CFA 1 Fixed Income II

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    Fixed Income

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    Securities - II

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    Mapping to Curriculum

    Reading 56: Understanding Yi Reading 58: Yield Measures,

    Reading 59: Introduction to M

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine

    Expect around 15 questions in th

    eld Spreads pot Rates and Forward Rates

    asurement of Interest Rate Risk

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    e exam from todays lecture

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    Key Concepts

    Interest Rate Policy

    Yield Curve Shapes

    Theories Of Term Structure Of

    LIBOR

    Yield Measures

    Reinvestment Risk

    Bootstrapping

    Nominal Spread, Zero-volatilit

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    Option-adjusted Spread

    Forward Rates

    Duration, Convexity, PVBP

    Interest Rates

    Spread,

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    Agenda

    Features of Debt Securities

    Risks Associated with Investin

    Overview of Bond Sectors and

    Understanding Yield Spreads

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    in Bonds

    Instruments

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    Key Issues In Understanding Yield Sp

    Interest Rate Policy

    Yield Curve

    Theories of Term structure of Interest Rates

    Spot Rate

    Yield Spread measures

    Credit S read

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    Embedded options affect on yield spread

    Liquidity affect on yield spread

    After-tax Yield

    LIBOR

    reads

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    Interest Rate Policy

    To implement the Feds monetary policy, the Fed

    Discount rate: is the rate at which banks borrow fro

    Open Market Operations: refers to purchase and s

    Bank Reserve requirements: refers to the percenta

    Pursuation: refers to the Fed asking banks to alter

    Lowering the discount rate and/or engaging in ope

    rates in the market.

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    ses the following four interest rate tools:

    m the Fed.

    le of Treasury Securities in the open market.

    ge of deposits the bank must keep with itself.

    heir lending policies.

    n market operations decrease the overall interest

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    Yield Curve And Its Shapes

    ield Curve: Shows the relationship between Yield

    It can be: Upward Sloping - Normal

    Downward Sloping - Inverted

    Flat

    Humped

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    nd Maturity

    Rising Declining

    Imp

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    Flat Humped

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    Theories Of Term Structure Of Interes

    Pure Expectations Theory:

    States that the future value of interest rates is eq

    short-term rates are expected to rise then the yield

    Shape of Term Structure Implication AcTheory

    Upward sloping (normal) Rates expecte

    Downward slo in inverted Rates ex ecte

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    Liquidity Preference Theory:

    States that investors are risk-averse and will dem

    Yield curve can be normal, inverted or flat as long

    maturity.

    Flat Rates not exp

    Rates

    al to the summation of market expectations. If

    curve will be upward sloping

    ording to Pure Expectations

    d to rise

    d to decline

    Imp

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    nd a premium for securities with longer maturities

    s yield premium for interest rate risk increases with

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    Theories Of Term Structure Of Interes

    Market Segmentation Theory:

    States that most investors have set preferences

    Example: a bank having large amount of short ter

    An offshoot to above theory is that an investor can

    preference, if they are compensated for taking on

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    range. This is known as the Preferred Habitat Th

    Rates

    regarding the length of maturities they will invest in

    liabilities will prefer to invest in short term securities.

    be induced to invest outside their term of

    that additional risk by moving out of their preferred

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    Spot Rate

    The discount rate of a zero coupon bond is called

    In the case of a treasury security, its called the tre

    The relationship between maturity an d treasury s

    rates.

    This is different from the treasury yield curve.

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    1

    he spot rate for that maturity.

    sury spot rate.

    ot rates is called the term structure of interest

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    0

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    Yield Curve

    Spot rate: The rate of return earned on a zero-co

    Forward rate: The yield on a zero-coupon securitsecurities have not been issued yet, we can nevershort, a graph of forward rates is a graph of interesecurities in the future. (Forward rates are typicall

    Yield curve: A graph that shows the yield earnedthe relationshi between short-term and lon -term

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    1

    upon bond, if held to maturity.

    y issued at some point in the future. Since the observe a forward rate, we can only estimate it. In

    t rates that are expected to be paid on short-term estimated for 6-month Treasury bills.)

    on bonds of various maturities. In short, it shows interest rates.

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    Yield Spread Measures

    Yield Spread Measures: Yield Spread is the diffe

    Absolute Yield Spread = (Yield on the subject bond

    Relative Yield Spread = (Absolute Yield Spread/Yi

    Yield Ratio = (Subject Bond Yield/Benchmark Bon

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    ence between the yield on two bonds

    - Yield on benchmark bond)

    ld on benchmark bond)

    Yield)

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    Credit Spread

    Credit Spread: It is the spread between non - Tre

    all respects except forthe credit rating

    In an expanding economy, credit spreads becom

    In a contracting economy, credit spreads widen.

