UP CFA 2013 I Fixed Income

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  • 7/29/2019 UP CFA 2013 I Fixed Income

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    1

    *Elaboracion basada en las Kaplan Schweser Notes CFA Level 1

    Fixed Income:Basic Concepts

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    2

    Fixed Income:

    Basic Concepts

    52. Features of Debt Securities

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    Bond Indentures

    3

    A bond indenture specifies all the obligations of the issuerof a fixed income security

    Negative covenants - prohibitions on the borrower Restrictions on asset sales Negative pledge of collateral Restrictions on additional borrowings

    Affirmative covenants - promises by the borrower Maintain financial ratios Timely payment of principal and interest

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    Bond Features

    4

    Face value, par value, maturity value

    Coupon rate: Annual % of par value

    Currency denomination

    Redemption: At maturity vs. amortizing

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    Coupon Structures

    5

    Zero-coupon bonds

    Pure discount bonds which pay no coupon

    Step-up notes

    Coupon rate increases over time

    Deferred coupon

    Bond's coupons compound

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    Floating-Rate Securities

    6

    Coupon formula

    Reference rate + margin

    For example, LIBOR + 1.5%, annualizedrates

    Cap: Maximum on formula rate

    Floor: Minimum on formula rate

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    Accrued Interest

    7

    Paid to a bond seller

    Portion of the next coupon interest paymentalready earned by the seller

    Full price = clean price + accrued interest

    =

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    Amortizing and Nonamortizing Bonds

    8

    Nonamortizing securities pay only interest untilmaturity, then the par value is repaid

    Coupon Treasury bonds Most corporate bonds

    The bond terms may include a sinking fund orcall feature that can accelerate principal

    repayment

    Amortizing securities typically make equalpayments over the life of the bond, each consistsof interest and principal

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    Call Provisions

    9

    Issuer can repay principal prior to maturity

    Call protection for some period

    Call prices typically decrease over time(e.g., 15-year bond: callable after 5 years102 and callable after 10 years @ par)

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    Refunding

    10

    Refunding is calling (redeeming) a bonusing the proceeds of a lower-cost issue

    Bond can be callable but not refundable

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    11

    Prepayment Option

    On an amortizing security, such as amortgage

    Prepayments are repayment of principal inexcess of scheduled principal payments

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    Sinking Fund

    12

    Sinking fund redemptions are calls of aportion of an outstanding bond issue, typically at par

    Premium bonds: Cash paid to trustee,bonds to be retired chosen by lottery

    Discount bonds: Bonds can be purchased

    and delivered to trustee to be retired

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    Redemption Prices

    13

    Cali prices are regular redemption prices

    Sinking fund redemptions andredemptions under other provisions arespecial redemption prices

    (e.g., redemptions due to forced asset

    sales)

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    Embedded Options

    14

    Options that benefit the issuer/borrower

    decrease bond values/increase yields

    Options that benefit the holder/lenderincrease bond values/decrease yields

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    Embedded Options

    15

    Option Type Benefits the.

    Call Provision Issuer/Borrower

    Prepayment Option Issuer/Borrower

    Put Provision Buyer

    Conversion Option Buyer

    Caps Issuer/Borrower

    Floors Buyer

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    Margin Buying and Repurchase Agreements

    16

    Margin buying: Borrowing funds to purchase securities.The securities are the collateral for the margin loan

    Repurchase agreement: An institution sells a security witha commitment to buy it back at a specified higher price

    Repo rate: The interest rate implied by the two prices Overnight repo: Repurchase agreement for one day Term repo: Agreement covering a longer period

    Most bond dealer financing is achieved through repurchaseagreements rather than margin loan

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    Fixed Income:Basic Concepts

    53. Risks Associated WithInvesting in Bonds

    17

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    Bond Risks

    18

    1. Interest rate risk

    2. Call/prepayment risk

    3. Yield curve risk

    4. Reinvestment risk

    5. Credit risk

    6. Liquidity risk

    7. Exchange-rate risk

    8. Volatility risk

    9. Inflation risk

    10.Event risk

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    Bond Discounts and Premiums

