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12th National Convention on Statistics (NCS) EDSA Shangri-La Hotel, Mandaluyong City
October 1-2, 2013
BETP-DTI’S STRATEGIC USE OF NSO-PROVIDED PHILIPPINE INTERNATIONAL TRADE DATA
by
Senen M. Perlada and Agnes P. R. Legaspi
For additional information, please contact: Author’s name : Senen M. Perlada, Agnes P. R. Legaspi Designation : Director, Assistant Director Affiliation : Bureau of Export Trade Promotion Department of Trade and Industry Address : DTI International Building, 375 Sen. Gil. J. Puyat Ave., Makati City Tel. no. : +632- 8953654/8905234 E-mail : [email protected], [email protected]
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BUREAU OF EXPORT TRADE PROMOTION, DEPARTMENT OF TRADE AND INDUSTRY’S STRATEGIC USE OF NSO-PROVIDED
PHILIPPINE INTERNATIONAL TRADE DATA
by
Senen M. Perlada and Agnes Perpetua R. Legaspi1
ABSTRACT
Executive Order 133 mandates the Bureau of Export Trade Promotion of the Department of Trade and Industry (BETP, DTI) to maintain an integrated information system covering all aspects of export marketing to serve the needs of the Philippine exporting community. This paper discusses BETP,DTI’s role in export development and its strategic use of the Philippine International Trade Data based on an existing Memorandum of Agreement (MOA) with the National Statistics Office (NSO). It also presents some pressing issues on the country’s international trade data capture and recommendations for its enhancement, future studies and research.
I. Introduction
Section 13, Item B of Executive Order No. 133 or otherwise known “Reorganizing the
Department of Trade and Industry, its Attached Agencies, and for Other Purposes”, signed in February 27, 1997 by then former President Corazon Aquino mandates BETP, DTI to maintain an integrated information system on all aspects of the products and commodities relevant to export marketing.
To support this mandate, BETP, DTI engaged the National Statistics Office (NSO), the country’s official statistical agency, into a Memorandum of Agreement (MOA) on the monthly provision of Philippine international trade data. Among the key variables included are the value and volume of trade (export-import) with all trade partners, and by Philippine port of origin.
BETP, DTI relies heavily on the reliability and timely provision of these data in order to properly monitor the country’s export performance of specific sectors as identified in the latest Philippine Export Development Plan (PEDP) 2011-2013.
Pre-defined and customized trade statistical reports are requested from the Trade Information and Assistance Group (TIAG) of the Bureau. The BETP-TIAG, the frontline support of the Bureau, through its Electronic Data Processing (EDP) Division responds to daily requests of both BETP-DTI internal and external client requests.
The main users of the processed data are the BETP,DTI product and market officers where the trade data processed are used as input in the Trade Relations Reports (TRRs) prepared by the Bureau’s Market Strategy and Consultancy Group (MSCG) and industry situationer reports prepared by the Product Research and Support Group (PRSG). Other main users are exporters, Business Support Organizations (BSOs), foreign embassies, other government agencies such as the Office of the President, the Department of Agriculture, the Department of Foreign Affairs, the House of Representatives and Senate, to name a few. BETP, DTI also supports the international trade information servicing requests of other DTI internal clients, such as the Office of the Secretary, and Offices from the different DTI
1 Director of the BETP-DTI and Assistant Director of the BETP-TIAG, DTI, respectively.
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functional groups: Trade and Investment Promotions Group (TIPG), Industry and Policy, (IDTPG) and Regional Operations Developments Groups (RODG).
The current trade data are based on the nomenclature Philippine Standard
Commodity Classification (PSCC) 2004 at 10-digit level and which is aligned with the ASEAN Harmonized Tariff Nomenclature (AHTN) at 8-digit level based on the 2002 version of the Harmonized Commodity Description and Coding System (HS) issued by the World Customs Organization (WCO) at 6-digit level. While the data churned are useful in analyzing historical export and import performance by product and by country, it has been noted that there have been difficulty using said information during trade negotiations where more current versions of the AHTN and HS nomenclatures are used. Efforts to align on a line by line basis have proved to be very tedious.
The provision of reliable information remains to be a challenged to BETP,DTI, given that the primary source of the Bureau of Customs (BOC) submission to NSO are consolidated data based on Philippine exporters and importers’ accurate disclosure of their trade transactions.
In various meetings with trade partners, it has now been a norm, rather than an
exception that there have been observed discrepancies between officially released statistics of the country with trade partners’ official statistics, as noted with China, South Korea, Indonesia, Brazil, and Turkey to name a few.
While there are initiatives to review these trade discrepancies with specific trade partners, it would be more strategic to have official Philippine studies that would identify the major sources of discrepancies, to work closely with major trade partners’ statistical agencies, and recommend policies to narrow the statistical gaps.
