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Health risk estimate. Classification used for health risk estimate interpretation and map visualization. CHRONIC RISK. Note: The same classification used for Hazard Index (HI). CANCER RISK. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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www.geology.sk
Classification used for health risk estimate interpretation and map visualization
CHRONIC RISK
CANCER RISK
Health risk estimate
no risklow
m ediumhigh
Chron ic riskHQ
<0.1>0.1<1>1<4
>44
123
Risk level No. o fmunicipalities
Cancer risk
ve ry low
lo w
m ed ium
1
2
3
Risk level No. of cases per population
> 1 pe r 10 00 00 0 < 1 pe r 1 00 00 0
in ha b ita ntsin ha b ita nts
> 1 pe r 1 00 00 0 < 1 pe r 10 00 0
in ha b ita ntsin ha b ita nts
< 1 pe r 10 00 00 0 in ha b ita nts
No. o f municipalities
h igh
ve ry h ig h
4
5
> 1 pe r 10 00 0 inh ab ita nts< 1 pe r 1 00 0 inh ab ita nts> 1 pe r 1 00 0 inh ab ita nts
29thInternational conference SEGH, 8-12 July Toulouse, FRANCE 2013
Note: The same classification used for Hazard Index (HI)
www.geology.sk
Interpretation of health risk estimates in map and table form was performed for all administrative units of the Slovak Republic – municipalities, districts and regions
District/Region CAs HQadult Chronic risk ELCR Cancer risk
Bratislavský 0.0025 2.32E-01 1 1.04E-04 4
Bratislava I 0.0011 1.01E-01 1 4.55E-05 1-3
Bratislava II 0.0009 8.68E-02 1 3.90E-05 1-3
Bratislava III 0.0015 1.41E-01 1 6.36E-05 1-3
Bratislava IV 0.0012 1.12E-01 1 5.02E-05 1-3
Bratislava V 0.0009 8.14E-02 1 3.66E-05 1-3
Malacky 0.0031 2.89E-01 1 1.30E-04 4
Pezinok 0.0024 2.26E-01 1 1.02E-04 4
Senec 0.0022 2.05E-01 1 9.23E-05 1-3
Trnavský 0.0012 1.11E-01 1 5.00E-05 1-3
Dunajská Streda 0.0012 1.12E-01 1 5.04E-05 1-3
Galanta 0.0014 1.36E-01 1 6.13E-05 1-3
Hlohovec 0.0007 6.71E-02 1 3.02E-05 1-3
Piešťany 0.0008 7.16E-02 1 3.22E-05 1-3
Senica 0.0015 1.40E-01 1 6.30E-05 1-3
Skalica 0.0015 1.38E-01 1 6.21E-05 1-3
Trnava 0.0008 8.09E-02 1 3.64E-05 1-3
Trenčiansky 0.0044 4.22E-01 1 1.90E-04 4
Bánovce nad Bebravou 0.0011 9.99E-02 1 4.49E-05 1-3
Example for arsenic in groundwater in Slovak districts / regions
All results are available on the website www.geology.sk/geohealth
29thInternational conference SEGH, 8-12 July Toulouse, FRANCE 2013
Total No. of evaluated administrative units:
2883 municipalities,
79 districts,
8 regions.
