65
Strategic Leadership Closure, Trust, and Reputation (page 1) Closure, Trust, and Reputation: The Third Rule of Social Capital and Strategic Partners Appendices: I. Measuring Network Closure/Embedding (page 42, from 2007 "Closure & Stability") II. Closure/Embedding and the Theory of the Firm (page 43, from 1992 Structural Holes; 1924 Legal Foundations of Capitalism) III. Closure and Learning Curves (pages 44-48, from 1919 Psychological Monographs, 1965 Review of Economics and Statistics, 1992 Upside, 1998 Perspectives on Strategy, 1999 Organizational Learning) IV. Snipits on Business Culture (pages 49-52, 1998 Financial Times, other) V. Why Don't People Discount Gossip? (page 53, from 2005 Brokerage and Closure) VI. Detail on Reputation & Echo vs Bandwidth (pages 54-55, 2008 "Gossip and reputation" in Management et Réseaux Sociaux) VII. Groupthink and Unlearning (pages 56-57) VIII. Sources of Variance in 360 Evaluations (pages 58-59) IX. Mobbing (page 60, 1999 The Mobbing Encyclopedia) X. Exception that Proves the Rule on Secondhand Brokerage (page 61, from 2010 Neighbor Networks)) XI. Other Partner Networks and Integration Failures (pages 62-64) XII. Gossip-Enforced Walls Reinforce Outsider Feelings of Inferiority (page 65, based on 1965 The Established and the Outsiders) This handout was prepared by Ron Burt as a basis for discussion in executive education (Copyright © 2019 Ronald S. Burt, all rights reserved). To download work referenced here, or research/teaching materials on related topics, go to http://faculty.chicagobooth.edu/ronald.burt. For text on this session, see Chapters 3 and 4 in Brokerage and Closure, and Chapter 7 in Neighbor Networks.

Closure, Trust, and Reputation: The Third Rule of Social ... · XI. Other Partner Networks and Integration Failures (pages 62-64) ... Nasty in the Initial Games of a Relationship

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e 1)

Closure, Trust, and Reputation:The Third Rule of Social Capital

and Strategic Partners

Appendices:I. Measuring Network Closure/Embedding (page 42, from 2007 "Closure & Stability")II. Closure/Embedding and the Theory of the Firm (page 43, from 1992 Structural Holes; 1924 Legal Foundations of Capitalism)III. Closure and Learning Curves (pages 44-48, from 1919 Psychological Monographs, 1965 Review of Economics and Statistics,

1992 Upside, 1998 Perspectives on Strategy, 1999 Organizational Learning)IV. Snipits on Business Culture (pages 49-52, 1998 Financial Times, other)V. Why Don't People Discount Gossip? (page 53, from 2005 Brokerage and Closure)VI. Detail on Reputation & Echo vs Bandwidth (pages 54-55, 2008 "Gossip and reputation" in Management et Réseaux Sociaux)VII. Groupthink and Unlearning (pages 56-57)VIII. Sources of Variance in 360 Evaluations (pages 58-59)

IX. Mobbing (page 60, 1999 The Mobbing Encyclopedia)X. Exception that Proves the Rule on Secondhand Brokerage (page 61, from 2010 Neighbor Networks))XI. Other Partner Networks and Integration Failures (pages 62-64)

XII. Gossip-Enforced Walls Reinforce Outsider Feelings of Inferiority (page 65, based on 1965 The Established and the Outsiders)

This handout was prepared by Ron Burt as a basis for discussion in executive education (Copyright © 2019 Ronald S. Burt, all rights reserved).To download work referenced here, or research/teaching materials on related topics, go to http://faculty.chicagobooth.edu/ronald.burt.

For text on this session, see Chapters 3 and 4 in Brokerage and Closure, and Chapter 7 in Neighbor Networks.

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(“The Bull,” 1917 Berlin political cartoon of Bavarian bourgeois)

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CEO

C-Suite

Heir Apparent

Other Senior Person

Yanjie

B

BB

B

Jim

Bob

B

B

B

Social Networkat the Topof the CompanyLines indicate frequent and substantive work discussion; heavy lines especiallyclose relationships.

Asia

US

EU and Emerging Markets

R&DFrontOffice

Back Office

Figure 1 in Burt, "Network disadvantaged entrepreneurs" (Entrepreneurship Theory & Practice, 2019)

FrontOffice

JIM is a WARLORD in US BUSINESS, Illustrating Rule 1 of Network Advantage:

Close the network around your contacts to promote trust and efficiency.

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Foun

datio

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3)

CEO

C-Suite

Heir Apparent

Other Senior Person

Yanjie

B

BB

B

Jim

Bob

B

B

B

Social Networkat the Topof the CompanyLines indicate frequent and substantive work discussion; heavy lines especiallyclose relationships.

Asia

US

EU and Emerging Markets

R&DFrontOffice

Back Office

Figure 1 in Burt, "Network disadvantaged entrepreneurs" (Entrepreneurship Theory & Practice, 2019)

RULE 3: For bottom-line growth, closed networks facilitate and maintain trust and reputation within the network, promoting reliable, efficient operations within the network (Sherif, 1935; Festinger et al., 1950; Asch, 1951; Katz and Lazarsfeld, 1955; Granovetter, 1985, 1992; Burt, 1987; Coleman, 1988; Greif, 1989; Ellickson, 1991; Bernstein, 1992, 2001; Barker, 1993; Putnam, 1993; Uzzi, 1997; Burt, 2005:Chps. 3-4).

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Trust Builds withinRelationships Slowly

TRUST — committing to an exchange before you know how the other will behave.

REPUTATION — extent to which you are known as trustworthy.

I. Good Behavior as theSource of Trust

third parties irrelevant to trust & distrusttoo slow (graph to right), too dangerous

(Burt, 1999, "Private games are too dangerous")

II. Network Closure and Structural Embedding as the Source,

Bandwidth Storythird parties enhance information and

enforcement, and so facilitate trust (next page)

from Figure 3.2 in Brokerage and Closure

JJ

J

J J

J

J

JJ J

J J

J JJ

J

J J

J

J

J J J

J

JJ

JJ

JJJ J

J

JJ

J JJ

J

J

JJ J

J

JJ J

J

J

JJ

J

J J

J

J J

JJ

J

(710)10 ormore

Percent citedfor trust

Percent cited for distrust

(378)1 orless Years Known

(number of relationships in parentheses)

(370)2

(395)3

(121)9

(183)8

(145)7

(195)6

(275)5

(243)4

(170)(33) (76) (48) (85)(37)(48)(46)(82)(31)

(509)(782) (576) (311) (43)(89)(85)(180)(198)(190)

40%

30%

20%

10%

30%

20%

10%

30%

20%

10%

217 Staff Officersin Two Financial Services Firms

Cite 3,324 Colleagues

60 Senior Managers in a Chemicals FirmCite 656 Colleagues

284 Senior Managers in anElectronics & Computer Firm

Cite 3,015 Colleagues

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Figure 3.1 in Brokerage and Closure (for discussion, see pages 105-111). See Appendix II on network embedding in the theory of the firm.

Robert Jessica Robert Jessica Robert Jessica

Situation ARobert New Acquaintance

(no embedding)

Situation BRobert Long-Time Colleague

("relational" embedding)

Situation CRobert Co-Member Group

("structural" embedding)

More connections allow more rapid communication, so poor behavior can be more readily detected and punished. Bureaucratic authority was the traditional engine for coordination in organizations (budget, head count). The new engine is reputation (e.g., eBay). In flattened-down organizations, leader roles are often ambiguous, so people need help knowing who to trust, and the boss needs help supervising her direct reports. Multi-point evaluation systems, often discussed as 360° evaluation systems, gather evaluative data from the people who work with an employee. These are "reputational" systems in that evaluations are the same data that define an employee's reputation in the company. In essence, reputation is the governance mechanism in social networks.

Closed Networks within the ClustersFacilitate Trust and Shared Beliefs

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Closure creates "bandwidth:" more channels of communication allow more accurate and rapid communication, so poor behavior is

more readily detected and managed.

1985: Granovetter (1985 AJS) on the risk of trust reduced by third-party enforcement (discussed as structural embeddedness, 1992:44): "My mortification at cheating a friend of long standing may be substantial even when undiscovered. It may increase when the friend becomes aware of it. But it may become even more unbearable when our mutual friends uncover the deceit and tell one another." (also Tullock, 1985 QJE, pp. 1076, 1080-1081)

1988: Coleman (1988:S107-108 AJS, 1990 book) on the risk of trust reduced by third-party enforcement (discussed as network closure) with respect to rotating-credit associations: "The consequence of closure is, as in the case of the wholesale diamond market or in other similar communities, a set of effective sanctions that can monitor and guide behavior. Reputation cannot arise in an open structure, and collective sanctions that would ensure trustworthiness cannot be applied." E.g., Putnam's (1993 book) explanation of higher institutional performance in regional Italy attributed to the trust, norms, and dense networks that facilitate coordinated action.

1989: Maghribi traders in North Africa during the 1000s, respond to strong incentives for opportunism in their trade between cities by maintaining a dense network of communication links which encouraged them to protect their positive reputations and facilitated their coordination in ostracizing merchants with negative reputations (Greif, 1989 JEH; and for other applications, such as guilds, see Greif, 2006, Institutions and the Path to the Modern Economy).

CLOSURE — the lackof structural holeswithin a network

Third Parties Are an Early-Warning System that Protects Nice from

Nasty in the Initial Games of a Relationship.

Third parties enhance communication and enforcement, and so

create reputation costs which facilitate trust.

For discussion, see pages 127-130

in Brokerage and Closure, and for detailed discussion

with respect to specific markets, see Lisa Bernstein

on diamonds, cotton, and supplier relations

(respectively 1992 Journal of Legal Studies, 2001 Michigan

Law Review, and 2016 Journal of Legal Analysis).

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from Burt (2019, Structural Holes in Virtual Worlds). See Appendix I on measuring network closure/embedding.

Prob

abili

ty th

at R

elat

ions

hip

is C

ited

Nex

t Yea

r as

Goo

d or

Out

stan

ding

(z = 14.88)

Number of Third PartiesLinking Employee

with Colleague this Year

10+

A. Analysts and Investment Bankers

Mean Number of Third PartiesConnecting Banker with

Colleagues This Year

Mea

n C

orre

latio

n fo

rB

anke

r’s R

eput

atio

nfr

om th

is Y

ear t

o N

ext

(13-

pers

on s

ubsa

mpl

e)

banker banker

1

2

3

4

1 2 3 4

1

2

3

4

1 2 3 4

10+

B. Investment Bankers

(t = 8.10)

“Reputation cannot arise in an open structure.”(AJS, Coleman, 1988:S107)

Closure-Trust Associations, ManagementDots are average Y scores within intervals of X. Graph A describes 46,231 observed colleague relations with analysts and

bankers over a four-year period (adapted from Burt, 2010: 174-175). Vertical axis is the proportion of relations cited next year as good or outstanding. Horizontal axis is number of mutual contacts this year. Logit z-score test statistics are estimated with controls for differences in network size and adjusted for autocorrelation between relationships (Stata "cluster" option). Graph B describes for the bankers subsample correlations between positive (above average) and negative (below average) reputa-tions this year and next year (adapted from Burt, 2010:166; routine t-tests reported across 1,179 banker-year observations).

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from Figure 4.8 in Brokerage and Closure. For general discussion of structural embedding primarily facilitating the formation of relations rather than their long-term survival, see Dahlander & McFarland (2013 ASQ), "Ties that last: tie formation and persistence in research collaborations over time."

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9

1.0

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Bridge relationships(employee and colleaguehave no mutual contacts)

Relationships embedded in closed network of one or more mutual colleagues

One of the 25%most embeddedrelationships

Relationship Duration(in years, up through this year)

Prob

abili

ty th

at R

elat

ions

hip

Dec

ays

befo

re N

ext Y

ear

(rel

atio

n ci

ted

this

yea

r is

not c

ited

next

yea

r)

Closure Slows Decay,which allows new connections (with friends of friends)

to mature.

In this management, closure has its effect in

the first two yearsof a relationship.

These are decay functions for colleague relations with

investment bankers and analysts during the 1990s.

Logit z-scores in parentheses below (based on 46,231

relations).

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Network Closure and Trust in China

NOTE — Dots are average Y scores at each level of X. Graph A describes 46,231 observed colleague relations with analysts and bankers

over a four-year period (adapted from Burt, 2010:174-175). Vertical axis is proportion of relations cited next year as good or outstanding.

Horizontal axis is number of mutual contacts this year. Graph B describes 4,464 relationships cited by the 700 Chinese entrepreneurs.

Vertical axis is mean respondent trust in the contact, measured on a five-point scale. Horizontal axis is the number of other people in a

respondent’s network connected with the contact being evaluated for trust. Test statistics are estimated in both graphs with controls for

differences in network size and adjusted for autocorrelation between relationships. Figure is adapted from Burt and Burzynska (2017: 234).