II. Discussion
A. The DTI and the BETP Department of Trade and Industry, DTI
The Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) is the primary government agency with the two-pronged mission of enabling business and empowering consumers. The Department is committed to improve the Filipinos' quality of life and reduce poverty through inclusive economic growth and employment generation. DTI is focused on undertaking programs, activities, and projects (PAPs) that: • Expand exports • Increase investments • Support and strengthen MSMEs • Ensure value for money of consumers, and • Pursue good governance
The DTI has six major functional groups composed of bureaus that provide support
to DTI's line agencies and are involved in line operations, which deliver business and consumer services directly to the stakeholders and the public. These functional groups are:
Office of the Secretary (OSEC) - Provides full support and efficient coordination of information to the DTI Secretary and among the functional groups of the Department
Industry Development and Trade Policy Group (IDTPG) - In-charge of investment promotion in activities critical to the DTI's trade and industry development program
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Trade and Investment Promotions Group (TIPG) - Promotes domestic and international trade and commerce Consumer Welfare and Business Regulation Group (CWBRG) - In-charge of the enforcement of laws to protect consumers, consumer education, and formation of consumer groups Regional Operations and Development Group (RODG) - Responsible for the field operations of the DTI in the regions and provinces Management Services Group (MSG) - Delivers effective, adequate, and timely services to clients in the shortest possible time and at the least cost. It also provides industry policies and coordinates and monitors the implementation of the operating plans and programs of the agenda provides an overall information and communication support
Annex 1 shows the current DTI’s organizational structure.
Bureau of Export Trade Promotion (BETP)
Under the Trade and Investment Promotions Group (TIPG) of DTI, the BETP is the export promotion arm of DTI. It provides frontline trade facilitation assistance, information, and specialized consultancy services to the general public and to all exporters - both potential and established. It seeks to enable Philippine exporters to compete with world-class products and services in the international market. It has three functional groups:
1. Trade Information and Assistance Group (TIAG) 2. Market Strategy and Consultancy Group (MSCG) 3. Product Research and Strategy Group (PRSG)
Its functions are:
Formulates and monitors programs, plans, and projects pertinent to the development, promotion, and expansion of foreign trade in the Philippines;
Formulates country and product export strategies; Conducts research on new product development and adaptation opportunities in the
export markets and identifies the domestic supply base for such products; Prepares situation reports on all export production; Prepares and updates country and regional market profiles and maintains an
integrated information system on all aspects of the products and commodities relevant to export marketing;
Formulates, plans, supervises, coordinates, and monitors the implementation of both private and official incoming and outgoing missions, and reviews the results of such;
Promotes and coordinates international subcontracting arrangement between and among foreign and Philippine investors whereby production operations and facilities may be located in the Philippines;
Formulates and monitors the implementation of policies and guidelines for the registration and certification of bona fide exporters eligible for the various export incentive programs of the Philippines; and
Reviews and identifies appropriate measures to minimize or deregulate export-import procedures and other foreign trade laws necessary to stimulate the international marketing of Philippine products
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The following are also some auxiliary tasks of the Bureau:
Technical support to the Export Development Council (EDC) for policy advocacy and PD 930 – “Simplifying export procedures and documentation by realigning functions of certain government offices/agencies involved in processing export documents, by authorizing the issuance of periodic clearances, by the adoption of standardized export documents, and for other purposes;
Accreditation of exporters under the Export Development Act (EDA) and the International Coffee Agreement (ICA) that are not accredited under the Philippine Export Processing Zone Authority (PEZA) and the Board of Investments (BOI);
Secretariat to the EO 1016 Interagency Committee which oversees the regular updating of prohibited and regulated products for exports; and
Chairs the Export Trade Complaints Committee which mediates on export-trade related disputes filed with DTI.
Annex 2 shows the current BETP, DTI organizational chart.
In late 2011, the Bureau’s Management Committee with guidance from a DTI-
Human Resource and Personnel Services (HRDP) Office - accredited Organizational Development (OD) consultant conducted a 2-day restructuring and strategic planning. A reformulated BETP Vision and Mission statement was crafted and cascaded, as follows:
Vision
We are acknowledged globally as the country’s top-of-mind lead export promotion agency driving the growth of Philippine exports to uplift the lives of the Filipino people.
Mission
We champion export growth through strategic promotions founded on our comprehensive base of knowledge.
To support BETP’s Mission, BETP has identified its strategic focus, as shown in Table 1:
Table 1 BETP, DTI BETP’s Strategic Focus
Strategic Focus Objective/s
A.1 Market-Centric
• Continually seek new information on international marketplace.
• Continue to profess to the exporting community for opportunities from FTA partners.
A.2 Product-Focused • Encourage suppliers to be competitive internationally and move them up the value chain.
• Rationalize the role of consolidators and third-party intermediaries.
A.3 Knowledge Management
Serve as the hub of the comprehensive, integrated information system.
To ensure that these strategies are effectively carried, BETP continues to: - define the broad strokes of the PEDP into “SMART” programs and projects; - cascade market- and product demand information gathered from FTSC; - enable the flow of knowledge of international trade to exporters in the field with DTI’s
Regional Operations and Development Group (RODG) – DTI Regional and Provincial Offices;
- designate “central station” trade counsellors (end-to-end servicing); - establish a national exporters registration system;
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- interact with other competent authorities as a nodal agency of new market directives; - work with other export-related public and private organizations on export trade
facilitations issues.
Figure 1 BETP’s Strategic Interventions along the value chain anchored on the PEDP
Figure 1 shows BETP’s interventions and flow of information in the export value chain anchored on the Philippine Export Development Plan (PEDP).
B. Export Legislations Export Development Act of 1994 (EDA)
Republic Act No. 7844, also known as the Export Development Act of 1994 states that the policy of the State is to evolve export development into a national effort. The government shall champion exports as a focal strategy for a sustainable agri-industrial development to achieve Philippine NIChood towards the year 2000. The private sector shall take the lead in the collective effort to promote exports through discipline and hard work, as it confronts the challenge of winning international markets.
It further emphasized that the government and the private sector shall jointly transform the Philippines into an exporting nation - a key to national survival and the means through which the economic goals of increased employment and enhanced incomes can most expeditiously be achieved.
