Upload
aspanwz-spanwz
View
225
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
1/66
Fixed Income
www.edupristine.com
Securities - II
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
2/66
Mapping to Curriculum
Reading 56: Understanding Yi Reading 58: Yield Measures,
Reading 59: Introduction to M
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
Expect around 15 questions in th
eld Spreads pot Rates and Forward Rates
asurement of Interest Rate Risk
www.edupristine.c
e exam from todays lecture
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
3/66
Key Concepts
Interest Rate Policy
Yield Curve Shapes
Theories Of Term Structure Of
LIBOR
Yield Measures
Reinvestment Risk
Bootstrapping
Nominal Spread, Zero-volatilit
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
Option-adjusted Spread
Forward Rates
Duration, Convexity, PVBP
Interest Rates
Spread,
www.edupristine.c
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
4/66
Agenda
Features of Debt Securities
Risks Associated with Investin
Overview of Bond Sectors and
Understanding Yield Spreads
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
in Bonds
Instruments
www.edupristine.c
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
5/66
Key Issues In Understanding Yield Sp
Interest Rate Policy
Yield Curve
Theories of Term structure of Interest Rates
Spot Rate
Yield Spread measures
Credit S read
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
Embedded options affect on yield spread
Liquidity affect on yield spread
After-tax Yield
LIBOR
reads
www.edupristine.c
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
6/66
Interest Rate Policy
To implement the Feds monetary policy, the Fed
Discount rate: is the rate at which banks borrow fro
Open Market Operations: refers to purchase and s
Bank Reserve requirements: refers to the percenta
Pursuation: refers to the Fed asking banks to alter
Lowering the discount rate and/or engaging in ope
rates in the market.
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
ses the following four interest rate tools:
m the Fed.
le of Treasury Securities in the open market.
ge of deposits the bank must keep with itself.
heir lending policies.
n market operations decrease the overall interest
www.edupristine.c
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
7/66
Yield Curve And Its Shapes
ield Curve: Shows the relationship between Yield
It can be: Upward Sloping - Normal
Downward Sloping - Inverted
Flat
Humped
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
nd Maturity
Rising Declining
Imp
www.edupristine.c
Flat Humped
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
8/66
Theories Of Term Structure Of Interes
Pure Expectations Theory:
States that the future value of interest rates is eq
short-term rates are expected to rise then the yield
Shape of Term Structure Implication AcTheory
Upward sloping (normal) Rates expecte
Downward slo in inverted Rates ex ecte
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
Liquidity Preference Theory:
States that investors are risk-averse and will dem
Yield curve can be normal, inverted or flat as long
maturity.
Flat Rates not exp
Rates
al to the summation of market expectations. If
curve will be upward sloping
ording to Pure Expectations
d to rise
d to decline
Imp
www.edupristine.c
nd a premium for securities with longer maturities
s yield premium for interest rate risk increases with
cted to changeThis files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
9/66
Theories Of Term Structure Of Interes
Market Segmentation Theory:
States that most investors have set preferences
Example: a bank having large amount of short ter
An offshoot to above theory is that an investor can
preference, if they are compensated for taking on
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
range. This is known as the Preferred Habitat Th
Rates
regarding the length of maturities they will invest in
liabilities will prefer to invest in short term securities.
be induced to invest outside their term of
that additional risk by moving out of their preferred
www.edupristine.c
oryThis files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
10/66
Spot Rate
The discount rate of a zero coupon bond is called
In the case of a treasury security, its called the tre
The relationship between maturity an d treasury s
rates.
This is different from the treasury yield curve.
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
1
he spot rate for that maturity.
sury spot rate.
ot rates is called the term structure of interest
www.edupristine.c
0
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
11/66
Yield Curve
Spot rate: The rate of return earned on a zero-co
Forward rate: The yield on a zero-coupon securitsecurities have not been issued yet, we can nevershort, a graph of forward rates is a graph of interesecurities in the future. (Forward rates are typicall
Yield curve: A graph that shows the yield earnedthe relationshi between short-term and lon -term
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
1
upon bond, if held to maturity.
y issued at some point in the future. Since the observe a forward rate, we can only estimate it. In
t rates that are expected to be paid on short-term estimated for 6-month Treasury bills.)
on bonds of various maturities. In short, it shows interest rates.
www.edupristine.c
1
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
12/66
Yield Spread Measures
Yield Spread Measures: Yield Spread is the diffe
Absolute Yield Spread = (Yield on the subject bond
Relative Yield Spread = (Absolute Yield Spread/Yi
Yield Ratio = (Subject Bond Yield/Benchmark Bon
eev Knowledge Management Pristine 1
ence between the yield on two bonds
- Yield on benchmark bond)
ld on benchmark bond)
Yield)
www.edupristine.c2
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
13/66
Credit Spread
Credit Spread: It is the spread between non - Tre
all respects except forthe credit rating
In an expanding economy, credit spreads becom
In a contracting economy, credit spreads widen.
