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COMET Briefing to CNMOC
30 October2013
New COMET Business Model
COMET Capacity Trends New Staffing Model
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• Core Staff = 24 ~ $4.3M – ~60% of $6.3M– (Focused on Sponsors)
• Temp/Casual Staff = 10 ~ $2M– ~40% of $6.3M– (Focused on New Business Partners)
• New Sponsors Development
– Univ/Private/Public = $2M
• Projected Budget in 3 to 5 years = $6-7M and COMET will utilize the 60/40 model
Budget Down $2.3M/YR Over 3 YRS
Staff Decreased 41-24 Over 3 YRS
Implementing Formal Project Management to Ensure Effectiveness and Efficiency
COMET FY13 Milestones/Accomplishments
• Total Modules = 489 (FY-13 = 58)• Modules translated = 143 (FY-13 = 27)• Total Registered Users = 300,000+
(Sep 13)• Total Education Users = 102,873• Total International Users = 101,781• Total U.S. Private Sector Users =
34,705• Modules Completed FY13 = 195,581• Number of Quizzes FY13 = 111,964• AVG Improvement between pre and
post tests=59% (pre) to 81%(post)
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COMET Budget is stable for FY-14 at $4.3M with a 7 person staff reduction and a 20% Reduction in Capacity
Funding Sources By Sponsor
$1,332,000.00
$551,000.00
$397,000.00$50,000.00$362,000.00
$1,325,000.00
$75,000.00
$100,000.00$200,000.00 $15,000.00 $100,000.00
Funding
NWS
MSC
Navy
BOM
Reclamation
NESDIS
NOS
EUMETSAT
Commercial
Misc
FAA
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Module Content/Recorded Lectures By Year Losing Capacity
MetEd Support and Upgrades
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FY12-FY14 Budget Summary
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FY12 FY13 FY14
Spending Plan (no Outreach) $ 5,210,000 $ 4,680,000 $ 4,300,000
Funding Assumption (no Outreach)NWS Base Funding
$ 1,376,000 $ 1,000,000 $ - NWS NWP (*) $ 191,000 $ - $ 50,000
NWS Module Updates (O&M) $ 125,000 $ - $ - NWS PNS funding $ 62,000 $ 32,000 $ 6,000 NWS Aviation $ 300,000 $ 300,000 $ 300,000 NWS Hydrology $ 74,000 $ 50,800 $ - NWS Climate $ 18,000 $ 52,000 $ -
NWS International Activities $ 414,000 $ 127,000 $ 329,000 NWS AWIPS II Validation $ 83,000 $ 172,000
NWS Sandy Supplmental Potential Projects* $ - $ - $ 475,000 NESDIS GOES-R $ 400,000 $ 400,000 $ 400,000 NESDIS JPSS $ 275,000 $ 325,000 $ 425,000
NESDIS (Hilding + GOESR Outreach Reallocation) $ 90,435 $ 125,000 NOS $ - $ 100,000 $ 75,000 NMOC $ 408,000 $ 473,000 $ 425,000
MSC (includes supplemental contracts) $ 342,000 $ 505,000 $ 551,000
Bureau of Reclamation $ 250,000 $ 263,000 $ 362,000 EUMETSAT $ 70,000 $ 73,000 $ 100,000 UCAR Climate Model Module $ 83,000 $ - $ - FAA Safe Skies $ 300,000 $ 332,000 $ 333,000
Bureau of Meteorology of Australia $ 44,000 $ 52,525 $ 50,000
Commercial Sector (Ball, Fugro, etc.) $ - $ - $ 200,000 WMO $ 104,000
One Time Projects (NWS NEEF NSF,etc) $ 523,000 $ 267,800 $ 15,000 Total Funding $ 5,255,000 $ 4,630,560 $ 4,393,000 Balance $ 45,000 $ (49,440) $ 93,000
* Some FY14 NWP Support and other potential project may be received through a contract for the Sandy Supplemental
FY13 Accomplishments and FY14 Plans
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Aviation
FY14Projects may include: • Update to DLAC 2 (NWS)• Convective Lesson (NWS)• Safe Skies for Africa Year Three (DOT)
FY13
Published projects: • Updated NAS Lesson (NWS)• Aeronautical Continuing Professional
Development Course for Caribbean (NWS IAO)• Safe Skies for Africa Year Two (DOT)
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Climate and Water
FY13
Published projects:
• Held two 3-day residence courses for water resource practitioners (Reclamation)
• Developed curriculum outlines for 1) Water Temperature Impacts and 2) Sedimentation and River Hydraulics (Reclamation)
• Complete first pilot video project (Reclamation)• Initiate conversion of HIUCC course to virtual format
(Reclamation)• Initiate business development activities leading to
offering registration courses with CEUs (Reclamation)• Climatology for the Operational Forecaster (Navy)• Hold 1 CVCVC offering and publish select lectures (NWS)
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FY14
Projects may include:
• Develop training lessons/courses for Water Temperature Impacts topic area (Reclamation)
• Complete additional videos (Reclamation)• Deliver HIUCC course in virtual format (Reclamation)• Further business development leading to registration
courses with CEUs• Will require development of curriculum outlines for
remaining PCUs, Landcover Response, and Water Quality Impacts (Reclamation)
Climate FY14 Plans
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Emergency Management
FY14Projects may include: • Conversion of SOS Course [Science of Oil
Spills] to distance learning (NOS)
FY13Published projects:
• Aerial Surveillance of Oil Spills Lesson (NOS)
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Fire Weather
FY13Published projects:
• Severe Fire Weather Patterns in Southeastern Australia (BoM Australia)