The EDA’s key principle is to ensure a macro-economic policy framework that supports export development, especially in key areas of concern to exporters on trade, tariff and customs policies stimulates competitiveness of domestic industries and facilitate their participation in international trade. PEDP – Philippine Export Development Program - rolling
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The Export Development Act expressed that the President of the Republic of the Philippines shall approve a rolling three-year Philippine Export Development Plan prepared by the Department of Trade and Industry which shall form part of the medium-term Philippine Development Plan. And that it shall be formulated in consultation with the private sector, validated and updated semestrally.
The PEDP defines the country's annual and medium-term export thrusts, strategies,
programs and projects and shall be jointly implemented by the government, export and other concerned sectors.
Identified in the PEDP 2011-2013 are key sectors that are prioritized for export promotion in the 3-year plan. BETP is tasked to monitor on a regular basis the export performance of these key sectors and whether the targets are being achieved.
C. BETP - National Statistics Office (NSO) MOA
Since early 1990’s BETP has worked closely with NSO in the provision of regular monthly PH trade data through a yearly Memorandum of Agreement (MOA). Some of the key data sets included in the MOA are listed in Table 2.
Table 2: List of some key data sets in the 2013 NSO-BETP, DTI MOA
Variable/s Reference Period
2013 monthly export statistics, by product (PSCC2004 version), country of destination, quantity, value (FOB), value of insurance, and value of freight
Fifty (50) days after the reference month
2012 annual export statistics, by product (PSCC2004 version), country of destination, quantity, value (FOB), value of insurance, and value of freight
Four (4) months after the reference year Within the first two (2) months of the coming year or year 2013
2013 monthly import statistics, by product (PSCC2004 version), by country of origin, quantity, value (FOB), value of insurance, and value of freight
Sixty five (65) days after the reference month
2012 annual import statistics, by product (PSCC2004 version), by country of origin, quantity, value (FOB), value of insurance, and value of freight
Four (4) months after the reference year. Within the first three (3) months of the coming year or year 2013)
2013 monthly Philippine exports statistics by product (PSCC2004 version), by province of origin, port of origin and country of destination with quantity, value (FOB), value of insurance and value of freight
Not more than 50 days after the reference month
2013 monthly Philippine imports statistics by product (PSCC2004 version), by port of loading and country of origin with quantity, value (FOB), value of insurance and value of freight
Not more than 65 days after the reference month
Given that the mission of BETP is anchored on its comprehensive knowledge base,
the existing contact with NSO enables BETP to respond to trade data queries and formulate strategies based on these monthly Philippine trade performance updates. Some of the most frequently requested reports processed by BETP, DTI are listed in Table 3.
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Table 3. List of frequently requested PH export statistics reports
Report Description
Summary of Philippine Merchandise Exports
List of product groups (BETP Product Grouping or Revenue Streams) with corresponding export value US$, FOB and % share. Reports can be processed for all exports (World) or specific market (country) or trade blocs(ASEAN, EU27, etc.)
Summary of Philippine Merchandise Exports By Region and Ports of Origin
List of Port Of Origin (POO) by Region with corresponding export value US$ FOB and % share. List of product groups (BETP Product Grouping or Revenue Streams) with corresponding export value US$, FOB and % share by specific Region or Port.
Top Exports (By Product) List of products exported in PSCC 10 digit or AHTN 8 digit and HS-6 digit ranked by world or special regional bloc or specific market
Top Markets List of markets ranked by world or by regional or trade blocs
Merchandise balance of trade (Exports-Imports) are also frequently generated. Some
sample reports are shown in Annex 3. The reports listed in Table 3 can also be generated for import statistics except for port of origin reports.
Based on the full year 2012 clientele requests to BETP, TIAG, 62% were from BETP,
DTI internal clients, with a slight increase for the 1st semester of 2013 to 65%, as shown in Table 4.
Table 4. Indicative Number of Clients Served by BETP. EDP
Period/Clients Jan – June 2013 FY 2012
No. % No. %
Total Clients 404 100 861 100
External 142 35 327 38
Internal 262 65 534 62
Internally, aside from the regular monthly monitoring of PEDP industry group export performance, the processed reports are mostly input to BETP’s Market Group in the monthly updating of market officers of the Trade Relations Reports (TRRs), Product Group for industry and product situationer reports and in preparation for outbound and inbound missions. Frequent data requests of the DTI-Office of the Secretary and other Offices within the Department are used as input to speeches, trade reports, presentation materials and in meetings with dignitaries and business delegations from different trade partners.
BETP also processes data requests from external clients - exporters and would-be
exporters, students, financial institutions, other government agencies, business support organizations, and embassies to name a few.
Special data tabulations of NSO-sourced Philippine international data are also
processed as input during budget hearings, Doing Business In Free Trade Areas (DBFTA) information sessions and recently in coming up with export monthly forecasts under the Bureau’s project with the Statistical Research and Training Center (SRTC) titled
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“Development of Forecast Models of Export Merchandise and Services through Statistical Capacity Building for the Bureau of Export Trade Promotion of the Department of Trade and Industry”. Sample reports are included in Annex 4.
III. PH International Trade Data Issues
NSO relies heavily on documents submitted by exporters and importers to the
different Bureau of Customs (BOC) ports all over the country. While the sharing of data has shifted to digital sharing between BOC and its Value Added Service Providers (VASPs), through the Electronic to Mobile (E2M) system of BOC, there still exists manual retrieval and manual data inputting done by NSO. A trade data reconciliation exercise is currently being undertaken by NSO with the Philippine Export Processing Zone Authority (PEZA) to ensure that all reported trade transactions by their three (3) Value Added Services Providers (VASPs) are captured since the E2M system of BOC was initiated in June 2012.
