Crony Capitalism India

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    CRONY CAPITALISM AND INDIA

    Before and After Liberalization

    March 2008

    Working Paper

    No: 2008/04

    ISID

    CRONY CAPITALISM

    AND CONTEMPORARY INDIA-II

    Surajit Mazumdar

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    Surajit Mazumdar

    Institute for Studies in Industrial Development4, Institutional Area, Vasant Kunj, New Delhi - 110 070

    Phone: +91 11 2689 1111; Fax:+91 11 2612 2448

    E-mail:Website:

    March 2008

    ISID Working Paper

    2008/04

    CRONY CAPITALISM AND INDIABefore and After Liberalization

    CRONY CAPITALISM AND CONTEMPORARY INDIA-II

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    Institute for Studies in Industrial Development, 2008

    ISID Working Papers are meant to disseminate the tentative results and findings

    obtained from the on-going research activities at the Institute and to attract comments

    and suggestions which may kindly be addressed to the author(s).

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    Table7 IllustrativeListofCasesofMorethanoneCompany

    ofthesamegroupinthesameindustry 26

    Table8 RelativeImportanceofDifferentCategoriesofIndustries

    andtheirOverlaps 29

    Table9 SignificanceofNewFirmsamongstLeadingFirms

    in28

    Category

    4Industries

    29

    Table10 PeriodofOriginofNewMajorIndianPlayers

    in28Category4Industries 30

    Table11 SharesinTotalSalesof126products 31

    AppendixTable1SampleIndustriesRankedAccordingtoSizeofSales 37

    AppendixTable2SampleIndustriesRankedAccordingtoShare

    ofTop5FirmsandImports 42

    AppendixTable3DistributionofSalesofleadingFirmsin28Category4Industries 46

    Appendix

    Table

    4

    TheTop

    40

    Indian

    Families/Groups

    and

    the

    Top

    10

    MNCs

    in200506,EachRankedAccordingtoSalesin126SampleIndustries

    (inRs.Crores) 47

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    CRONY CAPITALISM AND INDIA

    Before and After Liberalization

    SurajitMazumdar*

    [Abstract: This paper, the second in the series, initiates the examination of the nature of the

    relationshipbetweenprivatecapitalandtheStateinIndia.Whiletheprincipalfocusisonthepresent

    contextofIndiaunderaliberaleconomicpolicyregime,boththepastofIndiancapitalismandthepast

    discussionontheconcentrationofeconomicpowerarealsobroughtintothepicturetosubstantiatethe

    keyarguments.Thepaperprovidestheoreticalandalsosomelimitedempiricalsubstantiationforthe

    propositionthatunlikewhatwouldbethepredictionofcronycapitalismtheory,liberalization,rather

    thanreducingthedegreeofsubordinationofpublicauthoritytoprivatecapital,hasonlyfacilitatedan

    enhanceddegreeofstatecapture.]

    1. Introduction

    ThispaperisthesecondinaseriesoncronycapitalismandcontemporaryIndia.Moving

    fromthemoregeneraldiscussionofthetheoryofcronycapitalismthatthefirstpaper1

    was concerned with, this one initiates the process of directly addressing the current

    Indiancontext.Theprimepurpose of thispaper is to make thecase that there existsa

    veryreal

    business

    state

    nexus

    in

    India

    under

    aliberal

    economic

    policy

    regime

    whereby

    theexercisingofpublicauthorityisoftensubservienttotheinterestsofprivateprofit.An

    additional subtheme of this paper is that the concrete case of Indian capitalism

    reinforcestheconclusionsarrivedatinthefirstpaper.

    Asmentionedinthatpaper,ifoneweretogobythereasoningofthetheoryofcrony

    capitalism, then the phenomenon of cronyism shouldbe globally in rapid historical

    retreat.NowhereshouldthisbetruerthanintheIndiancontextemergingwiththeonset

    of liberalization. The process initiated since 1991 was clearly a crisisdriven change, in

    line with the theorys understanding of how thebreaking down of crony systems is

    initiated.IthasinvolvedtheretreatoftheStatefromattemptstodirectthecourseofthe

    economy, the dismantling of the entire structure of discretionary controls associated

    * ThispaperisthesecondintheseriesonCronyCapitalismandContemporaryIndiaandalsothe

    secondbythesameauthor.Theacknowledgementsandthedisclaimerofthefirstpaperapply

    tothisonetoo.Email:[email protected] Mazumdar(2008)

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    2

    with, and the grant of greater freedom to the operation of market forces. The

    liberalizationprocesshasencompassedthefinancialsectoraswellastheexternalsector,

    withthelooseningofcontrolsontradeandcapitalflows,bothdirectandportfolio.Some

    studieshavesoughttoestablishthattheentryofforeigninstitutionalinvestors(FIIs)into

    theIndianstockmarkethasconsiderablyimprovedthemonitoringbythemarketofthe

    performanceofcorporatemanagements2.Arulebasedtakeovercodehasalsobeenputin place. India has alsobeen from muchbefore 1991 an electoral democracy with an

    independentjudiciary and a free press (both of whom have clearly tilted more and

    more towards freemarket ideology in recent years). Since 1991 there have alsobeen

    numerouschangesofgovernment.

    Postliberalization India thus possesses virtually noneof theclassic conditions that the

    theory of crony capitalism associates with flourishing crony capitalism. Yet, we shall

    argueinthispaperthatitwouldamounttoatravestyofthetruthifweweretoconclude

    from

    this

    that

    the

    Indian

    State

    hasbeen

    freed,

    to

    a

    great

    extent

    if

    not

    entirely,

    from

    capturebyprivatebusinessinterests.Butweshallcometothatnotdirectlybutaftera

    briefjourney intothepastofIndiancapitalism.Twopurposeswouldbeservedbythis

    forayintohistorythatwillbecoveredinthefirsttwopartsofthisessay.Oneisthatitcan

    serve as a gentle reminder of the fact that the phenomena of state authority serving

    businessinterestsinIndiahasbeenstretchedoveralongperiodoftime,itsbeginnings

    predatingbyovertwocenturiestheemergenceofthepostindependenceactiviststate.

    Secondly, in thatbrief recapitulation of the past, we shall also revisit the old Indian

    discussion and debates on the relationshipbetween concentration of economic power

    and

    a

    policy

    framework

    that

    involved

    planning,

    controls

    and

    regulation.

    Apart

    from

    providingsomeinsightsthatmaybeofrelevanceeveninthepresentcontext,thisrevisit

    wouldcontributetoanappreciationofthefactthatthereareotherwaysthanthatoffered

    bythetheoryofcronycapitalismtoapproachthestudyofthebusinessstaterelationship.

    Thethirdpartoftheessayshallthenprovidethegeneralargumentswhyliberalization

    hasnoteliminatedthestructuralbasisforthecronyisminIndiancapitalismbutinstead

    reinforced,perhapscronyisminthenarrowersenseandmostdefinitelythegeneralgrip

    of corporate interests over state policy. The fourth and final section shall then try to

    providesomekindofindirectempiricalsubstantiationofthisbydemonstratingthatthe

    contextofliberalizedIndiancapitalismhasnotinfactprovedtobehighlysupportiveto

    thegeneralgrowthofentrepreneurship.

    2 Khanna&Palepu(2000)

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    3

    2. COLONIALISMAND THE MANY SHADESOF CRONYISM

    ThebeginningsofIndiascapitalistexperiencecanbetracedbacktothearrivalinIndia

    ofEuropeanmercantilecompanies,themostimportanteventuallybeingtheBritishEast

    Indiacompany(theCompany).ThegrantoftheroyalchartertotheCompanybyQueen

    Victoria

    in

    1600

    giving

    it

    a

    monopoly

    over

    the

    India

    trade

    can

    be

    called

    the

    first

    act

    of

    cronyismofrelevancetoIndia.Thismonopolywassubsequentlydeepenedinthe18th

    centuryby the gradual displacement of other European mercantile companies and the

    process of the territorial conquest of India. Conquest converted the Company into

    government,themostextremeformofstatecapturepossible,andwhichledtoeventhe

    utilizationof surplus revenueforthecommercialactivityofpurchaseofIndiangoodsfor

    exporttoEnglandandEurope3.CronyismwasalsoreflectedintheCompanygovernment

    helping itsownservantsandotherEuropeanmerchantstoamassvast fortunesfromthe

    inlandtradeandevendirectloot.

    TheerosionoftheCompanysindependenceandtheincreasingauthorityoftheBritish

    crownoverIndianaffairsdidnotmeantheendofcolonialcronyism.Theabolitionofthe

    CompanysmonopolyoverthetradewithIndia in1813wasaresultoftheriseofnew

    interests in Britain, the industrial capitalist class which was interested in accessing the

    Indian market. Their powerful influence, through the Lancashire lobby in the British

    parliament,onIndiantradepolicyforoveracenturysincetheabolitionofthecompanys

    monopoly,iswidelyacknowledged4.Thefreetradepolicythatthecolonialrulersadopted

    in India was surely a case of state intervention. Yet, since that did not involve state

    intervention as conventionally understood, the theory of crony capitalism would fail to

    recognizethecronyismelementthatisactuallywritsolargeonit.Thattheonewayfree

    trade policy provided the environment for the long process of deindustrialization of

    Indias economy, the massive destruction of Indias traditional artisanal industry, only

    servestoemphasizethisstrongelementofcronyismunderlyingit.

    Thebeginningsofrailwayconstructionandtheparallelemergenceofmodern industry

    andcapitalistenterpriseinIndiainthemiddleofthe19thcenturybroughtinitswakea

    new kind of cronyism alongside the one described above. The business class that

    emerged during this period had two distinct componentsexpatriate Europeans and

    nativebusinessmenwhomovedfrompurelymercantileactivitiesintoindustry.Ofthese,European enterprise came to occupy the commanding heights of the economy,

    3 Dutt(1983)4 Indeed this is the reason that British imperial policybefore 1914 hasbeen often erroneously

    interpreted asbeing entirely reducible to advancement of the interests of the Lancashire textile

    industry[Bagchi(1980)].

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    dominatingnotonlyinternationaltrade,bankingandshipping,butalsothesectorsbased

    on export markets and those with a large dependence on government purchases. The

    privateconstructionofrailwayswasalsoundertakenbyEuropeanenterprise.

    ThedominanceofEuropeanbusinessmenwasbasedon,thepersistentadvantagesenjoyed

    bytheEuropeansnotonlybecauseoftheirearlystartandacquaintancewithexternalmarketsbutalsobecauseof theracialalignmentofgovernmentpatronageand thefinancialandotherservices

    supportingandreinforcingEuropeancontrolovertradeandindustry5.

