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OSODaily 13 April 2020
ODAY TOP STOCK TRADED (LQ45)
+++++
JAKARTA COMPOSITE INDEX
4.649,08 22,38
0,48%
Previous 4.626,70 Lowest
4.562,90 Highest 4.669,71 Val IDR bn
6.730
Volbn 7.397 Mkt Cap IDRtr
5.382,70 Net Forg 1DIDRbn (514,18) Net ForgYTDIDRbn
(13.613,27)
Return YTD (%) (26,20) Month to date (%)
2,43
Indices
Last Chg% YTD% Americas
Dow Jones United States 23.719,37 1,22 (9,32) S&P 500 United States 2.789,82 1,45 (3,41) Nasdaq United States 8.153,58 0,77 2,38 EIDO United States 15,38 0,39 (40,43) EMEA
FTSE 100 United Kingdom 5.842,66 2,90 (21,28)
CAC 40 France 4.506,85 1,44 (17,30) D DAX Germany 10.564,74 2,24 (11,26)
Asia Pacific
Nikkei Japan 19.345,77 0,79 (10,85) Shanghai China 2.825,90 (1,04) (12,29) TWSE Taiwan 10.119,43 0,38 (5,99) KOSPI Korea 1.836,21 1,33 (16,69) KLSE Malaysia 1.369,76 (0,90) (16,73) ST – Times Singapore 2.539,44 1,26 (22,73) Sensex India 29.893,96 4,23 (19,24) Hangseng Hongkong 23.970,37 1,38 (19,32)
Sectoral Previous Last Chg% YTD% AGRICULTURE 978,42 994,55 1,65 (34,76) MINING 1.228,04 1.228,08 0,00 (20,70) MISC INDUSTRY 727,04 759,69 4,49 (37,93) BASIC INDUSTRY 653,86 654,95 0,17 (33,04) CONSUMER GOODS 1.698,00 1.733,67 2,10 (15,54) PROPERTY 334,37 339,13 1,43 (32,70) INFRASTRUKTUR 821,34 823,96 0,32 (27,57) FINANCE 991,59 986,39 (0,52) (27,19) MANUFAKTURE 1.076,65 1.096,29 1,82 (24,95) TRADE 600,54 597,27 (0,54) (22,42) LQ 45 697,73 700,06 0,33 (30,99)
Commodities Previous Lastest Chg% YTD%
Oil (USD/bbl) 25,09 22,76 (9,29) (62,27) Gold (USD tr.oz) 1.683,73 1.696,65 0,77 11,22 Nickel (USD/mtrc ton) 11.507,00 11.672,00 1,43 (16,78) Tin (USD/mtrc ton) 14.397,00 14.958,00 3,90 (12,91) Copper (USD/mtrc ton) 5.002,50 5.019,50 0,34 (18,70) CPO (MYR/ton) 2.383,00 2.389,00 0,25 (21,44) Coal (USD/ton) 59,55 59,55 - (12,10)
Currencies
Last Chg% YTD% IDR / USD
15.880,00 2,02 (12,68)
IDR / AUD
10.032,32 (0,82) (3,14) IDR / EUR
17.288,72 1,77 (10,04)
IDR /SGD
11.119,89 2,17 (7,30) IDR / JPY
145,77 2,26 (12,38)
IDR / GBP
19.705,30 1,25 (7,52) Global Macro Economics CB Rate CPI YoY GDP YoY United States 0,25 2,30 2,30 Euro Area 0,00 1,20 1,00 United Kingdom 0,10 1,70 1,10 Japan 0,10 0,40 -0,70 China 4,35 5,20 6,00 Domestic macro Economics Latest Chg% YTD% Jibor 5,00 (15,02) 28,20 GovBonds (5y) 7,58 (0,43) 17,76 GovBonds (10y) 8,14 (0,87) 15,21
Inflasi YoY 2,96
Inflasi MoM 0,10 Bi rate 4,50 GDP Growth YoY (%) 4,97
Foreign Reserve (Bn) 120,97 Government Bonds Yield% Wow% Ytd% 7 Year 8,04 8,34 8,34 15 Year 8,31 8,31 8,31 20 Year 8,32 8,32 8,32 30 Year 8,50 8,50 8,50
Source: Bloomberg LP & OSO Research Team
Market Review Pada perdagangan Kamis (09/04) IHSG ditutup menguat sebesar 0.48% ke level 4.649.08. Delapan dari sepuluh indeks sektoral ditutup dalam teritori positif, dimana sektor aneka industri dan barang konsumsi memimpin penguatan masing-masing sebesar 4.49% dan 2.10%. Adapun saham yang menjadi penggerak indeks diantaranya ; ASII, HMSP, ICBP, UNVR, CASA. Pelaku pasar asing membukukan aksi jual bersih (Netsell) senilai Rp 514 miliar. Nilai tukar rupiah terapresiasi sebesar 2.02% ke level 15.880. Global Review Adapun bursa saham Wall Street (09/04) kompak ditutup dalam zona hijau, dimana Dow Jones dan S&P 500 masing-masing naik sebesar 1.27% dam 1.45%, sedangkan Nasdaq menguat sebesar 0.77%. Penguatan tersebut didorong oleh kebijakan Federal Reserve (The Fed) Amerika Serikat (AS) yang akan mengeluarkan program-program untuk mendukung pemerintah dan bisnis lokal untuk membendung wabah virus corona, diantaranya melalui paket kebijakan Fed sebesar US$ 2,3 triliun, bank sentral AS akan bekerja sama dengan bank untuk menawarkan pinjaman empat tahun kepada perusahaan-perusahaan yang jumlah karyawannya mencapai 10.000 orang serta kebijakan secara langsung membeli obligasi untuk meningkatkan kembali pasar obligasi pasca penurunan kemarin. JCI Prediction IHSG ditutup menguat sebesar 0,48% ke level 4.649,079. IHSG ditutup bullish candle. Adapun indikator Stochastic bearish dan MACD histogram bergerak turun dengan Volume meningkat. Kami perkirakan IHSG bergerak melemah dengan pergerakan di kisaran 4.473 – 4.780. Major Economic Release
Balance of Trade United Kingdom Bulan
Maret tercatat defisit senilai £2.8 miliar
naik dari sebelumnya senilai £2.4 miliar.
