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Challenges and Opportunities in the Table Olive Sector
The case study of the
USA specialty food retail sector
Constantinos ConstantinidisPELOPAC Mediterranean Food Specialties
Changing Retail Environment
Changing Culture
Source: Hartman Group
Traditional experiential, self-expressingPlanned, rational utilitarian lifestyle-based, creativity-focused, authentic
• Shopped for staples & ingredients • Planning• Pantry stocking• Familiar foods
• Shop for meals & snacks• Spontaneity• Small trips & fill-in shopping• New & unique foods
From cooks ….to eaters
Food Culture is also changing
As American culture is changing
Snacking is a key driver of consumption, and American consumers are demanding more healthy, convenient & inspirational snacks
▪ Snacks represent over 50% of all meal occasions.▪ Eating is more fluid, consumers eat whenever and wherever they
want. ▪ Snacks break the culturally defined rules of meals and reflect the
kind of flexibility that consumers are seeking. ▪ Consumers expect snacks to offer physical, emotional, social &
cultural experiences.
Sources: Hartman Group, Nielsen 2016
Changing Food Habits
▪ 77% of meal occasions involve at least some prepared foods▪ 42% of meal occasions involve ALL prepared foods
Cooking is becoming “meal assembly”
Changing Value Drivers
Source: Deloitte: Food Value Equation Survey 2015
Purchasing decisions are based on a mix of traditional & evolving value drivers.
Price, Taste, Convenience continue to be most important.
Evolving drivers – Health & Wellness, Safety, Social Impact, Experience – are gaining importance and are no longer niche.
Transparency is an overarching driver
Shoppers’ loyalty: a mythdespite time-pressure, consumers DO NOT want a one-stop shop
Source: The Hartman Group, Food Shopping in America 2017 report
Changing Channel Engagement
Channel Shopped in past year
Stock-up Fill-in Hard-to-find items
Today’s meal
Has become important to meet
needs of household
Supermarkets 90% 51% 22% 18% 7% 47%
Mass merch.(eg Wal-Mart)
85% 34% 42% 14% 6% 41%
Club Stores(eg COSTCO)
47% 56% 19% 19% 3% 50%
Drug Stores(eg Walgreens)
42% 7% 48% 26% 10% 31%
Convenience (eg 7-Eleven)
24% 2% 34% 11% 20% 20%
On line 18% 17% 20% 49% 4% 49%
Specialty 15% 11% 12% 64% 9%39%
Source: Deloitte, The 2014 American Pantry Survey
Sources: The Hartman Group, Food Shopping in America 2017 report, FMI U.S. Grocery Shopper Trends, 2017.
Changing Channel Engagement
Grocery remains the most used channel, but its dominance is steadily decreasing
Limited assortment (Club, Aldi, TJ) channels are growing in importance and have a significant cost advantage
Convenience and alternative channels provide a higher level of accessibility
Online shopping shows significant growth and threatens brick and mortar establishments
The US Table Olive Market: Challenges
Overall table olive consumption is declining
Source: IOC – 11.17
Co
nsu
mp
tio
n (
1.0
00
to
ns)
210 203 240 210 210 210.5 185 215 206 206
2008/9 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18
214,6204,4
-5%
Table Olive imports remain essentially stable
Source: IOC – 11.17
Imp
ort
s (1
.00
0 t
on
s)
126 185 138 132 143 135.5 152 154 146 146
2008/9 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18
144,8
146,7
+1%
Low Overall Household Penetration
Source: Nielsen, 2016
30 - 40% of American consumers will not eat an olive under any circumstance because they dislike the taste. This leaves a potential consumer base of 60-70% of consumers.
At the same time, olives have a household penetration of only 23%. This means that a large segment of potential consumers are notcurrently purchasing olives.
Those who do buy olives (the 23%), exhibit a purchase frequency of about 5 shopping trips per year – which is the second highest, after salad dressings.
Limited Demographic Penetration
Current Core Consumer
• Ages 35-64
• HH with 2 to 5+ members
• Annual HH income of >$70k
• White/Caucasian, Hispanic/Latin
• Consumers with cultural ties to olive growing regions
Underpenetrated
• Ages <35 (Millennials)
• Single-person HH
• HH income <$70k
• African American, Asian
Source: Nielsen, 2016
Are There Opportunities?
Despite these challenges – or perhaps because of them – there are unprecedented opportunities
Yes
Sweet Spot: The U.S. Specialty Food Market
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 upt to 8.2017 Sou
rce:
Nie
lsen
-To
tal U
S Fo
od
8.1
7
+33%
Co
nsu
mp
tio
n in
US
do
llars
Total Sales of Specialty Olives
There is an opportunity:
Specialty table olive sales
continue to grow
How can we take advantage of this trend?
Who is the specialty food consumer?
Core Specialty Food ConsumersAge Main Shopping Channels Use & Purchase Drivers
Baby Boomers54-70 +
Supermarkets Use in everyday meals and as treats.
Driven by excitement and health claims
Generation – X
40-53
Farmers Markets Use in everyday meals, snacking, as treats and on special occasions
Driven by health claims & recommendations
Millennials
22-39
Natural Stores, Mass. Merchandisers, Club Stores, Specialty Food Stores, Online, Convenience Stores Specialty foods are part of their lives so they shop wherever is more convenient
Use in everyday meals, snacking, as gifts and treats, to share at work, to serve guests and on special occasions
Driven by impulse, convenience, desire to share, entertain, impress
Πη
γή: T
od
ay’s
Sp
ecia
lty
Foo
d C
on
sum
er 2
01
6
The Key
We need to understand
the reality of the new retail environment,
who our new target consumers should be &
how to talk to them about
what makes our products special
Unlocking the opportunitiesEngaging the consumer
The Story
Consumers need to hear the story of the product. They want to feel connected and engaged
Life in the Mediterranean basin has always been
intertwined with the olive tree and it still continues to
nourish the body and spirits of people.
3.000 year-old olive tree Vouves, Crete
Hercules, Athena & olive treeRed figure kylix, 480 – 470 B.C.
We are blessed with a product that has a beautiful story
Consumers have social and environmental concerns. We need to provide information that matters to them about our
products: Show them where olives come from and how we harvest them, and promote the unique natural way of curing them.
The Origins
Health & Wellness is one of the strongest value drivers for all consumer segments.
Table olives – especially naturally cured olives – have been associated with a variety of health benefits which may be attributed to specific nutritional or bioactive components including:
▪ Monounsaturated fatty acids including oleic acid▪ Polyphenols, including hydroxytyrosol and
oleuropein▪ Triterpenoids including maslinic and oleanolic acid▪ Probiotic microorganisms
The Benefits
Relate to the needs of the consumer
Consumers across all generational cohorts are using an increasing number of channels. They expect to have food choices available to them wherever they decide to shop.
We have to develop product offerings that are convenient, easy to snack on and that allow them to share and engage
socially with others.
The Table Olive Industry
needs a change in mindset
from producing a commodity to
creating an engaging, relevant and
accessible product
Midday July…
Even if there were
no olive groves,
I would dream them up
- Odysseas Elytis