Chapter01-business statistics and probability for freshman students

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    Chap 1-1Copyright 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chap 1-1

    Basic Business Statistics

    12thEdition

    Chapter 1

    Introduction

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    Learning Objectives

    In this chapter you learn:

    How businesses use statistics The basic vocabulary of statistics

    The types of data used in business

    How to use Microsoft Excel and / orMinitab with this book

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    Chap 1-3Copyright 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall

    Why Learn Statistics

    Make better sense of the world

    Internet articles / reports

    Magazine articles

    Newspaper articles

    Television & radio reports

    Make better business decisions

    Business memos

    Business research

    Technical journals

    Technical reports

    Chap 1-3

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    Chap 1-4Copyright 2012 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall

    In Business, Statistics Has

    Many Important Uses

    To summarize business data

    To draw conclusions from business data

    To make reliable forecasts about business

    activities

    To improve business processes

    Chap 1-4

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    Two Different Branches Of

    Statistics Are Used In Business

    StatisticsThe branch of mathematics that transforms data intouseful information for decision makers.

    Descriptive Statistics

    Collecting, summarizing,presenting and analyzing data

    Inferential Statistics

    Using data collected from asmall group to draw conclusionsabout a larger group

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    These Two Branches Are Used

    In The Important Activities

    To summarize business data

    Descriptive methods used to create charts & tables

    To draw conclusions from business data

    Inferential methods used to reach conclusions abouta large group based on data from a smaller group

    To make reliable forecasts about business

    activities

    Inferential methods used to develop, quantify, and

    improve the accuracy of predictive models

    To improve business processes

    Involves managerial approaches like Six SigmaChap 1-6

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    Descriptive Statistics

    Collect data

    e.g., Survey

    Present data

    e.g., Tables and graphs

    Characterize data

    e.g., The sample mean

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    Inferential Statistics

    Estimation

    e.g., Estimate the population

    mean weight using the sample

    mean weight Hypothesis testing

    e.g., Test the claim that the

    population mean weight is 120

    pounds

    Drawing conclusions about a large group ofindividuals based on a smaller group.

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    Basic Vocabulary of Statistics

    VARIABLES

    Variables are characteristics of an item or individual and are what you

    analyze when you use a statistical method.

    DATADataare the different values associated with a variable.

    OPERATIONAL DEFINITIONS

    Data values are meaningless unless their variables have operational

    definitions, universally accepted meanings that are clear to all associatedwith an analysis.

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    Basic Vocabulary of Statistics

    POPULATION

    A population consists of all the items or individuals about which

    you want to draw a conclusion. The population is the large

    group.

    SAMPLE

    A sample is the portion of a population selected for analysis. The

    sample is the small group.

    PARAMETER

    A parameter is a numerical measure that describes a characteristicof a population.

    STATISTIC

    A statistic is a numerical measure that describes a characteristic of

    a sample.

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    Population vs. Sample

    Population Sample

    Measures used to describe the

    population are called parameters

    Measures used to describe the

    sample are called statistics

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    This Book Is Organized To Show

    The Four Uses Of Statistics

    To summarize business data (Chapters 2 & 3)

    To draw conclusions from business data(Chapters 412)

    To make reliable forecasts about business

    activities (Chapters 1316)

    To improve business processes (Chapter 18)

    Chap 1-12

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    Types of Variables

    Categorical(qualitative) variables have values that

    can only be placed into categories, such as yes and

    no.

    Numerical(quantitative) variables have values that

    represent quantities.

    Discretevariables arise from a counting process

    Continuousvariables arise from a measuring process

    Chap 1-13

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    Types of Variables

    Chap 1-14

    Variables

    Categorical Numerical

    Discrete Continuous

    Examples:

    Marital Status

    Political Party

    Eye Color

    (Defined categories) Examples:

    Number of Children

    Defects per hour

    (Counted items)

    Examples:

    Weight

    Voltage

    (Measured characteristics)

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    Levels of Measurement

    Anominal scaleclassifies data into distinct

    categories in which no ranking is implied.

    Chap 1-15

    Categorical Variables Categories

    Personal Computer

    Ownership

    Type of Stocks Owned

    Internet Provider

    Yes / No

    Microsoft Network / AOL/ Other

    Growth / Value / Other

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    Levels of Measurement (cont.)

    An ordinal scale classifies data into distinct

    categories in which ranking is implied

    Chap 1-16

    Catego rical Variable Ordered Categories

    Student class designationFreshman, Sophomore, Junior,

    Senior

    Product satisfaction Satisfied, Neutral, Unsatisfied

    Faculty rankProfessor, Associate Professor,

    Assistant Professor, Instructor

    Standard & Poors bond ratingsAAA, AA, A, BBB, BB, B, CCC, CC,

    C, DDD, DD, D

    Student Grades A, B, C, D, F

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    Levels of Measurement (cont.)

    An interval scaleis an ordered scale in which thedifference between measurements is a meaningfulquantity but the measurements do not have a true

    zero point.

    A ratio scale is an ordered scale in which thedifference between the measurements is a

    meaningful quantity and the measurements have atrue zero point.

    Chap 1-17

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    Interval and Ratio Scales

    Chap 1-18

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    Chapter Summary

    Introduced the basic vocabulary and definitions of statistics, and

    the role of statistics in turning data into information to facilitate

    decision making

    Examined the use of statistics to:

    Summarize data

    Draw conclusions from data

    Make reliable forecasts

    Improve business processes

    Examined descriptive vs. inferential statistics

    Reviewed data types and measurement level

    In this chapter, we have