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Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential, applications Palang Thai

Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

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Page 1: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector ReformChris Greacen

November 25, 2007Bangkok, Thailand

Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential, applications

Palang Thai

Page 2: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

13.7 km

Solar

0.037% of Thailand area 100% peak load

(22,586 MW)

TESCO Lotus, Rama I,460 kWp, Cost: 75,165,000 baht

World-wide2006: 6,000 MWp cumulative2007: >9,000 MWp cumulative

13.7 km

Page 3: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

Thai population: 65,069,000 Person per household: 5 Households: 13,014,000 System size: 3 kW If 58% of households 100% of peak load VSPP subsidy: 8 baht / kWh

Solar

3 kW = 660,000 baht

Page 4: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

Thai government solar home program

203,000 solar home systems>20% failure rate within first year in Tak

Page 5: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

Wind

Hundreds of watts to 5 MW per turbine Now over 15,000 MW in Germany Denmark gets >17% electricity from wind At windy site, US 5 cents/kWh (1.65 baht/kWh) In Thailand: 6 baht/kWh (?) VSPP subsidy: 2.5 baht/kWh (3.5?) 1 MW = 35,000,000 baht

Thai wind potential: 1600 MW (?)

Page 6: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

28,530 MW = Thailand’s

peak load in 2007

•Installed in Thailand: 1 MW

Page 7: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

Wind energy – human scale

17.7 baht/kWh

8,200 baht

http://natee2007.thaiza.com

Thai wind pioneers build

wind power themselves.

Page 8: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

Micro-hydro technology

Source: Inversin, A. R. (1986). Micro-Hydropower Sourcebook.

Page 9: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

Micro-hydro technology

Pelton Turgo Crossflow KaplanCentrifugal pump

Page 10: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

Mae Kam Pong, Chiang MaiDEDE + community40 kW4 million baht costSell electricity to PEA – 400,000 baht/yearVSPP subsidy: 0.8 baht/kWh

Thai Potential:1000s of projects - 700 MW (?)

Page 11: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

Mae Kam Pong, Chiang Mai2 @ 20 kWWeir: 2 meters high, 15 meter wideHead: 55 metersHouseholds: 190Cost: 3.99 million bahtConstructed in year: 2526 (1983)

Page 12: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

Huai Krating, TakPower: 3 kWHead: 35 meterFlow: 20 liters/secondCost: <200,000 baht

(turbine - 24,500 baht)Constructed: 2548 (2005)

Thai Potential:10,000s of projects – 10s MW (?)

Page 13: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

Kre Khi village, Tak Province1 kW for school, clinic, churchCost: <150,000

(turbine 10,000)Head: 10 metersFlow: 15 lit/sec

Page 14: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

Mae Klang Luang, Chaing Mai200 watts5,000 baht (turbine: 4,000 baht)Installed: 2550 (2007)Head: 1.7 meters

Page 15: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

Breakdown of economically viable biomass resource

Biomass resource Economic potential (MW)

Bagasse 1900

Biogas (cassava, pig, food waste) 1185

Wood residues 950

Rice husk 100

Corncob 54

Distillery slop 49

Coconut 43

Palm oil residues 43

TOTAL 4,324

Source: Black and Veatch (2000). Final Report: Thailand Biomass-Based Power Generation and Cogeneration Within Small Rural Industries. Bangkok, NEPO; NEPO/DANCED (1998). Investigation of Pricing Incentive in a Renewable Energy Strategy -- Main report. Bangkok. Bagasse figure from interview with interview with Sirisak Tatong, power plant manager at Mitr Phol sugar factory. Biogas from interviews with biogas developers

Page 16: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

Rice husk fired power plant

9.8 MW Roi Et province VSPP: Subsidy 0.3 baht/kWh

Page 17: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

Uses waste water from cassava to make methane Produces gas for all factory heat (30 MW thermal) + 3 MW of electricity 3 x 1 MW gas generators VSPP: Subsidy 0.3 baht/kWh

Korat Waste to Energy - biogas

Page 18: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

Biogas from Pig Farms

Reduces air and water pollution

Produces fertilizer

Produces electricity

8 x 70 kW generator

Ratchaburi

Subsidy: 0.3 baht/kwh

Page 19: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

Source: Presentation by Ministry of Energy at Energy Strategy Workshop chaired by Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra. 28 August 2003

Page 20: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,
Page 21: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,
Page 22: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

Combined Heat and Power (CHP)… Why?

Page 23: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

Why CHP?Electricity Generation Worldwide (TWh)

(source: International energy Agency 2002)

67% wasted!

Page 24: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

Combined Heat and Power (CHP)… also called “cogeneration”

Thai CHP Potential:?,??? MW

>2,400 MW in applications received

Page 25: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

Combined Cooling Heat and Power (CCHP) plant at Bangkok’s Suvarnabhumi International Airport

55MW CCGT

Steam provides cooling for terminal (563,000 m²) and surrounding facilities

Page 26: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,
Page 27: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

Global Distributed Energy Development

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

De

nm

ark

Ne

the

rlan

ds

Fin

lan

d

Ru

ssia

Ge

rma

ny

Ca

na

da

Ch

ina

Ch

ile

Po

rtu

ga

l

US

WO

RL

D

Th

aila

nd

Me

xico

Bra

zil

Fra

nce

Ind

ia

DE

sha

re a

s %

of t

otal

pow

er g

ener

atio

n

7.3%

Thai Data from ‘Power Development Plan 2007” , Ministry of EnergyWorld Data from ‘World Survey of DE - 2005’ World Alliance for Decentralized Energy

Page 28: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

Thank you!

For more information contact: Tel. (+011) 662-672-0364

[email protected]

Download presentation slides & documents at:http://www.palangthai.org/docs/index

Page 29: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

Thai government solar home program

203,000 solar home systemsUS$200 millionNo maintenance plan23% failure rate within 20 months

Page 30: Citizen’s meeting on Power Sector Reform Chris Greacen November 25, 2007 Bangkok, Thailand Solar, wind, hydro, CHP in Thailand: technology, cost, potential,

Resource Technical potential (MW)

Commerical Potential* (MW)

Year 2011 Government targets (MW)

Biomass (includes biogas)

Biogas

Solar PV

Micro- & Mini- hydro

Wind

Municipal Waste

7,000

>400

>5,000

700

1,600

?

>4,300

300

?

>200

?

?

1548

10

33

450

45

100

Total >14,000 >4,500 2192

Estimated renewable energy potential in Thailand

Source: Technical potential from Thai Ministry of Energy. (2003).“Energy Strategy for Competitiveness” http://www.eppo.go.th/admin/moe-workshop1/index.html. Commercial potential from from Black & Veatch 2000 and NEPO/DANCED 1998 as well as interviews with power plant managers. Targets from 2005 Prime Minister’s Energy Workshop 23 November.

* Commercial potential based on actual prices paid to renewable energy generators currently on-line.