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1 © 2019 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.INTERNAL or RESTRICTED
Digital Business Transformation: Investment Management
WSTA – 19 September 2019Chuck Thomas, Senior Director – Advisory
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2 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
INTERNAL
Digital technologies will radically alter what an “organization” is and how it achieves its objectives.
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3 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
INTERNAL
The Coming Explosion in Technologies
Electronics & Telcom
Critical Mass on Digital Infrastructure in Computing, Connectivity & Digitized Data
What helped get you here…
Won’t get you here
4 © 2019 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.INTERNAL or RESTRICTED
By 2025, your company will either lead a digital business industry vision you have created or be part of one created by someone else.
If you are still in business…
STRATEGIC PLANNING ASSUMPTION
#GartnerSYM5 CONFIDENTIAL AND PROPRIETARY I © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner and ITxpo are registered trademarks of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates.
What Does It Mean to Have a Digital Business Industry Vision?
#GartnerSYM6 CONFIDENTIAL AND PROPRIETARY I © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner and ITxpo are registered trademarks of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates.
First, It Is About Digital Business
A vision that captures an enormous opportunity ahead by the blurring of the digital and physical worlds. It integrates people, business and things.
#GartnerSYM7 CONFIDENTIAL AND PROPRIETARY I © 2016 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner and ITxpo are registered trademarks of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates.
We exist in a growing world of connected things
13 billion
2016
People 56%
Things 44%
2030
108 billion
People 8%
Things 92%
2050
1 trillion
People 1%
Things 99%
#GartnerSYM8 CONFIDENTIAL AND PROPRIETARY I © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner and ITxpo are registered trademarks of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates.
Second, It Builds New Sources of Wealth
Redefine anexisting industry
Redefine
Capture an entirely different industry
Capture
Create anew industry
Create
9 © 2019 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.INTERNAL or RESTRICTED
‘It saved my life!’
Apple and Fitbit transform healthcare…
An Apple Watch saved Christina Ling’s life
"The watch told me that my heart rate was 150 even though I was sitting idle for 10 minutes," said Ling, 45.
"My heart was basically suffocating," Ling said. "But what's really crazy is, I thought it was just the flu and I never set up my Apple Watch to send me any health alerts. It totally saved my life."
With medically certified solutions, healthcare moves from annual checkups to online medical observation 24 by 7, each and every day.
#GartnerSYM10 CONFIDENTIAL AND PROPRIETARY I © 2017 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner and ITxpo are registered trademarks of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates.
Next, It Identifies the Big Problem They Need to Solve
Leadership
Ambition
Scope
Competition
11 © 2019 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.INTERNAL or RESTRICTED
By 2030, only 20% of existing financial services firms will flourish and win.
80% will cease to exist, become commoditized or achieve zombie status.
12 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
INTERNAL or RESTRICTED
2%
5%7%
25%
15%
5%
13%
18%
10%
OtherCreatesignificant
opportunities forincumbents
Causeexistentialthreats to
incumbents
Causesignificant
difficulties forincumbents
Minor impactson incumbents
No impact onincumbents
Will changehow investor's
view ourindustry
Activities inother industrieswill have a halo
effect on ourindustry
No significantimpact
Impact on Industries Impact on Incumbents
57%Digital Giants will be in Our Industry
Q06: Which statement best represents your belief about the potential impact that digital giants will have on your industry in the next five years (period 2019 to 2024)?
Base: Financial Services respondents, n=96
Perceived impact that digital giants are expected to have in the next five years Percentage of Respondents
Perceived impact that digital giants are expected to have in the next five years
13 © 2016 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
© 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates. This presentation, including all supporting materials, is proprietary to Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates and is for the sole internal use of the intended recipients. Because this presentation may contain information that is confidential, proprietary or otherwise legally protected, it may not be further copied, distributed or publicly displayed without the express written permission of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates.
Using Industry Scenarios to Generate New Value in the Age of Digital Business
15 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
What Are Scenarios? Why Are They Important?