This is because in a contracting economy, compan
making it more difficult for corporate issuers to ser
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
deteriorates, and investors sell corporates and buy
1
sury and Treasury securities that are identical in
narrow
ies experience decline in revenues and cash flows
ice their debt obligations. Thus, credit quality
www.edupristine.c
treasuries. Thus, widening the spreads.
3
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
14/66
Embedded Options
mbedded Options Effect on Yield Spread:
Call Provision:
Grants the issuer the right to retire the debt, fully o
From an investors point of view, a non-callable bon
Investors require a higher yield on the Callable bon
Put Provision/Conversion Provision
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
A putable-bond is more preferred to a plain vanilla
lower yield spread
The higher spread on an MBS is due to prepayme
1
partially, before the scheduled maturity date.
d is preferred against a Callable bond.
d and the yield spread is also larger for such bonds.
Imp
www.edupristine.c
bond from the investors point of view and will have a
t risk.
4
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
15/66
After-tax Yield
The difference in yield between tax-exempt securit
in terms of absolute yield spread but as a yield rati
One should compare the after-tax yield to arrive at
yieldExemptTax
taxMarginal1*YieldTaxableYieldTaxAfter
eev Knowledge Management Pristine 1
ratetaxMarginal1
ies and treasury securities is typically measured not
o.
an investment decision
ate
www.edupristine.c5
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
16/66
LIBOR
IBOR: It stands for London Inter bank Offered Rate
Is the rate paid on Negotiable CDs by banks locate
Determined by the British Bank Association (BBA)
It is quoted in many currencies:
Has become the most important reference rate ove
Is important because the fluctuations in LIBOR will
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
borrows to make an investments) will be able to bo
1
d in London
r time
impact the rate at which the funded investor (one who
www.edupristine.c
rrow funds
6
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
17/66
Questions
1. The pure expectation theory can be used to expl
most likelyA. Incorrect; The market segmentation theory can b
B. Incorrect; The liquidity preference theory can be
C. Correct; The pure expectation theory explains an
2. With respect to the term structure of interest rate
A. An increase in demand for long term borrowings c
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
.yield curve
C. The yield curve reflects the maturity demands of fi
. The tool most commonly used by Fed is:
A. Open Market OperationsB. Bank reserve requirement
C. Discount rate
1
in any shape of the yield curve. This statement is
e used to explain any shape of the yield curve
used to explain any shape of the yield curve
y shape of the yield curve
s, the market segmentation theory holds that :
ould lead to an inverted yield curve
www.edupristine.c
nancial institutions and investors
7
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
18/66
Questions (Cont...)
. As per the Liquidity Preference Theory :
A. Investors will demand a premium for shorter matB. Investors will demand a premium for longer matu
C. Investors will not demand any premium.
. As per the Preference habitat Theory :
A. Investors are will not move out of their preferenc
B. Investors demand a premium to invest outside th
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
.
. The impact of an expanding economy on the yiel
A. To increase the yield spread
B. To decrease the yield spread
C. Will not effect the yield spread
. Which of the following will have the least Yield Sp
A. Callable Bond
B. Putable Bond
C. A plain Fixed Coupon Bond
1
rity securities. rity securities.
habitat
eir preference range
www.edupristine.c
spread is:
read:
8
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
19/66
Solutions
1. A. The market segmentation theory asserts that t
maturity sectors of the yield curve determine the i
. C. The correct answer is the yield curve reflects t
investors.
. A. Open Market Operations
. B. Investors will demand a premium for longer m
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
. B. Investors demand a premium to invest outside
. B. To decrease the yield spread
. B. Puttable Bond
1
e supply and demand for funds within the different
nterest rate for that sector.
e maturity demands of financial institutions and
turity securities
www.edupristine.c
their preference range
9
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
20/66
Agenda
Introduction to the Valuation of
Yield Measures, Spot Rates, an
Introduction to Measurement of
eev Knowledge Management Pristine 2
ebt Securities
Forward Rates
Interest Rate Risk
www.edupristine.c0
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
21/66
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
22/66
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
23/66
Traditional Yield Measures
Traditional Yield Measures
Current Yield: the annnual interest income from
Current Yield = Annual Coup
Bond Price
The current yield is simply the coupon payment (C
Current yield = C/ P0.
