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I N F O R M A T I O N S O L U T I O N S
Chronic Conditions: What are the Policy Options? Private-Sector Role
Rising Rates of Chronic Health Conditions: What Can Be Done?Center for Studying Health System Change (HSC) July 31, 2008 Washington, DC
Ron Z. Goetzel, Ph.D.Emory University and Thomson [email protected]
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I N F O R M A T I O N S O L U T I O N S
U.S. Business Concerns About Healthcare• The United States spent $2.25 trillion in healthcare in 2007.
• Private sector share is 53.7%
• National health expenditure growth trends are expected to average about 6.6% per year through 2015.
• Health expenditures as percent of GDP:
– 15.3 percent in 2003 – 16.0 percent in 2006 – 19.7 percent in 2017 (est)– 25.0 percent by 2030 (est)
Source: Poisal et al., Health Affairs, 21 February 2007
Annual Per Employee Costs for Active EmployeesIncludes all medical, dental, and other health benefits for all covered employees and dependents. Includes employer and employee contributions.
Mercer HR Press Release, 2/9/07, “2006 National Survey of Employer-Sponsored Health Plans, Survey Highlights” Mercer HR Press Release, 11/21/05; Active and retirees for 1988 – 1998; Trends for 1998 – 2006 for actives only; costs include employer and employee contributions
$4,097$4,430
$4,924
$5,646
$6,215
$7,089$7,523
$7,982
$3,594$3,653
$6,679
$3,817$3,703
$0
$1,000
$2,000
$3,000
$4,000
$5,000
$6,000
$7,000
$8,000
$9,000
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007** Projected
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I N F O R M A T I O N S O L U T I O N S
Why is health care so expensive? • Rise in spending for treated diseases (37%)
– Innovation/advancing technology • Pharmacologic, devices, treatments
– Newborn delivery costs – five-fold increase from 1987-2002 (NICU, incubators, ventilators, C-sections)
• New/better medicines for treating disease– Depression –
• SSRI introduction -- 45% treated in 1987 to 80% treated in 1997
– Allergies (Claritan, Allegra,…)• New treatment thresholds
– Blood pressure– High blood glucose– Hyperlipidemia
– Waste – the more doctors do the more money they make
• Solution: Make the system more efficient and effective Ken Thorpe
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I N F O R M A T I O N S O L U T I O N S
Why is health care so expensive? (Thorpe - Part 2)
• Rise in the prevalence of disease (63%)– About ¾ of all health care spending is focused on
patients who have one or more chronic health conditions
– Chronically ill patients only receive 56% of clinically recommended preventive health services
• And 27% of the rise in healthcare costs is associated with increases in obesity rates
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I N F O R M A T I O N S O L U T I O N S
What To Do?
• Manage disease
• Manage disability and absence
• Manage health and demand
• Manage stress
• Strengthen employee assistance programs
• Re-engineer
• Reorganize
• Create incentives
• Cut pharmacy benefits
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I N F O R M A T I O N S O L U T I O N S
What To Do – National Business Group On Health Ten Steps to Easing Health Care Costs -- 2008
1. Establish comprehensive strategy to control costs, improve quality and safety
2. Actively promote health improvement programs and resources
3. Use co-insurance and point-of-care cost sharing
4. Provide employees tools & information to become better consumers
5. Explore the benefits of consumer directed health plans
6. Aggressively manage prescription drug use
7. Manage utilization in evidence-based, doctor and patient friendly ways
8. Insist on transparency – buy on performance
9. Audit eligibility
10. Vigorously manage retiree costs
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I N F O R M A T I O N S O L U T I O N S
It seems so logical…
…if you improve the health and well being of your employees…
…quality of life improves
…health care utilization is reduced
…disability is controlled
…productivity is enhanced
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I N F O R M A T I O N S O L U T I O N S
The EvidenceA large proportion of diseases and disorders is preventable. Modifiable health riskfactors are precursors to a large number of diseases and disorders and to prematuredeath (Healthy People 2000, 2010, Amler & Dull, 1987, Breslow, 1993, McGinnis & Foege, 1993, Mokdad et al., 2004).