www.geology.sk
H Q
20 40 km0
no risklow
m ediumhigh
Chron ic riskHQ
<0.1>0.1<1>1<4
>44
123
Risk level
5892198
7917
No. o fmunicipalities
bo un dary of dis tric tsbo un dary of m u nic ipa liti es
bo un dary of reg ion sst ate bo un dar y
re gio nal ci ty
Health risk estimate for chronic disease occurrence due to groundwater ingestion by adult population of the Slovak Republic – MUNICIPALITIES (As, Ba, Cd, Cu, F, Hg, Mn, NO3, Pb, Sb, Se, Zn) – expressed in the form of maximum of hazard quotient (HQ)
Chronic risk estimate for groundwater contamination
Main results: chronic risk was documented in 17 municipalities, arsenic and antimony were defined to share the significant part of total risk level
29thInternational conference SEGH, 8-12 July Toulouse, FRANCE 2013
www.geology.sk
HI ( HQ)
no risklow
m ediumhigh
Chron ic riskHI
<0.1>0.1<1>1<4
>44
123
Risk level
1268617620
No. ofmunicipalities
20 40 km0
bo un dary of dis tric tsbo un dary of m u nic ipa liti es
bo un dary of reg ion sst ate bo un dar y
re gio nal c ity
Health risk estimate for chronic disease occurrence due to groundwater ingestion by adult population of the Slovak Republic – MUNICIPALITIES (As, Ba, Cd, Cu, F, Hg, Mn, NO3, Pb, Sb, Se, Zn)
Main results: high chronic risk was documented in 20 municipalities, arsenic and antimony were defined to share the significant part of total risk level, the summary effect of calculation of hazard index is reflecting mainly in classification of municipalities in lowland areas (Suthern part of the Slovak Republic) into category of medium chronic risk
29thInternational conference SEGH, 8-12 July Toulouse, FRANCE 2013
Chronic risk estimate for groundwater contamination
www.geology.sk
20 40 km0
ARSENICgroundwater
no risklow
m ediumhigh
Chron ic riskHQ
<0.1>0.1<1>1<4
>44
123
Risk level
18091036
299
No. o fmunicipalities
bo un dary of dis tric tsbo un dary of m u nic ipa liti es
bo un dary of reg ion sst ate bo un dar y
re gio nal ci ty
Health risk estimate for chronic disease occurrence due to groundwater ingestion by adult population of the Slovak Republic – MUNICIPALITIES
Main results: medium to high chronic risk was documented mainly in highly contaminated areas with geogenic or geogenic-anthropogenic sources of contamination (ore deposit and mineralized occurrences, associated historical mining activities ), medical-geochemical research made in the region of Spišsko-gemerské rudohorie revealed the negative impact of high As groundwater contents and health status of inhabitants.
29thInternational conference SEGH, 8-12 July Toulouse, FRANCE 2013
Chronic risk estimate for groundwater contamination
www.geology.sk
ANTIMONY
groundwater
20 40 km0 no risklow
m ediumhigh
Chron ic riskHQ
<0.1>0.1<1>1<4
>44
123
Risk level
279666156
No. o fmunicipalities
bo un dary of dis tric tsbo un dary of m u nic ipa liti es
bo un dary of reg ion sst ate bo un dar y
re gio nal ci ty
Health risk estimate for chronic disease occurrence due to groundwater ingestion by adult population of the Slovak Republic – MUNICIPALITIES
Main results: medium to high chronic risk was documented mainly in highly contaminated areas with geogenic or geogenic-anthropogenic sources of contamination (ore deposit and mineralized occurrences), medical-geochemical research made in the region of Spišsko-gemerské rudohorie revealed the negative impact of high Sb groundwater contents and health status of inhabitants.
29thInternational conference SEGH, 8-12 July Toulouse, FRANCE 2013
Chronic risk estimate for groundwater contamination
www.geology.sk
NITRATESgroundwater
20 40 km0
no risklow
m ediumhigh
Chron ic riskHQ
<0.1>0.1<1>1<4
>44
123
Risk level
14821400
10
No. ofmunicipalities
bo un dary of dis tric tsbo un dary of m u nic ipa liti es
bo un dary of reg ion sst ate bo un dar y
re gio nal c ity
Health risk estimate for chronic disease occurrence due to groundwater ingestion by adult population of the Slovak Republic – MUNICIPALITIES
Example of health risk estimate for nitrate groundwater contents, low risk is documented in lowland areas with agriculuture land-use.
