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(July 24: Dandy Wandy) First of all, the ability to trade players is one of the reasons sports are awesome. I’m kind of surprised that no one has ever mounted a successful Supreme Court challenge to the concept of transferring human beings across the country to a new workplace (sometimes with, but more often) without their consent. Think of it in layman’s terms: That’d be pretty cool, unless you were the guy traded to Starbucks headquarters in Seattle for a crate of ballpoint pens. Although we’ve played great baseball after the break, it’s clear that we’re going to need some new blood if we want to hang with the Reds down the stretch. Two months ago, the Bucs needed to pick up a bat like Lazarus needed that pick‐me‐ up from Christ. Now, with the offense outpacing that of the Yankees, a starting pitcher might be the first priority. Jeff Karstens has been good since his return from injury, but Bedard continues to flounder and Correia is basically a ticking time bomb. Soon enough, either Bedard will be sidelined with a strained right kidney or

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Page 1: Deadline, 2012

(July24:DandyWandy)

Firstofall,theabilitytotradeplayersisoneofthereasonssportsare

awesome.I’mkindofsurprisedthatnoonehasevermountedasuccessfulSupreme

Courtchallengetotheconceptoftransferringhumanbeingsacrossthecountrytoa

newworkplace(sometimeswith,butmoreoften)withouttheirconsent.Thinkofit

inlayman’sterms:

That’dbeprettycool,unlessyouweretheguytradedtoStarbucksheadquartersin

Seattleforacrateofballpointpens.

Althoughwe’veplayedgreatbaseballafterthebreak,it’sclearthatwe’re

goingtoneedsomenewbloodifwewanttohangwiththeRedsdownthestretch.

Twomonthsago,theBucsneededtopickupabatlikeLazarusneededthatpick‐me‐

upfromChrist.Now,withtheoffenseoutpacingthatoftheYankees,astarting

pitchermightbethefirstpriority.JeffKarstenshasbeengoodsincehisreturnfrom

injury,butBedardcontinuestoflounderandCorreiaisbasicallyatickingtime

bomb.Soonenough,eitherBedardwillbesidelinedwithastrainedrightkidneyor

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Correia’sERAwilljumpintothe6.00range(orboth),soitwouldbeprudentfor

NealHuntingtontogooutandgetareliablestarter.

ThebignamesinthestartingpitchermarketareColeHamelsandZack

Greinke,neitherofwhomarerealisticoptionsforthePirates.Inthesecondtieris

theCubs’RyanDempster,theownerofMLB’sbestERAthisseason.Dempsterisn’t

amarqueenamelikeHamelsorGreinke,buthe’safive‐and‐tenguy(fiveyearswith

currentteam,tenyearstotalintheleague)andthereforehastherighttovetoany

tradehedoesn’tlike.ReportshavelinkedhimtoadealwithAtlanta,buthe’s

stallingonthatanditlookslikehemightultimatelyrejectit.Ifhe’sreluctanttojoin

theBraves,Ican’timaginehe’dokayatradetotheupstartPirates.Hisloss.

Lastnight,wordbrokeoutthatthePiratesmightbeinterestedinAstros’

rotationstalwartWandyRodriguez.

(I’mintheOlympicspiritnow.U‐S‐A.)

Rodriguezhasbeenthepersonificationofreliabilityoverthepastfewyears,

whichisexactlywhatthePiratesneedatthismoment.Pitchingintheanonymityof

Houston,he’sputupanERAbetween3.00and3.60ineachofthelastfourseasons.

IfIhadtodescribeWandyRodriguezinoneword,it’dbe“solid.”That’scertainlya

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compliment.He’sundercontractthrough2014,whichmeanshe’dbebothashort

andlongtermaddition—butalsomeansitwilltakemorethanathrowaway

prospecttoacquirehim.Aslongasthepriceisn’ttoohigh,I’djumponit.