Continuing Jobless Claims United States
periode 28 Maret naik menjadi sebanyak
7455 ribu dari sebelumnya sebanyak 3059
ribu.
Initial Jobless Claims United States peride
04 April turun menjadi sebanyak 6.606 ribu
dari sebelumnya sebanyak 6.867 ribu.
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OSODaily 13 April 2020
TODAY TOP STOCK TRADED (LQ45)
Top Gainers
Last Chg% YTD% MC (T) Beta
BTPS IJ Equity
2.940 10,53 (30,82) 22,65 1,18
CTRA IJ Equity
615 8,85 (40,87) 11,41 1,44
MNCN IJ Equity
1.120 8,74 (31,29) 15,99 1,14
TBIG IJ Equity
950 7,95 (22,76) 21,52 0,89
PWON IJ Equity
404 6,32 (29,12) 19,46 1,58
Top Losers
Last Chg% YTD% MC (T) Beta
LPPF IJ Equity
1.230 (6,82) (70,78) 3,45 1,12
JSMR IJ Equity
2.840 (4,70) (45,12) 20,61 1,40
WIKA IJ Equity
1.090 (3,96) (45,23) 9,78 1,88
CPIN IJ Equity
4.370 (3,74) (32,77) 71,66 1,55
ITMG IJ Equity
7.725 (3,74) (32,68) 8,73 1,30
Top Volume
Last Volume (Mn) YTD% MC (T) Beta
BBRI IJ Equity
2.790 265,8 (36,6) 344,13 1,43
PGAS IJ Equity
835 172,4 (61,5) 20,24 1,86
TLKM IJ Equity
3.120 122,6 (21,4) 309,07 0,88
ANTM IJ Equity
520 105,6 (38,1) 12,50 1,84
TBIG IJ Equity
950 92,1 (22,8) 21,52 0,89
Top Value
Last Value (Bn) YTD% MC (T) Beta
BBRI IJ Equity
2.790 817,3 (36,6) 344,13 1,43
BBCA IJ Equity
27.975 593,7 (16,3) 689,72 1,10
TLKM IJ Equity
3.120 388,6 (21,4) 309,07 0,88
BMRI IJ Equity
4.670 363,9 (39,2) 217,93 1,57
BBNI IJ Equity
3.990 245,5 (49,2) 74,41 1,66
Top Gainers Last Chg% YTD% MC (T) Beta
BENCHMARK INDICES COMPARISON Indices Country Latest P/E PBV Target 2020F Asia Pacific
IHSG
Indonesia 4.649 13,50 1,30 5.839
Nikkei
Japanese 19.499 17,31 1,45 24.249
Shanghai
China 2.797 13,19 1,37 3.236
TWSE
Taiwan 10.158 16,26 1,50 11.763
KOSPI
Korea 1.861 17,83 0,73 2.472
KLSE
Malaysia 1.358 15,09 1,34 1.518
ST - Times
Singapore 2.571 9,96 0,88 3.103
Sensex
India 31.160 19,07 2,43 42.323
Hangseng
Hongkong 24.300 9,87 1,03 29.780
JAKARTA COMPOSITE INDEX MOVERS
Movers
Latest Chg% YTD% MC (T) Beta
ASII IJ Equity
4090 6,23 (40,94) 164 1,35
HMSP IJ Equity
1660 3,43 (20,95) 193 1,09
ICBP IJ Equity
10100 5,21 (9,42) 120 0,77
UNVR IJ Equity
7250 1,75 (13,69) 272 0,96
CASA IJ Equity
382 11,52 (8,61) 21 (0,02)
Laggard
Latest Chg% YTD% MC (T) Beta
BBCA IJ Equity
27975 (0,71) (16,31) 690 1,10
BMRI IJ Equity
4670 (2,10) (39,15) 218 1,57
BBRI IJ Equity
2790 (1,06) (36,59) 344 1,43
CPIN IJ Equity
4370 (3,74) (32,77) 72 1,55
TCPI IJ Equity
4990 (6,80) (24,68) 25 2,35
Movers
Latest Chg% YTD% MC (T) Beta
OSO MANAJEMEN INVESTASI
Mutual Fund Latest 1 Month (%) YTD% Oso Sustainability Fund
1.000,69 (16,65) (27,55)
Oso Syariah Equity Fund
414,50 (11,65) (26,73)
Source: Bloomberg LP & OSO Research Team
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OSODaily 13 April 2020
COMPARATION OF JCI PERFORMANCE (SEAG)
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MACRO ECONOMIC & INDUSTRY NEWS
Pemerintah resmi membebaskan pajak pertambahan nilai (PPN) dan pajak penghasilan (PPh) dalam rangka
penanggulangan corona virus disease 2019 (Covid-19). Beleid tersebut tertuang dalam Peraturan Menteri
Keuangan (PMK) Nomor 28/PMK.03/2020 tentang Pemberian Fasilitas Pajak Terhadap Barang dan Jasa yang
Diperlukan Dalam Rangka Penanganan Pandemi Corona Virus Disease 2019. Aturan ini disahkan per tanggal 6 April
2020.