There have been instances where BETP sought clarifications from reported data such as, the correct attribution of export value and volume to the correct product/s - PSCC codes, harmonization of product coverage by sectors/product groups of NSO Table 2, and in many instances comparison of official trade statistics with trade partners – China, Indonesia, Brazil and Turkey to name a few. Table 5 and 6, shows a comparison of official trade statistics based on official submission to the UN’s international Trade Center (ITC) for the Trade Map database for PH Trade partners’ China and South Korea.
Table 5. PH Trade with China Compared
Unit: In US Dollar, thousand
All Products 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
*PH exports to China (in FOB) 5,749,864 5,469,186 2,933,923 5,724,467 6,102,252 6,159,106
*PH imports from China (in CIF) 4,232,895 4,561,087 4,060,394 4,954,295 6,504,583 7,136,414
Total Trade 9,982,759 10,030,273 6,994,317 10,678,762 12,606,835 13,295,520
**China exports to PH (in FOB) 7,528,378 9,132,231 8,584,708 11,540,277 14,257,182 16,535,603
**China imports from PH (in CIF) 23,117,835 19,504,744 11,946,610 16,220,255 17,994,713 19,676,326
Total Trade 30,646,213 28,636,975 20,531,318 27,760,532 32,251,895 36,211,929
Difference (PH Exp-China Imp) (17,367,971) (14,035,558) (9,012,687) (10,495,788) (11,892,461) (13,517,220)
Difference (PH Imp-China Exp) (3,295,483) (4,571,144) (4,524,314) (6,585,982) (7,752,599) (9,399,189) * Reported By PH ** Reported By China Source: Trademap (www.trademap.org)
Table 6. PH Trade with South Korea Compared
Unit: In US Dollar, thousand
All Products 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
*PH exports to Korea (in FOB) 1,783,733 2,522,516 1,828,197 2,243,107 2,196,405 2,862,008
*PH imports from Korea (in CIF) 3,403,906 3,128,522 3,160,860 4,040,349 4,645,532 4,742,477
Total Trade 5,187,639 5,651,038 4,989,057 6,283,456 6,841,937 7,604,485
**Korea import from PH (in FOB) 2,438,245 3,099,468 2,651,620 3,488,938 3,573,220 3,283,935
**Korea export to Ph (in CIF) 4,420,334 5,016,255 4,567,278 5,837,297 7,361,243 8,210,714
Total Trade 6,858,579 8,115,723 7,218,898 9,326,235 10,934,463 11,494,649
Difference (PH Exp-Korea Imp) (654,512) (576,952) (823,423) (1,245,831) (1,376,815) (421,927)
Difference (PH Imp-Korea Exp) (1,016,428) (1,887,733) (1,406,418) (1,796,948) (2,715,711) (3,468,237) * Reported By PH ** Reported By South Korea Source: Trademap (www.trademap.org
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These observed gaps makes it difficult for Philippine officials in citing official PH
figures when visiting or negotiating trade initiatives with these countries.
In 2010, a Joint China-Philippines Trade Statistics Review Working Group meeting was held in Beijing, with representatives from NSO, BOC, BETP, DTI and Embassy of the Philippines in China for the Philippines and officials from the Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM) and the National Bureau of Statistics of China in attendance. Both countries were able to present and have an appreciation on their foreign trade data capture processes. Both sides agreed that there may be a difference between the two countries’ pricing (valuation) methods, applied to imports and exports and may be one of the reasons on the statistical discrepancies. However, it was noted by the Philippine side that China is able to track trade statistics from intermediary countries whereas the Philippine do not have this variable under the current international trade statistical system, thus, making it difficult to compare datasets. It was agreed also that continued exchange of information and dialogue between the Philippines and China be done regarding the issue.
There are additional datasets that are also needed to be captured. The province of origin is a critical variable which provides a picture where Philippine export products are produced or sourced. These relevant dataset can assist the DTI in the formulation of regional export development plans.
Also, there is a need to establish the local value content of export industries such that
the import component of shipped products data should also be monitored.
III. Recommendations and Conclusion
As a major user of the NSO-sourced PH international data, these data sets have been very useful in many reports, speeches and country presentations that the BETP,DTI and other Offices of the DTI have done. BETP has also been able to share these datasets to its various clients.
However, the Bureau sees the need to further improve the capture and access of
these data sets as indicated below:
a. Data Release Schedules
Under the Philippine Statistical System (PSS), the NSO comes up with a yearly Agency Statistical Calendar (ASC) where the schedules of press releases for official data/reports are indicated. This is in line with the Government Statistics Accessibility Program (GSAP) of the PSS which aims to improve the accessibility of statistical information and services. The goals of the GSAP are to facilitate faster and sounder decision-making by making available timely and relevant data to users and to maximize the benefits from existing data collection in government.
For monthly export performance press releases, NSO usually issues this report every
10th of the month of past two reference months (i.e. August 2013, to be released on October 10, 2013). However, based on the current NSO-BETP, DTI MOA, the complete datasets for any reference month are expected after fifty (50) days and sixty five (65) days for export and import, respectively.
BETP sees the need to shorten the turnaround time to respond more strategically on
issues regarding trade flows of specific products, product groups and markets. With the advent of Information and Communication Technology (ICT) tools, it is advocated that the sharing of information moves towards real-time basis.
