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Building and Preserving e- skills Knowledge Economy Conference Sofia, 19-20 May 2004 Elissaveta Gourova Sofia University ‘St. Kliment Ohridski’ - CIST

Building and Preserving e-skills Knowledge Economy Conference Sofia, 19-20 May 2004 Elissaveta Gourova Sofia University ‘St. Kliment Ohridski’ - CIST

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Page 1: Building and Preserving e-skills Knowledge Economy Conference Sofia, 19-20 May 2004 Elissaveta Gourova Sofia University ‘St. Kliment Ohridski’ - CIST

Building and Preserving e-skills

Knowledge Economy Conference

Sofia, 19-20 May 2004

Elissaveta GourovaSofia University ‘St. Kliment Ohridski’ - CIST

Page 2: Building and Preserving e-skills Knowledge Economy Conference Sofia, 19-20 May 2004 Elissaveta Gourova Sofia University ‘St. Kliment Ohridski’ - CIST

Main topics

• The e-skills issueFor the EU and the ‘New entrants’

• Building e-skillsMedium- and Longer-term prospective

• Preserving e-skillsThe problems of ageing and mobility

Page 3: Building and Preserving e-skills Knowledge Economy Conference Sofia, 19-20 May 2004 Elissaveta Gourova Sofia University ‘St. Kliment Ohridski’ - CIST

E-Skills in European Policy Agenda

• Rapid technological changes world-wide• Focus in the Lisbon process on new basic skills:

IT skills

Foreign languages

Technological culture

e-skills vital in implementing the vision for e-Europe

Entrepreneurship

Social Skills

Page 4: Building and Preserving e-skills Knowledge Economy Conference Sofia, 19-20 May 2004 Elissaveta Gourova Sofia University ‘St. Kliment Ohridski’ - CIST

ICT managers / leaders

ICT professionalsICT applied skillsICT users

E-skills in EU New Members: challenges of eEurope+ Action Plan

Page 5: Building and Preserving e-skills Knowledge Economy Conference Sofia, 19-20 May 2004 Elissaveta Gourova Sofia University ‘St. Kliment Ohridski’ - CIST

Building e-skills

Which are the prospects for middle- and longer-

term supply of ICT professionals?higher education

vocational education and training

ICT, mathematics and science in early education

Page 6: Building and Preserving e-skills Knowledge Economy Conference Sofia, 19-20 May 2004 Elissaveta Gourova Sofia University ‘St. Kliment Ohridski’ - CIST

Medium-term prospects: e-graduates

Page 7: Building and Preserving e-skills Knowledge Economy Conference Sofia, 19-20 May 2004 Elissaveta Gourova Sofia University ‘St. Kliment Ohridski’ - CIST

Hungarian case: Focus on interdisciplinary studies?

Students enrolled in ICT related subjects in Hungary

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000

Mathematics

Applied Mathematics

Informatics

Computertechnics

Technological and EconomicInformatics

Information-librarian

Computer and MathematicalProgramming

Telecommunication

Microelectronics

Control and System Engineering

1993/4 1995/6 1997/8 1999/0

Source: STAR Consortium

Page 8: Building and Preserving e-skills Knowledge Economy Conference Sofia, 19-20 May 2004 Elissaveta Gourova Sofia University ‘St. Kliment Ohridski’ - CIST

Vocational education and training: Polish and Estonian cases

Students in selected fields of VET as % of total

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Secondary Post-secondary Secondary Post-secondary

Computing

EngineeringandengineeringtradesManufacturingandprocessing

Business andadministration

Estonia Poland

Source: ETF; Statistical Institute of Poland

11%

33%

Page 9: Building and Preserving e-skills Knowledge Economy Conference Sofia, 19-20 May 2004 Elissaveta Gourova Sofia University ‘St. Kliment Ohridski’ - CIST

Longer-term focus on early education

• ICT education - a global necessityComputerization of schools

Educational content and teachers needs

• Mathematics and science in schoolsGood results at wide international testsCompetitions in mathematics and informatics - a

tool for building excellence?

Page 10: Building and Preserving e-skills Knowledge Economy Conference Sofia, 19-20 May 2004 Elissaveta Gourova Sofia University ‘St. Kliment Ohridski’ - CIST

Ageing - still a bottleneck?

