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7/29/2019 Daily i Forex Report 1 by EPIC RESEARCH 22.03.13
1/15
DAILY I FOREX REPORT22
ND
MARCH 2013
WWW.EPICRESEARCH.CO +91 9752199966
http://www.epicresearch.co/http://www.epicresearch.co/http://www.epicresearch.co/7/29/2019 Daily i Forex Report 1 by EPIC RESEARCH 22.03.13
2/15
WWW.EPICRESEARCH.CO +91 9752199966
Australian Dollar Higher AsPMI Indicates China GrowthMomentum
Euro May Rise As PMI DataOvershadows CyprusJittersJPY Trade Deficit
Continues, But DevaluedYen May HelpEUR/USD Slips Under $1.2900 afterBig Misses on Euro-zone, GermanPMIs
THE TAKEAWAY: EUR Euro-zone, French, andGerman PMI data for March disappointsacross the board, signaling steeper recessionwhich is likely to continue through 3Q13 >EURUSD BEARISH
The worst economic slump since the depths of the
global financial crisis in 2008-2009 looks set tocontinue in Europe, as the core regions begin to feelthe brunt of the slowdown. The preliminary March PMfigures out of France, Germany, and the broader Eurozone all disappointed across the board, with all butoneGerman PMI Servicesholding in or falling backinto contraction territory. The headline figures are asfollows:
TRADING TIPS
SELL EURUSD BELOW
1.2880 tgs
1.2860/1.2840 sl 1.2910
BUY USDJPY ABOVE
96.05 tgt 96.25/96.45
SL 95.75
BUY GBPUSD ABOVE
1.5205 Tgt
1.5225/1.5245 SL
1.5175
HEADLINES
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3/15
HOURLY EURUSD CHART
ANALYSIS
OPEN: 1.2939
HIGH: 1.2955
LOW: 1.2880
CLOSE: 1.2896
EURUSD LOOKS DOWNWARD
TREND : BEARISH
STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
MACD =>-.0004(BEARISH SIGNAL)
RSI => 38(BEARISH SIGNAL)
HOURLY EURUSD CHART
7/29/2019 Daily i Forex Report 1 by EPIC RESEARCH 22.03.13
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HOURLY USDJPY CHART
ANALYSIS
OPEN: 95.94
HIGH: 96.03
LOW: 95.21
CLOSE: 95.41
USDJPY LOOKS UPWARD
TREND: BULLISH
STRATEGY: BUY ON DEEPS
MACD => -0.07( BULLISH SIGNAL)
RSI =>41(BULLISH SIGNAL)
HOURLY USDJPY CHART
7/29/2019 Daily i Forex Report 1 by EPIC RESEARCH 22.03.13
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HOURLY GBPUSD CHART
ANALYSIS
OPEN: 1.5094
HIGH: 1.5204
LOW: 1.5092
CLOSE: 1.5173
GBPUSD LOOKS UPWARD
TREND: BULLISH
STRATEGY: BUY ON DEEPS
MACD => .002( BULLISH SIGNAL)
RSI => 66(BULLISH SIGNAL)
HOURLY GBPUSD CHART
7/29/2019 Daily i Forex Report 1 by EPIC RESEARCH 22.03.13
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HOURLY EURGBP CHART
ANALYSIS
OPEN: 0.8572
HIGH: 0.8573
LOW: 0.8492
CLOSE: 0.8501
EURGBP LOOKS DOWNWARDS
TREND: BEARISH
STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
MACD =>-.003(BEARISH SIGNAL)
RSI =>27(BEARISH SIGNAL)
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HOURLY EURGBP CHART
http://www.epicresearch.co/http://www.epicresearch.co/http://www.epicresearch.co/7/29/2019 Daily i Forex Report 1 by EPIC RESEARCH 22.03.13
7/15
HOURLY USDINDEX CHART
ANALYSIS
OPEN: 82.8330
HIGH: 83.0210
LOW: 82.7410
CLOSE: 82.8480
USDINDEX LOOKS DOWNWARD
TREND: BEARISH
STRATEGY: SELL ON RISE
MACD =>0.22(BEARISH SIGNAL)
RSI =>51(BEARISH SIGNAL)
7/29/2019 Daily i Forex Report 1 by EPIC RESEARCH 22.03.13
8/15
Date Time Currency Event Importance Actual Forecast Previous N
Mon
Mar 18
CNY Actual FDI (YoY)
(FEB)
Medium -4.8% -7.3%
