Changing From the Black to the Green Economy

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    CHANGING THE BLACK INTO THE GREEN

    by: Jorge Laine

    Instituto Venezolano de Investigaciones Cientficas(Venezuelan Institute for Scientific Research)

    Nowadays, the proliferation of nuclear-fission energy developments is being activated by

    the increasing human population and by the exhaustion of the natural reserves of the

    favorite fossil fuel: petroleum. However, latest nuclear incident at Fukushima, and otherrisks associated such as the disposal of radioactive by-products, as well as the possible use

    of artisan atomic explosives by terrorists; support the necessity of converging in

    developments of other energy alternatives.

    As an example, if Sahara desert (~ 1 Gha) could be greening with sugar cane or oil palm, it

    could be produced enough bioenergy to replace world petroleum production (~30Gbbl/year); as long as these crops can capture atmospheric carbon transforming it into ~ 30bbl/ha of biofuels. Alternatively, within the same context of the bioenergy as a renewable

    energy, is the integral processing of wood forests to feed biorefineries producing power

    plus biofuels.

    As a cause of concern, if fossil fuels consumption continues at present rate (~ 7 Gton

    C/year), atmospheric carbon (actually: 750 Gton C) could duplicate within this century,

    implying fateful predictions of climate change. Intensifying photosynthesis by desertgreening would contribute to offset the increase of atmospheric carbon concentration. It

    should be remarked that including the Sahara, total arid areas accounts for about 1/3 of total

    non-permafrost terrestrial area.

    Desert greening, also referred to as afforestation, could be reality if: 1) desert soils organic

    carbon is increased; for example with the application of agrichar derived from fossil

    hydrocarbon processing, as considered as a perspective recently [1], and 2) if irrigationsources are insured. This later could be achieved in arid zones by sea water desalinization

    using concentrated solar power technology. CSP panels covering 1 ha can manage the

    irrigation of 100 ha [2]. In addition, the decrease of terrestrial albedo caused by greeningwould also affect the change of water cycle favoring rainfall frequency over the changed

    land (see Fig.1).

    The decay of the black economy due to petroleum reserves exhaustion would be offset bymost developed countries thanks to the incorporation of transport vehicles using

    rechargeable batteries and fuel cells, and to smart grids connecting a variety of electric

    power sources: thermoelectric using coal or hydrogen produced from coal, hydroelectric,

    solar energy (panels cells and wind turbines), and geothermal. In the case of last generationthermoelectric, clean energy is insured by the underground injection of greenhouse gas

    exhaust.

    However, in less developed countries the adoption of new technologies is difficult and slow

    respect to their population increase, implying the continuation of increasing demands of

    conventional fuels, converting the scenario of scarce petroleum supply into another

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    scenario of land used for cropping raw materials for the emergent fuels: ethanol and

    biodiesel.

    Less developed third world countries are mainly located within Cancer and Capricorniatropics, where theoretically agricultural productivity can be larger than on temperate

    latitudes; consequently, and taking into account its easy know-how, bioenergy would be themost suitable alternative for sustainable development of third world. Remarkable, biofuels

    use implies CO2 recycling between atmosphere and biosphere, diminishing greenhouse

    effect.

    Certainly, land use change for producing biofuels would not affect human food supply if

    modern agricultural methods are employed (seeEnergeia, 18(6) 2007.). Nevertheless, greatscale bioenergy production must be managed in harmony with environment integrating

    perennial forests and crops, maintaining enough areas for preserving biodiversity.

    Such green economy scenario debated at the Stockholm first summit of humandevelopment about 40 years ago, which continue in two other meetings at Rio de Janeiro

    during the last 20 years, must be the appropriate way for the transition of the actual fossil

    fuel era to the desired clean energy era, when paradoxically another type of -benign-

    nuclear energy could be functioning on Earth: the same hydrogen fusion employed by sun.

    [1]http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1364032112003899[2]http://www.dlr.de/Portaldata/41/Resources/dokumente/institut/system/publications/Trieb

    _CSP_for_Desalination-MENAREC4.pdf

    http://www.dlr.de/Portaldata/41/Resources/dokumente/institut/system/publications/Trieb_CSP_for_Desalination-MENAREC4.pdfhttp://www.dlr.de/Portaldata/41/Resources/dokumente/institut/system/publications/Trieb_CSP_for_Desalination-MENAREC4.pdfhttp://www.dlr.de/Portaldata/41/Resources/dokumente/institut/system/publications/Trieb_CSP_for_Desalination-MENAREC4.pdfhttp://www.dlr.de/Portaldata/41/Resources/dokumente/institut/system/publications/Trieb_CSP_for_Desalination-MENAREC4.pdfhttp://www.dlr.de/Portaldata/41/Resources/dokumente/institut/system/publications/Trieb_CSP_for_Desalination-MENAREC4.pdfhttp://www.dlr.de/Portaldata/41/Resources/dokumente/institut/system/publications/Trieb_CSP_for_Desalination-MENAREC4.pdf
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    FIGURE 1: AlbedoRainfall correlation (from Climatic Change 54: 181204, 2002.)