Pandemi Covid-19 (corona) berimbas pada sejumlah sektor perusahaan di dalam negeri, termasuk perusahaan
pelat merah alias badan usaha milik negara (BUMN). Makanya, setoran dividen BUMN tahun ini diperkirakan
seret. Berdasarkan outlook Anggaran Pendapatan dan Belanja Negara (APBN) 2020 yang dipaparkan Menteri
Keuangan Sri Mulyani dalam rapat kerja (raker) dengan Komisi XI DPR, setoran dividen BUMN 2020 diperkirakan
susut Rp 5,2 triliun dari target awal sebesar Rp 49 triliun.
Wabah corona menyebabkan impor di pelabuhan Port of Los Angeles pada bulan Maret turun 26%. Sedangkan
kegiatan impor di Pelabuhan Port of Long Beach juga turun 5% karena adanya virus corona. Sebab, virus tersebut
membuat kegiatan perdagangan dunia terganggu.
CORPORATES NEWS
PT AKR Corporindo Tbk. mencatatkan pertumbuhan penjualan minyak hingga 42 persen secara year on year pada
kuartal pertama tahun ini. AKRA itu membukukan volume penjualan pada kuartal I/2020 sebesar 685.000 kilo liter,
lebih tinggi 42 persen dibandingkan dengan periode yang sama tahun lalu hanya sebesar 480.000 kilo liter.
PT Pembangunan Perumahan (Persero) Tbk. atau PT PP membukukan perolehan kontrak yang lebih rendah dari
target pada kuartal I/2020. Penundaan proses tender di tengah pandemi virus corona mulai menghantui. Perolehan
kontrak baru hingga akhir Maret mencapai Rp5,4 triliun. Perolehan ini meleset dari target Rp6,5 triliun yang
dipasang untuk kuartal I/2020.
PT Ciputra Development Tbk., berhasil membukukan pendapatan sebesar Rp1,1 triliun dari hasil prapenjualan
(marketing sales) sepanjang kuartal I/2020. Perseroan mengatakan bahwa raihan tersebut tumbuh bila
dibandingkan dengan kuartal yang sama pada tahun lalu.
PT Maha Properti Indonesia Tbk. mencetak kinerja positif, baik untuk penjualan maupun laba bersih sepanjang
2019. MPRO membukukan penjualan sebesar Rp172,8 miliar pada 2019, naik 307 persen dibandingkan dengan
penjualan tahun sebelumnya yang hanya mencapai Rp42 miliar.
PT Surya Esa Perkasa Tbk. (ESSA). mencatatkan penurunan laba bersih sebesar 92,24 persen sekalipun pendapatan
tumbuh 49,90 persen pada 2019. ESSA mencatatkan penurunan laba bersih dari posisi US$33,90 juta menjadi
US$2,63 juta atau turun 92,24 persen. Dengan begitu laba bersih yang dapat diatribusikan kepada pemilik entitas
juga turun 93,57 persen dari posisi US$2,80 menjadi US$0,18.
PT Metropolitan Land Tbk. mencatatkan laba bersih sebesar Rp486,97 miliar. MTLA mencatatkan pertumbuhan
laba bersih dari posisi Rp481,70 miliar menjadi Rp486,97 miliar atau naik 1,09 persen. Dengan begitu laba bersih
per saham juga naik 1,10 persen dari posisi Rp62,93 menjadi Rp63,62.
PT Ciputra Development Tbk. (CTRA) membukukan perolehan laba bersih sebesar Rp1,15 triliun sepanjang 2019.
Laba bersih Ciputra turun tipis 2,36 persen dibandingkan dengan perolehan 2018 sebanyak Rp1,18 triliun.