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
Drawbacks :
Only Considers coupon interest
Capital Gains/Losses not taken into account
No consideration for reinvestment income
2
the bond
n interest received
) as a percentage of the (current) bond price (P).
www.edupristine.c
3
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
24/66
Traditional Yield Measures
Yield to Maturity(YTM): YTM is the IRR of the bon
Yield Measure Relationships:
Bond Selling at: Relationship
Par Coupon rate = C
Discount Coupon rate < C
12
Y T M1
C
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
dvantages:
Considers both coupon income and capital gain/lo
Considers the timing of cashflows
Limitations
It considers the reinvestment income; the interim cthe YTM.
2
Premium Coupon rate > C
. It is the annualised rate of return on the bond
urrent Yield = Yield to Maturity
urrent Yield < Yield to Maturity
2N2
2
Y T M1
P arC.....
2
Y T M
C
Imp
www.edupristine.c
s if held to maturity.
oupon payments are reinvested at a rate equal to
4
urrent Yield > Yield to MaturityThis files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
25/66
Traditional Yield Measures
YTM of Annual Coupon Bond:
A 10 year, $1000 par value bond has a coupon of
PV = -920; N=10; FV=1000; PMT=70
I/Y = 8.20%
YTM for zero cou on bond:
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
The price of a 5-year Treasury bond is $804. Calc
YTM.
Semiannual-pay YTM =
Annual-pay YTM =
2
41.42*1804
1000 101
%46.41804
1000 51
7%. If it is priced at $920 what is the YTM?
www.edupristine.c
late the semiannual-pay YTM and annual-pay
5
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
26/66
Traditional Yield Measures
Bond Equivalent Yield: Doubling the semiannual
Yield to Call: yield on callable bonds (bonds can
premium. The calculation is the same as for norm
price and the total period is substituted with the pe
Yield to Put: yield on puttable bonds that are selli
Yield to Worst:A yield can be calculated for ever
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
these YTMs is called Yield to Worst.
Cash Flow Yield: used for Amortisinfg Securities.
prepayment rates may differ from those assumed
Yield to maturity (YTM): most popular yield meas
measure is that it assumes that cash flows are rei
2
yield to maturity.
e called before maturity) that are selling at a
l bonds. The par value is substitued with the call
riod upto the call date
g at a discount
possible call date and put date. The lowest of
www.edupristine.c
The limitation with this measure is that the actual
or calculation purposes.
ure of all the above. The limitation with this
vested at the YTM and the bond is held till maturity
6
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
27/66
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
28/66
Reinvestment Income
If the reinvestment rate is less than the YTM then
How to calculate the Reinvestment Income earned
20-year Treasury bond purchased at par, 7% cou
generated to earn a YTM of 7%?
Total Value generated in 20 years = 100(1.035)40
Reinvestment income required = 395.9260 100
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
Factors Affecting:
Higher the coupon rate higher the reinvestment ris
Longer the maturity higher the reinvestment risk
If the above problem was for a 10 year bond with
would have been $13.8616 as compared to $ 155
2
he actual yield realised will be less than YTM
???
on rate, how much reinvestment income should be
395.9260
40*3.50 = 155.9260
Imp
www.edupristine.c
coupon of 5%, the reinvestment income required
.9260
8
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
29/66
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
30/66
Computing Theoretical Treasury Spot
Bootstrapping: It is the method of calculating the
spot rate is used to calculate the spot rate for the n
used for calculating the next spot rate
Spot Rate Curve:
Theoretical Spot Rate Curve
eev Knowledge Management Pristine 3
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
7%
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5
(Term Structure of interest rates)
Rate
spot rates using the prices of coupon bonds. One
ext period. The two consecutive spot rates are
www.edupristine.c0
3
Rate
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
31/66
Bootstrapping
Yield Curve
Yields are bond-specific; given a boncoupons, the yieldis the rate that all cash flows are discandfuture values the same.
The spot curve diagrams what pure d
Summarizing the curves
eev Knowledge Management Pristine 3
po urve
app es o anycash flow at each maturity point. It isAlso called the zero curve.
Forward
Curve
This is a plot of what the market char6 month
period starting at certain future datesNote that forward curves could be m(i.e. 1 year forwards, 3 month forwar
's market price and
ounted at to make present
iscount rate the market
www.edupristine.c1
not bond specific.
ges to borrow money for a
. de for any borrowing term
s, etc.)
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
32/66
Bootstrapping Example:
Consider 3 treasury securities with their maturities
Using the method of bootstrapping, find the theore
Maturity Market Rate
6 months 3%
12 months 4%
18 months 5%
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
Solution:
The bond with six months left to maturity has a seannual bond equivalent yield (BEY) basis.
Since the bond will only make a single payment of
for cash flows to be received six months from now.