Prob

abili

ty th

at R

elat

ions

hip

is C

ited

Nex

t Yea

r as

Goo

d or

Out

stan

ding

A. Relations withCurrent Colleagues

(z = 14.88)

D. Relations with Continuing Colleagues(first cited two years

ago, z = 0.81)

10+

Western Analystsand Bankers

6+

Res

pond

ent E

valu

atio

n of

Tru

st in

Con

tact

(1 fo

r sus

pect

, 5 fo

r com

plet

e tru

st)

ChineseEntrepreneurs

Network ClosureNumber of Third Parties

Linking this YearEvaluator with Evaluated

Network ClosureNumber of Third Parties

Linking Respondentwith Contact

C. Relations with Founding ContactsC. Relations with Other Event ContactsB. Relations with Other Contacts

(t = 25.79)

(t = 10.19)

(t = 3.01)

Figure 4 in Burt and Burzynska, "Chinese entrepreneurs, social networks, and guanxi," (2017 Management and Organization Review). Detailed discussion of guanxi ties is given in Burt and Opper, "What is guanxi?" (2019).

Similar Patterns in American and Chinese Business(closure facilitates relations maturing into self-sustaining guanxi)

Western Analystsand Bankers

ChineseEntrepreneurs 6+

Z-score residuals when China trust is predicted with

Western model A (dots show 95% CI around mean).

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The Learning Curve: Build for Network Closure to Cut Costs, Delivering on a Known Value StreamLEARNING CURVE (also known as experience curve) — increased efficiency associated with cumulative volume produced by group (e.g., timing & locating supplies, scheduling, tacit knowledge between colleagues, etc.). THE MECHANISM — With its dense social ties providing wide bandwidth for information flow, closure enhances communication and enforcement within a group, (1) which creates reputation, facilitating trust within a group division-of-labor, (2) which enhances performance as people become self-aligning between tasks, pushing one another to extraordinary efforts down the learning curve. The result is lower costs, and so higher productivity. Reputation is the engine. Closure delivers value through peer pressure on reputation within a group (else exogenous shocks disrupt the alignment of even personally dedicated individuals).

“Costs characteristically decline 20 to 30 percent in real terms each time accumu-lated experience doubles. This means that when inflation is factored out, costs should always decline.”

Associated with BCG and Bruce Henderson (1974, “The experience curve reviewed: why does it work?” reprinted in Stern and Stalk, 1998, Perspectives on Strategy), but more with Liberty Ships, e.g., Rapping, "Learning and World War II production functions"(1965, Review of Economics and Statistics) and Argote et al., "The persistence and transfer of learning in industrial settings" (1990, Management Science). Also see Thurstone "The learning curve equation" (1919, Psychological Monographs). For review of industrial research largely preceding Henderson, see Yelle "The learning curve" (1979, Decision Sciences). For discussion, see Appendix III on closure and example learning curves.

$0.40

$0.60

$0.80

$1.00

1 2 4 8

Ave

rag

e C

ost

per

Un

it

Cumulative Unit Volume

80¢

64¢

51¢

20% cost reductionwith each

doubling of volume

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Network brokers are valuable as a sourceof innovation and growth, but given the lack of

closure around them, are they more likely to behave badly with colleagues?

HINT: Are they less managed by the network governance provided by closure?

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Figure 2 in Burt and Wang, 2019, "Network brokers and bad behavior."

Network Constraint (x 100)many ——— Structural Holes ——— few

Num

ber A

ccus

atio

ns R

ecei

ved

Num

ber A

ccus

atio

ns M

ade

Network Brokers Are

More Involved in Bad

BehaviorThese are 1,135 annual

observations of 398 bankers over three years. Each year, a

banker is at risk of being accused of bad behavior

by colleagues in the annual review, and of

having to report difficult colleagues for their bad

behavior.

Received 5 accusations in the second year, and a total of 8 across years. Colleague comments about him:

- Moody, unprofessional, poor manager- Single-mindedness about his job- Short & ill-tempered, standoffish, rude- Untrustworthy & difficult to work with- While extremely competent & motivated,

he can be overbearing and at times insulting

Made 13 accusations in the first year. Received 2 accusations that year, and a total of 5 across years. Colleague comments about her:

- Untrustworthy, lacking in team work/integrity- Extremely intimidating; impatient, belittling &

argumentative individual- Moody, doesn’t share information- She wants to control everything & her thinking

is narrow-minded- Not user friendly

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Citations Received Citations SentA B C D

Log Network Constraint-.75[.11]

(-6.59)

-.31[.19]

(-1.61)

-.96[.16]

(-5.84)

-.44[.24]

(-1.83)

InDegree (all evaluations) —.043

[.006](7.07)

—.006

[.008](0.81)

OutDegree (all evaluations) —-.006[.004](-1.47)

—.012

[.004](2.97)

Intercept .88 -1.33 1.16 -.85

N 1,135 1,135 1,135 1,135

Clusters 398 398 398 398

Chi-Square 43.38 112.40 34.09 55.11

d.f. 1 3 1 3

Demography of Bad Behavior: More Citations Generate More Cites for Bad Behavior

NOTE – Poisson regression models predicting number of bad-behavior citations received or sent in the annual peerevaluations (0, 1, 2, 3 or more, as in Table 2). Brackets contain standard errors. Parentheses contain z-score teststatistics. Coefficients are estimated across the three annual panels (standard errors are adjusted up for correlationbetween relations cited by same person using the “cluster” option in Stata). InDegree is the total number of positiveand negative citations a banker receives in a year from within and beyond the study population (0 minimum, 78maximum, 20.11 average). OutDegree is the total number of positive and negative citations a banker makes in ayear within and beyond the study population (0 minimum, 213 maximum, 21.78 average).

Table 3 in Burt and Wang, 2019, "Network brokers and bad behavior."

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Retribution for Bad-Behavior Is Via Decreased Status, Which Lowers Returns to Brokerage

These are 1,135 annual observations of 398 bankers. Solid dots are “bad-behavior” bankers, who are bankers for whom more than 10% of citing colleagues this year say the banker ”needs improvement” on teamwork or integrity. Page 36 in last week's "Practice" handout shows returns to brokerage contingent on banker status.

Figure 4 in Burt and Wang, 2019, "Network brokers and bad behavior."

Network Status(eigenvector score / mean score)

Perc

ent o

f Col

leag

ues

Citi

ng B

anke

rW

ho S

ay “

Nee

ds Im

prov

emen

t”on

Tea

mw

ork

or In

tegr

ity

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Network Constraint

Z-Sc

ore

Com

pens

atio

nN

etw

ork

Stat

us(e

igen

vect

or s

core

/ m

ean

scor

e)

Sales Regional OpsProduct SupportAdministration

Regions indexedby shading, functions by shape

Network Constraint

R = .742

r = -.96 forhigh status

r = .03 forlow status

Audience Effect, II: Broker's Network Status Reassures or Concerns the Target Audience

Network status is on the vertical axis of the top graph. Status is defined in the same way that price is defined in the general

equilibrium model: Si = Sj zji Sj, where Si is status of person i, and zji is connection from j to i. Like price, status is only meaningful in reference to the status of some numeraire benchmark person.

Here, status is normalized at the mean, so a score of 1.0 indicates a person of average status in the network.

Sociogram is Figure 3.2 in Neighbor Networks and the graphs are from Figures 1 and 2 in Burt & Merluzzi discussion of the link between brokerage and network status as a reputation measures (2013, "Embedded brokerage," Research in the Sociology of Organizations)

Si = Sj zji Sjfrom page 36 "Brokerage" handout

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Bottom-Line Performance Advantage of Closed Networks: Reputation Mechanism Generates Trust and Efficiency

By creating a wide bandwidth for information flow, closure enhances communication and personal visibility within a group,

(1) which creates reputation costs for individuals who express opinion or behavior inconsistent with group standards,

(2) which makes in-group bad behavior less likely, so trust is less risky,

(3) which enhances productivity as people become self-aligning in extraordinary efforts to preserve their reputation (lowering costs for labor, monitoring, quality, and speed).

Reputation is the mechanism by which closure has its effect. Closure delivers value by creating a reputation cost for deviation from cooperative, extraordinary effort. In other words, closure grows the bottom line. As illustrated by the examples on the previous page, you often see closure in the teamwork associated with successful efficiency programs such as TQM, SixSigma, and Lean Manufacturing.

See Appendix IV for industry differences in performance association with closure (strong culture).

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In contrast to closure providing full information

("bandwidth"), closure in social networks

often creates selective reinforcement ("echo").

Third parties do not enhance information and protection so much as they create an echo that makes people feel more certain in their opinion of you.

Bias in selecting third parties (balance mechanism) — Faced with a decision about whether to trust you, the other person (ego) turns to trusted contacts before less close contacts for information on you. Trusted contacts are likely to have views similar to ego’s, so they are likely to report accounts of you consistent with ego’s own view. A preference for trusted third parties means that ego draws a sample of information on you consistent with his or her predisposition toward you.

Bias in what third parties say (etiquette mechanism) — It is polite in conversation to go along with the flow of sentiment being shared. We tend to share in conversations those of our facts consistent with the perceived predispositions of the people with whom we speak, and facts shared with other people are facts more likely to be remembered. The biased sample of facts shared in conversations becomes the population of information on, and so the reality of, the people discussed. For example (Higgans, 1992), an undergraduate subject is given a written description of a hypothetical person (Donald). The subject is asked to describe Donald to a second student who walks into the lab. The second person is a confederate who primes the conversation by leaking his predisposition toward Donald (“kinda likes” or “kinda dislikes” Donald). Subjects distort their descriptions of Donald toward the expressed predisposition. Positive predisposition elicits positive words about Donald’s ambiguous characteristics and neglect of negative concrete characteristics. Negative predisposition elicits negative words about Donald’s ambiguous characteristics and neglect of positive concrete characteristics. In sum, echo has the other person (ego) in vicarious play with you in gossip relayed by third parties. The sample of your behavior to which ego is exposed is biased by etiquette to be consistent with ego’s predisposition toward you. The result is that ego becomes ignorantly certain about you, and so more likely to trust or distrust you (as opposed to remaining undecided between the two extremes). Favorable opinion is amplified into trust. Doubt is amplified into distrust. The trust expected in strong relations is more likely and intense in relations embedded in strong third-party ties. The distrust expected in weak and negative relations is more likely and intense in relations embedded in strong third-party ties.

Third parties selectively repeat information and enforcement,

and so amplify relations

to extremes of trust and distrust.

See Section 4.1 inBrokerage and Closure,

Appendix V on why peopledon't discount gossip,

Dunbar (1996) Grooming, Gossip, and the Evolution of

Language.

Quidnunc (KWID-nunk, from Latin "what now", to English in 1709) - a person who seeks to know all the latest news or gossip. Example: I lowered my voice when I noticed that Nancy, the office quidnunc,

was standing right next to my cubicle hoping to overhear

what I was saying.

Civil Society

Felt Structural EquivalenceMobility (expats)

Highway ExperimentSingles Bar Rhetoric

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Echo can be seen in the fact that

closure amplifies trust and distrust

such that

relations are balanced in their

intensity (certainty about the

colleague),

not in their direction (positive or negative about

the colleague).

J

J

JJ

J JJ

J JJ J J J J

J JJ

JJ

J

J J

J J

J J

J

JJ

J

JJ

J J

J J

JJ

J

J

10 or

more

10 or

more

8 6 4 2 0 0 2 4 6 8

J banker colleague

J

+

-

+

-

Number of NegativeThird-Party Ties

J banker colleague

J

+

-

-

+

Number of PositiveThird-Party Ties

J JJ

J0%

2%

6%

8%

14%

10%

12%

16%

18%

4%

Percent cited this year for trust

(outstanding for cooperation and integrity)

Percent cited this year for distrust

(poor or adequate in cooperation and integrity)

All Bankers Who Could Have Been Cited for Substantial Business Contact(118,680 relationships)

From Figure 3.4 and 4.3 in Brokerage and Closure.See Appendix I on measuring network closure/embedding.

Ilustrative Evidence: Positive Relations More Likely in Closed Networks — but Negative Are More Likely Also.

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The Result Is Ignorant Certainty. Expect extreme opinions amplified by gossip in closed networks (regardless of the bandwidth focus on positive versus negative indirect connections through mutual contacts). Note that Internet algorithms exacerbate ignorant certainty by feeding people consistent content.

E

EEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE

EEEEEEEEE

EEEEEEEE

EEEEEEEE

J

J

JJ

1 2 3 4 5 . . .

E Stories they know

J Stories they shareExtremePositive

Ego’sInitial

ExtremeNegative

Ego’s sequence of conversations in which business leader is discussed

Distribution of the stories knownDistribution of the stories ego hears

Opi

nion

of B

usin

ess

Lead

er

GOSSIP(data filtered by etiquette)

CREATESIGNORANT CERTAINTY

Confidence intervalaround ego’s opinion

is the average datum,plus and minus the

standard error, which is .

Variance S2 is severely underestimatedby the stories shared with ego.

The number of observations N is increasing as ego hears more stories.

So the confidence interval around ego’s opinionbecomes tight, making ego feel certain,

but only because etiquette has filtered outdata inconsistent with ego’s opinion.

S √N

For discussion, read the footnotes on pages 98-99 and 106 of Brokerage and Closure. For selected illustration from a team of employees driven into ignorant certainty, see Levy, "The Nut Island Effect" (2001, HBR). Several examples are briefly described in Chapter 4 of Brokerage and Closure. On breaking out of ignorant uncertainty, see Appendix VII.

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Echo Amplifies Opinions toExtremes in

ClosedNetworks:Character

Assassination

These are explanations from managers in electronic

equipment and financial services; from Table 1 in Burt “Entrepreneurs, Distrust, and Third Parties” (1999, Shared Cognition in Organizations).

Numbers in parentheses to the left are the hostility scores on

next page.