    This is because in a contracting economy, compan

    making it more difficult for corporate issuers to ser

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    deteriorates, and investors sell corporates and buy

    1

    sury and Treasury securities that are identical in

    narrow

    ies experience decline in revenues and cash flows

    ice their debt obligations. Thus, credit quality

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    treasuries. Thus, widening the spreads.

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    Embedded Options

    mbedded Options Effect on Yield Spread:

    Call Provision:

    Grants the issuer the right to retire the debt, fully o

    From an investors point of view, a non-callable bon

    Investors require a higher yield on the Callable bon

    Put Provision/Conversion Provision

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    A putable-bond is more preferred to a plain vanilla

    lower yield spread

    The higher spread on an MBS is due to prepayme

    1

    partially, before the scheduled maturity date.

    d is preferred against a Callable bond.

    d and the yield spread is also larger for such bonds.

    Imp

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    bond from the investors point of view and will have a

    t risk.

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    After-tax Yield

    The difference in yield between tax-exempt securit

    in terms of absolute yield spread but as a yield rati

    One should compare the after-tax yield to arrive at

    yieldExemptTax

    taxMarginal1*YieldTaxableYieldTaxAfter

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    ratetaxMarginal1

    ies and treasury securities is typically measured not

    o.

    an investment decision

    ate

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    LIBOR

    IBOR: It stands for London Inter bank Offered Rate

    Is the rate paid on Negotiable CDs by banks locate

    Determined by the British Bank Association (BBA)

    It is quoted in many currencies:

    Has become the most important reference rate ove

    Is important because the fluctuations in LIBOR will

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    borrows to make an investments) will be able to bo

    1

    d in London

    r time

    impact the rate at which the funded investor (one who

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    rrow funds

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    Questions

    1. The pure expectation theory can be used to expl

    most likelyA. Incorrect; The market segmentation theory can b

    B. Incorrect; The liquidity preference theory can be

    C. Correct; The pure expectation theory explains an

    2. With respect to the term structure of interest rate

    A. An increase in demand for long term borrowings c

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine

    .yield curve

    C. The yield curve reflects the maturity demands of fi

    . The tool most commonly used by Fed is:

    A. Open Market OperationsB. Bank reserve requirement

    C. Discount rate

    1

    in any shape of the yield curve. This statement is

    e used to explain any shape of the yield curve

    used to explain any shape of the yield curve

    y shape of the yield curve

    s, the market segmentation theory holds that :

    ould lead to an inverted yield curve

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    nancial institutions and investors

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    Questions (Cont...)

    . As per the Liquidity Preference Theory :

    A. Investors will demand a premium for shorter matB. Investors will demand a premium for longer matu

    C. Investors will not demand any premium.

    . As per the Preference habitat Theory :

    A. Investors are will not move out of their preferenc

    B. Investors demand a premium to invest outside th

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine

    .

    . The impact of an expanding economy on the yiel

    A. To increase the yield spread

    B. To decrease the yield spread

    C. Will not effect the yield spread

    . Which of the following will have the least Yield Sp

    A. Callable Bond

    B. Putable Bond

    C. A plain Fixed Coupon Bond

    1

    rity securities. rity securities.

    habitat

    eir preference range

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    spread is:

    read:

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    Solutions

    1. A. The market segmentation theory asserts that t

    maturity sectors of the yield curve determine the i

    . C. The correct answer is the yield curve reflects t

    investors.

    . A. Open Market Operations

    . B. Investors will demand a premium for longer m

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine

    . B. Investors demand a premium to invest outside

    . B. To decrease the yield spread

    . B. Puttable Bond

    1

    e supply and demand for funds within the different

    nterest rate for that sector.

    e maturity demands of financial institutions and

    turity securities

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    their preference range

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    Agenda

    Introduction to the Valuation of

    Yield Measures, Spot Rates, an

    Introduction to Measurement of

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    ebt Securities

    Forward Rates

    Interest Rate Risk

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    Traditional Yield Measures

    Traditional Yield Measures

    Current Yield: the annnual interest income from

    Current Yield = Annual Coup

    Bond Price

    The current yield is simply the coupon payment (C

    Current yield = C/ P0.

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    Drawbacks :

    Only Considers coupon interest

    Capital Gains/Losses not taken into account

    No consideration for reinvestment income

    2

    the bond

    n interest received

    ) as a percentage of the (current) bond price (P).

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    3

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    Traditional Yield Measures

    Yield to Maturity(YTM): YTM is the IRR of the bon

    Yield Measure Relationships:

    Bond Selling at: Relationship

    Par Coupon rate = C

    Discount Coupon rate < C

    12

    Y T M1

    C

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    dvantages:

    Considers both coupon income and capital gain/lo

    Considers the timing of cashflows

    Limitations

    It considers the reinvestment income; the interim cthe YTM.