3
and market rates given in the table below:
tical Treasury spot rates.
www.edupristine.c
iannual discount rate of 0.03/2 = 0.015 or 3.0% on an
101.50 in six months, the market rate is the spot rate
2
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
33/66
Solution
100
)2
1(
102
015.1
2
21
S
The one-year bond will make two payments, one incan solve for the one-year spot rate in the equation
where S1.0 is the annualized 1-year spot rate. Solvi
Using the 6-month and 1-year spot rates, we can urate from the equation
eev Knowledge Management Pristine 3
100
)2
1(
.
)02.1(
.
015.1
.
35.12
S
where S1.0 is the annualized 18-month spot rate. Sol
six months of 2 and one in one year of 102. We :
g we get: S1.0 = 4.01 %.
se the same approach to find the 18-month spot
www.edupristine.c3
ving we get: S1.5 = 5.03%.
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
34/66
Nominal Spread, Zero-volatility Sprea
Option-adjusted Spread
Nominal Spread: is the YTM of a bond minus the
Zero-Volatility Spread: is the constant spread tha
POINT on the Treasury curve where a cash flow is
equal to the present value of its cash flows. Each
appropriate Treasury spot rate plus the Z-spread.
YSpreadN om in a l
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
PV of Bond(for a two year annual pay security)
Z-spread Vs Nominal:
A nominal spread uses one point on the Treasury yie
will equal the present value of the security's cash flow
Option Adjusted Spread: is the spread without th
options.
3
Sp o1 y r1
C ouP r i ce
SAdjustedOption
,
YTM of a Treasury security of similar maturity
t is to be added to the spot rate yield at EACH
received that will make the price of a security
ash flow of the security is discounted at the
It is also known as "static spread"
Trea suryB ond Y TMM
Imp
www.edupristine.c
ld curve to determine the spread at a single point that
s to its price
e affect of the option for a bond with embedded
4
21 21
C oupo n
ZSra tet
p on
ZSrateSpotyr
CostOptionSpread-Zpread
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
35/66
Option Cost In A Bond
Option Cost in % = Z-spread Option Adjusted S
In case of a callble bond the OAS < Z-spread as o
In case of putable options the OAS > Z-spread
SpreadMeasure
Benchmark Reflects Co
Nominal Treasury YieldCurve
Credit Risk, LO tion Risk
eev Knowledge Management Pristine 3
Zero-Volatility Treasury SpotRate Curve
Credit Risk, LOption Risk
Option-Adjusted
Treasury SpotRate Curve
Credit Risk, L
read(OAS)
ne needs to be compensated for the call feature
pensation for
iquidity Risk,
www.edupristine.c5
iquidity Risk,
iquidity Risk
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
36/66
Forward Rates
Forward Rates: rates of interest implied by the cu
For example, 6-Month Forward in 6 Months is e
Amount for 6 month after 6 months from today
The same is represented as:
S = f = Current S ot rate
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
1f1 = is the rate for a 1-year loan to be made on
1f2 = is the rate for a 1-year loan to be made tw
Relating the above terminology:
3
2111013
3 1111 fffS
rrent zero rates for a period of time in the future
uivalent to borrowing or lending the Notional
www.edupristine.c
year from now
years from now
6
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
37/66
Forward Rates
For example: if we have the zero rates for year 4 a
time between year 4 and year 5 would be known aYear 4
F4,5F4= 4%
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
The 5-year spot rate is 10.50% and the 4-year spofour years from no?
7.02%
7.55%
8.35%
Solution: (1+z5)5 = (1+z4)
4*(1+f1) = (1.105)5 = (1.1
(1+f1) = 1.0755
f1 = 7.55%
3
nd year 5 then the forward rate for the period of
s the forward rate for that time period of 1 year.
Year 5
F5= 5%
www.edupristine.c
t rate is 11.25%. What is the one year forward rate
125)4*(1+f1)
7
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
38/66
Questions
1. Karen invests in an 8% 5-year semi-annual calla
callable bond is 150bps. The option cost is 56 bpA. 100 bps
B. 94 bps
C. 206 bps
. Reinvestment income is least effected by:
A. The time to maturity.
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
B. The size of the debt issue.
C. The Coupon rate.
. The z-spread of a callable bond is 340 basis poin
A. Greater than 340 basis points
B. Lesser than 340 basis points
C. Equal to 340 basis points
3
le bond on 5th January 2010. The Z-spread for the
. The OAS is closest to
www.edupristine.c
s. The OAS of the bond is most likely to be:
8
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
39/66
Questions (Cont....)
