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B/T6/08 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page No 1. Executive summary 3 2. Priority sector lending 4 3. Target to bank for priority sector lending 6 4. Segment-wise priority sector lending 8 5. Determinants of bottom line of bank and PSL 10 Interest spread of priority sector loan Non performing assets in priority sector lending 6. Impact of interest subsidy on profitability

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PARICHAYA - A SOCIAL NETWORKING MODEL

B/T6/08

Table of ContentS

Page No

1. Executive summary 3

2. Priority sector lending 4

3. Target to bank for priority sector lending 6

4. Segment-wise priority sector lending 85. Determinants of bottom line of bank and PSL 10

Interest spread of priority sector loan

Non performing assets in priority sector lending

6. Impact of interest subsidy on profitability 13

7. Inference 15

8. In a nutshell 16

9. Exhibits 17

10. Bibliography 22

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMERYThe composition of Indian banking sector always keep changing. However, the nationalisation of banks in 1969 completely transformed the structure of commercial banks. The primary motive behind nationalisation of banks was the inclusion of weaker and hitherto neglected segments of society in the purview of banking. Nationalization of banks may have led to weakening of credit norms; but that single act did much to encourage financial savings among ordinary people and to make bank credit available to backward sectors of the society and economy. The branch expansion policy and revamped lending policy paved the way for neglected segments to reach the door of banks.

The origin of priority sector prescriptions for banks in India can be traced to the Credit Policy for the year 1967-68, wherein it was emphasized that commercial banks should increase their involvement in the financing of priority sectors, viz., agriculture, exports and small-scale industries, as a matter of urgency. However, the description of the priority sector was formalized in 1972 on the basis of the report submitted by the Informal Study Group on Statistics relating to advances to the Priority Sectors constituted by Reserve Bank in 1971.

Indias banking system was, until 1991, an integral part of the government is spending policies. Through the directed credit rules and the statutory pre-emptions it was a captive source of funds for the fiscal deficit and key industries. Through the CRR and the SLR, more than 50% of savings had either to be deposited with the RBI or used to buy government securities. Of the remaining savings, 40% had to be directed to priority sectors that were defined by the government. Besides these restrictions on the use of funds, the government had also control over the price of the funds, i.e. the interest rates on savings and loans

The opening and liberalisation of economy led to competition in banking sector, so far largely dominated by public sector banks and particularly State bank of India. Increased competition impacted the bottom-line of the banks negatively. In recent times bank authorities are seriously concerned about decreasing margin and declining profitability. A large number of researchers and economists blame the various credit and developmental policies of the Government of India and Reserve bank of India (RBI), and argue that the increased quantum of interest subsidized loans causing heavy interest income losses. These policies also caused higher establishment expenditure to supervise small accounts without matching productivity; raised the level of credit outstanding of sick units; resulted in the poor recovery of small loans; and expanded the volume of non-performing assets, etc., in turn have plunged the profits and profitability of public sector banks.

2. Priority sector lending

Before entering into nitty-gritty of these policies and analyzing the impact on profitability, we must talk about the components of Priority sector lending. As per RBI directives on priority sector lending the following sectors and loans constitute the priority sector lending:

1. Agriculture: Direct and indirect finance, no limit for farmers but upto Rs.20 lakh for such as corporate, partnership firms and institutions (Agriculture/allied activities).

2. Small scale industries: Direct finance to small scale industries (SSI), includes all loans given to SSI units which are engaged in manufacture, processing or preservation of goods and whose investment in plant and machinery (original cost) excluding land and building does not exceed the amounts specified in Section I, appended.

3. Small road and water transport operators owning upto 10 vehicles. 4. Small business/ service enterprises shall include small business, retail trade, professional & self employed persons, small road & water transport operators and other service enterprises (Original cost of equipment used for business not to exceed Rs 20 lakh).

5. Retail trade shall include retail traders/private retail traders dealing in essential commodities (fair price shops), and consumer co-operative stores.

6. Micro Credit shall include provision of credit and other financial services and products of very small amounts not exceeding Rs.50,000 per borrower, either directly or indirectly through a SHG/JLG mechanism or to NBFC/MFI for on-lending up to Rs.50,000 per borrower.

