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Creating Innovative Tools Using ArcGIS
Evan Girvetz The Nature Conservancy and
University of Washington
Creative Hats of Innovation
Creative Hats of Innovation
• Identifying relevant questions/applications
• Developing an analysis to address the question
• Creating tools to analyze, visualize and communicate
Creative Hats of Innovation
• Identifying relevant questions/applications
• Developing an analysis to address the question
• Creating tools to analyze, visualize and communicate
Creative Hats of Innovation
• Identifying relevant questions/applications
• Developing an analysis to address the question
• Creating tools to analyze, visualize and communicate
Yellow-billed Cuckoo (Coccyzus americanus)
Photo from: Arthur Morris
Spring Migration
• Migrate from South
America during March
• Arrive at Sacramento
River during late May.
© enature.com
Patch Delineation
Non-Suitable Land Cover Gap
Suitable Land Cover
Spur
Patch Delineation
Non-Suitable Land Cover Gap
Suitable Land Cover
Spur
PatchMorph Methods
PatchMorph
• Scientific publication:
– Girvetz & Greco 2007, Landscape Ecology
ArcScripts
• Download PatchMorph from ArcScripts:
– http://arcscripts.esri.com/details.asp?dbid=14977
• Search PatchMorph
• Many other useful tools and programming scripts can be downloaded from ArcScripts
Using PatchMorph for Restoration Planning Along the Sacramento River
Santa Monica Mountains
• Mountain Lion habitat connectivity
John Gallo, unpublished data
Mountain Lion Habitat Suitability
Mountain Lion Habitat Suitability
Low Spur High
Gap
High
Low
Top 75% of Suitability Values
Core Area Patch Likelihood
Core Area Patch Likelihood
Mountain Lion Corridor Linkage Analysis
Mountain Lion Corridor Linkage Analysis
ClimateWizard: Practical Climate Analysis
Evan Girvetz, University of Washington
Chris Zganjar, The Nature Conservancy
George Raber, University of Southern Mississippi
Jonathan Hoekstra, The Nature Conservancy
Peter Kareiva, The Nature Conservancy
Josh Lawler, University of Washington
• Climate change is occurring
• Decisions are being made about how and where to respond
• Data are available, but often inaccessible
Climate Does Not Change the
Same Everywhere
Climate does not change the same everywhere
Mean Temperature Change 1951 - 2002
Climate Wizard analysis (Girvetz et al.2009), using CRU 0.5 degree global climate data (Mitchell & Jones 2005)
June - August
September - November December - February
March - May
ClimateWizard analysis (Girvetz et al.2009), using CRU 0.5 degree global climate data (Mitchell & Jones 2005)
Climate Changes Seasonally 1951-2002
Climate Changes Differently in
Different Months
Winter (north) Summer (south)
1951-2002
ClimateWizard analysis (Girvetz et al.2009), using CRU 0.5 degree global climate data (Mitchell & Jones 2005)
1901 – 2002 Temperature Trend
0.7 oC/century
Climate Wizard analysis (Girvetz et al.2009), using CRU TS 2.1 0.5 degree global climate data (Mitchell & Jones 2005)
1941 – 2002 Temperature Trend
1.1 oC/century
Climate Wizard analysis (Girvetz et al.2009), using CRU TS 2.1 0.5 degree global climate data (Mitchell & Jones 2005)
1951 – 2002 Temperature Trend
1.6 oC/century
Climate Wizard analysis (Girvetz et al.2009), using CRU TS 2.1 0.5 degree global climate data (Mitchell & Jones 2005)
1961 – 2002 Temperature Trend
2.2 oC/century
Climate Wizard analysis (Girvetz et al.2009), using CRU TS 2.1 0.5 degree global climate data (Mitchell & Jones 2005)
3.1oC/century
1971 – 2002 Temperature Trend
Climate Wizard analysis (Girvetz et al.2009), using CRU TS 2.1 0.5 degree global climate data (Mitchell & Jones 2005)
3.1oC/century
2.2oC/century
1.6 oC/century
1.1 oC/century
0.7 oC/century
Depending on the time frame temperature trend ranges from
0.7 to 3.1 oC/century
Climate Trend Analysis
Climate Wizard analysis (Girvetz et al.2009), using CRU TS 2.1 0.5 degree global climate data (Mitchell & Jones 2005)
Climate Wizard analysis (Girvetz et al.2009), using CRU TS 2.1 0.5 degree global climate data (Mitchell & Jones 2005)
Need for Practical Climate Analysis
• Scientists, managers, and planners (i.e.
practitioners) need to know how climate has and
will change
• Climate change data and analyses are
not readily accessible to practitioners
Need for Climate Toolbox
• Toolbox is needed to:
–Answer relevant questions
–Provide useful products
• maps, graphs, tables,
GIS layers
Climate Wizard
• Want to communicate climate change within:
– Geographic areas (globally, regionally, locally)
– Time domains (months, seasons, annually)
– Time periods (historic, future)
– Climate Variables (temperature, precipitation)
http://ClimateWizard.org
Different Tools for Different People
Level 1 Level 2
Level 3
Future Climate Projections
• 16 General circulation models (GCMs)
• 3 greenhouse-gas emissions scenarios
– A2 (higher), A1B (middle), B1 (lower)
Meehl et al.
Science 2005
48 projections US (lower 48 states only)
12 km resolution (data statistically downscaled by Maurer et al, 2007)
ArcGIS Server
• Web mapping services
– SOAP, REST
– KML, WMS/WFS
• Can serve data to map applications for multiple types of clients
– Web browser
– Desktop
– Mobile
Future is Here Today: The Cloud
FromESRI.com
Cloud Computing
• Amazon Web Services – S3: Mass storage on the Cloud – EC2: Elastic Computing on the Cloud
• Benefits of Cloud Computing – Cost effective – Dependable – Flexible – Comprehensive
You Can Do It with ModelBuilder!
PatchMorph Methods
Build a Custom Model
Creative Hats of Innovation
• Identifying relevant questions/applications
• Developing an analysis to address the question
• Creating tools to analyze, visualize and communicate
Evan Girvetz: [email protected]