    Inotherwords,thepeculiarcontextofcapitalismemerginginacolonialeconomymade

    for a sharp inequality of influence that enabled European capitalists to establish and

    maintainadominantpositioninrelationtotheirIndiancounterparts.

    ThedominanceofmodernindustrybyEuropeanbusinesshousesbeforetheFirstWorld

    War

    was

    supported

    and

    reinforced

    by

    a

    whole

    set

    of

    administrative,political,

    and

    financial arrangements within India. The European businessmen very consciously set

    themselves apartfrom native businessmen; they claimed a cultural and racial affinity

    withtheBritishrulersofIndiawhichwasdeniedtotheIndianswhomightcompetewith

    them.

    For theEuropeans,whether civil servantsor military officers or businessmen, society

    consistedofotherEuropeans

    .this social discrimination was complemented and supported bypolitical, economic,

    administrative and financial arrangements which afforded European businessmen a

    substantialandsystematicadvantageovertheirIndianrivalsinIndia.6

    Thisdescriptionwouldsurelyfitwhatistodaycalledacronycapitalistsystem.

    ThepoliticizationofIndianbusinessintheperiodaftertheFirstWorldWar,theprocess

    of its alignment with the national movement, took place in thisbackground as native

    businessesandnationalistpoliticsfoundcommongroundonissuesofeconomicpolicy.

    It was also the process through which many Indian businessmen established their

    connectionswiththosewhoweregoingtobepartofthefuturepoliticalestablishment.

    A less obvious instance of cronyism during the colonial period was associated with the

    emergence of a new kind of foreign enterprise on the Indian scene in the interwar

    5 Bagchi(1980),p.205.TheideologyofwhitesuperiorityandtheexclusionofIndiansfromkey

    positions in the military and administrative structure were logical corollaries of colonial rule

    [Sarkar(1983)].6 Bagchi(1980),Pp.16667

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    5

    periodthemultinationalcorporation.Theircompetitivestrength laytoagreatextentin

    their command over technology and financial resources, and they were therefore less

    dependent thanexpatriate European firmsonaspecial relationshipwithBritish colonial

    administrators7. Yet it cannotbe said that British was entirely immaterial to creating a

    congenialenvironmentforBritishMNCs.

    TheoverseasactivitiesbyBritishCorporationsalreadywelldevelopedbeforetheFirst

    World War thus saw significant further expansion in the 1930s. The natural

    directionofexpansionformanycompaniesintheinterwarcontextwastheEmpire.8

    Manyprominent MNCentrants of that time were in fact of British originforexample,

    ImperialTobacco(ITC),ImperialChemical(ICI),Unilever,Dunlop,BritishOxygen,British

    Aluminium, General Electric Corporation (GEC), GuestKeenNettlefold (GKN)and no

    othernationalgrouphadacomparableapresence.

    3. CRONYISMAND THE POSTINDEPENDENCE CONTEXT: THE

    DEBATE ON CONCENTRATIONOF ECONOMICPOWER

    With the transfer of power, Indian capitalism entered a new phase and this was

    accompaniedby shifts in the alignment of patronage towards Indianbusinesses to a

    much greater extent than earlier. The strategy of importsubstituting industrialization

    and planned economic development that the Indian State adopted soon after

    independence was one thatbroadly had the concurrence of Indianbusiness. In that

    strategy,apartfromrestrictionsonexternaleconomicinteraction,thestatehadakeyrole

    asan

    active

    agent

    of

    intervention

    in

    the

    economy,

    both

    as

    producer

    as

    well

    as

    regulator.

    Privatecapitaltoohadaplaceintheplannedprocessofexpansion,butthatmeantthat

    the State or State agencies remained important in the allocation of expansion

    opportunitiesbetween private enterprises through a system involving industrial and

    importlicensing,foreigncollaborationapprovals,capitalissuescontrols,etc.

    Thequestionofcronyism,withoutthattermitselfbeingused,surfacedwithinthelarger

    concern with the issueofconcentration ofeconomic power. Thiswasnotsomething

    that initially occupied too much of the attention of policy makers, though the

    Constitution that came into force in 1950 did refer to such concentration in general

    terms9.Norwasitnecessarilythoughtthattheprivatecorporatesectorwasthecentreof

    7 Ray(1985)8 Hannah (1983), p. 117. Hannah also suggested that company names like Imperial Chemical

    Industrieswerenoaccidents.9 CertainprinciplesofpolicytobefollowedbytheState

    TheStateshall,inparticular,directitspolicytowardssecuring....contd...

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    suchconcentration.Indeedanearlyargumentwasthatthoughcontroloverindustryhad

    become an important source of economic power, land ownership was still the more

    important one10. The notion that economic power was heavily concentrated in a few

    handswasalsoconsideredasonethatmaybedismissedasanalarmistview11.Itwas

    also contended that the real emerging centre of concentrated economic power was the

    Stateratherthantheprivatecorporatesector.

    while theprocess of concentration of economicpower wasyet to be completed, the

    countervailingpowerinthehandsoftheStatehasalreadyassumedsizeableproportions.

    The seat of concentrated economic power is shifting from private individuals to

    countervailing institutions,particularly the state. This may, if at all, meanpolitical

    democratisationofeconomicpowerbutitcertainlyisnotdiffusionofeconomicpower.12

    Concentration in the private corporate sector really came under the lens in the 1960s

    beginningwiththeappearanceoftheMahalonobisCommitteeReport(1964),whichwas

    followed by reports of a number of important Government commissionsthe

    Monopolies Inquiry Commission (1965), the Managing Agency Inquiry Committee

    (1967),andtheIndustrialLicensingPolicyInquiryCommittee(1969)13.Hazarisseminal

    study14,whosepreliminaryresultswereusedbytheMahalonobisCommittee,mustalso

    findmentionamongstthemajorstudiesonconcentrationintheprivatecorporatesector

    appearinginthisdecade,thoughtherewerealsootherspublishedbeforeoraroundthe

    sametime15.

    The central empirical fact that generated much of the discussion on private corporate

    concentration in the1960swas that this concentration was not exhibiting a downward

    trend despite theprocess of industrialexpansionanda few largebusinesshouseshad

    maintainedasteadydominanceover thesector.One focusof thediscussion,therefore,

    was on the causes of such concentration, with a diversity of such causes as well as

    opinionsmakingtheirappearance.Theadmission,thatconcentrationofeconomicpower

    (b)thattheownershipandcontrolofthematerialresourcesofthecommunityaresodistributed

    asbesttosubservethecommongood;

    (c)thattheoperationoftheeconomicsystemdoesnotresultintheconcentrationofwealthand

    means

    of

    production

    to

    the

    common

    detriment;

    ...

    [Constitution

    of

    India,

    Part

    IV,

    DIRECTIVEPRINCIPLESOFSTATEPOLICY,Article39]10 Bose(1952)11 Bajpai(1952),p.31812 Mohnot,p.vii13 GOI(1964),GOI(1965),GOI(1966)andGOI(1969)14 Hazari(1966)15 Mehta(1952aandb),Joshi(1965),Mohnot(1962),Kothari(1967)

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    7

    inindustrywastoanextentinevitableandwouldconsequentlyhavetobetolerated,

    was indeedquitecommon inthe literature.Considerationsofefficiencyandeconomies

    ofscale,scarcityofentrepreneurialtalent,andthegreaterabilityoflargebusinesshouses

    tomobilizefinancesandsecureforeigncollaborations,weretypicallycitedasfactorsfor

    suchinevitability,thoughothersdidcontestsuchviews16.Theavailabilityofdeviceslike

    the managing agency to control companies was also highlighted in the discussion oncausesofcorporateconcentration.Butmostimportantforourpurposeswasthedebate

    on the relationshipbetween concentration and the system of controls and regulation,

    whichiswherecronyismasitisnormallyunderstood,couldoperate.BoththeMICand

    theILPIChighlightedhowthesystemofcontrolsandregulationbecameinstrumentsfor

    perpetuating or increasing private corporate concentration. But their analysis did not

    reduceitalltoasimpleissueofcorruption.

    The MIC did mention the deep pockets of largebusiness houses and their use for

    providing

    financial

    assistance

    to

    political

    parties

    and

    to

    corrupt

    public

    officials

    and

    betweenthemselvestheMICandtheILPICalsohighlightedthedeliberatemanipulation

    by largebusiness houses of the licensing mechanism17. But there were two mutually

    reinforcing additional elements that in their view made for the system of controls

    working in favourof largebusiness houses. Onewas the weightof theircredentials

    with the authorities. Even if no extraneous considerations were at work, licensing

    authoritieskeentoensurethatscarceresourcesareeffectivelyutilizedtendedtofavour

    thosewithestablishedcredentials,experienceinexecutinglargeinvestmentprojects,and

    whocouldmoresuccessfullyorganizethenecessaryfinancesandforeigncollaborations.

    Thiswas

    not

    afactor

    that

    depended

    on

    any

    connections

    between

    business

    families

    and

    publicofficialsbutwasanaturaltendencyflowingfromthesamecontextthatgaverise

    to planning and licensing. A second factor reinforcing this was the direct result of

    cronyism in the economic domainthe control and influence of largebusiness houses

    over banks and financial institutions. Some of these were private entities directly

    controlledbythesehouses,buttheyalsoincludedfinancialinstitutionsinwhoseaffairs

    thesehouseshadamajorsaythroughtheirrepresentationinthemanagementsofthese

    institutions.

    R.C.Dutt,however,inaddinganotherdimensiontothisissue,infactturnedtheissueon

    itsheadbyarguingthatconcentrationofeconomicpowerwasmorethecausethanthe

    effectofhowthesystemofcontrolswasused.

    16 SeeforexampleRCDuttsnoteofdissentinGOI(1969)andVKRVRaosintroductiontoGoyal

    (1979)17 Ghose(1972)

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    Asfarasplanningand controlsareconcerned, theyareby themselvesneutral in this

    respect.Theycancertainlybeutilised to increaseconcentration.At the same time they

    canequallyeffectivelybeutilizedtoreduceorpreventfurtherconcentration.

    the influencewhich thosewhocontrol large largesectorsof the economyhaveon the

    economic policies and decisions of Government.can to some extent determine the

    mannerinwhicheconomiccontrolsareexercisedbygovernment,andaccountforthefact

    thatthesecontrolshavenotbeenactivelyutilizedtopreventincreaseofconcentration.18

    UnderlyingthisperceptionofDuttwasaclearcutunderstandingofthequiteimpersonal

    powerofbigbusinessthatwasinherentinthestructureoftheeconomy.