00:01GBP Rightmove HousePrices (YoY) (MAR)
Medium 1.2% 1.1%
00:01GBP Rightmove HousePrices (MoM) (MAR)
Low 1.7% 2.8%
00:30AUD New MotorVehicle Sales (MoM)(FEB)
Low 0.0% -2.2%
00:30AUD New MotorVehicle Sales (YoY)(FEB)
Low 9.4% 10.9%
01:30 CNY China FebruaryProperty Prices
Medium
06:45CHF SECO March2013 EconomicForecasts
Medium
10:00EUR Euro-Zone TradeBalance (euros) (JAN)
Low -3.9B -3.5B 10.8B
10:00EUR Euro-Zone TradeBalance s.a. (euros)(JAN)
Low 9.0B 10.9B 10.3B
12:30CAD InternationalSecurities Transactions
(Canadian dollar) (JAN)
Low -1.92B
14:00
EUR CyprusParliament to Vote onDeposit Levy for EUBailout Plan
High
14:00USD NAHB HousingMarket Index (MAR)
Low 47 46
Tue
Mar 1900:30
AUD RBA PolicyMeeting - MarchMinutes
High
02:00
CNY Conference BoardChina February
Leading EconomicIndex
Low
04:00JPY Bank of JapanGovernor ShirakawaSteps Down
High
05:00JPY Leading Index(JAN F)
Medium 96.3
05:00JPY Coincident Index(JAN F)
Low 92.0
05:30JPY NationwideDepartment StoreSales (YoY) (FEB)
Low 0.2%
ECONOMIC CALENDER
7/29/2019 Daily i Forex Report 1 by EPIC RESEARCH 22.03.13
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05:30
JPY Tokyo DepartmentStore Sales (YoY)(FEB)
Low 0.5%
07:00EUR EU 25 New CarRegistrations (FEB)
Low -8.7%
09:30GBP Consumer PriceIndex (YoY) (FEB)
High 2.8% 2.7%
09:30GBP Core ConsumerPrice Index (YoY)(FEB)
High 2.2% 2.3%
09:30GBP Consumer PriceIndex (MoM) (FEB)
Medium 0.7% -0.5%
09:30GBP Producer PriceIndex Output Coren.s.a. (YoY) (FEB)
Medium 1.1% 1.4%
09:30GBP Producer PriceIndex Output n.s.a.(YoY) (FEB)
Medium 1.8% 2.0%
09:30GBP Retail Price Index(YoY) (FEB)
Medium 3.3% 3.3%
09:30
GBP DCLG UK House
Prices (YoY) (JAN) Low 2.4% 3.3%
09:30GBP Producer PriceIndex Input n.s.a.(MoM) (FEB)
Low 1.5% 1.3%
09:30GBP Producer PriceIndex Input n.s.a. (YoY)(FEB)
Low 0.8% 1.8%
09:30GBP Producer PriceIndex Output Coren.s.a. (MoM) (FEB)
Low 0.3% 0.2%
09:30GBP Producer PriceIndex Output n.s.a.
(MoM) (FEB)
Low 0.4% 0.2%
09:30GBP Retail Price Index(FEB)
Low
09:30GBP Retail Price IndexEx Mort Int.Payments(YoY) (FEB)
Low 3.2% 3.3%
09:30GBP Retail Price Index(MoM) (FEB)
Low 0.8% -0.4%
10:00EUR German ZEWSurvey (EconomicSentiment) (MAR)
High 48.1 48.2
10:00 EUR Euro-Zone ZEWSurvey (EconomicSentiment) (MAR)
Medium 42.4
10:00EUR German ZEWSurvey (CurrentSituation) (MAR)
Medium 6 5.2
10:00EUR Euro-ZoneConstruction Outputs.a. (MoM) (JAN)
Low -1.7%
10:00EUR Euro-ZoneConstruction Outputw.d.a. (YoY) (JAN)
Low -4.8%
7/29/2019 Daily i Forex Report 1 by EPIC RESEARCH 22.03.13
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12:30
USD Building Permits(MoM) (FEB)
Medium 2.1% -0.6%
12:30USD Housing Starts(MoM) (FEB)
Medium 2.8% -8.5%
12:30CAD ManufacturingShipments (MoM)(JAN)
Low 0.6% -3.1%
12:30CAD Wholesale Sales(MoM) (JAN)
Low 0.4% -0.9%
12:30USD Building Permits(FEB)
Low 923K 904K
12:30USD Housing Starts(FEB)
Low 915K 890K
21:45NZD Current AccountBalance (4Q)
Medium -2.950B -4.418B
21:45NZD Current AccountDeficit-GDP Ratio (4Q)
Low -4.9% -4.7%
23:30AUD Westpac LeadingIndex (MoM) (JAN)
Low 0.2%
Wed
Mar 20
USD Federal ReserveFOMC Meeting
High
00:00AUD DEWR InternetSkilled Vacancies(MoM) (FEB)
Low -0.7%
07:00EUR German ProducerPrices (YoY) (FEB)
Medium 1.5% 1.7%
07:00EUR German ProducerPrices (MoM) (FEB)
Low 0.2% 0.8%
09:00EUR Euro-ZoneCurrent Account n.s.a.
