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8/13/2019 CONT-Central Clearing of Interest Rate Swaps a Comparison of Offerings
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/cont-central-clearing-of-interest-rate-swaps-a-comparison-of-offerings 1/25Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1783798
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8/13/2019 CONT-Central Clearing of Interest Rate Swaps a Comparison of Offerings
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/cont-central-clearing-of-interest-rate-swaps-a-comparison-of-offerings 2/25Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1783798
8/13/2019 CONT-Central Clearing of Interest Rate Swaps a Comparison of Offerings
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/cont-central-clearing-of-interest-rate-swaps-a-comparison-of-offerings 3/25
8/13/2019 CONT-Central Clearing of Interest Rate Swaps a Comparison of Offerings
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/cont-central-clearing-of-interest-rate-swaps-a-comparison-of-offerings 4/25
8/13/2019 CONT-Central Clearing of Interest Rate Swaps a Comparison of Offerings
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/cont-central-clearing-of-interest-rate-swaps-a-comparison-of-offerings 5/25
8/13/2019 CONT-Central Clearing of Interest Rate Swaps a Comparison of Offerings
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/cont-central-clearing-of-interest-rate-swaps-a-comparison-of-offerings 6/25
8/13/2019 CONT-Central Clearing of Interest Rate Swaps a Comparison of Offerings
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/cont-central-clearing-of-interest-rate-swaps-a-comparison-of-offerings 7/25
8/13/2019 CONT-Central Clearing of Interest Rate Swaps a Comparison of Offerings
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/cont-central-clearing-of-interest-rate-swaps-a-comparison-of-offerings 8/25
8/13/2019 CONT-Central Clearing of Interest Rate Swaps a Comparison of Offerings
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/cont-central-clearing-of-interest-rate-swaps-a-comparison-of-offerings 9/25
•
•
8/13/2019 CONT-Central Clearing of Interest Rate Swaps a Comparison of Offerings
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/cont-central-clearing-of-interest-rate-swaps-a-comparison-of-offerings 10/25
8/13/2019 CONT-Central Clearing of Interest Rate Swaps a Comparison of Offerings
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/cont-central-clearing-of-interest-rate-swaps-a-comparison-of-offerings 11/25
8/13/2019 CONT-Central Clearing of Interest Rate Swaps a Comparison of Offerings
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/cont-central-clearing-of-interest-rate-swaps-a-comparison-of-offerings 12/25
8/13/2019 CONT-Central Clearing of Interest Rate Swaps a Comparison of Offerings
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/cont-central-clearing-of-interest-rate-swaps-a-comparison-of-offerings 13/25
F t
N 0 = 1) T 0
T C T 1,T 2 T N
T (fl)1 ,T
(fl)2 T
(fl)M :
F t = Et
N T i>t
B−1T iC ∆i −
M T (fl)j >t
B−1T (fl)j
LT (fl)j−1 ,T
(fl)j τ j
,
∆i τ j
LT (fl)j−1 ,T
(fl)j
T (fl)j−1
Et
t
Bt
T N = T (fl)M
P T t t T
t ≤ T 0
F t = C
N i=1
P T it ∆i − P T 0t + P T (fl)M
t .
T (fl)S F t
F t = C
N T i>t
P T it ∆i − (1 + LT (fl)S−1,T
(fl)S τ S )P
T (fl)S
t + P T (fl)M
t ,
S T (fl)S −1 < t ≤ T
(fl)S
8/13/2019 CONT-Central Clearing of Interest Rate Swaps a Comparison of Offerings
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F t
F t
F t − F t− = −C ∆i, t T i
F t − F t− = LT (fl)j−1 ,T
(fl)j τ j , t T
(fl)j
T i,
C ∆i, T (fl)j
−LT (fl)j−1 ,T
(fl)j τ j
F 0.
F 0,
V 0 =ti≤T
E
B−1ti (F ti − F ti−1)
+ F 0 + F 0,
E0
V 0 =
E
{ˆ T
0
B−1
s dF
s} + 2F 0
Bt dBt = rtBtdt rt t
F T = 0 E{´ T 0
B−1s dF s} =
E{´ T 0
rsF sB−1s ds}+ E{F T B−1T } −F 0B−10 = E{
´ T 0
rsF sB−1s ds}−F 0
V 0 = E{
ˆ T 0
rsF sB−1s ds} + F 0.
V 0 =´ T 0
rsF sB−1s ds + F 0
rs,F s Bs
V 0
V t = E{´ T
0 rsF sB
−1s ds} ∀t > 0
8/13/2019 CONT-Central Clearing of Interest Rate Swaps a Comparison of Offerings
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drt = (Θ(t) − art)dt + σdW t,
Θ(t)
a σ
a → 0
F t
V 0
V i0
C ∆i T i
V i0 = ˆ T i
0
E{rsC ∆iP T is B−1s }ds + C ∆iP T i0
= C ∆iP T i0
ˆ T i0
dsET i{rs} + C ∆iP T i0 .