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b. Product Coding System
Currently, NSO uses the nomenclature Philippine Standard Commodity Classification (PSCC) 2004 for official PH international trade data. However, there have been more updated Philippine Tariff Commission publications of Tariff and Customs Code of the Philippines (TCCP). The most recent is the TCCP, as amended, AHTN 2012.
The country is currently engaged in seven regional and bilateral Free Trade
Agreements (FTAs) and continues to negotiate and renegotiate Trade in Goods (TIG) commitments. It has been noted that there have been difficulty using NSO official data during negotiations since the available trade data are still in PSCC 2004/AHTN 2004 coding versions. While a correlation table between the 2004 AHTN-TCCP version and the 2007 AHTN-TCCP and vice versa has been prepared by the Tariff Commission, the manual matching of data to the updated product codes is too tedious and prone to errors.
To ensure that we are able to comply and assess our TIG commitments, it is
recommended that NSO works towards capturing PH international trade statistics aligned to current product coding versions being used for trade negotiations and to also provide historical data for past 3-5 years for trade flow analysis. Additional budget from the government should be allocated for NSO for this complex exercise.
c. Additional data sets needed by DTI
Since NSO relies on the BOC system to capture specific data sets, it has also been noted that some critical information have been missed out from the BOC system, such as the mandatory filing of import of raw materials and province of origin. These data sets are critical information to establish the local value content of specific industry sectors. Similarly, the province of origin is needed by DTI to identify where the export products are sourced, given that the indicative data for regional data are only sourced through port of origin data and do not provide conclusive basis since most provinces do not have their own ports. Also, the inclusion on country of consignment for both export and import documents should be included in order to properly track Philippine trade and which can be used in comparing bilateral trade statistics with trade partners.
The NSO and the Inter-Agency on Trade Statistics (IAC-TrS) have formally
requested the Bureau of Customs (BOC) to include these fields as mandatory in the BOC system. It is requested that this request be implemented the soonest so that the needed data can already be captured by NSO and shared with BETP, DTI.
d. Advocacy and More Research
The provision of reliable information remains to be a challenged to BETP,DTI given that the primary source of the Bureau of Customs (BOC) submission to NSO are consolidated data based on Philippine exporters and importers accurate disclosure of their trade transactions. There is also a need to fast track the trade data reconciliation exercise being undertaken by NSO with PEZA to ensure that correct trade figures are released.
BETP has been actively involved with the National Statistical and Coordination Board
(NSCB) – Inter Agency Committee on Trade Statistics (IAC-TrS) and the Technical Working Group – Trade in Goods (TWG-TG). While discussions on the need to continue to educate exporters and importers in the correct filling up of PSCC/HS codes that they used for their
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products are being done, there is a need to organize such activities on a regular basis, with the assistance of the Tariff Commission.
There should also be continued benchmarking on good practices on international
trade data capture. Studies or research work on the causes of observed discrepancies between official Philippine and trade partner’s data sets should be done. These studies can be endorsed to the Statistical Research and Training Center (SRTC) and be incorporated in the PSS.
Close collaboration with key data providers, private sectors, BOC and NSO should
be maintained by BETP, DTI. This can be further strengthened through BETP, DTI’s timely provision of feedback regarding trade data issues raised by its various stakeholders.
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REFERENCES
BETP, DTI, NSO Memorandum of Agreement (MOA) on NSO Services for Trade Data/Statistics Retrieval System 2013
