26
Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products: need and progress Daqing Yang National Hydrology Research Centre (NHRC) Environment Canada (EC), Saskatoon, Canada Yinsheng Zhang, Yingzhao Ma Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research Chinese Academy of Sciences

Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products: need and progress

  • Upload
    tomas

  • View
    38

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products: need and progress. Daqing Yang National Hydrology Research Centre (NHRC) Environment Canada (EC), Saskatoon, Canada Yinsheng Zhang, Yingzhao Ma Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research Chinese Academy of Sciences - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Citation preview

Page 1: Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products:  need and progress

Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products:

need and progress

Daqing Yang

National Hydrology Research Centre (NHRC)

Environment Canada (EC), Saskatoon, Canada

Yinsheng Zhang, Yingzhao MaInstitute of Tibetan Plateau Research

Chinese Academy of Sciences

3rd TPE Workshop, Sept 1, 2011

Page 2: Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products:  need and progress

Need for P Data and Products

• Climate: key variable to define climate and its change • Glacier: accumulation and mass balance • Hydrology: flood/drought, water budget, and input to models• Snowcover: mass/energy balance, avalanche• Ecosystem: water supply, NDVI - P relation, vegetation change

vs. precip impact • Human: transportation, recreation, cultural

• 2nd TPE workshop report– 1# product: Precip (when, where, how much, form, and trend) – TPE atlas, i.e. basin/regional hydroclimatology

Page 3: Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products:  need and progress

Meteorological Stations over TP

• Network: density and distribution

• Data quality:

- space/time discontinuity

- obs biases

Page 4: Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products:  need and progress

Biases and Correction Method

  Pc = K Pg + Pw + Pe + Pt

Pc- corrected precipitation

Pg - gauge-measured precipitation

Pw - wetting loss

Pe - evaporation loss

Pt - trace precipitation

K - correction coefficient for wind-induced undercatch

Page 5: Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products:  need and progress

Gauge Precipitation

(Yang et al, 1991)Daily Correction Coefficient (K)

Bias-corrected Precipitation

NASA Website TRMM 0.25°3B42_V6 Product

Reliability Evaluation

TRMM Precipitation

Homogenized and correctedPrecipitation

Dataset

FTP Download

DEMPart Ⅱ

Part Ⅰ

Part Ⅲ

Project Flowchart: Homogenized and Corrected Precipitation Dataset over TP

(Goodison et al., 1998)

Page 6: Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products:  need and progress

WMO Solid Precipitation Measurement WMO Solid Precipitation Measurement Intercomparison, manual and auto gauges Intercomparison, manual and auto gauges

Page 7: Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products:  need and progress

WMO Double Fence International WMO Double Fence International ReferenceReference

(DFIR) for Solid Precipitation(DFIR) for Solid Precipitation

Secondary reference

Page 8: Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products:  need and progress

CanadaBarry GoodisonPaul LouieJohn MetcalfeRon Hopkinson

ChinaDaqing YangErsi KangYafen Shi

CroatiaJanja Milkovic

DenmarkHenning MadsenFlemming VejenPeter Allerup

FinlandEsko ElomaaReijo HyvonenBengt TammelinAsko TuominenS. Huovila

IndiaN. Mohan RaoB. BandyopadhyayVirendra KumarCol K.C. Agarwal

GermanyThilo Günther

JapanMasanori ShirakiHiroyuki OhnoKotaro YokoyamaYasuhiro KominamiSatoshi Inoue

NorwayEirik Førland

CRN modified DFIR

• Intercomparison was the result of Recommendation 17 of the ninth session of the CIMO-IX.

• Started in the northern hemisphere winter of 1986/87.

• Field work carried out at 26 sites in 13 Member countries for 7 years

• Final report WMO-TD no. 827 published in 1998

Barry GoodisonChairman, International Organizing Committee

WMO Solid Precipitation Measurement Intercomparisonsites and people

RomaniaViolete Copaciu

Russian FederationValentin GolubevA. Simonenko

SlovakiaMiland Lapin

SwedenBengt Dahlstrom

SwitzerlandBoris SevrukFelix BlumerVladislav Nešpor

UKJ. FullwoodR. Johnson

USARoy BatesTimothy PangburnH. GreenanGeorge LeavesleyLarry BeaverClayton HansonAlbert RangoDouglas EmersonDavid LegatesP. Groisman

WMOKlaus SchulzeStephan Klemm

Page 9: Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products:  need and progress

Daily catch ratio vs. daily wind speed

CATCH RATIO VS. WIND SPEED, SNOW, DFIR > 3.0mm, 2 WMO SITES

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

WIND SPEED AT GAUGE HEIGHT (m/s)