7. Professional and self-employed persons (borrowing limit not exceeding Rs.10 lakh of which not more than Rs.2 lakh for working capital.8. State sponsored organizations for Scheduled Castes/Scheduled Tribes.

9. Education Loan up to Rs.10 lakh for studies in India and Rs.20 lakh for studies abroad (to individuals).

10. Housing Loan loans up to Rs.20 lakh to individuals for purchase/construction of one dwelling unit per family and loans given for repairs to the damaged dwelling units of families up to Rs.1 lakh in rural and semi-urban areas and up to Rs.2 lakh in urban and metropolitan areas.

11. Consumption loans under the consumption credit scheme for weaker sections.12. Micro-credit provided by banks either directly or through any intermediary; Loans to self help groups(SHGs) / Non Governmental Organizations (NGOs) for on lending to SHGs

13. Loans to the software industry (having credit limit not exceeding Rs 1 crore from the banking system)

14. Loans to specified industries in the food and agro-processing sector having investment in plant and machinery up to Rs 5 crore.

15. Investment by banks in venture capital (venture capital funds/ companies registered with SEBI)

3. TARGETS TO BANKS FOR PRIORITY SECToR LENDING

All these components of priority sector can be roughly grouped into Agriculture, SSI, housing, weaker sector and others. Beside individual definition and limit given, RBI also set targets and sub-targets under priority sector lending different types of lenders as summarized below:

Domestic commercial banks

Foreign banks

Total Priority sector Advances40 per cent of Adjusted Net Bank Credit (ANBC) or credit equivalent amount of Off-Balance Sheet Exposure, whichever is higher.

advances

32 percent of ANBC or credit equivalent amount of Off-Balance Sheet, Exposure, whichever is higher.

Total agricultural advances18 per cent of ANBC or credit equivalent amount of Off-Balance Sheet Exposure, whichever is higher.No Target

SSI advancesAdvances to SSI sector will be reckoned in computing performance under the overall priority sector target of 40 per cent of ANBC or credit equivalent amount of Off-Balance Sheet Exposure, whichever is higher.

10 per cent of NBC or credit equivalent amount of Off-Balance Sheet Exposure, whichever is higher.

Micro enterprises within SSI(i) 40 per cent of total SSI advances should go to units having investment in plant and machinery up to Rs 5 lakh,

(ii) 20 per cent of total SSI advances should go to units with investment in plant & machinery between Rs 5 lakh and Rs. 25 lakh (Thus, 60 per cent of SSI advances should go to the micro enterprises).Same as for domestic banks.

Export creditExport credit is not a part of priority sector for domestic commercial banks.

12percent of ANBC or credit equivalent amount of Off-Balance Sheet Exposure, whichever is higher.

Advances to weaker section10 per cent of ANBC or credit equivalent amount of Off-Balance Sheet Exposure, whichever is higher.No target.

Differential rate of Interest scheme

(DRI)Per cent of total advances outstanding as at the end of the previous year. It should be ensured that not less than 40 per cent of the total advances granted under DRI scheme go to scheduled caste/scheduled tribes. At least two third of DRI advances should be granted through rural and semi-urban branches. Granted through rural and semi-urban branches.No target.

PENALITY PROVISIONS

Incase of default in meeting the above set targets, RBI impose penalties for non-achievement of priority sector targets. Foreign banks have to maintain deposit, equivalent to the amount of shortfall in priority sector lending, with SIDBI. Public and private sector banks are required to deposit amounts in the RIDF (NABARD) linked to their shortage under achievement of priority sector lending prescriptions. There are no penalty provisions for Regional Rural Banks. The interest rates on these deposits are fixed by RBI.