BETP, DTI/EDC, Philippine Export Development Plan (PEDP) 2011-2013 BETP, DTI, Accomplishment Reports (January – December 2012, January - June 2013) BETP, DTI, SRTC Memorandum of Agreement (MOA) - Development of Forecast Models
of Export Merchandise and Services through Statistical Capacity Building for the Bureau of Export Trade Promotion of the Department of Trade and Industry, 2013
Executive Order 133, “Reorganizing the Department of Trade and Industry, its Attached Agencies, and for other Purposes, February 27, 1997
Minutes of the First Meeting of the Joint China-Philippines Trade Statistics Review Working Group, Beijing, China, November 15, 2010
NSCB, 2004 Philippine Standard Commodity Classification (PSCC), March 2005 PD 930, “Simplifying Export Procedures and Documentation by Realigning Functions of Certain Government Offices/Agencies involved in Processing Export Documents, by Authorizing the Issuance of Periodic Clearances, by the Adoption of Standardized Export Documents, and for Other Purposes”, May 13, 1976 Republic Act No. 7844, also known as the Export Development Act (EDA) of 1994 www.dti.gov.ph www.census.gov.ph www.nscb.gov.ph www.tariffcommission.gov.ph www.trademap.org
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Annex 1
DTI Organizational Chart
Annex 2
BETP, DTI Organizational Chart
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Annex 3
Sample frequently requested PH export statistics reports
a. By Product Group SUMMARY OF PHILIPPINE MERCHANDISE EXPORTS TO THE WORLD FOB VALUE IN US$ FY 2012 VIS-À-VIS 2011 SOURCE: NSO PROCESSED BY: BETP-EDP NOTE: BASED ON BETP PRODUCT GROUPING
VALUE % SHARE VALUE % SHARE
TOTAL PHL EXPORTS 52,099,520,662 100 48,304,928,134 100 7.86
ANIMAL /PLANT 775,752 0.00 1,551,600 0.00 (50.00)
ANIMAL /PLANT Total 775,752 0.00 1,551,600 0.00 (50.00)
ANIMAL ORIGIN Coral /Shell 4,359,474 0.01 3,795,047 0.01 14.87
Misc 249,374 0.00 203,818 0.00 22.35
ANIMAL ORIGIN Total 4,608,848 0.01 3,998,865 0.01 15.25
ARMS /AMMUNITIONS /EXPLOSIVES Arms /Ammunitions 37,523,567 0.07 23,378,403 0.05 60.51
Explosives 27,617,197 0.05 6,842,149 0.01 303.63
ARMS /AMMUNITIONS /EXPLOSIVES Total 65,140,764 0.13 30,220,552 0.06 115.55
ARTS /ANTIQUES Antiques /Collections 52,157 0.00 77,053 0.00 (32.31)
Artworks 3,538,820 0.01 885,584 0.00 299.60
ARTS /ANTIQUES Total 3,590,977 0.01 962,637 0.00 273.04
BEVERAGES Alcoholic Beer 6,006,976 0.01 10,502,502 0.02 (42.80)
Fermented 35,867 0.00 624 0.00 5,647.92
Fruit Spirits 807,141 0.00 1,295,080 0.00 (37.68)
Grape Wine 37,590 0.00 24,414 0.00 53.97
% CHANGEPRODUCT GROUP SUB GROUP SUB SUB GROUP2012 2011
b. By Regional Bloc SUMMARY OF PHILIPPINE MERCHANDISE EXPORTS BY BLOC FOB VALUE IN US$ FY 2012 VIS-À-VIS 2011 SOURCE: NSO PROCESSED BY: BETP-EDP NOTE: Ranking Based on 2012 Exports Value
VALUE % SHARE VALUE % SHARE
TOTAL PHL EXPORTS 52,099,520,662 100.00 48,304,928,134 100.00 7.86
AMERICAS CARIBBEAN COUNTRIES PUERTO RICO 10,913,118 0.02 14,221,603 0.03 (23.26)
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC 3,822,682 0.01 2,283,894 0.00 67.38
CAYMAN ISLANDS 2,920,542 0.01 147,747 0.00 1,876.72
BAHAMAS 1,542,395 0.00 1,635,802 0.00 (5.71)
NETHERLANDS ANTILLES 1,432,227 0.00 216,707 0.00 560.90
CUBA 843,896 0.00 1,072,737 0.00 (21.33)
JAMAICA 644,870 0.00 708,927 0.00 (9.04)
TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO 624,491 0.00 807,707 0.00 (22.68)
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA 575,058 0.00 89,059 0.00 545.70
HAITI 347,637 0.00 426,651 0.00 (18.52)
BERMUDA 282,183 0.00 147,067 0.00 91.87
ARUBA 254,607 0.00 204,546 0.00 24.47
BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS 180,870 0.00 174,637 0.00 3.57
BARBADOS 128,753 0.00 144,294 0.00 (10.77)
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS 84,130 0.00 75,466 0.00 11.48
DOMINICA 73,760 0.00 0 0.00
TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS 31,426 0.00 6,192 0.00 407.53
ST.KITTS & NEVIS 1,048 0.00 2,642 0.00 (60.33)
ST. VINCENT AND GRENADINES 288 0.00 71,977 0.00 (99.60)
MONTSERRAT 0 0.00 63,360 0.00 (100.00)
ST. LUCIA 0 0.00 119,378 0.00 (100.00)
GRENADA 0 0.00 600 0.00 (100.00)
CARIBBEAN COUNTRIES Total 24,703,981 0.05 22,620,993 0.05 9.21
REGIONAL BLOC SUB BLOC2012 2011
% CHANGEMARKET
Page 16 of 24
c) By Port of Origin SUMMARY OF PHILIPPINE MERCHANDISE EXPORTS BY PORT OF ORIGIN FOB VALUE IN US$ FY 2012 VIS-À-VIS 2011 SOURCE: NSO PROCESSED BY: BETP-EDP
VALUE % SHARE VALUE % SHARE
TOTAL PHL EXPORTS 52,099,520,662 100.00 48,304,928,134 100.00 7.86