    2

    Premium Coupon rate > C

    . It is the annualised rate of return on the bond

    urrent Yield = Yield to Maturity

    urrent Yield < Yield to Maturity

    2N2

    2

    Y T M1

    P arC.....

    2

    Y T M

    C

    Imp

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    s if held to maturity.

    oupon payments are reinvested at a rate equal to

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    Traditional Yield Measures

    YTM of Annual Coupon Bond:

    A 10 year, $1000 par value bond has a coupon of

    PV = -920; N=10; FV=1000; PMT=70

    I/Y = 8.20%

    YTM for zero cou on bond:

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    The price of a 5-year Treasury bond is $804. Calc

    YTM.

    Semiannual-pay YTM =

    Annual-pay YTM =

    2

    41.42*1804

    1000 101

    %46.41804

    1000 51

    7%. If it is priced at $920 what is the YTM?

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    late the semiannual-pay YTM and annual-pay

    5

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    Traditional Yield Measures

    Bond Equivalent Yield: Doubling the semiannual

    Yield to Call: yield on callable bonds (bonds can

    premium. The calculation is the same as for norm

    price and the total period is substituted with the pe

    Yield to Put: yield on puttable bonds that are selli

    Yield to Worst:A yield can be calculated for ever

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    these YTMs is called Yield to Worst.

    Cash Flow Yield: used for Amortisinfg Securities.

    prepayment rates may differ from those assumed

    Yield to maturity (YTM): most popular yield meas

    measure is that it assumes that cash flows are rei

    2

    yield to maturity.

    e called before maturity) that are selling at a

    l bonds. The par value is substitued with the call

    riod upto the call date

    g at a discount

    possible call date and put date. The lowest of

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    The limitation with this measure is that the actual

    or calculation purposes.

    ure of all the above. The limitation with this

    vested at the YTM and the bond is held till maturity

    6

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    Reinvestment Income

    If the reinvestment rate is less than the YTM then

    How to calculate the Reinvestment Income earned

    20-year Treasury bond purchased at par, 7% cou

    generated to earn a YTM of 7%?

    Total Value generated in 20 years = 100(1.035)40

    Reinvestment income required = 395.9260 100

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    Factors Affecting:

    Higher the coupon rate higher the reinvestment ris

    Longer the maturity higher the reinvestment risk

    If the above problem was for a 10 year bond with

    would have been $13.8616 as compared to $ 155

    2

    he actual yield realised will be less than YTM

    ???

    on rate, how much reinvestment income should be

    395.9260

    40*3.50 = 155.9260

    Imp

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    coupon of 5%, the reinvestment income required

    .9260

    8

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    Computing Theoretical Treasury Spot

    Bootstrapping: It is the method of calculating the

    spot rate is used to calculate the spot rate for the n

    used for calculating the next spot rate

    Spot Rate Curve:

    Theoretical Spot Rate Curve

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    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    6%

    7%

    0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

    (Term Structure of interest rates)

    Rate

    spot rates using the prices of coupon bonds. One

    ext period. The two consecutive spot rates are

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    3

    Rate

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    Bootstrapping

    Yield Curve

    Yields are bond-specific; given a boncoupons, the yieldis the rate that all cash flows are discandfuture values the same.

    The spot curve diagrams what pure d

    Summarizing the curves

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine 3

    po urve

    app es o anycash flow at each maturity point. It isAlso called the zero curve.

    Forward

    Curve

    This is a plot of what the market char6 month

    period starting at certain future datesNote that forward curves could be m(i.e. 1 year forwards, 3 month forwar

    's market price and

    ounted at to make present

    iscount rate the market

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    not bond specific.

    ges to borrow money for a

    . de for any borrowing term

    s, etc.)

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    Bootstrapping Example:

    Consider 3 treasury securities with their maturities

    Using the method of bootstrapping, find the theore

    Maturity Market Rate

    6 months 3%

    12 months 4%

    18 months 5%

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    Solution:

    The bond with six months left to maturity has a seannual bond equivalent yield (BEY) basis.

    Since the bond will only make a single payment of

    for cash flows to be received six months from now.

    3

    and market rates given in the table below:

    tical Treasury spot rates.

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    iannual discount rate of 0.03/2 = 0.015 or 3.0% on an

    101.50 in six months, the market rate is the spot rate

    2

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    Solution

    100

    )2

    1(

    102

    015.1

    2

    21

    S

    The one-year bond will make two payments, one incan solve for the one-year spot rate in the equation

    where S1.0 is the annualized 1-year spot rate. Solvi

    Using the 6-month and 1-year spot rates, we can urate from the equation

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine 3

    100

    )2

    1(

    .