4. segment-wise pRIORITY SECTOR LENDING OF BANKS for the period 1995 to 2004: (Exhibit-1 and 2)

The credit advanced to the priority sector by scheduled commercial banks recorded an average annual growth rate of 18.4 per cent during the period from 1995 to 2004, which was marginally higher than the average annual growth of 18.0 per cent observed in aggregate bank credit. However, the share of priority sector advances as a percentage of NBC had shown undulating trends during the period. During 1995-1996, it fell from 33.7 per cent to 32.8 per cent, but remained steady at around 35 per cent during the years 1997 to 2000. Thereafter, it dipped sharply to 31.0 per cent in 2001 recovered to 35.1 per cent in 2003 and further to 36.8 per cent in 2004.

A. CREDIT TO AGRICULTURE

Outstanding advances to agriculture had increased substantially during the period from Rs. 24,200 crore to Rs.99,302 crore, registering an average annual growth rate of 16.6 per cent. Outstanding advances to agriculture as a percentage of Net Bank Credit had recorded a negligible increase from 11.4 per cent as at the end of 1995 to 11.5 as at the end of 2004.

B. CREDIT TO SSI & SMALL ROAD/WATER TRANSPORT OPERATORSScheduled commercial banks credit to SSI increased at an average annual rate of 11.7 per cent during the period 1995 to 2004, as compared to the average annual growth rate of 18.4 per cent in bank credit to priority sector during the same period. However, the credit to SSI as a percentage of NBC declined from 13.8 per cent to 8.2 per cent

The average annual growth rate of advances to Road and Water Transport Operators was at 12.7 per cent during 1995-2004. Loans to Road and Water Transport Operators as a percentage of NBC declined marginally from 1.4 per cent to 1.0 per cent.

C. CR DIT TO WEAKER SECTIONAs against the target of 10 per cent of NBC, achievement in purveying credit to weaker sections by PSBs was to the extent of around 7 per cent during 2001 to 2004. In the case of private sector banks, the achievement, which varied between 1.70 per cent in the year 2001 and 1.34 percent in 2004, had fallen short of the target considerably.

D. ADVANCES UNDER DIFFERENTIAL RATE OF INTEREST (DRI) SCHEME

The scheduled commercial banks are required to extend advances under DRI Scheme to the weakest of the weaker sections at a rate of interest of 4.0 per cent. A target of 1.00 per cent of outstanding amount of bank credit as at the end of March of previous year has been fixed under the DRI Scheme. As against this, the public sector banks had attained a level of only 0.07 per cent as at the end the year 2004. The achievement, in percentage terms, had been declining persistently over the period. The number of beneficiaries and outstanding amount of loans has also declined over the years. However, the amount outstanding increased marginally in 2004.

5. DETERMINANTS OF BOTTOM LINE OF BANKS & psl

The reforms in banking sector have not only brought healthy competition in sector but also put the profitability under pressure. However, the banks are now facing a number of challenges such as frequent changes in technology required for modern banking, stringent prudential norms, increasing competition, worrying level of NPAs, rising customer expectations , increasing pressure on profitability , assets -liability management, liquidity and credit risk management, rising operating expenditure, shrinking size of spread and so on. RBIs efforts to adopt international banking standards have further forced the banks to shift the focus to profitability for survival. The profitability of banks is function of different variables. The income of the bank can be written as linear equation as follows:

Y= a+b1X1+b2X2+b3X3+b4X4+b5X5+b6X6+b7X7+b8X8+

Where

Y= Net Profit (Profit after Tax), a= constant term,

b1 to b8 = Coefficients,

X1 = Interest Spread, X2 = Non-Interest Income (NII), X3 = Credit/Deposit Ratio (C/D),

X4 = NPA as percentage to Net advances NPA), X5 = Provision and Contingencies, X6 = Operating Expenses (OE), X7 = Business Per Employee (BPE), X8 = Profit Per Employee (PPE), = Error Term.

However, we consider the variables, interest spread and non-performing asset (NPA), as major factors which affect the profitability of banks to a maximum extent. We hereby, will consider these two factors as the parameters for measurement and evaluation of effect of priority sector advances on banks bottom-line.

