h a r e o

    f G D P

    .05 0 .05 .1 .15Share of years in external war

    External war and fiscal capacity

    . 4

    . 2

    0

    . 2

    P r o p e r t y r i g

    h t s p r o

    t e c

    t i o n

    i n d e x

    .05 0 .05 .1 .15Share of years in external war

    External war and legal capacity

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    2 0

    1 0

    0

    1 0

    2 0

    3 0

    T a x

    s h a r e o

    f G D P

    .5 0 .5Average executive constraints

    Executive constraints and fiscal capacity

    . 4

    . 2

    0

    . 2

    P r o p e r t y r

    i g h t s p r o

    t e c

    t i o n

    i n d e x

    .5 0 .5Average executive constraints

    Executive constraints and legal capacity

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    [ ]

    [ ]

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    2 0

    1 0

    0

    1 0

    2 0

    T a x s

    h a r e o

    f G D P

    .2 0 .2 .4 .6 .8Share of years in civil war

    Civil war and fiscal capacity

    . 4

    . 2

    0

    . 2

    P r o

    p e r t y r i g

    h t s p r o

    t e c

    t i o n

    i n d e x

    .2 0 .2 .4 .6 .8Share of years in civil war

    Civil war and legal capacity

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