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Document of The World Bank FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Report No: 46830-NG PROJECT APPRAISAL DOCUMENT ON A PROPOSED CREDIT IN THE AMOUNT OF SDR 100.7 MILLION (US$150MILLION EQUIVALENT) TO THE FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF NIGERIA FOR COMMERCIAL AGRICULTURE DEVELOPMENT PROJECT December 18, 2008 Agriculture and Rural Development Sustainable Development Department Western African Country Department 2 African Region This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization.

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Document of

The World Bank

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

Report No: 46830-NG

PROJECT APPRAISAL DOCUMENT

ON A

PROPOSED CREDIT

IN THE AMOUNT OF SDR 100.7 MILLION

(US$150MILLION EQUIVALENT)

TO THE

FEDERAL REPUBLIC OF NIGERIA

FOR

COMMERCIAL AGRICULTURE DEVELOPMENT PROJECT

December 18, 2008

Agriculture and Rural Development

Sustainable Development Department

Western African Country Department 2

African Region

This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance of their official

duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorization.

ii

CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS

(Exchange Rate Effective {November 26, 2008}

Currency Unit = Naira

Naira 118 = US$1

US$1.49 = SDR1

FISCAL YEAR

January 1 – December 31

ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS

AAA Analytical Advisory Activity

ADP Agriculture Development Project

ADPEC Agricultural Development Project Executive Council

AfDB Africa Development Bank

AFS Annual Financial Statements

ARMTI Agricultural and Rural Management Training Institute

AWPB Annual Work Plan Budget

BDS Business Development Services

BMPIU Budget Monitoring & Price Intelligence Unit

BPP Bureau of Public Procurement

CADA Commercial Agriculture Development Association

CADP Commercial Agriculture Development Project

CAS Country Assistance Strategy

CBO Community Based Organization

CDD Community Driven Development

CEDI Centre for Economic Development and Institutions

CFAA Country Financial Accountability Assessment

CGPs Competitive Grant Programs

CIG Commodity Interest Group

CMD Centre for Management Development

CPAR Country Procurement Assessment Report

CPS Country Partnership Strategy

CQ Consultant Qualifications

CRIN Cocoa Research Institute of Nigeria

CSO Civil Society Organization

DCA Development Credit Authority

DFID Department for International Development

DFRRI Directorate for Food Roads and Rural Infrastructure

DIER Department of International Economic Relations

EIA Environmental Impact Assessment

EIG Economic Interest Group

EIRR Economic Internal Rate of Return

EMCAP Economic Management Capacity Building Project

iii

EMIS Environmental Management Information System

EMP Environmental Management Plan

ERGP Economic Reform and Governance Project

ERR Economic Rate of Return

ESAMI Eastern and Southern Africa Management Institute

ESMF Environmental and Social Management Framework

ESW Economic Sector Work

FA Financing Agreement

FAO Food and Agriculture Organization

FGN Federal Government of Nigeria

FIRR Financial Internal Rate of Return

FIIRO Federal Institute for Industrial Research, Oshodi

FM Financial Management

FMAWR Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Water Resources

FMoF Federal Ministry of Finance

FMR Financial Management Report

FMS Financial Management System

FPM Financial Procedures Manual

FRR Financial Rates of Return

GDP Gross Domestic Product

GEMS Growth Enterprises and Markets Project

GIMPA Ghana Institute of Management and Public Administration

HVCs High Value Crops

IAR Institute of Agricultural Research

IAR&T Institute of Agricultural Research and Training

IAU Internal Audit Unit

IC Individual Consultant

ICB International Competitive Bidding

ICR Implementation Completion Report

ICT Information and Communication Technology

IDA International Development Association

IDF International Development Fund

IFAD International Fund for Agricultural Development

IITA International Institute of Tropical Agriculture

IPM Integrated Pest Management

IPSAS International Public Sector Accounting Standards

ISA International Standards on Auditing

ISDS Integrated Safeguards Data Sheet

ISR Implementation Status Report

IT Information Technology

LEEMP Local Empowerment and Environmental Management Project

LGA Local Government Area

LSFAA Lagos State Financial Accountability Assessment Report

M&E Monitoring and Evaluation

MARKETS Maximizing Agricultural Revenue and Key Enterprises in Targeted

States

iv

MDG Millennium Development Goal

MIS Management Information System

MOA Ministry of Agriculture

MOU Memorandum of Understanding

MPP Micro Projects Programme

MSME Micro, Small and Medium Enterprise

MTR Mid-Term Review

NACCIMA National Association of Chambers of Commerce, Industry, Mines

and Agriculture

NAP New Agricultural Policy

NAPRI National Animal Production Research Institute

NCAM National Centre for Agricultural Mechanization

NCO National Coordinating Office

NCRI National Cereals Research Institute

NEEDS National Economic Empowerment and Development Strategy

NEPAD New Partnership for Africa‟s Development

NFRA National Food Reserve Agency

NGO Non-Governmental Organization

NIHORT National Institute for Horticulture Research

NSPRI Nigerian Stored Product Research Institute

NPV Net Present Value

NSC National Steering Committee

OPRC Output and Performance Road Contract

PAD Project Appraisal Document

PCN Project Concept Note

PDO Project Development Objectives

PEM Public Expenditure Management

PEMFAR Public Expenditure Management and Financial Accountability

Review

PFM Project Financial Management

PFMU Project Financial Management Unit

PHCN Power Holdings Company of Nigeria

PHRD Policy and Human Resources Development Fund

PIM Project Implementation Manual

PIU Project Implementation Unit

PM Programme Manager

PMP Pest Management Plan

PMU Project Management Unit

PO Procurement Officer

PPP Public Private Partnership

PRA Participatory Rural Appraisal

PRSP Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers

QCBS Quality and Cost Based Selection

QER Quality Enhancement Review

RAMP Rural Access and Mobility Project

RAPs Resettlement Action Plans

v

RPF Resettlement Policy Framework

RUFIN Rural Finance Institutions Building Programme

RSS Rural Sector Strategy

SBD Standard Bidding Document

SCADO State Commercial Agricultural Development Office

SEEDS State Economic Empowerment and Development Strategy

SGCBP State Governance and Capacity Building Project

SMANR State Ministry of Agriculture and Natural Resources

SMOA State Ministry of Agriculture

SMOF State Ministry of Finance

SOE Statement of Expenses

SON Standards Organization of Nigeria

SP Service Providers

SPA Sub-project Agreements

SSC State Steering Committee

TA Technical Assistance

TOR Terms of Reference

TTL Task Team Leader

UNCITRAL United Nations Commission on International Trade Law

USAID United States Agency for International Development

WB World Bank

Vice President: Obiageli K. Ezekwesili

Country Director: Onno Ruhl

Sector Director Inger Andersen

Sector Manager: Karen M. Brooks

Task Team Leader: Lucas K. Akapa

vi

NIGERIA

COMMERCIAL AGRICULTURE DEVELOPMENT PROJECT

CONTENTS

Page

A. STRATEGIC CONTEXT AND RATIONALE ................................................................. 1

1. Country and Sector Issues ................................................................................................... 1

2. Rationale for Bank involvement ......................................................................................... 2

3. Higher level objectives to which the project contributes .................................................... 2

B. PROJECT DESCRIPTION ................................................................................................. 3

1. Lending instrument ............................................................................................................. 3

2. Project Development Objective and Key Indicators ........................................................... 4

3. Project Components ............................................................................................................ 5

4. Lessons learned and reflected in the project design ............................................................ 9

5. Alternatives considered and reasons for rejection ............................................................ 11

C. IMPLEMENTATION ........................................................................................................ 11

1. Partnership arrangements .................................................................................................. 11

2. Institutional and Implementation Arrangements .............................................................. 11

3. Monitoring and Evaluation of outcomes/results ............................................................... 15

4. Sustainability..................................................................................................................... 17

5. Potential Risks and Possible Controversial Aspects ......................................................... 17

6. Loan/credit conditions and covenants ............................................................................... 20

D. APPRAISAL SUMMARY ................................................................................................. 20

1. Economic and Financial Analyses .................................................................................... 20

2. Technical ........................................................................................................................... 21

3. Fiduciary ........................................................................................................................... 22

4. Social................................................................................................................................. 24

5. Environment ...................................................................................................................... 25

6. Safeguard policies ............................................................................................................. 26

7. Policy Exceptions and Readiness...................................................................................... 27

vii

Annex 1: Country and Sector or Program Background ......................................................... 28

Annex 2: Major Related Projects Financed by the Bank and/or other Agencies ................. 35

Annex 3: Results Framework, Monitoring and Evaluation .................................................... 36

Annex 3A: Arrangement for Results Monitoring .................................................................... 36

Annex 4: Detailed Project Description ...................................................................................... 46

Annex 5: Project Cost ................................................................................................................. 66

Annex 6: Implementation Arrangements ................................................................................. 67

Annex 8: Procurement Arrangements ...................................................................................... 89

Annex 9: Economic and Financial Analysis ............................................................................. 98

Annex 10: Safeguard Policy Issues .......................................................................................... 106

Annex 11: Project Preparation and Supervision ................................................................... 108

Annex 12: Documents in the Project File ............................................................................... 110

Annex 13: Statement of Loans and Credits ............................................................................ 112

Annex 14: Country at a Glance ............................................................................................... 114

Annex 15: Map .......................................................................................................................... 116

viii

NIGERIA

COMMERCIAL AGRICULTURE DEVELOPMENT PROJECT (CADP)

PROJECT APPRAISAL DOCUMENT

AFRICA

AFTAR

Date: December 18, 2008

Country Director: Onno Ruhl

Sector Manager/Director: Karen McConnell

Brooks

Project ID: P096648

Environmental Assessment: Partial Assessment

Lending Instrument: Specific Investment Loan

Team Leader: Lucas Kolawole Akapa

Sectors: Agro-industry (20%); Agricultural

marketing and trade (20%); Rural Infrastructure

(40%; General agriculture, fishery and forestry

sector (15%); Irrigation and drainage (5%)

Themes: Rural services and infrastructure (P);

Participation and civic engagement (P); Trade

facilitation and market access (P); Other rural

development (P)

Project Financing Data

[ ] Loan [X] Credit [ ] Grant [ ] Guarantee [ ] Other:

For Loans/Credits/Others:

Total Bank financing (US$M.): 150.00

Proposed terms: Standard International Development Association (IDA) terms: 40-year maturity with a

10-year grace period

Financing Plan (US$M)

Source Local Foreign Total

BORROWER/RECIPIENT

International Development Association (IDA) 123.90 26.10 150.00

Federal Government 8.00 0.00 8.00

State Government 18.80 0.00 18.80

Beneficiaries 8.20 0.00 8.20

Total: 158.90 26.10 185.00

ix

Borrower:

Federal Ministry of Finance,

Finance Building,

Ahmadu Bello Way,

Central Business District,

Abuja, Nigeria.

Responsible Agency:

National Food Reserve Agency (NFRA),

Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Water Resources (FMAWR),

Plot 223D, Mabushi District,

Cadastral Zone B6,

Abuja, Nigeria.

Estimated disbursements (Bank FY/US$M)

FY 09 10 11 12 13 14

Annual 1.50 25.00 33.50 35.00 35.00 20.00

Cumulative 1.50 26.50 60.00 95.00 130.00 150.00

Project implementation period: Start: April 16, 2009 End: June 30, 2014

Expected effectiveness date: April 15, 2009

Expected closing date: December 31, 2014

Does the project depart from the CAS in content or other significant respects?

Ref. PAD A.3 [ ]Yes [X] No

Does the project require any exceptions from Bank policies?

Ref. PAD D.7 Have these been approved by Bank management?

Is approval for any policy exception sought from the Board?

[ ]Yes [X] No

[ ]Yes [X] No

[ ]Yes [X] No

Does the project include any critical risks rated “substantial” or “high”?

Ref. PAD C.5 [X ]Yes [ ] No

Does the project meet the Regional criteria for readiness for implementation?

Ref. PAD D.7 [X]Yes [ ] No

Project Development Objective: Ref. PAD B.2, Technical Annex 3

The Project Development Objective is to strengthen agricultural production systems and facilitate

access to market for targeted value chains among small and medium scale commercial farmers in the

five participating states. These value chains are rice, oil palm, cocoa, fruit trees, poultry production,

aquaculture and dairy, with maize and rice as staples.

Project Description: Ref. PAD B.3, Technical Annex 4

Component 1: Agricultural Production and Commercialization:

a. Technology Demonstration and Adoption

b. Support to Staple Crop Production Systems

c. Market Facilitation

d. Capacity Building

x

Component 2: Rural Infrastructure

a. Network of Farm Access Roads

b. Rural Energy

Project Management, Monitoring, Evaluation and Studies

Which safeguard policies are triggered, if any? Ref. PAD D.6, Technical Annex 10

Three safeguard policies were triggered by this project:

(i) Environmental Assessment (OP/BP 4.01),

(ii) Pest Management (OP/BP 4.09), and

(iii) Involuntary Resettlement (OP/BP 4.12).

The three safeguard instruments of ESMF, RPF and PMP have already been prepared, reviewed,

approved and disclosed (in-country and at the Info shop).

Significant, non-standard conditions, if any, for: Ref. PAD C.7

Board presentation:

No non-standard Board approval conditions are envisaged at this point.

Loan/credit effectiveness:

The Project will be implemented over a five-year period, from April 16, 2009. The Project will close on

December 31, 2014. The planned Credit Effectiveness date is April 15, 2009.

There is only one condition for effectiveness, that is, One Subsidiary Agreement has been concluded

between the Recipient and at least one Participating State under terms and conditions satisfactory to

the Association.

Covenants applicable to project implementation: Standard requirements covering organization and

staffing of program units, management arrangements, provisions for procurement, and financial management

will be sufficient.

1

A. STRATEGIC CONTEXT AND RATIONALE

1. Country and Sector Issues

1. Agriculture employs about two-thirds of Nigeria‟s total labour force, contributed 42.2% of

Gross Domestic Products (GDP) in 2007; and provides 88% of non-oil earnings. The

agricultural GDP is contributed by crops (85%), livestock (19%), fisheries (4%) and forestry

(1%). More than 90% of the agricultural output is accounted for by small-scale farmers with less

than two (2) hectares under cropping. It is estimated that about 75% (68 million ha) of the total

land area has potential for agricultural activities with about 33 million hectares under cultivation.

Similarly, of the estimated 3.14 million hectares irrigable land area, only about 220,000 ha (7%)

is utilized.

2. Nigeria has diverse and rich vegetation capable of supporting a heavy population of

livestock as well as 267.7 billion metric tonnes of surface water and 57.9 billion metric tonnes of

underground water. The country is also blessed with a reasonably abundant rainfall as well as an

extensive coastal region that is very rich in fish and other marine products.

3. As articulated in its National Economic and Empowerment and Development Strategy

(NEEDS), Nigeria is seeking options to diversify into non-oil sources of growth and away from

over dependence on oil and gas. The agricultural sector is seen as one of the main sources of

growth and important option for the diversification. Development of commercial agriculture

affords at least in the short-to-medium term, the opportunity to increase employment and reduce

especially persistent rural poverty. Diversification into commercial agriculture is important for

making growth sustainable, to diffuse its benefits to rural areas, and to hedge against the shocks

from a single resource dependence on oil.

4. The performance of Nigeria‟s agriculture has been mixed. Productivity has not grown

sufficiently, due largely to underinvestment in new technology, slow adoption of existing

improved technologies, constraints associated with the investment climate, and lagging

infrastructure. Public interventions to accelerate agricultural growth, such as the quite successful

Fadama program, have targeted poor producers engaged in largely subsistence production with

modest interaction with markets. The present administration has recently signalled her interest in

according more attention to small and medium sized commercial producers, while retaining the

focus on the poor in the ongoing programs such as Fadama. In response, the Bank has worked to

prepare the Commercial Agriculture Development Project (CADP).

5. The project will help to improve access of participating small and medium scale

commercial farmers to technology, infrastructure, finance, and output markets. Evidence1 that

underpins this project suggests that the project is timely, and that interest in commercial

agriculture in Nigeria as an area for private investment is growing.

1 World Bank (2005). Getting Agriculture Going In Nigeria: Framework For A National Strategy, Report No 34618-

NG; Manyong,V.M.,A.Ikpi, J.K.Olayemi, S.A.Yusuf, B.T.Omonona, V.Okoruwa, and F.S.Idachaba.(2005).

Agriculture in Nigeria: Identifying opportunities for increased commercialization and investments. IITA, Ibadan,

Nigeria.159p; Daramola, A., S. Ehui, E. Ukeje, and J. McIntire (2007), “Agricultural Export Potential,” in Collier P.

and C. Pattillo (eds.), Economic Policy Options for a Prosperous Nigeria, Palgrave Macmillan.

2

6. Meeting the agricultural growth rate targets of 7-8 percent per annum for the NEEDS,

State Economic Empowerment and Development Strategy (SEEDS) and the 7-point Agenda of

President Yar‟Adua is important for Nigeria‟s overall economic development plans. However,

unless the key issues constraining the sector such as: (i) lack of access to productivity enhancing

technologies, (ii) poor market access, (iii) limited capacity building and technical know-how, (iv)

poor infrastructure (i.e. network of roads and electricity), (v) lack of access to credit and (vi)

poor policy environment, are addressed, it will be difficult to attain the growth target.

7. To assist in realizing agricultural potential, the strategic thrust of the proposed project is:

(i) to support access to productivity enhancing technologies, (ii) to improve market access, (iii)

to improve capacity building and technical know-how, and (iv) to improve access to rural

infrastructure (i.e. network of roads and electricity).

2. Rationale for Bank involvement

8. The rationale for Bank involvement in the proposed operation is fourfold. First, the Bank

has a long history in working with government and other stakeholders on economic growth

issues and the Bank is seen as a credible and capable sectoral partner. Thus the government has

requested Bank's assistance for this project.

9. Second, the Bank can bring global experience and knowledge on value chain development

and smallholder commercialization, including relevant positive lessons. Many past efforts of

governments to assist commercial agriculture have been captured by elites or diverted to other

purposes, and the Bank can make the Government fully aware of risks and approaches to

mitigate them.

10. Third, the Bank can use its convening power to bring in other potentially interested

partners to support commercial agriculture. The Bank‟s involvement is expected to encourage

other donors to invest in commercial agriculture in Nigeria.

11. Finally, the Bank has already worked with key stakeholders in the sector in identifying

challenges and opportunities for growth, and has established good working relationships with the

proposed participating states, both through the preparation of the NEEDS and SEEDS and in the

context of the Country Partnership Strategy (CPS) and the State/Donor Partnership

arrangements.

3. Higher level objectives to which the project contributes

12. The project will contribute to improved environment and services for non-oil growth

specifically by contributing to the CPS outcome of access to productive infrastructure and

improved agricultural technology. The Nigeria CPS seeks to secure the current rapid growth,

embedded in a more diversified economy, and broaden its distributional impact. The proposed

operation supports the CPS of the Bank and United Kingdom Department for International

Development (DFID) with emphasis on the second pillar; i.e., growing the private sector and

focusing on non-oil growth. The CPS recognizes Nigeria‟s federal structure and the need to carry

growth downward to the state level. Growth in the small and medium scale commercial

agriculture will create jobs, thus spreading benefits beyond the immediate group of participants.