. For a 7% 3-year semi-annual option-free bond. T
at par. Calculate the no-arbitrage price for the boto
Maturity (months) Yield
6 5.2%
12 5.5%
18 5.8%
24 6.0%
eev Knowledge Management Pristine 3
30 6.2%
36 6.5%
5. The yield on a Bond Equivalent basis of an annuA. 4.16%
B. 8.33%C. 6.43%
6. The annual-pay yield to maturity of a 8.50% coupA. 17.72%B. 8.68%C. 13.43%
e Treasury spot rates are given below. The bond is
d. If the market price is $104.5 the BEY is closest
No-ArbitragePrice
BEY
A 102.34 5.45%
B 101.48 5.36%
www.edupristine.c9
C 104.50 5.25%
l-pay 8.50% coupon bond prices at par is:
on semi-annual pay bond is:
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
40/66
Solutions
1. B. OAS = Z-spread option cost = 150 -56 = 94
. B. The size of the debt issue
. B. Lesser than 340 basis points
. B. No-arbitrage price is calculated by discounting
M o n th s Y ie ld P V F a c to r
6 5 . 2 0 % 0 . 9 7 4 7
1 2 5 . 5 0 % 0 . 9 4 7 2
1 8 5 . 8 0 % 0 . 9 1 7 8
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
he bond equivalent yield can be calculated by usingInput 6 cash flows for coupon payment and one princIRR = 2.68% BEY
. B. 8.33%
. B. 8.68%
4
2 4 6 . 0 0 % 0 . 8 8 8 5
3 0 6 . 2 0 % 0 . 8 5 8 4
3 6 6 . 5 0 % 0 . 8 2 5 4
bps
all the cash flows by the spot rates
C a s h F lo w P V o f C F
3 . 5 3 . 4 1 1 3
3 . 5 3 . 3 1 5 2
3 . 5 3 . 2 1 2 3
www.edupristine.c
the CF function ipal payment cash flow. CF0 = 104.5 CPT IRR. = 2* IRR = 5.36%
0
3 . 5 3 . 1 0 9 7
3 . 5 3 . 0 0 4 5
1 0 3 . 5 8 5 . 4 2 8 0
1 0 1 . 4 8 0 9 8 0 9
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
41/66
Agenda
Introduction to the Valuation of Debt
Yield Measures, Spot Rates, and For
Introduction to Measurement of Intere
eev Knowledge Management Pristine 4
ecurities
ard Rates
st Rate Risk
www.edupristine.c1
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
K I I I t d ti T Th M t Of I t t
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
42/66
Key Issues In Introduction To The Me
Rate Risk
Measuring Interest Rate Risk
Price Volatility
Convexity
Effective Duration
Alternative definitions of Duration
Duration of a ortfolio
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
Convexity measure of a bond
Modified and Effective Convexity
Price Value of a Basis Point(PVBP)
4
surement Of Interest
www.edupristine.c2
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
43/66
Measuring Interest Rate Risk
Interest rate risk can be measured by two method
Full Valuation Method:
This is referred to as scenario analysis.
Under this method the normal pricing technique
options
When the interest rates change the entire portfo
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
The two values are compared to arrive at the im
Calculation gets complicated when there are a l
Duration/Convexity Method:
This gives an approximate result of the sensitivit
It is much simpler compared to the full valuation
4
:
are used to value a bond or a bond with embedded
lio is re-evaluated by the same method
www.edupristine.c
pact of change in interest rate
rge number of bonds in the portfolio.
y of the bond.
method.
3
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
44/66
Disadvantages Of A Callable Bond
From the investors perspective the disadvantages of
Cash flow pattern is not known with certainity
Investor exposed to reinvestment risk
Price appreciation potential will be decreased relati
Negative convexity
eev Knowledge Management Pristine 4
an embedded call option is:
ve to an otherwise comparable option-free bond.
www.edupristine.c4
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
45/66
Price Volatility And Convexity
We have already seen that the price-yield curve is
to as convex.
Price
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
Properties concerning the price volatility of an option
Percentage price change per change in interest ra
For either small increases or decreases in yield, pthe same.
For a given large change in yield, the percentagedecrease.