FY14 • Possible new Fire Weather Pattern lesson (BoM Australia)
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Numerical Weather
Prediction
FY13
Published Projects:• Introduction to Climate Models (UCAR)• Introduction to Ensemble Forecasting
Hurricane Sandy (Navy)
Note: NWS NWP funding and work suspended
FY14
Plans include:• Completion of NWP Course 3 (contingent
on NWS funding)• Updates to the NWP Model Matrix
(contingent on NWS funding)• Ensembles lesson (MSC)
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Satellite Meteorology
FY13
Published projects:• GOES-R ABI: Next Generation Satellite Imaging• Advances in Space-Based Nighttime Visible Observation (on DNB)• Significant Updates to 4 NPOESS/JPSS modules• Satellite Monitoring of Atmospheric Composition (with EUMETSAT)• Monitoring the Climate System with Satellites (with EUMETSAT)• 3 ASMET 7 case-study lessons (EUMETSAT)• 2 Satellite Feature Identification lessons: Jet Streams and Inferring Three
Dimensions from Water Vapor Imagery (MSC)
• Infused GEO and LEO data and products into all applicable lessons• Designed, hosted, and facilitated first Virtual Satellite Science Week event• Published ESRC in French, moved site from behind registration, and continued to
populate with content
Initiated projects:• How Satellite Data Inform NWP lesson• Imaging with VIIRS, 3rd edition (with new VIIRS data)
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Satellite Meteorology
FY14
• Continue infusion of GEO and LEO data into all applicable lessons• Develop and publish, GOES-R GLM lesson• Complete How Satellite Data Inform NWP lesson• Complete Imaging with VIIRS, 3rd Edition • Update additional NPOESS/JPSS modules (based on sponsor priorities)• Facilitate additional Satellite Proving Ground virtual events (per
sponsor request)• Initiate lesson on Polar Communications and Weather Satellite to
become part of a new “Are you Advanced Satellite Ready?” DL Course• Continued support of the ESRC• Develop and offer Satellite Meteorology Virtual Courses (tentative) • Initiate EUMETSAT Webcast, Topic TBD• Satellite Feature Identification: Conveyor Belts (MSC)
*pending VCP funding
FY13
Funding for VCP projects held up in legal tangle between WMO and State Department
WMO provided separate funding for priority projects which includes:• Limited Spanish translations• Facilitation of Basic Hydrologic Science DL Course for
Africa• Ongoing support for hydrology DL courses offered by
RTCs• Completion of AeroCPD modules• Internationalization of Volcanic Ash lessons• Completion of Tropical Synoptic Meteorology Course
Package
WMO Related
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*pending VCP funding
FY14
• Spanish translations• Ongoing hydrology Dl course support• Climate and Climatology Course Package:
Year 1 of 2• Critical Training for RA-V: Year 1 of 3 (RAM-DL for
Australia, Island Meteorology, Island Hydrology)• Tropical Synoptics Online Course Adoption
Workshop (with WMO)• Global Campus Prototype***
* Assumes VCP funding issues are resolved and FY12-13 work proposals are still valid
WMO Related
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Winter Weather
FY13 Winter Weather Course, Fall 2012 (MSC)
FY14 Winter Weather Course, Fall 2013 (MSC)
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Other
FY13
• Spark collaboration• GLOBE collaboration• Heliophysics demonstration project (NASA)• Dynamics Learning Objects: PGF (UCAR)• Radiation Learning Object (BoM)
FY14
• Heliophysics (NASA)• Electromagnetic/Electro-optic Propagation
(Navy)• Weather Observing: Shore and at Sea
(Navy)• Storm Surge lesson*• Tropical Meteorology lessons*
*Contingent on NWS Sandy Supplemental Funding
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MetEd Update
s
Meted Support and Upgrades
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Most Viewed Description Pages(May 2012 – May 2013)
Courses
S-290 Intermediate Wildland Fire Behavior Course 105,502 Visits
SKYWARN Spotter Training Course
64,669
Modules
Role of the Skywarn Spotter 26,158 Visits
Skywarn Spotter Convective Basics
21,691
Certificate Cost Recovery Program
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MetEd Annual Support Costs ~ $400k
Cost Recovery Focused on S-290 Wild Land Fire and Skywarn Spotter Course
Fee for Certificate is Optional and Does Not Affect Report of Course
Completion
Fee’s Collected Will Be Used As Cost Recovery To
Support MetEd
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Proposals and Busine
ss Development
- Proposals-New Business Development
ClimatePartner with NCAR on five climate proposals
Teledyne, Campbell Instruments, Weather MetricsTraining Video Productions
Ball AerospaceSatellite training module on OMPS and Others
AADT Weather Service East AfricaFull Aviation Weather Service Capability – COMET doing training needs assessment
Weather Decision TechnologiesInstallation of Weather Radar Systems in SE Asia – COMET doing training.