(euros) (JAN)
Low 27.0B
09:00EUR Euro-ZoneCurrent Account s.a.(euros) (JAN)
Low 13.9B
09:30
GBP Bank of EnglandReleases MonetaryPolicy CommitteeMinutes
High
09:30GBP Jobless ClaimsChange (FEB)
High -5.0K -12.5K
09:30GBP Average WeeklyEarnings (3M/YoY)
(JAN)
Medium 1.5% 1.4%
09:30GBP Claimant CountRate (FEB)
Medium 4.7% 4.7%
09:30GBP EmploymentChange (3M/3M) (JAN)
Medium 140K 154K
09:30GBP ILOUnemployment Rate(3M) (JAN)
Medium 7.8% 7.8%
09:30GBP Weekly EarningsexBonus (3M/YoY)(JAN)
Low 1.5% 1.3%
7/29/2019 Daily i Forex Report 1 by EPIC RESEARCH 22.03.13
11/15
10:00
CHF ZEW Survey(Expectations) (MAR)
Medium 10
11:00USD MBA MortgageApplications (MAR 15)
Low -4.7%
12:30GBP U.K. ChancellorOsborne Presents 2013Budget to Parliament
High
13:00CAD Teranet/NationalBank HPI (MoM) (FEB)
Low -0.3%
13:00CAD Teranet/NationalBank HPI (YoY) (FEB)
Low 2.7%
13:00CAD Teranet/NationalBank HP Index (FEB)
Low 153
14:30USD DOE Cushing OKCrude Inventory (MAR15)
Low -1526K
14:30USD DOE U.S. CrudeOil Inventories (MAR15)
Low 2624K
14:30USD DOE U.S.Distillate Inventory(MAR 15)
Low 83K
14:30USD DOE U.S.Gasoline Inventories(MAR 15)
Low -3571K
15:00EUR Euro-ZoneConsumer Confidence(MAR A)
Medium -23.2 -23.6
18:00USD Fed ReleasesSummary of EconomicProjections
High
18:00USD Federal OpenMarket Committee Rate
Decision (MAR 20)
High 0.25% 0.25%
18:30
USD Fed's BernankeHolds PressConference inWashington
High
21:45NZD Gross DomesticProduct (QoQ) (4Q)
High 0.9% 0.2%
21:45NZD Gross DomesticProduct (YoY) (4Q)
High 2.3% 2.0%
23:50JPY MerchandiseTrade Balance Total(Yen) (FEB)
Medium -855.9B -1629.4B
23:50JPY AdjustedMerchandise TradeBalance (Yen) (FEB)
Low -1099.4B -678.9B
23:50JPY Foreign BuyingJapan Bonds (Yen)(MAR 15)
Low -838.2B
23:50JPY Foreign BuyingJapan Stocks (Yen)(MAR 15)
Low 1121.9B
23:50JPY Japan BuyingForeign Bonds (Yen)(MAR 15)
Low 764.4B
7/29/2019 Daily i Forex Report 1 by EPIC RESEARCH 22.03.13
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23:50
JPY Japan BuyingForeign Stocks (Yen)(MAR 15)
Low -269.6B
23:50JPY MerchandiseTrade Exports (YoY)(FEB)
Low -1.2 6.4
23:50JPY MerchandiseTrade Imports (YoY)(FEB)
Low 14.9 7.3
Thu
Mar 2100:00
AUD CBAHIA HouseAffordability (4Q)
Low 65.8
00:30
AUD RBA ForeignExchange Transaction(Australian dollar)(FEB)
Low 393M
01:45CNY HSBC FlashManufacturing PMI(MAR)
Medium 50.9 50.4
02:00NZD Credit CardSpending (YoY) (FEB)
Medium 0.4%
02:00NZD Credit CardSpending s.a. (MoM)(FEB)
Medium -2.5%
04:30JPY All Industry ActivityIndex (MoM) (JAN)
Medium -1.3% 1.8%
05:00JPY SupermarketSales (YoY) (FEB)
Low -4.7%
07:00CHF Trade Balance(Swiss franc) (FEB)
Medium 2.13B
07:00CHF Exports (MoM)(FEB)
Low 3.70%
