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Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and Leakage Modeling Birendra Jha Assistant Professor Department of Chemical engineering and Materials Science University of Southern California gemlab.usc.edu

Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

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Page 1: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and Leakage Modeling

Birendra Jha

Assistant Professor

Department of Chemical engineering and Materials Science

University of Southern California

gemlab.usc.edu

Page 2: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Geosystems Engineering & Multiphysics (GEM) Lab

• Induced seismicity and leakage

• Hydraulic fracturing

• Enhanced oil recovery

• Underground gas storage

Funding sources

Students and postdocs

Coupled flow and geomechanics of

Page 3: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Induced seismicity

Page 4: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Injectors in Fairview, OK (Yeck et al., GRL 2016)

Production and injection close to faults is inevitable

Producers in Kern River Oilfield

Page 5: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Shear failure criterion:

Effective normal stress:

Friction stress:

Coulomb Failure Function:

Coulomb theory

Induced seismicity mechanism: Coulomb theory of failure

Page 6: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Induced seismicity mechanisms

Tendency to slip if:

Page 7: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Water

Water extraction from unconfined aquifer

Page 8: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Oil, water

Hydrocarbon production from confined reservoir

tension contraction

Page 9: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Fluid injection into a confined reservoir

Water, gas

Page 10: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Fault slip can lead to leakage

Fluid leakage if:

Water, gas

= f (fault slip, fault compression)

Page 11: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Can we develop an induced seismicity/leakage simulator based on the

coupled physics of fluid flow and fault poromechanics?

(Jha and Juanes, WRR 2014; Asaithambi and Jha, SPE 190032, 2018)

Page 12: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Flow

Load

Oil, water, gas have different pressures and densities.

Force balance (quasi-static):

Fluid mass balance:

= Oil, water, gas

Governing equations

Multiphase flow and geomechanics

Page 13: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Poroelasticity:

Effective stress:

Constitutive equations

Flow

Load

Darcy flux:

Multiphase flow and geomechanics

Page 14: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Coupling through parameters (PDE coefficients)

Coupling through processes (PDE terms)

• Mechanical properties (Biot modulus, Biot coefficient, bulk density) are functions of fluid saturation/type

• Flow properties (porosity, permeability) are functions of stress

Flow and mechanics are coupled processes

Page 15: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Computational model - Discretization

• Stable, local mass conservation (FEM-FVM)

• Single, unstructured computational grid

Pressure, saturation Displacement

Jha and Juanes, Acta Geotech. 2007

Kim, Tchelepi and Juanes, CMAME 2011

Jha and Juanes, WRR 2014

Page 16: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Numerical scheme to couple flow and mechanics

• Fixed stress scheme: Efficient, unconditionally stable sequential solution scheme

Page 17: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Chester et al, JGR 1993 Anderson, Tectonophy 1983 Marone, Ann. Rev. EPS, 1998

surface of discontinuity

zone of different properties

Physical model of a fault

Page 18: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

• Coulomb stability criterion:

• Slip weakening: fault friction decreases linearly with amount of fault slip

Fault slip

Functional model of a fault

Page 19: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Fault friction coefficient

Fault slip velocity

Fault slip

(Marone, Ann. Rev. EPS 1998)

Friction evolves non-linearly

with slip leading to seismic

and aseismic slip

Rate and state friction model

Functional model of a fault

Page 20: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Fault is discretized with interface finite elements.

Computational model of fault

Page 21: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Coupled flow-deformation-faulting problem

Lagrange multiplier approach to solve the contact problem

Page 22: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Flow

Mechanics

• Computationally efficient sequential solution • Sophisticated formulation for fault slip (Rate and State Friction) • Flow along and across fault • Viscoelastic, elastoplastic, and viscoplastic rheology. Rate and State

fault friction • Field-scale (unstructured grid, complex production-injection scenarios,

parallel computing)

Coupled multiphase flow and geomechanics simulator

Aagaard, Knepley and Williams, JGR 2013

Jha and Juanes, WRR 2014

Page 23: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Can we predict the maximum magnitude induced event?

(Jha and Juanes, WRR 2014; Asaithambi and Jha, SPE 190032, 2018)

Page 24: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Physical model of injection-induced seismicity

(sealing)

0 4000 Water, gas

Page 25: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

4000

4000 1585

1475

Aquifer domain

Geomechanical domain

0 0 x (m)

y (m)

Fault

(Jha and Juanes, WRR 2014)

Computational model

Page 26: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

x (m)

y (m)

z (m)

Water saturation

CO2 accumulates near the top because of buoyancy.

Pressure rises in the fault block where the injector is located.

Over-pressurization due to injection

Overpressure [MPa]

Page 27: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Over-pressurization due to injection

Page 28: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Fault pressure

Pressure on the fault also increases in the reservoir depth interval.

View angle for images above

Page 29: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Fault slips due to over-pressurization

Page 30: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Fault slips due to over-pressurization

Slip area gives magnitude of

seismicity

Slip direction gives directivity of

seismic energy released

Page 31: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Depth profiles of pressure and stresses along the fault

Page 32: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Different points on the fault approach failure differently

Coulomb Failure Lines

x

Page 33: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Computational modeling of coupled flow and fault poromechanics is a powerful tool. It

• Identifies storage strategies that can mitigate seismicity/leakage risks and increase storage capacity

• Provides mechanistic explanation of our observations (seismicity, ground deformation, hydrocarbon recovery, storage capacity)

Conclusions

Page 34: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Can we develop simpler models of induced seismicity that can account for

multiple (10+) faults?

(Hosseini et al., GRL 2018)

Page 35: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Cum. Inj. Vol.

OK

KTB

CO

Time

Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume

Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes at Paradox Valley, Colorado, from cumulative injection volume and geometry of seismicity clusters, Yeck et al., GJI, 2015

(Hosseini et al., GRL 2018)

Page 36: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Flow boundaries must be accounted

Page 37: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

A probabilistic model of induced seismicity

Number of events

Frequency of events

Probability of injection-induced seismicity

Pressure required for slip

Min and Max principal stress

(Zoback, 2010)

(Gutenberg-Richter)

Page 38: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

An unbounded reservoir model of Paradox Valley

(Yeck et al., GJI, 2015)

Pressure in an Infinite-acting reservoir

(Lee et al., 2003)

Page 39: Computational Geomechanics for Induced Seismicity and … · 2018-11-06 · Number of induced events not linear with the injected volume Maximum magnitude estimations of induced earthquakes

Model predicts seismicity rate for the Paradox Valley data