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Know your clients, know your market : a perspective on France AIMSE Annual Conference February the 2nd, 2006

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  • 1. Know your clients, know your market : a perspective on FranceAIMSE Annual Conference February the 2nd, 2006

2. Table of Contents

  • 1. The French Asset Management industry
  • 2. The Institutional market
  • 3. Market players and winning strategies

3. 1. The French Asset Management industry 4. The 4th largest asset management industry in the world Source: AMF/AFG A growing market highly invested inmutual funds Source: EFAMA Market shares of the European fund industry 2004 2001 1997 813 1412 1830 French UCITS Mandates 1000 2000 12% CAGR In Billion Euros 1080 750 Luxemb. 21% UnitedKingdom 9% Others 13% Italy 7% Ireland 8% France 22% Germany 16% Spain 4% A strong appetite for money market UCITS

  • Money market funds historically dominate as interest-bearing current accounts only appeared in 2005.

Source:EuroPerformance Guaranteed 9% Balanced 10% Equities 24% Money market 47% Bonds 10% 5. Mutual funds distribution in Europe is dominated by banks. No major change expected in channel market share Source: Cerrulli Associates

    • Banks 76%
    • Insurance 19%
    • IFAs 3%
    • Direct 2%

France Source:Cerulli Associates, BNP PAM.Figures estimated as of 2005.However, open architecture expected to increase dramatically Assets Under Management in Europe(mutual funds only) Source: FEFSI 3 700 Bn 2004 2014E Third Party Funds In-house Funds 6 000 Bn 92% 8% 70% 30%

  • Push strategy shifts to pull strategy
  • Selection and advice become the new paradigm

6. 2. The Institutional market 7. The institutional market is dominated by insurance companies. Assets by institution type (2004 estimates) Source: BIPE/Af2i

    • Life insurance = 992 Bn
    • Non life = 138 Bn
  • Insurance companies hold 1130 Bn of a total 1386 Bn held by institutional investors

8. Institutional investors importance in the economy is growing. Assets of the institutional investors in % of GDP Source: Af2i,Ministryof Finance 2004 2000 1995 55% Non-life insurance Life insurance 50% 100% % of GDP 35%

  • Life insurance companies account for almost the whole trend.

Mutual benefits& social protection Employees savings Others 89% 91% 61% 61% Share of the institutional investors in the households financial wealth Source: BIPE,Ministryof Finance 2004 2000 1995 25% Life insurance (unit-linked contracts) Life insurance (guaranteed contracts) 25% 50% % H. financial assets 19%

  • Unit-linked insurance contracts are developing, but major flows go to guaranteed insurance contracts .

Retirement plans Employees savings Others 34% 38% 21% 26% 9. How are they invested ? } Asset allocation and UCITS Source: Bank of France (securities survey of insurance companies and retirement institutions)

  • One third of the mutual funds in asset allocation (global balanced)

Money market 6% Others 6% Balanced 10% Equities 4% Bonds 3% Asset management delegation Source: Image et Finance (panel on competitive market, excluding. delegation within the same Group) AuM (Bn ) Insurance companies Social protection inst. Banks Miscellaneous Total Total 217 92 20 12 341 Delegation 19(9%) 53(58%) 4(20%) 7(58%) 81(24%)

  • Total delegated assets are estimated at 130 Bn in different forms :
    • Mandates8% 8%
    • Dedicated funds47% 59%
    • Dedicated f. of funds 14% 7%
    • Open mutual funds 31% 26%

2004 2003 10. Market trends in 2005 35% of institutional assets are managed externally in Continental Europe

  • France, Germany, Nordics and the Netherlands are the major markets for externally managed assets in Continental Europe.

Continental Europe 29% Via pooled or commingled funds Via dedicated institutional asset management 6% France 37% 9% Germany 33% 2% Source: Greenwich Associates Use of Investment Consultants Source: Greenwich Associates Continental Europe 32% 2004 2005 41% France 26% 19% Germany 29% 28% Increasing use of RFPs in France Source: Image et Finance % of the panel Insurance companies Social protection inst. Banks Miscellaneous Average 2004 38% 84% 13% 39% 46% 2003 43% 11. 3. Market players and winning strategies 12. Looking to the future : opportunities in France

  • Upcoming development of corporate pension plans (PERCO)
  • Increasing demand for sophisticated products : absolute return strategies, portable alpha, credit derivatives, hedge funds
  • Cash rich institutions will continue to demand money market funds, including innovative dynamic funds
  • Development of open architecture by domestic players

13. The asset management industry recognizes four macro-clusters of players. Assets under Management Client and product coverage Mapping of Asset Management players Hedge funds Opportunistic players Equities,ccy overlay Niche players Euro banks Challengers Local banks & Insurance Comp. Market leaders

    • Challengers face the issue of profitability and critical size issues
    • Niche players leverage on one or two core competencies to defend their franchise
    • Opportunistic players step into the market on high margin products

14. The French asset management market is still mainly local.

    • IXIS Asset Management
    • AXA Investment Management
    • Crdit Agricole Asset Management
    • SG Asset Management
    • BNP Paribas Asset Management
    • Fortis Investment Management
    • Dexia Asset Management
    • Natexis Asset Management
    • Groupama Asset Management
    • Sogeposte
    • MMA Finance
    • Sinopia Asset Management
    • Edmond de Rothschild Asset Management

Source: IPE

  • Most established asset managers in France :
  • International global players are entering the market, but their market share is still quite low :
    • French companies 80%
    • Europe (excl. France) 19%
    • International (excl. EU) 1%

Source: AMF 15. Key success factors

  • Demonstrate long-term commitment to the market (human resources, brand, long-term credibility)
  • Maintain leading edge technology, structuring capabilities and clients service : create differentiation through permanent product innovation
  • Develop your ability to understand your clients needs and be a solution-provider (IFRS, ALM, Liability Driven Investments, absolute return strategies)
  • Create a superior risk management discipline and apply a clear and consistent investment philosophy
  • Performance is not the main criteria for hiring an asset manager, but it is the most frequently cited criteria for terminating managers

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