3

13. Accelerating the growth of commercial agriculture is consistent with the Government‟s

objectives as expressed in several recent strategy documents: the National Economic

Empowerment and Development Strategy- NEEDS I, NEEDS II, State Economic Empowerment

and Development Strategy and President Yar'Adua‟s 7 Point Agenda. These policy documents

explicitly recognize the importance of the agricultural sector in economic development and

poverty reduction, including measures to enhance agricultural growth and development. The

project is starting with 5 states (Cross River, Enugu, Lagos, Kaduna, and Kano) to be funded by

IDA to the tune of US$150.0m over a period of 5 years. In addition, the Government has adopted

the model of the CADP for the implementation of a National Commercial Agriculture

Development Programme which will be implemented in all the 36 states of the federation and the

Federal Capital Territory. The programme will start with 18 states (including the 5 CADP states)

in the first phase while the other states will join depending on their readiness for implementation.

The Federal Government is supporting the programme with an initial amount of N104.5billion.

(40% contribution by the Federal Government and 60% from the states.

B. PROJECT DESCRIPTION

1. Lending instrument

14. The total project cost is US$185.00 million over the period of five years. The indicative

project cost is in Table 1.

Table 1: Indicative Project Cost by Component

(In US$ M)

Component

Indicative

Costs

% of Total

IDA

Financing

% of IDA

Financing

1. Agricultural Production and Commercialization 84.4 45.62 69.4 46.27

2. Rural Infrastructure

80.0

43.24

68.0

45.33

3. Project Management, Monitoring and

Evaluation, strengthening of relevant institutions at

Federal and State levels and Studies

19.6

10.60

11.6

7.73

Project Preparation Facility

1.0

0.54

1.0

0.67

Total Project Costs 185.0 100.00 150.0 100.00

Note. The Project also benefited from a Policy and Human Resources Development (PHRD) Grant in the

amount of US$ 800,000.

15. Project Scope and Targeted Beneficiaries The total number of beneficiaries expected to

directly participate in the project is estimated at 50,000 (i.e. 10,000 beneficiaries per state) over a

period of five years. Small and medium commercial farms will benefit directly while many

households will benefit indirectly through access to farm roads, energy and market. The

beneficiaries are already in business in the selected value chains with annual earnings of between

N250,000 and N5,000,000. The beneficiaries are already aggregated into informal Commodity

4

Interest Groups (CIGs). The project will support three value chains per state as follows: Cross

River (Oil Palm, Cocoa, and Rice), Enugu (Fruit Trees, Poultry, and Maize), Kaduna (Fruits

Trees, Dairy, and Maize), Kano (Rice, Dairy, and Maize) and Lagos (Poultry, Aquaculture, and

Rice). The value chains2 chosen by each of the participating states were based on the respective

comparative advantage and their contribution to agricultural growth. Based on an evaluation of

market equivalents during appraisal, the value chains selected are expected to have high demand

and markets have the capacities to absorb the additional production. The small-scale and

medium-scale farms are heterogeneous with respect to households‟ assets, human capital,

income generating potential, and livelihood strategies requiring differentiated strategies for their

value chains.

16. The number of direct beneficiaries is modest relative to the overall size of the project, and

will correspond to an investment per beneficiary of approximately US$3,700. Clearly, an

investment of this magnitude will be difficult to justify if the benefits were restricted to those

directly participating. However, in addition to the direct beneficiaries, others will gain from the

improved roads and power made possible under the project.

17. The eligibility criteria for beneficiary participation include: (i) having been engaged in

farming business for at least three years; (ii) being involved in one or more of the selected value

chains; (iii) having revenue of at least N300,000 a year; (iv) belonging to farmers/producers

organization; (v) has not been convicted for fraudulent activities; (vi) being located in a

participating state; and (vii) documenting availability of funds from own contribution to

matching grants for the adoption of technology and/or land development, as shown in a costed

business plan. The details are in Annex 4.

2. Project Development Objective and Key Indicators

18. Project Development Objective. The Project Development Objective (PDO) is to

strengthen agricultural production systems and facilitate access to market for targeted value

chains among small and medium scale commercial farmers in the five participating states. These

value chains are: oil palm, cocoa, fruit trees, poultry, aquaculture and dairy, with maize and rice

as staples.

19. Key Performance Indicators. The key performance indicators for the project are:

Percentage increase in total production and processing of targeted value chains

among participating small and medium scale commercial farmers (disaggregated by

rice, oil palm, cocoa, fruits trees, poultry, aquaculture, dairy and maize).

Percentage increase in total sales of agricultural products under the targeted value

chains among participating small and medium scale commercial farmers

(disaggregated by rice, oil palm, cocoa, fruits, poultry production, aquaculture, dairy

and maize).

2 State Economic Empowerment Development strategy for the five participating states, (SEEDS I, 2001, SEEDS II,

2008), Consumption of dairy products in Northern Nigeria by Hans.G, P.Jansen, 1990. Proceedings of the

symposium held in International Livestock Centre for Africa, Addis Abba, Ethiopia, November 26-30, 1990, Enugu

State Agricultural Policy Document, 2003, Agriculture in Lagos State: Publication of Lagos state Ministry of

Agriculture and Cooperatives, March, 2008.

5

The detailed Results Framework is in Annex 3.

3. Project Components

20. The project has two components, namely: (i) Agricultural Production and

Commercialization; and (ii) Rural Infrastructure.

21. The project components are summarized below and the detailed description of the

components can be found in Annex 4.

Component 1: Agricultural Production and Commercialization -US$84.4 m (of which

US$69.4m is financed by IDA)

22. This component will provide resources to facilitate the adoption of appropriate and

existing agriculture technologies. It will also support staple crop production systems to

complement the country‟s food security initiatives and develop domestic and export markets.

The activities supported under this component will focus primarily on the selected value chains.

The component has four sub-components.

(a) Technology Demonstration and Adoption (US$21.60m) - This sub-component will

finance, (i) demonstration and dissemination of technologies in the selected value chains to be

provided by a mixture of existing potential service providers from the public (i.e. research

institutes and Agricultural Development Programs (ADPs) and private sectors(US$6.60m) (See

Annex 4). It will finance the demonstration and dissemination of a variety of improved

technology packages identified by small and medium scale farms using the structures of the

CIGs and Commercial Agriculture Development Associations (CADAs), and will include:

propagation, use of high quality seeds and seedlings of improved, exotic, high yielding and pest

and disease resistant varieties, improved agronomic practices (water management, spacing,

pruning, grafting etc), cocoa beans drying, palm oil and kernel oil extraction, hatchery

development for fingerlings and day-old chicks, waste water management for aquaculture, feed

compounding using local materials using floating feed, fingerling stocking density, fish health

and disease management, water quality management for aquaculture (sustainable removal of

nitrogen from water system, water pollution reduction, and water recirculation and flow through

technology), technologies for egg and birds transportation, artificial insemination, milk hygiene

and cold chain; and (ii) Matching Grant (US$15.00m): The project will provide matching grants

of about US$15.0 million. The total amount for grant is US$15.00m out of which US$8.00m will

be in grants to support public goods elements under staples to be applied on 50:50 basis with the

project beneficiaries at the CIGs and CADA levels.

This is a one-time Capital Grant for investments needed to improve the adoption of existing

agricultural technologies by participating commercial farmers. The matching grant is to support

the adoption of known and superior technologies and build capacity of small and medium-scale

commercial agriculture farmers. This will enable them to take advantage of market opportunities

for their produce. The matching grant is open to all qualified/eligible CIGs and/or members of

CADAs. Four sets of criteria will guide the selection of proposals, and these are: Viable

technology, Public goods element and Economic and financial viability. The activities that could

be supported by the matching grant will include the following among others:

6

Aquaculture: Fingerling Production and Hatchery Development, Fish Feed Production

Technology, Fish Smoking, Drying, Packaging, Branding and Quality Control.

Rice: Seed Multiplication/Production, Processing, De-stoning Technology, Milling

Technology, Parboiling Technology, Packaging and Branding.

Dairy: Artificial Inseminations, Milking Technology, Milking Processing, Packaging,

Branding and Quality Control.

Fruit Trees: (Citrus, Mango, Guava, Pineapple, Passion and Cashew): Seedling

Multiplication/Production, Processing, Fruit Juice Production and Packaging, Quality

Control and Branding.

Oil Palm: Seed Multiplication, Production, Processing, Palm and Kernel Oil Extraction,

Processing, Packaging, Branding and Quality Control.

Cocoa: Seed Multiplication/Production, Processing, Cocoa Bean Drying Technology

Poultry: Hatchery Technology, Processing, Packaging, Branding and Quality Control,

Cold Chains.

Maize: Seed Multiplication/Production (hybrid and other improved open-pollinated

varieties), Processing, Flash Drying Technology, Quality Control, Packaging and

Branding.

The detailed description and implementation of the Grant mechanism is contained in Annex 4

and Project Implementation Manual (PIM), respectively. For adoption of new technologies, the

formula for the matching grant will be 50% to 20% contribution from IDA on a sliding scale at

the association level.

(b) Support to Staple Crop Production Systems (US$50.00m): The combined factors of climate

change and the recent fluctuations in crude oil prices have been associated with global soaring of

food prices. The impacts are being felt in Nigeria as in many other countries. However, to

compound the situation in Nigeria, the 2007 rainy season in the northern states which are the

food basket of the country, ended prematurely in early September and resulted in poor yield and

low harvest. The Federal Government of Nigeria has responded to the food crisis through

measures that are expected to increase the supply of food staples and arrest or at least reduce the

rise in prices. Some of these measures include the release of stocks from the Strategic Grains

Reserve which several State Governments are also doing. The Federal Government has relaxed

the tariffs and suspended import duties for rice. In addition, the Federal Government has

requested its donor partners to support its initiatives on combating the rising food prices in

Nigeria. In response to the explicit Government request that this project is used to support its on-

going initiative to address the issue of the rising food prices, the project will provide US$50.00m

out of the total project Credit of US$150.00m to support basic staple crops production of maize

and rice. The design of this sub-component is consistent with the main thrusts of the instruments

of Bank support under the Global Food Crisis Response Programme Framework, particularly on

enhancing domestic food production and marketing response. Using the approach stipulated in

(a) above, this sub-component will support mainly small-scale commercial farmers to rapidly

increase their staple crop production through the adoption of improved technology based on

intensification and expansion of their rice and maize land holdings. The sub-component will

finance development/preparation of existing land holdings for staples, seed multiplication to

increase the availability of improved rice and maize seeds, dedicated extension/advisory services

for rice and maize staples, soil and water management, animal traction and rotary cultivators, and

primary processing technologies. The sub-component will also finance post-harvest handling

7

centres and on-farm storage to reduce high post-harvest losses among small-scale commercial

farmers. These centres will be located in high production areas and will be operated under

public-private partnership arrangements where the centres are financed by the project but their

day-to-day management will be handled by the CADAs.

(c) Market Facilitation (US$7.90m): The sub-component aims at the creation of domestic

and export markets; this will support market development, awareness and knowledge sharing for

commercial farmers. It will finance market information system, including market price surveys,

website and information kiosks, market/financial linkages, (including promotion of products for

supply chain financing, use of crops as collateral) quality control measures and standards; food

safety, exchange programs, agricultural trade fairs and shows, local and international study tours.

(d) Capacity Building (US$4.90m): The sub-component will focus on the training of

commercial Commodity Interest Groups (CIGs) and Commercial Agriculture Development

Associations (CADAs) that will play a coordinating role in the project. The sub-component will

assist to develop the capacities of the CIGs/CADAs to plan and execute their projects. The

training will also include gender mainstreaming and social impacts. This sub-component will

finance the following activities: interactive sessions, discussions with experts, group dynamics,

investment plans, food safety, grading and quality standards, study tours and exhibitions,

production techniques and preventive maintenance of machines and equipment. In addition, it

will also facilitate linkages between commercial farmers to commercial banks, including

promoting the development of financing products such as using crops as collateral, warehousing,

supply chain financing, and use of crops for future markets.

Component 2: Rural Infrastructure- US$80.00m (of which IDA will finance US$68.00m)

23. There are positive relationships between access to infrastructure and agricultural

productivity and growth. This component will provide resources for construction of new roads,

rehabilitation of existing ones and maintenance of roads to communities and selected agricultural

activities. Depending on their location, length and standards, roads will be provided and

maintained using the various forms of performance-based contracting. It will be a requirement

that the respective states and local authorities take full responsibility of the roads after the project

by signing a Memorandum Of Understanding with the States and Local Government. The project

will also connect commercial farms to electricity grid. The rural infrastructure investments that

will be supported under Component 2 will be linked to the commercial agriculture activities

under Component 1 and will be concentrated in areas where a critical mass of project

participants will benefit. The investments in roads and energy will complement the investments

in the value chains, and will serve the participating small and medium commercial farmers, as

well as other residents in the area. Maps of areas of interventions showing the value chains,

energy and network of farm access roads have been identified and drawn. The maps also

indicate the geographic location of the CIGs that will participate in the project.

The component has the following two sub-components:

24. Network of Farm Access Roads (US$50.00m). This sub-component will finance the

construction and rehabilitation of farm access roads linking commercial farms to markets

through Outputs and Performance Based Road Contracts (OPRC). To reduce fiduciary risk from

OPRC, there will be a technical audit for independent certification of the outputs and

8

performance of contractors by the projects to ensure internal controls before payments are made

to the contractors. In addition to the technical audit, a financial audit of the OPRC will be

undertaken by the project. This sub-component will be closely coordinated with Rural Access

and Mobility Project (RAMP) and will not finance farm access road projects where RAMP is

operating to avoid duplication of efforts. A memorandum of understanding spelling out how the

two projects will complement each other is being finalized and the implementation modalities

will be detailed in the PIM. The sub-component will finance construction, rehabilitation and

maintenance of about 500 kilometres or 100 kilometres of network of farm access roads and

drainage structures per state (i.e. combination of surfaced and gravel/laterite roads as applicable)

concentrated in areas where a critical mass of project participants will benefit. In terms of

implementation of this sub-component, the RAMP team is already working with the states in the

provision of Technical Assistance (TA) on the assessment of the areas of interventions of the

project.

25. Rural Energy (US$30.00m). This sub-component will support the provision of electricity

to commercial farms where high transmission line exists. This is based on the survey on

commercial farms conducted by the Power Holding Company of Nigeria (PHCN). This project

will finance the rehabilitation and maintenance of rural electricity, including provision of

transformers and distribution, feeder lines, poles and accessories from the main transmission

lines to commercial farmers‟ facilities in collaboration with the Power Sector Reform Project.

The sub-component will also support the study of other sources of energy. The beneficiaries will

undertake to pay the electricity bills and put in place the mechanism to protect the investments.

In terms of implementation of this sub-component, the project will sign a memorandum of

understanding with the Power Holding Company of Nigeria (PHCN) on the assessment and

preparation of bidding documents for the areas of interventions with respect to rural energy and

also provide a guaranteed pre-agreed uninterrupted power of at least 5-8 hours supply to the

beneficiaries; and beneficiaries agree to set aside dedicated funds for supplied energy.

Project Management, Monitoring, Evaluation and Studies -US$19.60m (of which IDA will

finance US$11.60m).

26. The project will finance Project Management, Monitoring and Evaluation and selected

studies as follows:

(a) Project Management (US$8.80m3). This will finance:

(i) Incremental costs related to project implementation and management at the state

and federal levels (i.e. State Commercial Agriculture Development Office

(SCADO) and the National Coordinating Office (NCO) located at the National

Food Reserve Agency (NFRA);

(ii) Equipment;

(iii) Vehicles;

(iv) Operation and maintenance costs; and

(v) Minor civil works for rehabilitation of offices.

(b) Monitoring and Evaluation (US$2.80m) - The activities to be financed are:

3Project Preparatory Facility (PPF) (US1.00M) is included in the Project Management.

9

(i) Management Information System. The project will finance the establishment and

operation of a results-based monitoring and evaluation system (M&E), including

the maintenance and use of a Management Information System.

(ii) Impact evaluation and beneficiary assessment, including Mid-Term Review. This

will finance monitoring and evaluation of the project and beneficiary assessment,

including studies and consultant fees.

(iii) Monitoring of Environmental Management Plan (EMP). The project will finance

costs that are associated with the monitoring of the implementation of the

Environmental and Social Management Framework, Pest Management Plan and

Resettlement Policy Framework.

(c) Strengthening of relevant institutions at Federal and State levels (US$5.00m):

This will finance specialized Technical Assistance and training at the state and federal

levels aimed at developing capacity for coordination of implementation. The project will

support some Federal Institutions, (Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Water Resources,

National Food Reserve Agency and Federal Ministry of Finance and other relevant

institutions) in respect of capacity building; project monitoring, equipment and vehicle

support etc. In addition, the project will support relevant institutions in the participating

states in the areas of capacity building, project monitoring and equipment support in the

States‟ Ministries of Agriculture, the Agricultural Development Programmes (ADPs), the

Project Financial Management Unit (PFMU) and other relevant institutions.

(d) Studies (US$3.00m): This project will finance studies to evaluate relevant models of

commercial agriculture. In addition, it will finance technical assistance and a study on

Irrigation. Terms of Reference (TOR) for these studies will be approved by the Bank

before the commencement of such studies.

4. Lessons learned and reflected in the project design

27. Key lessons learned from the Bank and donor funded agricultural development projects in

Africa, Europe and Central Asia which are relevant to the project include: links with country‟s

Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper (PRSP), use of matching grants, provision of infrastructure

(farm access road and energy), and facilitating market development for agriculture

commercialization.

28. Links with PRSP. The project is consistent with CPS which recommended that project

support to states should be based on their priorities that are aligned to NEEDS/SEEDS. The

project design has therefore focused on small and medium holder agricultural commercialization

and is consistent with the Government‟s strategic priorities articulated in the NEEDS, SEEDS

and Economic Sector Work (ESW)/Analytical Advisory Activity (AAA) on Agriculture in

Nigeria. Lessons learned from similar projects do show that linking project development

objectives to the country‟s PRSP fosters ownership and enhances smooth project

implementation.

29. Matching Grants. Past experience from Nigeria and Zambia shows that ad hoc provision

of matching grants for productive and marketing assets for smallholders was often financially

10

unsustainable due to lack of business skills and access to markets. Effective use of matching

grants requires sound business plans and good linkage with provision of technical advice. In

addition, peer monitoring, including spot audits ex-post undertaken by an apex body has been

successfully applied in other apex body and IFAD financed projects in Nigeria. These factors are

taken into account in the design of the matching grant under this project.

30. Infrastructure (Farm Access Roads and Energy). There are positive relationships

between availability of infrastructure and agricultural productivity growth. Experience from

South Asia Region indicated that the key to private investments in high value production, or

simply agricultural marketing and processing is the availability of necessary infrastructure

(roads, markets, electricity, etc). For example, in one of the projects in South Asia Region, the

simple repair of half kilometre of road which the community identified as the major obstacle to

transportation, made all the difference in increasing the volume and value of products that were

marketed. In Fadama II in Nigeria, the repair of 12 kilometres of road in Eriti community in

Ogun State led to the reduction of 15% in transportation cost and increased the volume of

vegetable sales. In addition, earlier Nigerian rural road projects under the Directorate for Food,

Roads and Rural Infrastructure (DFRRI) in the 1980s indicated that lack of adequate provision

for the maintenance of roads was a major problem in the construction of rural roads. RAMP is

pioneering Output and Performance Road Contracts (OPRC) that has adequate mechanism for

post construction maintenance in Nigeria. Also, experience from Zambia shows that road

rehabilitation designs should include sufficient use of resources and practical arrangements for

post-rehabilitation maintenance, and particularly the use of OPRC. These lessons are embedded

in the design of this project.