    Concentratedeconomicpowerinvolvescontroloflargeresources,andalsooflargeareas

    ofproductionandoftheeconomyasawhole.Thosewhohavethiscontrolareinaposition

    to influence the economic policy in a large measure, irrespective entirely of their

    relationship withpolitical parties, whether in opposition or inpower, or even their

    relationship with individuals in authority.Aprogrammefor industrial expansion,forinstance,mustdependtoalargeextentonthewillingnessofthecorporatesectortoinvest

    their savings for such expansion. Those who control the savings can influence the

    incentivesrequiredforinvestment,and,therefore,thewholesetofeconomicdecisions

    whichrelatetothisproblem.19

    Hazari also expressed a somewhat similar understanding of what concentration of

    economicpowerimplied:

    The strongest argument against concentration ofprivate economicpower in a mixed

    economy isthat, intheabsenceofchecksandbalanceswithwhichapoliticaldemocracysafeguards itself against thepowers of Government, it can and is likely to act to the

    common detriment. Onpurely economic reckoning by the strength of itspower, big

    businesscaninfluenceboththemarketandtheGovernmenttosecurelargeresourcesfor

    ends which are either of lowpriority in terms ofplanning or earn lower returns than

    wouldhavebeenearnedbyotherbusinesses,orboth.20

    Inotherwords,itwaspreciselytheabilitythatitgavetoafewlargebusinessgroupsto

    significantly influence state policy that made concentration in the private corporate

    sector a relevant phenomenon. It was left to S.K. Goyal to later explicitly make this

    connection between the two while simultaneously distinguishing between businessconcentrationandconcentrationofeconomicpower21.Businessconcentrationinhisview

    18 GOI(1969),Pp.19219319 GOI(1969),p.19320 Hazari(1967),p.viii21 Goyal(1979)

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    reflectedtheconcentrationincontroloverassetsandtheconsequentabilitytoinfluence

    themarketwhileconcentrationofeconomicpoweralsoincludedthepowertoinfluence

    governmentdecisionmaking.Sucheconomicpowercouldbeexercisedbybigbusiness

    enterprises individually as well as collectively. Concentration of control over assets did

    not provide a proper index of the concentration of this power because it was not

    distributedinproportiontothecontroloverassets.

    The Mahalanobis Committee had also earlier taken a position that the degree of

    concentrationofcontroloverassetspersemaynotproperlyindicatetheconcentrationof

    economicpower.

    The term concentration could also be based in a wider sense of a small number of

    individualsorgroupshaving in theircontrol significantvolumesof economicpower in

    termsofcapitalorincomeoremploymentormediaofcommunicationwhich,thoughnot

    constitutingalarge

    percentage

    share

    ofthe

    national

    aggregate

    in

    each

    case,

    nevertheless

    setsthemsomuchhigherthananyotherindividualorgroupintherelevantcontextthat

    itgivesthemadisproportionately largeinfluenceandenablesthemtoexerciseeconomic

    powernotmeasurablestatisticallybythemereratiosofconcentration.22

    TheCommittee in addition hadcommented specificallyon the corporatesector.While

    notingthattheindustrialproductionintheprivatesectoraccountedatthattimeforonly

    16%ofthenationalproduct,andonlyhalfofthatwasorganizedunderacorporateform,

    itsaid:

    Butthe

    corporate

    sector

    isthe

    most

    dynamic

    element

    ofour

    developing

    economy

    and

    mustclaimspecialattention inanystudyofconcentrationofeconomicpowerThough

    the increasing size of companies is by itself not necessarily an index of growing

    concentrationofownershipof companies and there is some evidenceofan increasing

    dispersalofownershipassuchthephenomenonisconducivetogreaterconcentrationof

    controlandeconomicpowerandhasfacilitatedtheprocess.23[Emphasisoriginal]

    Inotherwords,asBerleandMeanshadpointedout,therewasaclearappreciationofthe

    twosidednatureoftheprocessofseparationofownershipandcontrol.And likeBerle

    andMeansagain,concentrationofeconomicpowerwasclearlydistinguished from the

    absenceof

    competition,

    though

    the

    possibility

    of

    concentration

    undermining

    competition

    wasnotruledoutbyall24.

    22 GOI(1964),PartI,pp.252623 GOI(1964),PartI,p.3024 Forexample,theMIChadthefollowingtosay: Bigbusiness byitsvery bigness sometimes

    contd...

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    10

    competitioncannot,inanyevent,beaneffectiveremedyagainsttheconcentrationof

    economic power in India. Concentration is not synonymous with monopoly in this

    country becauseevery large group has diversified industrial interests. There is

    practicallynoindustrywhichcanbesaidtobeamonopolyofanygroup.25

    Notwithstanding its different strands, the debate on concentration did yield a central

    commonconclusion.Thiswasnot that theStatehad to withdraw from intervention to

    curbconcentrationandthemanipulationofcontrols.Rather,curbingtheconcentrationof

    economic power required its own specific intervention. This contributed, along with

    otherfactors,toaseriesofmeasuresinthelate1960sand1970sincludingtheabolition

    of managing agencies, the MRTP Act, the nationalization of major commercialbanks,

    andthenationalizationofgeneralinsuranceandthecoresectorsoftheeconomylikethe

    oil sector in the first half of the 1970s. These combined with other measures like the

    Foreign Exchange Regulation Act (FERA) to change in important ways the context in

    whichthecorporatesectoroperated.Someprivategroupswereindeedhardhitbysome

    ofthechanges26.Buttheoperationoftendenciesthatcouldbedescribedascronyismdidnotcease,nordidconcentrationintheprivatecorporatesectordisappear.

    The measures aimed apparently at restricting the private sector actually came in the

    backgroundofthegeneraldevaluationofplanningfromthemid1960sonwards.Insucha

    climate,theabilityoftheStatetodisciplineprivatecapitalsuffered,andthiswasreflected

    inwhatthemonopolycontrolmeasuresturnedouttobeinpractice.

    The process of undermining of the measures to curb private corporate concentration

    beganatthestageof theframingofthe lawsthemselves,withvarious loopholesbeingleft in the system of regulation which large business groups could exploit to their

    advantage. The limitations of the MRTP Act in this regard have been extensively

    discussed in the literature27.Even though theManagingAgencysystemwasabolished,

    succeeds in keeping out competitors.the very presence of bigbusiness in an industry is

    likely tohavea deterrent effect on the entryofsmaller units, even in industrieswithout any

    specialscopeforeconomiesofscale. [GOI(1965),p.137]25 Hazari(1966),p.359.Hazariinfactarguedthattherealcontradictionwasbetweencompetition

    and economic policies (planning) that sought to prevent excess capacity and wastage of

    resources.Hazari

    (1967),

    p.

    viii.

    26 The nationalization of industries likebanking and coal meant loss of assets for major Indian

    groups.ThetakeoverbythegovernmentofitsmajorcompaniesvirtuallywipedouttheMartin

    Burn group. The surviving European Managing Agency Houses such as Andrew Yule and

    Gillanders Arbuthnot were also eliminated, their concernsbeing acquiredby Government or

    privateIndiancapital.Apartfromtheforeignoilcompanies,MNCslikeIBMandCoketoohad

    toquitIndia.27 Chandra(1981/79),Goyal(1979),ChalapatiRao(1985),Agarwal(1987).

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    11

    business groups were allowed to retain effective centralized control over their

    companies28. Extensive use of the device of intercorporate investments was the main

    method for this. The firm establishment of public sector dominance in the field of

    institutionalfinancealsohadnoadverseimpactfortheprivatesector.Withpublicsector

    institutionsbecomingthekeyfinanciersofinvestmentprojectsintheprivatesector,the

    ability to secure an industrial license was an almost automatic guarantee that theseinstitutionswouldprovidethefunds.Partofthefinancingbytheseinstitutionstookthe

    form of acquisitionsby them of share capital in private companies resulting in the

    increasing importance of shareholding of public sector financial institutions in private

    sector companies. In addition was the promotion of the jointsector involving

    government or government controlled institutions holding a part of the equity. As a

    result, public sector holdings of the share capital of major private sector companies

    belongingtolargegroupsacquiredsignificantmagnitudes.HadGovernmentpolicybeen

    onethatwasactuallydirectedtowardscontrollingprivatesectorcompanies,suchlarge

    publicsectorholdingsmighthaveamounted tosevereerosionofthecontrolofgroupsover thesecompanies.But inreality financial institutions followedanexplicitpolicyof

    noninterferenceinmanagement,whichmadetheirholdingslargelypassive29.

    The lax attitude towards the private sector meant that there was no serious effort to

    implementtheplantargetswhereprivatesectorinvestmentwasinvolved.Privatesector

    firmsweresystematicallyalloweddeviationsofactualcapacitiesfromlicensedcapacities,

    eitherby underutilization of licenses secured orby creating capacities larger than what

    wasapproved,whichwereeitherhiddenorforwhomapprovalsweresecuredexpost.A

    studyhad

    found

    such

    co

    existence

    of

    under

    utilization

    and

    over

    utilization

    of

    licenses

    and

    of actual production levelsboth significantlybelow as well as above stated installed

    capacitylevels30.Mostbizarreperhapswasthefactthatbigbusinesshouseswereallowed

    to takeadvantageof incentivesandconcessions thatwereactuallymeant toencourage

    smallbusinesses31. Despite the hypeabout the high tax regime in India, numerous tax

    concessionswerealsograntedtobigbusinessasaresultofwhichtherewasahugegap

    betweenthestatutoryandtheeffectiveratesapplicabletothecorporatesector32.

    28Sengupta

    (1983)

    29 Indeed the Government actually acted to prevent the scrutiny, of the accounts of the private

    sectorcompanieswhichineffectbecamegovernmentcompanies,bypublicauthoritieslikethe

    Comptroller and Auditor General. It also helped incumbent managements ward off takeover

    attempts.SeeGoyal(1983a,1983b)30 CorporateStudiesGroup(1983).31 Goyal,Rao&Kumar(1984)32 Goyal(1988)

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    The onset of the 1980s saw the Indian state developing an increasingly permissive

    attitudetowardsthelargeprivatesector,whichonlyreinforcedthetendenciesdescribed

    above33. In other words, the series of measures that followed the 1960s discussion on

    concentration in the private corporate sector failed to achieve the stated objective of

    curbingsuchconcentration.Butwhydidthathappenandwithwhatconsequence?On

    thesetherearedifferentviews.