Sumber: Kontan, Bisnis Indonesia, Iqplus
NOTE: Positive Sentiment Negative Sentiment Netral
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Technical
Medium/Minor trend : Uptrend MACD line/histogram : Bullish Stochastic : Golden Cross Volume : Meningkat
Recommendation : Buy On Weakness Entry Buy : 492 – 520 Target Price : 540 – 555 Support : 492 – 505 Cutloss : 490
DAILY TECHNICAL
BUY ANTM l PE : 15,5 l PBV : 0,63 l ROE : 4,12 l NPM : 3,46 l DER : 50,26 l Fair Value : 1.025
Harga Emas Diprediksi Tembus Rp 1 Juta/Gram Harga emas di tahun 2020 ini berkali-kali mencetak rekor. Bahkan, harga emas batangan Antam hari ini, Sabtu (11/4/2020) berada di level Rp 951.000/gram. Tingginya harga emas ini terjadi ketika nilai instrumen investasi lainnya tertekan oleh pandemi virus Corona (COVID-19).
Souce: OSO Research Team
Harga ditutup bullish candle dan menguji resistance. Harga berpeluang kembali menguji level 540. Apabila break 540 next harga ke level 555. Hati-hati jika harga tidak mampu break up atau menembus area support. Batasi resiko dengan tetap memperhatikan support. Cutloss di 490 jika sudah melewati support 492 – 505.
NOTE:
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Technical
Medium/Minor trend : Sideways MACD line/histogram : Bullish Stochastic : Bearish Volume : Turun
Recommendation : Buy On Weakness Entry Buy : 6.100 – 6.375 Target Price : 6.500 – 6.650 Support : 6.050 – 6.100 Cutloss : 6.025
DAILY TECHNICAL
BUY INDF l PE : 11,4 l PBV : 1,48 l ROE : 13,75 l NPM : 6,41 l DER : 42,38 l Fair Value : 8.532
PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk dapatkan peringkat idAA+ | Saham INDF PEFINDO menetapkan kembali peringkat "idAA+" terhadap PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk (INDF) dan Obligasi VIII/2017. Outlook untuk peringkat Perusahaan adalah "stabil". Menurut keterangan yang diperoleh Selasa disebutkan, peringkat tersebut mencerminkan posisi pasar Perusahaan yang sangat kuat di industri makanan dalam kemasan, portofolio usaha yang terdiversifikasi dengan baik, kegiatan usaha yang terintegrasi secara vertikal, dan perlindungan arus kas yang kuat. Namun, peringkat tersebut dibatasi oleh persaingan yang ketat di industri. Peringkat dapat dinaikkan jika Perusahaan mampu memperbaiki struktur permodalan dan perlindungan arus kas secara konsisten dan mempertahankan posisi bisnis yang kuat.
Souce: OSO Research Team
Harga ditutup bullish candle dan menguji resistance. Harga berpeluang kembali menguji level 6.500. Apabila break 6.500 next harga ke level 6.650. Hati-hati jika harga tidak mampu break up atau menembus area support. Batasi resiko dengan tetap memperhatikan support. Cutloss di 6.025 jika sudah melewati support 6.050 – 6.100.
NOTE:
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Technical
Medium/Minor trend : Uptrend MACD line/histogram : Positif Stochastic : Netral Volume : Meningkat
Recommendation : Buy on Weakness Entry Buy : 795 – 830 Target Price : 850 – 865 Support : 690 – 695 Cutloss : 685
DAILY TECHNICAL
Diuntungkan WFH, Ini Rekomendasi Untuk Emiten Media Dan Streaming Emiten media diuntungkan oleh imbauan pemerintah agar masyarakat bekerja, belajar, dan beribadah di rumah. Salah satu emiten media yang diuntungkan dengan adanya imbauan tersebut adalah PT Surya Citra Media Tbk (SCMA). Emiten yang memiliki layanan streaming Vidio itu mengaku ada kenaikan traffic program-program yang disediakannya. Kenaikan traffic terutama di jam 06.00 hingga 14.00 WIB. Namun traffic tertinggi masih seperti biasa terjadi di jam 18.00 hingga 22.00 WIB.
Harga ditutup bullish candle dan menguji resistance. Harga berpeluang kembali menguji level 850. Apabila break 850 next harga ke level 865. Hati-hati jika harga tidak mampu break up atau menembus area support. Batasi resiko dengan tetap memperhatikan support. Cutloss di 685 jika sudah melewati support 690 – 695.