31. Similarly, for rural energy, the conventional model of government-led rural electrification,

generally unsuccessful in sub-Saharan Africa, has to be complemented by private-sector led

commercially-oriented rural electrification program. Lessons from the Energy for Rural

Transformation Project in Uganda show that by providing some assistance during the

construction phase for rural energy on output-based aid will reduce the commercial debt

financing and associated risks. These measures are incorporated in the design of this project and

the project will employ these models and work closely with the Energy team both in the Bank

and the Government to take advantage of the Nigeria Power Sector Reform Project. The project

will sign a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with PHCN to guarantee pre-agreed

uninterrupted power (at least 5 hours) supply to beneficiaries especially areas with high

concentration of project beneficiaries while beneficiaries will also agree to set aside dedicated

funds for supplied energy.

32. Facilitating Market Development for Agriculture Commercialization. The experience

from donor funded smallholder commercialization projects in Zambia suggests that: (i)

channelling funds for smallholder mobilization and capacity building through industry

associations, agribusinesses and farmer organizations do have a lasting impact; (ii) entrusting the

decisions and functions of farmer capacity building, extension, and marketing on commercial

out-grower scheme operators to ensure their consistency with industry priorities and business

needs; (iii) supporting a more coordinated approach between development partners and the

smallholder out-grower sector results in greater impact of the assistance provided; and (iv)

clarifying the role of each partner from the onset is therefore very important. In addition, the

experience from Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises Project (MSME) and the Aquaculture

value chain report of June, 2008 indicated the need for market-driven development approach,

11

private over public leadership, use of performance grants, greater access to a range of key

services to MSME, and industry focus. These features are taken into account in the design of this

project. CADAs and CIGs, which are private sector entities, will be responsible for market

development and facilitation. In addition, during implementation, steps will be taken to ensure

appropriate coordination and collaboration between MSME and CADP including maximizing

synergies/impact of the two projects.

5. Alternatives considered and reasons for rejection

Two alternative approaches were considered and rejected:

33. Implementing the proposed project under Fadama III: Fadama III uses Community Driven

Development (CDD) methodology well suited to subsistence producers, but will not be as

effective with the target group of commercial farmers who have different needs for information

and finance. As noted in the World Development Report “Agriculture for Development”,

different client groups of farmers are best served by different types of interventions.

34. Combine the Growth Enterprises and Markets (GEMS) Project and the Commercial

Agricultural Development Projects: The proposed Growth Enterprises and Markets Project will

presumably not be primarily or entirely focused on agriculture. Commercial agricultural

production will benefit from any improvements in the business climate accomplished under it,

but the technical and staffing needs for the commercial agricultural operation differ from those

addressing private sector developments more broadly.

C. IMPLEMENTATION

1. Partnership arrangements

35. The Government of Japan has financed Technical Studies and Technical Assistance as part

of the preparation of the project through a Policy and Human Resources Development (PHRD)

Grant of US$800,000. Also, African Development Bank (AfDB) has given commitment to

support similar intervention in Nigeria at a future date. Such operation will be complementary to

this project.

2. Institutional and Implementation Arrangements

36. The proposed project will utilize the existing institutional structure of the Federal Ministry

of Agriculture and Water Resources (FMAWR), its federal and state level coordination offices

and those of the States‟ Ministries of Agriculture. In addition, the Federal Ministry of Finance

has oversight function on credit facilities through its Department of International Economic

Relations (DIER). The DIER will undertake joint monitoring and coordination with the Federal

and State Implementation Agencies to ensure efficient and effective utilization of funds for

intended purposes. The implementation arrangements include:

(i) overall coordination of project implementation entrusted to FMAWR and to be carried

out through NFRA;

12

(ii) establishment and maintenance of NSC, NCO, SSC and SCADO throughout the

implementation of the project with experienced and qualified staff in adequate numbers,

all satisfactory to the Association;

(iii) empowerment of farmers to enable them to establish their CIGs and CADAs as vehicles

to foster the sustainable development of commercial agriculture in the Participating

States; and

(iv) Terms and conditions for distribution of matching grants.

37. The detailed Institutional and Implementation Arrangements are in Annex 6.

38. Project Implementation Period. The Project will be implemented over a five-year

period, starting from April 16, 2009. The Project will close on December 31, 2014.

39. Executing Agency: The Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Water Resources (FMAWR)

will have overall responsibility for execution of the Project through the National Food Reserve

Agency (NFRA). The NFRA is the agency entrusted with responsibility for coordinating the

implementation of all agricultural sector projects in the country, including those that are

externally-funded. The NFRA, through the National Coordinating Office, will coordinate project

activities on behalf of the FMAWR. Most of the Project‟s administrative, financial and

implementation arrangements will be decentralized at the state levels. The beneficiaries,

especially the Commercial Agricultural Development Associations (CADAs) and the various

Commodity Interest Groups (CIGs) will be active in the project. Since no new coordination

structure will be created under this project, the NFRA will delegate the functions and

responsibilities of day-to-day implementation coordination to a semi-autonomous National

Coordinating Office which will now be called the NCO.

40. At the Federal level, coordination will be carried out by the National Coordinating Office

(NCO) and while the oversight, policy and strategic orientation functions will be performed by

the National Steering Committee (NSC) with 10 members as proposed by government. These

are: Permanent Secretary, FMAWR - Chairman, Ministries of Finance; Agriculture (Director of

Agriculture); Commerce and Industry; Women Affairs; National Planning Commission; CADA -

APEX; National Association of Chambers of Commerce, Industry, Mines and Agriculture

(NACCIMA); and the Executive Director, NFRA. The NSC will meet twice a year. The Vice

Chairman should come from the CADA and the NCO will serve as the secretariat.

41. The functions of the NSC are: oversight functions over the project at the federal level,

approve Annual Work Plan and Budget (AWPB) at the National Coordinating Office level,

review progress of project implementation across the participating states, encourage

collaboration among similar projects at the federal level and harmonization of Federal and State

Governments Policies on economic development and growth as it relates to commercialization of

agriculture.

42. The day to day implementation of the project at the National level will be the responsibility

of the National Coordinating Office. The staff complements of the NCO as proposed by the

Federal Government are: National Project Coordinator, Project Operations Officer, M&E

Officer, Project Accountant and Procurement Officer. Support Staff (Internal Auditor, Account

Officer, Administrative Officer and Rural Infrastructure Officer - Consulting. The Terms of

Reference for the staff positions will be in the PIM.

13

43. At the State level, coordination will be carried out by the SCADO of the participating

states while the oversight, policy and strategic orientation functions will be performed by the

State Steering Committee (SSC). The State Steering Committee will comprise of 12 members as

proposed by government, they are as follows: Permanent Secretary Ministry of Agriculture

(Chairman); Directors of relevant value chains in the Ministries of Agriculture (2), Finance (1),

Planning/Budget, Trade and Commerce, Women Affairs, Rural Development/Energy

Commission, Works, Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Commercial Agricultural

Development Associations (1); Project Manager (PM) of ADPs and SCADO. The Vice

Chairman will come from the private sector and SCADO will be the Secretariat. Invitations to

stakeholders are on need basis.

44. The functions of the SSC are as follows: Oversight functions over the project at the state

level, approve Annual Work Plan and Budget of the SCADO, review progress of project

implementation, guide and facilitate project implementation based on project design, periodic

monitoring with the state, screening and recommendation for approval of Annual Work Plan and

Budget to the Agricultural Development Project Executive Council (ADPEC) of the State,

(ADPEC is the highest policy making/approving body for agriculture in the State), and

encourage collaboration among similar projects in the states.

45. The day to day implementation of the project will be the responsibility of the State

Commercial Agriculture Development Office which will have the following staff complements:

State Project Coordinator, Procurement Officer, M&E Officer, Project Accountant, Agric

Productivity and Advisory Services Officer, Commercialization and Business Development

Officer, Rural Infrastructure Officer, and Support Staff (Internal Auditor, Cashier, Secretaries,

Administrative Officer, Environmental Officer and Project Office Assistant). In addition,

SCADO will have facilitators in the following subject matter areas: (a) Technology adoption in

each selected value chain; (b) Market facilitation and business development; (c) Road; (d)

Energy; (e) Management Information System (MIS)/Information Communication Technology

(ICT); and (f) Staple crops (maize and rice).

46. The SCADO will function as a semi-autonomous unit. All correspondence and reports to

the office of the Honourable Commissioner, NFRA and the World Bank (WB) should be copied

to the ADP PM.

47. At the Beneficiary level, critical decisions will take place within the CADAs and the

various CIGs which should be legally registered. The CADAs are apex organizations of

Commodity Interest Groups which have a common interest in agricultural commercialization.

The CADAs are already in existence. They will be responsible for the coordination of the

activities of the CIGs, including the management of the post-harvest handling centres under the

Public-Private Partnership (PPP) arrangements within the value chain associations. The CADAs

may facilitate co-financing of the sub-projects through commercial banks. The CIGs will have

responsibility for sub-projects implementation. Beneficiaries should belong to commodity

associations that support the value chain of their interest. SCADO should have a directory of

Service Providers that will provide services to the project beneficiaries. The Service Providers

will be screened by SCADO and their services will be certified by beneficiary and SCADO

officer/agent before full payment. Service Providers will be public and private sectors operators

and there should be a level playing field.

14

48. The beneficiaries will be responsible for the identification, preparation and execution of

their sub-projects. The beneficiaries especially the CIG members will be assisted on need basis

by advisers/facilitators in producing a simple investment plan that will show the total cost of the

sub-projects; the level of grants they are applying for and documentation/evidence of ability to

provide own contribution. The CIG will check the plans against the list of eligibility criteria and

aggregate them at the CIG level. The CIG application including the procurement plan then goes

to CADAs, which aggregates the plans and checks them for completeness before submitting

them for approval.

49. Once sub-projects are reviewed and approved by SCADO, CADAs can access a share of

the costs for design and implementation, in accordance with the guidelines stipulated in the PIM.

In order to be eligible to receive funding under the project, beneficiaries must belong to

registered constituted Commodity Associations. Disbursements to the service producers selected

by CADAs will occur through the preparation of Commercial Agricultural Development Plans

and Sub-Project Agreements (SPAs), as described in the Project Implementation Manual (PIM).

50. The farm access roads/energy sub-projects to be rehabilitated and maintained will be

selected through cross-sectoral (transport, energy and agriculture) participatory approach

undertaken together with Federal, State Governments, Local Government Areas (LGAs) and

similar projects (Rural Access and Mobility Project and Energy Reform Project) The basis for

selection will be prioritization of those segments of rural areas that are essential for supporting

the overall small and medium scale agricultural commercialization, value-addition and the

development objective of the project. The result of the selection process will be a network of all-

weather farm access roads providing access for the selected agricultural development areas over

a period of five years and energy connectivity to small and medium scale commercial farms.

Once the implementation plans are finalized, the sub-components will be implemented through a

memorandum of understanding with relevant agencies in the states (PHCN and Road

Management Agencies) under the guidance of RAMP and the Energy Reform Project teams at

the National and State levels.

51. Overall implementation of the project will be done according to detailed procedures

defined in the PIM. There is a direct relationship with the project and the existing ministerial

structures both at the National and State levels. The NCO is within the framework of the NFRA

while the SCADOs are within the framework of the states‟ ADPs. Project Implementation Units

(PIUs) will be set up for the NCO and SCADOs respectively.

15

3. Monitoring and Evaluation of outcomes/results

52. The NFRA, through the NCO will provide oversight support and coordination of M&E

while the SCADO will have overall responsibility for monitoring and evaluation, working in

close collaboration with the M&E officers at the state levels. These decentralized units will feed

project-related data from the states and LGAs directly to the NCO central M&E system, which

will consolidate the monitoring and evaluation reports and include them in the semi-annual and

annual progress reports. In addition, the NCO will provide feedback to the decentralized levels.

The system consists of self-monitoring at the Federal/State levels, input-output

monitoring/Management Information Systems (MIS), process monitoring system, outcomes,

efficiency, and impact evaluation, particularly on who benefited (small or medium farms, agro-

processors, women), which value chains received support and how, what has been the

comparative cost effectiveness, to what gains can they be attributed and to what extent have

external factors (such as weather events) contributed to the final outcomes. The outcome

indicators will be disaggregated to capture the following: farm categories, gender, value chain,

state and region. Performance indicators are provided in Annex 3. The indicators are linked

directly to the results-based CPS goals. The outcome indicators will be used to assess progress in

achieving the project development objectives. At the Federal level, NCO will assemble and

consolidate data on overall project implementation from the participating states, organize and

coordinate the Mid-Term Review (MTR). At the State level, the SCADO will collect data on the

sub-projects and maintain a database from which information on a quarterly basis is forwarded to

NCO. In addition to this, impact evaluation studies will also be conducted by external entities at

mid-term and project completion stage.

53. The project Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) will be based on: (a) a survey; (b) building

on the findings of the baseline survey; and (c) monitoring at the State level.

54. The National Coordinating Office of the project housed at the National Food Reserve

Agency (NFRA), of the Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development (FMARD) will

have overall responsibility for consolidating reports from the states and sending them to the

Bank, select external consultants for the Mid-Term Review/Impact assessment at the close of the

project, organize the various studies for the project, and work in close collaboration with M&E

units at the States levels.

55. Input/Output Monitoring: The SCADO will be responsible for input/output monitoring

at all levels through a computerized MIS. A firm will be competitively contracted to develop the

MIS software, implement the program and provide operation and maintenance services. The MIS

will include the following: (i) profiles and inclusion of quantitative variables relating to the small

and medium scale commercial farms, including agro-processors, with the aim of improving the

capacity to evaluate project impact; (ii) inclusion of quantitative variable concerning sub-projects

with indicators for impact monitoring; (iii) complete on-line connection with state offices

(SCADOs) to strengthen decentralized supervision and improve efficiency through field entry at

the data collection point; (iv) extend MIS to allow comparison of planned versus actual

performance (i.e. physical and financial) in a format that can also be used in reports to be

presented to government and the Bank; (v) integrate Financial Management System (FMS); (vi)

insert new cells for analysis and decision-making functions; and (vii) launch the MIS on the

internet for public access, with the aim of promoting transparency. Through periodic processing

16

of the database information, combined with field visits and inputs from project supervision

missions, and project contracted studies and audits, the NCO/SCADO will monitor project trends

and performance, identify implementation challenges/problems and accomplishments and

undertake appropriate actions to improve project implementation.

56. Process Monitoring. The NCO and SCADO will contract with independent agencies,

supervised by SCADO to carry out process monitoring. Based on the MIS and using

Participatory Rural Appraisal (PRA) techniques, the independent assessments will judge the

quality of project implementation, particularly, in institutional development at the State level,

investment levels, beneficiary satisfaction with project inputs, and mechanisms to ensure

inclusiveness and participation. Monitoring will assess the extent to which gender issues are

included in the process of project selection, design, and implementation at the association levels,

focusing on the integrity and effectiveness of the CADAs‟ tool and process. The approach to

process monitoring will encourage self-assessment by the CADAs and the implementation

coordination teams. Semi-annual reports will be submitted to the government and the Bank for

review and appropriate action. The findings will be reflected in the biannual progress reports.

57. Impact evaluation will be carried out by an independent agency. A baseline survey

has already been completed to assess pre-project conditions in the participating states and project

areas. A Mid-Term Review will be undertaken during the project implementation period.

58. Reporting and Mid-Term Review. The NCO will submit quarterly reports, a bi-annual

progress report and an annual report to the World Bank, FMAWR and the participating states.

The quarterly reports will consist of progress achieved and implementation constraints for each

quarter. The bi-annual reports will consist of: (a) physical and financial expenditure data; (b)

performance indicators; (c) successes and problems encountered with possible remedial actions;

(d) socioeconomic and environmental impacts; (e) progress toward the Project Development

Objective (PDO) achievement, and (f) documentation on beneficiaries. The annual report will

cover all quantitative and qualitative aspects of implementation progress, including

implementation plans for the following year. An MTR will be held during the implementation of

the project, which will be an in-depth assessment of progress and an opportunity to change

course if and when appropriate. To prepare for the MTR, the NCO will engage consultants to

prepare a detailed progress report covering the entire period that the Project has been effective.

The report will include a comprehensive review of the implementation performance of all the

components of the project as well as assess impact on the ground, based on the findings of the

monitoring and evaluation studies and other sources of information. This report will also

highlight the progress made with respect to performance indicators.

59. A final evaluation/review at the end of the project will be carried out and an

Implementation Completion Report (ICR) will be prepared. The Project will support a

stakeholder ICR and validation process. No later than four months after the Credit closing date,

NFRA and NCO will prepare and provide to International Development Association (IDA) a

report on the execution of the project, its costs and current and future benefits to be derived from

it, to be attached to the Bank‟s ICR in accordance with IDA guidelines.

17

4. Sustainability

60. The sustainability of project benefits will depend on several factors, including, financial

sustainability of sub-projects, ownership and recipient commitment, capacity of beneficiary

associations and other enabling institutional environment.

61. Financial sustainability of the sub-projects. The sustainability of the project benefits at

the state level depends first of all on the financial soundness of the sub-projects. Commercial

Agriculture Development Projects in Africa and ECA have clearly demonstrated that with

technology adoption and advisory services, market facilitation, capacity building, provision of

network of farm access roads and energy, combined with capitalization is technically, financially

and economically sustainable. The rapidly expanding population, change in consumer taste, and

the increase in the supermarkets are guarantees for market demand from commercial agriculture

that will absorb incremental crop, livestock, and aquaculture productions.

62. Ownership and beneficiaries’ commitment. The existence of Commercial Agriculture

Development Plans will ensure that the beneficiaries‟ needs, perspectives and ownership are

guaranteed. The mainstreaming of the participatory approaches and decision-making will

enhance the ownership and commitment of the beneficiaries to the project through their

Commercial Agriculture Development Associations. This strategy will contribute to the social

mobilization and awareness creation for the project at the states.

63. Capacity of beneficiary associations. The sustainability of project benefits depends on

the durability of the CADAs and CIGs as well as the capacities of their leaders and members to

manage their own affairs. The Project will make significant investments in capacity building

efforts through training and Technical Assistance to build social capital and expand the

knowledge frontier.

64. Enabling institutional environment. Sustainability of commercial agriculture

development depends on the existence of an enabling institutional environment. The Public

Private Partnership strategy in commercialization of agriculture will enhance government

commitment to the project and its participatory rural development approach. Both the Federal

and State Governments are showing renewed interests and commitments in agricultural

commercialization. At Federal level, this commitment is already reflected in President

Yar‟Adua‟s 7-Point Agenda and in Government‟s macroeconomic and sectoral policies, such as

the Rural Sector Strategy and NEEDS. In addition, project support will be used to strengthen the

capacity of government at state and federal levels respectively.

5. Potential Risks and Possible Controversial Aspects

65. Sustainability. Sub-projects may not be technically sound and sustainable. Technical

Assistance and training will be provided to the CIGs/CADAs to ensure generation of sound sub-

projects.

66. Government commitment to the project approach may wane over time. The

participating states are highly committed to the project approach. Project activities are

mainstreamed into the functions of government at multiple levels, and private sector will be

18

explicitly responsible for sub-projects‟ generation and implementation. This will enhance

chances of project success, which are essential to sustaining government commitment.