Midwaythroughadepressing5‐1homelosstotheCubs(theCubs,really?),

theWandyspeculationturnsintoreality.

Well,thisismoreexcitingthanwatchingJ‐Macsputteragainsta39‐56team.

Assumingthenewsistrue,theonlyremainingquestioniswhatthePirateswillbe

givingup.TherearefiveprospectsinthePittsburghsystemthatIconsider“off‐

limits”unlesswe’retalkingaboutamajorpickup:GerritCole(RHP/21years

old/2011#1overallpick),JamesonTaillon(RHP/20/2010#2overallpick),Josh

Bell(OF/19/20112ndroundpickwithupper‐halfof1stroundtalent),Starling

Marte(OF/23/2011Double‐Abattingaverageleader),andLuisHeredia

(RHP/17/Mexicanwunderkindwithhugeceiling).Noneofthatquintetwouldbein

theconversationforWandy.1ButanythingbelowthemI’dbeokaywith.

1It’sbecomingcleartomethat“Wandy”isoneofthosenamesthatlendsitselftobeingtheperson’smaintitle.Yousay,“Wandy”andpeopleknowimmediatelywhoyou’retalkingabout.LikeOprah.Hearing,“Rodriguezispitchingtonight,”islikehearing,“Winfrey’sshowisonat3.”

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45minuteslater,it’sofficial.

Nice!Let’sseetheearlyreviews.

(BucsDugout.comcontributor)

(BaseballAmericawriter)

Page 5: Deadline, 2012

I’mrightwiththem.

GrossmanwastheprincipalransomfortheAstrosinthisexchange.Hehad

agreatyearinhigh‐Aballlastyear,walkingover100timesandputtingupastellar

.418OBP.It’shardtoenvisionhimasaregularbigleaguecorneroutfielder,though,

duetohislackofpop.Icouldseehimdevelopingintoabenchbat/platoonplayer

sortofguy,whichisusefulbutnotanythingtofretoverlosing.Owenswasalow‐

minorsstar,butstruggledmightilyoncehegottoTriple‐A.Helikelydoesn’thave

majorleaguevaluegoingforward.Cainissomethingofaquestionmark;ahigh

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schoolbonusbaby,he’spostedmiddlingresultsinrookieandlow‐Aball.The

chanceshegrowsintoanMLBstarteraren’tgreat.Alltold,whatwe’regivingupis

probablynotworth2+seasonsofWandy.AfteryearsoftoilingforhopelessAstros

clubs,I’msureWandy’sthrilledtojoinacontenderforthestretchrun!

Oh.Well,uh,thatjustreflectsthekindofcommitmentanddedicationyou’re

lookingforinanewaddition!(?)Justjoshin’.IhadthesamereactionwhenIfound

outmycablepackageatschooldidn’tincludeMLBNetwork.

Therearealsoafewhiddensweetenersinthedeal.Forone,thePiratesadd

aveteranpitcherwithoutrestrainingtheirundersizedcheckbookasmuchasyou’d

thinksuchamovemight.

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TheAstrosaremovingtotheAmericanLeagueWestin2013.Theyarealreadythe

worstteaminbaseballbyatrulylaughablemargin.Giventhestepupin

competition,theywilllikelylosebetween100and105gamesineachofthenext

twoyears.Andinthemidstofoneofthose14‐3drubbingsatthehandsofthe

Rangers,generalmanagerJeffLuhnowwillthinktohimself,“WehavepaidWandy

Rodriguezthousandsofdollarsduringthisgamealone,andhecannothelpusstop

thebleedingbecauseheplaysforthePittsburghPirates.”Suchisthepriceof

baseballsometimes.ThePiratesaredoingwelltoexploitthis.

Also,shouldWandycontinuepitchinginthegeneralmannerhe’spitchedthis

season,hisresultswillimprovebyvirtueofchangeinworkplacealone.