SCMA l PE : 9,9 l PBV : 2,34 l ROE : 26,60 l NPM : 29,68 l DER : 0,33 l Fair Value : 1.409
Souce: OSO Research Team
BUY
NOTE:
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Sector Rotation
Mingguan
Bulanan
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OSODaily 13 April 2020
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS (LQ 45)
Last Price last Chg. Ytd (%) PBV (x) PE (x) P/EBITDA ROA (%) ROE (%) DER (x) Fair Value Up-Side Recommendation
SECTOR BASIC INDUSTRY
BRPT IJ Equity 945 2,16 (37,42) 4,48 141,93 11,40 0,62 3,76 92,01 780 -17% Sell
CPIN IJ Equity 4.370 (3,74) (32,77) 3,58 19,69 12,22 13,14 19,08 22,95 5.095 17% Buy
INKP IJ Equity 4.910 (3,25) (36,23) 0,42 6,17 1,96 3,18 7,06 95,94 11.300 130% Buy
INTP IJ Equity 11.600 0,43 (39,03) 1,85 23,27 13,67 6,61 7,93 0,48 16.218 40% Buy
JPFA IJ Equity 920 0,55 (40,07) 1,00 6,09 2,59 7,32 17,32 75,31 1.667 81% Buy
SMGR IJ Equity 8.100 2,21 (32,50) 1,49 20,09 5,52 3,66 7,54 82,74 12.498 54% Buy
TKIM IJ Equity 4.930 - (52,02) 0,70 5,76 7,57 5,01 11,50 120,71 13.000 164% Buy
Industry Average in LQ45 1,93 31,86 7,85 5,65 10,60 70,02
Total of Industry Average 1,19 24,45 6,71 1,69 (11,30) 100,75
SECTOR CONSUMER GOODS
ACES IJ Equity 1.190 (3,64) (20,40) 4,56 20,46 14,82 19,19 23,99 2,72 1.480 24% Buy
GGRM IJ Equity 47.825 1,76 (9,76) 1,81 8,46 5,22 14,73 22,65 34,19 58.392 22% Buy
HMSP IJ Equity 1.660 3,43 (20,95) 5,41 14,10 10,45 28,15 38,63 1,17 1.942 17% Buy
ICBP IJ Equity 10.100 5,21 (9,42) 4,92 23,65 13,81 13,90 22,21 9,06 11.536 14% Buy
INDF IJ Equity 6.375 2,00 (19,56) 1,48 11,40 4,23 5,09 13,75 42,38 8.532 34% Buy
KLBF IJ Equity 1.140 (0,44) (29,63) 3,36 21,32 13,96 13,05 16,43 4,89 1.475 29% Buy
UNVR IJ Equity 7.250 1,75 (13,69) 52,37 37,42 24,57 36,08 116,74 75,07 8.577 18% Buy
Industry Average in LQ45 11,56 19,39 12,04 18,50 38,40 27,79
Total of Industry Average 3,56 23,03 10,48 5,33 (32,52) 55,48
SECTOR INFRASTRUCTURE
EXCL IJ Equity 2.150 (2,71) (31,75) 1,20 130,48 2,17 1,18 3,80 140,83 3.488 62% Buy
JSMR IJ Equity 2.840 (4,70) (45,12) 1,14 10,66 3,17 2,28 11,28 157,26 5.684 100% Buy
PGAS IJ Equity 835 (2,34) (61,52) 0,50 18,88 1,29 0,88 2,63 85,04 1.218 46% Buy
TBIG IJ Equity 950 7,95 (22,76) 4,12 24,46 4,99 2,73 19,59 415,69 1.149 21% Buy
TLKM IJ Equity 3.120 0,32 (21,41) 3,10 15,26 4,70 9,65 21,31 37,58 4.309 38% Buy
TOWR IJ Equity 700 2,19 (13,04) 4,17 17,15 7,14 8,55 25,79 142,95 954 36% Buy
Industry Average in LQ45 2,37 36,15 3,91 4,21 14,07 163,23
Total of Industry Average 1,83 26,60 9,15 (1,99) (1,42) 129,74
Source: Bloomber LP
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OSODaily 13 April 2020
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS (LQ 45)
Last Price Change (%) Chg. Ytd (%) PBV (x) PE (x) P/EBITDA ROA (%) ROE (%) DER (x) Fair Value Up-Side Recommendation
SECTOR MINING
ADRO IJ Equity 1.040 (2,35) (33,12) 0,56 5,19 2,08 5,66 10,95 48,89 1.368 32% Buy
AKRA IJ Equity 1.970 (1,50) (50,13) 0,95 11,04 5,55 3,45 8,54 45,79 3.510 78% Buy
ANTM IJ Equity 520 - (38,10) 0,63 15,53 5,44 2,46 4,12 50,26 1.025 97% Buy
INCO IJ Equity 2.270 2,71 (37,64) 0,73 24,64 6,51 2,59 3,00 0,06 3.258 44% Buy
ITMG IJ Equity 7.725 (3,74) (32,68) 0,60 4,13 2,29 9,76 13,90 1,20 11.843 53% Buy
PTBA IJ Equity 1.980 (0,75) (25,56) 1,21 5,31 3,71 16,14 23,67 3,42 2.502 26% Buy
Industry Average in LQ45 0,78 10,97 4,26 6,68 10,70 24,94
Total of Industry Average 1,07 12,65 5,86 0,20 (2,71) 97,90
SECTOR MISC INDUSTRY
ASII IJ Equity 4.090 6,23 (40,94) 1,12 7,63 4,18 6,23 15,24 49,42 6.414 57% Buy
SRIL IJ Equity 164 1,86 (36,92) 0,36 2,40 0,94 6,00 15,81 144,29 Neutral #VALUE! #VALUE!