29thInternational conference SEGH, 8-12 July Toulouse, FRANCE 2013
Chronic risk estimate for groundwater contamination
www.geology.sk
HQ
20 40 km0
no risklow
m ediumhigh
Chron ic riskHQ
<0.1>0.1<1>1<4
>44
123
Risk level
2479392102
No. o fmunicipalities
bo un dary of dis tric tsbo un dary of m u nic ipa liti es
bo un dary of reg ion sst ate bo un dar y
re gio nal ci ty
Health risk estimate for chronic disease occurrence due to soil ingestion by child population of the Slovak Republic – MUNICIPALITIES (As, B, Ba, Be, Cd, Cu, F, Hg, Mn, Mo, Ni, Pb, Sb, Se,
Zn) – expressed in the form of maximum of hazard quotient (HQ)
Chronic risk estimate for soil contamination
Main results: the majority of Slovak municipalities were classified into the category of no or low chronic risk.
29thInternational conference SEGH, 8-12 July Toulouse, FRANCE 2013
www.geology.sk
HI ( HQ)
20 40 km0
no risklow
m ediumhigh
Chron ic riskHI
<0.1>0.1<1>1<4
>44
123
Risk level
17171140
224
No. o fmunicipalities
bo un dary of dis tric tsbo un dary of m u nic ipa liti es
bo un dary of reg ion sst ate bo un dar y
re gio nal ci ty
Health risk estimate for chronic disease occurrence due to soil ingestion by child population of the Slovak Republic – MUNICIPALITIES (As, B, Ba, Be, Cd, Cu, F, Hg, Mn, Mo, Ni, Pb, Sb, Se, Zn)
Main results: medium to high chronic risk was documented in 26 municipalities, arsenic, antimony and lead were defined to share the main part of total risk level, the territory of the Slovak Republic is from the point of view of soil contamination by other evaluated contaminants at no risk.
29thInternational conference SEGH, 8-12 July Toulouse, FRANCE 2013
Chronic risk estimate for soil contamination
www.geology.sk
Health risk estimate for chronic disease occurrence due to soil ingestion by child population of the Slovak Republic – MUNICIPALITIES
ARSENICsoils
20 40 km0no risk
lowm edium
high
Chron ic riskHQ
<0.1>0.1<1>1<4
>44
123
Risk level
2500372100
No. o fmunicipalities
bo un dary of dis tric tsbo un dary of m u nic ipa liti es
bo un dary of reg ion sst ate bo un dar y
re gio nal ci ty
Main results: medium risk levels were documented only in 10 municipalities from highly contaminated areas by geogenic or geogenic-anthropogenic sources of contamination
29thInternational conference SEGH, 8-12 July Toulouse, FRANCE 2013
Chronic risk estimate for soil contamination
www.geology.sk
ANTIMONYsoils
20 40 km0 no risklow
m ediumhigh
Chron ic riskHQ
<0.1>0.1<1>1<4
>44
123
Risk level
28106760
No. o fmunicipalities
bo un dary of dis tric tsbo un dary of m u nic ipa liti es
bo un dary of reg ion sst ate bo un dar y
re gio nal ci ty
Health risk estimate for chronic disease occurrence due to soil ingestion by child population of the Slovak Republic – MUNICIPALITIES
Main results: medium risk levels were documented only in 6 municipalities from highly contaminated area by geogenic or geogenic-anthropogenic sources of contamination
29thInternational conference SEGH, 8-12 July Toulouse, FRANCE 2013
Chronic risk estimate for soil contamination
www.geology.sk
ARS ENICgroundwater
20 40 km0
bo un dary of dis tric tsbo un dary of m u nic ipa liti es
bo un dary of reg ion sst ate bo un dar y
re gio nal ci ty
Risk level No. of cases per population
< 1 pe r 10 00 0 inh ab itan ts 2 53 4
4
5
> 1 pe r 10 00 0 inh ab ita nts< 1 pe r 1 00 0 inh ab ita nts
> 1 pe r 1 00 0 inh ab ita nts
3 30
1 9
Cancer risk
lo w -m ed iu m1 -3
No. o fmunicipalities
h igh
ve ry h ig h
4
Health risk estimate for carcinogenic disease occurrence due to groundwater ingestion by adult population of the Slovak Republic - MUNICIPALITIES
Cancer risk estimate for groundwater contamination
Main results: high to very high risk was defined for more than 300 municipalities, because of many samples with arsenic contents below the detection limit 0.0005 mg.l-1 (the exact contents are not known) the first 3 risk categories were unified into one category of low to medium risk