67. Regular payment of counterpart contributions. This risk is high because the

Government has not systematically met its counterpart contributions in previous projects. To

address this risk, approval of the annual work programs of the beneficiary states is contingent

upon compliance with counterpart obligations. The participating states have demonstrated

commitment to the preparation of this project by contributing N20.00m each to fast track project

preparation and start up arrangements at the state level. In addition, provision has been made by

both the Federal and State Governments in their 2008/2009 budgets for counterpart fund

contribution, including agreement for upfront payment in subsequent years.

68. Potential elite capture and political interference. This is a major concern to the project,

especially the matching grant facility, will be captured by elites. Mechanisms for financial

management and accountability will be well publicized, as will systematic peer reviews and

sanctions for abuse. During project implementation, systems will be put in place for reporting

potential irregularities of fraud, collusion and diversion of funds, especially in procurement

operations and for enforcement of appropriate sanctions. In addition, the ceiling for the grant is

kept low to minimize interests among the elites.

19

Risk Mitigation Measures:

Risks Risk Mitigation Measures Risk Rating with Mitigation

To project development objective

Lack of sustainability of sub-projects

after the project has closed and/or the

grant is ended, and lack of maintenance

of infrastructure provided under the

project.

Government commitment to the project

falters due to change in policy and

orientation towards agriculture

commercialization.

Counterpart contributions not paid on

time, or are irregular.

Collusion and/lack of transparency and

accountability in the management of

funds at the beneficiary level.

Procurement Risks. Insufficient

knowledge and experience with Bank

procurement may cause delays in project

implementation

Attention to economic viability of the sub-projects

and maintenance of infrastructure through the use of

the OPRC approach in the design of the project.

Creation of innovative products through linking

commercial farms with financial institutions (i.e.

supply chain financing, future markets, crops as

collateral and graduation of the commercial farmers

from the Matching Grant Scheme).

Investment in public information, stakeholders

awareness raising and communication about the

approaches and results of the Project.

Federal Government and States agreed to

counterpart contributions and this will be closely

monitored during implementation.

Random audits ex-post will be conducted by CADA

in addition to the financial statement audit with

focus on the utilization of the matching grant that

funds spent on intended purpose and beneficiaries

will receive value for their money. Details of these

are documented in the FPM under community

participation. The TOR for the audit is included in

the PIM.

Random audits ex-post and spot-checks of accounts

by CADAs to confirm grants are used for the

intended purpose.

(i) Procurement and implementation training will be

provided to key staff during project implementation;

(ii) experienced Procurement Specialist will be

hired to assist and coordinate the states‟

procurement functions and provide on-the-job

training to the state officials; (iii) intensive

supervision of the agencies‟ staff by the Bank field

office Procurement Specialist.

M

M

H

M

M

Overall Risk Rating M

Note. Implementation of some of the risk mitigation measures have started particularly on awareness of

the project at the federal and state levels through television, radio and information leaflets, provision of

counterpart funds in the state budgets, and training on procurement.

20

6. Loan/credit conditions and covenants

Legal Covenants

69. Financial covenants are the standard ones as stated in the Financing Agreement Schedule

2, Section II (B) on Financial Management, Financial Reports and Audits and Section 4.09 of the

General Conditions.

Effectiveness Condition

70. One Subsidiary Agreement has been concluded between the Recipient and at least one

Participating State under terms and conditions satisfactory to the Association.

Disbursement condition

71. The conditions are:

(i) the Recipient has furnished to the Association evidence satisfactory to the Association that the

concerned Participating State has duly established its CADA in form and substance satisfactory to

the Association; and

(ii) the Association has received an opinion pursuant to Section 8.02 (b) of the General Conditions

that the Subsidiary Agreement has been duly authorized or ratified by the Recipient and the

concerned Participating State and is legally binding upon the Recipient and the Participating State

in accordance with its terms.

D. APPRAISAL SUMMARY

1. Economic and Financial Analyses

72. Based on the financial and economic analysis and conservative assumptions in Annex 9,

the Financial Internal Rate of Return (FIRR) of the sixteen (16) enterprises ranges between 14%

for citrus processing and 25% for pineapple production, with an overall project average of 20%;

while the Economic Internal Rate of Return (EIRR) of the enterprises is estimated to be between

12% for rice milling and 25% for cocoa production. Majority of the enterprises have FIRR

higher than 20% and EIRR that are higher than 18%. The overall project Economic Rate of

Return (ERR) is 17% which covers the agricultural production and commercialization,

and the rural infrastructure components of the project.

73. The results of sensitivity analysis are fairly robust to changes in key economic parameters

such as costs of production and output prices. A 10% decline in the prices of all products within

the project will reduce the ERR by two percentage points, while a 20% reduction will result in

four percentage points decline. An increase of 10% in costs will reduce ERR by one percentage

point, whereas a costs overrun of 20% will result in a decline of two percentage points in ERR.

For the switching value test, the project benefits will have to decline by as much as 28% from

the current level for the ERR to fall to the break-even-point of 12%.

74. The direct impact on project beneficiaries‟ income levels is estimated on the average to be

about 192%. The highest impacts on income levels are expected to come from broiler

production which is expected to be fivefold and earthen pond aquaculture which is estimated to

21

be in multiple of four, respectively. The smallest impact of 18% is contributed by citrus

production. This significant impact is expected to result from standard agronomic practices and

technology adoption by the Commercial farmers.

75. Out of the total net benefit accruable/expected from the entire project, 38.9% is

attributable to crop producers, 16.9% to livestock producers, 12.6% to processors, while 31.7%

is accounted for by the inputs supply sub-sector.

76. From the parameters obtained in this analysis, it is clear that this project is sufficiently

profitable to take advantage of opportunities for external financing if the participants desire

external financing from various credit sources, especially banks. The risks associated with

adoption of new technologies have also been sufficiently mitigated by the grant component of

this project.

77. Finally, it is important to note that the achievement of the financial and economic returns

parameters reported from this analysis will depend in part on favourable macroeconomic

conditions and investment climate in Nigeria that are outside the control of project management.

78. However, since the baseline studies, other pre-investment studies and monitoring are

within the project management control. If due diligence is observed in the operation of the

economic interest groups and with strict adherence to the eligibility criteria and conditions in this

financial analysis, the rates of return herein are achievable. The detailed Economic and Financial

Analysis is in Annex 9.

2. Technical

79. The design of the proposed project components utilized experiences from similar

components of projects in Zambia, Liberia, South Africa, and Madagascar. Extensive

consultations were carried out with Government and key stakeholders on this to improve the

technical integrity of the proposed design.

80. The experience with designing matching grants in Zambia has demonstrated that it is more

appropriate for supporting the provision of goods and services with high public good content.

The one-time capital grants sub-component 1 for investments needed for adoption of

technologies is an innovation designed into the project. Utilizing global experience, the

proposed matching grants will address specific value chain development, including market

research and market access activities, innovative extension and advisory services, and

development of business linkages between small and medium scale commercial farmers.

81. The sub-component dealing with rural network of roads construction, rehabilitation and

maintenance works will build on the experiences on road designs, technical specifications, and

standards developed under the Rural Access and Mobility Project. The implementation of the

sub-component will utilize the OPRC approach and it will also involve capacity strengthening of

the States Roads Maintenance Agency. During the process of identification of candidate farm

access road sections/networks critical to support agricultural development, cross-sectoral

(transport and agriculture) participatory approach was undertaken in the participating states.

22

3. Fiduciary

82. Financial Management. A review of implementation of Country Financial Accountability

Assessment (CFAA) (2000) recommendations in January 2005, further supported by 2006

PEMFAR for Nigeria, observed that the Federal Government has made a significant effort to

advance reform of the Public Expenditure Management (PEM) system since 2003. Major

achievements so far have been: (i) the adoption of an oil-based fiscal rule that has greatly

improved the quality of macroeconomic management; (ii) launching of significant steps toward

increased transparency of the budget process; (iii) more efficient cash management; (iv)

procurement reforms; (v) updating the legal framework for Project Financial Management

(PFM); (vi) reallocation of budget resources in support of Millennium Development Goal

(MDG) related government functions; (vii) strengthening monitoring and evaluation; and (viii)

introducing a more strategic longer-term focus in budget management. This has clearly helped to

reduce waste of public resources, particularly on the capital budget and payroll sides. The impact

of these early measures is also evident in significantly improved fiscal and broader

macroeconomic outcomes. There, is nevertheless, much more to do and PFM initiatives and

reforms are articulated in the Government‟s PRSP - NEEDS, which are supported under the

CPS, specifically through the three Bank-assisted projects i.e., Economic Management Capacity

Building Project (EMCAP) which closed in December 2007, State Governance and Capacity

Project (SCBGP) and the Economic Reform and Governance Project (ERGP). Besides the Lagos

State Financial Accountability Assessment which was carried out in 2004, the 2006 PEMFAR

reviewed PFM practices in several states. Also State Public Finance Studies have been carried

out. These studies revealed various weaknesses in PFM at the State level (e.g. weak capacity and

institutions and areas of audited financial statements).

83. Financial management services to the Federal and State level units responsible for the

implementation of the project will be provided by the FM unit of NCO and PFMU respectively.

The NCO FM unit is staffed by relevantly qualified accountants. The State PFMU will designate

appropriate professionally qualified accountant with responsibility for the CADP. As workload

necessitates, additional professionally qualified Project Accountants and Internal Auditors will

be recruited for the duration of the project. The FM arrangements for the project are designed to:

(i) ensure that funds are used only for the intended purposes; (ii) ensure the production of timely

information for project management and government oversight; and (iii) facilitate compliance by

the project with IDA fiduciary requirements. The overall FM risk in the project is substantial.

Various measures to mitigate FM risks have been agreed, including implementation of the

actions outlined to strengthen the financial management system. It is envisaged that with these

measures in place, the overall FM risk will be minimized to a residual moderate level, which is

manageable. The project Financial Manual will also detail the internal control framework and

risk management strategy that will apply in the project to keep the substantial risk attributed to

the project under constant check. The FM risks identified will be reduced with the

implementation of the mitigation measures recommended in Annex 7. In addition, the internal

audit unit will be adequately trained in risk based audit techniques which are very appropriate for

substantial FM risk project. Regular reporting arrangements and supervision plans will also

ensure implementation of the project is closely monitored and appropriate remedial actions taken

expeditiously.

84. Financial Management Arrangements. The PFMU and the financial management unit

of NCO will be responsible for ensuring compliance with the financial management

requirements of the Bank and the government, including forwarding the quarterly unaudited

23

interim financial reports and audited Annual Financial Statements (AFS) to IDA. The Project

will follow disbursement procedures described in the World Bank Disbursement Handbook.

Regarding flow of funds and banking arrangements, IDA will disburse the credit through DAs.

The PFMU and NCO FM unit will maintain adequate FM arrangements to support the

deployment of Project resources in an economic, efficient and effective manner to achieve the

stated development objectives. The arrangements will also provide relevant information to SSC

and NSC to facilitate the performance of their oversight functions. The detailed Financial

Management and Disbursement Arrangements are in Annex 7.

85. Procurement. Since Fiscal Year (FY) 2001, Nigeria has been implementing slowly a

procurement reform program based on the recommendations of the 2000 Country Procurement

Assessment Review (CPAR). A review of the progress made on the 2000 CPAR

recommendations as reflected in 2007 PEMFAR, shows that implementation of procurement

reform program has brought about substantial improvements in obtaining value for money in the

public sector expenditure. This has further introduced some level of transparency into the

country‟s procurement process. In this regard, the CPAR of 2000 has been a positive catalyst,

because it supported the agenda of financial sanitation of the current Government. Some of the

actions taken by Government to advance the procurement reform in Nigeria include (a) creation

of the Budget Monitoring and Price Intelligence Unit (BMPIU) around December 2002 as a Due

Process Unit located within the Presidency. The unit carries out due process reviews for the

certification of contract awards and payments. The recent PEMFAR report indicated that

contract prices were reduced substantially and have reportedly saved the Treasury a substantial

amount. Since the 2000 CPAR, collaboration between procurement and financial management

has been strengthened considerably. A Cash Management Team chaired by the Minister of

Finance, of which the Bureau of Public Procurement is a member, ensures that payments are

made only when certified by the BMPIU. The Public Procurement Act was promulgated in

Nigeria in June 2007 with a view to further sanitize public procurement system, which has often

been the subject of abuse and corruption. This will further bring significant improvement in the

existing procurement system in the public service and enhance transparency. However,

expectations are that it will take some time before the impact of the new legislation can permeate

to the project level. After discussions with Government, a decision was made to retain the

procurement responsibilities fully with the project management team, National Coordinating

Office (NCO) at the Federal level and State Commercial Agriculture Development Office

(SCADOs), while the Ministry of Agriculture will have the oversight function through the

National Steering Committee and State Steering Committee respectively.

86. At the beneficiary level, critical decisions will take place within the CADAs and the

various Commodity Interest Groups (CIGs) which should be legally registered. The Commercial

Agriculture Development Associations (CADAs) are apex organizations of Commodity Interest

Groups which have a common interest in agricultural commercialization. The CADAs which are

already in existence will be responsible for the coordination of the activities of the CIGs,

including procurement and management of the post-harvest handling centres under the Public-

Private Partnership (PPP) arrangements within the value chain associations. The CIGs will have

responsibility for sub-projects implementation. Beneficiaries should belong to commodity

associations that support the value chain of their interest. SCADOs should have a directory of

Service Providers that will provide services to the project beneficiaries. The Service Providers

will be screened by SCADOs and their services will be certified by beneficiary and SCADOs‟

officer/agent before full payment. Service Providers will be public and private sectors operators

and there should be a level playing field in the selection process which shall be detailed in PIM.

24

87. Procurement risk at the Agricultural Sector at Federal and State level: All the five

participating states and Federal agency have experience in implementing various Bank-financed

projects in Nigeria that date back to 1974. Twelve States are currently implementing the

FADAMA II Project while all the 36 States of the Federation will participate in FADAMA III

Project which will soon become effective. The two Agricultural Projects mentioned above have

some similarities with the Commercial Agricultural Project including contracting and making

funds available to beneficiary groups and communities. The complements of staff of the NCO

and SCADO which shall have responsibility of day to day implementation of the project will

include a Procurement Officer (PO). The PO, will further receive additional procurement training

on Bank financed procurement procedures from relevant training institutions, such as Lagos

Business School, Ghana Institute for Management and Public Administration (GIMPA), ESAMI,

etc. An experienced Procurement Specialist will be hired at the Federal level to assist and

coordinate the states‟ procurement functions and provide on-the-job training to the state officials.

The Curriculum Vitae of these Procurement Officers will be reviewed and cleared by the Bank to

ensure that appropriate, qualified and experienced procurement personnel are recruited by the

Borrower. The detailed Procurement Arrangement is in Annex 8.

4. Social

88. Summary of key issues relevant to the project objectives, and specific project’s social

development outcomes. A social assessment of Commercial Agriculture Development project

was undertaken in May/June 2008 in the five participating states as part of the preparation of the

project. The objective of the social assessment was to assess the likely social impacts of the

project on the beneficiaries and propose mitigation strategies against adverse impacts. The

findings of the study indicated that there was a general awareness about the project in the

targeted states; and that most of the beneficiaries got the information about the project from the

various meetings organized by the state ADPs. The Project contains strong social inclusion in the

sub-component activities to help commercial farmers adopt productivity enhancement activities

for improved returns. One key finding of the Social Assessment is on potential risk for

displacement, which has been reflected in the project through avoiding, minimizing, mitigating

and documenting micro-projects with risk potentials and the use of safeguard instrument of

Resettlement Policy Framework; and empowering beneficiary farmers through effective

participatory decision-making process. The project will be socially inclusive and culturally

sensitive to ensure that it builds on cultural practices and local knowledge and priorities in the

agricultural services delivery. Overall, the project is not expected to have any adverse social

impacts.

89. Participatory Approach: How will key stakeholders participate in the project? The

participating states and their key stakeholders have participated actively in the preparation of the

project. In December 07-08, 2005, a stakeholder‟s consultation was held at Abuja to discuss the

priorities of the states. In addition, between January 16 and February 02, 2006 and August 02-03,

2006, consultations were made in the five participating states. Furthermore, consultations were

also made in Abuja between November 26 and December 06, 2007 that were attended by the key

stakeholders from the participating states including commercial banks. The Project‟s objectives

and incentives which promote cross-cutting values on equity, partnership, participation, gender,

and transparency on commercial agriculture development will be openly expressed and will

guide project implementation. These values will become the standard by which implementation

activity is assessed, and is envisaged to change behaviour and attitudes of the stakeholders

25

during implementation. This is expected to result in reduced vulnerability, poverty, inequity, and

social conflict. The main thrusts of the project are improving access to basic infrastructure,

opportunities for social advancement, and participation in the development process; demand-

driven assistance; results-focused support; flexible implementation modalities; community

participation with social inclusion of the various value chain associations (CADAs and CIGs) in

overall project implementation; and greater transparency and accountability. These requirements

guided the design of the Project and will be incorporated in its implementation.

90. How does the project involve consultations or collaboration with Non Governmental

Organisations (NGOs) or other Civil Society Organizations? NGO consultation was an

integral part of the project preparation and will be enhanced during the implementation process.

CSOs will assist in discussing priorities with community groups, with a view to establishing

fairness and accountability in the process. The Project Management Unit (PMU) will ensure that

NGO/CSOs will participate in the project as facilitators and Service Providers (SP) as needed,

including strengthening CSOs‟ engagement process, which will strengthen communities‟

capacity to plan their own development in participatory manner.

91. How will the project monitor performance in terms of social development outcomes?

The project will measure changes or social impacts on the overall well being of beneficiaries by

using indicators such as changes in access, usage and satisfaction with infrastructure services,

changes in expenditures for services, change in the number of women participating in the project

activities and level of technological adoption compared before and after. The PMU will be

required to carry out regular community surveys to determine the most recent experience of

CADA members in the commercial agriculture process. Analysis of this type of information will

allow better implementation process, to ascertain whether specific objectives are being met, and

to determine whether the project has positive impact on the beneficiaries than before.

5. Environment

92. The Commercial Agriculture Development Project (CADP) was categorized as a Category

B project, and the environmental and social impacts of the project, for most part, are expected to

be minimal, site-specific and manageable to an accepted level. Details are in Annex 10. The

safeguards instruments comprising the Environmental and Social Management Framework

(ESMF), Resettlement Policy Framework (RPF) and Pest Management Plan (PMP) has been

prepared and disclosed in-country and at the World Bank‟s Info shop.

93. The potential environmental concerns as identified in the Environmental and Social

Management Framework (ESMF) are those associated with (i) rehabilitation and maintenance of

rural roads and energy, including provision of transformers and extension of power lines to

connect commercial farmers and agro-processing facilities; and (ii) agricultural development and

commercialization which will lead to increased production volumes and value added processing

and marketing capacity of agribusiness involved in commodity chains.

94. Intensification of agricultural activities could lead to increased use of pesticides and

herbicides; thereby triggering the Bank‟s Pest Management Policy. As due diligence, a pest

management plan was prepared and it has institutional framework to build capacity of the

commercial farmers and other stakeholders to address pest management concerns in an

integrated manner. Furthermore, project activities could trigger loss of land or restriction of

access to sources of livelihood, thereby triggering the involuntary resettlement policy, the RPF

26

will address the concerns and advise on steps to follow in order to prepare the Resettlement

Action Plans (RAPs) as and when necessary.

95. In addition, the ESMF contains a screening procedure for determining if a resettlement

plan is required for any particular investment according to the Resettlement Policy Framework

(RPF).