Some Managers Blame the Situation (n = 88) ( 0) conflict of goals; what was good for him was bad for my group( 25) different management style and motivation( 0) I do not know; most likely a misunderstanding of my work rather than him personally( 25) influential; has different view of importance and implementation of my current function( 0) language barrier was very difficult( 38) little or no interest in my functional area yet is my boss’ boss( 0) managed a parallel sales organization with a different philosophy( 13) personally we got along wonderfully, but people in her organization have a difficult style( 0) representative of an organization that has goals and objectives in opposition to to mine( 0) she is under a lot of pressure and it spills over to the people around her

Some Managers Blame the Other Person’s Competence (n = 200) ( 63) almost always makes unreasonable schedule and cost demands( 13) does not understand his functional area( 25) her planning requests do not take into account time difference between NY and Europe(100) incompetent; can not make a decision and stick with it( 75) inexperienced; too emotional and immature to manage his organization( 50) micromanagement; poor understanding of our client group's needs( 25) mixed messages; no road map of clear direction( 0) not able to effectively affect change in organizational direction( 88) promoted too high, too fast; beyond her level of experience( 75) wastes people's time requiring work be done over 20-30 times, eventually doing it herself

Some Managers Blame the Other Person’s Character (n = 228) (100) dishonest; self-serving; no integrity(100) divide and conquer person; takes credit for my work; disempowers(100) egotistical; self-oriented; liar; worst manager I have ever met(100) jerk; power-hungry; political; etc....(100) lone ranger type; my way is the only way( 88) loses her temper and has a very unprofessional attitude with myself and external clients(100) manipulative - insensitive to people - dishonest(100) most territorial, uncooperative person I know(100) my boss and a charlatan(100) nasty, ill-tempered bitch(100) not trustworthy; a back-stabber( 88) person can not accept females(100) secretive; insecure( 88) shared private information with manager & peers(100) unethical; uncooperative; unpleasant

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Anger and Character Assassination in Closed Networks

From Figure 4.4 in Brokerage and Closure.

Blame Colleague’sCharacter (e.g., “unethical

charlatan,” “back-stabber,”“nasty, ill-tempered;’ n = 90)

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 0 20 40 60 80 100

Third-Party T ie s Surrounding Explained Relationship

Anger in the Explanation

(93.33 chi-square, 2 d.f., P < .001) (box shows 25%, mean, 75%; 11.56 t-test for

association with strong third-party ties, P < .001)

Weak third-party ties Strong third-party ties

79%

21%

47%

53%

4%

96%

Blame the Situation(e.g., “language barrier,”

“parallel organization,”conflict of goals;” n = 63)

Blame Colleague’sCompetence

(e.g., “promoted too high,too fast;” n = 103)

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Figure 5 in Burt and Luo, "Angry entrepreneurs" (2020, Social Networks at Work)

More Specifically, Who Is Proneto Blaming Broker Character?

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CA Index Predicts Difficulty and Blame (Plotted data are averages within .1 intervals of CA index.)

A. Who Is Cited as Most Difficult?

(Parentheses contain number of relations at each level of CA index.)

B. Who Blames Difficulty on Other’s Character?

(Parentheses contain number of respondents at each level of CA index.)

21.49 logit test statistic with700 respondent fixed effects4,464 observations

Coder 1 (8.53 test statistic)Coder 2 (6.20 test statistic)Adjudicated (7.39 test stat.)

700 observations

Figure 5 in Burt and Luo, "Angry entrepreneurs" (2020, Social Networks at Work)

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Despite a High Average Rate of Network Decay

(which implies volatile reputations because so much

of evaluation variance is in the pair of people connected rather than either individual,

see Appendix VIII),

Reputations Persist from

One Year to the Next

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0

Bankers (r = .61, t = 13.16)

Analysts (r = .55, t = 9.78)

Reputation this Year(average evaluation by colleagues)

Rep

uta

tio

n n

ext

Yea

r(a

vera

ge e

valu

atio

n by

col

leag

ues)

Figure 6.3 in Neighbor Networks

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Closure IsEssential toReputation

(James Coleman, 1988:S107,

"Reputation cannot arise in an open

structure.")

Positive and Negative

Reputations Quickly

Stabilize.

WhatImplicationsfor Building Reputation?

From Figure 4.6 in Brokerage and Closure, Figure 6.4 in Neighbor Networks.See Appendix I on measuring network closure/embedding.

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0 2 4 6 8 10 ormore

Co

rrel

atio

n B

etw

een

Ban

ker’

s R

epu

tati

on

Th

is Y

ear

and

Nex

t(1

3-pe

rson

sub

sam

ple)

1

2

3

4

1 2 3 4Rt

R(t+1)

1

2

3

4

1 2 3 4Rt

R(t+1)

Average Number of Mutual ContactsLinking Banker this Year with Colleagues

banker banker

e.g, sociogram bottom-right

Solid regression line and white dotsdescribe stability in positive reputations(8.1 routine t-test)

Dashed regression line and black dotsdescribe stability in negative reputations(6.9 routine t-test)

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Implications for Managing Reputation

From Burt (2019, Structural Holes in Virtual Worlds).

Questions:

When Closure Creates Bandwidth (e.g., Amazon, eBay)

When Closure Creates Echo (most social networks)

1. What makes your reputation persist?

Your consistent behavior, on which others are informed. The bandwidth provided by a closed network enhances information distribution and consistency.

2. Therefore, who owns your reputation?

You do. It is defined directly and indirectly by your behavior.

3. So, what are the implications for effectively building reputation?

Behave well and get the word out.

4. How many reputations do you have? (Does the relevant network distribute or filter information?)

One reputation, defined by your behavior. Variation can exist from imperfect information distribution or conflicting interests, but variation is resolved by finding the true, authentic you.

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Essential Closure Is Around Contacts, Maintaining the Reputations of Brokers and People in Closed Networks

Vertical axis is same as on page 24. Horizontal axis is average number of third party connections in the networks around banker's contacts (rounded to nearest whole number). Brokers are bankers with below-median network constraint this year. Regression lines go through averages plotted in the graph. Test statistics are adjusted down for correlation between repeated observations of the same bankers using the "cluster" option in Stata. Note that CA index on page 21 does not include closure around the person whose reputation is being evaluated.

Mea

n C

orre

latio

n fo

rB

anke

r’s R

eput

atio

nfr

om th

is Y

ear t

o N

ext

(13-

pers

on s

ubsa

mpl

e)

1

2

3

4

1 2 3 4

1

2

3

4

1 2 3 4

Mean Number of Third PartiesConnecting People in the Networksaround Banker’s Contacts this Year

banker banker

10 ormore

Brokers (8): Y = .248 + .202 log(X), n = 894, t = 13.0

Other (J): Y = -.047 + .274 log(X), n = 897, t = 15.1

X = 0 X = 1.5

From Burt (2019, Structural Holes in Virtual Worlds).

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Drawing together characteristics of closed networks in the discussions we've had, it is a short step to infer that the comfort and safety of working within a closed network, protected by the reputation mechanism, combined with the character assassination facilatated by sympathetic colleagues within the closed network, combine to create a social barrier between "us" inside the network versus "them" outside the network.

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ship

Foun

datio

ns (p

age

21)

From Figure 4 and Table 1 in Opper, Burt, and Holm (2018), "Social network and cooperation with strangers."

Network Closureand

Cooperationwith Strangers

The more closed the inside, the more suspicious the outside,

Especially for people who have been successful with a closed network.

A Behavioral Measure of Cooperation “Like you, the other player is CEO of a Chinese firm, and a citizen of China.”

Move by Other Player

Your Move: Cooperate Defect

Cooperate 250, 250 50, 400

Defect 400, 50 100, 100

Network Closure(measured by network constraint)

Observations are averages for 5-point intervals on X, with tails of X truncated for infrequency. Correlation is computed from

data in the graph. Solid/hollow dots are averages for more/less successful entrepreneurs (respectively distinguished by

above/below median profit last year).

r = -.87

Adam Aronson in 1985Co-founded Mark Twain Bancshares in 1970,

at age 52, and sold in 1997; also founded severalnonprofit organizations dedicated to the arts.

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See Erikson (1966), The Wayward Puritans, Boyer and Nissenbaum (1974), Salem Possessed, on social networks in the Salem witch hunt. See Brokerage and Closure on motivations in gossip (pp. 172-178), and Chapter 7 of Neighbor Networks on distrust of people who deemed not to be "mishpokhe."

Clockwise:

1692 map of Salem town and farms.

Examining accused witch for stigmata.

George Jacobs trial.

Especially When Those People Are Concerned or Afraidso they find security by enforcing the social boundary around people "like us" with witch hunts and mobbing. We define who we are in part by who we are not. The esprit of high-performance teams such as the Data General and Macintosh teams seen in class often comes at the price of designating a common enemy and castigating certain kinds of people as outsiders. More severe oppression of outsiders occurs when insiders are more insecure. Status insecurity, which can result from economic, political, social, even personal factors, is a traditional wellspring for witch hunts, known in contemporary organizations as "mobbing."

From Durkheim's (1893:102) classic study of identity and the division of labor: "Of course, we always love the company of those who feel and think as we do, but it is with passion . . . that we seek it immediately after discussions where our common beliefs have been greatly combated. Crime brings together upright consciences and concentrates them. We have only to notice what happens, particularly in a small town, when some moral scandal has just been commit-ted. They stop each other on the street, they visit each other, they seek to come together to talk of the event and to wax indignant in common." Hoffer (1951: 91) strips away the academic tone: ‘‘Mass movements can rise and spread without belief in a God, but never without belief in a devil. Usually the strength of a mass movement is proportionate to the vividness and tangibility of its devil.’’

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In day-to-day business, insider-outsider distinctions occur in casual conversation as gossip-enforced stereotypes about "those people," which undermines the cooperation and coordination needed to harvest the value of brokerage across groups.

A pathology of closed networks is that insiders can find community with one another by jointly denouncing outsiders — kinds of people not "as good as" insiders (see Appendix IX on mobbing). Derogatory stories about outsiders, shared in gossip among insiders, strengthen insider relationships — to the detriment of people deemed outsiders. An organization or market has a diversity problem when proposals are discounted not because of proposal content, but because of the kind of person or group making the proposal. The youth of the young man in the video proposing FedEx to his older colleagues was an example in the previous session.

How can you identify the problem when you're not getting through to a target audience? Is it me, or is it them discounting people like me? Here are the three indicator metrics, in order of increasing sophistication, used to answer the question:

Quotas (Representative numbers at each grade? journalists)

Returns to Human Capital (Equal pay for equal work? lawyers)

Returns to Social Capital (Equal opportunity for equal work? executives)

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Early

Pro

mot

ion

(in y

ears

)

C. Diversity

Women and Junior Menr = .30

t = 3.38P < .01

Senior Menr = -.40

t = -5.56P < .001

Network Constraint

Early

Pro

mot

ion

(in y

ears

)

"That's an excellent suggestion, Miss Triggs. Perhaps one of the men here would like to suggest it." (Punch, 8 January, 1988)

Diversity Problem Here is in the Returns to Social Capital, not Returns to Human Capital

Recall that trust & reputation are critical to successful network brokers. Every would-be broker is suspect from time to time, so occasional brokerage moves are bound to fail. But a category of people systematically denied returns to brokerage indicates a gossip-enforced barrier to coordination, as illustrated by the women and junior men here.

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You

2

4

5

6

7CliqueC = 54.0(.80 density,

.00 hierarchy)

BowtieC = 46.3(.40 density,

.00 hierarchy)

PartnerC = 51.7(.40 density,

.21 hierarchy)

BrokerC = 23.6(.07 density,

.05 hierarchy)

You

2

45

6

7

You 2

4

56

7

You

2

4

56

7

3

3

3

3

Common Network FormsWhat Is the Active Ingredient

in Closure that is the Advantage for Outsiders?

from Burt, "Sometimes they don't want to hear it from a person like you," (2012, L'Impresa)

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Building a

Partner Network

When a strategic partner

sponsors your access to structural holes,

it creates hierarchy in your network.

You Connect with a Strategic Partner

So You End Up with a Network that is Hierarchical in the sense that One Contact Poses More Constraint

than the Others. Your partner is the source of constraint,

you

you

Strategic Partner Introduces You toHis or Her Contacts, which Can Connect

You across Structural Holes

and the Resulting Hierarchical Structure around you Can Be Discussed as a “Partner” Network.

you

from Burt, "Gender of social capital" (1998, Rationality and Society) and Figure 7.5 in Neighbor Networks.

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from Burt, "Gender of social capital" (1998, Rationality and Society) and Figure 7.3 in Neighbor Networks. See Appendix XI for other examples of partner networks.

Discovering HierarchyJane and Karen are in the graphs on page 30, subject to similar levels of network constraint.

Only their contacts are included in these sociograms.

1

5

46

37

289bold line is especially

close relationship, dashed line is close,

no line is distant relation or strangers

Jane’sboss

Sam, prior bossof Jane’s boss

Jane, promoted to seniormanager 9 years early

Constraint Person 13.0 1. Prior boss of her boss 3.7 2. Jane’s boss 3.3 3. colleague 3.0 4. contact 2.4 5. contact 1.1 6. contact 1.1 7. contact 2.0 8. contact 1.8 9. contact

Karen, promoted tosenior manager 7 years late

Constraint Person 4.5 1. colleague 3.7 2. colleague 4.2 3. colleague 3.6 4. colleague 5.5 5. Karen’s boss 4.5 6. colleague 3.8 7. colleague 3.8 8. colleague 2.8 9. colleague

network constraint = 34.0network size = 9 contactsnetwork density = 36.9 (density z-score = -0.09)network hierarchy = 0.7 (hierarchy z-score = -1.10)

network constraint = 31.3network size = 9 contactsnetwork density = 27.8 (density z-score = -1.03)network hierarchy = 15.9 (hierarchy z-score = 2.06)

Karen’sboss

1

5

46

37

289

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Network MetricsReminder

Network Constraint decreases with number of contacts (size), increases with strength of connections between contacts (density), and increases with

sharing the network (hierarchy).

