15
CALIFORNIA HOUSING MARKET UPDATE Monthly Sales and Price Statistics May 2015

County Sales & Price Statistics, April 2015

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

California’s housing market accelerated in April as the spring home-buying season kicked off with both higher home sales and prices for the third straight month. The County MLS median price and sales data in the tables are generated from a survey of more than 90 associations of REALTORS® throughout the state, and represent statistics of existing single-family detached homes only.

Citation preview

  • CALIFORNIA HOUSING MARKET UPDATE

    Monthly Sales and Price Statistics

    May 2015

  • SALES OF EXISTING DETACHED HOMES

    California, Apr. 2015 Sales: 427,620 Units, +4.1% YTD, +9.3% YTY

    -

    100,000

    200,000

    300,000

    400,000

    500,000

    600,000

    700,000

    Jan

    -05

    Jul-

    05

    Jan

    -06

    Jul-

    06

    Jan

    -07

    Jul-

    07

    Jan

    -08

    Jul-

    08

    Jan

    -09

    Jul-

    09

    Jan

    -10

    Jul-

    10

    Jan

    -11

    Jul-

    11

    Jan

    -12

    Jul-

    12

    Jan

    -13

    Jul-

    13

    Jan

    -14

    Jul-

    14

    Jan

    -15

    *Sales are seasonally adjusted and annualized SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    Apr-15: 427,620

    Apr-14: 391,330

  • CALIFORNIA SALES

    SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes, Seasonally Adjusted SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    -25%

    -20%

    -15%

    -10%

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    Jan

    -10

    Ap

    r-10

    Jul-

    10

    Oct

    -10

    Jan

    -11

    Ap

    r-11

    Jul-

    11

    Oct

    -11

    Jan

    -12

    Ap

    r-12

    Jul-

    12

    Oct

    -12

    Jan

    -13

    Ap

    r-13

    Jul-

    13

    Oct

    -13

    Jan

    -14

    Ap

    r-14

    Jul-

    14

    Oct

    -14

    Jan

    -15

    Ap

    r-15

    Year-over-Year % Chg 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Year-over-Year % Chg)

  • BAY AREA SALES (EXISTING SFH)

    SERIES: Sales, Not Seasonally Adjusted SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    -25%

    -20%

    -15%

    -10%

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    Jan

    -10

    Ap

    r-10

    Jul-

    10

    Oct

    -10

    Jan

    -11

    Ap

    r-11

    Jul-

    11

    Oct

    -11

    Jan

    -12

    Ap

    r-12

    Jul-

    12

    Oct

    -12

    Jan

    -13

    Ap

    r-13

    Jul-

    13

    Oct

    -13

    Jan

    -14

    Ap

    r-14

    Jul-

    14

    Oct

    -14

    Jan

    -15

    Ap

    r-15

    Bay Area 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Bay Area)

  • CENTRAL VALLEY SALES (EXISTING SFH)

    SERIES: Sales, Not Seasonally Adjusted SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    -30%

    -25%

    -20%

    -15%

    -10%

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    Jan

    -10

    Ap

    r-10

    Jul-

    10

    Oct

    -10

    Jan

    -11

    Ap

    r-11

    Jul-

    11

    Oct

    -11

    Jan

    -12

    Ap

    r-12

    Jul-

    12

    Oct

    -12

    Jan

    -13

    Ap

    r-13

    Jul-

    13

    Oct

    -13

    Jan

    -14

    Ap

    r-14

    Jul-

    14

    Oct

    -14

    Jan

    -15

    Ap

    r-15

    Central Valley 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Central Valley)

  • SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA (EXISTING SFH)

    SERIES: Sales, Not Seasonally Adjusted SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    -25%

    -20%

    -15%

    -10%

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    Jan

    -10

    Ap

    r-10

    Jul-

    10

    Oct

    -10

    Jan

    -11

    Ap

    r-11

    Jul-

    11

    Oct

    -11

    Jan

    -12

    Ap

    r-12

    Jul-

    12

    Oct

    -12

    Jan

    -13

    Ap

    r-13

    Jul-

    13

    Oct

    -13

    Jan

    -14

    Ap

    r-14

    Jul-

    14

    Oct

    -14

    Jan

    -15

    Ap

    r-15

    So CA 6 per. Mov. Avg. (So CA)

  • MEDIAN PRICE OF EXISTING DETACHED HOMES

    California, Apr. 2015: $481,760, +2.8% MTM, +7.4% YTY

    $-

    $100,000

    $200,000

    $300,000

    $400,000

    $500,000

    $600,000

    $700,000

    Jan

    -05

    Jul-

    05

    Jan

    -06

    Jul-

    06

    Jan

    -07

    Jul-

    07

    Jan

    -08

    Jul-

    08

    Jan

    -09

    Jul-

    09

    Jan

    -10

    Jul-

    10

    Jan

    -11

    Jul-

    11

    Jan

    -12

    Jul-

    12

    Jan

    -13

    Jul-

    13

    Jan

    -14

    Jul-

    14

    Jan

    -15

    P: May-07 $594,530

    T: Feb-09 $245,230 -59% from peak

    SERIES: Median Price of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    Apr-15: $481,760

    Apr-15: $448,720

  • CA MEDIAN PRICE (EXISTING SFH)

    SERIES: Median Price, Not Seasonally Adjusted SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    -15%