INTEREST SPREAD (Net interest margin) OF PRIORITY SECTOR LOANS

The net interest margin (Spread) is being the difference between the interest income on loans & advances and the interest expended on deposits. Higher the spread, better the profitability bank will show. However, the interest spread has continually been shrinking for most banks groups in India, as yields on assets have declined more than proportionately the cost of liabilities. This effect is even worse in case of the priority sector lending. Due to government rules and regulations, the public sector banks has to give 40% to PSL, the returns of the priority sector credit is relative low as compared to non-priority sector lending.

Traditionally interest income has been main contributor towards profitability of banks although presently share of non-interest income in total income has been growing at rapid pace.

P Ganesan, in his article in {Journal of Financial Management & Analysis, 2003} used the formula developed by Bishnoi T R (1991) for calculation of mean interest rate. As per his calculation, the mean interest rate in priority sectors for the period 1995 to 1999 as shown in Exhibit-3.

The Exhibit-3 presents the computed average lending rates charged by the Public sector Banks for priority sector and large and medium-scale industries for the period between1995 to 1999. The changes made by the Reserve Bank of India in the general lending rates affected the average lending rates and the average lending rate varied across different activities. There is not much difference between interest between agricultural loans and other priority sector loans. Even difference between various priority sector advances and other sector is not significant, contrary to common belief.

NON PERFORMING ASSETS (NPAs) IN PRIORITY SECTOR ADVANCESNon Performing Asset means an asset or account of borrower, which has been classified by a bank or financial institution as sub-standard, doubtful or loss asset, in accordance with the directions or guidelines relating to asset classification issued by RBI.With a view to moving towards international best practices and to ensure greater transparency, it has been decided to adopt the '90 days overdue' norm for identification of NPAs, form the year ending March 31, 2004. Accordingly, with effect form March 31, 2004, a non-performing asset (NPA) shell be a loan or an advance where;

interest and /or installment of principal remain overdue for a period of more than 90 days in respect of a Term Loan or

interest and/ or installment of principal remains overdue for two harvest seasons but for a period not exceeding two half years in the case of an advance granted for agricultural purpose, and

any amount to be received remains overdue for a period of more than 90 days in respect of other accounts.The aggregate NPAs of public sector banks under priority sector was maximum at Rs.25,150 crore in 2002, accounting for 46.2 per cent of total NPAs. However, in 2004, it declined to Rs.23,841 crore, though as a percentage to total NPAs, it increased to 47.5 per cent. The share of NPAs under priority sector remained in the range between 44.2 per cent (2001) and 52.5 per cent (1995) of the total NPAs for State Bank of India and its Associates (Annexure 10). The details of NPAs of public sector banks (including SBI and its associate banks) in priority and nonpriority sector are presented in exhibit-5.

During last 5-6 years, Indian commercial banks witnessed robust growth of around 30% in bank credit. The exhibit also shows that during these years, share of priority sector lending increased from 31 5 in 2001-02 to 36.8% in 2004-05. This trend indicates that banks lending to priority sector increased in tandem with overall credit growth. Other visible trend is decreasing percentage of gross NPA to net bank credit with decreased from a high of 13.45 in 2001-02 to 6.8% in 2004-05 and NPA in priority sector also decreased substantially.

6. IMPACT OF INTEREST SUBSIDY ON PROFITABILITYBecause of concessional interest rate to priority sector advances the subsidy rate also has increased over the years but the subsidy rate is almost constant for last few years. From 1992-93, the subsidy rate for agriculture showed a declining trend and reached 0.29 per cent in 1999. However, reductions in the rates also noticed in export finance and retail trade. Though the subsidy rates are seemed to be moderate, since the volume of advances are high, the subsidization exerted adversely heavy pressure on the profits and profitability of the commercial banks through interest income losses.

(Exhibit-4) presents estimated interest income loss due to priority sector credit outstanding

The data indicates the impact of interest income loss on banks' profitability. During these five year period, the trend clearly indicates that total interest income loss due to interest subsidy continue to decrease and during year 1999, total interest loss stand at a level of just Rs.108.24 crore which is just around 2% of total net profit.