ET i
P T it
V i0 = C ∆iP T i0
σ2e−2aT i
−4eaT i + 3e2aT i + 1
4a3
− σ2T i
2a2 + T iRT i + 1
a → 0
V i0 → C ∆iP T i0 (RT iT i −
1
6σ2T 3i + 1),
RT i T i, P T i0 = e−RT iT i .
V i0
C ∆iP T i0
8/13/2019 CONT-Central Clearing of Interest Rate Swaps a Comparison of Offerings
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RT iT i
T i
σT 32i ,
V i0,fl i
T i T (fl)i
τ i = T i − T i−1
V i0,fl = E{
ˆ T i0
rsB−1s LT i−1,T iτ ids} + LT i−1,T i0 τ iP T i0 ,
LT i−1,T iτ i = 1P T iT i−1
− 1
T i−1
s = T i−1,
V i0,fl = P T i0
−
σ2e−2aT i
4a3 +
σ2e−aT i
a3 −
3σ2
4a3 +
σ2T i
2a2 − T iRT i
+ P T i−1
0
3σ2e−2aT i
4a3 +
σ2e−2aT i−1
a3
− σ2e−aT i−1
a3 +
σ2e−aτ i
2a3
− σ2
e−2aτ i
2a3 − 3σ
2
e−a(T i+T i−
1)
2a3 + 3σ
2
4a3 − σ
2
T i2a2
+ T iRT i
+ L
T i−1,T i0 τ iP T i0
a → 0
V i0,fl = P T i0 L
T i−1,T i0 τ i(RT iT i −
1
6σ2T 3i + 1 ) +
1
2P T i−10 σ2T 2i−1τ i
1 −
2τ i
T i−1
,
LT i−1,T i0
V i0
T i−1
t = 0
8/13/2019 CONT-Central Clearing of Interest Rate Swaps a Comparison of Offerings
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T
C V 0 = V i0 −V i0,fl
F 0
T = 10
σ
N 0 V 0
V 0 = N 0
N i=1
V i0 −M i=1
V i0,fl
,
8/13/2019 CONT-Central Clearing of Interest Rate Swaps a Comparison of Offerings
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σ a
a = −0.003
σ = 74
8/13/2019 CONT-Central Clearing of Interest Rate Swaps a Comparison of Offerings
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12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
28
30
1212010
18
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6
0
50
100
150
200
Mean Reversion Rate years1
S h o r t R a t e O U
V o l B a s i s P t s
IDCG Swap Maturity10Y
8/13/2019 CONT-Central Clearing of Interest Rate Swaps a Comparison of Offerings
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20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
1212010
60
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6
0
50
100
150
200
Mean Reversion Rate years1
S h o r t R a t e O U
V o l B a s i s P t s
IDCG Swap Maturity30Y
a σ
a = 0.107
σ = 158
8/13/2019 CONT-Central Clearing of Interest Rate Swaps a Comparison of Offerings
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•
8/13/2019 CONT-Central Clearing of Interest Rate Swaps a Comparison of Offerings
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•
S t
S T = BT (N i=1
B−1T iC ∆i −
M j=1
B−1T (fl)j
LT (fl)j−1 ,T
(fl)j τ j −
ˆ T 0
rtB−1t S tdt).
C i T i
S T = BT (N i=1
B−1T iC i −
ˆ T 0
rtB−1t S tdt)}
= BT (
N i=1
B−1T iC i +
ˆ T 0
S tdB−1t )
= BT
N i=1
B−1T iC i + BT (S T B
−1T − S 0 −
ˆ T 0
B−1t dS t)
= B
T
N i=1
B−1
T iC i +
X −
BT
S 0 −
BT ˆ T
0
B−1
t dS
t.
BT
S 0 +
ˆ T 0
B−1u dS u =N i=1
B−1T iC i.
S t
F t S 0 =E0{
N i=1 B−1T i
C i} = F 0
t
t
8/13/2019 CONT-Central Clearing of Interest Rate Swaps a Comparison of Offerings
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S 0 +ˆ t0 B
−1u dS u =
N T i≤t
B−1T i C i + Et{
N T i≤t
B−1T i C i}.
LHS = S 0 + S tB−1t −
S 0B−10 +´ t0
ruB−1u S udu = S tB−1t +´ t0
ruB−1u S udu. Et{N
T i≤tB−1T i
C i} =
B−1t Et{N
T i≤tBtB−1T i
C i} = B−1t F t
S tB−1t +
ˆ t0
ruB−1u S udu = B−1t (
N T i≤t
BtB−1T iC i + F t).
Bt
S t =N
T i≤t
BtB−1T iC i + F t − Bt
ˆ t
0
ruB−1u S udu.
t
´ t
0 B−1
u dS u = N T i≤t
B−1T iC i+
Et{N
T i≤t B−1T i C i}−S 0 =
N
T i≤t B−1T i C i + B
−1t F t−S 0
0 t
t
t 0
0
t
S u − S 0
8/13/2019 CONT-Central Clearing of Interest Rate Swaps a Comparison of Offerings
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