    -10%

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    Jan

    -05

    Jun

    -05

    No

    v-0

    5

    Ap

    r-0

    6

    Sep

    -06

    Feb

    -07

    Jul-

    07

    Dec

    -07

    May

    -08

    Oct

    -08

    Mar

    -09

    Au

    g-0

    9

    Jan

    -10

    Jun

    -10

    No

    v-10

    Ap

    r-11

    Sep

    -11

    Feb

    -12

    Jul-

    12

    Dec

    -12

    May

    -13

    Oct

    -13

    Mar

    -14

    Au

    g-1

    4

    Jan

    -15

    Month-to-Month % Chg

  • CHANGE IN SALES BY PRICE RANGE

    (Year-to-Year)

    -16.5%

    4.6%

    9.7%

    17.0% 14.0%

    24.0% 21.1%

    12.6%

    -20%

    -15%

    -10%

    -5%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    Apr-15

    SERIES: Sales of Existing Detached Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • INVENTORY DROPPED SLIGHTLY FROM LAST YEAR

    Apr 2014: 3.6 Months; Apr 2015: 3.5 Months

    Note: Unsold Inventory Index represents the number of months it would take to sell the remaining inventory for the month in question. The remaining inventory for the month is defined as the number of properties that were Active, Pending, and Contingent (when available) and divide the sum by the number of Sold properties for the month in question.

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    16

    18

    Jan

    -05

    Jul-

    05

    Jan

    -

    Jul-

    06

    Jan

    -07

    Jul-

    07

    Jan

    -

    Jul-

    08

    Jan

    -

    Jul-

    09

    Jan

    -10

    Jul-

    10

    Jan

    -11

    Jul-

    11

    Jan

    -12

    Jul-

    12

    Jan

    -13

    Jul-

    13

    Jan

    -14

    Jul-

    14

    Jan

    -15

    SERIES: Unsold Inventory Index of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • UNSOLD INVENTORY INDEX (MONTHS)

    Note: Unsold Inventory Index represents the number of months it would take to sell the remaining inventory for the month in question. The remaining inventory for the month is defined as the number of properties that were Active, Pending, and Contingent (when available) and divide the sum by the number of Sold properties for the month in question.

    Price Range (Thousand) Apr-15 Mar-15 Apr-14

    $1,000K+ 4.5 5.0 4.8

    $750-999K 3.5 4.0 3.9

    $500-749K 3.4 3.6 3.5

    $400-499K 3.1 3.5 3.4

    $300-399K 3.2 3.6 3.5

    $200-299K 3.4 3.6 3.3

    $0-199K 3.3 3.7 3.1

    SERIES: Unsold Inventory Index of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • INVENTORY DROPPED SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE BAY AREA SINCE 2009

    BUT REMAINED TIGHT

    Note: Unsold Inventory Index represents the number of months it would take to sell the remaining inventory for the month in question. The remaining inventory for the month is defined as the number of properties that were Active, Pending, and Contingent (when available) and divide the sum by the number of Sold properties for the month in question.

    2.2

    3.5 3.7

    0.0

    1.0

    2.0

    3.0

    4.0

    5.0

    6.0

    7.0

    8.0

    9.0

    Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15

    Bay Area Central Valley So CA

    SERIES: Unsold Inventory Index of Existing Single Family Homes SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • PRICE PER SQUARE FOOT

    April 2015: $223, Up 4.0% MTM, Up 8.4% YTY

    $0

    $50

    $100

    $150

    $200

    $250

    $300

    $350

    $400

    Jan

    -07

    Ap

    r-0

    7

    Jul-

    07

    Oct

    -07

    Jan

    -08

    Ap

    r-0

    8

    Jul-

    08

    Oct

    -08

    Jan

    -09

    Ap

    r-0

    9

    Jul-

    09

    Oct

    -09

    Jan

    -10

    Ap

    r-10

    Jul-

    10

    Oct

    -10

    Jan

    -11

    Ap

    r-11

    Jul-

    11

    Oct

    -11

    Jan

    -12

    Ap

    r-12

    Jul-

    12

    Oct

    -12

    Jan

    -13

    Ap

    r-13

    Jul-

    13

    Oct

    -13

    Jan

    -14

    Ap

    r-14

    Jul-

    14

    Oct

    -14

    Jan

    -15

    Ap

    r-15

    PRICE PER SQ. FT.

    SERIES: Median Price Per Square Feet SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • SALES-TO-LIST RATIO

    April 2015: 98.8%, Up 0.5% MTM, Down 0.2% YTY

    98.8%

    86%

    88%

    90%

    92%

    94%

    96%

    98%

    100%

    102%

    Jan

    -07

    Ap

    r-0

    7

    Jul-

    07

    Oct

    -07

    Jan

    -08

    Ap

    r-0

    8

    Jul-

    08

    Oct

    -08

    Jan

    -09

    Ap

    r-0

    9

    Jul-

    09

    Oct

    -09

    Jan

    -10

    Ap

    r-10

    Jul-

    10

    Oct

    -10

    Jan

    -11

    Ap

    r-11

    Jul-

    11

    Oct

    -11

    Jan

    -12

    Ap

    r-12

    Jul-

    12

    Oct

    -12

    Jan

    -13

    Ap

    r-13

    Jul-

    13

    Oct

    -13

    Jan

    -14

    Ap

    r-14

    Jul-

    14

    Oct

    -14

    Jan

    -15

    Ap

    r-15

    Sales-to-List Price Ratio

    SERIES: Sales-to-List Ratio SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

  • HOUSING DEMAND OUTPACED SUPPLY IN THE BAY AREA AND SO CAL

    8% 9%

    7%

    -11%

    3%

    11%

    -20%

    -10%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    San Francisco Bay Area Southern California Central Valley

    Sales Active ListingsYear-to-Year % Chg

    SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS

    April 2015