This is a page in Appendix IV to the first handout, "Brokerage." Appendix IV explains size, density,

hierarchy, and constraint measures of access to structural holes. Graph above plots density

and hierarchy for 1,989 networks observed in six management populations (aggregated in Figure 2.4 in Neighbor Networks to illustrate returns to

brokerage). Dot-circles are executives (MD or more in finance, VP or more otherwise). Hollow circles are

lower ranks. Executives have significantly larger, less dense, and less hierarchical networks. To keep the diagrams simple, relations with ego are not presented.

E B

D C

A

CliqueNetworks

3100

093

3131311.00.0

5100

065

13131313131.00.0

10100

0361.00.0

PartnerNetworks

3677

84

4420201.70.5

5402559

366666

3.43.0

102050418.2

18.0

BrokerNetworks

30033

1111113.03.0

50020

44444

5.010.0

100010

10.045.0

SmallNetworks

contactsdensity x 100

hierarchy x 100constraint x 100

from:ABC

nonredundant contactsbetweenness (holes)

LargerNetworks

contactsdensity x 100

hierarchy x 100constraint x 100

from:ABCDE

nonredundant contactsbetweenness (holes)

Still LargerNetworks

contactsdensity x 100

hierarchy x 100constraint x 100

nonredundant contactsbetweenness (holes)

E B

D C

A

A

C B

A

C D

A

C B

A

C B

E B

D C

A

Network Density

Net

wor

k H

iera

rchy

Partners

CliquesBrokers

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Three Broad Categories of Networks

Can Be Distinguished

Broker(lower left)

Clique(lower right)

Partner(top half)

This is Figure 4.8 in Burt (1992), Structural Holes.

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0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

-2.0

-1.0

0.0

1.0

High-RankMen

Women andEntry-Rank Men

(71) (66)(N) (45) (46) (23)(33)

Mea

n E

arly

Pro

mot

ion

(in y

ears

)P

erce

nt M

anag

ers

42%

19%

39% 39%

20%

40%

1.4 years

-.3 years

-1.8 years

-.7 years

-1.8 years

0.9 years

Kinds of Networks AreSimilarly Likely across

Kinds of Managers (χ2 = 0.15, 2 d.f., P = .93)

Kinds of Networks HaveDifferent Consequencesfor Kinds of Managers

(F = 3.77, 5-278 d.f., P < .01)

Broker networkClique (closed dense network)Partner network (closed hierarchical)

Partnering Is the Active Ingredient that LinksNetwork Constraint with Success

for Outsiders

(In other words, pick a network for what it can do, not for the kind of people who picked it in the past.)

from Burt, "Gender of social capital" (1998, Rationality and Society) and Figure 7.4 in Neighbor Networks.

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In Sum,There Are

ThreeNetwork Forms

ofSocial Capital

See Appendix X on seeming contradiction between strategic

partners and secondhand brokerage.

An asterisk here indicates a page in the initial handout,

"Brokerage."

from Burt, "Gender of social capital"(1998, Rationality & Society)

Broker Network: Create Valuesparse, flat structureindependent relations sustained by you (e.g., Bob & Yanjieon page 3*, Robert on page 6*, AFTER on page 11*)abundant structural holes, low redundancy,creates information access and control benefitsassociated with successful insiders

you

Partner Network: Sponsored Access to Create Valuesparse, center-periphery structureties sustained jointly by you and strategic partner(e.g., Jane on page 33 and managers on pages 62and 63 in this handout)structural holes borrowed from strategic partner mean second-hand information access and control benefitsassociated with successful outsiders (and unsuccessful insiders)

you

Clique Network: Deliver Valuedense, flat structure

interconnected relations sustain one another form you(e.g., James on page 6*, BEFORE on page 11*,

or Karen on page 33 in this handout)no structural holes, high redundacy,

creates social support, butminimal information access and control benefits

associated with unsuccessful insiders

you

NetworkIndices

N = 4D = 0.0H = 0.0C = 25.0

N = 4D = 100.0

H = 0.0C = 76.6

N = 4D = 50.0H = 16.8C = 68.4

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The Situation Can Be Difficult To See

from Burt, "Gender of social capital" (1998, Rationality & Society).

-2.0

-1.0

0.0

1.0

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%Everything considered, my contact network is as effectiveas any at my level within the company.

Mea

n E

arly

Pro

mot

ion

(in y

ears

)P

erce

nt M

anag

ers

Say

Yes

1.4 years

-.3 years

-1.8 years

-.7 years

-1.8 years

0.9 years

65%

52%

66%69%

74%

65%

Kinds of Networks HaveDifferent Consequencesfor Kinds of Managers

(F = 3.77, 5-278 d.f., P < .01)

Regardless, ManagersBelieve That They Have

an Effective Network(χ2 = 6.97, 5 d.f., P = .22)

(and no association between early promotionand manager's belief that his or her network is

effective; 1.63 t-test, P = .20)

Broker networkClique (closed dense network)Parner network (closed hierarchical)

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SOMEPRACTICALQUESTIONS

1. Who should one pick to be a strategic partner?

a. People who need a strategic partner are better served by someone like themselves (e.g., women sponsor women, Asians sponsor Asians, etc.).

b. People who need a strategic partner would be well served to develop their boss as a strategic partner.

c. Explain the difference between the following two statements (consider page 32): J People with a partner network, have borrowed someone’s network. J People who have borrowed someone’s network, have partner networks.

2. In the short-run, what does one have to pay?

3. What is the long-term cost?

Leader TargetPopulation

StrategicPartner

What skills learned? (brokerage personal processes)

Appreciation? (sense of debt for gift received)

What if insiders are right about people like you? (See Appendix XII on outsiders coming to believe the insider stereotype of outsiders, and

HBR paper by Kets de Vries, "The dangers of feeling like a fake.")

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Five Summary PointsRULE 3 of Social Capital: Reputations Emerge from Gossip in Closed Networks, which Generates a Sense of Community and Efficiency as a By-Product.Network closure enhances communication and individual visibility within a group, (a) which creates reputation costs for individuals who express opinion or behavior inconsistent with group standards, (b) which makes it less risky to trust within the group (page 7), (c) which enhances productivity as people become self-aligning in extraordinary efforts (page 10). Higher productivity comes from lower costs for labor, management, and time.

CAUTION: The Reputation Mechanism by which Closure Delivers Value Can Have a Side Effect of Groupthink, a Passive "waiting for orders," and so Value Destruction. When information moves unaffected through a network closure creates wide bandwidth, facilitating trust and efficiency. However, social networks involve an etiquette filter. The more polite the people, the more etiquette affects what is shared, and closure produces echo, not bandwidth. Shared information is selected for empathy between gossipers, not accuracy about the person or object discussed. The result is ignorant certainty (page 18) and you no longer own your reputation — it is owned by the people who gossip about you (page 25). The ignorant certainty fostered by closed-network echo can become rigid stereotypes about people and practices outside the group (with predictable problems for the realized value of diversity, pages 30 ff. and page 64).

Insiders, Outsiders, and Gossip-Enforced Barriers to CoordinationPeople in a group can find community with one another by jointly denouncing outsiders — kinds of people not "as good as" insiders. Derogatory stories about outsiders, shared in gossip between insiders, strengthen insider relations. When people or groups deemed outsiders try to be network brokers, they are seen as rising above their station. Empirically, outsiders can be identified by their negligible or negative returns to brokerage (pages 30, 64). The more closed the network, the more likely there is a distinction made between insiders and outsiders. Examples discussed in class involved outsiders defined by age, gender, nationality, and legacy organization (also eye color, geographic location, and just being difficult).

Work-Around: Borrow the Network of an Insider BrokerAffiliation with a broker creates a partner network, giving you access to structural holes in the partner's network (pages 31-33, and 62-63). The insider's reputation makes the outsider "not like" other outsiders. It is important that the insider is a network broker, not someone in a closed network. Advantage continues to be a matter of access to structural holes, but now brokers face a make or buy decision: make (your own network) to forage where you are an accepted insider, buy (more specifically, borrow) a partner’s network to forage in someone else’s domain.

IMPLICATION: Optimum NetworksNo network is optimum for all tasks. Pick a network for what it can do (page 37), not for the kind of people who have picked it. Build a broker network for creating value when you are an insider, a closed (clique) network for aligning people to deliver value, a partner network for creating value when you need support from sources leery of people like you.

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AppendixMaterials

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Appendix I. Measuring Network Closure/EmbeddingLet a 2-step connection refer to a connection between two people through a mutual contact. For example, the “1” under “D” for Jim in the first row of the table refers to person 4 in the sociogram. Person 4 is the only contact linked directly to Jim and person 1. The “3” underneath the “1” in the table refers to three mutual contacts between Jim and person 2. The mutual contacts are persons 4, 6, and 7. Two-step connections are this chapter’s measure of direct structural embedding. Indirect structural embedding is measured in this chapter with 3-step connections. For example, the “1” under “I” for Jim in the second row of the table refers to persons 5 and 3 in the sociogram. Jim’s connections to 2 through persons 4, 6, and 7 are 2-step connections. Jim’s fourth contact, person 5, is not connected to person 2, but is connected to 3 who is connected to 2, so Jim has a 3-step connection to person 2 via person 5. In graph theoretic terms, I am looking for geodesics linking two people through one intermediary (direct structural embedding) or two intermediaries (indirect structural embedding). Since I want to know how indirect embedding adds to direct embedding, I only count distant connections in the absence of closer connections. For example, Jim is connected to person 6 who is connected to 3 who is connected to 2, which is an 3-step connection between Jim and person 2. However, Jim reaches 2 through 6 directly, so the table reports one 3-step connection (the 5-3-2 connection).

This is Figure 2 in Burt, "Closure and stability" in The Missing Links: Formation and Decay of Economic Networks, edited by J. Rauch (2007 Russell Sage Foundation). For elaboration and illustration of indirect connections, see Chapter 7 in the on-line network textbook, Introduction to

Social Network Methods, by Robert A. Hanneman and Mark Riddle (http://faculty.ucr.edu/~hanneman/nettext).

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

Jim

James

Mean per

Contact

(in box)

D

1

3

3

0

0

0

0

3

1

1

I

3

1

1

3

2

3

2

0

2

3

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3

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3

3

1

2

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2

1

1

I

0

0

0

0

3

2

3

2

3

3

Jim James

Figure 2.

Network Closure from Direct and Indirect Embedding

Number of 2-Step (Direct) and

3-Step (Indirect) Connections

0.0 2.5 3.0 0.0

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Appendix II: Closure/Embedding and the Theory of the Firm

The Source is John Commons’ Five-Player Unit

for Transactional Analysis

(1) MAY — range of behaviors allowed in relationship

(2) MUST — minimum obligations of relationship

(3) CAN — minimum rights in relationship

(4) CANNOT — behaviors prohibited in relationship

fifth player

Graphic is from Figure 7.1 in Structural Holes (Burt, 1992), see John R. Commons (1924), Legal Foundations of Capitalism, chapter on transactions, which set a stage for Coase's (1937) nobel-winning "The Nature of the Firm" in Economica, and subsequent work on "competitive strategy."

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Appendix III: Closure and Learning Curvesby Michael Rothschild

Bruce Henderson certainly didn’t look like a revolutionary. No tattered army fatigues. No fiery rhetoric. He favored starched white shirts and pinstripe suits. He spoke softly, in the measured, almost halting, manner of a southern gentleman. But Bruce Henderson had the “right stuff” of a revolutionary — profoundly new ideas that change the way society works. The originator of modern corporate strategy and founder of The Boston Consulting Group (BCG), Bruce Henderson died this summer in his hometown of Nashville, Tennessee. He was 77.

Trained as an engineer, Bruce Henderson became fascinated with economic ideas for terribly practical business reasons. Back in the days before he established the discipline of corporate strategy, making the big decisions about a company’s long-term future was pretty much a “seat of the pants” affair. The CEO, with perhaps a few senior executives and board members, would sit around and talk until they came up with a plan that seemed sensible. “Bet-your-company” decisions like launching a new product line, acquiring a subsidiary, or shutting down a factory, were made on little more than intuition.

A rigorous analytical approach to making key decisions was impossible, because there were no guiding strategic prin-ciples, no theories that could be turned into quantifiable models. Standard economic models existed, of course, but every sophisticated businessman knew that the economists’ mythical kingdom of “perfect competition” bore no relationship to reality. To turn corporate strategy into a credible discipline — and consulting assignments that major clients would pay major money for — Henderson had to find a hard link between business and underlying economic forces.

Henderson’s search began with highly detailed analyses of production costs. Early in his career, while a purchasing manager for a Westinghouse division, he wondered why suppliers who produced their goods in virtually identical factories often put in bids at dramatically different prices. Economic theory said it wouldn’t happen. Producers using similar capital equipment were supposed to have similar unit costs and offer roughly the same prices. But economic theory was wrong. In case after case, actual unit costs varied dramatically among suppliers. Henderson didn’t know why, but he had zeroed in on the crucial question.