Give context for the present and future
Understand how to succeed in those scenarios
Move away from "one size fits all" thinking
TrendsRangeofUncertainties
Timing?
Single-Point Forecast
16 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
The Single Focal Issue
What Value Can Firms Create in the Future?(And How Can They Create It?)
17 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
STEEPed in External Factors
Changes in consumer behavior Economic conditions Abundance of new technology
Evolving ecosystems New value proposition Political instability
Demographic shifts Regulations New competitors
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Interrelated Forces Lead to Potential Future State
Narrow Access to Value Creation
Wide Access to Value Creation
Machine-ledPeople-led
Ecosystem Model
Autonomous Adaptability
19 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
Interrelated Forces Lead to Future Operating Models
Wide access to value creation
Machine-ledPeople-led Autonomous Adaptability
Eco
sys
tem
U
sa
ge
/Mod
el
Narrow access to value creation
20 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
Four Plausible Scenarios – Investment Management
Wide access to value creation
Machine- ledPeople-led
Narrow access to value creation
Individualist
Platformist
Industrialist
Integrationist Eco
sys
tem
Mo
de
l
Autonomous Adaptabilty
21 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
How to Think About the Scenarios
Four different assumptions
Not mutually exclusive
No right or wrong/good or bad
No single outcome – alternatives work at many different levels
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Expanding on the Four Scenarios
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Critical Success Factors - Integrationist
Integrationist
Individualist
Wide access to value creation
Machine-ledPeople-led
Platformist
Industrialist
Narrow access to value creation
Autonomous Adaptability
Ecosys
tem
Model
Expanding PersonalConnections
24 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
Integrationist Characteristics
CEO CIO
Strategy People networkPeople supported by Technology
People Talent as differentiator Agile, Partner-focused
TechnologyEnabler, notCenterpiece
Bi-modal, static digital platform
Products Expanded ecosystem of products and service
25 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
Integrationist:Expanding Personal Connections
Customer focus: Beyond immediate customer
Collaborative and Agile
People
Augmented
Intelligence
Diverse and Diffracted
Business Models
26 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
Early Signs of an Integrationist Future
Gartner Eye on Innovation Award Winner
Most Innovative Digital Customer Service or Product
Winner: National Bank of Greece —Developed a contactless wristband that would further extend the capabilities of its existing mobile wallet solution, i-bank Pay, a waterproof Visa prepaid card in microtag form that fits inside a wristband. More than 27,000 festival goers used the paybands at Greece’s largest youth music festival.
27 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
A Day in the Life of an Integrationist Firm
1. Real estate website identifies customer needs
2. Matches needs with opportunities
3. Notifies customer4. Customer acts —confirms intent to proceed
5. Initiates "preapproval“ through portal
6. Bank proactively identifies low balance in checking account
7. Notifies customer, initiates transfer; 1-click authorization
10. Provides access to partner ecosystems
8. Connects to loan officer, identifies cash-flow concerns
9. Offers bridge loan; offer presented and accepted
Augmented Intelligence People-Led FocusWide Access to Ecosystem
Key:
Analytics based on historical
transactions
28 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
Critical Success Factors - Platformist
Integrationist
Individualist
Platformist
Industrialist
Autonomous Adaptability
Ecosys
tem
Model
Be a Better Platform
Wide access to value creation
Machine-led
People-led
Narrow access to value creation
29 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
Platformist Characteristics
CEO CIO
Strategy Digital FirstOpen and PermissionlessPlatform
People Support the Technology Innovation Culture
Technology Enable the Ecosystem
Platform is learning
• AI/machine learning • Foundation of open APIs
and microservices
Products New and evolving
30 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
Platformist:Expanding Technology Endpoints
Bots Directed by Bots
People
Wide and Unrestricted
Intelligence
Diverse and Challenging
Business Models
Customer focus: Test and iterate
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Early Signs of a Platformist Future
We're increasingly becoming a technology financial services company, not a bank with a technology division."