Many modifiable health risks are associated with increased health care costs withina relatively short time window (Milliman & Robinson, 1987, Yen et al., 1992, Goetzel,et al., 1998, Anderson et al., 2000, Bertera, 1991, Pronk, 1999).
• Modifiable health risks can be improved through workplace sponsored health promotion and disease prevention programs (Wilson et al., 1996, Heaney & Goetzel, 1997, Pelletier, 1999,CDC Community Guide Task Force Report, 2007).
• Improvements in the health risk profile of a population can lead to reductions in healthcosts (Edington et al., 2001, Goetzel et al., 1999).
• Worksite health promotion and disease prevention programs save companies moneyin health care expenditures and produce a positive ROI (Johnson & Johnson 2002,Citibank 1999-2000, Procter and Gamble 1998, Chevron 1998, California Public RetirementSystem 1994, Bank of America 1993, Dupont 1990, Highmark 2008).
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I N F O R M A T I O N S O L U T I O N S
Diseases Caused (at Least Partially) by Lifestyle
• Tobacco Use: Cerebrovascular Disease, Coronary Artery Disease, Osteoporosis, Peripheral Vascular Disease, Asthma, Acute Bronchitis, COPD, Pneumonia, Cancers (Bladder, Kidney, Urinary, Larynx, Lip, Oral Cavity, Pharynx, Pancreas, Trachea, Bronchus, Lung)
• Lack of Exercise: Coronary Artery Disease, Diabetes, Hypertension, Obesity, Osteoporosis
• Poor Nutrition: Cerebrovascular Disease, Coronary Artery Disease, Diabetes, Diverticular Disease, Hypertension, Oral Disease, Osteoporosis, Cancers (Breast, Colorectal, Prostate)
• Obesity: Cholesystitis/Cholelithiasis, Coronary Artery Disease, Diabetes, Hypertension, Lipid Metabolism Disorders, Osteoarthritis, Sleep Apnea, Venous Embolism/Thrombosis, Cancers (Breast, Cervix, Colorectal, Gallbladder, Biliary Tract, Ovary, Prostate)
• Alcohol Use: Liver Damage, Alcohol Psychosis, Pancreatitis, Hypertension, Cerebrovascular Disease, Cancers (Breast, Esophagus, Larynx, Liver)
• Stress, Anxiety, Depression: Coronary Artery Disease, Hypertension• Uncontrolled Hypertension: Coronary Artery Disease, Cerebrovascular Disease,
Peripheral Vascular Disease• Uncontrolled Lipids: Coronary Artery Disease, Lipid Metabolism Disorders,
Pancreatitis, Peripheral Vascular Disease
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I N F O R M A T I O N S O L U T I O N S
Poor Health Costs MoneyPoor Health Costs Money
Drill down…
• Medical
• Absence/work loss
• Presenteeism
• Risk factors
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I N F O R M A T I O N S O L U T I O N S
Medical, Drug, Absence, STD Expenditures (1999 annual $ per eligible),by Component
Top 10 Physical Health Conditions
Source: Goetzel, Hawkins, Ozminkowski, Wang, JOEM 45:1, 5–14, January 2003.
$0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250
Angina Pectoris, Chronic Maintenance
Essential Hypertension, Chronic Maintenaince
Diabetes Mellitus, Chronic Maintenance
Mechanical Low Back Disor.
Acute Myocardial Infarction
Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Dis.