Then, in 1966, shortly after he founded BCG, a study for Texas Instruments’ semiconductor division revealed the answer. When TI’s unit cost data for a particular part was plotted against the company’s accumulated production experience, the cost of the part declined quite predictably. For example, if the 1000th unit off the line had cost $100 to make, the 2000th unit would cost 80% as much, or $80. By the time the 4000th unit was produced, it would cost just $64 ($80 x 80%). Every time cumula-tive experience doubled, unit costs dropped about 20%. Though it’s “old hat” among today’s high-tech managers, the notion of predictably declining costs was a radical concept when Bruce Henderson began teaching companies about the “experience curve” a quarter century ago.

(over)

This article appeared in a longer form in Upside (December 1992, Copyright 1992 The Bionomics Institute).

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During the 1970s, Henderson’s concept became the foundation of modern corporate strategy. For the first time, it was possible to explain why building a factory just like your competitor’s didn’t mean you could match his costs. If he had a head start in experience, you could wind up chasing him down the experience curve. If you both sold at the market price, he’d make money on every unit, while you’d be lucky to break-even.

Once the experience curve was understood, the importance of being the first one to enter a new market became clear. Properly executed, the preemptive strike could mean long-term market leadership and long-term profits. Similarly, the experience curve explained why defending market share mattered. Raising prices to boost short-term profits sold off market share, slowed experience growth, and often handed over low cost leadership to an aggressive competitor. It’s a scenario that’s been played out hundreds of times as “experience conscious” Japanese competitors overtook their “profit conscious” American rivals.

Simply put, Bruce Henderson’s experience curve explained how an industry’s past shapes its future. Where conventional economics banished history by blithely assuming that “technology holds constant,” Henderson used the experience curve to show how the new insights generated by practical experience translated into higher productivity and lower costs. Where conventional economics taught the “law of diminishing returns,” Bruce Henderson taught the “law of increasing returns.” Where mainstream economics taught that marginal unit costs must rise at some point, Henderson showed that marginal unit costs can continually fall.

When the cost/performance potential of a particular technology is nearly exhausted, an industry will shift to a substitute technology and begin a new “experience curve.” For example, even as the airlines have shifted from one aircraft technology to the next, their cost/seat-mile keeps falling, opening up air travel to the entire population. By substituting new knowledge for labor and materials, experience-driven innovation keeps pushing costs down. As Henderson put it, when a firm is properly managed, its “product costs will go down forever.”

Though he concentrated on the practical problems of clients, Henderson knew full well that the experience curve had undermined the intellectual foundation of mainstream economics. In 1973, he wrote: The experience curve is a contradiction of some of the most basic assumptions of classical economic theory. All economics assumes that there is a finite minimum cost which is a function of scale. This is usually stated in terms of all cost/volume curves being either L shaped or U shaped. It is not true except for a moment in time. . . Our entire concept of competition, anti-trust, and non-monopolisitc free enterprise is based on a fallacy.

I’m often asked whether the work of the great Austrian economist F.A. Hayek inspired me to write Bionomics. Despite my unending admiration for Hayek, the short answer is no, I’d never read him. Bruce Henderson inspired me to rethink the received economic wisdom. Without his “experience curve,” there is no final and fully satisfying explanation for falling costs, rising incomes, and the phenomenon of economic growth. More than anyone else, he made it both possible and necessary for economic thinkers to break free of the static, zero-sum mentality that has gripped the “dismal science” for 200 years. Bruce Henderson gave us the key to “positive-sum” economics. Thanks for the revolution, Bruce.

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Detail on Learning Curves,Productivity on the WW II Liberty Ships

from Figure 3.7 in Brokerage and Closure

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Sequence of Shipin Shipyard Production

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At the start of the programme some of Liberty

Ships suffered catastrophic fracture, though not necessarily so dramatically as the Schenectady. The stern of SS

John P Gaines is pictured here after the vessel split in two off the Aleutians in 1943. As noted in

website, later design changes reduced the fracture rate to 5%.

30%

Peter

Thompson's

The general technological fraternity was unaware of Fracture Mechanics principles when these ships were designed, and the reason for the disastrous fractures was a mystery since conventional safety assessments were unremarkable and the extremely short lives ruled out conventional fatigue as the culprit. It later became clear that the failures could be attributed to:

Recent recoveries from the Titanic suggest that poor steels in association with low temperatures might have contributed to that disaster too, although this vessel was

riveted throughout.

- the all- welded construction which eliminated crack- arresting plate boundaries which are present in riveted joints - the presence of crack- like flaws in welded joints performed by inexperienced operators pressed into service by the

exigencies of the programme - the use of materials whose low resistance to crack advance ( toughness ) was further reduced by low temperatures.

Closer to home, these photographs of the SS Bridgewater a 29,000 ton Liberian tanker, were shot by the author in Fremantle harbour early in 1962. The vessel though not a Liberty Ship broke in two after a cyclone in the Indian Ocean 400km west of Fremantle. All members of the crew were rescued, and the stern towed back to port.

(click to enlarge),

The first shot shows the what's left of the vessel, down at the stern and tied up at the wharf with a

crowd of curious onlookers examining the fracture just for'ard

of the ventilator.

A close-up of portion of the transverse fracture is shown on the

right. The author also was ignorant of Fracture Mechanics at

the time, so the shots are perhaps not so illuminating as they

might have been. However the photograph suggests strongly that the deck plating fractured instantaneously in

a brittle fashion with none of the ductile tearing which is evident elsewhere.

(arrowed)

10/31/05 10:02 AMDANotes: Fracture mechanics: Maritime examples

Page 2 of 3http://www.mech.uwa.edu.au/DANotes/fracture/maritime/maritime.html

Stern of the SS John P. Gainesin the Aleutian Islands

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SOURCE: Graphs to the left are from Stern and Stalk (1998: pp. 14, 19), Perspectives on Strategy. The one below is from Thurstone (1919, p. 45) "The learning curve equation," Psychological Monographs. The association below can be described as Y = aXb, where Y is words typed in four minutes, X is cumulative words typed (at 250/page), and the estimated slope b is .42 (cf. slope estimates of .11 to .29 for ship production in Rapping, 1965, p. 65, "Learning and World War II production functions" Review of Economics and Statistics).

Research on semiconductor learning curves shows 20% decrease in cost with cumulative volume doubling, learning three times faster from one's own experience than from experience in another organization, and spillovers between organizations as likely within as between

countries (Irwin and Klenow, "Learning-by-doing spillovers in the semiconductor industry," 1994, Journal of Political Economy).

Some Example Learning Curves

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Learning curves fromArgote’s 1999 book,

Organizational Learning.Units of cumulative output are omitted to protect confidentiality. Pizzadelivery is from page 9 in book. Squawks per aircraft is from page 8(originally in 1993 British Journal of Social Psychology, “Group andorganizational learning curves”). Hours per vehicle is from page 21

(originally in 1990 Science, “Learning curves in manufacturing.”).

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Ronald S

. Burt is the

Hobart W

. William

sP

rofessor of Sociology

and Strategy at the

University of C

hicagoG

raduate School of

Business, and the S

hellP

rofessor of Hum

anR

esources at INS

EA

D.

His w

ork describesthe social structure ofcom

petition: network

mechanism

s that ordercareers, organizations,and m

arkets.

When is C

orporate Culture

a Com

petitive Asset?

Sum

mary

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------A

dvocates speak of corporate culture affecting the bottom line, but

the cited evidence is rarely more than anecdotes, and then

inconclusive. Som

e companies doing w

ell have strong cultures, butother com

panies do well w

ith nothing in the way of shared beliefs

that could be termed a corporate culture. S

o why w

orry about it? Itis to be w

orried about because in certain industries, a strong culturecan be a pow

erful advantage over competitors. T

he complication is

that in other industries, culture is irrelevant to performance. T

hetrick is to know

when culture is a com

petitive asset and when it is

not. Ron B

urt explains with em

pirical evidence how and w

here astrong corporate culture can be a com

petitive asset. Know

ing thecontingent value of culture can be a guide to deciding w

hen to investin the culture of your ow

n organization, when to protect the culture

of an organization merged into your ow

n, and when not to w

orryabout culture.

Culture is to a corporation w

hat it is to any othersocial system

, a selection of beliefs, myths, and

practices shared by people such that they feelinvested in, and part of, one another. P

uttingaside the specific beliefs that em

ployees share,the culture of an organization is strong to theextent that em

ployees are strongly held togetherby their shared belief in the culture. C

ulture isw

eak to the extent that employees hold w

idelydifferent, even contradictory, beliefs so as to feeldistinct from

one another.

Culture effect in theory

In theory, a strong corporate culture can enhancecorporate econom

ic performance by reducing

costs.T

here are lo

wer m

on

itorin

g co

sts. Th

eshared beliefs, m

yths, and practices that definea co

rpo

rate cultu

re are an in

form

al con

trol

mech

anism

that co

ord

inates em

plo

yee effo

rt.E

mployees deviating from

accepted practice canbe detected and adm

onished faster and less vis-ibly by friends than by the boss. T

he firm’s goals

and practices are more clear, w

hich lessens em-

ployee uncertainty about the risk of taking in-ap

pro

priate actio

n so

they

can resp

on

d m

ore

qu

ickly

to ev

ents. N

ew em

plo

yees are m

ore

effectively brought into coordination with es-

tablished employees because they are less likely

to hear conflicting accounts of the firm’s goals

and practices. Moreover, the control of corpo-

rate culture is less imposed on em

ployees thanit is socially constructed by them

, so employee

motivation and m

orale should be higher thanw

hen control is exercised by a superior throughbureaucratic lines of authority.

There are low

er labor costs. For reasons of

social p

ressure fro

m p

eers, the attractio

n o

fpursuing a transcendental goal larger than theday-to-day dem

ands of a job, or the exclusionof em

ployees who do not feel com

fortable with

the corporate culture, employees w

ork harderand for longer hours in an organization w

ith astrong corporate culture. In other w

ords, a strongco

rpo

rate cultu

re extracts u

np

aid lab

or fro

mem

ployees.T

hese savings mean that com

panies with a

stronger corporate culture can expect to enjoyhigher econom

ic performance. W

hatever them

agnitude of the economic enhancem

ent, it isthe "culture effect."

Evidence is m

ixedT

he most authoritative evidence of the culture

effect comes from

a study by Harvard B

usinessS

cho

ol p

rofesso

rs Joh

n K

otter an

d Jam

esH

eskett, based on data published in the appendixo

f their 1

99

2 b

oo

k, C

orp

orate C

ultu

re and

Perfo

rman

ce. Measu

res of p

erform

ance an

dstrong culture are listed for a large sam

ple offirm

s in a variety of broad industries analogousto the industry categories in F

ortune magazine.

To

measu

re relative stren

gth

of cu

lture,

Kotter and H

eskett mailed questionnaires in the

early 1980s to the top six officers in each sample

company, asking them

to rate (on a scale of 1 to5) the strength of culture in other firm

s selectedfor study in their industry. T

hree indicators ofstrong culture w

ere listed: (1) managers in the

firm com

monly speak of their com

pany’s styleor w

ay of doing things, (2) the firm has m

adeits values know

n through a creed or credo andh

as mad

e a seriou

s attemp

t to en

cou

rage

managers to follow

them, and (3) the firm

hasb

een m

anag

ed acco

rdin

g to

lon

g-stan

din

gpolicies and practices other than those of justthe incum

bent CE

O. R

atings were averaged to

define the strength of a firm's corporate culture,

which can be adjusted for the industry average

to make com

parisons across industries.

For exam

ple, Johnson & Johnson is cited as

benefiting from its strong culture in the rapid

recall of Tylenol w

hen poisoned capsules were

discovered on shelves. In the Kotter and H

eskettstudy, Johnson &

Johnson received an averagera

ting

o

f 4

.61

, th

e

hig

he

st g

ive

n

to

ap

harm

aceutical firm

in th

e stud

y, 1.0

7 p

oin

tsabove the 3.51 average for pharm

aceutical firms,

so you see the company to the far right of the

graph below (G

raph 1).R

elative economic perform

ance is plottedon the vertical axis of the graph. K

otter andH

eskett list th

ree measu

res repo

rted to

yield

similar conclusions about the culture effect: net

inco

me g

row

th fro

m 1

97

7 to

19

88

, averag

ereturn on invested capital from

1977 to 1988,and average yearly increases in stock prices from1977 to 1988. F

or illustration here, I use averagereturn on invested capital.

For exam

ple, Johnson & Johnson enjoyed a

17

.89

% rate o

f return

ov

er the d

ecade, b

ut

ph

armaceu

ticals is a hig

h-retu

rn in

du

stry in

which 17.89%

was slightly below

average, soyou see Johnson &

Johnson below zero on the

vertical axis of the graph (17.89 minus 20.21

equals the Johnson & Johnson score of -2.32).

The point is the lack of association betw

eeneconom

ic performance and corporate culture.

Graph 1 contains pharm

aceutical firms, along

with

samp

le firms fro

m b

everag

es, perso

nal

care, and comm

unications — a total of 30 firm

s.N

o extreme cases obscure an association. T

hereis sim

ply no association. The correlation of .06

is almost the .00 you w

ould get if performance

were perfectly independent of culture. K

ottera

nd

He

ske

tt rep

ort a

sligh

tly h

igh

er .3

1co

rrelation

across all o

f their firm

s, bu

t the

correlation was still sufficiently w

eak for themto conclude in their book that: "the statem

ent'stro

ng

cultu

res create excellen

t perfo

rman

ce'appears to be just plain w

rong."

