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Developing stratified N 2 O emission factors for Europe Adrian Leip 1 , Wilfried Winiwarter 2 Abstract N 2 O fluxes from agricultural soils have only limited dependence on the amount of nitrogen added to the soil in the year of crop growth. Amongst the many factors that influence the magnitude of N 2 O fluxes are soil parameters (organic carbon content, soil texture and pH), ways of fertilizer application (types of fertilizer applied, timing) and meteorological conditions. Yet, in most assessments of anthropogenic GHG fluxes from agriculture, constant emission factors are used, in many cases the default IPCC factors of 1.25% or 1.0% of total anthropogenic N-input. We investigate the possibility to replace this – so-called Tier 1 – approach with stratified emissions functions that take into account both N-input and the spatial variability of the environmental conditions. There is a annual large variability in the data with simulated median N2O fluxes for EU27 ranging from 1.5 to 2.4 kg N 2 O-N ha -1 y -1 . A second-order polynomial fit gives high coef- ficients of determination (>0.999); a linear regression of N 2 O fluxes against mineral (manure) N-input gives fertilizer induced emissions (FIE) between 0.9%-1.2% (1.1%-1.5%) (arithmetic mean). However, results at national level are very heterogeneous as shown in the examples of the frequency distribution plots for a few countries. Results Average simulated N 2 O fluxes for EU27 are log-normally distributed. There is a clear difference of simulated N 2 O fluxes in the organic and extensification scenarios. Median simulated N 2 O fluxes for the default scenario is 1.9 kg N 2 O-N ha -1 y -1 . Arithmetic mean is 4.3 kg N 2 O-N ha -1 y -1 . FIE mineral fertilize r nitrogen FIE manure nitrogen 1990 0.9% 1.3% 1991 0.9% 1.2% 1992 1.1% 1.6% 1993 1.2% 1.2% 1994 1.1% 1.6% 1995 1.1%` 1.4% 1996 1.2% 1.1% 1997 1.2% 1.5% 1998 1.13% 1.2% 1999 1.2% 1.6% 2000 1.2% 1.2% All years 1.1% 1.4% Adrian Leip Euroean Commissions – Joint Research Centre Institute for Environment and Sustainability Tel.: +39 0332 786327 e-mail: Wilfried Winiwarter International Institute for Applied System Analysis e-mail: [email protected] Scenarios S00 Default : downscaled from CAPRI database S01-S05 Response to mineral fertilizer application of Nmin set to 1.25, 1.1, 0.9, 0.75, 0.5 of default S07-S12 Response to manure nitrogen application of Nman set to 1.25, 1.1, 0.9, 0.75, 0.5 of default S06,S13 Organic farming manure nitrogen only with available manure (S06) or same total N- input (S13) S14 Extensification manure nitrogen only, reduced yield S15 Precision farming mineral fertilizer according to crop's needs (not yet simulated) S16 Nitrate Directive maximum of 170 kg N/ha S17 Renewable Energy Directive assessment of CAPRI scenarios Methodology We use the process-based model DNDC-EUROPE (Li et al., 2000, Leip et al., 2008) to simulate N 2 O fluxes at a large number of spatial calculation units (about 200,000 for EU27) for different scenarios. Each unit is simulated for up to three crops and for ten different meteorological years. The results presented are based on a total of about 10,000,000 individual simulations. Conclusions According to the DNDC model, there is a clear relationship between N-input and N 2 O fluxes Average fertilizer-induced emissions (FIEs) are 1.1% of mineral fertilizer and 1.35% of manure- nitrogen. National FIEs are ranging from 0.5% to 2% of mineral fertilizer-N and 0.2% to 5.6% for manure-N. However, not for all countries a clear relationship between N-input and N 2 O emissions was found. N 2 O flux [kg N 2 O-N ha -1 y -1 ] Frequenc y Mean application rate of manure: 50 kg N ha -1 y -1 Mean application rate of mineral fertilizer: 130 kg N ha -1 y -1

Developing stratified N 2 O emission factors for Europe Adrian Leip 1, Wilfried Winiwarter 2 Abstract N 2 O fluxes from agricultural soils have only limited