NW

S 8

" G

AU

GE

(A

LT

ER

)/ D

FIR

(%

)

Vermont

Valdai

fit

Page 10: Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products:  need and progress

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Wind speed at gauge height (m/s)

Rat

io o

f gau

ge c

atch

to th

e D

FIR

(%)

Canadian Nipher NWS 8" AlterNWS 8" unsh Hellmann unshTretyakov

WMO Intercomparison Study Results:WMO Intercomparison Study Results:

Catch Efficiency vs. Wind for 4 most widely used Catch Efficiency vs. Wind for 4 most widely used gaugesgauges

Daily time scale Daily time scale

Page 11: Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products:  need and progress

Barry Goodison, Paul Louie, and Daqing Yang,the 14th Professor Vilho Vaisala Awardin 1998

• About 30 papers in international journals

• National reports

• WMO TD, No- 827, 1998

Report and Publication

Page 12: Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products:  need and progress

Recommendations from the WMO Intercomparison Study

• WMO correction methods (available for different types of gauges and for different types of precipitation and various time intervals) should be adopted and applied to current and archived data;

• both measured and corrected precipitation data should be reported and archived;

• trace precipitation should be treated as a non-zero event; effort to determine mean trace amount is needed in Arctic conditions;

• additional wind speed measurements be taken at the level of the gauge orifice and hourly mean wind data be archived in order to correct for wind-induced undercatch;

• use of heated tipping-bucket gauges for winter precipitation measurement should be carefully assessed; their usefulness is severely limited in regions where temperatures fall below 0C for prolonged periods of time;

• timing and type of precipitation be recorded by automatic instruments in order to conduct the correction on the basis of precipitation event.

Page 13: Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products:  need and progress

a) Pm (mm) b) Pc (mm) c) CF

Mean Gauge-Measured (Pm) and Bias-Corrected (Pc) Precipitation, and Correction Factor (CF) for January

-180

-90

0

90

180

45 60 75 90

Pc (mm)

0 - 10

10 - 20

20 - 30

30 - 40

40 - 50

50 - 60

60 - 70

70 - 80

80 - 90

90 - 390

-180

-90

0

90

18045 60 75 90

CF

1 - 1.1

1.1 - 1.2

1.2 - 1.3

1.3 - 1.4

1.4 - 1.5

1.5 - 1.6

1.6 - 1.7

1.7 - 1.8

1.8 - 1.9

1.9 - 2.3

-180

-90

0

90

180

45 60 75 90

Pm (m m )

0 - 10

10 - 20

20 - 30

30 - 40

40 - 50

50 - 60

60 - 70

70 - 80

80 - 90

90 - 330

• Total 4827 stations located north of 45N, with data records longer-than 15 years during 1973-2004.

• Similar Pm and Pc patterns – corrections did not significantly change the spatial distribution.

• CF pattern is different from the Pm and Pc patterns, very high CF along the coasts of the Arctic Ocean.

Page 14: Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products:  need and progress

Impact of Bias-Corrections on Northern Hydrology: CLM3 simulations with/without P corrections, 1973-04 5~25%

Page 15: Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products:  need and progress

Annual precip bias-corrections in China, 1951-1998 (Ye et al. 2003, JHM)

80 90 100 110 120 130

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

050

100

150

200

300

400500

600

8001000

1200

1400

1600

18002000

2200

2400a. Pm (mm)

80 90 100 110 120 130

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

0

50

100

200

400

500

600

800

10001200

1400

1600

1800

2000

2200

2400

2600

2800Corrected annual mean precipitation (mm)China, 1951-98

80 90 100 110 120 130

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

b. Pc (mm)

1000

80 90 100 110 120 130

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75d. (Pc – Pm) / Pm (%)

80 90 100 110 120 130

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

0

5

10

25

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

650 c . Pc - Pm (mm)

Page 16: Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products:  need and progress

Trend Comparison, measured vs. corrected annual precipitation, 670 stations in China,

1951-98

y = 1.08x - 4.9323R2 = 0.9442

-150

-100

-50

0

50

100

150

-150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150

Trend in measured annual precipitation (mm/10a)

Tre

nd

in

co

rrec

ted

an

nu

alp

reci

pit

atio

n (

mm

/10a

)

a

1:1

y = 0.8938x - 0.5987R2 = 0.9661

-20

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

-20 -10 0 10 20

Trend in measured annual precipitation (%/10a)

Tre

nd

in

co

rrec

ted

an

nu

alp

reci

pit

atio

n (

%/1

0a)

b 1:1

Average trend for all stations:

+ 0.5mm/10a for measured precip

- 4.5mm/10a for corrected precip

Page 17: Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products:  need and progress

Water balance summary for the Yellow river source, 1958-2001

Dataset Runoff (mm)

Precipitation (mm)

Precipitation difference

(%)

Evaporation (P-R) (mm)

Evaporation difference

(%)

Runoff coefficient

Measured 502. 4 0 335.1 0 0.33

Corrected 167. 3 599. 9 19 432.6 29 0.28

EAR-40 171. 5 537. 2 7 365.8 9 0.32

• P = R + E or E = P – R

• P undercatch -> E underestimation ???

Page 18: Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products:  need and progress

Gauge Precipitation

(Yang et al, 1991)Daily Correction Coefficient (K)

Bias-corrected Precipitation

NASA Website TRMM 0.25°3B42_V6 Product

Reliability Evaluation

TRMM Precipitation

Homogenized and correctedPrecipitation

Dataset

FTP Download

DEMPart Ⅱ

Part Ⅰ

Part Ⅲ

Project Flowchart: Homogenized and Corrected Precipitation Dataset over TP

Page 19: Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products:  need and progress

Yearly Mean Bias-Corrected Precipitation in TP

Page 20: Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products:  need and progress

Yearly-Correction Coefficient Distribution in TP

Page 21: Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products:  need and progress

Sample of TRMM product• weekly accumulation, TRMM-precipitation estimation in Asia,• global 0.25° * 0.25° grid over the latitude band 50°N-S • about seven hours of observation time.

• Key question: TRMM winter data for solid and mixed precip over the mountain regions, i.e. TPE

Page 22: Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products:  need and progress

Geonor-DF

Bratt’s Lake Intercomparison Facility/Smith

DFIR

Barrow, UAF

DFIR, Mar 3/03

Barrow, UAF Wyoming snow fence, Mar/03 Barrow, UAF DFIR, Mar 03

WMO Solid Precipitation Inter-Comparison

Experiment (WMO-SPICE)

EC Snow Workshop,TorontoDec 01, 2010

Rodica Nitu

Page 23: Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products:  need and progress

CIMO-XV (Sept 2010)• An instrument intercomparison for solid precipitation measurements at AWS: a

priority!  

• WMO-SPICE: WMO Solid Precipitation Instrument Intercomparison Experiment

• Canada committed to a leadership role if other Members participate and share the work

• Support and commitment expressed: China, Finland, Japan, New Zealand, Switzerland, Russian Federation, and USA.

• In CIMO, SPICE positioned in the context of WIGOS, EC-PORS, GCW.

Page 24: Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products:  need and progress

WMO-SPICE: Proposed objectives

• Evaluate the performance and configuration (catching, non-catching type, instrument & shield) of measurements in field conditions;

• Develop multi-parameter algorithms to improve AWS precipitation data;

• Develop adjustment procedures of systematic errors;

• Establish a field reference standard using automatic gauges;

• Develop long-term capacity to support validation of satellite measurements (e.g. Global Precipitation Measurement);

• Develop comprehensive datasets to support future research objectives;

• Provide feedback to manufacturers;

• Pilot project for WIGOS, EC-PORS, GCW.

Page 25: Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products:  need and progress

Proposed Ancillary Measurements

• Radar – for horizontal (PPI scans) and vertical profiling (RHI or Vertical scans) for variation of precipitation. Dual-pole for precipitation typing.

• Radiometer – determine the presence of liquid water (determine if particles are rimed).

• Wind measurements (3D anemometers) – for turbulence, gustiness, at sensor height.

• Precipitation Type Sensors – present weather sensors, intensive human observations.

• Temperature and humidity – point and profiling, to determine habit types

• Particle size, particle density and shape information – for aerodynamic collection efficiency issues;

• Snowpack properties – snow depth, snow morphology, snow (freshly fallen and snow pack) density;

• Lidar for cloud properties;

• Upper Air soundings for air mass stability.

Page 26: Development of TP Regional Precipitation Datasets and Products:  need and progress

Summary • Large biases/errors in historical gauge precipitation data

• Bias corrections necessary, using WMO methods and station meta data/info

• Impacts of precip bias corrections – changes in max P, mean, variation, and trend– SWE, snowmelt runoff, river flow, water and energy budget

• Needs:– compatibility among gauge observations, manual vs. auto gauges (including TPE networks/stations)– test of auto gauges and instruments – WMO/SPICE– validation of RS P/snowfall data over the cold regions – TPE P working group/project???