Back Disor. Not Specified as Low Back
Trauma to Spine & Spinal Cord
Sinusitis
Dis. of ENT or Mastoid Process NEC
$ per eligible employee
MedicalAbsenceDisability
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I N F O R M A T I O N S O L U T I O N S
$ -
$ 5 0
$ 1 0 0
$ 1 5 0
$ 2 0 0
$ 2 5 0
$ 3 0 0
$ 3 5 0
$ 4 0 0
$ 4 5 0
Allerg
y*
Arthriti
s
Asthma
Any Cance
r
Depress
ion/Sadness
/Mental Il
lness
Diabetes
Heart Dise
ase
Hyperte
nsion
Migraine/H
eadache
Respira
tory Infecti
ons
Ann
ual C
osts
P re s e n te e is mS T DA b s e n c eR XE RO u tp a tie n tIn p a tie n t
The Big Picture: Overall Burden of Illness by Condition Using Average Impairment and Prevalence Rates for Presenteeism
($23.15/hour wage estimate)
Source: Goetzel, Long, Ozminkowski, et al. JOEM 46:4, April, 2004)
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I N F O R M A T I O N S O L U T I O N S
Percent Difference in Medical Expenditures: High-Risk versus Lower-Risk Employees
Independent effects after adjustmentN = 46,02670.2
46.334.8
21.4 19.7 14.5 11.7 10.4-9.3-3.0-0.8
-50
-25
0
25
50
75
100Pe
rcen
t
Dep
ress
ion
Stre
ss
Glu
cose
Wei
ght
Toba
cco-
Past
Toba
cco
Blo
od p
ress
ure
Exer
cise
Cho
lest
erol
Alc
ohol
Eatin
g
Incremental Impact of Ten Modifiable Risk Factors on Medical Expenditures
Goetzel RZ, Anderson DR, Whitmer RW, Ozminkowski RJ, et al., Journal of Occupational and Environmental Medicine 40 (10) (1998): 843–854.
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I N F O R M A T I O N S O L U T I O N S
Case Studies
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I N F O R M A T I O N S O L U T I O N S
Citibank, N.A.Health Management Program Evaluation
• Title: Citibank Health Management Program (HMP)
• Industry: Banking/Finance
• Target Population: 47,838 active employees eligible for medical benefits
• Description:– A comprehensive multi-component health management program– Aims to help employees improve health behaviors, better manage chronic
conditions, and reduce demand for unnecessary and inappropriate health services,
– And, in turn, reduce prevalence of preventable diseases, show significant cost savings, and achieve a positive ROI.
• Citations:• Ozminkowski, R.J., Goetzel, R.Z., Smith, M.W., Cantor, R.I., Shaunghnessy, A., & Harrison, M. (2000).
The Impact of the Citibank, N.A., Health Management Program on Changes in Employee Health Risks Over Time. JOEM, 42(5), 502-511.
• Ozminkowski, R.J., Dunn, R.L., Goetzel, R.Z., Cantor, R.I., Murnane, J., & Harrison, M. (1999). A Return on Investment Evaluation of the Citibank, N.A., Health Management Program. AJHP, 44(1), 31-43.
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I N F O R M A T I O N S O L U T I O N S
Citibank Health Management Program ROI
• Program costs = $1.9 million*
• Program benefits = $8.9 million*
• Program savings = $7.0 million*
ROI = $4.7 in benefits for every $1 in costs
Notes:
• 1996 dollars @ 0 percent discount
• Slightly lower ROI estimates after discounting by either 3% or 5% per year.
• Results very similar to RCT conducted of same Healthtrac program, by Fries, et al.
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I N F O R M A T I O N S O L U T I O N S
Johnson & JohnsonHealth and Wellness Program Evaluation
• Title: J & J Health and Wellness Program (H & W)
• Industry: Healthcare
• Target Population: 43,000 U.S. based employees
• Description:– Comprehensive, multi-component worksite health promotion program – Evolved from LIVE FOR LIFE in 1979
• Citations:• Goetzel, R.Z., Ozminkowski, R.J., Bruno, J.A., Rutter, K.R., Isaac, F., & Wang, S.
(2002). The Long-term Impact of Johnson & Johnson’s Health & Wellness Program on Employee Health Risks. JOEM, 44(5), 417-424.
• Ozminkowski, R.J., Ling, D., Goetzel, R.Z., Bruno, J.A., Rutter, K.R., Isaac, F., & Wang, S. (2002). Long-term Impact of Johnson & Johnson’s Health & Wellness Program on Health Care Utilization and Expenditures. JOEM, 44(1), 21-29.