The distribution of credit to priority sector has been at the average rate of lending at less than 15 per cent per annum. Though the average lending was still comparatively lower than the commercial lending rate, it was higher than the Prime Lending Rates (PLRs) of Public Sector Banks, which were in the range of 11.75 - 13.00 per cent. The average lending rate charged on priority sector advances varied across different activities. During pre-reform periods as a result of concessional lending on these sectors, the subsidy rate also increased over the years, whereas, in post-reform periods on account of monetary measures announced by RBI there was steep reduction in subsidy rates.

The data published in Journal in financial management and analysis (2003) shows that, during post-reform periods, the income loss ratios were substantially lower than the profitability ratios in all the years and the differences between them increased. The higher interest income loss ratios significantly affected the profitability ratios. Consequent to the introduction of liberalization measures and reforms in financial sector, the banks began to step-down the target for priority sector credit and thus there was decline in the income loss ratios, which subsequently increased the profitability ratios.INTEREST RATE LIBERALISATION

Prior to the reforms, interest rates were a tool of cross-subsidization between different sectors of the economy and banks were adversely affected by these types of policies.

However post reform era marked by series of events like increased competition, deregulation of interest rates etc. The deregulation of interest rates was a major component of the banking sector reforms that aimed at promoting financial savings and growth of the organized financial system. The deregulation of interest rate given freedom to banks for fixing interest rate for loans and deposits except few areas like Savings bank deposit rate, loans under DRI scheme and loans to weaker section. This autonomy brought down the impact of interest subsidy and resulted in much improved profitability ratio.

Besides the high level of statutory pre-emptions, the priority sector advances were identified as one of the major reasons for the below average profitability of Indian banks during liberalization period. The Narasimham Committee therefore recommended a reduction from 40% to 10%. However, this recommendation has not been implemented and the targets of 40% of net bank credit for domestic banks and 32% for foreign banks have remained the same. While the nominal targets have remained unchanged, the effective burden of priority sector advances has been reduced by expanding the definition of priority sector lending to include sectors like information technologies etc.

Advances to weaker section and under Differential Rate of Interest (DRI) Scheme, have average NPA level of aprox. 20% which is much higher compare to priority sector average NPA level of 13% for the period 2002 to 2004. But the percentage of total outstanding to these sectors is just about 2% of net bank credit. 7.INFERENCE

After analyzing the trends and policies of Government of India, Reserve bank of India and the scheduled commercial banks regarding the priority sector lending (PSL) since emergence of concept of priority, we have no doubt that PSL affects the profitability of banks. The negative impact on profitability was more during pre reform period.

Obviously, during post-reform periods, the income loss ratios were substantially lower than the profitability ratios in all the years and the differences between them increased. The higher interest income loss ratios significantly affected the profitability ratios. Consequent to the introduction of liberalization measures and reforms in financial sector, the banks began to step-down the target for priority sector credit and thus there was decline in the income loss ratios, which subsequently increased the profitability ratios.

It is also evident that pumping credit to priority sector at subsidized rate of interest have had a negative impact on the profits and profitability of Public sector Banks during pre and post- reform periods. Mere reduction in target and sub-target of priority sector credit outstanding or raising of interest rates is not the only way to achieve the profitability. There is need to review the concept of sub-sectors of priority sector, strong and immediate policy consideration on recovery of overdue without political intervention, productivity of bank employees for effective recycling of funds and thereby Public Sector Banks would be viable not only in the short run but also in the long run under the reform process.8.IN A NUTSHELL

The level of gross NPA has fallen from a level of 17% in 1997 to approximately 4% in 2006 which a remarkable achievement. Current level of NPA is really comfortable considering international standards and that too without curtailing the priority sector lending. All these facts about NPA and subsidised interest rate indicate that now banks are more open to disbursal of loans under priority sector and now priority sector lending is not a taboo for banks. Also during recent years various steps taken by government as well as banks decreased level of default in loan payments. Other major reason could be broadening the spectrum of priority sector lending. Now some components of priority sector like export credit, housing loan, education loan and loans to SSI & professionals & self employed find special attention form commercial banks and these banks are really competing to finance these sectors. In last 3-4 years, housing finance became one of the most attractive portfolios, primarily due to rise of Indian middle class and secured nature. After witnessing slow growth in urban and metro market, commercial banks (particularly private banks) are aggressively diversifying their business in Semi-urban and rural areas. Now small and medium enterprises (SME) already become one of the most sought sectors for banks. The rejuvenated agriculture sector also started attracting financial institutions for agriculture finance. Microfinance through SHGs is one of the few untapped sector in which percentage of default is very low but potential for growth is huge. At present, percentage of C&I advances (commercial and institutional-corporate) is almost stagnant as these corporate directly raise funds from primary and secondary market.