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GreatworkbyJon.HepostedagraphicdocumentingthelandingspotsofallHRs

Wandyhasallowedathomein2012,imposedonamapofPNCPark.It’sprettyeasy

toseethatnearlyallhomerunshe’sallowedtoleftfieldbecomeouts—or,atworst,

doubles—ifthey’rehitinPittsburgh.Anyonewho’severwatchedagamein

Houstonknowstheleftfield“CrawfordBoxes2”arethedefinitionofa“shortporch”

andturnmanylongflyballsintocheaphomers.Whatyoumightnotrealizeisjust

howbigofanimpactthatcanhaveonapitcher’sresultsifhepitcheshalfhisgames

there.In2011,WandyRodriguezandMikePelfreyhadnearlyidenticalbattedball

profiles:whencontactwasmade,Rodriguezinduced20.0%linedrives,45.2%

groundballs,and34.8%flyballscomparedtoPelfrey’s19.6%,45.6%,and34.7%

marksinthesamecategories.It’snotastretchtosaythatthedifferenceintheir

homerunperflyballrate(HR/FB)—13.0%forWandy,9.1%forPelfrey—probably

hadsomethingtodowiththefactthatoneofthempitchedtheirhomecontestsin

2NamedassuchbecausetheyrunparalleltoCrawfordStreetindowntownHouston,thankyouWikipedia.

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frontoftheCrawfordBoxeswhiletheotherstarted15gamesinthespacious

dimensionsofNewYork’sCitiField.Sciencerules.3

I’mnotsayingIhavenoreservations.We’retalkingabouta33‐yearold

pitcherwhoprobablywon’tbeimprovingwithage(unlesshegoestheBarryBonds

route,whichisillegalbothbybaseballrulesandfederallaw)andisalreadyshowing

somemildsignsofdecline.

Wandyhastraditionallybeenahighstrikeoutguy,buthisK/9hasbeenfalling

incrementallysince2008andcurrentlysitsat6.13.Hittersaremakingmore

contactonhispitchesbothinandoutofthestrikezone,whichindicatesthatthe

dropisn’tjustacoincidenceofsequencing.4Fortunately,itdoesn’tlooklikea

productofdiminishedstuff—hisaveragefastballvelocityisactuallyhigherthanit

3Yes,thatwasaBillNyetheScienceGuythemesongreference.Borninthe‘90sandproudofit.4“Coincidenceofsequencing?”Considerthis:PitcherAandPitcherBbothget10swingingstrikesinagame.PitcherAracksup10strikeouts,becauseallhiswhiffscamewithtwostrikes.PitcherBstrikesnooneout,becauseheinducedswings‐and‐missesearlyinthecountexclusively.Theyprobablyhavesimilar“whiffskills,”eveniftheresultsdiffer.Ifyouhadtopredicttheirfuturestrikeoutrates,you’dwanttohavethisinformationonhand.

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wasinhisbeststrikeoutyear(2008).PitchFXdataalsorevealsanuptickin2‐seam

fastballsthisyear,indicatingthatthespikeingroundballsisintentional.Themore

groundballsonegets,themoreonecangetawaywithfewerstrikeouts,becauseone

isreducingthepossibilityoftheballbeinghitintheairforahomerun.Asexpected,

weconcludeourdescriptionofWandyRodriguezwiththeword“solid.”Wandy

Rodriguezisasolidpitcher.

(July26:ChangeYouGottaBelieveIn)

Wheelinganddealingisn’ttheonlymethodofrosterimprovementavailable

tothePirates.Tonight,they’llupgradefromwithin.Muchballyhooedprospect

StarlingMarteissettomakehismajorleaguedebutinHoustonafteritwas

announcedyesterday,towidespreadglee,thathe’dbejoiningthebigclub.