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Page 1: Developing stratified N 2 O emission factors for Europe Adrian Leip 1, Wilfried Winiwarter 2 Abstract N 2 O fluxes from agricultural soils have only limited

Developing stratified N2O emission factors for Europe

Adrian Leip1, Wilfried Winiwarter2

AbstractN2O fluxes from agricultural soils have only limited dependence on the amount of nitrogen added to the soil in the year of crop growth. Amongst the many factors that influence the magnitude of N2O fluxes are soil parameters (organic carbon content, soil texture and pH), ways of fertilizer application (types of fertilizer applied, timing) and meteorological conditions. Yet, in most assessments of anthropogenic GHG fluxes from agriculture, constant emission factors are used, in many cases the default IPCC factors of 1.25% or 1.0% of total anthropogenic N-input.

We investigate the possibility to replace this – so-called Tier 1 – approach with stratified emissions functions that take into account both N-input and the spatial variability of the environmental conditions.

There is a annual large variability in the data with simulated median N2O fluxes for EU27 ranging from 1.5 to 2.4 kg N2O-N ha-1 y-1. A second-order polynomial fit gives high coef-ficients of determination (>0.999); a linear regression of N2O fluxes against mineral (manure) N-input gives fertilizer induced emissions (FIE) between 0.9%-1.2% (1.1%-1.5%) (arithmetic mean). However, results at national level are very heterogeneous as shown in the examples of the frequency distribution plots for a few countries.

ResultsAverage simulated N2O fluxes for EU27 are log-normally distributed. There is a clear difference of simulated N2O fluxes in the organic and extensification scenarios. Median simulated N2O fluxes for the default scenario is 1.9 kg N2O-N ha-1 y-1. Arithmetic mean is 4.3 kg N2O-N ha-1 y-1.

FIE mineral fertilizer nitrogen

FIE manure nitrogen

1990 0.9% 1.3%

1991 0.9% 1.2%

1992 1.1% 1.6%1993 1.2% 1.2%

1994 1.1% 1.6%

1995 1.1%` 1.4%1996 1.2% 1.1%

1997 1.2% 1.5%

1998 1.13% 1.2%

1999 1.2% 1.6%

2000 1.2% 1.2%

All years 1.1% 1.4%

Adrian LeipEuroean Commissions – Joint Research CentreInstitute for Environment and SustainabilityTel.: +39 0332 786327e-mail: [email protected]

Wilfried WiniwarterInternational Institute for Applied System Analysise-mail: [email protected]

ScenariosS00 Default: downscaled from CAPRI databaseS01-S05 Response to mineral fertilizer application of Nmin set to 1.25, 1.1, 0.9, 0.75, 0.5 of defaultS07-S12 Response to manure nitrogen application of Nman set to 1.25, 1.1, 0.9, 0.75, 0.5 of defaultS06,S13 Organic farming manure nitrogen only with available manure (S06) or same total N-input (S13)S14 Extensification manure nitrogen only, reduced yieldS15 Precision farming mineral fertilizer according to crop's needs (not yet simulated)S16 Nitrate Directive maximum of 170 kg N/haS17 Renewable Energy Directive assessment of CAPRI scenarios

MethodologyWe use the process-based model DNDC-EUROPE (Li et al., 2000, Leip et al., 2008) to simulate N2O fluxes at a large number of spatial calculation units (about 200,000 for EU27) for different scenarios. Each unit is simulated for up to three crops and for ten different meteorological years. The results presented are based on a total of about 10,000,000 individual simulations.

Conclusions According to the DNDC model, there is a clear relationship between N-input and N2O fluxes Average fertilizer-induced emissions (FIEs) are 1.1% of mineral fertilizer and 1.35% of manure-nitrogen. National FIEs are ranging

from 0.5% to 2% of mineral fertilizer-N and 0.2% to 5.6% for manure-N. However, not for all countries a clear relationship between N-input and N2O emissions was found.

N2O flux [kg N2O-N ha-1 y-1]

Fre

quen

cy

Mean application rate of manure: 50 kg N ha-1 y-1 Mean application rate of mineral fertilizer: 130 kg N ha-1 y-1