Contingent value of culture

There is a pow

erful culture effect in fact, but itoccurs elsew

here in the economy. G

raph 2, atthe top of the next page, has the sam

e axes asG

raph

1 b

ut p

lots d

ata on

samp

le com

pan

iesfrom

other industries — airlines, apparel, m

otorvehicles, and textiles. T

he 36 sample firm

s fromth

ese ind

ustries sh

ow

a close asso

ciation

between perform

ance and culture; the strongerthe corporate culture, the higher the return oninvested capital.

The key point is illustrated in G

raph 3, which

sho

ws a p

redictab

le shift fro

m cu

lture b

eing

economically irrelevant (G

raph 1) to it being acom

petitive asset (Graph 2). N

ineteen industriesfrom

the Kotter and H

eskett study are orderedon the vertical axis of G

raph 3 by the correlationbetw

een performance and culture. A

pparel isat the top of the graph w

ith its .76 correlationb

etw

ee

n

cu

lture

a

nd

p

erfo

rma

nc

e.

Co

mm

un

ication

s is at the b

otto

m w

ith its

negligible -.15 correlation.T

he horizontal axis of Graph 3 is a m

easureof m

arket competition in each industry. U

singd

ata in th

e pu

blic d

om

ain (p

rimarily

the

benchmark input-output tables published by the

U.S

. Departm

ent of Com

merce; sim

ilar data areav

ailable fo

r agg

regate in

du

stries in m

ost

adv

anced

econ

om

ies), mark

et com

petitio

n is

deriv

ed fro

m th

e netw

ork

effect on

ind

ustry

profit margins of industry buying and selling

with

su

pp

liers

an

d

cu

stom

ers

(thu

s th

e"effective" level of com

petition). The effective

level of market com

petition is high in an industryto the extent that producers show

lower profit

margins than expected from

the network of their

transactions with suppliers and custom

ers (form

easurement details see, under F

urther Reading,

my 1999 paper on com

petition and contingencyw

ith Miguel G

uilarte at the Fielding Institute,

Holly R

aider at INS

EA

D, and Y

uki Yasuda at

Rikkyo U

niversity). G

raph 3 shows that m

arket and culture arecom

plements. T

o the left, where producers face

an effectively low level of m

arket competition,

culture is not a competitive asset. T

hese are the30 sam

ple firms in G

raph 1 taken from the four

Relative C

ulture Strength

(firm score - industry average)

0.0-1.0

-2.01.0

2.0

Y =

.00 + .34 X

r = .06

t = 0.3

Beverages

Pharm

aceuticalsP

ersonal Care

Com

munications

Relative Return on Invested Capital(firm score - industry average)

15%

10%5%0%

-5%

-10%

-15%

Johnson &

Johnson

Graph 1

Scheduled to

appear in anA

utumn, 1999

series in theF

inancial Times

on Mastering

Strategy

from the

Autum

n, 1999Financial Tim

esseries on“M

asteringStrategy”

Appendix IV: Snipits on B

usiness Culture

Stra

tegi

c Lea

ders

hip

Clos

ure,

Trus

t, an

d Re

puta

tion

(pag

e 50)

Fu

rther read

ing

:

J. P. Kotter and J. L

Heskett (1992)

Corporate C

ulture andP

erformance.

R. S

. Burt, S

. M.

Gabbay, G

. Holt, and

P. Moran (1994)

"Contingent

organization as anetw

ork theory: theculture-perform

ancecontingency function,"A

cta Sociologica

37:345-370.

J. B. S

ørensen (1998)

"The strength of

corporate culture andthe reliability of firmperform

ance," (http://gsbw

ww

.uchicago.edu/fac/jesper.sorensen/research).

R. S

. Burt, M

. Guilarte,

H. J. R

aider and Y.Y

asuda (1999)"C

ompetition,

contingency, and theexternal structure ofm

arkets," (http://gsbw

ww

.uchicago.edu/fac/ronald.burt/research; also here isthe industry appendixfrom

which the results

in the box are taken).

industries en

closed

by a d

otted

line in

the lo

wer-

left of G

raph 3

. These are co

mplex

, dynam

icm

ark

ets su

ch

as th

e c

om

mu

nic

atio

ns a

nd

ph

arm

aceu

tical in

du

stries, in

wh

ich

pro

fitm

argin

s are good, b

ut co

mpan

ies hav

e to stay

nim

ble to

take ad

van

tage o

f the n

ext sh

ift in th

em

arket. T

here is co

mpetitio

n to

be su

re (see the

1999 p

aper), b

ut th

e poin

t here is th

at a strong

co

rpo

rate

cu

lture

is n

ot a

sso

cia

ted

with

econ

om

ic perfo

rman

ce. (My

colleag

ue at th

eU

niv

ersity

of C

hic

ag

o, Je

sper S

øren

sen

, has

studied

these firm

s over tim

e, and d

escribes in

his 1

998 p

aper o

n reliab

le perfo

rman

ce how

the

cultu

re effect is weak

er for firm

s more su

bject

to m

arket ch

ange.)

At th

e oth

er extrem

e, to th

e right in

Grap

h3, w

here p

roducers face an

effectively

hig

h lev

el

of m

ark

et c

om

petitio

n, c

ultu

re is c

lose

lyasso

ciated w

ith eco

nom

ic perfo

rman

ce. These

are the 3

6 sam

ple firm

s in G

raph 2

taken

from

the fo

ur in

dustries en

closed

by a d

otted

line in

the u

pper-rig

ht o

f Grap

h 3

. In th

ese industries

of

effe

ctiv

ely

h

igh

m

ark

et

co

mp

etitio

n,

pro

ducers are easily

substitu

ted fo

r one an

oth

er,su

ppliers, cu

stom

ers or fo

reign p

roducers are

strong, an

d m

argin

s are low

.

Co

ntin

gen

cy fun

ction

Be

twe

en

th

e

two

m

ark

et

ex

trem

es,

the

perfo

rman

ce effect of a stro

ng co

rporate cu

lture

incre

ase

s with

mark

et c

om

petitio

n. T

he

nonlin

ear regressio

n lin

e in G

raph 3

(the so

lidbold

line), can

be u

sed as a co

ntin

gen

cy fu

nctio

nd

esc

ribin

g h

ow

cu

lture

's effe

ct v

arie

s with

mark

et com

petitio

n. F

or an

y sp

ecific level o

fm

arket co

mpetitio

n o

n th

e horizo

ntal ax

is, the

co

ntin

gen

cy

fun

ctio

n d

efin

es a

n e

xp

ecte

dco

rrelation o

n th

e vertical ax

is betw

een cu

lture

strength

and eco

nom

ic perfo

rman

ce.S

ince in

dustry

scores o

n th

e horizo

ntal ax

isare co

mputed

from

data p

ublicly

availab

le on

all in

du

stries, th

e e

xp

ecte

d v

alu

e o

f a stro

ng

co

rpo

rate

cu

lture

in a

ny

ind

ustry

can

be

ex

trap

ola

ted

from

the c

on

ting

en

cy

fun

ctio

n.

Resu

lts for a selectio

n o

f industries are g

iven

inth

e box to

the rig

ht.

Th

e h

igh

co

rrela

tion

for th

e c

on

ting

en

cy

functio

n sh

ow

s that th

e functio

n is an

accurate

desc

riptio

n o

f cu

lture

's effe

ct in

the d

iverse

mark

ets (r = .8

5, fo

r details o

n d

erivin

g, an

dex

trapolatin

g fro

m, th

e contin

gen

cy fu

nctio

n see

my 1

994 article o

n co

ntin

gen

t org

anizatio

n w

ithS

hau

l Gab

bay

at T

ech

nio

n, G

erh

ard

Ho

lt at

INS

EA

D, a

nd

Pete

r Mo

ran

at th

e L

on

do

nB

usin

ess Sch

ool).

At th

e level o

f indiv

idual firm

s, 44%

of th

evarian

ce in co

mpan

y retu

rns to

invested

capital

can b

e pred

icted b

y th

e industry

in w

hich

they

prim

arily o

perate, an

d th

eir relative stren

gth

of

corp

orate cu

lture acco

unts fo

r anoth

er 23%

of

the v

ariance. C

ultu

re accounts fo

r half ag

ain

the p

erform

ance v

ariance d

escribed

by in

dustry

differen

ces!

Th

inkin

g strateg

ically abo

ut cu

lture

Co

ntin

gen

t valu

e is th

e m

ain

po

int h

ere

. Astro

ng

co

rpo

rate

cu

lture

is neith

er a

lway

sv

alu

ab

le, n

or a

lway

s irrele

van

t. Valu

e is

contin

gen

t on m

arket. A

strong co

rporate cu

lture

can

be a

po

werfu

l co

mp

etitiv

e a

sset in

aco

mm

od

ity m

ark

et. In

a c

om

ple

x, d

yn

am

icm

arket, o

n th

e oth

er han

d, cu

lture is irrelev

ant

to eco

nom

ic perfo

rman

ce.T

he c

on

ting

en

t valu

e o

f cu

lture

can

be a

guid

e to th

inkin

g strateg

ically ab

out cu

lture. T

he

more y

our co

mpan

y’s in

dustry

resembles a co

m-

modity

mark

et, the m

ore eco

nom

ic return

you

can ex

pect fro

m in

vestin

g in

a strong co

rporate

cultu

re. Furth

er, when

you m

erge w

ith a n

ewco

mpan

y, ask ab

out its in

dustry. If th

e industry

resembles a co

mm

odity

mark

et and th

e com

-p

an

y h

as n

o c

orp

ora

te c

ultu

re, th

en

the

com

pan

y's p

erform

ance w

ou

ld b

e hig

her if a

strong cu

lture w

ere instilled

. But if th

e indus-

try resem

bles a co

mm

odity

mark

et and th

e com

-pan

y alread

y h

as a strong co

rporate cu

lture, p

ayatten

tion to

the cu

lture b

ecause th

e com

pan

y's

perfo

rman

ce is som

e part d

ue to

its cultu

re. On

the o

ther h

and, if th

e com

pan

y o

perates in

a com

-plex

, dynam

ic mark

et, you are free to

integ

rateth

e com

pan

y in

to y

our o

wn w

ithout co

ncern

for

whatev

er cultu

re existed

befo

re becau

se cultu

reis irrelev

ant to

perfo

rman

ce in su

ch m

arkets.

Fin

al illustratio

n: co

nsid

er two co

nsu

ltants

assemblin

g resu

lts on th

e perfo

rman

ce effectsof a stro

ng co

rporate cu

lture. O

ne selects 1

0teleco

mm

unicatio

n firm

s for case an

alysis b

e-cau

se he w

ork

ed in

the in

dustry, an

d so

has g

ood

perso

nal co

ntacts th

ere. The o

ther co

nsu

ltant

selects 10 tex

tile firms.

Th

ese

are

two

reaso

nab

le a

nd

inte

restin

gpro

jects, with

a relatively

large n

um

ber o

f firms

for case an

alysis.

There is n

o n

eed to

read th

eir reports. T

he

first consu

ltant selected

an in

dustry

with

a low

effe

ctiv

e le

vel o

f mark

et c

om

petitio

n (th

eco

mm

un

icatio

ns in

du

stry is to

the fa

r left in

Grap

h 3

). A stro

ng co

rporate cu

lture is n

ot a

co

mp

etitiv

e a

sset in

such

co

mp

lex

, dy

nam

icin

dustries. T

his co

nsu

ltant w

ill find n

o ev

iden

ceof h

igher p

erform

ance in

strong-cu

lture firm

s,w

ill gen

eralize his resu

lts to co

nclu

de th

at the

cultu

re effect does n

ot ex

ist, then

earnestly

(since

he h

as research to

support h

is conclu

sion) ad

vise

clie

nt firm

s ag

ain

st wastin

g re

sou

rces o

nin

stitutio

nalizin

g a stro

ng co

rporate cu

lture.

The seco

nd co

nsu

ltant selected

an in

dustry

at the o

ther ex

treme o

f the co

ntin

gen

cy fu

nc-

tion. T

extile p

roducers face an

effectively

hig

hlev

el of m

arket co

mpetitio

n (th

ey ap

pear at th

efar rig

ht o

f Grap

h 3

). A stro

ng co

rporate cu

l-tu

re is a com

petitiv

e asset in su

ch in

dustries.

Th

is seco

nd

co

nsu

ltan

t will fin

d e

vid

en

ce o

fhig

her p

erform

ance in

strong-cu

lture firm

s, will

gen

eralize her resu

lts to co

nclu

de th

at perfo

r-m

ance d

epen

ds o

n d

evelo

pin

g a stro

ng co

rpo-

rate cultu

re, then

earnestly

(since sh

e too h

asresearch

to su

pport h

er conclu

sion) ad

vise cli-

ent firm

s to co

ncen

trate on in

stitutio

nalizin

g a

strong co

rporate cu

lture.

When

these co

nsu

ltants ap

pro

ach th

e same

clients, clien

ts will h

ear earnest, co

ntrad

ictory

results, an

d co

nclu

de th

at the ju

ry is still o

ut o

nco

rporate cu

lture. A

ll of th

ese peo

ple are d

raw-

ing reaso

nab

le conclu

sions w

ithin

the lim

its of

their ex

perien

ce. Nev

ertheless, all are w

rong;

simplistic in

their ig

noran

ce of th

e contin

gen

tvalu

e of a stro

ng co

rporate cu

lture.