96. Anticipated sub-projects will include the following investments: farm power, farm

equipment and implements: livestock development for dairy, hides and skins; post-harvests and

handling equipment and means; technology and marketing at agro-enterprise level; and handling,

transportation, storage and processing assets improvements.

97. An environmental specialist who will be recruited and attached to the SCADO will be

responsible for following up environmental and social concerns during project implementation.

Reviews and clearances of Environmental Impact Assessments (EIAs) or Resettlement Action

Plans (RAPs) if applicable, will be handled by State Environmental Protection Agencies before

sending it to the Bank for approval.

98. Project staff, especially those charged will implementing safeguards instruments will be

given more in-depth training courses in environmental management. Skills of selected staff from

the State Environmental Protection Agencies, LGAs, ADPs, and CBO/NGOs will also be

strengthened through training, capacity and awareness building on environmental management

including legal requirements and EIA methodology. The safeguards instruments (ESMF, RPF,

and PMP) were disclosed on January 12, 2008 and at the Info-shop in January 22, 2008.

6. Safeguard policies

99. Three safeguard policies were triggered by this project: Environmental Assessment

(OP/BP 4.01), Pest Management (OP/BP 4.09), and Involuntary Resettlement (OP/BP 4.12).

The three safeguard instruments of ESMF, RPF and PMP have already been prepared, reviewed,

approved and disclosed (in-country and at the Info shop).

Safeguard Policies Triggered by the Project Yes No

Environmental Assessment (OP/BP 4.01) [X] [ ]

Natural Habitats (OP/BP 4.04) [] [X]

Pest Management (OP 4.09) [X] []

Cultural Property (OPN 11.03, being revised as OP 4.11) [] [X]

Involuntary Resettlement (OP/BP 4.12) [X] []

Indigenous Peoples (OP/BP 4.10) [] [X]

Forests (OP/BP 4.36) [] [X]

Safety of Dams (OP/BP 4.37) [] [X]

Projects in Disputed Areas (OP/BP 7.60)* [] [X]

Projects on International Waterways (OP/BP 7.50) [] [X ]

* By supporting the proposed project, the Bank does not intend to prejudice the final determination of the parties' claims on the

disputed areas.

27

7. Policy Exceptions and Readiness

100. Policy Exceptions: There are no policy exceptions.

Readiness: A draft Project Implementation Manual (PIM) has been prepared and will be

finalized before effectiveness.

Readiness Checklist Comments

Project Management Unit (PMU) The NCO is the National Coordination Office while the

States Project Management Units are the SCADOs.

TORs for the key staff have been prepared.

M&E System in Place M&E plan is in place.

Fiduciary (Procurement and Financial

Management Arrangements in Place)

First 18 month procurement plan agreed and prepared, draft

Procurement Manual, and draft Financial Management

Manual have been prepared.

Project Implementation Manual Draft has been prepared and being reviewed.

Counterpart Funding Counter fund provision has been provided for by the

Federal Government and the participating states in their

respective budgets.

Safeguards Addressed and Disclosed Disclosure requirements already met.

Institutional and Social Assessment

Completed and Applied

Institutional assessment of implementing agencies was

completed as part of project preparation. Social assessment

study has been launched.

28

Annex 1: Country and Sector or Program Background

Nigeria: Commercial Agriculture Development Project

Background:

1. Agriculture employs about two-thirds of Nigeria‟s total labour force, contributed 42.2%

of Gross Domestic Products in 2007 (GDP) and provides 88% of non-oil earnings. The

agricultural GDP is contributed by crops (85%), Livestock (19%), Fisheries (4%) and Forestry

(1%). More than 90% of the agricultural output is accounted for by small-scale farmers with less

than two (2) hectares under cropping. It is estimated that about 75% (68 million hectares) of the

total land area has potential for agricultural activities with about 33 million hectares under

cultivation. Similarly, of the estimated 3.14 million hectares irrigable land area, only about

220,000 hectares (7%) is utilized.

2. Nigeria has diverse and rich vegetation capable of supporting a heavy population of

livestock as well as 267.7 billion cubic metre of surface water and 57.9 billion cubic metre of

underground water. The country is also blessed with a reasonably abundant as well as an

extensive coastal region that is very rich in fish and other marine products.

3. As articulated in its National Economic Empowerment and Development Strategy

(NEEDS), Nigeria is seeking options to diversify into non-oil sources of growth and away from

over-dependence on oil and gas. The agricultural sector is seen as the source of growth and

important option for the diversification. Development of commercial agriculture affords the

opportunity for economic growth and reduces especially persistent rural poverty. Diversification

into commercial agriculture is important for making growth sustainable, to diffuse its benefits to

rural areas, and to hedge against the shocks from a single resource dependence on oil.

4. The agricultural sector contributes to national food self-sufficiency by accounting for a

large proportion of total food consumption requirements. With the exception of animal fats, milk,

and fish, Nigeria is close to self-sufficiency in most major food categories. The level of self-

sufficiency in cereals has been falling, however, resulting in rapid growth in the amounts of

cereals imports, especially rice imports, which increased to 130 percent in 2001 over the

previous five year average (FAO 2001). The proposed Commercial Agriculture Development

Project aims to increase rice production in the targeted states to reduce the rice imports and more

food self-sufficiency which is the interest of government.

5. In the past, agricultural commodities were the main source of export earnings. Following

the rise of the oil economy, that is no longer the case. Oil and Gas now accounts for 19.35% of

GDP in 2007. The low share of export earnings coming from non-oil exports, including

agriculture, reflects the heavy reliance of the Nigerian economy on a single non-renewable

resource and explains the strong emphasis in the NEEDS for diversification.

29

6. Nigeria‟s agricultural sector suffers from a series of inter-related constraints. Key among

these are lack of infrastructure, appropriate technology, weak advisory services, post harvest

losses, poor access to markets and lack of finance. The proposed project will address these

issues.

7. Nigeria faces serious poverty challenges. According to the Nigerian Living Standard

Survey of 2004, 54.4% of Nigerians live below the poverty line of $1 per day in income. The

rural areas are homes to more than 70% of the nation‟s poor. Development indicators for rural

areas lag behind those for urban areas: incomes are lower, infant mortality rates are higher, life

expectancy is shorter, illiteracy is more widespread, malnutrition is more prevalent, and greater

proportions of people lack access to clean water and improved sanitation services.

8. For the foreseeable future, the welfare of rural populations in Nigeria will be tied to

agriculture. Agriculture is the backbone of the rural economy, generating about 42.2% gross

domestic product and providing by far the largest source of rural employment. Growth in the

agricultural sector has been disappointing, however. Value added per capita in agriculture has

risen by less than 1% per year for the past 20 years. Food production gains have not kept pace

with population growth, resulting in rising food imports.

9. Nigeria‟s diverse agro-ecological conditions and rich endowment of land and water

resources confer a high potential for growth on the agricultural sector, but this potential is not

being realized. Productivity is very low and basically stagnant. Farming systems, which are

mostly small in scale, are still predominantly subsistence-based and for the most part depend on

the vagaries of the weather. The potential for irrigation remains largely unexploited. The vast

majority of farmers produce mainly food crops using traditional extensive cultivation methods,

while commercial agriculture based on modern technologies and purchased inputs remains

underdeveloped. The capacity of the agricultural research system has eroded in recent years, as

has that of the agricultural extension service. As a result, even when improved technology is

available, often it fails to reach farmers. Farmers‟ lack of technical knowledge is compounded by

deficiencies in distribution systems for purchased inputs, which limit the timely availability of

improved seed, fertilizer, crop protection chemicals, and machinery. Where inputs are available,

farmers‟ ability to acquire them is often compromised by a lack of production credit, because

rural financial institutions are in general, poorly developed. Farmers who produce marketable

surpluses lack reliable access to market outlets, and the high cost of transporting produce to

distant buying points over bad rural roads reduces their competitiveness.

10. The Federal Government of Nigeria has identified investment in agriculture as a major

priority. Former President Obasanjo, one of the founding members of the New Economic

Partnership for Africa Development (NEPAD), has repeatedly expressed a commitment to

meeting the NEPAD goal of investing at least 10% of the national budget in agriculture and

related activities. The National Economic Empowerment and Development Strategy (NEEDS)

also explicitly recognizes the strategic importance of the agricultural sector and lists a number of

special initiatives that the Federal Government intends to pursue in promoting increased food

and agricultural production. The NEEDS sets out a series of quantitative performance targets to

be achieved by 2007, including 6% annual growth in agricultural GDP, US $3 billion per year in

agricultural exports, and 95% national food self-sufficiency. The agricultural policy objectives

30

outlined in the NEEDS are complemented by those contained in the New Agricultural Policy

(NAP).

11. The NEEDS and the NAP present a vision of the future of Nigerian agriculture, but

neither document presents a detailed strategy for achieving that vision. In the absence of a

strategy, efforts to implement agricultural policies are proceeding in an uncoordinated and adhoc

manner. Many different agencies operating at the federal, state, and local levels are pursuing

activities related directly or indirectly to agricultural and rural development, as are a number of

donors and NGOs, but these activities are not being undertaken in the context of an overall

guiding framework characterized by a clear set of priorities, a well-defined and logical time line,

and clear assignment of mutually agreed roles and responsibilities among the various actors. As a

result, the agricultural development agenda has been slow to gain momentum, and it is

questionable whether the performance targets described in the NEEDS and the NAP will be

achieved.

12. This report summarizes the findings of the Nigeria Agricultural Sector Growth Strategy

Review (“the Review”) undertaken in June 2005, a collaborative study undertaken at the request

of the Government of Nigeria with the idea of accelerating the development and implementation

of a national agricultural growth strategy. The review is the analytical underpinning for the

Commercial Agriculture Development Project.

NIGERIA’S VISION FOR AGRICULTURAL DEVELOPMENT

13. Nigeria‟s vision for agricultural development is expressed in the NEEDS, the NAP, and

the Rural Sector Strategy (RSS). The overall strategic objective of the NEEDS and NAP is to

diversify the productive base of the economy away from oil and to foster market-oriented and

private sector-driven economic development with strong local participation. The NEEDS

provides an overall framework for a program of nationally coordinated sector strategies,

including those for agriculture, environment, health, education, water, and infrastructure. The

NAP aims at laying a solid foundation for sustainable growth in agricultural productivity. It

defines a series of productive and social objectives, identifies constraints to growth, and

describes tools and instruments that can help bring about the achievement of the government‟s

agricultural goals. The national policy on integrated rural development, as articulated in the RSS,

has as its overall objectives to develop rural areas, raise the quality of life of rural people,

alleviate rural poverty, and use rural development as a cornerstone for national development. The

intermediate objectives include reducing poverty, increasing productivity, reducing

unemployment, improving rural and urban food security and promoting competitiveness.

KEY CONSTRAINTS TO AGRICULTURAL GROWTH

14. What are the key constraints holding back growth in Nigeria‟s agricultural sector? Based

on a review of what has shaped the growth performance of Nigeria‟s agricultural sector in the

past as well as an analysis of the factors that are impeding growth in Nigeria‟s agricultural sector

today, six critical constraints are identified. These constraints must be directly targeted by a

national growth strategy if the ambitious growth targets set out in the NEEDS are to be achieved.

(i) Constraint 1. Inconsistent, uncoordinated, and inappropriate policies:

Nigeria‟s national agricultural growth targets will be difficult to achieve unless

31

the policy environment can be improved. Currently, three policy-related

constraints are discouraging agricultural growth: (i) a lack of consistency across

policies; (ii) weak policy coordination within the agricultural sector, between the

agricultural sector and other sectors, and among donors; and (iii) the

inappropriateness of some policies.

(ii) Constraint 2. Fragmented and overlapping institutions. Nigeria‟s national

agricultural growth targets will be difficult to achieve unless the performance of

the institutions responsible for agricultural development activities can be

improved. Public institutions in Nigeria face a number of constraints that

effectively limit their ability to promote growth in agriculture. The two most

important include (i) the lack of coordination between and within different levels

of government, and (ii) high cost and inefficiency.

(iii) Constraint 3. Low productivity of agriculture. Agricultural productivity will

have to improve dramatically if the national agricultural growth targets spelled

out in NEEDS and the NAP are to be achieved. For agricultural productivity to

improve, Nigeria‟s farmers need access to new technology. Technology alone will

not solve the problem of low productivity, but it is a vital and indispensable part

of the solution. Weak research and extension services, the low use of improved

genetics and purchased inputs, low levels of mechanization and irrigation, poor

access to production credit, and fragile natural and human resource bases, all

contribute to the low productivity of Nigerian agriculture and constrain

agricultural growth.

(iv) Constraint 4. Low profitability of agriculture. Individuals and firms will invest

in agriculture only if they are confident that their investments will generate

attractive returns. Yet, the profitability of Nigerian agriculture is currently very

low. In addition to low productivity, additional factors contributing to the low

profitability of Nigerian agriculture include: (i) high production costs, (ii) high

production variability, (iii) low output prices, (iv) the difficulty of accessing

domestic and export markets, (v) low levels of information and synergy within the

sector, and (vi) limiting sociological factors such as corruption and discrimination

based on gender.

(v) Constraint 5. Private underinvestment in agriculture. Private investment in

agriculture will have to increase significantly if the vision articulated in the

NEEDS and the NAP of a thriving, private sector-led commercial agricultural

sector is to be achieved. Private investment in agriculture, both in primary

production as well as processing, is currently very low. The most fundamental

cause of low investment in agriculture is the low expected profitability, which

was discussed in the previous constraint. Additional factors contributing to the

low level of investment include (i) an unfavourable business climate, (ii)

infrastructural deficiencies, (iii) limited access and use of long-term business

credit, and (iv) the high risk of investment.

(vi) Constraint 6. Non-competitiveness of the export sector. Nigeria‟s large

domestic market for food and fibre provides substantial potential for agricultural

growth in the short to medium term. Future growth in population and real incomes

32

should stimulate demand and provide additional opportunities for growth in the

agricultural sector. Once domestic production has expanded to fully meet

domestic demand, however, additional growth will have to come via expansion

into regional and international markets. Access to this source of growth, however,

is currently constrained by the non-competitiveness of Nigeria‟s export crops.

This non-competitiveness can be attributed to a number of factors, including (i) a

high production cost structure, (ii) domestic policy-related obstacles that

discriminate against exports, (iii) the difficulty of accessing regional and global

markets, and (iv) a challenging international trade environment.

PILLARS OF A NATIONAL GROWTH STRATEGY

15. The constraints analysis suggests that rapid and sustainable growth in Nigerian

agriculture will be achieved only when the productivity, profitability, and competitiveness of

agriculture can be improved. For that reason, an effective agricultural development strategy for

Nigeria must be based on six fundamental pillars.

(i) Growth Strategy Pillar 1. Developing markets and agribusiness. Rapid and

sustained agricultural growth leading to structural change and, eventually,

diversification of the economy will not happen without well-functioning markets

populated by a dynamic and innovative private sector. The single greatest

challenge facing Nigeria is how to foster the development of markets to serve

agriculture. This in turn implies strengthening the agribusiness sector. The

constraints analysis summarized earlier suggests that in Nigeria, market

development efforts will benefit most from public support in three priority areas:

(i) ensuring a favourable business climate; (ii) ensuring adequate infrastructure

that provides reliable and reasonably priced transport, communications, power,

and water services; and (iii) developing human capacity.

(ii) Growth Strategy Pillar 2. Reforming research and extension. Technology-

driven increases in agricultural productivity are critically needed to get Nigerian

agriculture going. While some new technologies can be imported and adapted to

local circumstances, the distinctive features of many of Nigeria‟s production

systems mean that much new technology will have to be generated domestically.

For this to happen, current national research and extension systems will have to be

reformed.

(iii) Growth Strategy Pillar 3. Strengthening input supply systems. Sustainable

intensification of Nigerian agriculture will not be possible without significant

increases in the use by farmers of purchased inputs, especially seed of improved

varieties; chemical fertilizer; crop protection chemicals including pesticides,

herbicides, and fungicides; and animal health-related products including vaccines,

medications, and nutritional supplements. Significant increases will also be

needed in the use of inputs, including enzymes used for fermentation, colorants,

and preservatives. These inputs will not be available in timely fashion and at

affordable prices unless input markets are working well. Strengthening input

supply systems therefore forms an integral component of the agricultural growth

agenda.

33

(iv) Growth Strategy Pillar 4. Expanding irrigation capacity. Productivity in

Nigerian agriculture is low in part because the low yield levels and high yield

variability associated with rain-fed agriculture discourage farmers from investing

in inputs such as improved seed, fertilizer, and crop protection chemicals. As was

shown by the Green Revolution in Asia, irrigation can serve as a powerful

stimulus to agricultural growth by raising biological yield potential and increasing

returns to investments in complementary inputs. Meeting Nigeria‟s agricultural

growth targets requires that irrigated areas be expanded from current extremely

low levels.

(v) Growth Strategy Pillar 5. Improving financial systems. The low level of

investment in agriculture in Nigeria can be explained in part by the weakness of

financial institutions and lack of access to financial services. Many investments

designed to enhance the productivity of agriculture are dependent on access to

appropriate financial services. At the production level, lack of financing for

agriculture constrains the ability of farmers to clear land or introduce irrigation;

purchase inputs such as seed and fertilizer; pay for machinery services; finance

harvesting, storage, marketing activities; pay for extension and information

services; bridge the pre-harvest income gap; avoid having to sell immediately

following the harvest at low prices; smooth seasonal income flows; and insure

against price or yield variability. At the post-harvest level, since agribusinesses

are unable to access financial services, this constrains their capacity to finance

and supply farmers, as well as their capacity to buy and process farm produce.

Strengthening rural financial systems is therefore needed to get agriculture going

in Nigeria.

(vi) Growth Strategy Pillar 6. Improving competitiveness. Agricultural growth can

be accelerated in Nigeria in the short-to-medium term by meeting the sizable

current and projected domestic production shortfall. Eventually, however, unmet

domestic demand will be exhausted. From that point on, further production

growth will be constrained unless new markets for Nigerian products can be

found. To sustain high rates of growth in agriculture beyond that point, it will be

necessary to seek markets outside the country. Improving the competitiveness of

Nigerian agriculture in international markets therefore will be crucial for

sustaining agricultural growth over the longer term.

RELEVANCE OF GROWTH STRATEGY PILLARS TO ONGOING ACTIVITIES

16. In some ways, these findings of the review are not new. The six growth strategy pillars,

as well as the constraints they target, are recognized in the NEEDS and the NAP. Since NEEDS

and NAP are policy documents, they state general objectives and directions for the sector, while

the growth pillars contribute more specific elements of a strategy, much in line with the RSS.

What remains to be done for a comprehensive Nigerian agricultural growth strategy is to target

and sequence these strategic elements, delineate roles and responsibilities, and establish cross-

sector linkages in order to overcome the current constraints to a strong and vibrant agricultural

sector in Nigeria.

34

IMPLEMENTATION RECOMMENDATIONS

17. With the six growth strategy pillars identified, the next major challenge will be to devise

a national agricultural growth strategy that can eventually be operationalized in the form of an

implementable action plan. Moving from analysis to strategy and action will require attention to

(i) targeting, (ii) definition of roles and responsibilities, (iii) sequencing, and (iv) cross-sector

linkages.