    19

    Yield = coupon rate bond price at par

    Yield < coupon rate

    bond price over parbond priced at a premium

    Yield > coupon rate bond price under parbond priced at a discount

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    Price/Yield for an 8% Bond

    20

    Bond Value

    Market Yield

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    Factors Affecting Interest Rate Risk

    21

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    Callable Bond Value

    22

    Callable bond = option free bond call option

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    Floating-Rate Securities

    23

    Coupon is periodically reset based on areference rate (plus a fixed margin)

    Has interest rate risk between reset dates

    Price may differ from par at reset if:

    Credit quality of issuer changes after issuance

    Margin over reference rate no longer appropriate

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    Floating-Rate Securities - Problem

    24

    Which of the following regarding floating-ratenotes is false?

    A. The coupon rate is based on a short-termreference rate plus a margin.

    B. A cap benefits the issuer (borrower) of a

    floating rate note.

    C. A floating rate note will be valued at par atevery coupon (reset) date.

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    Measure Interest Rate Risk With

    Duration

    25

    Duration is the approximate percentage pricechange for a 1% change in yield

    If market yield goes up 0.5%, bond price goesfrom 980 to 960; if yield goes down by 0.5%,price goes to 1,002:

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    Price Impact of Yield Changes

    26

    Based on the duration of 4.29:

    If the yield goes up 0.25%, price goes down by4.29(0.25%) = 1.0725%

    For a bond valued at $2.5 million, a yield changeof 0.25% leads to an approximate change invalue of 1.0725% (2.5 mil) = $28,812.50

    Dollar duration of a bond is approximatechange in value for a 1% change in yield:0.0429 (2.5 mil)= $107,250

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    Duration and Yield Curve Risk

    27

    Portfolio duration is an approximation of theprice sensitivity of a portfolio to a parallel shiftof the yield curve (yields on all the bonds change

    by the same percent)

    For a non-parallel shift in the yield curve, theyields on different bonds in a portfolio canchange by different amounts

    Yield curve risk: The interest rate risk of aportfolio of bonds that is not captured by theduration measure

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    Duration and Yield Curve Risk

    28

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    Callable and Prepayable Securities

    29

    Callable securities are likely to be calledwhen interest rates are low

    Principal repayment on prepayablesecurities is faster when interest rates arelow

    Investors must reinvest principal when ratesare low

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    Factors Affecting Reinvestment Risk

    30

    Reinvestment risk is higherwhen:

    1. Coupon is higher

    2. Bond has a call feature

    3. A security is amortizing

    4. A security contains a prepayment option

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    Forms of Credit Risk

    31

    Bond ratings indicate relative probability ofdefault

    Downgrade risk: Probability of ratings decrease

    Default risk: Probability of default

    Credit spread risk: Risk of increase in spread

    to Treasuries to compensate for given defaultrisk (bond rating)

    The higher the rating (e.g., AA vs. A),the lower the market yield

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    Liquidity Risk

    32

    The bid-ask spread indicates the liquidity ofthe market for a security

    A decrease in liquidity will increase the bid-ask spread, lead to a lower sale price,and decrease the returns on the position

    Even if an investor plans to hold the security

    until maturity, marking the security prices tomarket will result in lower returns whenliquidity decreases (bids fall)

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    Exchange Rate Risk

    33

    If an investor buys a security denominated in aforeign (to the investor) currency

    Depreciation of the foreign currency reducesthe returns to a dollar-based investor

    Exchange rate risk: Actual cash flows from the

    investment may be worth more or less than wasexpected when the bond was purchased

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    Inflation Risk

    34

    Inflation (purchasing power) risk: Prices ofgoods and services increase more than expected

    An increasing price level decreases theamount of real goods and services that bondpayments will purchase

    When expected inflation increases, nominalyields rise, values of debt securities fall

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    Effects of Yield Volatility

    35

    Increase in yield volatility increases optionvalues

    Increases value of putable bond =

    (option-free bond value + put value )

    Decreases value of callable bond =

    (option-free bond value - call value )