-.47

Real estate &

rental

-.08

*C

om

mu

nicatio

ns (n

ot rad

io o

r TV

)-.0

8T

ob

acco0

.06

Bu

siness serv

ices0

.13

Op

tical, op

hth

almic &

ph

oto

grap

hic eq

uip

.0

.15

Ord

nan

ce & accesso

ries0

.16

*F

oo

d (b

everag

es)0

.19

Rad

io &

TV

bro

adcastin

g0

.20

Electric, g

as, water &

sanitary

services

0.2

2H

otels, p

erson

al & rep

air services

0.2

2*

Dru

gs, clean

ing

& to

ilet prep

aration

s0

.26

Sto

ne &

clay p

rod

ucts

0.2

7*

Aircraft &

parts

0.2

7A

mu

semen

ts0

.33

Co

nstru

ction

& m

inin

g eq

uip

men

t0

.38

*P

etroleu

m refin

ing

0.3

9*

Prin

ting

& p

ub

lishin

g0

.43

*P

aper &

allied p

rod

ucts (n

ot co

ntain

ers)0

.44

Wh

olesale trad

e0

.44

Rad

io, T

V &

com

mu

nicatio

n eq

uip

.0

.45

Electric lig

htin

g &

wirin

g eq

uip

.0

.47

Tran

spo

rtation

& w

areho

usin

g (n

ot airlin

es)0

.47

Eatin

g &

drin

kin

g p

laces0

.47

Mach

ines, m

aterials han

dlin

g0

.48

*C

hem

icals0

.48

Fu

rnitu

re (no

t ho

useh

old

)0

.48

Heatin

g, p

lum

bin

g &

struc. m

etals pro

du

cts0

.49

Farm

& g

arden

mach

inery

This is a selectio

n o

f industries fro

m th

e 1982 b

ench

mark

input-o

utp

ut tab

le publish

ed b

y th

e U.S

.D

epartm

ent o

f Com

merce. In

dustries are listed

in o

rder o

f the ex

tent to

which

a strong co

rporate

cultu

re is a com

petitiv

e asset. The fractio

n n

ext to

each in

dustry

is the co

rrelation (p

redicted

by th

eco

ntin

gen

cy fu

nctio

n) in

the in

dustry

betw

een cu

lture stren

gth

and eco

nom

ic perfo

rman

ce. Kotter

and H

eskett in

dustries are m

arked

with

an asterisk

(note h

ow

similar th

e pred

icted co

rrelations

belo

w are to

the co

rrelations in

Grap

h 3

that w

ere observ

ed in

the in

dustries).

0.4

9S

cientific &

con

trollin

g in

strum

ents

0.4

9*

Lum

ber &

wo

od p

rod

ucts (n

ot co

ntain

ers)0.4

9P

aints &

allied p

rod

ucts

0.5

3*

Fin

ance (b

ankin

g)

0.5

3*

Rubb

er & m

iscellaneo

us p

lastic pro

ducts

0.5

4*

Office, co

mp

utin

g &

accoun

ting m

achin

es0.5

7*

Plastics &

syn

thetic m

aterials0.5

8*

Foo

d (n

ot b

everag

es)0.5

8Jew

elry, spo

rts, toys &

oth

er misc. m

anu

.0.6

0M

edical/ed

ucat. serv

ices & n

onp

rofit o

rgs.

0.6

2*

Retail trad

e (no

t eating

& d

rinkin

g p

laces)0.6

3F

inan

ce (bro

kers an

d in

suran

ce)0.6

5M

achin

es, metalw

ork

ing

0.6

6E

ngin

es & tu

rbin

es0.6

7H

ou

sehold

app

liances

0.6

9F

ootw

are & o

ther leath

er pro

ducts

0.7

0M

achin

es, gen

eral industry

0.7

0*

Mo

tor v

ehicles &

equ

ipm

ent

0.7

2E

lectrical ind

ustrial eq

uip

men

t0.7

2F

urn

iture (h

ou

seho

ld)

0.7

3*

Airlin

es0.7

4*

Ap

parel

0.7

4G

lass & g

lass pro

du

cts0.7

5E

lectronic co

mpon

ents &

accessories

0.7

9*

Fab

rics, yarn

& th

read m

ills0.7

9*

Tex

tile goo

ds &

floo

r coverin

gs

0.8

0S

crew m

achin

e pro

du

cts & stam

pin

gs

0.8

7M

achin

es, special in

dustry

Relative Return on Invested Capital(firm score - industry average)

Relative C

ulture Strength

(firm sco

re - industry

averag

e)

0.0

-1.0

-2.0

1.0

2.0

Y =

-.60 +

4.9

0 X

r = .7

2t =

5.8

Apparel

Tex

tilesM

oto

r Veh

icles

Airlin

e

15%

10%

5%

0%

-5%

-10%

-15%

Graph 2

Effective M

arket Co

mp

etition

with

in In

du

stry

Correlation within Industrybetween Performance and Strong Culture

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

textiles

airlines

apparel

ban

kin

g

food

chem

icals

perso

nal

care

publish

ing

com

municatio

ns

bev

erages

aerosp

ace

retail(o

ther)

lum

ber &

pap

er

retail(fo

od-d

rug)

com

puters

petro

leum

moto

r veh

iclesru

bber

pharm

aceuticals

-0.2 0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

These four industries

contain the 30 sample firm

sdisplayed in G

raph 1.G

raph 3

Y =

.941 +

.312 ln

(1-X

)r =

.85

Stra

tegi

c Lea

ders

hip

Clos

ure,

Trus

t, an

d Re

puta

tion

(pag

e 51)

from Burt, Hogarth, and Michaud "The social capital of French and American managers" (2000, Organization Science)

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3010 25201550

French Manager Years in the Firm3010 25201550

American Manager Years in the Firm

Year

s A

cqua

inte

d w

ith C

onta

ct

30

10

25

20

15

5

0

30

10

25

20

15

5

0

Years inthe Firm

0 to 10

11 to 20

Over 20

Total

NumberColleagues

105

160

391

656

French Managers

% KnownBefore Firm

26%

15%

5%

11%

Mean YearsKnown

5.2

8.2

10.3

9.0

NumberColleagues

691

875

129

1695

American Managers

% KnownBefore Firm

81%

42%

6%

55%

Mean YearsKnown

12.6

13.5

14.9

13.0

Distinctions Between

Inside and Outside the

Firm(colleague relations

pre-dating entry into the firm)

Stra

tegi

c Lea

ders

hip

Clos

ure,

Trus

t, an

d Re

puta

tion

(pag

e 52)

Same Network Mechanism, with Different Mixtures,Can Define Different Business Environments

NOTE: Grey area is current contacts (contacts cited this year by analyst or banker, contacts cited as current or met daily byChinese entrepreneur). Red area is proportional to number of guanxi ties (known for more than two years for analyst or banker,

most valued help in significant event for Chinese entrepreneur). Overlap indicates guanxi ties in current network.

QUESTIONS: Guanxi ties are more prevalent in China and critical to network advantage in China (there is no evidence of network advantage associated with success absent guanxi ties not cited as current contacts).

- Is the China difference a substantive difference between China and the West, or a methodological artifact?

- How prevalent are guanxi ties in the West (now we know what to look for), how often are they active as current contacts, and to what extent does success in the West depend on them?

Western Analysts and Bankers 1,233 Ties Are Guanxi, of

13,148 at Risk of Being Guanxi (9%)

Chinese Entrepreneurs2,905 Ties Are Guanxi, of

4,464 at Risk of Being Guanxi (65%)

from Burt and Batjargal, "Comparative network analysis" (2019, Management and Organization Review)

Stra

tegi

c Lea

ders

hip

Clos

ure,

Trus

t, an

d Re

puta

tion

(pag

e 53)

Appendix V:Why Don't People Discount Gossip?In other words, why does casual conversation have such a powerful impact?

Cognition (mental defect) — We have a preference for information consistent with our predis-positions; i.e., people are likely to believe stories about you that are consistent with their pre-conceptions of you (e.g., Klayman, 1995, on confirmation bias).

Sociability (naiveté) — Gossip is the verbal analogue to grooming among primates. Its purpose is to create and maintain relations, so information obtained is a by-product that feels uninten-tional, and so unbiased (Gambetta, 1994; Dunbar, 1996).

Identity (psychological need) — People define who they are in part with negative stereotypes of people on the social boundary of their group. Insiders believe stories about you that are con-sistent with stories they know about people like you (e.g., Durkheim, 1893; Elias and Scotson, 1965; Erikson, 1966).

Social Construction/Contagion (no absolute truth against which one can discount gossip) — When confronted with an ambiguous decision, we tend to imitate the opinions and behaviors of peers. People in groups who don't know you and have to deal with you will discuss you among themselves, create an image of you, then deal with the image as if it were you (e.g., Festinger, Schachter & Back, 1950; Pfeffer, Salancik & Leblebici, 1976; Zucker, 1977; Burt, 1987; Rogers, 1995).

for the citations and discussion, see Section 4.1.2 in Brokerage and Closure

Stra

tegi

c Lea

ders

hip

Clos

ure,

Trus

t, an

d Re

puta

tion

(pag

e 54)

APPENDIX VI: Detail, Reputation & Echo vs Bandwidth

Reputation Stability Predicted by Positive Closure versus Negative Closure

Figure 3 in Burt, "Gossip and reputation" in Management et Réseaux Sociaux, edited by edited by Marc Lecoutre and Pascal Lievre (2008 Hermes-Lavoisier, English language version on my website).

A. Positive Indirect Connections B. Negative Indirect Connections

Colleague Employee Colleague Employee

+++

MutualContactPhilippe

MutualContact

Catherine

+- - -

-

MutualContactEmile

MutualContact

Marc

If bandwidth story true, then: Stability of positive reputation increases with positive indirect, decreases with negative indirect (relations as info pipes) Stability of negative reputation increases with negative indirect, decreaess with positive indirect (relations as info pipes)

If echo story true, then Stability of positive reputation increases with positive or negative indirect (etiquette filter on info transmitted) Stability of negative reputation increases with positive or negative indirect (etiquette filter on info transmitted)

Stra

tegi

c Lea

ders

hip

Clos

ure,

Trus

t, an

d Re

puta

tion

(pag

e 55)

Stability of Positive and Negative ReputationsIncrease with Either Positive or Negative Closure.

Relations Are Balanced in Amplitude, not Direction;Reputations Are Defined by Network Echo, not Bandwidth.

Table 1 in Burt, "Gossip and reputation" in Management et Réseaux Sociaux, edited by edited by Marc Lecoutre and Pascal Lievre (2008 Hermes-Lavoisier, English language version on my website).

NOTE — These are regression models predicting reputation stability from this year to next using network variables measured this year. Stabilityis measured for an employee by the sub-correlation between reputation in adjacent years (vertical axis on page 24 of this handout). Averagenumber of mutual contacts (horizontal axis on page 24) are here log scores to capture the nonlinear association. T-tests in parentheses areadjusted for autocorrelation between repeated observations (using "cluster" option in STATA), but they are only a heuristic since routinestatistical inference is not applicable for sub-sample correlations as a criterion variable (footnote 1 in the source paper cited below).

* P < .05 ** P < .001

1 2 3 4 5 6

R2 .59 .50 .59 .45 .50 .51

Average Number of Mutual Contacts Linking Employee this Year with Colleagues

Number of Positive.77**(28.1)

—.66**(11.7)

.67**(21.2)

—.21**(3.6)

Number of Negative —.71**(23.7)

.12*(2.2)

—.70**(23.3)

.52**(8.7)

PredictPositive Reputations

(N = 899)

PredictNegative Reputations

(N = 797)

Stra

tegi

c Lea

ders

hip

Clos

ure,

Trus

t, an

d Re

puta

tion

(pag

e 56)

Appendix VII: Groupthink and UnlearningIrving Janis coined the term "groupthink" in 1971 when he used research on conformity within cohesive groups to explain prominent policy failures (1971 "Groupthink" Psychology Today Magazine, 1972 book Victims of Groupthink, Houghton Mifflin, expanded edition in 1982). The research from which he drew showed that pressure on individuals to conform to group opinion increased with network closure (strong ties inside, weak ties outside, as we discussed with respect to high-performance teams). Also see Levy, "The Nut Island Effect: When Good Teams Go Wrong." (2001, HBR).

Six behavioral symptoms that the members of a team suffer from groupthink:Few Options — Team deliberations are limited to one or two courses of action without surveying alternatives.No Iteration — Team doesn't re-examine assumptions in light of things learned during debate (e.g., Given the costs we've

discovered, should we be outsourcing this rather than producing it ourselves? Given the benefits, should we be outsourcing this at all?).

No Re-Framing — Costs/benefits aren't discussed from alternative frames of reference (e.g., What would us taking this course of action signal to colleagues, or to people outside our business? Who beyond us would incur costs/benefits from us taking this course of action?)

No Due Diligence — Team makes no effort to get data with which costs/benefits could be better estimated. Confirmation Bias — Team discusses in detail facts/opinions that support the felt consensus, but ignores facts/opinions that

would raise doubts.No Fall Back — The consensus policy seems so obviously correct that the team does not discuss how the consensus course

of action could be affected by bureaucratic inertia, inadequate employees, political opposition, or foreseeable accidents. No contingency plan increases risk of failure.