Industry Average in LQ45 0,74 5,01 2,56 6,11 15,53 96,85
Total of Industry Average 1,17 37,70 5,05 2,29 19,48 95,37
SECTOR PROPERTY
BSDE IJ Equity 845 5,63 (32,67) 0,55 5,75 5,55 5,24 10,10 39,96 1.370 62% Buy
CTRA IJ Equity 615 8,85 (40,87) 0,74 9,89 4,56 3,29 7,79 51,66 1.192 94% Buy
PTPP IJ Equity 695 (2,11) (56,15) 0,32 4,64 1,38 1,67 7,10 94,11 1.556 124% Buy
PWON IJ Equity 404 6,32 (29,12) 1,35 6,68 5,50 11,59 22,21 36,44 608 50% Buy
WIKA IJ Equity 1.090 (3,96) (45,23) 0,59 4,28 3,07 3,77 14,60 78,48 1.792 64% Buy
WSKT IJ Equity 610 (1,61) (58,92) 0,46 8,83 1,74 0,76 5,23 237,92 1.156 90% Buy
Industry Average in LQ45 0,67 6,68 3,64 4,38 11,17 89,76
Total of Industry Average 2,31 10,10 9,28 3,24 6,61 42,68
Source: Bloomber LP
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OSODaily 13 April 2020
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS (LQ 45)
Last Price Change (%) Chg. Ytd (%) PBV (x) PE (x) P/EBITDA ROA (%) ROE (%) DER (x) Fair Value Up-Side Recommendation
SECTOR TRADE
ERAA IJ Equity 1.095 (3,10) (39,00) 0,72 11,82 3,94 2,63 6,20 54,32 1.279 17% Buy
LPPF IJ Equity 1.230 (6,82) (70,78) 1,88 2,53 1,61 27,70 76,74 - 2.437 98% Buy
MNCN IJ Equity 1.120 8,74 (31,29) 1,25 6,29 3,81 13,22 21,24 42,22 1.526 36% Buy
SCMA IJ Equity 830 4,40 (41,13) 2,34 9,94 6,75 19,59 26,60 0,33 1.409 70% Buy
UNTR IJ Equity 17.125 (2,14) (20,44) 1,10 5,65 2,54 9,92 20,20 22,89 21.472 25% Buy
Industry Average in LQ45 1,46 7,24 3,73 14,61 30,20 23,95
Total of Industry Average 1,92 19,25 61,98 0,84 1,17 65,14
Last Price Change (%) Chg. Ytd (%) PBV (x) PE (x) LDR (%) NPL NIM (%) DER (x) Fair Value Up-Side Recommendation
SECTOR FINANCE
BBCA IJ Equity 27.975 (0,71) (16,31) 3,96 24,14 86,78 1,30 6,57 6,38 30.844 10% Buy
BBRI IJ Equity 2.790 (1,06) (36,59) 1,65 9,93 89,64 2,62 6,78 66,52 4.347 56% Buy
BBNI IJ Equity 3.990 (0,50) (49,17) 0,61 4,83 93,76 2,30 5,03 59,54 7.290 83% Buy
BBTN IJ Equity 920 (2,13) (56,60) 0,41 47,24 113,51 4,78 3,15 225,31 1.903 107% Buy
BMRI IJ Equity 4.670 (2,10) (39,15) 1,07 7,93 100,37 2,33 5,30 50,07 7.695 65% Buy
BTPS IJ Equity 2.940 10,53 (30,82) 4,20 16,18 479,42 1,37 39,48 140,00 3.867 32% Buy
Industry Average in LQ45 1,54 18,82 96,81 2,67 5,37 81,56
Total of Industry Average 43,24 27,29 113,53 3,30 7,52 79,43
Source: Bloomber LP
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (LQ 45)
Ticker Last YtD% MA5 RSI Rec MACD Trend Bollinger
Band Pivot Point Support Resistance
Stop Loss Level
Recommendation
Lower Middle Upper 1 2 1 2
ACES IJ Equity 1.190 (20,4) Positif Trading Positif 1.055 1.280 1.505 1.265 1.205 1.210 1.260 1.320 1.190 Speculative Buy
ADRO IJ Equity 1.040 (33,1) Negatif Trading Positif 620 905 1.185 1.095 1.040 1.025 1.110 1.165 1.010 Hold
AKRA IJ Equity 1.970 (50,1) Negatif Trading Positif 1.425 1.885 2.345 2.010 1.875 1.820 2.065 2.200 1.795 Hold
ANTM IJ Equity 520 (38,1) Negatif Trading Positif 311 453 595 498 456 424 530 570 418 Hold
ASII IJ Equity 4.090 (40,9) Negatif Oversold Positif 2.980 4.260 5.550 3.985 3.925 3.825 4.085 4.145 3.765 Speculative Buy
BBCA IJ Equity 27.975 (16,3) Negatif Trading Positif 22.100 26.775 31.475 27.950 27.175 26.725 28.400 29.175 26.300 Hold
BBNI IJ Equity 3.990 (49,2) Negatif Oversold Positif 2.615 4.390 6.150 4.090 3.880 3.800 4.170 4.380 3.745 Speculative Buy
BBRI IJ Equity 2.790 (36,6) Positif Oversold Positif 2.325 3.225 4.125 2.920 2.810 2.800 2.930 3.040 2.760 Buy
BBTN IJ Equity 920 (56,6) Negatif Oversold Positif 550 1.095 1.635 940 865 830 975 1.050 815 Speculative Buy