    InthetraditionoftheR.C.Duttkindofreasoning,onereviewoftheexperienceafterthe

    MRTP Act concluded that the measures to curb concentration were defeatedby the

    operationofwhatcouldbeverywellcalledcronyism.

    theprimaryfactor responsiblefor the rapid increase in concentration has been the

    exercise of economicpower by the influential big business of India. The relationship

    between the business houses and the rulingpoliticalparties has been close; and the

    associationshave

    been

    obviously

    to

    mutual

    advantage

    at

    the

    cost

    ofpublic

    interest

    and

    in disregard of the constitutional obligations and contrary to oft repeated public

    pronouncementsbytheleadership.34

    Incontrasttothisisaviewthatdoesnotexplicitlyconsiderthedegreeofconcentration

    intheprivatecorporatesectorasarelevantvariable.Thisemergedinthebackgroundof

    thefactthatthetransitiontoahighergrowthtrajectoryinIndiahappenedinthe1980s,

    beforeratherthanaftertheextensive liberalizationfollowingthe1991exchangecrisis35.

    Inthisview,thestatesattemptstocontrolandregulateeconomicactivitytheinfamous

    licensepermitrajofwhichthebusinessworldistreatedsimplyasthebenignvictim

    acted

    as

    abarrier

    to

    the

    Indian

    economy

    realizing

    its

    growth

    potential.

    Excessive

    controls, it is argued, contributed to the progressive deterioration of the quality of

    governance institutions. If thebarrier to growth was weakened in the 1980s, it was

    becauseparadoxicallythedeterioration ingovernance,andtheconsequentlyincreasing

    collusion between business firms and governance institutions in circumventing the

    control regime (cronyism), contributed to reducing the adverse effects of market

    distortions in the 1980s. Clearly this perception of the Indian experience of the 1980s

    belongstothesamefamilyasthetheoryofcronycapitalism,andisstrikinglysimilarto

    theHaberkindofviewofcronyismasasecondbestsolution intheabsenceof limited

    government.

    33 RodrikandSubramaniam(2005)describedthisasashifttowardsaprobusinessorientationofthe

    IndianStatewhichtheydistinguishedfromthepromarketorientationemergingafter1991.34 Goyal(1979)35 Virmani(2004)

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    4. LIBERALIZATION AND CRONYISMIN INDIANCAPITALISM

    As already indicated in the previous paper, the idea that liberalization signals the

    beginning of the end of crony capitalism is based on a misconception that with

    liberalization the State ceases to be an important factor in the economic arena.

    Liberalization

    involves

    a

    process

    of

    transition

    whose

    key

    agent

    is

    the

    State,

    and

    creates

    in

    its wake numerous opportunities of conferring benefits on businesses having a

    privileged relationship with decisionmakers. Just as regulation can provide the

    smokescreenforcronycapitalism,liberalizationcansimilarlyprovideasmokescreenfor

    grantingfavours tocronies.But it isnotmerely in the transitoryprocess thatcronyism

    can flourish.Thecontext thatemergesasaresultof liberalization isalso one inwhich

    private capital exercising significant leverage over the State becomes a structurally

    inherent feature. The Indian scenario after liberalization can serve to illustrate these

    propositions.

    ForacountrylikeIndia,oneofthelargestbutalsoamongstthepoorestofThirdWorld

    countries,theliberalizationprocesshasalsoinvolvedtheopeningupoftheeconomyto

    speculativecapitalflows.Thisitselfbearstheimprintofcronycapitalismbecause,aswas

    emphasizedinthepreviouspaper,theworldwideprocessoffinancialliberalizationhas

    beendrivenbyfinancialinterestsbackedbypowerfulstates.Inaddition,suchopening

    up, it hasbeen argued, puts the economic policy of any Third World country into a

    straightjacket that demands adherence to a restrictive fiscal policy and other measures

    that wouldmaintain the state of confidence36. To that extent, the State is at least to a

    degreesignificantenough toberelevant,capturedby globalized finance.At thesame

    time, the attempts to attract even foreign direct investment, given the fact that such

    capitaldoesnotliewithinthedirectjurisdictionoftheIndianstate,hastomeansimilar

    concessions. Considerations of a level playing field then compel the extension of

    concessionseventodomesticcapital.

    Two importantexampleswould illustrate theworkingofsuchcumulativeprocessesof

    statecapture.The first is thecaseof the taxon longtermcapitalgains fromsecurities.

    Foreign institutional investors were first exempted from this tax and this was

    subsequently extended to domestic investors37. Thus, a significant tax concession has

    beengrantedtoasmallsegmentofwealthydomesticandforeigninvestorsforwhichnojustificationcanbefoundintheestablishedprinciplesoftaxation38.Thesecondexample

    relatesprimarilytoforeigndirectinvestment.Toattractsuchinvestment,restrictionson

    36 Sweezy(1999/1994),Patnaik,P.(2000),Bello,Malhotra,BullardandMezzera(2000)37 Prof.C.P.ChandrasekharhadpointedthisoutattheSymposium38 SeeBagchi,Amaresh(2004)

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    extent of foreign shareholding in Indian companies had to be removed or reduced

    significantly.ThiscombinedwitheasingoftakeovernormsmeantthatIndiancompanies

    becamevulnerabletotakeoversbybigforeignfirms.Theclimatewasthuscreatedforthe

    easingoftheprevailingrestrictionsonbusinessgroupsusingtheresourcesofcompanys

    under their control tobuild large controllingblocks in them (through intercorporate

    investmentsandbuyingbackofshares).Consequently,incumbentmanagementsofmostIndian companies now usually hold very large controlling stakes. Entrenchment, the

    phenomenon that the theory of crony capitalism associates with a crony capitalist

    system,hasthusbecomefarmoremarkedinrecenttimesbecauseofliberalization39.

    Privatizationthe transfer of ownership of assets from public to private handsis, of

    course,theclassicexampleofaprocessinherentinliberalizationwherelargesseofvery

    large economic values can be showered on favoured businessmen. The general

    experience of the large scale privatization in the socalled transition economies is now

    seenalmost

    as

    arule

    to

    have

    given

    rise

    to

    crony

    capitalism

    even

    by

    those

    who

    advocated

    it40.TheIndianeconomywasalsoonewherethepublicsectorhadacquiredasignificant

    presencebefore liberalization.Andunlike inthecaseofthetransitioneconomies,there

    alsoexistedinIndiaapowerfulclassoflargebusinessgroupspriortoprivatization.The

    potentiality for cronyism to work in the process of privatization of public sector

    companies was therefore much greater. Given the controversies that have dogged the

    Indian privatization process, it would take abrave soul to suggest that the inherent

    potentialforcronyisminithasplayednoactualrole.

    Butmore

    generally,

    liberalization

    is

    atransformation

    process

    where

    rules

    of

    the

    game

    are

    beingchanged,andinacontextwherethereisalsoprivatizationofpublicassetsandthe

    increasing generalrelianceon privatecapital for theproductionanddeliveryofgoods

    and services. The enlargement of the area where the profits of private capitalist

    enterpriseshavedirectrelationstodecisionsofpublicbodiesisitsconsequence,withthe

    conceptofpublicprivatepartnershipeven institutionalizingthis.Traditionally, inmost

    capitalist countries significant public sector presence had emerged in sectors where

    competitivemarkets cannot functionandwherepublicsectorproductionorregulation

    39Rao

    and

    Guha

    (2006).

    40 ThisisfromtheIMFsownquarterlymagazine:Inmanytransitioncountries,massandrapid

    privatizationturnedovermediocreassetstolargenumbersofpeoplewhohadneithertheskills

    northefinancialresourcestousethemwell.Mosthighqualityassetshavegone,inonewayor

    another (sometimes through the spontaneous privatization that preceded official schemes,

    sometimesthroughmanipulationofthevoucherschemes,andperhapsmostoftenandacutely

    in the nonvoucher second phases), to the resourceful, agile, and politically wellconnected

    few[Nellis(1999)]

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    liberalization,theinformationtechnology(IT)sector,grewrapidlywithouttheassistance

    oftheState,ithasactuallybeenoneofthebiggestbeneficiariesoftaxsopsgrantedbythe

    Government45.

    Thuseveninaliberalizedeconomy,theimportanceofhavingStateauthoritiesasallies

    remains extremely critical tobusiness success. Thebusinessstate nexus therefore doesnotdisappearwithliberalization.Themodificationthattherelationshipundergoesisin

    factonewherethebusinesssideacquiresgreaterstrength.

    Forone,theliberalizationprocessisalsoonethataffectsboththeideologicaloutlooksas

    wellasvaluesofpublicofficialsinamannerthatmakesthemmoreinclinedtoactinthe

    interestsofprivatecapital.Thepositioningoftheprivatesectorasmoreefficientthanthe

    publicsector, the idea that theStateshouldnot interfere in theworkingof themarket,

    and the concept of publicprivate partnership, are integral elements of the worldview

    associatedwith

    liberalization

    which

    public

    officials

    would

    also

    tend

    to

    internalize.

    There

    isalsoaninherentcelebrationofmoneymakinginaliberalizedcontextthatcanincrease

    theproneness tocorruption ofpublicofficials,and thegreaterpermissiveness towards

    internationaltransactionshasalsoaddedanewdimensiontothepossibilitiesofgraft.In

    the Indiancase,more thanadecadeandahalfof liberalizationcannotbesaid tohave

    reducedcorruption.Moreover,inaglobalizedcontext,privatebusinessenterprisesalso

    become the standardbearers of nationalism, nationalinterest, and national

    achievementsothatnationalsuccesstendstobeseenassomethingthatcoincideswith

    theirsuccess46.

    But adoption of a friendlier attitude towards private capital alsobecomes more of a

    compulsion for the State with a liberalized economic policy regime for a number of

    reasons.Firstly, theprocessofdecontrolhasadualcharacter.On theonehand itmay

    mean thatpublicofficials losesomeof the instruments throughwhich they in thepast

    could have conferred benefits on favoured enterprises. On the other hand it also

    simultaneouslymeans the lossof instrumentsbywhichprivatecapitalmayhavebeen

    disciplinedby the State or guided towards performing the role consistent with the

    attainment of definite national objectives. With liberalization, concessions and

    incentivesremaintheonlymeansavailable.Thisisfurtheraggravatedbythefactthat

    thecommandingheightsoftheeconomy,whichatleastinprinciplewastobeoccupied

    45 Chandrasekhar(2003)46 The reactions to the few successful cases of major acquisitions abroadby Indian companies,

    which includes thepublicsectorStateBankof Indiastepping forward toprovidea$1billion

    loan to the Tata group for financing the acquisition of Corus and proudly declaring that it

    clearedtheloaninamere5minutes,servetocorroborateandunderlinethis.