4
a negatively sloped and is a curve. This is referred
www.edupristine.c
free bond:
es is not the same for all bonds
rcentage change in price for given bond is roughly
rice increase is greater than the percentage price
5
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
46/66
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
47/66
Price Volatility And Convexity
The curve of a Puttable bond exhibits Positive Co
of a security as a result of increase in the yield is li
Pr
ice
Putable Bond
eev Knowledge Management Pristine 4
Coupon
Value of
Yield
nvexity. This is because the decrease in the price
mited to the put price. See the below graph:
www.edupristine.c7
PutThis files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
48/66
Effective Duration
Duration is the measure of how long on an average th
payments on the bond. A coupon paying bonds dura
his payments in the form of coupons before n years
In simple words, duration of a bond is sensitivity of
Effective duration is calculated as:
(BonDurationEffective
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
ercentage change in Bond Price = -Effective Duration *
Example: Consider a bond trading at 96.54 with durat
B = - 96.54* 4.5 y
B = -434.43 y
If there is 10 basis points increase ( + y) in the yi
B = -434.43 * ( 0.001) = -.43443
Hence, B = 96.54- .43443 = 96.10
4
e holder of the bond has to wait before he receives his
tion would be lower than n as the holder gets some of
ond price to change in its interest rate
decimals)inyieldin(Change*Price)(Initial*2
rises)yieldwhenpriceBondfallsyieldwhenprice
Imp
www.edupristine.c
Change in yield in percent. (y)
ion of 4.5 years. In this case
eld then the bond price would change by:
8
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
49/66
Percentage Change In Price Using Du
Approximate percentage price change = - Duratio
For example, you hold a bond that has a durationCalculate the approximate percentage price chan
Answer: Approximate percentage price change = -
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
For large changes in yield, convexity should also binaccurate with only taking duration into account.
4
ration
* y * 100
f 7.8 years. The interest rates fell by 25 bps. e.
Duration * y * 100
= -7.8 *(- .0025) * 100
www.edupristine.c
= 1.95%
e used. Percentage change in price becomes
9
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
50/66
Alternative Definitions Of Duration
Macaulay Duration: is the weighted average of
weights are a ratio of the coupon paid at time t toMacaulay duration is also used to measure how schanges in interest rates.
where:
t = Respective time period
C= Periodic Coupon payments ; y =Periodic yield :
C uDura t ionM acaulay
n
1t
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
Calculating Macaulay Duration:
Note that this is 3.77 six-month periods, which is a
5
.9643636
54.964
4
05.1
10403
05.1
402
05.1
401
05.1
40432
D
0
-964.54
he times when the payments are made. And the
the present bond price nsitive a bond or a bond portfolio's price is to
n = Total number of periods
Pr iceBondrrent
y)(1
M*n
y)(1
C*tnt
www.edupristine.c
bout 1.89 years
0
77.35476.
1 2 3 4
0
,
40 40 40
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
51/66
Change In Bond Price With Change In
Modified Duration
The modified duration is equal to the percentage c
Example:
The current price of a bond is 98.75. Its mo
yModDVVyV
..
V1-M odD
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
. .
Solution:
V = -98.75 * 5.2 * 0.005
= -2.57
The new price of the bond is 96.18
5
Discount Rate
ange in price for a given change in yield.
ified duration is 5.2 years. The YTM of the bond is
www.edupristine.c
1
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
52/66
Alternative Definitions Of Duration
Modified Duration: is derived from Macaulay Dur
takes into account the current YTM.
Effective Duration calculations explicitly take into
yperpaymentsinterestofno
YTM(1
DurationMacaulayDurationModified
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
embedded options. The other methods of calcula
In summary duration is,
The first derivative of the price-yield function
The slope of the price-yield curve.
A weighted average of the time till the cash flow
The approximate percentage change in price fo
5
tion. It is better than Macaulay Duration as it
account the a bonds option provisions such as
)ear
www.edupristine.c
tion ignore the option provision
s willl be received.(Macaulay Duration)
a 1% change in yield.(Effective Duration)
2
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
53/66
Duration Of A Portfolio
Duration of a portfolio is the weighted average of t
portfolio.
Portfolio Duration =
The problem with the above equation is that it hol
This is because securities with different maturities
2211 ...DWDW
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
5
e duration of the individual securities in the
s good only for a parallel shift in the yield curve.
may have different changes in yield.
NNDW......
www.edupristine.c
3
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
54/66
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
55/66
Price Value Of A Basis Point (PVBP)
This is a measure of interest rate risk.
This is also known as the dollar value of an 01 (D
PVBP It is the absolute value of the change in t
yield.
changesyieldwhenPrice-PriceInitialPVBP
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
The PVBP is the same for both increase and decr
The PVBP is a special case of dollar duration.
5
ValueBond*0.01%*DurationPVBP
01)
he price of a bond for a 1 basis point change in
pointbasis1by
www.edupristine.c
ase (because change in yield is small)
5
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
56/66
Yield Volatility
Price Yield Relationship
As seen in the graph, the when the yield level is hi
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
large change in price.
