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Concept briefing for a proposed statewide, comprehensive, catastrophic earthquake and tsunami EOC Functional Exercise in 2016

Cascadia Subduction Zone (CSZ) Catastrophic Earthquake and Tsunami

Functional Exercise 2016

Patrick MasseyFederal Preparedness CoordinatorDirector, National Preparedness DivisionFEMA Region 10Patrick.massey@fema.dhs.gov

Terry EganUnit ManagerPlans, Exercises, TrainingWA Emergency Mgt DivisionTerry.egan@mil.wa.gov

WSEMA – September 17, 2013

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Map : Cascadia Subduction Zone Fault Line

The CSZ 2016 Exercise is a progressive exercise series commencing in early 2014 with building block training and exercise ramp-up events culminating in a comprehensive four day EOC-to-EOC Functional Exercise in the Spring 2016.

All hands on deck! WA City-County-State-Tribal-Federal-Private EOCs

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Magnitude 9.0 earthquake. Direct impacts to States of Oregon and

Washington. Complete rupture of the 800-mile fault line. Impacts affecting over 140,000 square

miles. Severe ground shaking lasting up to 5

minutes. 20’ to 80’ Tsunami impacting the entire

coastline within 15-30 minutes. Numerous aftershocks with several of

M7.0+.

Simulation of a M9.0 CSZ earthquake. Graphic provided by Pacific Northwest Seismic Network

Crescent City

Washington

Oregon

California

Scenario Overview

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15,000 deaths; tens-of-thousands injured throughout three coastal states.

3 million households impacted.

800,000 requiring shelter.

Extreme transportation impacts to I-5 corridor west to coastline. Coastal communities isolated.

Major extended disruptions to Critical Infrastructure lifelines (electricity, refined fuels, water supply, etc.)

Tremendous need for critical life-saving and life-sustaining resources – extensive mutual aid needed.

Map : Highway Road Segments in the Cascadia Region with Expected Damages ranging from Slight to Complete under the

90th-Percentile Case Scenario.

CSZ Earthquake/Tsunami Impacts

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Enhance Joint Operations – Success in managing the consequences of a wide-area catastrophic disaster hinges on how well local, state, and Federal actions and the whole community are integrated and synchronized. The desire is for all exercise players at all levels to gain an appreciation of the sheer necessity of joint unified action.

Instill an operational mindset shift to ‘catastrophic’ – Our elasticity and ability to stretch to handle the impacts of a catastrophic disaster is a daunting challenge. We need to plan and exercise for the worse. Planning Springboard – The lessons learned in the CSZ 2016 Exercise will be used to develop and/or update CSZ and related catastrophic disaster response plans at all levels and to inform future exercise design.

Strategic Goals:

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Exercise Mission Statement:

CSZ Exercise 2016

Collaboratively plan, design, and conduct a comprehensive Functional Exercise that tests local, state, tribal, and federal catastrophic earthquake plans to improve our joint-interagency and whole community ability to effectively respond to a wide-area, catastrophic earthquake and tsunami caused by a rupture of the Cascadia Subduction Zone (CSZ) fault along the Northwest coast of the United States.

Draft-proposed

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Exercise Participants (Anticipated) WA Coastal Counties and Cities

WA I-5 Corridor Counties and Cities

WA East-of-the-Cascades Counties (TBD)

WA EMD

WA state Agency ESFs

Supporting States (AK and ID)

FEMA Region X

FEMA National Response Coordination Center (NRCC)

Federal agency ESFs

Department of Defense

NORTHCOM, NRNW, NGB, etc.

Tribal governments

Nongovernmental Organizations

Major private sector partners

Private and public critical infrastructure lifeline providers

International partners (e.g. British Columbia)

Public (Tsunami Evacuation Drills - TBD)

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Critical Transportation

Environmental Response / Health and Safety

Fatality Management

Infrastructure Systems

Mass Care Services

Mass Search and Rescue Operations

On-Scene Security and Protection

Operational Communications

Operational Coordination

Planning

Public Health and Medical Services

Public Information and Warning

Public and Private Services and Resources

Situational Assessment

The CSZ 2016 Functional Exercise will test EOC-to-EOC ability to perform tasks and objectives (TBD) associated with all Response Core Capabilities:

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Exercise Planning Timeline

Please note: A number of ramp-up events to include training courses, seminars, workshops, tabletops (all TBD) will be conducted prior to the culminating Functional Exercise.

2013

Concept and

Objectives Meeting

20152014 2016

After Action Report

Published

Initial Planning Meeting

Exercise Series ‘Kick

Off’ Meeting

2017

CSZ 2016 Exercise

Mid-Term Planning Meeting

Final Planning Meeting

MSEL Synchronization

Meetings

Scenario Document

Socialize Concept

Extent of Play

Agreements

‘Ground Truth’ Document

C&E TrainingEXPLAN EEGs

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The Fed/state CSZ response concept covers three Areas of Operation (AO).

These three areas will be used to inform exercise design: Coastal I-5 Corridor East of the Cascades Total population in coastal

and I-5 corridor in WA is over 5 million!

Areas of Operation

Graphic of the CSZ Geographic Areas as identified in Region X CSZ plan annex

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Why an Exercise in 2016? Culminating point to many recent CSZ and catastrophic earthquake planning

efforts at the local, state, tribal, and federal level.

Allows adequate time to update plans, policies and procedures; also allows time to build and design a complex exercise with many participants.

Implement a building block approach to train and exercise staffs on EOC-specific plans and procedures and joint-operations.

Significant amount of ‘areas for improvement’ identified in previous local and larger exercises (e.g., Evergreen Quake Exercise Series).

CSZ Exercise 2016

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Exercise Parameters – the concept as it stands now:

Four-day response Functional Exercise (FE).

EOCs at all levels playing – city, county, states, tribes, feds, private sector

All field-play simulated (with possibility of some limited field elements TBD) via Injects-MSEL distributed via Control/Simulation cell.

Date: late May or early June 2016 (exact days TBD).

Options of 24-hour, 12-hour, or 8-hour play each day (TBD).

Local level of participation each day is objectives driven; encouraged to play full timeline.

All EOCs activated to highest level.

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The following are some of the major issues that we will need to determine in designing the CSZ 2016 Functional Exercise:Include components of Continuity of Operations into the exercise?

Include Recovery components into exercise?

Duration of EOC play each day (24hrs, 12hrs, 8hrs)?

Telecommunications outage play during the exercise or in a separate drill?

Exercise length > 4 days?

Type of ramp-up events (trainings, seminars, etc.)?

Considerations

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The path forward over next several months:

Socialize concept to local, state, federal, and other partners.

Gather comments from exercise participants.

Conduct “Kick-off” meeting in January/February 2014. Brief the exercise concept to whole community Discuss the exercise planning/design governance structure Solicit candidates to serve as exercise design team leaders Develop draft Exercise Scenario Document. Solicit and then vote on the Exercise Name and Logo

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For More Information Contact:

WA EMD Name: Brittany Ginn Position: State Exercise Program Manager Email: brittany.ginn@mil.wa.gov

FEMA Region 10 Name: Stephen Simerly Position: Regional Exercise Officer Email: stephen.simerly@fema.dhs.gov

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CSZ Exercise 2016

Questions?