TARGETING

18. Translating the six growth strategy pillars into an effective national agricultural growth

strategy will require careful attention to targeting. In a country as big as Nigeria especially one

characterized by a wide range of agro-climatic conditions and many different farming systems a

blanket “one size fits all” approach that calls for parallel interventions in every state or geo-

political zone will not be effective. Interventions must be carefully tailored to recognize

geographical variability in potential for agricultural development.

19. Development of a national agricultural growth strategy and elaboration of an

implementation plan must therefore be grounded in the following principles:

Concentrate on high-potential areas

Prioritize crops destined for domestic markets

Pursue exports selectively

Recognize regional needs and priorities

Give attention to post-harvest activities

Implement safety nets as appropriate

35

Annex 2: Major Related Projects Financed by the Bank and/or other Agencies

Major related projects financed by the Bank and other agencies are:

(a) The World Bank:

(i) Rural Access and Mobility Project - RAMP I FY08: US$50.00m.

(ii) Micro Small and Medium Enterprise Project (MSME) US$32m: The objectives of MSME in

Nigeria aim to increase the performance and employment levels of MSMEs in selected non-oil

industry sub-sectors.

(b) DFID: PropCom: The objective of the project is to improve the livelihoods of the poor by

facilitating the development of viable agricultural and service markets with special focus on rice

and soya value chains (Dec 04 – Dec 10) FY04, £17.5m.

(c) IFAD: Rural Finance Institutional Building Programme (RUFIN): The objective of the

program is to improve livelihood and living conditions of the poor by improving access to

microfinance on a sustainable basis, FY09, US$27.17m.

(d) USAID: Maximizing Agricultural Revenue and Key Enterprises in Targeted States

(MARKETS). The objective of MARKETS is to improve technologies and management

practices and strengthening market linkages and promoting responsiveness from farmers to

demand-driven, competitive production: FY05, US$ 25.1m.

36

Annex 3: Results Framework, Monitoring and Evaluation

Commercial Agriculture Development Project (CADP)

Annex 3A: Arrangement for Results Monitoring

Data Collection and Reporting

PDO Outcome Indicators Baseline YR1 YR2 YR3 YR4 YR5 Frequency

of Reports

Data

Collection

Instruments

Responsibility

for Data

Collection

1. To strengthen agricultural production systems for targeted value chains

1.1 Increase in total production of targeted value chains (Rice, Maize, Oil palm, Cocoa, Fruit trees, Poultry, Aquaculture and Dairy) among small and medium scale commercial producers and agro-processors (disaggregated by gender) relative to baseline. Crops: Cash crops Oil Palm Cocoa Fruit trees - Pineapple - Citrus - Guava - Mango Staple crops - Rice - Maize Poultry: Broiler Layer (eggs) Fisheries: Clarias spp Tilapia Gymnarchus

Dairy: Estimated No. of Dairy Cattle Estimated No. of Cows in Milk Estimated qty of milk/annum Estimated milk yield/cow/day Estimated net income/animal/day

5,366,265mt 566,637.125mt 175,000mt 1,625,000mt 1,368,750mt 2,812,500mt 469,085.2mt 1,164,280mt 3,571,400 birds/yr 5.83m crates of eggs 21,222mt 14,856mt 2,122 mt 4,244 mt 2,941,049 heads 1,113,515 heads 690.936m litres 1.7 litres N250.00

5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%

10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10%

15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15%

20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20%

25% 25% 25% 25% 25% 25%

Annually Annually Annually Annually Annually Annually Annually

Survey Survey Survey Survey Survey Survey Survey

NCO and SCADO NCO and SCADO NCO and SCADO NCO and SCADO NCO and SCADO NCO and SCADO NCO and SCADO

37

2. To facilitate access to market for participating small and medium scale commercial farmers

1.2 Increase in yield

of the

commodities in the value chain. Crops: Cash crops Oil Palm Cocoa Fruit trees - Pineapple - Citrus - Guava - Mango Staple crops - Rice - Maize Poultry: Broiler Layer (eggs) Fisheries: Clarias spp Tilapia Gymnarchus

Dairy: Estimated milk yield/cow/day 2.1 Increase in net sales by value of agricultural products under the targeted value chains relative to baseline (disaggregated by gender) Crops: Oil Palm - palm oil - palm kernel - palm kernel oil Cocoa - graded cocoa beans Fruit trees - Pineapple - Citrus - Guava - Mango

7.5mt /Ha FFB 0.5mt/Ha 35mt/ha 25mt/ha 13.5mt/ha 22.5mt/ha 2mt/ha 1.6mt/ha 1.8kg live wt @mkt 1 egg/hen/day 40kg/m

2 pond

1.7 litres 2,146,506mt 1,717,204.8mt 357,751mt 71,550.2mt 226,654.85mt 70,000mt 650,000mt 547,500mt 1,125,000mt

5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 10% 10% 10%

10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 20% 20% 20%

15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 15% 30% 30% 30%

20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 35% 35% 35%

25% 25% 25% 25% 25% 25% 40% 40% 40%

Annually Annually Annually Annually Annually Annually Annually Annually Annually

Survey Survey Survey Survey Survey Survey Survey Survey Survey

NCO and SCADO NCO and SCADO NCO and SCADO NCO and SCADO NCO and SCADO NCO and SCADO NCO and SCADO NCO and SCADO NCO and SCADO

38

Staple crops - Rice - Maize Poultry: Broiler Layer (eggs) Fisheries: Clarias spp Tilapia Gymnarchus

Dairy: Estimated No. of Dairy Cattle sold/yr Estimated quantity of milk sold/yr

187,634.08mt 465,712mt 1,428,560 birds/yr 2.332m crates/yr 8,488.8mt 5,942.4mt 848.8mt 1,697.6mt 1,176,420 heads 267.374m litres

5% 10% 5%

10% 20% 10%

20% 30% 20%

30% 35% 30%

40% 40% 40%

Annually Annually Annually

Survey Survey Survey

NCO and SCADO NCO and SCADO NCO and SCADO

Intermediate Outcome

Component 1: Enhancing

Agricultural Production and

Commercialization

1.1 Increased adoption of improved agricultural technologies

1.1 Increase in adoption rate of improved technologies for tree crops (disaggregated by gender). Oil palm i. Producers -Improved seedlings (varieties) -Spacing of oil palm trees ii. Processors -Palm oil extraction by Pressing -Hi technology palm oil extraction -Palm kernel cracking technology -Palm kernel oil extraction

Cocoa i. Producer -Improved varieties -Spacing/optimal population -Pruning Technology -Harvesting Technology -Fermenting & drying Technology -Grading and storage Technology

30% 15% 30% 20% 25% 30% 35% 20% 15% 20% 30% 10%

5% 10%

10% 20%

20% 30%

30% 40%

50% 50%

Annually Annually

Survey Survey

SCADO SCADO

39

Fruit trees -Pruning technologies -Transplanting technologies -Spacing / optimum plant population -IPPM -harvesting technologies -Processing technologies -Storage/preservation technologies -Packaging technologies 1.1b Increase in adoption

+ rate of

technologies in staple crops production (disaggregated by gender)

Maize -Land preparation (type, cost) -Improved seed (Qty /No. of

Farmers) -Use of Fertilizers -Use of Agrochemicals -IPPM Processing technologies -Solar drying -Electricity -Preservation/storage Harvesting technology -Manual -Mechanical -Packaging Rice - Land preparation (Type ,cost) - Improved seed(qty/No. of farmers) - Use of fertilizers - Use of Agro-chemicals - Spacing - IPPM Harvesting technologies -Manual Processing technologies -Solar drying -Electricity

20% 10% 15% 5% 10% 10% 5% 5% 20% 30% 40% 25% 5% 3% 5% 10% 10% 5% 5% 30% 20% 25% 20% 15% 10% 25% 20% 5% 15% 20%

10% 20% 10%

20% 30% 20%

30% 40% 40%

40% 55% 50%

50% 70% 70%

Annually Annually Annually

Survey Survey Survey

SCADO SCADO SCADO

40

1.2 Improved access to market information for agriculture products under the targeted value chains by commercial farmers

1.1c Increase in adoption rate of poultry technologies(disaggregated by gender) Poultry -Improved breeds -Quality feeds/feeding regimes -Standard housing -Management techniques -Vaccination and medications -Egg grading and packing -Processing technologies -Packaging technologies

1.1d Increase in adoption+ rate of

fisheries technologies (disaggregated by gender) Fisheries -Pond construction technologies - Improved feeding -Hatchery and fingering production -Improved pond management -Processing technologies Storage techniques/facilities -Preservation (smoking) tech.

1.1e Increase in adoption+ rate of

dairy technologies (dis-aggregated by gender) Dairy -Milking parlour -Use of milking machines -Cold chains for milk storage -Milk quality mgt. & control -Improved breeds -Housing technology -Improved feeding -Disease control

1.2 Number of farmers that have access to improved market information on activities in the targeted value chain (dis-aggregated by gender)

40% 30% 15% 10% 25% 10% 5% 5% 40% 2% 10% 2% 2% 5% 10% 5% 1% 5% 2% 10% 20% 15% 25% 30%

10% 5% 5% 20%

20% 15% 10% 30%

40% 20% 20% 40%

50% 25% 30% 50%

60% 30% 50% 60%

Annually Annually Annually Annually

Survey Survey Survey Survey

SCADO SCADO SCADO SCADO

41

1.3 Strengthened organizational capacity of commercial farmers

1.2b Number of farmers that have access to product market (disaggregated by gender). 1.3 Number of CADAs developing and implementing Business plans for sub- projects 1.3b Number of CADAs keeping farm records

20% N A N A

5% 15% 20%

10% 25% 30%

20% 35% 50%

30% 40% 60%

40% 50% 80%

Annually Annually Annually

Survey Survey Survey

SCADO SCADO SCADO

Component 2: Improving

Rural Infrastructure

2.1 Improved access to rural network of farm roads 2.2 Improved access to rural energy (electricity)

2.1 Decrease in travel time from farm to market of an average distance of 5 kilometers 2.1b Reduction in cost of transportation

+ of farm output.

2.2 Number of commercial farmers connected to electricity in target locations (disaggregated by gender)

1 hr N4,000/mt N A

0% 0% 0%

5% 5% 20%

10% 10% 30%

20% 20% 40%

25% 25% 60%

Annually Annually Annually

Survey Survey Administrative Records

SCADO SCADO SCADO and PHCN

Project Management,

Monitoring and Evaluation

3.1 Improved capacity to implement project 3.2 Strengthened project M & E system 3.3 Enhanced financial performance of the project

3.1 Number of Project workplans implemented within the targeted timeframe 3.2 Degree of compliance with collection and updating of MIS data on agreed performance indicators according to M&E plan 3.3 Timely preparation of progress reports 3.3b Level of adherence to Financial Management Guideline and cost table

N A N A N A N A

40% 40% 40% 50%

50% 50% 50% 70%

60% 60% 60% 80%

70% 70% 70% 90%

80% 80% 80% 100%

Annually Quarterly Quarterly Quarterly

Administrative data Administrative data Administrative data Administrative data

NCO/NFRA NCO/NFRA NCO/NFRA NCO/NFRA

Outputs

Component 1: Agric.

Production and

Commercialization

Technology packages demonstrated and disseminated

Number of technology packages demonstrated and disseminated

0

0

10

20

30

40

Bi-annually

Project Report

SCADO

42

Improved animal/seed varieties procured

Post-harvest handling

centers established

Trained commercial agriculture entrepreneurs

Developed commercial

agriculture product market

(disaggregated by aquaculture, rice,

dairy, fruit trees, oil palm, cocoa, poultry and maize)

Quantity of improved varieties procured (disaggregated by animals and

seeds) (tonnes)

Number of post-harvest handling

centers established.

Number of commercial agriculture entrepreneurs (disaggregated by gender) trained in management skills -

business planning/feasibility studies,

financial management, human resource management and marketing

(disaggregated by Commodity Interest

Groups and Commercial Agriculture Development Associations)

Number of commercial agriculture

producers (disaggregated by gender) with access to information on product

markets (disaggregated by domestic and export markets)

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

50

10

5,000

100

10

10,000

100

15

20,000

158

15

15,000

Bi-annually

Bi-annually

Bi-annually

Annually

Project Report

Project Report

Project Report

Survey

SCADO

SCADO

SCADO

SCADO

Component 2: Rural

Infrastructure

Constructed/Rehabilitated Rural Roads

Commercial Agriculture

farms connected to electricity

Distance of Rural Roads Constructed/Rehabilitated (Km)

Number of Commercial

Agriculture farms connected to

electricity

0

0

0

0

50

100

125

200

150

200

175

200

Annually

Annually

Project Report

Project Report

SCADO

SCADO

Project Management,

Monitoring and Evaluation

Trained project staff

Effective monitoring and

evaluation system

Number of staff (disaggregated by gender) trained on project

management skills like procurement,

financial management and M&E as a proportion of the number planned

Number of M&E reports produced

as a proportion of the number planned

0

0

0

0

50

20

100

20

150

20

150

20

Quarterly

Quarterly

Project Report

Project Report

SCADO

NCO

43

Note: The various target levels were chosen based on field findings during the Baseline Survey across the CADP States. It was also based on records and data of

completed projects such as FADAMA 11, ADP CAYS and Evaluation Reports and on best practices. The 25% for production and 40% for marketing are indicative

estimates or averages bearing in mind that that variations are expected for the different commodities in the value chains in the five participating states. These

percentages are achievable given the improvement in production technology and improved farm access roads for the transportation of agricultural produce as a result of

the project. The above percentages are not expected to add up because other intermediate activities/operations such as processing account for the shortfall or deficit.

Other assumptions are:

An estimated 40% of the value chain commodities are marketed or sold

25% of the produce are consumed

15% of the produce are estimated to encounter loss on account of damage, spoilage/decay or mortality in case of livestock/fisheries as well as theft, etc

20% of the produce are distributed proportionately for gifts, planting material for the next planting season as well as insurance against risk (e.g. food

insecurity, cash squeeze, flood/erosion etc), among others.

N A – Not Applicable

44

Annex 3B Results Monitoring Framework

NIGERIA: COMMERCIAL AGRICULTURE DEVELOPMENT PROJECT

Project development

objectives

Project outcome indicators

Use of project outcome information

1. To strengthen agricultural

production systems for targeted

value chains (Rice, Oil palm,

Cocoa, Fruit trees, Poultry

production, Aquaculture and

Dairy)

2. To facilitate access to

markets for targeted value chains

1. increase in total value of production of

targeted value chains among participating small

and medium-scale commercial farmers

(disaggregated by Rice, Oil palm, Cocoa, Fruit

trees, Poultry production, Aquaculture and

Dairy)

2.1 increase in yield of the commodities in

the value chain

2.2 increase in net sales by value of

agricultural products under targeted value

chains.

1. It will be used to assess the

appropriateness of the project design and the

quality of project implementation at the end of

project

2a. It is assumed that increased yield will

lead to increased income for the farmers.

2b. It is also indicative of the additional

income to commercial farmers arising from the

project.

3. This will be used to assess the

effectiveness of the provision of market

information, market performance structure

Component 1: Agricultural

Production and

Commercialization

1. Increased adoption of

improved agriculture

technologies in existence

2. Improved access to market

information on targeted value

chains

3. Strengthened organizational

capacity of targeted small and

medium-scale commercial

farmers

1.1 increase in the number of participating

small and medium-scale commercial farmers

adopting improved agriculture technologies

relevant to the targeted value chains

2.1 participating small and medium-scale

commercial farmers have access to improved

market information in targeted value chains

2.2 farmers have access to product market.

3.1 CADAs developing and implementing

business plans for sub-projects.

3.2 CADAs keeping farm records.

1. This will help measure the efficacy of the

matching grant mechanism in the project

2. They will help measure the effort of the

project to facilitate access to market

information and products

3. It is expected that the business plans will

be developed in a participatory manner, thereby

encouraging the beneficiaries to organize

themselves.

Component 2: Improving

Rural Infrastructure

1. Improved access to network

of feeder roads in the five

participating states

1.1 reduction in travel time from farm to

market of an average distance of two (2)

kilometres.

1.2 reduction in cost of transportation of

farm output

1. This is an indication of progress in the

effort to remove one of the major constraints

faced by commercial farmers.

45

Project development

objectives

Project outcome indicators

Use of project outcome information

2. Improved access of

participating small and medium-

scale commercial farmers to

electricity

2.1 commercial farmers connected to

electricity in target locations.

2. This is an indication of progress in the

effort to remove one of the major constraints to

commercial agriculture production

Project Management,

Monitoring ,Evaluation and

Studies

1. Improved capacity to

implement projects.

2. Strengthened Project

M&E system.

3. Enhanced financial

performance of the project

1.1 project work plans implemented within

the targeted timeframe.

2.1 80% compliance with collection and

updating of MIS data on agreed performance

indicators according to M&E plan.

3.1 timely preparations of progress

reports.

3.2 adherence to Financial Management

Guideline and cost table

1. These will be used to determine the

readiness of the States to implement the project.

2. It will help in assessing project

performance status.

3.1 This is indicative of project

implementation achievements.

3.2 This indicator will help to determine

the level of project accountability and

transparency.

46

Annex 4: Detailed Project Description

NIGERIA: Commercial Agriculture Development Project

1. The Project Development Objective is to strengthen agricultural production systems and

facilitate access to markets for targeted value chains among small and medium scale commercial

farmers in the five participating states. The project has two components, namely, (i) Agricultural

Production and Commercialization; and (ii) Rural Infrastructure. The project will also finance

Project Management, Monitoring and Evaluation and Studies.

Component 1: Agricultural Production and Commercialization (US$84.40m of which IDA

will finance US$69.40m).

2. The objective of this component is to improve the adoption of existing agricultural

technologies by commercial farmers. The component has four sub-components:

(a) Technology Demonstration and Adoption (US$21.60m): This sub-component will

finance:

(i) Demonstration and dissemination of technologies (US$6.60m) in the selected value

chains will be provided by a mixture of existing potential service providers from the

public (i.e. research institutes and ADPs) and private sectors. A value chain approach and

Matching Grants will be used for the implementation of this sub-component using the

structure of the CIGs/CADA. This sub-component will finance a variety of packages

identified by the stakeholders. The packages will include: propagation and use of

improved exotic quality seedling, high yielding varieties of crops, pest and disease

resistant varieties, improved agronomic practices (water management, spacing, pruning,

grafting etc), cocoa beans drying and palm oil and kernel oil extraction, hatchery

development for fingerlings, feed compounding using local materials to produce floating

feeds, fingerling stocking density, fish health and disease management, waste water

management and water quality management for aquaculture (sustainable removal of

nitrogen from water system, water pollution reduction, and water recirculation and flow

through technology), technologies for egg and birds transportation, artificial

insemination, milk hygiene and cold chain.

(ii) Matching Grant (US$15.00m) -The project will provide matching grants of about

US$15.0million to finance activities on sub component (a) and (b). For adoption of new

technologies (a), the formula for the matching grant will be 50% to 20% contribution

from IDA on a sliding scale basis at the association level. In the case of the staples (b) it

will be a ratio of 50% IDA and 50% contribution by the beneficiaries (GIGs/CADAs).

The total amount for grant is US$15.00m out of which US$8.00m will be in grants to

support public goods elements under staples.

This is a one-time Capital Grant for investments needed for adoption of technologies to

improve the adoption of existing agricultural technologies by participating commercial

farmers. The matching grant is to support the adoption of known and superior

47

technologies and build capacity of small and medium-scale commercial agriculture

farmers. This will enable them to take advantage of market opportunities for their

produce. The matching grant is open to all qualified/eligible Commodity Interest Groups

(CIGs) and/or members of Commercial Agriculture Development Associations

(CADAs). Four sets of criteria will guide the selection of proposals, and these are: Viable

technology, Public goods element, and Economic and Financial viability.