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I N F O R M A T I O N S O L U T I O N S
Johnson & Johnson (N=18,331 – Ozminkowski et al, 2002)Health & Wellness Program Impact on Medical Costs
$224.66
$118.67
$70.89
$45.17
($10.87)
($50.00) $0.00 $50.00 $100.00 $150.00 $200.00 $250.00
OVERALL SAVINGS
Inpatient Days
Mental Health Visits
Outpatient/Doctor OfficeVisits
ER Visits
$225 Annual Medical Savings/
Employee/Year since 1995
Util
iza t
ion
Type
Procter & Gamble: Total Annual Medical Costs For Participants and Non-Participants In Health Check (1990 - 1992) (N=8,334)
0
500
1000
1500
2000
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
Participants Non-Participants
Adjusted for age and gender; Significant at p < .05*In year 3 participant costs were 29% lower producing an ROI of 1.49 to 1.00
Ref: Goetzel, R.Z., Jacobson, B.H., Aldana, S.G., Vardell, K., and Yee, L. Journal of Occupational and Environmental Medicine, 40:4, April, 1998.
Highmark, Inc: Estimated annual savings after four years of follow-up -- participants
versus non-participants – adjusted for confounders
Net Payments β Estimate
Participants versus Non-participants Intercept All participants, n=1892 Male gender Age, per year Heart disease at baseline Diabetes at baseline Group 1 comorbidity Group 2 comorbidity
-964.51†-176.47*497.09‡46.05‡
576.59‡1704.01‡1133.20‡
397.80‡4-year savings estimate from participation (β*n) $333,881Per person estimate 176.47
Source: Naydeck, Pearson, Ozminkowski, Day, Goetzel. The Impact of the Highmark Employee Wellness Programs on Four-Year Healthcare Costs.JOEM, 50:2, February 2008
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I N F O R M A T I O N S O L U T I O N SAnnual growth in net payments –for matched-participants and non-participants over four years –ROI of $1.65 to $1.00 (N=3790)
Healthcare Expenditure Net Payments, Highmark, Inc.
Total net payments: 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Participants $1414 $2191 $2842 $2694 $2685 Non-participants 1318 2429 2651 3059 3167
Annual Growth in Costs, Highmark
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Net
pay,
in $
2005
Participants Controls
Start of Pgm
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I N F O R M A T I O N S O L U T I O N S
Policy Implications
• Pass Tom Harkin’s Healthy Workforce Act (S.1753)– Companies that spend $400 per employee on wellness would earn a tax credit of
up to $200 per employee for the first 200 employees and $100 per employee for the rest of the payroll.
• Provide wellness program tax credits for employers and employees (HR 853, Knollenberg; HR 3717/S 1753/S 1754, Udall/Harkin; S 158, Collins).
• Sponsor venues for public recognition of exemplary programs and business leaders supporting these programs (e.g., Koop Awards).
• Identify and disseminate best practices.
• Establish public-private technical assistance and consulting services to support employer efforts.
• Increase funding of “real world” research demonstrations.
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I N F O R M A T I O N S O L U T I O N S
Other Policy Options
• Introduce federal legislation promoting workers’ health, e.g., smoke-free workplace policies.
• Initiate pilot studies at local/state/federal agencies that test innovative models of health promotion among public employers.
• Make available tools and resources that employers can use to runprograms, e.g., evaluation instruments, financial modeling programs.
• Establish ongoing measurement and performance tracking systems specific to workplace health promotion and reporting relevant metrics related to employer efforts, e.g., “healthiest places to work.”
• Assure a clear focus on workplaces as part of the strategic planning for health policies and programs.
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I N F O R M A T I O N S O L U T I O N S
SummaryFocusing on improving the health and quality of people’s lives will improve the productivity and competitiveness of our workers and citizens.
A growing body of scientific literature suggests that well-designed, evidence-based Health and Productivity Management Programs can
Improve the health of workers;
Lower their risk for disease;
Save businesses money by reducing health-related losses and limiting absence and disability;
Heighten worker morale and work relations;
Improve worker productivity; and
Improve the financial performance of organizations instituting these programs.
I N F O R M A T I O N S O L U T I O N S
Thank You!
Contact information:Ron Z. Goetzel, Ph.D., Research Professor and Director Institute for Health and Productivity Studies Rollins School of Public HealthEmory UniversityVice President, Consulting and Applied Research Thomson Reuters4301 Connecticut Ave., NW -- Suite 330Washington, DC 20008 202-719-7850 (voice) 202-719-7801 (fax) 202-285-6728 (cell)[email protected]