Derek White, former chief design and digital officer at Barclays, 2015
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A Day in the Life of a Platformist Firm
The owner requests the smart house to create a SH-DAO in an ecosystem
1. Human owner wants to sell house
2. The smart house broadcasts "on sale" status to the ecosystem
3. Real estate agents capture the demand from any SH-DAO in the ecosystem with their smart agent DAOs
OwnerKey: SH-DAO E-DAOSM-DAOB-DAOS-DAOSA-DAO
6. SH-DAO helps the human owner via the S-DAO to negotiate the deal
7. SH-DAO sends a message to the B-DAO, SA-DAO and/or the SM-DAO about a closed deal
5. The bank, using smart mortgage DAO, preapproves loans, based on SH-DAO and/or the B-DAO, based on risk assessments
4. Buyers, using their own buyer DAOs, might engage directly with the house owner through the SH-DAO or the SA-DAO
9. The SH-DAO transfers ownership to the B-DAO and the SM-DAO, and updates its own identity to reflect the new owners
8. The winning B-DAO releases 20% of the funds to the SH-DAO, and the SM-DAO releases the remaining 80% to complete transaction
10. SH-DAO releases excess energy for sale, using an E-DAO
11. The SM-DAO captures the value from the E-DAO for the mortgage repayments
33 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
Critical Success Factors - Industrialist
Integrationist
Individualist
Platformist
Industrialist
Autonomous Adaptability
Ecosys
tem
Model
Cost-efficiency
Wide access to value creation
Machine-led
People-led
Narrow access to value creation
34 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
Industrialist Characteristics
CEO CIO
Strategy Cost-efficiency Cost-efficiency
PeopleSupport the Technology
Continuousimprovement
Technology Drive Scale Advanced Automation
Products Traditional
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Industrialist:Cost Efficient
Customer focus: Narrow — cost and elegance
Bots Directed by Humans
People
Restricted
Intelligence
Scale and Cost
Business Models
36 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
Early Signs of an Industrialist Future
Gartner Eye on Innovation Award Winner
Most Innovative Digital Business Model:
Winner: O-Bank (Taiwan) - Restructured from the Industrial Bank of Taiwan into a commercial bank at the beginning of 2017, O-Bank built a flexible, digital-native environment, which it claims is the fastest and most convenient system in Taiwan for customers to setup an online banking account. The platform maximizes consumer convenience and provides omnichannelconsistency.
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A Day in the Life of an Industrialist Firm
RegulatoryAlert
Customer or Thing
Bot asks question.
Data scientist monitors activity and receives real-time alert.
Data scientist updates conversation library.Bot receives
answer and requests transaction.
Platform Technology Function
Data scientist updates onboarding automation.
Development Projects
Interest rate algorithms
Speed-of-settlement initiative
Data Mgmt.
Analytics
AI
Service bot responds that the bank will have an answer shortly.
Service bot responds with answer.
38 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
Critical Success Factors - Individualist
Integrationist
Individualist
Platformist
Industrialist
Autonomous Adaptability
Live and Local
Wide access to value creation
Machine-ledPeople-led
Narrow access to value creation
Eco
sys
tem
Mo
de
l
39 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
Individualist Characteristics
CEO CIO
Strategy People firstPeople supported by Technology
PeopleInternal talent as differentiator
Staff-focused
TechnologyEnabler, notCenterpiece
Staff tools, privateplatform
Products Traditional
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Individualist: Live and Local
Customer focus: Deep integration into society
Front and Back Office
People
Guided and Accelerate
Intelligence
Laser Focused on Customers
Business Models
41 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
Bank of Ireland Blog, 13 April 2017
“In 2015, we started inviting entrepreneurs to come into our branches, take a seat, and get to work on their business ideas… We called our idea the Workbench.”
Early Signs of an Individualist Future
42 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
A Day in the Life of an Individualist Firm
Bank
Branch manager knows three suitable locations that have been successful, and one location that has a history of rapid turnover.
The individualist bank steps in to help its community by linking families with critical services through local business contacts.
Local individuals turn to the bank for services including checking accounts, loans, mortgages, etc.
Clients
Because the branch manager knows people and the community, she can connect people to products.
By helping the 9other families who don't currently bank with them, the bank affirms its value and differentiates itself in the community to yield higher local market share.