CAR BAGUIO EXPORT PROCESSING ZONE BAGUIO CITY, BENGUET 1,600,695,865 3.07 179,640 0.00 890,957.60
CAR Total 1,600,695,865 3.07 179,640 0.00 890,957.60
REGION I CABUGAO, ILOCOS SUR 0 0.00 761,153 0.00 (100.00)
DAGUPAN CITY, PANGASINAN 0 0.00 433,942 0.00 (100.00)
GAANG, CURRIMAO, ILOCOS NORTE 918,440 0.00 4,500,750 0.01 (79.59)
GABUT PORT BADOC, ILOCOS NORTE 475,800 0.00 144,750 0.00 228.70
GOVERNMENT PIER, PORO POINT SAN FERNADO, LA UNION 22,148,089 0.04 51,768,172 0.11 (57.22)
LAOAG CITY INTERNATION AIRPORT 0 0.00 83,562 0.00 (100.00)
PHILEX MINING CORPORATION CONVEYOR PIER, SAN FERNANDO, LA UNION 22,669,014 0.04 130,860,451 0.27 (82.68)
SAN FERNANDO, LA UNION 141,048,473 0.27 178,708,324 0.37 (21.07)
SUAL, PANGASINAN 6,550,196 0.01 0 0.00
REGION I Total 193,810,012 0.37 367,261,104 0.76 (47.23)
REGION II APARRI, CAGAYAN 28,776,240 0.06 12,205,649 0.03 135.76
REGION II Total 28,776,240 0.06 12,205,649 0.03 135.76
REGION PORT2012 2011
% CHANGE
d) By Export Markets SUMMARY OF PHILIPPINE MERCHANDISE EXPORTS MARKET FOB VALUE IN US$ FY 2012 VIS-À-VIS 2011 SOURCE: NSO PROCESSED BY: BETP-EDP NOTE: Ranking Based on 2012 Exports Value
VALUE % SHARE VALUE % SHARE
TOTAL PHL EXPORTS 52,099,520,662 100.00 48,304,928,134 100.00 7.86
1 JAPAN (INCLUDES OKINAWA) 9,880,509,777 18.96 8,886,139,984 18.40 11.19
2 UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (INCL. HAWAII AND ALASKA) 7,417,516,130 14.24 7,101,969,911 14.70 4.44
3 CHINA, PEOPLE'S REP. OF 6,169,284,627 11.84 6,237,326,157 12.91 (1.09)
4 SINGAPORE 4,866,641,272 9.34 4,278,558,852 8.86 13.74
5 HONG KONG SAR 4,775,944,360 9.17 3,701,459,904 7.66 29.03
6 KOREA, REP. OF (SOUTH) 2,882,067,065 5.53 2,237,228,348 4.63 28.82
7 THAILAND 2,445,856,730 4.69 1,906,005,870 3.95 28.32
8 GERMANY 1,956,091,708 3.75 1,729,757,525 3.58 13.08
9 TAIWAN (REP. OF CHINA) 1,942,555,764 3.73 1,993,186,982 4.13 (2.54)
10 NETHERLANDS 1,554,360,753 2.98 1,744,950,542 3.61 (10.92)
11 MALAYSIA 1,017,994,309 1.95 1,099,075,936 2.28 (7.38)
12 INDONESIA 839,639,548 1.61 627,235,143 1.30 33.86
13 UK GREAT BRITAIN AND N. IRELAND 656,582,825 1.26 400,891,090 0.83 63.78
14 VIET NAM 594,177,155 1.14 752,140,869 1.56 (21.00)
15 CANADA 508,182,966 0.98 416,272,844 0.86 22.08
16 SWITZERLAND 391,426,918 0.75 266,849,351 0.55 46.68
17 AUSTRALIA 387,247,106 0.74 393,889,738 0.82 (1.69)
18 FRANCE 359,619,496 0.69 430,088,215 0.89 (16.38)
19 INDIA 326,832,171 0.63 388,301,331 0.80 (15.83)
20 BELGIUM 302,022,105 0.58 386,311,113 0.80 (21.82)
RANK MARKET % CHANGE20112012
Page 17 of 24
d) By Specific Market SUMMARY OF PHILIPPINE MERCHANDISE EXPORTS TO JAPAN FOB VALUE IN US$ FY 2012 VIS-À-VIS 2011 SOURCE: NSO PROCESSED BY: BETP-EDP NOTE: BASED ON BETP PRODUCT GROUPING
VALUE % SHARE VALUE % SHARE
TOTAL PHL EXPORTS 9,880,509,777 100 8,886,139,984 100 11.19
ANIMAL /PLANT 134,512 0.00 89,684 0.00 49.98
ANIMAL /PLANT Total 134,512 0.00 89,684 0.00 49.98
ANIMAL ORIGIN Coral /Shell 163,484 0.00 14,095 0.00 1,059.87
Misc 38,893 0.00 16,582 0.00 134.55
ANIMAL ORIGIN Total 202,377 0.00 30,677 0.00 559.70
ARMS /AMMUNITIONS /EXPLOSIVES Arms /Ammunitions 66,424 0.00 0 0.00
ARMS /AMMUNITIONS /EXPLOSIVES Total 66,424 0.00 0 0.00
ARTS /ANTIQUES Artworks 9,998 0.00 1,106 0.00 803.98
ARTS /ANTIQUES Total 9,998 0.00 1,106 0.00 803.98
BEVERAGES Alcoholic Beer 206,648 0.00 311,347 0.00 (33.63)
Rhum /Tafia 0 0.00 139,607 0.00 (100.00)
Non-Alcoholic Bottled Water 163,373 0.00 182,744 0.00 (10.60)
Juice Drinks 121,586 0.00 478,158 0.01 (74.57)
Misc 32,255 0.00 34,487 0.00 (6.47)
Salabat 174 0.00 0 0.00
BEVERAGES Total 524,036 0.01 1,146,343 0.01 (54.29)
CARRAGEENAN 2,472,148 0.03 4,837,633 0.05 (48.90)
CARRAGEENAN Total 2,472,148 0.03 4,837,633 0.05 (48.90)
% CHANGEPRODUCT GROUP SUB GROUP SUB SUB GROUP2012 2011
e) Trade Relations Report (TRR)
TRR Section: II. PHILIPPINES TRADE WITH ALL COUNTRIES A. BILATERAL MERCHANDISE TRADE Value in Million US Dollars
Source: NSO/BETP
Page 18 of 24
Annex 4 BETP, DTI July Export Performance Report Reference Tables/Figures: Table 1a - July export forecast ranges and actual exports (in US$ Million) Submitted Forcecast - JULY 2013 Table 1a
MAPE1 Point
ForecastS.E. Lower Upper CV2
July 2013 % Sh 3
1 Total Exports 5.06 4,795.45 319.49 4,269.89 5,321.02 6.66 4,836.43 100.00 within
2 Electronics 6.48 1,932.92 165.99 1,659.87 2,205.97 8.59 1,892.56 39.13 within
Components/Devices 7.35 1,267.30 124.74 1,062.11 1,472.50 9.84 1,261.34 26.08 within