However, when yields are low, changes in interest
Interest Rate Risk can be decomposed into:
Duration risk
Yield Volatility
Yield volatility explains why junk bonds have highegiven by the standard deviation of yield changes
5
gh, a change in interest rates does not produce a
www.edupristine.c
rates produces a large change in price.
r interest rate risk than treasuries. Yield Volatility is
6
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
57/66
Questions
1. A 5 year bond paying 8% annual pay coupon is currecalculate the effective duration of the bond given 25
Given : V- = 1033.88, V+ = $1013.29
A. 5.03%
B. 4.02%
C. 4.56%
. Calculate the duration of the portfolio of two bonds ADuration of bond A is 7.9 and duration of bond B is 6.
A. 7.64
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
B. 7.42
C. 7.24
. A bond has a convexity of 63.80. The convexity effec
A. 0.41%
B. 0.35%
C. 0.54%. A bond has a duration of 9.75 and a convexity of 105
100 basis fall in the yield:
A. 10.25%
B. 9.75%
C. 10.80%
5
ntly trading for $1023.56 and having YTM of 7.42%, asis point in YTM.
and B having weights of 60% and 40% respectively. 7.
www.edupristine.c
t if the yield decreases by 80 basis points is:
.80. What is the change in the price of the bond for a
7
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
58/66
Questions (Cont...)
. The most accurate measure for arriving at the effect
A. Duration ApproachB. Full valuation approach
C. PVBP
. A bond manager has collected the following inforinvestments which have a par value of $10mn. Tis 5.2 the most likelyestimate of the price change
A. 1.3% of $10mn
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
. . .
C. 2.1% of $11.25mn
. A portfolio manager notices the following in his pwill be the change in the portfolio if the interest ra
A. $ 28,280
B. $ 14,250C. $ 27,100
5
IssueA
B
C
of duration is?
mation regarding a portfolio of fixed income e current market price is $11.25mn. If the duration
for the bond issue for a 25 bps change is
www.edupristine.c
rtfolio has a portfolio duration of 4.35. How much e declines by 25 bps
8
Maturity Market Value2 $8.5mn
5 $4.6mn
10 $12.9mn
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
59/66
Solutions
1. B. V = $1023.56, V- = 1033.88, V+ = $1013.29,
So effective duration is = ($1033.88 - $1013.29)/
. B. The portfolio duration is =0.6 * 7.9 + 0.4 *6.7 =
. A. 0.41%
. C. 10.80%
. B. Full valuation a roach
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
. B. The estimated change = 5.2*0.25 = 1.3%. (Th
candidate. Par value never changes. Current val
. A. 26mn * 4.35 * (0.25)% = $ 28,280
5
hange in yield is = 25 bps = 0.0025
* $1023.88 *0.0025 = 4.02
7.42
www.edupristine.c
par value of $10mn is given to confuse the
e of $11.25mn is more important)
9
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
60/66
Extra-Quiz Questions
1. What is least likely to be true regarding Macaulay and
A. Both are calculated from the bonds expected cascash flows
B. For bonds with no options, modified duration is si
C. Macaulay duration takes into consideration embe
. A fixed income analyst makes the following two state
Statement 1: YTM assumes that coupon payment
reinvested at the rate e ual to the cash flow ield.
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
Statement 2: The bond is assumed to be held
till maturity.
. Consider the following two statements:
Statement 1: The static spread is the spread
over the Treasury spot rate that makes the PV
of all the cash flows from a non-Treasury security
equal to its price.
Statement 2: The Z-spread ignores the interest rat
volatility and assumes it to be zero.
6
modified duration
h flows with no adjustments for embedded options on
ilar to effective duration
ded options in the bond
ents:
are
Statement 1 Statement 2
A Correct Correct
www.edupristine.c
e
0
orrec ncorrec
C Incorrect Correct
Statement 1 Statement 2A Correct Correct
B Correct Incorrect
C Incorrect Correct
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
61/66
Extra-Quiz Questions
. Sally states that there are a number of yield measureleast likely yield measure that is used
A. Yield to call
B. Yield to worst
C. Yield to settlement
. Duration is not a good measure for large changes inshift in a parallel fashion. The statements are most lik
A. Both statements are correct.
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
B. Only one statement is correct.
C. Both the statements are incorrect.
. An 8% coupon bond is valued at 104.35. When the yito 103.44. The PVBP for the bond is closest to
A. $0.0455B. $0.0512
C. $0.0519
6
that are used traditionally in the bond market. The
ield. Duration also assumes that the yield curve will ely
www.edupristine.c
ld increases by 20 bps the price of the bond declines
1
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
62/66
Extra-Quiz Questions
. Which of the following 10-year fixed-coupon bonds haa coupon rate of:
A. 6.50%
B. 5.00%
C. 8.00%
. Carl manages the following portfolio
he value for the portfolio duration is
losest to
Coupon
8%
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
A. 5.833
B. 4.351
C. 4.555
6
11%
9.75%
10.25%
s the least price volatility? All else equal, the bond with
Maturity Par ValueMarketValue
Duration
5 years $ 5 mn $ 4 mn 4.87
www.edupristine.c
2
7 years $ 10 mn $ 11.4 mn 5.72
10 years $ 15 mn$ 14.5
mn8.50
5 years $ 20 mn$ 21.2
mn4.25
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
63/66
Solutions
1. C.
. A.
