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International Cash Management 21 Chapter South-Western/Thomson Learning © 2006 Slides by Yee-Tien (Ted) Fu

Ch21e8intlcashmgmt

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International Cash Management

21Chapter

South-Western/Thomson Learning © 2006 Slides by Yee-Tien (Ted) Fu

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Chapter Objectives To explain the difference in

analyzing cash flows from a subsidiary perspective versus a parent perspective;

To explain the various techniques used to optimize cash flows;

To explain common complications in optimizing cash flows; and

To explain the potential benefits and risks of foreign investments.

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Cash Flow Analysis:Subsidiary Perspective

• The management of working capital has a direct influence on the amount and timing of cash flow.

• Subsidiary expenses – It is difficult to forecast the payments for international purchases of raw materials or supplies because of exchange rate fluctuations, quotas, sales volume volatility, etc.

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• Subsidiary revenue – International sales may be more volatile than domestic sales because of exchange rate fluctuations, business cycles, etc.

• Subsidiary dividend payments – If the payments and fees (royalties, overhead charges) for the parent are known and denominated in the subsidiary’s currency, forecasting cash flows will be easier.

Cash Flow Analysis:Subsidiary Perspective

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Subsidiary Liquidity Management• After accounting for all cash outflows and

inflows, the subsidiary must either invest its excess cash or borrow to cover its cash deficiencies.

• If the subsidiary has access to lines of credit and overdraft facilities, it may maintain adequate liquidity without substantial cash balances.

Cash Flow Analysis:Subsidiary Perspective

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Centralized Cash Management• While each subsidiary is managing its own

working capital, a centralized cash management group is needed to monitor, and possibly manage, the parent-subsidiary and intersubsidiary cash flows.

• International cash management can be segmented into two functions:¤ optimizing cash flow movements, and¤ investing excess cash.

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Cash Flow of the Overall MNC

Fees & EarningsExcess Cash

Fees & EarningsExcess Cash

Interest &/or Principal

Loans or Investment

Interest &/or Principal

Loans or Investment

Subsidiary

Subsidiary

Funds forSupplies

Sale

Return onInvestment

Sourcesof Debt

Stock-holders

Loans

New Issues

Cash Dividends

Repayment

Short-TermSecurities

Long-TermProjects

Purchase

Long-TermInvestment

Parent

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Centralized Cash Management• The centralized cash management division

of an MNC cannot always accurately forecast the events that affect parent-subsidiary or intersubsidiary cash flows.

• It should, however, be ready to react to any event by considering¤ any potential adverse impact on cash

flows, and¤ how to avoid such adverse impacts.

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Techniques to OptimizeCash Flows

Accelerating cash inflows• The more quickly the cash inflows are

received, the more quickly they can be invested or used for other purposes.

• Common methods include the establishment of lockboxes around the world (to reduce mail float) and preauthorized payments (charging a customer’s bank account directly).

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Minimizing currency conversion costs• Netting reduces administrative and

transaction costs through the accounting of all transactions that occur over a period to determine one net payment.

• A bilateral netting system involves transactions between two units, while a multilateral netting system usually involves more complex interchanges.

Techniques to OptimizeCash Flows

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Intersubsidiary Payments Matrix & Netting Schedule

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Managing blocked funds• A government may require that funds

remain within the country in order to create jobs and reduce unemployment.

• An MNC can shift cost-incurring activities (like R&D) to the host country, adjust the transfer pricing policy (such that higher fees have to be paid to the parent), borrow locally rather than from the parent, etc.

Techniques to OptimizeCash Flows

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Managing intersubsidiary cash transfers• A subsidiary with excess funds can

provide financing by paying for its supplies earlier than is necessary. This technique is called leading.

• Alternatively, a subsidiary in need of funds can be allowed to lag its payments. This technique is called lagging.

Techniques to OptimizeCash Flows

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Complicationsin Optimizing Cash Flows

Company-related characteristics¤ When a subsidiary delays its payments to

the other subsidiaries, the other subsidiaries may be forced to borrow until the payments arrive.

Government restrictions¤ Some governments may prohibit the use of

a netting system, or periodically prevent cash from leaving the country.

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Characteristics of banking systems¤ The abilities of banks to facilitate cash

transfers for MNCs may vary among countries.

¤ The banking systems in different countries usually differ too.

Complicationsin Optimizing Cash Flows

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Investing Excess Cash

• Excess funds can be invested in domestic or foreign short-term securities, such as Eurocurrency deposits, Treasury bills, and commercial papers.

• Sometimes, foreign short-term securities have higher interest rates. However, firms must also account for the possible exchange rate movements.

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Short-Term Interest Ratesas of February 2004

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Centralized Cash Management• Centralized cash management allows for

more efficient usage of funds and possibly higher returns.

• When multiple currencies are involved, a separate pool may be formed for each currency. Funds can also be invested in securities that are denominated in the currencies needed in the future.

Investing Excess Cash

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• Given the current online technology, MNCs should be able to efficiently create a multinational communications network among their subsidiaries to ensure that information about their cash positions is continually updated.

Investing Excess CashCentralized Cash Management

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Determining the Effective Yield• The effective yield on foreign investments

r = (1 + if )(1 + ef ) – 1

where if = the quoted interest rate on the investment

ef = the %∆ in the spot rate

Investing Excess Cash

• If the foreign currency depreciates over the investment period, the effective yield will be less than the interest rate.

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Implications of Interest Rate Parity (IRP)• A foreign currency with a high interest

rate will normally exhibit a forward discount that reflects the differential between its interest rate and the investor’s home interest rate.

• However, short-term foreign investing on an uncovered basis may still result in a higher effective yield.

Investing Excess Cash

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Use of the Forward Rate as a Forecast• If IRP exists, the forward rate can be used

as a break-even point to assess the short-term investment decision.

• The effective yield will be higher than the domestic yield if the spot rate at maturity is more than the forward rate at the time the investment was undertaken.

Investing Excess Cash

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Use of the Forward Rate as a Forecast

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Use of Exchange Rate Forecasts• Given an exchange rate forecast, the

expected effective yield of a foreign investment can be computed, and then compared with the local investment yield.

• It may be useful to use probability distributions instead of point estimates, or to compute the break-even exchange rate that will equate foreign and local yields.

Investing Excess Cash

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Deriving the Value of ef that Equates Foreign and Domestic Yields

r = (1 + if )(1 + ef ) – 1⇒ ef = (1 + r ) – 1

(1 + if )

• r = 11%, if = 14% ⇒ breakeven ef = -2.63%.If the foreign currency depreciates by less than 2.63%, the foreign currency deposit will be more rewarding.

Investing Excess Cash

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Use of Probability Distributions

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Probability Distribution of Effective Yield

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Diversifying Cash Across Currencies• If an MNC is not sure of how exchange

rates will change over time, it may prefer to diversify its cash among securities that are denominated in different currencies.

• The degree to which such a portfolio will reduce risk depends on the correlations among the currencies.

Investing Excess Cash

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Use of Dynamic Hedging to Manage Cash• Dynamic hedging refers to the strategy of

hedging when the currencies held are expected to depreciate, and not hedging when they are expected to appreciate.

• The overall performance is dependent on the firm’s ability to accurately forecast the direction of exchange rate movements.

Investing Excess Cash