    )02.1(

    .

    015.1

    .

    35.12

    S

    where S1.0 is the annualized 18-month spot rate. Sol

    six months of 2 and one in one year of 102. We :

    g we get: S1.0 = 4.01 %.

    se the same approach to find the 18-month spot

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    ving we get: S1.5 = 5.03%.

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    Nominal Spread, Zero-volatility Sprea

    Option-adjusted Spread

    Nominal Spread: is the YTM of a bond minus the

    Zero-Volatility Spread: is the constant spread tha

    POINT on the Treasury curve where a cash flow is

    equal to the present value of its cash flows. Each

    appropriate Treasury spot rate plus the Z-spread.

    YSpreadN om in a l

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine

    PV of Bond(for a two year annual pay security)

    Z-spread Vs Nominal:

    A nominal spread uses one point on the Treasury yie

    will equal the present value of the security's cash flow

    Option Adjusted Spread: is the spread without th

    options.

    3

    Sp o1 y r1

    C ouP r i ce

    SAdjustedOption

    ,

    YTM of a Treasury security of similar maturity

    t is to be added to the spot rate yield at EACH

    received that will make the price of a security

    ash flow of the security is discounted at the

    It is also known as "static spread"

    Trea suryB ond Y TMM

    Imp

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    ld curve to determine the spread at a single point that

    s to its price

    e affect of the option for a bond with embedded

    4

    21 21

    C oupo n

    ZSra tet

    p on

    ZSrateSpotyr

    CostOptionSpread-Zpread

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    Option Cost In A Bond

    Option Cost in % = Z-spread Option Adjusted S

    In case of a callble bond the OAS < Z-spread as o

    In case of putable options the OAS > Z-spread

    SpreadMeasure

    Benchmark Reflects Co

    Nominal Treasury YieldCurve

    Credit Risk, LO tion Risk

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine 3

    Zero-Volatility Treasury SpotRate Curve

    Credit Risk, LOption Risk

    Option-Adjusted

    Treasury SpotRate Curve

    Credit Risk, L

    read(OAS)

    ne needs to be compensated for the call feature

    pensation for

    iquidity Risk,

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    iquidity Risk,

    iquidity Risk

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    Forward Rates

    Forward Rates: rates of interest implied by the cu

    For example, 6-Month Forward in 6 Months is e

    Amount for 6 month after 6 months from today

    The same is represented as:

    S = f = Current S ot rate

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    1f1 = is the rate for a 1-year loan to be made on

    1f2 = is the rate for a 1-year loan to be made tw

    Relating the above terminology:

    3

    2111013

    3 1111 fffS

    rrent zero rates for a period of time in the future

    uivalent to borrowing or lending the Notional

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    year from now

    years from now

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    Forward Rates

    For example: if we have the zero rates for year 4 a

    time between year 4 and year 5 would be known aYear 4

    F4,5F4= 4%

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    The 5-year spot rate is 10.50% and the 4-year spofour years from no?

    7.02%

    7.55%

    8.35%

    Solution: (1+z5)5 = (1+z4)

    4*(1+f1) = (1.105)5 = (1.1

    (1+f1) = 1.0755

    f1 = 7.55%

    3

    nd year 5 then the forward rate for the period of

    s the forward rate for that time period of 1 year.

    Year 5

    F5= 5%

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    t rate is 11.25%. What is the one year forward rate

    125)4*(1+f1)

    7

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    Questions

    1. Karen invests in an 8% 5-year semi-annual calla

    callable bond is 150bps. The option cost is 56 bpA. 100 bps

    B. 94 bps

    C. 206 bps

    . Reinvestment income is least effected by:

    A. The time to maturity.

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    B. The size of the debt issue.

    C. The Coupon rate.

    . The z-spread of a callable bond is 340 basis poin

    A. Greater than 340 basis points

    B. Lesser than 340 basis points

    C. Equal to 340 basis points

    3

    le bond on 5th January 2010. The Z-spread for the

    . The OAS is closest to

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    s. The OAS of the bond is most likely to be:

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    Questions (Cont....)