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    Event Risk

    36

    Disasters (e.g., hurricanes, earthquakes, orindustrial accidents) can impair the ability of acorporation to meet its debt obligations

    Corporate restructurings may result in bond ratingdowngrades

    Regulatory issues may cause large cash

    expenditures to meet new regulations

    New regulations prohibiting financial institutions fromholding a certain type of security can lead to avolume of sales that decreases prices for the whole sector

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    Sovereign Risk

    37

    Sovereign bond credit spread may increase

    Foreign government's credit rating may decline

    Foreign government may default on or repudiate debts

    Origins of sovereign risk are most often loweconomic growth/tax revenues, high government

    spending

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    Interest Rate Risk - Problem

    38

    A bonds interest rate risk will increas with:

    A. A put optionB. Shorter maturityC. Lower coupon.

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    Volatility Risk- Problem

    39

    An Increase in yield volatility will most likely:

    A. Decrease the value of a callable bond.B. Decrease the value of a putable bond.C. Decrease the values of all option-free bonds.

    F I

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    Fixed Income:Basic Concepts

    54. Overview of Bond

    Sectors and Instruments

    40

    F I

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    Government Securities

    41

    Sovereign debt: Bonds issued by centralgovernments; domestic, foreign, or Eurobond

    U.S. Treasury securities consideredessentially free of default risk

    Sovereign debt of other countries

    considered to have varying degrees ofcredit risk

    F I

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    Sovereign Debt Issuance Methods

    42

    1. Regular cycle auctionsingle price: Highest price(lowest yield) at which the entire issue can be soldawarded to all bidders (e.g., U.S. Treasury debt)

    2. Regular cycle auctionmultiple price: Winningbidders receive the bonds at the prices they bid

    3. Ad hoc auction system: Government auctions new

    securities when market conditions are advantageous

    4. Tap system:Auction of bonds identical to previouslyissued bonds, periodically, no regular cycle

    F I

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    U.S. Treasury Securities

    43

    T-Bills: Pure discount securities, nocoupon, no interest payments, less than

    one year maturity

    Notes and bonds: Semi-annual couponinterest, face (par) value at maturity, 2 to30 years maturity

    F I

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    U.S. Treasury Securities

    44

    Treasury Inflation Protected Securities(TIPS)

    Coupon rate is fixed

    Real rate of return

    Par value is adjusted for inflation

    1/2 coupon rate x inflation adjusted par value= semiannual payment

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    On- and Off-the-Run Treasuries

    45

    On-the-run issues

    Most recent auction issues, most liquid,

    actively traded

    Off-the-run issues

    Older issues (replaced by more recentissues)

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    Stripped Treasury Securities

    46

    A type of zero-coupon bond created fromTreasury notes and bonds; the pieces (couponpayments and the principal payment) areseparated

    Coupon strips are denoted = ci

    Principal strips are denoted = pi

    STRIPS (zeros) are taxed on implicit interest

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    Securities Issued by Federal Agencies

    47

    Federally related institutions (e.g., GNMA,TVA)

    Government-sponsored enterprises (SallieMae, Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae)

    Agency securities, very little credit risk

    Debentures: Securities not backed bycollateral; unsecured bonds

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    TIPS - Problem

    48

    U.S. Treasury Inflation Protected Securities(TIPS):

    A. have inflation-adjusted coupon rates.

    B. have a par value that changes over time.

    C. can be worth less than par at maturity.

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    $100,00 30-Year 5.75% MortgageMonthly Payment = $583.57

    49

    Payment Beginning Principal PrincipalPortion Interest Portion Remaining Principal

    1 100,000.00 104.41 479.16 99,895.59

    2 99,895.59 104.90 478.67 99,790.69

    359 1,158.81 578.02 5.55 580.79

    360 580.79 580.79 2.78 0.00

    FIXED INCOME

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    Mortgage-Backed SecurIties

    50

    Mortgage Passthrough Securities

    Backed by pools of mortgages

    Interest, principal payments, prepayments

    Collateralized Mortgage Obligations (CMOs)

    Created from mortgage passthroughs

    More complex cash flow claimstranches

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    Mortgage-Backed Securities