3. The main objective of the matching grant is to support the adoption of known and

superior technologies and build capacity of small and medium scale commercial agriculture

farmers. This will enable them take advantage of market opportunities for their produce. The

grant will serve as a catalyst to spur investments in commercial agriculture. Therefore, the

overarching majority of the activities‟ financing has to be from own/non-grant sources,

mobilized through either savings or loans.

4. Investment proposals to be supported with matching grants will range from 50% to 80%

contributions from the beneficiaries. The mechanism for determining the level of the matching

grant aims at ensuring that the recipient CIGs/individual members invest in viable businesses and

activities, whether jointly in a single enterprise or in sub-groups in several activities. Efforts will

ensure that the grant has an impact on a wider society than the immediate recipient farmers and

demonstrate clear long-term economic and financial viability. The matching grants will also be

based on a formula as stipulated in the Table 4.1. Investments above N5.00m (about US$42,000

equivalent) are considered large and excluded from support grant. It is expected therefore, that

grant will be less attractive and thereby minimize the elite capture.

Table 4.1: Formula for the Matching Grant

Cost of Activities (=N=) Beneficiary Contribution (%) Matching Grant (%)

Up to 250,000 50 50

250,001-500,000 60 40

500,001-1,000,000 70 30

1,000,001-5,000,000 80 20

5. Beneficiary Selection Criteria. The matching grant is open to all qualified/eligible

Commodity Interest Groups (CIGs) and/or members of Commercial Agriculture Development

Associations (CADAs). The entities should be financially sustainable with capacity to initiate

and implement acceptable/viable proposals; commodity interest groups/associations must belong

to commercial agriculture development association (CADA) and must show evidence of funds

(including own funds or other sources) to match the grant. The eligible beneficiaries should have

the following attributes:

The farmer/beneficiary should be engaged in commercial agriculture production

Should be member of a Commodity Interest Groups (CIG) for at least 6 months, and

The CIG should be member of the commercial agriculture development associations

(CADA)

48

6. The individual farmers and the CIG collectively identify specific investments that will

improve their operations. Subsequently, each individual farmer produces a simple proposal

showing (a) the total cost of proposed investment; (b) documentation showing details of sources

of own funds (i.e., total cost of proposed investment less matching grant). The individual plans

are of varying sizes both in terms of size of investments and the level of matching grant. The

CIG aggregates them, and checks each item against a simple check list of eligibility (see Table

4.2). The CIG application then goes forward to the CADA. Another round of aggregation takes

place at the CADA level. The CADA checks the submissions of the CIGs to be sure that all are

complete, approves and then submits them to the project for payment. In addition, spot audits

ex-post will be undertaken by CADAs to confirm that the grants are utilized for the intended

purpose. This formula is chosen because it is being applied successfully in other Bank and IFAD

financed projects in Nigeria.

7. The approved business proposals are sent to the Project Financial and Management Unit

(PFMU) with an instruction to make payments directly to the equipment suppliers. . The service

provider supplies the technology needs of the CIG once the eligible CIG meets its financial

obligations. The same process would also be followed if the needs of the CIG are capacity

building for accessing technology or to take advantage of market opportunities. The flow of

funds for the grant scheme is presented in Figure 1 below:

Figure 1: The Flow of Funds under the Grant

8. Detailed operational modalities of the Matching Grant Scheme, including its management

and disbursement arrangements are contained in the PIM.

49

Table 4.2 Issues on technologies required, sources, testing and dissemination

N Commodity Technologies Where available Beneficiary

awareness

about

technology.

Who is responsible

for Testing?

Who provides

advice?

Who decides on type

of advice?

Capital

Grant

Needed In-country Imported

1. Aquaculture Fingerling production

(Hatchery Development):

- Purchase of Brood stock

- Collection of eggs and

purchase of hormones

In-country

In-country

In-country

-

Yes, but

require

capacity

building

Farmers

Small Medium

Scale fisheries

Farmers

Yes

Fish feed production

Fish feed extrusion

technology

Yes available in

country

-

Yes

Service Providers in

aquaculture

- Durante-Ibadan;

Chivita Lagos

Service provider Demand Driven Yes for

Technical

Assistance

from

China and

Israel

Hybridization in Catfish/

Heterobranchus

Yes

Yes Agricultural

Development

Programs/Research

Institutes

Agricultural

Development

Programs/

Nigerian Institute

for Oceanography

and Marine

Research, National

Institute for Fresh

Water Research

Institute

Commercial

Agriculture

Development

Association/

Farmer

None

Smoke–drying and

packing

Yes - Yes Agricultural

Development Program

Agricultural

Development

Program, Nigerian

Institute for

Oceanography and

Marine Research,

National Institute

for Fresh Water

Research Institute

Commercial

Agriculture

Development

Association/

Beneficiaries

50

N Commodity Technologies Where available Beneficiary

awareness

about

technology.

Who is responsible

for Testing?

Who provides

advice?

Who decides on type

of advice?

Capital

Grant

Needed In-country Imported

2. Rice

Production

and

Processing

High quality seed, animal

traction implements and

hand held cultivators

In-country

National Seeds

Service,

National

Cereals

Research

Institute, Seed

Companies

-

Yes Agricultural

Development

Programs (tests of

viability) Research

Institutes

Agricultural

Development

Programs and

Research

Institutes, Local

Service Providers,

National Seed

Service, National

Cereals Research

Institute, Seed

Companies

Farmers, CIGs/CADAs

3. Parboiling Available at

National Cereal

Reserve

Institute,

Badeggi and

Henigha,

Kaduna

- Yes Agricultural

Development

Programs/Farmers

National Cereals

Research Institute/

Agricultural

Development

Program

Farmers and Farmers

Associations,

Parboilers‟ Association

Mechanical Flash rice

dryer

In-country Imported Yes Agricultural

Development

Programs/ National

Centre for Agricultural

Mechanization,

Centre for Economic

Development and

Institutions

National Centre

for Agricultural

Mechanization,

Centre for

Economic

Development and

Institutions

Demand Driven

Packaging and Branding In-country Yes Bag Company of

Nigeria

Bag Company of

Nigeria

Demand Driven

4. Dairy Artificial insemination

-Purchase of semen

-Equipment

Imported

from

Holland

Yes but no

capacity on

utilization

Land-O‟lake in

America, National

Animal Production

Research Institute/

Agricultural

Development

Program/Farmers

Land O‟lake, USA Commercial

Agriculture

Development

Association Farmers

-Purchase of Exotic bull

for cross breeding

Yes but not

pure breeds

Import Yes, limited

capacity

Maizube farms, Minna

Niyya Farm, Kaduna,

Farm fresh, Jos

Service Provider Commercial

Agriculture

Development Project

51

N Commodity Technologies Where available Beneficiary

awareness

about

technology.

Who is responsible

for Testing?

Who provides

advice?

Who decides on type

of advice?

Capital

Grant

Needed In-country Imported

Standard milking parlor

and machines

-Technology

- Imported

from

India,

Holland

and China

Some are

aware but

Require

capacity

building

National Animal

Production research

Institute, Fan Milk,

Agricultural

Development

Programs, Commercial

Agriculture

Development

Association

National Animal

Production

Research Institute,

Fan Milk

Commercial

Agriculture

Development Project

Milk processing

- fresh milk

- yogurt

Local - Yes Maizube

Niyya farms

Fan Milk Commercial

Agriculture

Development Project

5. Fruit

production

and

processing

Fruit juice production

packaging

Quality Control

Locally - Yes,

Capacity

Building

required

National Agency for

Food, Drug

Administration and

Control,

Federal Institute for

Industrial Research,

National Horticulture

Research Institute,

Standards

Organization of

Nigeria, Sheda Science

and Technology

Complex

Service Provider/

Agricultural

Development

Programs

Commercial

Agriculture

Development Project

6.

Oil-palm

Palm Kernel oil extraction

Locally

National

Institute for Oil

Palm Research

Kernel

Cracker

from

Malaysia

Yes

National Institute for

Oil Palm Research,

Agricultural

Development Program

Service Provider,

National Institute

for Oil Palm

Research, Okomu

Oil

Commercial

Agriculture

Development Project

Farmers

7. Cocoa and

fruit trees

Drying racks,

Grafting technology,

Appropriate Pruning

Diseases and Pest control

Marketing

Cocoa

Research

Institute of

Nigeria,

National

Horticulture

Research

Institute

Yes,

Capacity

Building

required

Cocoa Research

Institute of Nigeria,

National Horticulture

Research Institute

Agricultural

Development

Programs, Cocoa

Research Institute

of Nigeria,

National

Horticulture

Research Institute,

52

N Commodity Technologies Where available Beneficiary

awareness

about

technology.

Who is responsible

for Testing?

Who provides

advice?

Who decides on type

of advice?

Capital

Grant

Needed In-country Imported

Linkage to

processing

plants

Processing

Companies

(Spectra, Foods

Agege Lagos,

Olam, Lagos,

Marx

International)

8. Poultry Disease control and

linkage

Yes - Yes,

develop

linkage with

existing

organization

National Veterinary

Research Institute,

Vom

Demand Driven

- Hatchery

Incubation Tech.

Yes - Yes Procurement of

hatchery for Enugu

State

Farmers Farmers,CIGS/CADAs Yes

-Processing, packaging,

Quality Control

Yes Package

for Export

Yes National Agency for

Food Drug

Administration and

Control,

National Animal

Production Research

Institute, Fast Food

biz

National

Veterinary

Research Institute,

Vom, National

Animal Production

Research Institute

Veterinary

Departments of

Universities

Farmer (Demand

Driven)

9. Maize

production

and

processing

Seed

Multiplication/Production

technologies,

Seed Packaging

Quality Control

Technology

Branding Technology

Yes - Yes National Agricultural

Seed Council, Institute

of Agriculture

Research, Agricultural

Development

Programs

Service Providers

Agricultural

Development

Programs

Farmers, CIGS/CADAs Yes

53

(b) Support to Staple Crop Production Systems (US$50.00m): The combined factors of

climate change and the recent fluctuation in crude oil prices have been associated with global

soaring of food prices. The impacts are being felt in Nigeria as in many other countries.

However, to compound the situation in Nigeria, the 2007 rainy season in the northern states

which are the food basket of the country, ended prematurely in early September and resulted in

poor yield and low harvest. The Federal Government of Nigeria has responded to the food crisis

through measures that are expected to increase the supply of food staples and arrest or at least

reduce the rise in prices. Some of these measures include the release of stocks from the Strategic

Grains Reserve which several State Governments are also doing. In addition, the Federal

Government has requested its donor partners to support its initiatives on combating the rising

food prices in Nigeria. In response to the explicit Government request that this project is used to

support its on-going initiative to address the issue of the rising food prices, the project will

provide US$50.00m out of the total project Credit of US$150.00m to support basic staple crops

production of maize and rice. The design of this sub-component is consistent with the main

thrusts of the instruments of Bank support under the Global Food Crisis Response Programme

Framework, particularly on enhancing domestic food production and marketing response. . Using

the approach stipulated in (a) above, this sub-component will support mainly small-scale

commercial farmers to rapidly increase their staple crop production through the adoption of

improved technology based on intensification and expansion of their rice and maize land

holdings. The sub-component will finance development/preparation of existing land holdings for

staples, seed multiplication to increase the availability of improved rice and maize seeds,

dedicated extension/advisory services for rice and maize staples, soil and water management,

animal traction and rotary cultivators, and primary processing technologies. The sub-component

will also finance post-harvest handling centres and on-farm storage to reduce high post-harvest

losses among small-scale commercial farmers. These centres will be located in high production

areas and will be operated under public-private partnership arrangements where the centres are

financed by the project but their day-to-day management will be handled by the CADAs. The

matching grants to be applied on 50: 50 contributions by IDA and beneficiaries (GIGs/CADAs)

will only cover land development, production system, and on-firm primary processing.

The sub-component will finance:

(i) Land development (US$12.50m):- This sub-component will support small scale

commercial farmers to increase the area under cultivation on existing land holdings. The

CIGs/CADAs have tenure on their land. It is estimated that additional 10,000ha

(i.e.2000ha per state, which translate to 400h/year/state) will brought under cultivation

under existing holdings. This estimate is modest and can be exceeded by the project. The

project will provide Matching Grants to the CIGs/CADAs on a 50: 50 contribution by

IDA and beneficiaries for this sub-component. Also, special attention will be given to

women farmers to expand the area under-cultivation on their holdings; and this support

will be closely monitored during project implementation.

(ii) Input support system (US$11.60m):- One of the constraints to staple crop production is

the issue of availability of high quality foundation seeds. This sub-component will

finance on a contractual basis the production of quality foundation seeds of maize (hybrid

and open pollinated) and rice (i.e. SUWAN1, NERICA1and2, WITA4, FARO44,

SIPI692033) by some Research institutes in Nigeria (i.e. International Institute of

Tropical Agriculture, National Cereals Research Institute, Institute for Agricultural

54

Research, and Institute for Agricultural Research and Training) These foundation seeds

will be made available to seed companies to multiply.. The National Seed Council will

certify the seeds produced by the seed companies before they are sold to farmers at

market price. There will be a three party Memorandum of Understanding between the

project, research institutes and the seed companies that the seeds produced will be sold to

participating commercial farmers. The need of the CIGs/CADAs will first be met before

surplus seeds are sold to others. It is estimated that about 108,000 kilograms of maize and

300,000 kilograms of rice seeds are expected to be produced at the end of the project life.

(iii) Production systems (US$13.80m):- In order to substantially intensify production of

staples, support will be provided for animal traction. This sub-component will finance

mainly animal traction using locally manufactured implements and hand-held cultivators.

The support under this sub-component will be provided through the structure of the

CIGs/CADAs. This model is similar to IFAD-Community Based Agricultural and Rural

Development Project in Nigeria. The project will provide Matching Grants to the

CIGs/CADAs on a 50: 50 contribution by IDA and beneficiaries for this sub-component

(iv) On-farm primary processing (US$5.80m):- The project will finance on-farm primary

processing and storage to minimize post-harvest loses. by providing threshing machines

and two-tonne storage bins to CIGs/CADAs on Matching Grant basis. The project will

provide Matching Grants to the CIGs/CADAs on a 50: 50 contribution by IDA and

beneficiaries for this sub-component.

(v) These are locally fabricated threshing and storage bins which are tool goods. The

CADAs will manage the systems and charge fees for the provision of threshing and

storage services.

(vi) Post-harvest handling centres (US$6.30m):- Post-harvest losses account for about 30

percent of production costs as a result of poor post-harvest handling of produce. The

project will support the establishment of post-harvest handling centers that will be

equipped with appropriate facilities and machineries to promote value addition to various

products in the targeted value chains and managed by the CADAs. The centers will also

provide services to farmers and clients at a fee to support the operations and management

of the centers by the state CADAs. These are tool goods which will be publicly provided

and privately managed by the CADAs. The project will support the creation of a one-

stop multi-purpose post-harvest handling centers in major areas of staple production in

the states. The centers will be run by CADAs and provide value addition services for

stakeholders through their CIGs on commercial basis. Each state will identify suitable

facilities which will be rehabilitated and equipped to serve this purpose. The centers will

provide facilities such as weighing, cleaning, drying, preservation, fortification, milling,

packaging, sorting and grading, quality control, and training halls for farmers. It is

envisaged that each state will have ten of such centers which will be strategically located

to meet the needs of beneficiaries and other stakeholders. Additional value to production

serves to encourage continued and increased production. The post-handling centers will

create job opportunities and contribute to increased income and economic activities. To

guarantee year-round utilization of the centers, off-season activities will be encouraged

such as using the centers for the training of farmers.

55

(c) Market Facilitation (US$7.90m): This sub-component aims at the creation of domestic

and export markets which will support market development, awareness and knowledge sharing

for commercial farmers. It will finance market information system, including market price

surveys, website and information kiosks, market/financial linkages (such as promotion of

products for supply chain financing and use of crops as collateral), quality control measures and

standards; food safety, exchange programs, agricultural trade fairs and shows, local and

international study tours.

(d) Capacity Building (US$4.90m): This sub-component will focus on the training of

commercial farmers, organized producer/commodity associations/Apex organization of

Commercial Agriculture Development Associations (CADAs) that will play a coordinating role

in the project. The sub-component will assist to develop the capacities of the CADAs to plan and

execute their projects. The training will also include gender mainstreaming and social impacts.

This sub-component will finance the following activities: interactive sessions, discussions with

experts, group dynamics, investment plans, food safety, grading and quality control and

standards, exhibitions, production techniques and marketing strategies for the selected value

chains in the states and preventive maintenance of machines and equipment.

Some of the specific aspects of the capacity building to be financed are shown in the table 4.3

below.

Table 4.3 Capacity Building activities

S/N Skills Required Type of

Training to

fill the gap

Target Beneficiary Training Organization

and Location

1 Hatchery Development and

Hybridization of Catfish/

Heterobranchus

On-the-Job Farmers Associations,

Agriculture Development

Project, Subject Matter

Specialists and Project

Officers

National Institute for

Fresh Water Fisheries

Research, Nigerian

Institute for

Oceanography and

Marine Research and

Service providers

2 Artificial Insemination and

Improvement of Local

Breeds

Formal,

On-the-Job

Farmers, Project Officers,

Service Providers and

Subject Matter Specialists

of Agricultural

Development Programs

Overseas

National Animal

Production Research

Institute and Service

providers

3 Pests and Diseases Control

in Crops and Livestock

Formal,

On- the-Job

Farmers, Project Officers,

Service Providers and

Subject Matter Specialists

of Agricultural

Development Programs

National Animal

Production Research

Institute e.g. National

Animal Production

Research Institute,

National Veterinary

Research Institute,

International Institute of

Tropical Agriculture,

etc

4 Product Quality Control and

Packaging e.g. Fruit Juice,

Fresh Milk, etc

Formal,

On-the-Job

Farmers, Processors,

Project Officers and

Service Providers

National Institute for

Horticultural Research,

National Agency for

Food Drug

Administration and

56

S/N Skills Required Type of

Training to

fill the gap

Target Beneficiary Training Organization

and Location

Control, Fan Milk,

others

5 Market Development and

Strategies

Formal,

On-the-Job

Farmers and

Associations,

Project Officers and

Service Providers

Training Consultant

6 Information Technology

and Services

On-the-Job Farmers

Associations and

Project Officers

Agricultural and Rural

Management Training

Institute,

Training Consultant

7

Group Dynamics On-the-Job Farmers

Associations and

Project Officers

Agricultural

Development Programs,

Training Consultant

8 Environment Improvement;

including:

- Safety Standards

- Assessment Procedures/

Screening

Formal,

On-the-Job

Farmers,

Associations and Project

Officers

Training Consultant

9 Inputs Sourcing,

Management and

Utilization

Formal,

On-the-Job

Farmers,

Association and Project

Officers

Centre for Management

Development and

Service Providers

10 Financial and Procurement

Management Procedures.