Three measures to counter groupthink (in essence introduce brokerage, and see over on "unlearning"):Encourage Critical Debate — State it as policy. Demonstrate it by accepting criticism of your own argument. Facilitate it by

asking team members to be brokers between alternative arguments rather than advocates of one argument.Encourage Critical Debate — Assign a key task to more than one individual or group to increase the odds of alternatives, and

so debate, in team discussion of the task.Encourage Critical Debate — For discussion of an important issue, assign the role of devil's advocate to an able person on

the team (or invite an outside expert in to play the role).IDEO caution against Devil's Advocate — Can kill off promising new ideas. Assign IDEO roles to individuals to ensure that

an idea is viewed from diverse perspectives (The Ten Faces of Innovation, 2005, Tom Kelley & Jonathan Littman).

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The Wisdom of the Naskapi Indians (Weick, The Social Psychology of Organizing, 1979:262-263): The Naskapi Indians of Labrador survive primarily by hunting. Each morning the adult males gather to ask: “Where should we hunt today?” An unusual procedure is used to answer the question: The men take the shoulder bone of a caribou, hold it over a fire until the bone cracks, then hunt in which ever direction the crack points. The procedure works. The Naskapi almost always find game, which is rare among hunting bands.

Why do you think they are successful?

Eight Aids to Unlearning to inhibit blindness created by your own commitments, and facilitate the conversion of myopic colleagues. William Starbuck, “Unlearning ineffective or obsolete technologies” Journal of Technology Management 1996, 11: 725-737. (http://www.stern.nyu.edu/~wstarbuc/unlearn.html)

1. It isn’t good enough.2. It’s only an experiment.

3. Surprises should be question marks.4. All dissents and warnings have some validity.

5. Collaborators who disagree are both right.6. What does a stranger think strange?

7. All causal arrows have two heads.8. The converse of every proposition is equally valid.

Also see page 10 in Levy, "The Nut Island Effect" (2001, HBR) on how to stop the Nut Island effect before it starts, and Mayer-Schönberger's (2009) book, Delete: The Virtue of Forgetting in the Digital Age.

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Appendix VIII: Sources of Variance in 360 EvaluationsMost of the variance in evaluations is about the way two people work together, not their averages as individuals.

The below pie charts describe the variance explained in regression models predicting ego's evaluation of alter from ego's average rating of colleagues [rater variance]

and alter's average rating from colleagues [reputation variance].

Banker Relationships(N = 12,640)

Staff Officer Relationships(N = 2,304)

18.4% Rater Variance(qualities of the person making the evaluation)

29.4% ReputationVariance

(qualities of the person evaluated)

52.2% Dyad Variance(qualities specific to the

subject-respondent dyad)

25.1% Rater Variance(qualities of the person making the evaluation)

13.4% ReputationVariance

(qualities of the person evaluated)

61.5% Dyad Variance(qualities specific to the

subject-respondent dyad)

18.4% Rater Variance(qualities of the person making the evaluation)

29.4% ReputationVariance

(qualities of the person evaluated)

52.2% Dyad Variance(qualities specific to thesubject-respondent dyad)

25.1% Rater Variance(qualities of the person making the evaluation)

13.4% ReputationVariance

(qualities of the person evaluated)

61.5% Dyad Variance(qualities specific to thesubject-respondent dyad)

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and Good versus Bad is the Primary Dimension to Evaluations

I focus on good versus bad as a reputational quality that assuages audience concerns about a would-be broker. The focus is in contrast to studying reputation in terms of specific behaviors for which a person is known. Statistically significant correlations are likely to occur with details of reputation for specific behaviors, but it will be difficult to generalize the correlations into construct-validity hypotheses about reputation because of the diversity that studying details allows and wide confidence intervals around current measures of reputation. My focus on good-bad is based on the knowledge that good versus bad is the primary dimension to human evaluation in general. There are other dimensions, but good-bad is the primary one. In the interest of replicable results, I focus on the primary dimension for the time being. Initial evidence for the primacy of good-bad was given in Osgood, Tannenbaum, and Suci (1957, The Measurement of Meaning) based on factor analyses of semantic-differential data from diverse populations. They find three recurring dimensions to evaluations of words and phrases: a good-bad contrast (termed the primary "evaluation," 69% of common variance), a strong-weak contrast (termed "potency," 15% of common variance), and an active-passive contrast (termed "activity," 13% of common variance). Note here that dimensional analyses of network data show managers distinguishing relations primarily on a good-bad dimension of closeness and secondarily on a personal-impersonal dimension (e.g., Burt, 2010:287). Osgood et al. (1957:38) emphasize that the good-bad contrast, "plays a dominant role in meaningful judgments, here accounting for almost 70 per cent of the common (extracted) variance, and this impression will be confirmed in subsequent studies to be reported."

Good-Bad(68.6%)

Active-Passive(12.7%)

Strong-Weak(15.5%)

Others(3.33%)

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Appendix IX: Mobbing(from a 1999 page in The Mobbing Encyclopedia, © Heinz Leymann; http://www.leymann.se/English/00005E.htm)

What is meant by "mobbing” or "bullying”? These words refer to a situation in which one or more people at the workplace show hostile behavior toward (1) most often, only one employee (2) very often and (3) over a very long period of time (months or years), thereby victimizing him or her.

What is the difference between a conflict and mobbing/bullying? One difference is that a conflict occurs between equally strong people. In a mobbing/bullying situation, the hostility is directed by one or more strong people towards a weaker individual who has become the underdog. This person is further weakened because of the immense pressure caused by the frequency and the duration of the attacks.

What happens when a person is mobbed/bullied? The attacks aim at destroying or sabotaging the mobbed person´s reputation, disturbing or destroying communication to or from the mobbed person; or, manipulating his or her work performance or work assignments.

Do the mobber´s or victim´s personality traits play a part? No personality traits shared by victims have thus far been detected in research. The causes of mobbing are to be found in the social structures dominant in the workplace organization.

Why, then, does it happen? In analyses of mobbing/bullying cases, research thus far has always detected serious organizational problems. Organizational disorder and poor management automatically cause conflicts. Some of these conflicts exaggerate opposing views, and end up by designating a scapegoat.

Why don´t people leave the workplace and take other employments? People do move to other workplaces. In quite a few cases, the individual chooses unemployment rather than remain in a mobbing/bullying situation, and thereby ruins his or her own social and financial situation.

What is the cost to the victim? In the end, the cost to the victim may be enormous: his career may be destroyed as well as his social and financial situation, along with his health.

What is the cost to the employer? The employer pays, at least for a certain period of time, full salary to a victim who no longer is able to perform very well. Mobbing also destroys the psychosocial work environment and its psychological climate, infecting the morale of other personnel badly as well.

Does society also pay? Society takes over the costs by paying insurance and health care, etc.

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From Figure 4.5 in Neighbor Networks.

Appendix X:Exception that Proves the Rule on Secondhand Brokerage

The below graphs show no returns to insider affiliation with network brokers. This session has been about outsiders benefitting from affiliation with a network broker as a strategic partner. Does the evidence on

strategic partners contradict the evidence of no returns to insider affiliation with network brokers?

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Indirect Network Constraint on the Manager via Colleagues

Man

ager

’s Z

-Sco

re P

erfo

rman

ce

Man

ager

’s R

esid

ual

Z-S

core

Per

form

ance

(per

form

ance

hol

ding

con

stan

t job

ran

kan

d ot

her

cont

rol v

aria

bles

)

Strong Associationwith Log Constraint(r = -.26, t = -7.66)

Each dot is a population average on the Y axis and X axis for a 5-point interval on the X axis (for the analysts, bankers, HR officers, product-launch employees, and supply-chain managers). Test statistics are estimated across individual observations (with correction for repeated annual observations of the analysts and bankers).

No Associationwith Log Constraint(r = -.03, t = -1.26)

P = b ln(IC) + R P = b1 ln(C) + b2 ln(IC) + b3X + R

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Appendix XI: Other Partner Networks, andIntegration Failures

9

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

George

CEO

Partner

PadukaBanker

A. Paduka,Entrepreneur

Constraint Person 17.1 1. Partner 1.6 2. Customer 2.2 3. Supplier 5.3 4. Banker 2.9 5. Friend 2.1 6. Customer 1.6 7. Customer 1.6 8. Customer 2.8 9. Father-in-Law

network constraint = 37.0, network size = 9 contacts, network density = 33.3, network hierarchy = 20.0

B. George,Director of Strategy

Constraint Person 17.8 1. CEO 3.6 2. CEO Deputy 3.6 3. George’s Subordinate 3.6 4. George’s Subordinate 1.5 5. Division President 1.5 6. Division President 1.5 8. Division President 3.6 8. George’s Subordinate 1.5 9. Division President

network constraint = 38.4, network size = 9 contacts,network density = 38.9, network hierarchy = 20.0

9

2

3

5 6

7

8

from Figure 7.5 in Neighbor Networks.

And two others who need a partner: Met with student last week from AXP. He asked to move into an M&A role, and US HQ'd company said ok. He is the only Asian in the M&A unit. However, he has received a "no" decision on every acquisition he has suggested, and he has learned that he is not included in any discussions with the M&A team in Chicago. Another AXP student works in M&A for a San Diego gene sequencing company. He just spent 8 months in San Diego trying to

meld with the team. He’s having a heck of a time getting any time with the US folks, and when he approaches companies for potential acquisition, they always ask to speak to the US-based

person. He’s changed his business card to say San Diego!

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A Local Chicago Partner Network

SupervisoryManager Focal

Manager

Fourteen Contacts (Size, or Degree, 0.8 z-score)

10.5 NonRedundant Contacts (0.7 z-score)

33.0 Network Density (-0.8 z-score)

17.5 Network Hierarchy (2.0 z-score)

28.6 Network Constraint (-0.7 z-score)

This is the "focal" manager's network. She received her company's top performance evaluation last year. The supervisory manager is a "partner" in the network. Corporate divisions are distinguished by color. Note how the supervisory and focal managers have connections to the same people in other divisions.

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Same Tests Reveal

Integration Failtures in M&A

and Leader Development

Former Dean Witter executive on integration after merger with Morgan Stanley: "They treated us like we were the Clampetts. We would have meetings with them, and they would ask to present first and then just leave. They wouldn't stay for us." It is a story that drips with irony: Here is a union engineered by some of the world's foremost experts in the art of mergers and acquisitions. They made huge personal fortunes putting companies together, collecting their fees, then walking away. But this time they had to live with the combination they created. (Fortune, 2005 May 2, Bethany McLean & Andy Serwer [see McLean's Smartest Guys in the Room])

Z-Sc

ore

Rel

ativ

e C

ompe

nsat

ion

Z-Sc

ore

Rel

ativ

e C

ompe

nsat

ion

Acquiring Managementr = -.40, t = -4.92, P < .001

Acquired Managementr = .11, t = 1.06, P = .29

Network Constraint

Z-Sc

ore

Rel

ativ

e C

ompe

nsat

ion

Z-Sc

ore

Rel

ativ

e C

ompe

nsat

ion

All But One Division of Firmr = -.36, t = -5.66, P < .001

The One Other Divisionr = .09, t = 1.05, P = .30

Network ConstraintNetwork Constraint

M&A Integration Leader Development

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Appendix XII: Gossip-EnforcedWalls Reinforce Outsider Feelings of InferiorityThe study site is two suburbs in 1960s England. The two suburbs were similar in socioeconomic status (workingclass & housing), but different in history and self-esteem.(1) The Village was settled a generation before the Estate,so social ties within the Village were more dense and developed. (2) People in the Village felt that they were a better class of people than the Estate residents. Surprisingly, people in the Estate also see themselves as socially inferior.

The explanation lay in the community social network (Elias and Scotson, 1965:94): "In the closely-knit neighborhood of the Village gossip flowed freely and richly through the gossip channels provided by the differentiated network of families and associations. In the loosely-knit and less organized neighborhood of the Estate the flow of gossip was on the whole more sluggish." Stories about people in the Estate — about their domestic abuse, excessive drink, lost jobs, unruly and wayward children — were a staple in Village gossip, reinforcing Village social cohesion with vivid illustration of Village superiority over people in the Estate. Estate residents seemed unable to escape the stigmatizing effect of Village gossip (Elias and Scotson, 1965:101): "A good deal of what Villagers habitually said about Estate families was vastly exaggerated or untrue. The majority of Estate people did not have “low morals”; they did not constantly fight with each other, were not habitual “boozers” or unable to control their children. Why were they powerless to correct these misrepresentations?" Elias and Scotson attribute Estate acceptance of their second-class citizenship to four factors: (a) Estate residents had continuing contact with Village residents, (b) were undeniably residents of the Estate by dint of where they lived, (c) shared the values of the Village in terms of which it would be shameful to behave in the manner described in the gossip about certain Estate people, and (d) were, because of their exclusion from the Village gossip network, more familiar with people in the Estate who fit the gossip stereotypes than they were familiar with Villagers who fit the stereotypes. As Elias and Scotson (1965:101-102) explain: "The majority of the Estate people could not retaliate because, to some extent, their own conscience was on the side of the detractors. They themselves agreed with the Village people that it was bad not to be able to control one’s children or to get drunk and noisy and violent. Even if none of these reproaches could be applied to themselves personally, they knew only too well that it did apply to some of their neighbors." Elias and Scotson's four factors should be familiar to anyone proud of their heritage who has spent time living as an outsider among insiders.

TheVillage

TheEstate

For more detail, see pages 213-218 in Neighbor Networks.