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Tothispoint,thePirates’leftfieldsituationhasconsistedofAlexPresley

(.231/.269/.364),therecentlydemotedJoseTabata(.230/.295/.341),andfolkhero

DrewSutton(.241/.250/.431,butwiththedefensiveprowessofawandering

sheep).Meanwhile,Marte’sbeencomingintohisownatTriple‐AIndianapolis

(.286/.347/.500,with13triplesand12homersin99games),andtheclamorsfor

hispromotionhavegrowndeafeningrecently.Iunderstandthereluctancetorusha

prospecttothebigleaguesbeforehe’sabsolutelyready,butdiretimescallfordire

measures.Unfortunately,I’msittingonaplanerightnowenroutetovacationin

SouthCarolina,soIwon’tbeabletowatch.Starling’sbattingleadoff.Hopethekid

makessomethinghappen.

[Flightlandsat8:20,IimmediatelyturnmyphoneonandrefreshTwitter]

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Firstpitchoftheballgame!Hecouldgo0‐for‐Augustandstillmaintainthefans’

supportafterthisentrance.Thefuture’ssobright,wegottawearflip‐downshades.5

(July29:Speculation)

EveryoneishappyabouttheWandyacquisition.Withtheexceptiontheguy

whogotforcedoutoftherotationasaresult.

5PatentedbyPiratesHallofFameplayer‐managerFredClarkein1915!#BUCN

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Correiawantstobeastarter,andhe’snotcontentwithbeingalongrelief

optioninPittsburgh.Understandable.Beingastartingpitcherhasacertainbadge

ofhonorqualityaboutit,especiallyforsomeonewho’sstarted105gamesinthelast

fouryears.Iwouldn’tbehappyeither.ButIthinkI’drealizethatIwasa

replacement‐levelcommoditytobeginwith.

TheotherthingI’veheardtodayisavaguerumorthatthePiratesareoneof

theteamsprobingtheIndiansaboutShin‐SooChoo’saskingprice.Allegedly,it

wouldincludeMarte.That’sgonnabeano‐go.

WelosttotheAstrostoday.J‐MacwalkedSEVEN.I’mstartingtobecome

concerned.Hereallyneedstoturnitaroundorelsetherestoftheseasonisgoingto

be“A.J.andWandyandprayforrain.”46hourslefttomakesomedeals.InNealWe

Trust.

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(July30:Bye,Bye,Brad;Salut,Snider)

EverseethatJean‐ClaudeVanDammemovieSuddenDeath,wherethesetting

isGame7oftheStanleyCupFinals6butthefocusofeverythingistheevents

happeningofftheice?Tonight’sgameagainsttheCubsisexactlylikethat,except

thatWrigleyFieldisn’tladenwithbombsintendedtokilltheVicePresidentanda

bunchofotherimportantpeople.TheBucsaregettingsmashedbytheBabyBears,

butwe’remorefocusedonpossibletransactionsthatarebeingnegotiatedduring

thegame,andthey’remoreconcernedaboutsendingtheirrecentlytradedplayers

offwithhugs.

Chicago’stradedPaulMaholmandReedJohnsontotheBraves,andmovedGeovany

SotototheRangers—andthisgameisn’tevenoveryet.Eachtime,theCubshave

convenedinthedugoutandtakenturnsembracingtheirnowex‐teammates.Watch

out,Cubbies:alengthypatonthebackafteragoodplaymightmean,“Niceknowing

you,”andnot,“Nicejob.”

6InPittsburgh,coincidentally.

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Foronce,IcouldcarelessifErikBedardhasgivenupgivenupnineruns

withoutgettingoutofthe5th,becausethetradewindsareblowing.TheChoo

rumorisn’tdeadyet.StephenDrew’snamehasbeenmentioned.Puttingtogethera

packageforSanDiego’sChaseHeadleyisstillaremotepossibility.Somethingis

goingtohappeninthenext18hours.Nobody’squitesurewhat.