    51

    CMO Tranche example: Sequential Tranches

    Tranche I receives interest on its outstanding principaland all principal payments until the tranche iscompletely paid off

    Tranche II receives interest on its outstanding principaland begins receiving all principal payments when

    Tranche I is paid off

    Tranche III receives only interest until Tranches I and IIare paid off, then receives alL remaining principalpayments

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    Prepayment Risk

    52

    Risk of receiving principal repayment in excessof scheduled principal payments

    May lead to more funds to be reinvested whenrates for reinvestment are lowreinvestment risk

    When rates increase, prepayments slow

    Rapid prepayment results in gains for PO strips

    Rapid prepayment decreases cash flows from IOstrips

    FIXED INCOME

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    Motivation for Creating a cMO

    53

    Alter maturity range and redistribute prepaymentrisk to make securities attractive to differentinstitutional investors

    Creating a CMO does not alter the overall risk ofprepayment

    Tranche with less prepayment risk [planned

    amortization class (PAC)] coupled with tranchewith more prepayment risk (support tranche)

    Goal is lower overall cost of funds (always!)

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    State and Local Government Issues

    54

    Municipal securities, a.k.a. munis, tax-free bondsInterest exempt from U.S. income tax and income taxin state of issue, often issued in serial form

    Tax-backed (general obligation) bondsIssued by state, counties, cities, and other politicalsubdivisions; supported by taxes

    Revenue bondsDebt serviced only with specific project'srevenues. Issued for transportation/airports,housing, port facilities, health care facilities, etc.

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    Special Types of Munis

    55

    Insured bonds

    Backed by insurance policies in the event of

    defaults, insured for life of issue, lowers yield,increases liquidity

    Prerefunded bonds

    Collateralized with escrow of Treasurysecurities which will support bond payments

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    Corporate Bonds

    56

    Secured bonds: First claim against specificcollateral (mortgage debt, collateral trustbonds) Debenture bonds: Unsecured bonds, nospecific collateral (debentures) Subordinated debenture bonds: Lowerpriority claim

    Bonds have a priority of claims over bothpreferred and common stockholders in theevent of bankruptcy

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    Corporate Debt Securities

    57

    Commercial paper 2 to 270 days Pure discount Not liquid

    Sold through dealers or by the company itself

    Medium-Terni Notes (MTN) Continuously offered by agent Buyers can customize

    9 months to 30+ years Fixed, floating, or structured

    Structured Notes MTN combined with derivative, "rule busters"

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    Debt Securities Issued by Banks

    58

    Negotiable CDs Days to 5 years Secondary market Domestic (U.S.) and Eurodollar

    Issued primarily in LondonLIBOR

    Bankers acceptances Created to guarantee payment for shipped goods Short term Pure discount Few dealers, liquidity risk

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    Asset-Backed Securities (ABS)

    59

    Debt securities backed by financial assets(e.g., mortgages, auto loans, credit card

    receivables)

    Firm sells assets to Special Purpose VehicleSeparate entity, bankruptcy remote

    SPV issues securitiesCan have better rating (lower yield) than firm'sdebt Reduce funding costs

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    Asset-Backed Securities (ABS)

    60

    External Credit Enhancements

    Corporate guarantees

    Bank letters of credit

    Bond insurance (insurance wrap)

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    Collateralized Debt Obligations

    61

    Balance Sheet CDOsTo reduce loans on balance sheet (banks)

    Arbitrage CDOs

    Profit from cash flow spread

    TranchesCreated based on seniority of claims to cash flows fromcollateral

    Collateral is a pool of other debt obligations (e.g., businessloans, mortgages, asset-backed securities, other CDOs,etc.)