Therefore, except few laggard sectors in priority sector lending such as Government sponsored schemes, loans to weaker section etc, remaining sectors become most after sought portfolios for banks. The commercial banks are not financing these sectors (constituent of priority sector) due to some compulsion or obligation but for the reason being the huge potential for growth in these sectors.

All above facts and figures prove that the priority sector is now attracting the commercial banks as financer for the sheer reason of huge untapped potential and not merely due to compulsion. No doubt, that the priority sector is not as profitable as the C & I segment and other non-priority sector but definitely this sector is generating revenue and no longer denting profitability of banks. So in the era of deregulated interest rate and lesser restriction for commercial banks, assumption that the priority sector lending always dents the bottom-line of banks become invalid in recent years.

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9.APPENDIXExhibit-1Segment200420052006

Gross Bank Credit7,64,38310,40,90914,45,837

1. Agriculture and Allied Activities90,5411,25,2501,72,292

(12.4)-12.5-12.3

2. Industry (Small, Medium and Large)3,13,0654,26,8925,49,057

(43.0)-42.7-39.1

3. Services30,58448,137

-(3.1)(3.4)

4. Personal Loans2,45,0803,53,777

-(24.5)(25.2)

5. Trade24,86757,94881,402

-3.4(5.8)(5.8)

6. Others2,99,9491,14,0342,00,481

(41.2)(11.4)(14.3)

Memo:

7. Priority Sector2,63,8343,81,4765,09,910

(36.2)(38.2)(36.3)

7.1 Agriculture and Allied Activities90,5411,25,2501,72,292

(12.4)(12.5)(12.3)

7.2 SSI65,85574,58890,239

(9.0)(7.5)(6.4)

7.3 HousingN.A.90,8481,33,360

-(9.1)(9.5)

Exhibit-2

Exhibit-3

YearAgricul-tureSSISmall Transport operatorsRetail trade & small businessProfess-ional LoansLarge & Medium scale industryOthers

199515.4116.6616.3616.6016.3716.5116.08

199615.8516.8216.8416.7816.8117.6116.96

199715.8617.1817.0016.7715.9617.4016.77

199815.3716.7416.4416.4416.8016.7516.23

199915.2615.8516.1616.5816.3315.5515.61

Exhibit-4

YearAgricultureSSISmall Transport operatorsRetail trade & small businessProfess-

ional LoansOthersTotal

1995257.77115.533.870.002.335.97385.41

1996463.32235.6521.8458.7615.2712.57807.42

1997465.0069.3012.8153.0729.5020.25648.32

1998459.1069.3012.5829.650.000.00527.58

1999108.240.000.000.000.000.00108.24

Exhibit-5

YearTotal Bank creditPriority sector amount out- standingShare of PS to bank creditGross NPANPA % to Total Bank CreditPSL NPA to Total PSL lendingNon PSL NPA %Net Profit

200252927118225531.07090113.417.511.211573

200360905320560634.86871511.315.09.417071

200474643225464835.1628928.411.17.022819

200586559431860936.8591576.88.45.921023

10.BIBLIOGRAPHY

www.rbi.org.inwww.iba.org.inwww.indiastat.comwww.blonnet.comwww.financialexpress.com/www.thehindubusinessline.com/www.domain-b.com/www.banknetindia.comwww.blonnet.comwww.ficci.comJournal of services research article (Vol 6, No.2) by Bodla and Verma

Journal of Financial Management & Analysis. Mumbai: Jul-Dec 2003. Vol. 16, Iss. 2 by P Ganesan.Proquest data sourcesRBI paper on priority sector lending

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