UKMET College and EUMETSAT Implementing Training in Aviation and Satellite Sensors (cost recovery)
AWIPS AWIPS II algorithm validation project (Two years, funded May 2013)
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- Continuing -Project Extensions in FY2014
USBR Year ThreeContinue conversion to virtual courses, implement business plan, modules to support the Climate and Water Resources PDS
DOT Safe Skies for Africa Year ThreeCompletion of modules, case study development and adaptations, and RAMDL-Africa Course, facilitation for RMTC implementation
AustraliaTropical cyclone intensity module, dynamic learning object: monsoon circulations, monsoon trof migration, trade wind diurnal cycle, etc.
EUMETSATNew modules, TBD
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Business Development FY14 FY15
*NWS/International VCP $380,000 $350,000
*Safe Skies for Africa Year 3 and Beyond $330,000 TBD
*Reclamation Year 3 and Beyond $250,000 TBD
*NASA/Heliophysics [thru UCAR VSP Program] $100,000 $105,000
* EUMETSAT $90,000 $90,000
* Australia $60,000 $60,000
*National Ocean Service $75,000 $75,000
AMDAR [WMO] $100,000 $50,000
Climate partner w/NCAR [5 Proposals] ?? ??
Private Sector [Ball, Fugro, Unisys, etc.] $200,000 $200,000
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*Assumed in FY14 plan
• Initiating new projects with US Bureau of Reclamation as lead agency
• Curriculum Development Effort• Prerequisite DL Module • Two Residence Courses in FY13 (Surface hydrology
and Agricultural foci)
New CA with DOI/USBR began in FY11 (partners include USACE, USGS,
NOAA, EPA, Denver Water, Seattle Public Utilities, and
RISAs)
• Great interest and need!• Initial challenge to engage extensive water
community beyond USBR• Off to a great start • Ambitious timeline
Initial Perceptions
Bureau of Reclamation
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• Consult with stakeholders to identify training gaps• Develop plan to enhance African aeronautical meteorological training• Adapt priority training resources and publish preliminary version of
African Review of Aeronautical Meteorology Distance Learning (RAMDL) course
Phase 1 (2012): Define Goals and Methods,
Produce Initial Education and Training
• Complete adaptations and develop additional RAMDL content• Begin French translations of high priority modules• Develop African RAMDL case studies• Begin developing instructor resources for residence and DL courses at
RTCs
Phase 2 (2013): Refinement of the African
RAMDL Course
• Publish final version of African RAMDL course: ~60 hours• Complete French translations of key modules• Help organize and facilitate a test online RAMDL-based courses• Complete instructor guides for African RAMDL course• Disseminate training/performance support using mobile learning
strategies
Phase 3 (2014): Publish Revised RAMDL,
Facilitation, Implementation
Develop and adapt aeronautical meteorology training for African forecasters to meet WMO competencies qualification requirements by November 2013
Safe Skies for Africa
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Additional Business Development Ideas
Homeland Security and FEMA
Bogdan and Rayder are helping to make inroads to FEMA
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Challenges/Sponsor Support
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Stable/Tim ely funding
Tim ely SM E support for pro jects
M eeti ng private sector ti m elines
Sponsorship for transiti on to A PPs
D eveloping D ecision Science Support Services
M arket identi ficati on/N iche products
Integrati on into h igher educati on distance learning support
Staff talent m anagem ent
D evelopm ent of new tem porary/casual staff
A ccess to new geosciences SM Es
Stable/Timely funding
Timely SME support for projects
Meeting private sector timelines
Sponsorship for transition to APPs
Developing Decision Science Support Services
Market identification/Niche products
Integration into higher education distance learning support
Staff talent management
Development of new temporary/casual staff
Access to new geosciences SMEs33
COMET’s Greatest Challenges and Threats
Sponsors
Questions/Discussion?
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