What,now?IknowwhoTravisSnideris.He’soneofthoseguyswho’sbeen

talkedaboutasabigprospectforyearsbuthasn’tbeenabletoestablishhimselfin

thebigs.Sniderbringsatonofupside.Iwouldneverhaveguessed,however,that

he’dbeonourradarasapotentialdeadlinepickup.Whenyouthinkdeadline

acquisitions,youthinkofprovenvetsbroughtintostabilizeateamintheshort‐

term,notyoungsterswithuntappedpotential.Butgettingbeyondthesurprise

factor,itsoundslikeareallygooddeal.

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(Meaningwejustgotasteal.)

(Morosi=FOXSports.comnationalbaseballwriter)

(Ithoughtthatwasareallyfunnyresponse.)

Assuredly,somepeoplearegoingtobeupset.ThePiratesaresurrendering

their0.50ERA7thinningmanforanunprovenoutfielder.

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It’strue:BradLincolnhasbeencompletelyfantasticoutofthebullpenthisyear.

That’sexactlytheissue,though:theconsensusisthatLincolnisnevergoingtobe

muchmorethanagoodreliever.There’svalueingetting60‐80qualityrelief

inningsayearoutofaguy,butbullpenpartsarealsoadimeadozen.Justlookat

thenamesthePirateshavepickedupforessentiallynothingoverthelastfewyears:

JasonGrilli(pluckedfromPhilliesTriple‐Aaffiliate,sub‐2.00ERAthisyear),Juan

Cruz($1.25millionfreeagent,2.61ERA),JoseVeras($1millionfreeagent,9.2

careerK/9),JavierLopez($775,000freeagent,2.79ERAin2010),andthelistgoes

on.Youcantakefailedstarterswithgoodarms(i.e.Lincolnhimself)andtrainthem

tobeeffectiverelievers.IfTravisSniderdevelopsintoanaveragepositionplayer—

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andthere’snoreasontothinkhewon’t—he’lleasilyequalLincoln’sworththrough

theendoftheirrespectiveteamcontrolperiods.

TravisSniderhasputuparespectable.248/.306/.429linefortheBlueJays,

whilereceivinginfrequentplayingtime.He’sneverhadachancetosettleinatthe

majorleaguelevelformorethanhalfaseason.Hasheliveduptoexpectations?Not

quite.CanwethrowhimuptherewithRyanLeafandKwameBrownintheBust

HallofFame?Absolutelynot.

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Forsomeonewho’sbeendoggedfornotyethavingreachedhispotential,hedoesn’t

haveverymanycandlesonhisbirthdaycake.(24,tobeexact.)ChaseUtleydidn’t

evenmakehisMLBdebutuntilhewasolderthanSnideristoday.He’sanasset

already,andthere’splentyoftimeforhimtoimprove.

Thankstothemiracleofsocialmedia,wecanseetheplayers’ownreactions

tobeingtraded.ThenewBuccofirst:

@Lunchboxhero45?Apparentlyasimpletributetohisloveofeating.Icandigit.

Also,“Pittsburg”isatownof20,233inKansas.“Pittsburgh”istheCityof

Champions.Commonmistake.Won’tholditagainsthim.Yourturn,Mr.Lincoln:

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Itgetsbetter.

(LincolnII;Ithinkautocorrectturned“believe”into“beloved.”)

VeryclassyexitbyLincoln.Isurehopehe’sright.Fortherecord,Brad,Idon’thold

itagainstyouthatyou’renotTimLincecumorClaytonKershaw.

(July31:AllMerchandiseMustGoBy4p.m.)

I’mnotgoingtopretendforasecondIknowwhatNealHuntingtonistrying

todointhelasthoursbeforethenon‐waiverdeadlinearrives.It’sbeenprettymuch

ruledoutthatanyofthebignamesarecomingtothePirates,sowe’reprobably

lookingatafewminoradditions.ThecombinationofWandyandSniderisalreadya

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biggeryieldthanwhatwepickeduparoundthedeadlinein2011—addingDerrek

LeeandRyanLudwickforpracticallynothing—soanythingelseisgravy.