BMRI IJ Equity 4.670 (39,2) Negatif Trading Positif 3.365 5.350 7.350 4.955 4.685 4.630 5.000 5.275 4.560 Hold
BRPT IJ Equity 945 (37,4) Negatif OverBought Positif 365 675 990 985 920 880 1.025 1.090 865 Sell
BSDE IJ Equity 845 (32,7) Negatif Trading Positif 515 755 990 780 720 655 845 905 645 Hold
BTPS IJ Equity 2.940 (30,8) Positif Oversold Negatif 1.350 2.770 4.185 2.195 2.155 1.755 2.595 2.635 1.730 Speculative Buy
CPIN IJ Equity 4.370 (32,8) Negatif Trading Positif 3.575 4.925 6.275 4.705 4.545 4.575 4.675 4.835 4.505 Hold
CTRA IJ Equity 615 (40,9) Negatif Oversold Negatif 301 590 875 525 482 414 595 640 408 Speculative Buy
ERAA IJ Equity 1.095 (39,0) Negatif Oversold Negatif 590 1.135 1.680 995 980 915 1.060 1.075 900 Speculative Buy
EXCL IJ Equity 2.150 (31,7) Negatif Trading Positif 1.300 1.820 2.335 2.220 2.010 1.940 2.290 2.500 1.910 Hold
GGRM IJ Equity 47.825 (9,8) Negatif Trading Positif 32.750 41.375 50.000 47.950 45.250 43.950 49.250 51.950 43.275 Hold
HMSP IJ Equity 1.660 (21,0) Negatif Trading Positif 1.150 1.440 1.725 1.670 1.550 1.485 1.735 1.855 1.460 Hold
ICBP IJ Equity 10.100 (9,4) Negatif Trading Positif 8.300 9.900 11.500 10.125 9.925 9.775 10.275 10.475 9.625 Hold
INCO IJ Equity 2.270 (37,6) Negatif Trading Positif 1.305 1.940 2.575 2.340 2.205 2.120 2.425 2.560 2.085 Hold
INDF IJ Equity 6.375 (19,6) Negatif Trading Positif 5.275 6.300 7.350 6.625 6.425 6.375 6.675 6.875 6.275 Hold
INKP IJ Equity 4.910 (36,2) Negatif Trading Positif 2.765 4.330 5.900 4.765 4.505 4.290 4.980 5.250 4.225 Hold
source: Bloomberg Lp
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OSODaily 13 April 2020
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (LQ 45)
Ticker Last YtD% MA5 RSI Rec MACD Trend Bollinger
Band Pivot Point Support Resistance
Stop Loss Level
Recommendation
Lower Middle Upper 1 2 1 2
INTP IJ Equity 11.600 (39,0) Positif Trading Positif 8.875 11.850 14.825 12.175 11.250 11.075 12.350 13.275 10.900 Speculative Buy
ITMG IJ Equity 7.725 (32,7) Negatif Trading Positif 5.600 7.850 10.100 8.225 7.800 7.850 8.175 8.600 7.725 Hold
JPFA IJ Equity 920 (40,1) Negatif Oversold Positif 650 1.050 1.445 975 935 935 975 1.015 920 Speculative Buy
JSMR IJ Equity 2.840 (45,1) Negatif Oversold Positif 1.615 3.180 4.745 2.995 2.595 2.475 3.115 3.515 2.435 Speculative Buy
KLBF IJ Equity 1.140 (29,6) Negatif Trading Positif 840 1.070 1.300 1.235 1.185 1.170 1.250 1.300 1.155 Hold
LPPF IJ Equity 1.230 (70,8) Positif Strong Buy Negatif 680 1.765 2.845 1.180 1.070 985 1.265 1.375 970 Buy
MNCN IJ Equity 1.120 (31,3) Negatif Trading Positif 690 965 1.240 1.040 1.025 965 1.100 1.115 950 Hold
PGAS IJ Equity 835 (61,5) Negatif Oversold Positif 469 870 1.270 840 790 760 870 920 750 Speculative Buy
PTBA IJ Equity 1.980 (25,6) Negatif Trading Positif 1.490 1.970 2.455 2.085 2.005 2.015 2.075 2.155 1.980 Hold
PTPP IJ Equity 695 (56,2) Negatif Oversold Positif 320 675 1.030 645 580 515 710 775 505 Speculative Buy
PWON IJ Equity 404 (29,1) Negatif Oversold Positif 212 362 510 380 343 312 411 448 307 Speculative Buy
SCMA IJ Equity 830 (41,1) Negatif Trading Positif 580 790 1.000 820 795 770 845 870 760 Hold
SMGR IJ Equity 8.100 (32,5) Negatif Trading Positif 5.175 7.650 10.100 7.975 7.675 7.375 8.275 8.575 7.250 Hold
SRIL IJ Equity 164 (36,9) Negatif Trading Positif 106 153 201 159 154 148 165 170 146 Hold
TBIG IJ Equity 950 (22,8) Negatif Trading Positif 725 915 1.100 915 885 820 980 1.010 810 Hold
TKIM IJ Equity 4.930 (52,0) Negatif Trading Positif 2.805 5.100 7.400 4.985 4.665 4.535 5.125 5.425 4.465 Hold
TLKM IJ Equity 3.120 (21,4) Negatif Trading Positif 2.520 3.120 3.715 3.230 3.125 3.080 3.275 3.380 3.030 Hold