. A.
The Z-spread is also known as the static spread aspot rates to calculate the PV of cash flows of a bzero hence it is also known as the zero-volatility
. C.
Yield to settlement is not a traditional measure ofa ield to maturit b ield to call c ield to ut d
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
. A.
As the duration measure is not useful for measuriyield. The duration also assumes that yields chan
. A.
The PVBP = 104.35 103.44 / 20 = 0.0455
6
nd it is the spreads that should be added on top of nd. It also assumes the volatility of interest rates is AS.
ield. The yield measures that are generally used are ield to worst e current ield f cash flow ield.
www.edupristine.c
g changes in price when there are large changes in e is parallel across the entire yield curve.
3
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
64/66
Solutions
. C.
If bonds are identical except for the coupon rate, thvolatility. This is because a bonds price is determibond pays more of its cash flows later (more of thehigher-coupon bond does. Longer-term cash flowscalculation. Another way to think about this: The re(all else equal) is inverse a greater coupon resultconfused on the examination, remember that a zerbecause it delivers all its cash flows at maturity. Sicoupon equates to high price volatility.
eev Knowledge Management Pristine
. A.
6
Issue Market ValueMV % of Portfolio
Value
A $ 4 mn 7.83%
B $ 11.4 mn 22.31%
C $ 14.5 mn 28.38%
D $ 21.2 mn 41.49%
Total $ 51.1 mn 100%
e one with the lowest coupon will exhibit the most price ed by discounting the cash flows. A lower-coupon cash flow is comprised of principal at maturity) than a
are discounted more heavily in the present value lationship between the coupon rate and price volatility
s in less price volatility. Examination tip: If you get -coupon bond has the highest interest rate risk ce a zero-coupon bond has a 0.00% coupon, a low
www.edupristine.c
4
DurationMV% * Duration
4.87 0.3813
5.72 1.2761
8.50 2.4123
4.25 1.7633
5.8330
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
65/66
Five Minute Recap
32 ......YTM)(1
C
YTM)(1
C
YTM)(1
CbondaofValue
Bond Selling at: Relationship
Par Coupon rate = Current Yield = Yield to Maturi
Discount Coupon rate < Current Yield < Yield to Maturi
Premium Coupon rate > Current Yield > Yield to Maturi
eev Knowledge Management Pristine 6
bondbenchmarkon theYield
spreadyieldAbsolute
spreadyieldRelative
yieldbondbenchmark
yieldbondSubjectRatioYield
BenchmarkonYield-BondonYieldSpreadYieldAbsolute
NYTM)1
PARC
y
y
y
1YTMAnnual1*2 21
BEY
1
2
BEY1
2
YTM
Price
Option-freebond Callable
bond
Value of
call
www.edupristine.c5
BondYieldCoup
on
Pri
ce
Coupon
Putable
Bond
Valueof Put
Yield
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13
8/13/2019 CFA 1 Fixed Income II
66/66
Five Minute Recap
preadeasure
Benchmark Reflects Compensation for
ominal Treasury YieldCurve
Credit Risk, Liquidity Risk,Option Risk
ero-Volatility Treasury SpotRate Curve
Credit Risk, Liquidity Risk,Option Risk
ption-djusted
Treasury SpotRate Curve
Credit Risk, Liquidity Risk
TreasuryBond Y TMY TMSpreadomina l
2121
C oupon
ZSrateSpo t1 y r1
C ouponce
ZSrateSpotyr
CostOptionSpread-ZSpreadAdjustedOption
(BondDurationEffective
whprice(BondConvexity
yModDVVy
V
..
V
1-M odD
yeaperpaymentsinterestofno
YTM
(1
DurationMacaulayDurationModified
ValueBond*0.01%*DurationPVBP
Theories Of Term Structure Of Interest Rates
2111013
3 1111 fffS
decimals)inyieldin(Change*Price)(Initial*2
rises)yieldwhenpriceBondfallsyieldwhenprice
2decimals)inyieldin(Change*Price)(Initial*2
PricBondInitial*2-risesyieldwhenpriceBondfallsyieldn
Pure Expectations Theory Liquidity Preference Theory Market Segmentation Theory
This files has expired at 30-Jun-13