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    Primary and Secondary Markets

    62

    Primary market: Newly created debt securities

    Firm commitment: Investment bankerpurchases the entire issue and resells it Best efforts basis: Investment banker agreesto sell all of the issue that they can Private placement (Rule 144A offering): Sold to asmall number of investors, issue is not registered

    for sale to the public

    Secondary market: Sales of existing securitiesthrough exchanges, OTC (dealer) markets, orelectronic trading networks

    FIXED INCOME

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    Fixed Income:

    Basic Concepts

    55. Understanding Yield Spreads

    63

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    Interest Rate Policy Tools

    64

    Discount rate

    Open market operations

    Bank reserve requirements

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    Yield Curve Shapes

    65

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    Term Structure Theories

    66

    1. Pure Expectations TheoryYield curve shape determined by expectationsabout future short-term rates

    2. Liquidity Preference (Premium) TheoryGreater premium (yield) required for longermaturities; upward sloping

    3. Market Segmentation TheorySupply and demand for specific maturityranges determines interest rates; any shape

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    Treasury Spot Rates

    67

    Treasury spot rates: Appropriatediscount rate forsingle payments of

    various maturities from Treasury securities

    Conceptually like zero-coupon bond rates

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    Yield Spread Measures

    68

    Absolute spread = Higher yield - Lower yield

    Relative spread =

    Relative spread preferred because absolute spreadis not sensitive to yield levels, only differences

    Yield Ratio =

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    Yield Spread Calculations

    69

    5-year Treasury yields 5%

    5-year A-rated corporate yields 6.25%

    Absolute spread =

    Relative spread =

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    Credit Spreads

    70

    Difference between yields of bonds thatdiffer only in credit rating

    Often quoted as a spread to Treasuries

    Credit spreads narrow during expansionsand widen during contractions/recessions

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    Embedded Options and Spreads

    71

    Including a put, conversion, or exchangeoption with a corporate bond reduces required

    yield and decreases yield spread relative to Treasuries

    Including a call option increases required yieldand increases yield spread relative to Treasuries

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    Liquidity and Yield

    72

    Investors prefer more liquidity so lessliquid issues have greater required

    yields and greater yield spreads relativeto Treasuries, which are very liquid

    Larger issues typically have more liquidityand therefore, lower yields and lower yield

    spreads than otherwise identical smaller issues

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    After-Tax and Taxable Equivalent

    Yields

    73

    After-tax yield = Taxable x ( 1 Marginal tax rate)

    Taxable equivalent yield =

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    After-Tax Yield - Problem

    74

    Tax-free bond yields 4% Taxable bond yields 7%

    Investor marginal tax rate is 30%

    Which bond will the investor prefer?

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    LIBOR and Funded Investors

    75

    London Interbank Offer Rate (LIBOR)

    Most important reference rate for floating-rate

    securities

    A funded investorborrows short term(typically at LIBOR) to finance aninvestment position

    Profits depend on funding costs

    FIXED INCOME

  • 7/29/2019 UP CFA 2013 I Fixed Income

    76/80

    JDS AR

    Floating-Rate Securities - Solution

    76

    Which of the following regarding floating-ratenotes is false?

    C. A floating rate note will be valued at parat every coupon (reset) date.

    Credit rating can change, spread canchange, or cap or floor in effect.

    FIXED INCOME

  • 7/29/2019 UP CFA 2013 I Fixed Income

    77/80

    JDS AR

    Interest Rate Risk-Solution

    77

    A bond's interest rate risk will increase with:

    C. lower coupon.

    FIXED INCOME

  • 7/29/2019 UP CFA 2013 I Fixed Income

    78/80

    JDS AR

    Volatility Risk - Solution

    78

    An increase in yield volatility will most likely:

    A. decrease the value of a callable bond.

    FIXED INCOME

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    79/80

    JDS AR

    TIPS - Solution

    79

    U.S. Treasury Inflation Protected Securities(TIPS):

    B. have a par value that changes over time

    FIXED INCOME

  • 7/29/2019 UP CFA 2013 I Fixed Income

    80/80

    After-Tax Yield - Solution

    80

    Tax-free bond yields 4% Taxable bond yields 7%Investor marginal tax rate is 30%Which bond will the investor prefer?

    After-tax yield = 7% * (1 - 0.30) = 4.9%

    Tax - equivalent yield =

    Either way, we see the taxable is preferred4.9% > 4% and 5.71% < 7%