As the bank gets better at analyzing the community's mix of services, business and population centers, and growth areas, it is able to determine underserved needs in the community and work with local government, community groups, franchisees and small business entrepreneurs to identify viable business ideas and provide small business funding.
Community
A neighborhood fire destroys four homes and damages nine others.
Entrepreneur
An aspiring business owner seeks an ideal and affordable location for a new business that fills a community need.
43 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
Next Steps
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Scan the Radar for Leading Indicators
Autonomous Adaptability
Ecosys
tem
Model
Integrationist
Individualist
Platformist
Industrialist
Wide access to value creation
Machine-led
Narrow access to value creation
Income statements will measure andthen list value from ecosystems as a separate line.
People-led
45 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
Scan the Radar for Leading Indicators
Autonomous Adaptability
Ecosys
tem
Model
Integrationist
Individualist
Platformist
Industrialist
Wide access to value creation
Machine-ledPeople-led
Narrow access to value creation
Longer lines at the branch for more complex product and service issues
46 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
Scan the Radar for Leading Indicators
Autonomous Adaptability
Ecosys
tem
Model
Integrationist
Individualist
Platformist
Industrialist
Wide access to value creation
People-led
Narrow access to value creation
Regulation promoting open bankingGrowth of crypto-economicsand gig economyDecline in digital trust
Machine-led
47 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
Scan the Radar for Leading Indicators
Autonomous Adaptability
Ecosys
tem
Model
Integrationist
Individualist
Platformist
Industrialist
Wide access to value creation
People-led
Narrow access to value creation
Rapidly increasing percentage of customer share of wallet with aggregators and digital financial advisors.
Machine-led
48 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
Expanding Personal Connections: Integrationist Next Steps
Autonomous Adaptability
Wide access to value creation
People-led
CEOo Focus on an ecosystem model of traditional
and non-traditional revenue sources
o Continuously improve recruiting, hiring, and performance management.
o Build a culture of collaboration.
CIOo Take a people-first approach to building IT
capabilities.o Use AI and collaboration tools to aid
employee-customer relationships o Adopt a bimodal approach to digital
transformationo Prioritize security and privacy
Ec
os
ys
tem
Mo
de
l
Augment people with technology, not the other way around.
49 © 2018 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. and its affiliates.
Be a Better Platform: Platformist Next Steps
Autonomous Adaptability
Wide access to value creation
Machine-led
CEOo Focus on ecosystem model
o Reframe competition
o Lead the industry in serving both people and things.
CIO
o Facilitate an IT ecosystem approach
o Deliver tools to multiple organizations to drive collaboration across teams
o Build skills to lead an amorphous, ambiguous organization.
Ec
os
ys
tem
Mo
de
l
Make innovation and the quest for new revenue and cost optimization opportunities part of the culture and standard operating procedure.
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Next-level Cost-efficiency: Industrialist Next Steps
Autonomous Adaptability
Narrow access to value creation
Machine-led
Ec
os
ys
tem
Mo
de
l
Ensure scalability is a shared corporate priority.
CEOo Instill a culture of process improvement and
cost optimization.
o Hire for technology skills outside of IT.
o Explore supplying operations and IT expertise to Individualist banks for new revenue.
CIOo Focus your analytics capabilities.
o Maximize access to the broad data sets that will fuel your AI investments
o Engage in targeted R&D and engaging with fintechs outside of platform models.
o Maintain margin flexibility by minimizing installed hardware and software
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Live and Local: Individualist Next Steps
Autonomous Adaptability
Narrow access to value creation
People-led
Ec
os
ys
tem
Mo
de
l
Be relevant to community needs.
CEOo Drive interactions and contextualization via
channel augmentation.
o Ensure succession planning for key relationship staff.
o Apply governance models that facilitate community/local connections
CIOo Enhance customer analytics and
visualization tools.
o Favor an architecture that enables local deployments and avoids over-centralization
o Democratize IT concepts by educating channel staff on the benefits of technology for their (and to their) customers
52 © 2016 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
53 © 2016 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
The Future Is Closer Than You Think