29thInternational conference SEGH, 8-12 July Toulouse, FRANCE 2013
www.geology.sk
ARS ENICsoils
20 40 km0
bo un dary of dis tric tsbo un dary of m u nic ipa liti es
bo un dary of reg ion sst ate bo un dar y
re gio nal ci ty
Cancer risk
ve ry low
lo w
m ed ium
1
2
3
Risk level No. of cases per population
> 1 pe r 10 00 00 0 < 1 pe r 1 00 00 0
in ha b ita ntsin ha b ita nts
> 1 pe r 1 00 00 0 < 1 pe r 10 00 0
in ha b ita ntsin ha b ita nts
< 1 pe r 10 00 00 0 in ha b ita nts
No. o f municipalities
0
2 73 6
1 42
h igh
ve ry h ig h
4
5
> 1 pe r 10 00 0 inh ab ita nts< 1 pe r 1 00 0 inh ab ita nts> 1 pe r 1 00 0 inh ab ita nts
5
0
Health risk estimate for carcinogenic disease occurrence due to soil ingestion by population (additive model) of the Slovak Republic - MUNICIPALITIES
Cancer risk estimate for soil contamination
Main results: medium to high risk was defined for about 150 municipalities located in areas with a.) historical minining activities with ore deposit occurence, b.) area with anthropogenic contamination (depositions due to As-rich coal burning by power plant)
29thInternational conference SEGH, 8-12 July Toulouse, FRANCE 2013
www.geology.sk
Conclusions
- Presented approach of health risk estimate based on national and regional geochemical data represents a convenient tool for identification of risk areas,
It is easily comprehensible for decision makers and can serve as basis for future works focused on detail studies of health risks.
- Increased risk levels, both for chronic as well as in case of arsenic also carcinogenic diseases were identified mainly in highly contaminated areas with dominant geogenic or geogenic-anthropogenic source of contamination (historical mining areas).
- The results of health risk estimation indicate that arsenic and antimony pose the highest chronic risk in some areas in the case of groundwater as well as soils.
- Health risk estimation for soil contamination has highlighted the significance of exposure through soil ingestion in case of child population while for adults it is negligible.
29thInternational conference SEGH, 8-12 July Toulouse, FRANCE 2013
www.geology.sk
Some additional remarks / uncertainties:
Expression of chronic risk estimate for groundwater and soil contamination in the form of maximum value of hazard quotient instead of summmary hazard index is probably more objective way how to define risk levels (in this way we exclude the case when sum of no or low risk values result in one high risk value).
So far realized medical – geochemical researches in some of highly contaminated areas confirmed the existence of risk in regions identified as risk areas through the approach of model quantification of health risk.
Advantage of this approach is fast, visual and comprehensible visualization of risk areas for decision makers, disadvantage of this approach lies in data interpolation – local contamination partially spread out into non-contaminated areas.
There is still need to identify potential health risks associated with other elements that are essential at certain levels but have negative health effects at excess or deficit contents (e.g. macro-elements - Ca, Mg; Zn, Se etc.).
This issue is dealed with within the running project „GEOHEALTH“ , for more information about the project please go to the website www.geology.sk/geohealth.
www.geology.sk
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION
AcknowledgementThis research has been performed within the project LIFE10 ENV/SK/000086 „The impact of geological environment on health status of residents of the Slovak Republic“ financially supported by the EU’s funding instrument for the environment – Life+ programme.
29thInternational conference SEGH, 8-12 July Toulouse, FRANCE 2013