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    by the public sector in the earlier Indian policy regime, havebeen decisively ceded to

    privateenterprise.Privateenterpriseshavecometobeaccordedthepositionofbeingthe

    instrumentsforgrowthanddevelopment.InafederalsetuplikeIndias,theleverageof

    privatecapitalovertheStateisalsoenhancedbythecompetitionforinvestmentbetween

    statesthatliberalizationhasforcedtheminto.

    Onemajordevelopmentofgreatsignificanceinthisregardistheimpactofliberalization

    ontaxratesandtherevenuestructure.Thegeneralreductionoftheratesofbothdirect

    andindirecttaxesispartoftheinevitablelogicofliberalization,andthatthishasresulted

    in stagnation or decline in the tax to GDP ratio in India is wellknown. This has,

    however, alsobeen accompaniedby the increasing importance the corporate income

    taxesintotaltaxrevenuetheshareofthisinCentralGovernmentrevenuehavinggone

    up fromunder10% in199091toover30% in200607.Sincea liberalizedregimedoes

    notpermithigherratesoftaxation,thelevelofgovernmentrevenuehasincreasinglybecomea

    functionofthe

    magnitude

    ofcorporate

    profits.

    Since

    fiscal

    discipline

    also

    has

    paramount

    importanceinaliberalizedeconomicpolicyregime,thesignificanceofthisdependence

    isallthemore.

    Whatallthisaddsuptoisthateconomicopennessofthekindthathastakenplaceunder

    IndianliberalizationdoesnotmeanthattheStatehasbecomesirrelevanttotheworking

    oftheeconomy.Rather,itisitsabilitytobeautonomousofprivatecapitalistinterests

    foreign as well as Indian and collective as well as individualand its capacity to

    accommodate the interests of other sections of society, that havebeen underminedby

    openness.In

    the

    language

    of

    an

    earlier

    era,

    liberalization

    can

    be

    said

    to

    have

    structurally

    increasedthesocialpowerofbigbusinessortheconcentrationofeconomicpower.Using

    their leverage with the State, private capitalist enterprises can and have been

    continuouslysecuringindividualandcollectivebenefits.Indeed,thedistinctionbetween

    the individualandcollectivebenefitshasalsobecome increasinglyblurred.There is,of

    course, the persistence or even strengthening of business concentration, with

    deregulation facilitating the working of the spontaneous tendencies towards such

    concentration.Financialsector liberalizationhasalsoenhancedrather thanreduced the

    biasinfinancing,withlargebusinessesbeinginabetterpositiontoaccessbothdomestic

    andforeignfinancialmarketsthantheirsmallercounterparts.Theheightenedexposure

    to global competition has also contributed to tilting the scales in favour of thebigger

    players because they have greater capacity to survive and succeed in such an

    environment.All of these in turn havecontributed to thebiggerbusinesses enjoying a

    disproportionatecloutwiththeState.

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    5. LIBERALIZATION AND POWER OF BIG BUSINESS:

    SOME EMPIRICALEVIDENCE

    That a narrow group of largebusinesses have acquired significant influence with the

    State,andareabletosecuremajorbenefitsthroughsuchinfluence,isnotsomethingthat

    canbe

    easily

    established

    empirically,

    at

    least

    directly.

    Even

    though

    there

    may

    be

    many

    threadswhichconnecttheworldofbusinesswiththatofpoliticsandofficialdom,notall

    of these are visible. Even when visible, it may notbe always possible to find direct

    evidencethatwouldconfirmthevalueoftheseconnections.Butthesedifficultiesarenot

    peculiartotheliberalizationcontext.Howmanyinstancesofsuchdirectproofexist,for

    example, to support the widely heldbelief that corruption was characteristic of the

    licensingandotherprocessesassociatedwithStateregulationinIndia?Theevidencein

    suchmattershasalwaysbeenindirect.

    One kindofsuch indirectevidence thatmaybeprovided is the listingofdecisionsby

    publicbodieswhosenatureandbackgroundwouldsuggestthatbenefitingoneormore

    businessgroupsconstitutedtheirprimemotive.Suchevidencehasa lotofvaluebut is

    extremelydifficulttoputtogether.Weshallnotherepresentsuchevidence,leavingitto

    otherpapersinthisseries.Insteadweshallconcentrateonanalternativekindofindirect

    evidence in the form of results that indicate the nature of the processes at work in

    determiningthewinnersandthelosersinthecompetitionbetweenbusinesses.Whoare

    the ones who have succeeded in the competition game under liberalization and have

    been the principal drivers of changes in the corporate sector? Are they the same old

    business groups that had flourished under the old economic policy regime or has

    liberalization provided a congenial environment for a newbreed of entrepreneurs to

    grow and establish themselves? Have such new entrepreneurs grown purely on the

    strength of their entrepreneurship or have other factors outside the economic sphere

    contributedtotheirsuccess?Answeringthesequestionsiswhatourevidenceisdirected

    towards. These questions acquire significance in view of the widely held view that

    liberalizationwassupposedtoeliminatethepotentialsystemofpatronage inbuilt into

    theoldsystemofindustrialregulationwithitsartificiallycreatedbarrierstoentryinto

    differentindustriesthatallowedbusinessopportunitiesinthemtoberationedbetween

    aprivileged fewbusinesshouses (or cronies).With liberalization, itwascontended, it

    wouldbeaboveallentrepreneurialabilityandnotapriorcommandoverpatronageorresources that would (a la Schumpeter) separate the successful business from the

    failures.Ifthisunderstandingweretobecorrect,thenmorethanadecadeandahalfof

    liberalizationshouldhaveproducedsignificantchangesinthemajorplayersindifferent

    industriesandattheaggregatelevel.Thatithasnotiswhatourevidencewillshow.

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    5.1An Overview

    To begin with, one may briefly note some overall evidence about the growing

    importanceoftheprivatecorporatesectorintheIndianeconomy.Clearly,liberalization

    andtheremovalofmanyexternally imposedconstraintsonitappeartohavecreateda

    conducive environment for the expansion of the private corporate sector in India. The

    rapid growth of nongovernmentjointstock companies and their paidupcapital that

    was observed in the 1980s continued thereafter (Table 1). The notable feature of the

    growth after 1991, however, was that it reversed the trend of increasing share of

    governmentcompaniesinthepaidupcapitalofthecorporatesector.

    Table1

    GrowthofCompaniesandtheirPaidupCapital

    Ofwhich,NonGovernmentCompaniesEnd

    March

    No.of

    Companies

    Paidup

    Capital

    (Rs.Cr.)

    No.ofCompanies PaidupCapital

    (Rs.Crores)

    ShareofNon

    GovtCos.in

    PUC(%)

    1981 62,714 16,357 64,863 4,914 30.04

    1986 1,24,379 36,595 1,23,359 9,507 25.98

    1991 2,24,452 74,798 2,23,285 20,313 27.16

    1996 4,09,142 1,64,088 4,07,926 87,126 53.1

    2001 5,69,100 3,57,247 5,67,834 2,47,501 69.28

    2002 5,89,246 4,05,753 5,87,985 2,85,248 70.3

    2003 6,12,155 4,57,059 6,10,872 3,26,576 71.45

    2004 6,41,512 4,98,791 6,40,203 3,52,432 70.66

    2005 6,79,649 6,54,022 6,78,321 4,98,208 76.18

    2006

    7,32,169

    7,30,817

    Source:AnnualReportsontheWorkingoftheCompaniesAct

    Bythemid1990s,thepaidupcapitalofnongovernmentcompanieshadexceededthat

    of government companies and the gap has continued to increase thereafter. Not only

    that,theshareoftheprivatecorporatesectorintheeconomysnetfixedcapitalstockhas

    alsoincreasedrapidlyafterliberalization,leavingbehindtheshareofnondepartmental

    enterprises. In other words, with liberalization there has been a rapid process of

    privatization of the corporate sector. A second indication of the rapid growth of the

    privatecorporatesectoristhefactthattheorganizedprivatesectorhasgrownfasterthan

    therest

    of

    the

    economy,

    and

    increased

    its

    share

    in

    NDP

    (at

    current

    prices)

    from

    just

    over

    12%in199091toover19%by200405(Table2).

    This growth of the private corporate sector has alsobeen accompaniedby a rather

    dramatic shift in its sectoral focus. As is indicatedby Table 3, the services sector has

    rapidly displaced manufacturing as the principal sphere of operation of organized

    privatecapital.

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    Table2

    IndicatorsoftheImportanceofthePrivateCorporateSectorinIndia(%)

    ShareofOrganizedPrivateSectorinNDPat

    CurrentPrices

    ShareofPrivateCorporatesectorinNetFixed

    CapitalStockat199091prices

    198081 12.5 1981 7.45

    199091

    12.33

    1991

    10.79

    200405 19.24 2006 23.4

    Source:ComputedfromdatainCSO,NationalAccountsStatistics

    Table3

    ShareofManufacturing&ServicesinPrivateOrganizedNDP

    Sector 199091 200405

    Manufacturing 64.48 37.66

    Services 24.41 50.32

    Source:ComputedfromdatainCSO,NationalAccountsStatistics.

    Thegrowthoftheprivateorganizedsector,however,hasnotbeenonethathasspreadits

    benefitswidely.Oneindicatorofthatisthatemploymentinthatsectorhashardlygrown

    since1991.Asecondisthatmostoftheprivateorganizedgrowthhastakentheformof

    corporate profits. The share of compensation of employees in private organized NDP

    declined from 43.81% in 199394 tojust 33.33% in 200405. This trend hasbeen the

    sharpest in the rapidly growing services sector where the share of compensation of

    employeeshasfallenfrom46.52%in199394to27.54%in200405.Inthemanufacturing

    sector,weseea similarstory ifweexclude thesalariesofwhitecollaremployees. The

    share of wages in net value added in the factory sector (as per ASI data), which was

    30.28% in198182andevenat theendof the1980swas27.65% (198990),hasactually

    fallensteadilyandrapidlyto17.89%in199798andfurtherto12.94%in200405.