    . For a 7% 3-year semi-annual option-free bond. T

    at par. Calculate the no-arbitrage price for the boto

    Maturity (months) Yield

    6 5.2%

    12 5.5%

    18 5.8%

    24 6.0%

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine 3

    30 6.2%

    36 6.5%

    5. The yield on a Bond Equivalent basis of an annuA. 4.16%

    B. 8.33%C. 6.43%

    6. The annual-pay yield to maturity of a 8.50% coupA. 17.72%B. 8.68%C. 13.43%

    e Treasury spot rates are given below. The bond is

    d. If the market price is $104.5 the BEY is closest

    No-ArbitragePrice

    BEY

    A 102.34 5.45%

    B 101.48 5.36%

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    C 104.50 5.25%

    l-pay 8.50% coupon bond prices at par is:

    on semi-annual pay bond is:

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    Solutions

    1. B. OAS = Z-spread option cost = 150 -56 = 94

    . B. The size of the debt issue

    . B. Lesser than 340 basis points

    . B. No-arbitrage price is calculated by discounting

    M o n th s Y ie ld P V F a c to r

    6 5 . 2 0 % 0 . 9 7 4 7

    1 2 5 . 5 0 % 0 . 9 4 7 2

    1 8 5 . 8 0 % 0 . 9 1 7 8

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine

    he bond equivalent yield can be calculated by usingInput 6 cash flows for coupon payment and one princIRR = 2.68% BEY

    . B. 8.33%

    . B. 8.68%

    4

    2 4 6 . 0 0 % 0 . 8 8 8 5

    3 0 6 . 2 0 % 0 . 8 5 8 4

    3 6 6 . 5 0 % 0 . 8 2 5 4

    bps

    all the cash flows by the spot rates

    C a s h F lo w P V o f C F

    3 . 5 3 . 4 1 1 3

    3 . 5 3 . 3 1 5 2

    3 . 5 3 . 2 1 2 3

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    the CF function ipal payment cash flow. CF0 = 104.5 CPT IRR. = 2* IRR = 5.36%

    0

    3 . 5 3 . 1 0 9 7

    3 . 5 3 . 0 0 4 5

    1 0 3 . 5 8 5 . 4 2 8 0

    1 0 1 . 4 8 0 9 8 0 9

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    Agenda

    Introduction to the Valuation of Debt

    Yield Measures, Spot Rates, and For

    Introduction to Measurement of Intere

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine 4

    ecurities

    ard Rates

    st Rate Risk

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    K I I I t d ti T Th M t Of I t t

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    Key Issues In Introduction To The Me

    Rate Risk

    Measuring Interest Rate Risk

    Price Volatility

    Convexity

    Effective Duration

    Alternative definitions of Duration

    Duration of a ortfolio

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine

    Convexity measure of a bond

    Modified and Effective Convexity

    Price Value of a Basis Point(PVBP)

    4

    surement Of Interest

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    Measuring Interest Rate Risk

    Interest rate risk can be measured by two method

    Full Valuation Method:

    This is referred to as scenario analysis.

    Under this method the normal pricing technique

    options

    When the interest rates change the entire portfo

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine

    The two values are compared to arrive at the im

    Calculation gets complicated when there are a l

    Duration/Convexity Method:

    This gives an approximate result of the sensitivit

    It is much simpler compared to the full valuation

    4

    :

    are used to value a bond or a bond with embedded

    lio is re-evaluated by the same method

    www.edupristine.c

    pact of change in interest rate

    rge number of bonds in the portfolio.

    y of the bond.

    method.

    3

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    Disadvantages Of A Callable Bond

    From the investors perspective the disadvantages of

    Cash flow pattern is not known with certainity

    Investor exposed to reinvestment risk

    Price appreciation potential will be decreased relati

    Negative convexity

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine 4

    an embedded call option is:

    ve to an otherwise comparable option-free bond.

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    Price Volatility And Convexity

    We have already seen that the price-yield curve is

    to as convex.

    Price

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine

    Properties concerning the price volatility of an option

    Percentage price change per change in interest ra

    For either small increases or decreases in yield, pthe same.

    For a given large change in yield, the percentagedecrease.

    4

    a negatively sloped and is a curve. This is referred

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    free bond:

    es is not the same for all bonds

    rcentage change in price for given bond is roughly

    rice increase is greater than the percentage price

    5

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    Price Volatility And Convexity

    The curve of a Puttable bond exhibits Positive Co

    of a security as a result of increase in the yield is li

    Pr

    ice

    Putable Bond

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine 4

    Coupon

    Value of

    Yield

    nvexity. This is because the decrease in the price

    mited to the put price. See the below graph:

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    Effective Duration

    Duration is the measure of how long on an average th

    payments on the bond. A coupon paying bonds dura

    his payments in the form of coupons before n years

    In simple words, duration of a bond is sensitivity of

    Effective duration is calculated as:

    (BonDurationEffective

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine

    ercentage change in Bond Price = -Effective Duration *

    Example: Consider a bond trading at 96.54 with durat

    B = - 96.54* 4.5 y

    B = -434.43 y

    If there is 10 basis points increase ( + y) in the yi

    B = -434.43 * ( 0.001) = -.43443

    Hence, B = 96.54- .43443 = 96.10

    4

    e holder of the bond has to wait before he receives his

    tion would be lower than n as the holder gets some of

    ond price to change in its interest rate

    decimals)inyieldin(Change*Price)(Initial*2

    rises)yieldwhenpriceBondfallsyieldwhenprice

    Imp

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    Change in yield in percent. (y)

    ion of 4.5 years. In this case

    eld then the bond price would change by:

    8

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    Percentage Change In Price Using Du

    Approximate percentage price change = - Duratio

    For example, you hold a bond that has a durationCalculate the approximate percentage price chan

    Answer: Approximate percentage price change = -

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine

    For large changes in yield, convexity should also binaccurate with only taking duration into account.