Automotive
Electronics
35.03 40.23 20.68 6.22 74.25 51.39 22.74 0.47 within
3 Machinery & Transport
Equipment
10.42 672.31 112.33 487.52 857.10 16.71 612.88 12.67 within
4 Wood Manufactures 20.19 278.55 88.64 132.73 424.37 31.82 237.42 4.91 within
5 Other Minerals 20.07 288.62 75.97 163.66 413.59 26.32 172.41 3.56 within
6 Garments 8.40 158.40 23.08 120.43 196.37 14.57 122.81 2.54 within
7 Processed Food and
Beverages
7.32 118.57 11.87 99.04 138.10 10.01 107.52 2.22 within
8 Chemicals 12.66 264.14 48.63 184.14 344.14 18.41 201.55 4.17 within
9 Fruits and Vegetables 8.77 141.18 17.28 112.76 169.59 12.24 136.71 2.83 within
10 Coconut Products 19.18 167.86 42.70 97.62 238.10 25.44 143.79 2.97 within
Series
Forecast Actual REMARKS (w/in the
forecast range)
1Agreed Mean Average Percentage Error (MAPE) should be 10% 2 Agreed Coefficient of Variation (CV) should be 10% 3 % share to total exports 4Other Minerals coverage: Nickel ores, copper ores, manganese ores, iron ores, etc. Data source: NSO Table 2 Philippine Exports by Commodity Group Table 1b – August export forecast ranges (in US$ Million)
Submitted Forcecast - AUGUST 2013
MAPE1 Point
ForecastS.E. Lower Upper CV2
1 Total Exports 5.59 4,768.65 353.37 4,187.37 5,349.94 7.41
2 Electronics 6.40 1,994.50 169.11 1,716.31 2,272.69 8.48
Components/Devices 7.30 1,351.71 132.55 1,133.67 1,569.75 9.81
Automotive Electronics 34.29 71.34 45.32 (3.21) 145.88 63.52
3 Machinery & Transport
Equipment
10.87 477.56 86.56 335.17 619.94 18.12
4 Wood Manufactures 20.41 269.08 84.86 129.49 408.68 31.54
5 Other Minerals 19.63 225.12 59.55 127.17 323.08 26.45
6 Garments 9.28 143.91 21.32 108.85 178.98 14.81
7 Processed Food and
Beverages
7.34 36.54 4.07 29.84 43.24 11.15
8 Chemicals 12.90 107.78 23.96 68.37 147.19 22.23
9 Fruits and Vegetables 8.59 85.18 11.67 65.98 104.38 13.70
10 Coconut Products 19.18 178.50 46.73 101.63 255.38 26.18
Series
Forecast
Page 19 of 24
EXPORT PERFORMANCE TRENDS (Figures 1-10 are based on NSO Table 2 Philippine Exports by Commodity Groupings)
1. Total Exports
0
1,000,000,000
2,000,000,000
3,000,000,000
4,000,000,000
5,000,000,000
6,000,000,000
92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12
TOTAL HPTREND_TOTAL
2. Electronics Products – Main
1,200,000,000
1,600,000,000
2,000,000,000
2,400,000,000
2,800,000,000
3,200,000,000
3,600,000,000
99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
electronics_main
HPTREND_MAIN_ELECT
Page 20 of 24
Components/Devices (Semiconductors)
800,000,000
1,200,000,000
1,600,000,000
2,000,000,000
2,400,000,000
2,800,000,000
3,200,000,000
99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
components_devices
HPTREND_COMDEV Automotive Electronics
0
40,000,000
80,000,000
120,000,000
160,000,000
200,000,000
240,000,000
280,000,000
320,000,000
99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
automotive HPTREND_AUTOMOTIVE
Page 21 of 24
3. Machinery & Transport Equipment
0
100,000,000
200,000,000
300,000,000
400,000,000
500,000,000
600,000,000
700,000,000
800,000,000
900,000,000
99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
MACHINERY_TRANSPORT
HPTREND_MACHINERY
4. Wood Manufactures
0
50,000,000
100,000,000
150,000,000
200,000,000
250,000,000
300,000,000
99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
WOODMANUFACTURES HP_WOODMANUF
Page 22 of 24
5. Garments
40,000,000
80,000,000
120,000,000
160,000,000
200,000,000
240,000,000
280,000,000
99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
GARMENTS HP_GARMENTS
6. Chemicals
0
100,000,000
200,000,000
300,000,000
400,000,000
500,000,000
99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
CHEMICALS HPTREND_CHEMICALS
Page 23 of 24
7. Minerals Products(Others)
0
50,000,000
100,000,000
150,000,000
200,000,000
250,000,000
300,000,000
350,000,000
99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
OTHER_MINERAL HP_OTHER_MINERAL
8. Fruits and Veggies
20,000,000
40,000,000
60,000,000
80,000,000
100,000,000
120,000,000
140,000,000
160,000,000
99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
fruits and vegetables
HPTREND_FRUITSANDVEG
Page 24 of 24
9. Coconut
0
40,000,000
80,000,000
120,000,000
160,000,000
200,000,000
240,000,000
99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
coconut HP_MAIN_COCONUT
10. Processed Food & Beverages
0
40,000,000
80,000,000
120,000,000
160,000,000
200,000,000
99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13
PROCESSED_FOOD_BEV
HPTREND_PROCESSED