    5.2StabilityandChangein LeadingBusinessGroups

    Notwithstandingtheexpansionandtransformationoftheprivatecorporatesector,major

    businessgroupsofthepreliberalizationeracontinuetodominatethesector.Table4lists

    thelargest25businessgroups/families(intermsofassets)in200506,basedonthegroup

    classificationsandcompaniesavailableintheProwessDatabase47.Asmanyas15ofthem

    appeared

    amongst

    the

    large

    business

    groups

    in

    the

    last

    list

    of

    companies

    registered

    undertheMRTPAct,almostallofthembeingalsoamongstthe25largestatthattime.

    TheMRTPActlistings,however,didnotcaptureallthelargegroupsatthattime,and5

    47 Since there havebeen divisions in the case of many family controlledbusiness houses, for

    facilitating comparison with the past all the different splinter groups of a family controlled

    grouphavebeenclubbedtogetherpriortorankingthem.

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    of theremaining10 largebusinessgroupsnamelyOPJindal, Ispat,Videocon,Wipro,

    andBhaiMohanSinghwerealso largeby198990.Ahintof this isalsoprovidedby

    theirassetholdingsattheendof199192,theyearthatliberalizationbegan.

    Table4

    Assetsof

    Top

    25

    Business

    Groups

    of

    200506

    Assets(Rs.Crores.)Rank Rank

    1990#

    Group/Family

    198990# 199192 200506

    1 3 Reliance(Ambani) 3,241 9,167 1,63,989

    2 2 Tata 6,851 15,564 1,01,219

    3 1 Birla 7,235 13,917 67,544

    4 26 Essar(Ruia) 437 1,898 44,949

    5 15 I.T.C. 742 4,047 30,012

    6 OmPrakashJindal 635 26,886

    7 28 Hinduja(AshokLeyland) 422 1,277 23,197

    8 BhartiTelecom 29 21,808

    9 SterliteIndustries 2,480 19,457

    10 9 Larsen&Toubro 1,130 3,199 17,589

    11 7 Bajaj 1,228 1,908 16,994

    12 22 Goenka 570 3,583 16,151

    13 Ispat(Mittals) 1,092 15,142

    14 21 Mahindra&Mahindra 620 1,223 14,947

    15 11 T.V.S.Iyengar 929 1,582 14,176

    16 12 UniLever(F) 925 3,368 13,669

    17 SLU Jaiprakash 484 1,164 12,845

    18 Videocon 873 11,373

    19 WIPRO 103 9,595

    20 InfosysTechnologiesLtd. 8 9,114

    21 JetAirways(India)Ltd. 9,067

    22 4 Singhania 1,938 2,952 8,356

    23 MoserBaer(F)Group 8,178

    24 5 Thapar 1,782 2,665 8,010

    25 BhaiMohanSingh 539 7,999

    Source:For198990;fortherest,CMIE,ProwessDatabase

    Theremaining5groupsmayhavegrownlargeafterliberalization,butinmostofthese

    casestheirgrowthtrajectoryhasbeenthroughprocesseswherethevisiblehandofthe

    Statehasbeenprominent.BhartiandJetAirwayshavegrownmainlythroughregulated

    sectorsnamely telecom and aviation respectivelywhere private sector entry was

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    permitted after liberalization. Older large groups have also expanded in similar

    directionswith the Ambani, Tata, and Birla groups, for example, having substantial

    interests in the telecom sector. A large part of Sterlites assets come from privatized

    publiccompanies.Again,oldergroupstoohavebenefitedfromprivatizationtheTata

    acquisitionofVSNLandReliancesacquisitionofIPCLbeingtwoprominentexamples.

    The lowtaxedITsectorhasbeenthedomainofInfosysgrowth,asithasbeenalsoforoldergroupslikeTataandWipro.

    Table5

    Distributionof278BusinessGroupsbyRatioofR&DExpendituretoTotalSales

    10%andabove(4) 12%(14) 0.51%(25)

    RanbaxyGroup TataGroup BajajGroup

    Dr.ReddysGroup Mahindra&MahindraGroup ThaparGroup

    SunPharmaGroup T.V.S.IyengarGroup KirloskarGroup

    TorrentGroup Hinduja(AshokLeyland)

    Group

    Kalyani(BharatForge)Group

    510%(9) BharatiaGroup AmalgamationGroup

    CIPLAGroup ElgiGroup AsianPaintsGroup

    LupinGroup EicherGroup Modi

    FirodiaGroup SanmarGroup EscortsGroup

    ZydusCadilaGroup SamtelGroup RamcoGroup

    WockhardtGroup HFCLGroup RajjuShroffGroup

    IndSwiftGroup RicoAutoInds.Group AlchemieGroup

    PanaceaBiotecGroup ShyamTelecomGroup ExcelIndustriesGroup

    GlenmarkPharmaGroup JyotiGroup RaneGroup

    ZeeTelefilmsgroup EasunGroup MehtaC.K.GroupLarsen&ToubroGroup

    25%(11) 00.5%(117) GhiaGroup

    PiramalGroup Ambani SandesaraGroup

    MoserBaerGroup Birla CosmoGroup

    DaburGroup OmPrakashJindalGroup ElderGroup

    AurobindoPharmaGroup SterliteInds.Group SonaGroup

    IpcaLabsGroup Hero(Munjals)Group JagsonpalGroup

    AlembicGroup Goenka WSIndustriesGroup

    JBChemicalsGroup MurugappaChettiarGroup Grauer&WeilGroup

    MindaS.L.

    Group

    Singhania

    Alkyl

    Amines

    Group

    UcalFuelGroup GodrejGroup BatliboiGroup

    Indoco(SureshKare)Group UBGroup

    NatcoPharmaGroup Bangur,etc. 0%(108)

    Note:FiguresinBracketsindicatenumberofgroupsineachcategory

    Source:ComputedfromProwessDatabaseofCMIE.

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    Table 5 illuminates the fact that dominance in the Indian private corporate sector can

    hardly be attributed to the dominant firms being the significant technological

    innovators.Itshowsthatonlyafewbusinessgroups,almostalloftheminvolvedinthe

    pharmaceutical sector, invest any significant portion of their revenue in research and

    development. More strikingly, the largest Indian groups are mostly in the category of

    lowspendersonR&D.

    5.3LiberalizationandChangesin MarketLeaders:Resultsof aSampleStudy

    Thebroad empirical picture of the previous section canbe further reinforcedby the

    resultsofastudythathasagreatermicroorientation.Changesintheoverallpictureof

    leadership in the corporate sector should reflect both the changes in the relative

    importanceofindustriesaswellasthosewithinindividualindustries.Thegrowthofnew

    largegroupslikeBharti,Infosys,JetAirwaysorevenMoserBaerisassociatedwiththe

    formerkindofchange,andneitherofthemcanbesaidtohavegrownbydisplacingless

    efficient incumbent private sector firms in the industries through which they have

    grown. But if liberalization was supposed to remove entrybarriers in general in the

    industrial sector,barriers that protected inefficient incumbents from competition, then

    one should expect that the composition of leading firms in different industries should

    haveundergone importantchangessince1991.Oursamplestudyoutlinedbelow looks

    at thenatureof thesechanges in themanufacturingsector,with theemergingservices

    sectoralsomakingabriefappearance.

    5.3.1

    The

    Sample

    For the purposes of this inquiry, we chose 126 manufactured products coveredby the

    latestissueofCMIEsMarketSizeandShares(CMIE2007).Theprincipalcriterionused

    forshortlisting theseproducts from the243covered in thepublicationwas thesizeof

    the market48 for these manufactured products in the year 200506, and a threshold

    minimumsizeofRs.1000croreswasapplied.Sincecomparisonshad tobemadewith

    thesituationontheeveofliberalization,onlythoseproductscouldbeconsideredwhich

    were also coveredby CMIEs Market and Market Shares 1992 (CMIE 1992)and which

    providedcomparableinformationfor199091.Inafewcases,theproductsappearingin

    the latest issue did not directly appear in the 1992 issuebut were included with other

    productsorinformationaboutthestateofthe industrieswereindirectlyavailablefrom

    relatedindustries.Thesewereincludedinthesamplebecauseitwaspossibletomakean

    assessmentof thechangesandcontinuitiesover the period19912006.However,some

    48 TheCMIEcurrentlydefinesthesizeofthemarketforanyproductassalesbydomesticfirmsof

    that product (domestic plus exports) plus imports of the same. In other words, domestic

    purchasesplusexportsofanyproductconstitutethetotalmarketforit.

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    productslikesoftdrinks,marineproducts,anddiamondshavebeenexcludedbecauseof

    difficulties incomparing theirpre andpostliberalizationscenarios49.The totalsalesof

    the126productsfinallyincludedamountedtoRs.759245.1crores50,equivalentto42.07%

    ofthetotalvalueofregisteredmanufacturingoutputfortheyear200506.Butthesesales

    were highly unevenly distributed amongst the 126 products, with a mere 13 of them

    accountingforover50%oftheaggregate(andthefirst8forover40%)(Table6).Attheother end, 57 products accounted for less than 10% of the total sales (for details see

    AppendixTable1).

    Table6

    MarketSize,DomesticConsumptionandSalesoftheTop13SampleIndustries(Rs.crores)

    Product/Industry MarketSize Domestic

    Consumption

    SalesValue Cumulative

    PercentageShare

    inTotalSalesof

    SampleProducts

    1Steel 117211.30 101667.20 97589.60 12.69

    2Drugs&Pharmaceuticals 46115.20 24536.30 41600.00 18.10

    3SpunYarn 39012.10 30811.10 38750.00 23.13

    4PassengerCars 33198.90 33198.90 33198.90 27.45

    5Cement 33013.90 31898.50 33000.00 31.74

    6Sugar 30654.00 30084.90 30000.00 35.64

    7VegetableOils 34216.30 34216.30 25500.00 38.96

    8Motorcycles 19073.40 19026.20 19073.20 41.44

    9Paper 17879.70 16901.70 16200.00 43.54

    10M&HCVs 15178.40 14138.10 15086.50 45.50

    11Urea 15970.30 15966.00 14250.00 47.3612Cigarettes 13709.30 13594.90 13664.10 49.13

    13Fabrics 168941.80 160901.50 13454.81* 50.88

    *Includesonlysalesof807companies;aggregateindustrysales=Rs.167000crores

    Source:CMIE2007.