    4

    ration

    * y * 100

    f 7.8 years. The interest rates fell by 25 bps. e.

    Duration * y * 100

    = -7.8 *(- .0025) * 100

    www.edupristine.c

    = 1.95%

    e used. Percentage change in price becomes

    9

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    Alternative Definitions Of Duration

    Macaulay Duration: is the weighted average of

    weights are a ratio of the coupon paid at time t toMacaulay duration is also used to measure how schanges in interest rates.

    where:

    t = Respective time period

    C= Periodic Coupon payments ; y =Periodic yield :

    C uDura t ionM acaulay

    n

    1t

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine

    Calculating Macaulay Duration:

    Note that this is 3.77 six-month periods, which is a

    5

    .9643636

    54.964

    4

    05.1

    10403

    05.1

    402

    05.1

    401

    05.1

    40432

    D

    0

    -964.54

    he times when the payments are made. And the

    the present bond price nsitive a bond or a bond portfolio's price is to

    n = Total number of periods

    Pr iceBondrrent

    y)(1

    M*n

    y)(1

    C*tnt

    www.edupristine.c

    bout 1.89 years

    0

    77.35476.

    1 2 3 4

    0

    ,

    40 40 40

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    Change In Bond Price With Change In

    Modified Duration

    The modified duration is equal to the percentage c

    Example:

    The current price of a bond is 98.75. Its mo

    yModDVVyV

    ..

    V1-M odD

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine

    . .

    Solution:

    V = -98.75 * 5.2 * 0.005

    = -2.57

    The new price of the bond is 96.18

    5

    Discount Rate

    ange in price for a given change in yield.

    ified duration is 5.2 years. The YTM of the bond is

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    1

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    Alternative Definitions Of Duration

    Modified Duration: is derived from Macaulay Dur

    takes into account the current YTM.

    Effective Duration calculations explicitly take into

    yperpaymentsinterestofno

    YTM(1

    DurationMacaulayDurationModified

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine

    embedded options. The other methods of calcula

    In summary duration is,

    The first derivative of the price-yield function

    The slope of the price-yield curve.

    A weighted average of the time till the cash flow

    The approximate percentage change in price fo

    5

    tion. It is better than Macaulay Duration as it

    account the a bonds option provisions such as

    )ear

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    tion ignore the option provision

    s willl be received.(Macaulay Duration)

    a 1% change in yield.(Effective Duration)

    2

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    Duration Of A Portfolio

    Duration of a portfolio is the weighted average of t

    portfolio.

    Portfolio Duration =

    The problem with the above equation is that it hol

    This is because securities with different maturities

    2211 ...DWDW

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine

    5

    e duration of the individual securities in the

    s good only for a parallel shift in the yield curve.

    may have different changes in yield.

    NNDW......

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    3

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    Price Value Of A Basis Point (PVBP)

    This is a measure of interest rate risk.

    This is also known as the dollar value of an 01 (D

    PVBP It is the absolute value of the change in t

    yield.

    changesyieldwhenPrice-PriceInitialPVBP

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine

    The PVBP is the same for both increase and decr

    The PVBP is a special case of dollar duration.

    5

    ValueBond*0.01%*DurationPVBP

    01)

    he price of a bond for a 1 basis point change in

    pointbasis1by

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    ase (because change in yield is small)

    5

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    Yield Volatility

    Price Yield Relationship

    As seen in the graph, the when the yield level is hi

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine

    large change in price.

    However, when yields are low, changes in interest

    Interest Rate Risk can be decomposed into:

    Duration risk

    Yield Volatility

    Yield volatility explains why junk bonds have highegiven by the standard deviation of yield changes

    5

    gh, a change in interest rates does not produce a

    www.edupristine.c

    rates produces a large change in price.

    r interest rate risk than treasuries. Yield Volatility is

    6

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    Questions

    1. A 5 year bond paying 8% annual pay coupon is currecalculate the effective duration of the bond given 25

    Given : V- = 1033.88, V+ = $1013.29

    A. 5.03%

    B. 4.02%

    C. 4.56%

    . Calculate the duration of the portfolio of two bonds ADuration of bond A is 7.9 and duration of bond B is 6.