GabySanchez….interesting.

.202/.250/.306doesn’tsoundlikealineofaplayerthatacontendingteamwould

wanttoaddtoitsAugust/Septemberlineup.He’salsoenduredtwoseparate

demotionstoTriple‐Ain2012.Ifthisgoesthrough,we’rereallycountingonhimto

rediscoverhis2010‐2011hittingskills.

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Allright,then.Idon’tbelievethatSanchezhasforgottenhowtohit,butit’slessthan

asurethingthathisnumberswillrecovertotheirprevious“All‐Star”levels.7The

Piratesclearlybelieveineitherhimortheirownstaff’sability.

Updateonthespecificsofthedeal.

7“YougettobeanAll‐Star,[pointsatdifferentperson]andyougettobeanAll‐Star,[pointsatanotherdifferentperson],andyougettobeanAll‐Star![pointsatJamesMcDonald,RyanVogelsong,JohnnyCueto,andRyanDempster]Sorry,guys,weonlyhavesomuchspace.”

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Soauniquelynamed,butlight‐hittingdefensiveoutfielder(GorkysHernandez)and

anend‐of‐first‐rounddraftpick8foraformer“All‐Star”andaminorleaguerelief

pitcher.I’llmisswatchingGorkyssnatcheveryballintheareacodeasalate‐inning

defensivereplacement,butultimatelyhe’snotveryvaluable.Let’shopetheMarlins

don’tusethedraftpicktotakeaHallofFamer.

Timeforaworry‐relievingjoke.

8Anotherpartofthenewdraftrulesgivessmallmarketteamsandlow‐revenueteamsachancetowinoneofthesix“competitivebalance”picks,whichwillbeselections#31‐36.Unlikeregulardraftslots,thesecanbetraded.Ican’tfindanythingtocomplainabouthere.

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OzzieGuillenwantedtobeasailorwhenhewasakid,buthislanguagemadesailors

toouncomfortableandhewasforcedtoturntobaseballinstead.

I’vebeengivingJake(thefellowLincecumlover)theplay‐by‐playontoday’s

tradeactionbecausehedoesn’thaveTwitteraccessatthemoment.Heraisesa

goodpointaboutthelogisticsofbringinginSanchez.

AssumingSniderwassettobecometheeverydayrightfielder,firstbasewasgoing

tobeaplatoonofGarrettJonesandCaseyMcGehee.Nowthere’sanotherright‐

handedhittingfirstbasemaninthemix.Oristhere?

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Itbecomesofficialminuteslater.Colormeconfused.

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JonahKeri(authorofTheExtra2%andmyfavoritebaseballwriter)issimilarly

perplexed.

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Harsh,buttrue—he’sbeenterribleforthebetterpartofthelastthreeyears.2010‐

2012ERA:5.13.Ouch.

Wait,Ijustfigureditout.WewereprobablygoingtocutMcGeheeanyway,

sowe’rejustpickingupafreeplayerforhiminstead.Makesalittlemoresense

now.StillnotthrilledabouthavingChadQuallsontheroster.

Sonowwecancalltheactionfinalandappraisethemoves.Wandy=solid.

(obviously)Snider=goodintheshortterm,possiblyGREATinthelongterm.

Sanchez=whynot?Qualls=why?(butnottotallyinexplicable)Thelackofbignames

reeledinwillbenodoubtcitedbytheanti‐ownershipforcesasproofofindifference

onthefrontoffice’spart,butthat’sbecausenothingwouldsatisfythem.

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Personally,I’mprettyhappywiththeoverallresults.Wesolidifiedthe

rotation,addedacouplebats,and—mostimportantly—didn’tsacrificeanymajor

assetstodoit.AllthepiecesareinplaceforarunatOctoberbaseball.Nowpardon

mewhileIgopoundsomeAdvilandtakeanap.

ThedeadlineisgruelingonGMsandfansalike.