    49 Inthecaseofsoftdrinks,thecoveragecertainlyexcludesthemajorplayers,theybeingclosely

    held MNC affiliated unlisted companies. The problem of noncoverage of MNC affiliated

    unlisted companies also afflicts other industries, in particular the consumer electronics

    industries. But in their case, the degree of noncoverage is firstly lower, and secondly, while

    assessingthe

    changes

    in

    them

    we

    will

    take

    into

    account

    the

    important

    presence

    of

    these

    unlisted

    companies. Marine products (where there is a substantial export component) have been

    excludedbecausenopropercomparisoncanbemadebetween199091and200506manyof

    thefirmstowhichsalesareattributedinthe1992issuewereclearlynotproducers,suggesting

    thattheseweretradingsalesforsecuringexportbenefits.Inthediamondindustry,theprocess

    offirmsbecomingincorporatedentitiesonlybeganinthesecondhalfofthe1980s.50 Inthesalesoffabrics,inwhosecasealargepartisbyunorganizedunits,wehaveincludedonly

    thesalesofthe807companiesintheCMIEsample.

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    5.3.2 Concentration in IndividualIndustries

    Theunevennessintherelativesizesofdifferentindustriesmakethetaskofassessingthe

    in general level of concentration in Indian manufacturing industries somewhat

    complicated. On the one side is the reality that a large number of industries are fairly

    concentratedinthesensethattherearefewdomesticplayersinthem.Butthemajorityof

    thefewrelativelylargerindustriesarealsoamongsttheleastconcentrated.Thuswhilein

    thecaseofasmanyas57productsinoursampleover90%ofsalesareaccountedforby

    thetop5firmsandimports51,only3ofthetop13productsaccountingforoverhalfofthe

    salesnamelymotorcycles,mediumandheavycommercialvehicles,andcigarettesare

    amongstthese13(fordetailsseeAppendixTable2).Otherindustrieswithinthese13

    likespunyarn,fabrics,vegetableoils,sugar,etc.havea largenumberoffirmswithin

    whomsalesaredistributed.

    Thispattern,ofa few large lessconcentrated industriesanda largenumberofsmaller

    but highly concentrated industries, is of course not new. As brought out by the

    examination of industrial concentration by the Monopolies Inquiry Commission, a

    similarscenarioprevailedoverfourdecadesago52.Eventhe199091pictureasitappears

    in the 1992 CMIE issue was of the same kind, with the more and less concentrated

    industriesbeing the same as in 200506. Lack of comparability of the data does not

    permitgeneratingquantitativeresultsonthetrendsinmarketconcentration.Butitdoes

    notappearthatthereisanyindustryamongstthe126industriesinoursampleexhibiting

    a significant increase in the number of major firmsbetween 199091 and 200506. In

    otherwords,liberalizationhasnotresulted inanymajorprocessofdeconcentrationin

    individualindustries.

    But in the context of any discussion of concentration in individual industries in India,

    threeimportantpointsneedtobekeptinmind.

    Firstly,thephenomenonofthesamebusinessgrouphavingmorethanonecompanyin

    thesame industryhasnotcompletelydisappearedand in factcanalsobefound in the

    relatively larger industries. Thus, actual levels of concentration are higher than the

    patternofdistributionofthemarketbetweencompanieswouldsuggest.IntheCement

    industryfor

    example,

    the

    top

    four

    companies

    had

    amarket

    share

    of

    alittle

    over

    41%

    in

    200506.

    51 Partly, of course, this high share canbe attributed to a large level of imports10 of the 12

    productswhereimportsexceededthesalesofthetop5firmswereamongstthese57products.

    However,these10productsaccountedforlessthan6%ofthetotalsalesofall57products.52 GOI(1965)

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    Table7

    IllustrativeListofCasesofMorethanoneCompanyofthesamegroupinthesameindustry

    MarketShareof:Product/Industry Group

    LargestSingle

    groupco.

    Allgroupcos.

    Cement

    Birla

    AV

    11.65

    22.28

    Cement Holcim GujaratAmbuja 11.25 22

    AluminiumFoils BirlaAV 37.45 42.17

    AnimalFeeds Godrej 11.30 20.30

    AxleShafts Kalyani 32.03 51.37

    Beer UB 39.62 77.41

    EthyleneGlycol Reliance 45.80 74.13

    FerroAlloys IMFA 11.35 17.05

    Floor&Walltiles SomanyEnterprises 10.93 18.20

    Kalyani 24.82 28.79Forgings

    Amtek 10.09 16.35

    GlassHollowares SomanyEnterprises 28.02 40.09

    LAB Reliance 31.99 48.88

    MaterialHandling

    Equipment

    Tata 12.04 18.84

    GardenVareli 6.01 6.87PFY(incl.POY)

    Reliance 36.30 47.14

    MFederalMogul 27.61 34.95PistonRings

    Amalgamations(Simpson) 9.20 16.54

    PSF Reliance 59.36 69.35

    PVC Reliance 35.04 56.68

    PVCPipes&Fittings Kisan 5.10 12.80Steel JindalOP 5.21 9.42

    JindalOP 10.99 13.70

    Kejriwal 5.98 8.00

    SteelPipes&Tubes

    JindalBC 2.37 3.34

    DhampurSugar 2.15 2.77

    Sakthi 1.35 2.58

    KCP(VRamakrishna) 1.05 1.79

    SaraswatiIndl.Syndicate 1.15 1.69

    Sugar

    ThiruArooran 0.94 1.64

    Ruchi

    8.30

    10.68

    Vanaspati

    AmritBanaspati 4.27 7.09

    VegetableOils Ruchi 14.19 17.83

    Wines,SpiritsandLiquors UB 35.78 53.01

    Vedanta(Sterlite) 8.09 13.43Wires&Cables

    SuranaUdyog 1.02 1.79

    Source:DerivedfromCMIE2007

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    ButthesefourcompaniesbelongedtoonlytwogroupstheAditya(Kumarmangalam)

    Birla group and the HolcimGujarat Ambuja combine. The former groups cement

    companiesbetween themselves accounted for 22.28% of the market, while the cement

    companies controlledby Kumarmangalam Birlas grandfather, B.K. Birla, which he is

    supposed to inherit, had another 7.9% of the market53. Combining this with the 22%

    share of the HolcimGujarat Ambuja companies, one can say that effectively the top 2firms had a combined market share of over 50%. That the cement industry is not an

    exceptioninthisregardisillustratedbythecaseshighlightedinTable7.

    Secondly,thedegreetowhichdifferentmanufacturedproductsinoursampleproperly

    representaproductmarketwhichshouldonlyincludesalesofclosesubstitutesvaries

    considerablyacrossproducts,andislowerincaseofsome(thoughnotall)ofthelarger

    industrieslike drugs and pharmaceuticals, fabrics, steel, and paperwith the first of

    thesebeing the most extreme case. This is an additional reason why the degree of

    concentrationtends

    to

    be

    underestimated.

    WhiletheabovetwohavebeenrelevanttotheIndiancontextevenearlier,thethirdisa

    new phenomenon, of major companies in some industries not getting coveredby the

    CMIE on account of theirbeing fully owned subsidiaries of parent MNCs. In some

    casesrefrigerators, televisions receivers, washing machines, etc., being typical

    examplesthese firms couldbe amongst the top 5 firms, and the concentration ratios

    emerging from the CMIE samples could be consequently lower than the actual. A

    possiblyrelatedproblemisthefollowing.Therearesomeobviouscasesofindustriesin

    CMIE2007

    where

    companies,

    which

    were

    part

    of

    the

    sample

    but

    not

    appearing

    amongst

    those,listedhavinghighermarketsharesthanthoseactuallylisted.Forexample,inthe

    caseofscooters,thetotalsalesofallthe7samplecompaniesisshowntobeRs.2834.39

    crores,whichisalsotheaggregatemarketsize.Onlysixcompaniesare,however,listed

    andtheiraggregatesalesareshowntobeRs.1191.52croresor42.04%ofthemarket.This

    would mean that the unmentioned 7th company would have a market share of nearly

    58%! In the case of refrigerators too, 8 listed companies havebeen shown to have an

    aggregatemarketshareof56.45%andthetotal10samplecompaniesashareof97.44%,

    leavingacombinedmarketshareofover40%forthetwocompaniesnotnamed!

    5.3.3 Continuity andChange in theLeading Firms

    The heterogeneous pattern of concentration suggested that dualcriteriabe applied for

    determining major firms in industriesbased on either size or relative position in the

    53 Thecompaniescontrolledbydifferentfactionsofthefamilytogetheraccountedfor37%ofthe

    market.

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    industry. Accordingly, we defined a leading firm in any industry in 200506 as one

    whicheitherwasamongstthetop5firmsinthatindustryorhadsalesofatleastRs.100

    crores in that industry. Having thus identified the leading firms, we categorized the

    differentindustriesonthefollowingbasis,usingCMIE1992forcomparison.

    Category1industries: Those in whom the leading players in 200506 prominently

    featuredcompanies/groupsalreadypresentintheindustryin199091.Theproportionof

    such industries can serve as an indicator of how widespread hasbeen the role of the

    incumbencyfactorindeterminingtheleadingfirmsafterliberalization.

    Category2industries:Thoseinwhomtherewerenewmajorplayersbutfromamongst

    the large Indian/NRI business groups existing in 1990, entry having been achieved

    through acquisitions or otherwise. This is an indicator of the importance of prior

    membershipinthecategoryoflargebusinessinenablingfirmstotakeadvantageofthe

    changedentry

    conditions.

    Category3industries:ThoseinwhomnewmajorplayerswereaffiliatesofMultinational

    Corporations(MNCs),MNCentryhavingbeenthroughacquisitionsorotherwise.Thisis

    aparallelcategorytoCategory2.

    Category4industries:ThoseinwhomtherewerenewmajorplayerswhichwereIndian

    controlledbutnotfromamongsttheold largegroups.Therelativeimportanceofthese

    industries would be an indicator of the degree of emergence of new Indian

    entrepreneurshipin

    the

    sample

    industries.

    These four categories are, of course, not mutually exclusivebut overlapping. But their

    relative significance in the sample can help illuminate the impact of changes in entry

    conditions.TheseareshowninTable8.

    Ascanbeseeninthetable,asmanyas119ofthe126industriesinthesample,accounting

    for nearly 98% of the total sales of the sample industries, fell in category 1 with 51 of

    these being exclusively in that category. At the other extreme, only 28 industries

    accountingforlessthan40%oftotalsalessawtheemergenceofnewIndianplayers,and

    inthesetooinallbarringonetheoldincumbentfirmstoocontinuedtooccupyleading

    positions. Further, in some of them the emergence of new Indian players amongst the

    leadingfirmshasbeenaccompaniedbyolderlargegroupsbeingamongthenewmajor

    players in these industries. The latter phenomenon, and the emergence of new MNC

    players, is also witnessed in many other industrieswithoutbeing accompaniedby the

    former.