    A. 7.64

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine

    B. 7.42

    C. 7.24

    . A bond has a convexity of 63.80. The convexity effec

    A. 0.41%

    B. 0.35%

    C. 0.54%. A bond has a duration of 9.75 and a convexity of 105

    100 basis fall in the yield:

    A. 10.25%

    B. 9.75%

    C. 10.80%

    5

    ntly trading for $1023.56 and having YTM of 7.42%, asis point in YTM.

    and B having weights of 60% and 40% respectively. 7.

    www.edupristine.c

    t if the yield decreases by 80 basis points is:

    .80. What is the change in the price of the bond for a

    7

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    Questions (Cont...)

    . The most accurate measure for arriving at the effect

    A. Duration ApproachB. Full valuation approach

    C. PVBP

    . A bond manager has collected the following inforinvestments which have a par value of $10mn. Tis 5.2 the most likelyestimate of the price change

    A. 1.3% of $10mn

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine

    . . .

    C. 2.1% of $11.25mn

    . A portfolio manager notices the following in his pwill be the change in the portfolio if the interest ra

    A. $ 28,280

    B. $ 14,250C. $ 27,100

    5

    IssueA

    B

    C

    of duration is?

    mation regarding a portfolio of fixed income e current market price is $11.25mn. If the duration

    for the bond issue for a 25 bps change is

    www.edupristine.c

    rtfolio has a portfolio duration of 4.35. How much e declines by 25 bps

    8

    Maturity Market Value2 $8.5mn

    5 $4.6mn

    10 $12.9mn

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    Solutions

    1. B. V = $1023.56, V- = 1033.88, V+ = $1013.29,

    So effective duration is = ($1033.88 - $1013.29)/

    . B. The portfolio duration is =0.6 * 7.9 + 0.4 *6.7 =

    . A. 0.41%

    . C. 10.80%

    . B. Full valuation a roach

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine

    . B. The estimated change = 5.2*0.25 = 1.3%. (Th

    candidate. Par value never changes. Current val

    . A. 26mn * 4.35 * (0.25)% = $ 28,280

    5

    hange in yield is = 25 bps = 0.0025

    * $1023.88 *0.0025 = 4.02

    7.42

    www.edupristine.c

    par value of $10mn is given to confuse the

    e of $11.25mn is more important)

    9

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    Extra-Quiz Questions

    1. What is least likely to be true regarding Macaulay and

    A. Both are calculated from the bonds expected cascash flows

    B. For bonds with no options, modified duration is si

    C. Macaulay duration takes into consideration embe

    . A fixed income analyst makes the following two state

    Statement 1: YTM assumes that coupon payment

    reinvested at the rate e ual to the cash flow ield.

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine

    Statement 2: The bond is assumed to be held

    till maturity.

    . Consider the following two statements:

    Statement 1: The static spread is the spread

    over the Treasury spot rate that makes the PV

    of all the cash flows from a non-Treasury security

    equal to its price.

    Statement 2: The Z-spread ignores the interest rat

    volatility and assumes it to be zero.

    6

    modified duration

    h flows with no adjustments for embedded options on

    ilar to effective duration

    ded options in the bond

    ents:

    are

    Statement 1 Statement 2

    A Correct Correct

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    e

    0

    orrec ncorrec

    C Incorrect Correct

    Statement 1 Statement 2A Correct Correct

    B Correct Incorrect

    C Incorrect Correct

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    Extra-Quiz Questions

    . Sally states that there are a number of yield measureleast likely yield measure that is used

    A. Yield to call

    B. Yield to worst

    C. Yield to settlement

    . Duration is not a good measure for large changes inshift in a parallel fashion. The statements are most lik

    A. Both statements are correct.

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine

    B. Only one statement is correct.

    C. Both the statements are incorrect.

    . An 8% coupon bond is valued at 104.35. When the yito 103.44. The PVBP for the bond is closest to

    A. $0.0455B. $0.0512

    C. $0.0519

    6

    that are used traditionally in the bond market. The

    ield. Duration also assumes that the yield curve will ely

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    ld increases by 20 bps the price of the bond declines

    1

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    Extra-Quiz Questions

    . Which of the following 10-year fixed-coupon bonds haa coupon rate of:

    A. 6.50%

    B. 5.00%

    C. 8.00%

    . Carl manages the following portfolio

    he value for the portfolio duration is

    losest to

    Coupon

    8%

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine

    A. 5.833

    B. 4.351

    C. 4.555

    6

    11%

    9.75%

    10.25%

    s the least price volatility? All else equal, the bond with

    Maturity Par ValueMarketValue

    Duration

    5 years $ 5 mn $ 4 mn 4.87

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    2

    7 years $ 10 mn $ 11.4 mn 5.72

    10 years $ 15 mn$ 14.5

    mn8.50

    5 years $ 20 mn$ 21.2

    mn4.25

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    Solutions

    1. C.

    . A.