TOWR IJ Equity 700 (13,0) Negatif Trading Positif 555 685 815 685 650 615 720 755 605 Hold
UNTR IJ Equity 17.125 (20,4) Negatif Trading Positif 12.575 15.300 18.000 17.425 16.775 16.575 17.625 18.275 16.325 Hold
UNVR IJ Equity 7.250 (13,7) Negatif Trading Positif 5.600 6.750 7.925 7.200 7.100 7.000 7.300 7.400 6.900 Hold
WIKA IJ Equity 1.090 (45,2) Negatif Oversold Positif 458 1.040 1.620 1.020 900 800 1.120 1.240 785 Speculative Buy
WSKT IJ Equity 610 (58,9) Negatif Oversold Positif 265 575 890 570 505 450 625 690 443 Speculative Buy
source: Bloomberg Lp
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MAJOR ECONOMIC RELEASE CALENDAR
Date Event Country Act Prev Cons
08-Apr-20 Indonesia, Retail Sales YoY FEB IDN -0.8% -0.3%
Japan, Current Account FEB JPY ¥3168.8B ¥612.3B
Japan, Machinery Orders MoM FEB JPY 2.3% 2.9%
Japan, Machinery Orders YoY FEB JPY -2.4% -0.3%
US EIA Gasoline Stocks Change 03/APR USD 10.497M 7.524M 7.524M
US EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change 03/APR USD 15.177M 13.834M
09-Apr-20 Japan, Foreign Bond Investment 04/APR JPY ¥-1056.4B ¥2.5B
Japan, Stock Investment by Foreigners 04/APR JPY ¥422.7B ¥-1422.1B
GB Balance of Trade FEB GBR £-2.8B £2.4B
GB Industrial Production YoY FEB GBR -2.7% 0.5% -2.9%
GB Manufacturing Production YoY FEB GBR -3.9% -3.7% -4%
US Initial Jobless Claims 04/APR USD 6606K 6867K 5250K
US Continuing Jobless Claims 28/MAR USD 7455K 3059K 8000K
US Wholesale Inventories MoM FEB USD -0.7% -0.6% -0.5%
13-Apr-20 China, FDI (YTD) YoY MAR CNY -8.6%
US 6-Month Bill Auction USD 0.16%
14-Apr-20 China, Balance of Trade MAR CNY $-7.09B $19.1B
China, Exports YoY MAR CNY -17.2% -14%
China, Imports YoY MAR CNY -4% -9.5%
Indonesia, Interest Rate Decision IDN 4.50%
Indonesia, Lending Facility Rate APR IDN 5.25% 5.25%
Indonesia, Deposit Facility Rate APR IDN 3.75% 3.75%
US Import Prices YoY MAR USD -1.2%
US Export Prices YoY MAR USD -1.3%
US Import Prices MoM MAR USD -0.5% -3.5%
US Export Prices MoM MAR USD -1.1% -2%
Source: Bloomberg Lp
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CORPORATE ACTION
RUPS
Date Time Company Event Place
13-Apr-20 10:00 BULL RUPSLB TBA
10:00 PTRO RUPS Gedung Balai Kartini
14-Apr-20 TBA ARTO RUPS TBA
9:00 GIAA RUPS TBA
10:00 MLBI RUPS Hotel Dharmawangsa
11:00 FAST RUPS The Ritz-Carlton Jakarta
12:30 PPRO RUPS Wisma Subiyanto Lt 1
14:00 BBYB RUPSLB Kantor Perseroan
14:00 BNLI RUPS WTC II Lt 21
15-Apr-20 10:00 DMAS RUPS Hotel Mulia Senayan
10:00 MERK RUPS Kantor Perseroan
13:00 BFIN RUPSLB Hotel Dharmawangsa
14:00 KDSI RUPS Kantor Perseroan
16-Apr-20 9:00 ANTM RUPS TBA
9:00 BJBR RUPS Bandung
10:00 BTPS RUPS Menara BTPN
10:00 PTPP RUPS Plaza PP
10:00 TCID RUPS Hotel Ayana Midplaza
17-Apr-20 10:00 JAST RUPSLB Ruang Seminar, BEI
14:00 WSKT RUPS Gedung Waskita Haritage Lt 11
Dividend
Code Status Cum- Date Ex-Date Recording Date Pay -Date Ammount (IDR)/Share
ADMF Cash Dividen 08-Apr-20 09-Apr-20 13-Apr-20 28-Apr-20 1054
IRRA Cash Dividen 08-Apr-20 09-Apr-20 13-Apr-20 30-Apr-20 6
IPO Company Underwriter Offering Date Listing Date IPO Price Shares (Mn)
Bhakti Multi' Artha Tbk Jasa Utama Capital Sekuritas 02 - 08 April 2020 15-Apr-20 100 103
Bumi Benowo Sukses Sejahtera Tbk Mirae Asset Sekuritas 02 - 07 April 2020 15-Apr-20 160 120
Right Issue
Code OS NS Price (IDR) Cum Date Ex Date Trading Period
TNCA 2 : 3 344 08-Jan-20 09-Jan-20 14 - 20 Januari 2020
FAST 100 : 7 1.25 18-Jun-20 19-Jun-20 24 - 30 Juni 2020
Source: KSEI and OSO Research Team
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