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    Table8

    RelativeImportanceofDifferentCategoriesofIndustriesandtheirOverlaps

    OverlapwithCategory:

    1 2 3 4

    Total

    No. 51 34 21 27 119Category1

    Industries

    SalesShare

    (%)

    34.27

    32.85

    14.41

    39.32

    97.58

    No. 34 4 3 10 39Category2

    Industries SalesShare(%) 32.85 1.66 1.56 18.42 34.93

    No. 21 3 1 2 23Category3

    Industries SalesShare(%) 14.41 1.56 0.13 3.73 14.96

    No. 27 10 2 1 28Category4

    Industries SalesShare(%) 39.32 18.42 3.73 0.21 39.53

    Notes:1)SalesSharereferstoshareinaggregatesalesofallsampleindustries;2)Overlapofany

    categorywithitselfreferstothosewhichareexclusivelyinthatcategory.

    Source:DerivedfromCMIE2007.

    Thus, thestability of leading firmshasbeen a farmorewidespreadphenomenon thanthat of their displacementby new Indian players. Even where older incumbents have

    beendisplaced,oldlargegroupsorMNCsratherthannewIndianplayershavereplaced

    theminmanycases.Indeed,evenintheindustrieswherenewIndianfirmshavemadea

    mark,theyaremoreprominentthanolderincumbentsorlargegroupsinonlyahandful

    ofindustries.Typically,eveninsuchindustriesoldergroupsandMNCshavetendedto

    overshadownewfirms.AsTable9shows,onlyalittleunderaquarterofthetotalsales

    of leading companies in the 28 Category 4 industries were accounted forby the new

    Indianmajorplayers(fordetailsseeAppendixTable3).

    Table9

    SignificanceofNewFirmsamongstLeadingFirmsin28Category4Industries

    ShareofNewFirmsinTotalSalesofAll

    LeadingFirms

    NumberofProducts ShareinTotalSalesofLeadingFirms

    inall28products(%)

    Over50% 7 7.04

    25to50% 12 37.73

    Lessthan25% 9 55.23

    24.66%(Overallshare) 28 100.00

    Source:DerivedfromCMIE2007.

    EventhenewnessofthenewIndianbusinesshouseswehavebeentalkingaboutalsois

    only in the sense that they were not recorded as firms in the respective industriesby

    CMIE1992.But thismayhavebeenonlybecause theywereprivate limitedcompanies

    then, or they may have simplybeen overlooked. We therefore undertook a further

    exerciseoftryingtoascertaintheageofthesefirmsandwhentheyenteredtheindustries

    in which they appear amongst the major firms in 200506. This exercise threw up the

    result that the overwhelming majority of these supposedly new firms were in fact

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    already inexistencebefore liberalizationandwereoften thoughnotalways incumbent

    firmsintheindustrieswheretheyappearedprominentlyin200506(Table10).Indeed,

    inmanycases,thefirmsdatebacktobeforethe1980sandsomehaveevenhadalifespan

    stretchingbacktothepreindependenceperiod.

    Table10

    PeriodofOriginofNewMajorIndianPlayersin28Category4Industries

    CategoryofNewIndianPlayers Salesin200506(Rs.crores) PercentagetoTotal

    FirmsOriginatingbefore1980 26033.94 49.94

    FirmsOriginatingbetween1980and

    1991

    21626.61 41.48

    FirmsOriginatingafter1991 4471.12 8.58

    TOTAL 52131.67 100.00

    Source:DerivedfromCMIE2007.

    Aclear

    cut

    and

    unambiguous

    conclusion

    that

    emerges

    from

    the

    above

    is

    the

    following.

    The entrepreneurialbase from which the major Indian firms in 200506, in the 126

    manufacturedproductsappearinginoursample,havebeenmainlydrawnwasonethat

    was already in existence before the initiation of liberalization. The easing of entry

    conditions in individual industries does not therefore appear to have contributed

    significantlytoeasingofthegeneralbarrierstoentryintotheclassofthosewhocontrol

    industrialassetsandmarkets.Oursampleisalsosufficientlylargeandrepresentativefor

    theseconclusionstobegeneralizedforthemanufacturingsectorasawhole.

    Theseconclusionscanbe fortifiedbyexamining theoveralldistributionofsales in the

    126 industries taken together shown in Table 11, which is also importantbecause the

    leading groups in different industries are not mutually exclusive. This shows that

    companies belonging to the Indian groups that were large before the onset of

    liberalization accounted for nearly half of the total sales by privately controlled

    companies in the 126 products in the sample, with MNCs present from before

    liberalizationaccountingforanother10%.Lessthan40%ofsuchsales,andlessthan35%

    ofthetotalsaleswastheshareofotherIndianprivatefirms,andthisincludedthesales

    ofmanyfirmsofpreliberalizationorigin.

    Companiescontrolledbythetop40Indianfamilies/familygroups,fromarankingbased

    on sales in these 126 industries, accounted for42.64% of the total sales and the top 10

    MNCcontrolledcompanieshadashareof8.46%.Inotherwords,salesinthe126sample

    productswerehighlyconcentratedinafewhands(fordetailsseeAppendixTable4).Of

    thetop40Indianfamilies/familygroups,only5didnotoriginatefromthelargeIndian

    groupsattheendofthe1980sbuteachhadbeenbornbeforethat.TheVedantaorSterlite

    groupoftheAgarwals,whohavebeenalreadymentionedearlier,hasbeeninthemetal

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    businessandbecamefamousbyacquiringBALCOandHindustanZincwhenthesewere

    privatized.TheSinghalsoftheBhushanSteelsgroupshavebeeninvolvedwiththesteel

    industry since the early 1970s. The Dhingras of Berger Paints acquired the 1923

    incorporatedcompanyfromtheUBgroupin1991.TheNirmagroupofKarsanbhaiPatel

    beganin1969.TheAdanigroup,havingbegunasapartnershipfirmin1988,wouldhave

    tobedubbedtheyoungestofthese5groups.Evenmanyoldfamilygroupsaboutwhomthe general perception may be that they are in terminal decline and who are not

    generally portrayed these days as the symbols of corporate Indialike Thapar, JK

    Singhania, Shri Ram, Dalmia and Bangurstill appear to be of fairly significant

    proportionswhentheirdifferentsplintergroupsarecombined.

    Table11

    SharesinTotalSalesof126products

    Category Sales ShareIntotalSales ShareinPrivate

    Sales

    Cooperative 6267.64 0.83

    Govt.ControlledPrivateSectorCos. 5162.37 0.68

    PublicSectorCos. 61120.62 8.05

    OldNonPrivateTotal 72550.63 9.56

    OldIndianlargeGroups 338730.55 44.61 49.33

    OldMNCs 69480.71 9.15 10.12

    OldLargePrivateTotal 408211.26 53.77 59.45

    NewMNCs 17692.12 2.33 2.58

    MNCsTotal 87172.83 11.48 12.69

    Others 260791.11 34.35 37.98

    TotalSales

    759245.12

    100.00

    Source:DerivedfromCMIE2007.

    5.3.4 Services andtheEmergence ofNew Entrepreneurial Groups

    Does the general picture of stability amongst major entrepreneurial groups despite

    liberalization change very much if we were to also take into account the new services

    sectorsthathaveseenrapidgrowth?Apparentlynotifweweretoconsider,forexample,

    thetwomajorsuchserviceindustriestelecomservicesandsoftwareeventhoughthe

    relative newness of these sectors should have made them conducive for entry of new

    firms.

    Intheformer,theonlymajorIndiangroupthatdidnotfigureamongstthelargegroups

    of thepreliberalizationerawas theBhartigroup,andeven thisgrouphadestablished

    itself in themanufactureof telephonesbefore liberalization.Othermajorplayers in the

    telecomindustrywerepublicsectorenterprisesBSNLandMTNL,oldgroupslikeTata,

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    Birla AV, Reliance and Essar, or foreign companies like Hutch (now acquired by

    Vodafone).

    Inthesoftwareindustry,6ofthetoptencompaniesintermsofsalesTataConsultancy

    Services, Wipro, HCL Technologies, Tech Mahindra, Iflex Solutions, HewlettPackard

    Globalsoft,andLarsen&Toubro Infotechwhobetween themselvesgenerated48.54%of the total industry sales in200506, were associated with old Indian large groups or

    MNCs.Of the threeremaining top10companies, the largestwas InfosysTechnologies

    withamarketshareof17.88%.ButInfosysstartedoperationswaybackin1981.Satyam

    ComputerServices(marketshare9.18%)wasincorporatedin1987.PolarisSoftwareLab,

    thesmallestofthetop10companies,toooriginatedinthe1980sandCitigroupplayedan

    importantroleinitsformation.Newentrepreneurialgroupsinthesoftwareindustryare

    thus crowded into the 23% market share leftby the top 10 for remaining 684 other

    companies.Inotherwords,evenasectorlikesoftware,apparentlythemostconduciveto

    the

    emergence

    of

    new

    entrepreneurship,

    has

    not

    made

    any

    significant

    dent

    to

    the

    dominanceofolderestablishedenterprisesorentrepreneurialgroups.

    6. CONCLUSION

    The general conclusion that has emerged from the preceding discussion so far canbe

    summedupasfollows: the timehasnotyetcome towritetheepitaphof Indiancrony

    capitalism,ifonedoeschoosetousethatexpressionasadescriptionoftheintertwining

    oftheworldofbusinessandmoneymakingandthatofpoliticsandadministration.Such

    intertwininghasbeenafeatureofIndiancapitalismfromitsbirthandliberalizationhas

    onlygiven itarenewedvigour.Inwaysdifferentfromthepastbutforthatreasonnot

    less significantly, globalized finance and a narrow spectrum of large and established

    businesses have exercised influence on and alsobenefited from the decisionmaking

    process of the State. The empirical evidence presented clearly shows that under

    liberalizationthemainactorsanddriversofchanges,intheprivatecorporatesectorand

    in different individual industries, havebeen existing domestic and foreign large firms

    andincumbentfirmsthatisfirmswithapasthistoryratherthannewentrepreneurs.

    Private capital,both domestic and foreign, andboth industrial and financial, has also

    succeededduringthisperiodinimposingtoagreaterextentitswritonthedevelopment

    process of the Indian economy, to the exclusion of other segments of Indian society.

    Whilethecorporatesectorandfinancialmarketshavegrownrapidlyandenlargedtheir

    presence in the Indian economy, the exclusive character of that growth is now widely

    recognized. In either its narrower or wider sense, therefore, a high degree of state

    captureisatleastadefactoifnotadejurerealityincontemporaryIndia.

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