07:00CHF Imports (MoM)(FEB)
Low -0.5%
07:00JPY ConvenienceStore Sales (YoY)(FEB)
Low -0.9%
08:00CHF Money Supply M3(YoY) (FEB)
Low 9.20%
08:00
EUR FrenchPurchasing ManagerIndex Manufacturing(MAR P)
Low 44.2 43.9
08:00
EUR FrenchPurchasing ManagerIndex Services (MAR
P)
Low 44.0 43.7
08:30
EUR GermanPurchasing ManagerIndex Manufacturing(MAR A)
Medium 50.5 50.3
08:30
EUR GermanPurchasing ManagerIndex Services (MARA)
Medium 55.0 54.7
09:00
EUR Euro-ZonePurchasing ManagerIndex Composite (MARA)
Medium 48.2 47.9
7/29/2019 Daily i Forex Report 1 by EPIC RESEARCH 22.03.13
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09:00
EUR Euro-ZonePurchasing ManagerIndex Manufacturing(MAR A)
Medium 48.2 47.9
09:00
EUR Euro-ZonePurchasing ManagerIndex Services (MARA)
Medium 48.2 47.9
09:30GBP PSNB exInterventions (FEB)
Medium 8.0B -11.4B
09:30 GBP Public Finances(PSNCR) (Pounds)(FEB)
Medium -12.0B -35.6B
09:30GBP Public Sector NetBorrowing (Pounds)(FEB)
Medium 8.2B -9.9B
09:30GBP Retail Sales (YoY)(FEB)
Medium 1.2% 0.2%
09:30GBP Retail Salesw/Auto Fuel (YoY)(FEB)
Medium 0.5% -0.6%
09:30GBP Retail Sales
(MoM) (FEB)
Low 0.6% -0.5%
09:30GBP Retail Salesw/Auto Fuel (MoM)(FEB)
Low 0.4% -0.6%
11:00GBP CBI TrendsSelling Prices (MAR)
Low 17 20
11:00GBP CBI Trends TotalOrders (MAR)
Low -15 -14.0
12:30CAD Retail Sales(MoM) (JAN)
Medium 0.8% -2.1%
12:30USD Initial JoblessClaims (MAR 16) Medium 344K 332K
12:30CAD Retail Sales LessAutos (MoM) (JAN)
Low 0.3% -0.9%
12:30USD Continuing Claims(MAR 9)
Low 3063K 3024K
12:58USD Markit US PMIPreliminary (MAR)
Medium 54.8
13:00USD House Price Index(MoM) (JAN)
Medium 0.7% 0.6%
14:00 USD Existing HomeSales (MoM) (FEB)Medium 1.6% 0.4%
14:00USD Leading Indicators(FEB)
Medium 0.3% 0.2%
14:00USD Philadelphia Fed.(MAR)
Medium -3 -12.5
14:00USD API MonthlyStatistical Report
Low
14:00USD Existing HomeSales (FEB)
Low 5.00M 4.92M
7/29/2019 Daily i Forex Report 1 by EPIC RESEARCH 22.03.13
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14:30
USD EIA Natural GasStorage Change (MAR15)
Low -145
21:00NZD ANZ NZ Job Ads(MoM) (FEB)
Low -1.5%
21:45NZD Net Migration s.a.(FEB)
Low 350
23:00
AUD Conference Board
Leading Index (JAN) Medium -0.1%
Fri
Mar 2201:35
CNY MNI March FlashBusiness SentimentIndicator
Low
09:00EUR German IFO -Business Climate(MAR)
Medium 107.8 107.4
09:00EUR German IFO -Current Assessment(MAR)
Medium 110.5 110.2
09:00EUR German IFO -Expectations (MAR)
Medium 105.0 104.6
12:45USD Fed's RaskinSpeaks on LaborMarket in Washington
Low
16:00USD Fed Revisions ofIndustrial Production
Low
7/29/2019 Daily i Forex Report 1 by EPIC RESEARCH 22.03.13
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