    . A.

    The Z-spread is also known as the static spread aspot rates to calculate the PV of cash flows of a bzero hence it is also known as the zero-volatility

    . C.

    Yield to settlement is not a traditional measure ofa ield to maturit b ield to call c ield to ut d

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine

    . A.

    As the duration measure is not useful for measuriyield. The duration also assumes that yields chan

    . A.

    The PVBP = 104.35 103.44 / 20 = 0.0455

    6

    nd it is the spreads that should be added on top of nd. It also assumes the volatility of interest rates is AS.

    ield. The yield measures that are generally used are ield to worst e current ield f cash flow ield.

    www.edupristine.c

    g changes in price when there are large changes in e is parallel across the entire yield curve.

    3

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    Solutions

    . C.

    If bonds are identical except for the coupon rate, thvolatility. This is because a bonds price is determibond pays more of its cash flows later (more of thehigher-coupon bond does. Longer-term cash flowscalculation. Another way to think about this: The re(all else equal) is inverse a greater coupon resultconfused on the examination, remember that a zerbecause it delivers all its cash flows at maturity. Sicoupon equates to high price volatility.

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine

    . A.

    6

    Issue Market ValueMV % of Portfolio

    Value

    A $ 4 mn 7.83%

    B $ 11.4 mn 22.31%

    C $ 14.5 mn 28.38%

    D $ 21.2 mn 41.49%

    Total $ 51.1 mn 100%

    e one with the lowest coupon will exhibit the most price ed by discounting the cash flows. A lower-coupon cash flow is comprised of principal at maturity) than a

    are discounted more heavily in the present value lationship between the coupon rate and price volatility

    s in less price volatility. Examination tip: If you get -coupon bond has the highest interest rate risk ce a zero-coupon bond has a 0.00% coupon, a low

    www.edupristine.c

    4

    DurationMV% * Duration

    4.87 0.3813

    5.72 1.2761

    8.50 2.4123

    4.25 1.7633

    5.8330

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    Five Minute Recap

    32 ......YTM)(1

    C

    YTM)(1

    C

    YTM)(1

    CbondaofValue

    Bond Selling at: Relationship

    Par Coupon rate = Current Yield = Yield to Maturi

    Discount Coupon rate < Current Yield < Yield to Maturi

    Premium Coupon rate > Current Yield > Yield to Maturi

    eev Knowledge Management Pristine 6

    bondbenchmarkon theYield

    spreadyieldAbsolute

    spreadyieldRelative

    yieldbondbenchmark

    yieldbondSubjectRatioYield

    BenchmarkonYield-BondonYieldSpreadYieldAbsolute

    NYTM)1

    PARC

    y

    y

    y

    1YTMAnnual1*2 21

    BEY

    1

    2

    BEY1

    2

    YTM

    Price

    Option-freebond Callable

    bond

    Value of

    call

    www.edupristine.c5

    BondYieldCoup

    on

    Pri

    ce

    Coupon

    Putable

    Bond

    Valueof Put

    Yield

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    Five Minute Recap

    preadeasure

    Benchmark Reflects Compensation for

    ominal Treasury YieldCurve

    Credit Risk, Liquidity Risk,Option Risk

    ero-Volatility Treasury SpotRate Curve

    Credit Risk, Liquidity Risk,Option Risk

    ption-djusted

    Treasury SpotRate Curve

    Credit Risk, Liquidity Risk

    TreasuryBond Y TMY TMSpreadomina l

    2121

    C oupon

    ZSrateSpo t1 y r1

    C ouponce

    ZSrateSpotyr

    CostOptionSpread-ZSpreadAdjustedOption

    (BondDurationEffective

    whprice(BondConvexity

    yModDVVy

    V

    ..

    V

    1-M odD

    yeaperpaymentsinterestofno

    YTM

    (1

    DurationMacaulayDurationModified

    ValueBond*0.01%*DurationPVBP

    Theories Of Term Structure Of Interest Rates

    2111013

    3 1111 fffS

    decimals)inyieldin(Change*Price)(Initial*2

    rises)yieldwhenpriceBondfallsyieldwhenprice

    2decimals)inyieldin(Change*Price)(Initial*2

    PricBondInitial*2-risesyieldwhenpriceBondfallsyieldn

    Pure Expectations Theory Liquidity Preference Theory Market Segmentation Theory

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