• National studies suggest that policy attention to attract young researchers has given results:Estonia: increase of doctoral degree holders, but too

slow to meet future demandsHungary: increase of PhD students: 44% of

engineering PhD students aim at university carrier (20% - industrial research)

Poland: increase of PhD degrees awarded during the period 1990-2000,but less increase in technical sciences than in medical or agricultural

Page 11: Building and Preserving e-skills Knowledge Economy Conference Sofia, 19-20 May 2004 Elissaveta Gourova Sofia University ‘St. Kliment Ohridski’ - CIST

The highly-skilled mobility problem

US immigrants w ith professional specialty and technical occupation

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

1600

Denm

ark

Finlan

d

Franc

e

Ger

man

y

Gre

ece

Irelan

dIta

ly

Portu

gal

Spain

Unite

d Kin

gdom

Bulga

ria

Czech

Rep

ublic

Cypru

s

Eston

ia

Hunga

ry

Latv

ia

Lith

uani

aM

alta

Polan

d

Roman

ia

Slova

k Rep

ublic

Slove

nia

Turke

y

1998 1999 2000

Source: US immigration databases

Page 12: Building and Preserving e-skills Knowledge Economy Conference Sofia, 19-20 May 2004 Elissaveta Gourova Sofia University ‘St. Kliment Ohridski’ - CIST

Highly-skilled mobility impactsSENDING COUNTRIES: POSSIBLE POSITIVE EFFECTSScience and technology Knowledge flows and collaboration, return of natives with

foreign education and human capital, increased ties toforeign research institutions

Export opportunities for technology Remittances and venture capital from diaspora networks Successful overseas entrepreneurs bring valuable

management experience and access to global networksHuman capital effects Increased incentive for natives to seek higher skills Possibility of exporting skills reduces risk/raises expected

return from personal education investments May increase domestic economic return to skills

RECEIVING COUNTRIES: POSSIBLE POSITIVE EFFECTSScience and technology Increased R&D and economic activity due to availability of

additional highly skilled workers Entrepreneurship in high growth areas Knowledge flows and collaboration with sending countries Immigrants can foster diversity and creativity Export opportunities for technologyHigher education systems Increased enrolment in graduate programmes/ keeping smaller

programmes alive Offset ageing of university professors and researchersLabour market Wage moderation in high growth sectors with labour shortages Immigrant entrepreneurs foster firm and job creation Immigrants can act as magnets for accessing other immigrant

labour (network hiring effects)SENDING COUNTRIES: POSSIBLE NEGATIVE EFFECTSHuman capital effects “Brain drain” and lost productive capacity due to (at least

temporary) absence of higher skilled workers and students Lower returns from public investment in tertiary education

(waste of national public resources)

RECEIVING COUNTRIES: POSSIBLE NEGATIVE EFFECTSHigher education systems Decreased incentive of natives to seek higher skills in certain fields,

may crowd out native students from best schoolsScience and technology Technology transfers to foreign competitors and possible hostile

countriesPOSSIBLE GLOBAL EFFECTS Better international flows of knowledge, formation of international research/technology clusters (Silicon Valley, CERN). Better job matches, including: greater employment options for workers, researcher’s ability to seek the work most interesting to them

and greater ability of employers to find rare/unique skill sets. International competition for scarce human capital may have net positive effect on incentives for individual human capital investments.

Source: OECD (2002)

Page 13: Building and Preserving e-skills Knowledge Economy Conference Sofia, 19-20 May 2004 Elissaveta Gourova Sofia University ‘St. Kliment Ohridski’ - CIST

E-skills as a factor for success?

• How to make use of available skills and

traditions?

• Are NEs able to play a role as ICT producers?

• Is there a role for NEs as suppliers of highly-

skilled professionals? Who is paying the bill?

• How to turn mobility into advantage?

Page 14: Building and Preserving e-skills Knowledge Economy Conference Sofia, 19-20 May 2004 Elissaveta Gourova Sofia University ‘St. Kliment Ohridski’ - CIST

Thank you

For further contacts:

[email protected]