On-the-Job Farmers, Associations

and Project officers

Centre for Management

Development,

Training Consultant

11 Participatory Monitoring

and Evaluation

On-the-Job Farmers, Associations

and Project officers

National Food Reserve

Agency, Federal

Ministry of Finance,

World Bank, Training

Consultant

12 Pre Start-up Work plan

Development and

Budgeting

On-the-Job Farmers,

Associations and Project

Staff

National Food Reserve

Agency, World Bank

and service providers

13 Rice par-boiling and drying

technology

On-the-Job Farmers and Rice

Processors

National Cereal

Research Institute,

Agricultural

Development Programs

and Service providers

14 Aquaculture best practices

training

On-the-Job Farmers and Project

Officers

Service Providers

15 Improved Maize Seed

Production

On-the-Job

Farmers and Project

Officers

Institute of Agricultural

Research, Institute of

Agricultural Research

and Training,

International Institute of

Tropical Agriculture,

Seed Companies

16 Reducing Post-Harvest

Losses in Maize

On-the Job Farmers and Project

Officers

Nigeria Stored

Products' Research

Institute, International

Institute of Tropical

Agriculture

17 Value-Addition to Maize On-the-Job Farmers and Project

Officers

Nigeria Stored

Products' Research

57

S/N Skills Required Type of

Training to

fill the gap

Target Beneficiary Training Organization

and Location

Institute , International

Institute of Tropical

Agriculture

18 Quality Control/Standards Formal,

On-the Job

National Agency for

Food, Drug

Administration and

Control/Standards

Organisation of Nigeria

Officials/Farmers and

Project Officers

University of

Agriculture Abeokuta,

International Institute of

Tropical Agriculture

7. Access to IDA resources under the three sub-components will be through the preparation

of Commercial Agriculture Development Plans by CADAs.

Component 2: Rural Infrastructure (US$80.00m of which IDA will finance US$68.00m)

8. The project will assist to close the infrastructure gaps to enhance agricultural

commercialization by providing resources for the rehabilitation and maintenance of network of

selected farm access roads using the Output and Performance Based Road Contracts (OPRC)

concept and connecting commercial farms to rural electrification. This component covers two

sub-components: (i) Network of Farm Access Roads; and (ii) Rural Energy.

(a) Sub-Component 2.1 Networks of Farm Access Roads. (US$50.00m). Substantial

evidence exists that investments in roads and road connectivity have positive effects on

agricultural productivity and output. Better road connectivity increases crop production, reduces

transport costs of goods and services, and raises producer prices of crops. This sub-component

will link feeder roads to State and Federal roads through Outputs and Performance Based Road

Contracts. Investments will address construction, rehabilitation and maintenance of farm access

roads concentrated in areas where a critical mass of project participants will benefit. This sub-

component will be closely coordinated with the Rural Access and Mobility Project. The guiding

principle for the design of farm access roads for CADP will include: technical and financial

viability, well articulated to Rural Access and Mobility Project (RAMP), meets the needs of the

target group, fits in the overall state development strategy and it is sustainable.

9. The objectives are to enhance the profitability of agricultural activities in recipient rural

communities by: increasing productivity, ensuring better processing and marketing for small and

medium scale farmers and agro-processors. The project will link farm access roads to state and

federal roads through OPRC approach involving construction, rehabilitation and maintenance of

farm roads located in areas to serve critical masses of beneficiaries. To mitigate fiduciary risk in

OPRC contracts, the output and performance will be certified by competent independent

specialist prior to payment. The technical consideration will include: ownership now and in

future, acceptability of technical interventions. Some of the options to be considered are:

long/short road sections, laterite/bitumen sealed wide/narrow but adequate, avoidance of major

river crossings.

10. Financial considerations and assumptions for the network of road interventions include:

(a) $1.8m is estimated for feasibility, design and supervision and other related studies per state;

58

(b) the unit cost of construction and rehabilitation of roads was estimated at $120,000 per

kilometre for sealed roads and $52,000 per kilometre for gravel/laterite roads (based on RAMP

unit costs), (c) the maintenance cost per year per kilometre was estimated at $2,500 or $7,500

for three years using various forms of performance based contracting approach, (d) two-thirds of

the roads will be constructed to gravel/laterite standards, and (e) the average unit cost of

construction and maintenance over three years will be $82,500 per kilometre. It is expected that

the maximum number of roads under the project will be about 500 or 100 kilometres per state.

11. In each state, there will be two groups of roads; the normal relatively long roads forming

part of the existing network and connecting communities and farms, and the short (up to 2

kilometres) roads linking specific farm activities to existing roads. In Kaduna, where RAMP is

assisting with the latter type of roads, it is expected that CADP will concentrate mainly on the

short agricultural activity-specific roads. For planning purposes, it is expected that in the other

states, the average proportions of the normal to short roads will be 2:1 and on this basis, the

following distribution of the resources is anticipated.

Table 4.4 Summary of network of farm access roads

Road Type Road

Group

Kano Kaduna Enugu Cross

River

Lagos Sub

Totals

C/R and M

Unit cost

$/kilometre

Total cost

Paved

Normal 22 10 22 22 22 98 82,500 8,085,000

Short 11 23 11 11 11 67 82,500 5,527,500

Gravel/Laterite

Normal 45 34 45 45 45 214 82,500 17,655,000

Short 22 33 22 22 22 121 82,500 9,982,500

Sub-totals 100 100 100 100 100 500 82,500 41,250,000

12. All the roads will not be identified prior to commencement of the project but the initial

set of roads in each state including the start and end points are as follows:

59

Table 4.5 Network of farm access roads by states

Road Type Road

Group

KANO

Name Length

(kilometres)

Paved Normal Tamburawa - Challawa Road 15.0

Shanono - Tsaure Road 8.0

Kura - Azare (Bakin Kogi) Road 9.0

Tamnurawa - Karfi - Gundutse Road 5.0

Short Diggol – Tsallaka 5.0

Bye pass - Yanshana Road 5.0

Dorawar Sallau - Kadawa – Farm

Centre Road

3.5

Gravel/Laterite

Normal

Watari Main central Road 13.0

Garko - Garun Alli Road 10.0

Short

Watari Kiyawa (Zagon Shekauru)

road

7.0

Tiga Junction - Sata Road 2.5

Sub-Totals 83.0

Road Type

Road

Group

KADUNA

Name Length

(kilometres)

Paved Normal Laduga Main Road 23.0

Gravel//Laterite Normal Fada Farm Road 12.0 Laduga Lateral Road 1 10.0 Laduga Lateral Road 2 10.0 Laduga Lateral Road 3 10.0 Short Alheri Vine Road 5.0 Quin Tills Road 1.0 Mai Doki Road 1.0 Ingawa Farm Road 5.0 Kargi Farm Road 2.0 Alfa Farm Road 2.0

Sub-Totals 81.0

Road Type

Road

Group

ENUGU

Name Length

(kilometres)

Paved Normal Agwu-Imeama-Enyimba Amoli

Road

7.5

Akor Mke-Demako Farm Roads 7.0

Amalla-Umritodo-obollo-Eke Road 7.0

Oji-Ogbuakpulu-Obinofia Ndiagu

Road

3.0

Short Ngwo-Phinomar Farm Road 1.5

Ngwo-Efifi-Ozokwor Farm Road 1.2 Edem-Amaenu Edem Road 4.0 Udi Native Authority-Ngo-Owo

Farm

1.0

Ette Community Farm Road 5.0 Orie Emene-Ugwuomu Farm Road 5.0 Umuno-Agu ukehe Farm Road 4.5 Onuogba Nike-Muna Poultry farm 2.3 Ehamufu-Amede Farm Road 1.2

60

Akpuoga-Nike-Niger Farm 1.0 Okufu-Ibagwe-Agu Road 5.5 Eha-Alumona-Mbu-Akari Road 1.8 Adani-Ihekaniga farm Road 2.0 Ugwuogo Nike-Ogbeke Poultry

farm Road

1.4

Ikem Umuaram-Ebia road 2.1 Oghe-cashew farm Road 1.5 Eziani-Trof Over Poultry Farm 2.5

Sub-Total 68

Road Type Road

Group

LAGOS

LAGOS

Name Length

(kilometres)

Paved Short Africa Independent Television Road

linking Kolllington

3.0

Tee Ess Farm Road, Igando 2.0

BT Fish Farm Alakuko 2.0

Egan Oriomi–Ese Ofin Road 2.0

Ajara Farm Settlement 4.0

Ibeshe Farming Community 2.0

Ipara–Pota Road 3.5

Ayedoto Fobb Cams–Ojo 3.0

Bama Farm Road Afero 3.5

Oke–Osho Road–Epe 2.0

Oguntimehin Farm and others– Igboye 1.5

Araga Farm Settlement–Epe 2.5

Okun Ajah–Igbo–Effon Road 4.0

Big Fish Farm Road Ab Ltd–

Sangotedo

3.0

Oshoroko Poultry Farm Road 0.4

Westfam Road Ayeteju, Ibeju-Lekki 0.2

Coaster Road, off Eleko–Lekki 0.5

Ebute Ota Road–Alhaji Akanni Farm 1.0

King Farm Road, off Agbowa 1.0

Creative Farms and Agura/Gberigbe 4.0

Imota Farm Settlement 3.0

Odogunyan Farm Settlement– Ikorodu 3.0

View Valley/Rhyss Farm Road

Ikorodu

3.0

Eyita Ojo Koro Road–Ikorodu 3.0

Oke–Eletu/Gberigbe–Link 2.0

A.O Delight Farm Road Igbe 2.0

Agunfoye–Oreyo Road Igbegbo 2.0

Agbede Road, Ikorodu 4.0

Taiwo Farms, Yeguda Road, Epe 5.0

Sub-Total 72.1

Road Type Road

Group

Name Length

(kilometres)

Paved Short Akwa-Ibami (Uyanga) 4.0

Ibiae-Small Idoma 3.0

Ibogo-Iko-Esai 3.0

61

CROSS RIVER

Effraya-Agbokim-Mgbabor 5.0

Ejago-Kura-Ekimkon 4.0

Akparbong-Ikanatchang 3.0

Okondi-Etomi 3.0

Abu-Ekpu (Idum Mbube) 4.0

Ikaptang (Ishibori)-Nkimkul 4.0

Gravel/Laterite Short Nyanga-Akwa-Ibami 4.0

Ehom-Ekpiriko 5.0

Assiga Old Town-Onyenekpende-

Ofodua

4.0

Anong-Ekori 4.0

Ochon-Ogamba-Oberenyi 4.0

Ofodua-Obuben-Ahaha 4.0

Arobom-Iyamitet-Okamurotet 4.0

Ogbudu-Bunyia-Esho Enya 4.0

Okongbe-Borum 4.0

Beteriku-Beebo 3.0

Bendeghe-Etomi 4.0

Okuni-Omonbeach 3.0

Abachor-Okpotudu 4.0

Idikuitega Okpudu – Okpudo 4.0

Olachor-Adiero-Udaga 4.0

Alege-New Jerusalem 4.0

Bedia-Ibong Okoshie 4.0

Sub-Total 100.0

Grand Total (Five States) 404.1

13. The needs of the target groups will be assessed and bid packages will be prepared with

consideration for sustainability, ownership and maintenance beyond the project life circle.

14. The key issues are cost allocations among sub-components, capacity to prepare the roads

component – Procurement of consultants and readiness prior to Board.

(b) Sub-Component 2-2 Rural Energy. (US$30.00m). This sub-component will finance the

rehabilitation and maintenance of rural energy, including provision of transformers and extension

of lines from the main transmission lines to commercial farmers and agro-processing facilities in

collaboration with the Power Sector Reform Project. The key issues for rural energy include:

identification of investment needs in rural energy in the participating states, the specific

item/activities to be financed by the states and the locations, who should be responsible for

decision (private or government), responsibility for maintenance, the flow of funds and

disbursement mechanisms, linkage and synergy needed to be developed between the project and

the Energy Reform Project, and cost estimates of the interventions. These issues have been

addressed during project appraisal. Memorandum of Understanding have been prepared for the

assessment and bid preparation for the rural energy between the project and the Power Holding

Company of Nigeria.

15. Access to IDA resources under the three sub-components will be through the preparation

of a Commercial Agriculture Development Plans by the beneficiaries.

62

Project Management, Monitoring and Evaluation and Studies (US$19.60m of which IDA

will finance US$11.60m)

(a) Project Management (US$8.80m). This component will finance Project Management

and Monitoring and Evaluation, including the Management Information System, impact

evaluation and beneficiary assessment, Mid-Term Review, and final evaluation.

(b) Monitoring and Evaluation (US$2.80m). This sub-component will support Management

Information System, Impact Evaluation and Beneficiary Assessment and Monitoring of

Environmental Management Plans.

(c) Support to relevant Federal and State Institutions (US$5.00m). The project will support

some Federal Institutions (Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Water Resources, National Food

Reserve Agency and Federal Ministry of Finance and other relevant institutions) in respect of

capacity building, project monitoring and other activities. At the state level, the project will

support the States Ministries of Agriculture, Agricultural Development Projects (ADPs), the

Project Financial Management Unit (PFMU) and other relevant institutions such as Veterinary

and Animal Health, Cooperatives and Agriculture Insurance, Produce Inspection and Standards

Organization of Nigeria in the areas of capacity building and project monitoring.

(d) Strategy and case studies on Commercial Agriculture (US$3.00m). The Government

has requested resources under this component to develop a strategy for development of

commercial agriculture. Case studies of relevant models of commercial agriculture will be

reviewed, along with other lessons, including those that emerge from implementation of the

project. In addition, this sub-component will finance Technical Assistance/Pilots/Studies on

Irrigation Sub-Sector.

16. Access to IDA resources under the two sub-components will be through the preparation

of Annual Work Plan and Budget (AWPB) by the implementing agencies at the Federal and

State levels.

17. The National/State Steering Committees and project management teams and their

responsibilities are as follows:

National Steering Committee

Permanent Secretary, FMAWR - Chairman

Federal Ministry of Finance (Public)

Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Water Resources - Director (Public)

Federal Ministry of Commerce and Industry (Public)

Federal Ministry of Women Affairs

National Planning Commission (Public)

CADA - APE - (Private)

NACCIMA (Private)

Executive Director, NFRA - Member

National Coordinating Office - Secretary

** Membership - 10

63

Permanent Secretary FMAWR to Chair while the Vice Chairman will come from CADA

and NCO as Secretariat

Functions of National Steering Committee

Oversight functions over the project

Approve Annual Work Plan and Budget

Review progress of project implementation

Advisory Support to project implementation based on project design

Encourage collaboration among similar projects

Harmonization of Federal and State Governments Policies on economic development and

growth

Frequency of Meetings

Twice a year

National Project Team (National Coordinating Office)

Project Coordinator

Project Operations Officer

M&E Officer

Project Accountant

Procurement Officer

Support Staff -

o Internal Auditor

o Account Officer

o Administrative Officer

o Rural Infrastructure Officer

o Environmental Officer

o Training Officer

o Communication Officer

State Steering Committee

Permanent Secretary, Ministry of Agriculture – Chairman

Directors of relevant value chains in the Ministry of Agriculture (2)

Ministry of Finance

Planning/Budget

Ministry of Trade and Commerce

Ministry of Women Affairs

Rural Development/Energy Commission

Ministry of Works

Chamber of Commerce and Industry

CADA (1)

Project Manager of ADP

SCADO – Secretary

** Membership = 12

64

Permanent Secretary, State Ministry of Agriculture and Natural Resources (SMANR) to Chair

while the Vice Chairman will come from the private sector and SCADO as Secretariat and

invitations to stakeholders (commercial banks etc) will be on need basis.

Functions of Steering Committee

Oversight functions over the project

Approve Annual Work Plan and Budget

Review progress of project implementation

Guide and facilitate project implementation based on project design

Periodic monitoring across the State

Encourage collaboration among similar projects

Frequency of Meetings

To meet quarterly

State Commercial Agriculture Development Office (SCADO)

Project Coordinator

Procurement Officer

M&E Officer

Project Accountant

Agricultural Productivity and Advisory Services Officer

Commercialization and Business Development Officer

Rural Infrastructure Officer

Support Staff:

o Internal Auditor

o Cashier

o Administrative Officer

o Project Office Assistant

Eight Facilitators in the following subject matter areas

Technology Adoption in value chain one

Technology Adoption in value chain two

Technology Adoption in value chain three

Market facilitation and Business Development

Roads

Energy

MIS/ICT

Training Officer

Communication Officer

65

Status of SCADO

SCADO will function as a semi-autonomous unit.

All correspondence and Reports to the office of the Executive Director, NFRA and the World

Bank should be copied to the ADP PM.

Funds Flow

From IDA CADP Account with PFMU CADA Apex Account Beneficiary Account

66

Annex 5: Project Cost

Nigeria Commercial Agriculture Development Project

(Naira Million) (US$ '000)

Local Foreign Total Local Foreign Total

A. Agricultural Production and Commercialization

Technology Adoption 2,386.54 74.62 2,461.16 20,225.00 632.40 20,857.40

Support to Staple Crop Production System 5,457.50 442.50 5,900.00 46,250.00 3,750.00 50,000.00

Market Facilitation 670.64 171.32 841.96 5,683.40 1,451.90 7,135.30

Capacity Building 508.56 21.02 529.58 4,309.80 178.20 4,488.00

Sub-total: Agricultural Production and Commercialization 9,023.24 709.46 9,732.70 76,468.20 6,012.50 82,480.70

B. Rural Infrastructure

Network of Farm Access Roads 4,720.00 1,180.00 5,900.00 40,000.00 10,000.00 50,000.00

Rural Energy 2,690.40 849.60 3,540.00 22,800.00 7,200.00 30,000.00

Sub-total: Rural Infrastructure 7,410.40 2,029.60 9,440.00 62,800.00 17,200.00 80,000.00

C. Project Management, Monitoring and Evaluation

Project Management 708.97 147.73 856.70 6,008.20 1,252.00 7,260.20

Monitoring and Evaluation 262.93 35.91 298.84 2,228.30 304.40 2,532.70

Strengthening of Institutions at State and Federal Levels 590.00 590.00 5,000.00 0.00 5,000.00

Studies 354.00 354.00 3,000.00 0.00 3,000.00 Sub-total: Project Management, Monitoring and Evaluation 1,915.90 183.64 2,099.54 16,236.50 1,556.40 17,792.90

D. Project Preparation Facility 0.00 118.00 118.00 0.00 1,000.00 1,000.00

Total Baseline Costs 18,349.54 3,040.70 21,390.24 155,504.70 25,768.90 181,273.60

Physical Contingencies 125.48 28.41 153.89 1,063.40 240.80 1,304.20

Price Contingencies 269.69 16.26 285.95 2,285.50 136.70 2,422.20

TOTAL PROJECT COSTS 18,744.71 3,085.37 21,830.08 158,853.60 26,146.40 185,000.00

Notes:

1. Policy and Human Resources Development (PHRD) Grant in the amount of US$800,000.

2. Identifiable taxes and duties are US$6.250m and the total project cost, net of taxes, is

US$178.750m. Therefore, the share of project cost net of taxes is 96.6%.

67

Annex 6: Implementation Arrangements

NIGERIA: Commercial Agriculture Development Project

1. The proposed Project will utilize the existing institutional structure of the Federal

Ministry of Agriculture and Water Resources (FMAWR), that is, it‟s federal and state level

coordination offices.

2. Project Implementation period. The Project will be implemented over a five-year

period, start: April 16, 2009; End: December 31, 2014.

3. Executing Agency. The Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Water Resources

(FMAWR) will have overall responsibility for execution of the Project through the National

Food Reserve Agency (NFRA). The NFRA is the agency entrusted with responsibility for

coordinating the implementation of all agricultural sector projects in the country, including those

that are externally-funded. Most of the Project‟s administrative, financial and implementation

arrangements will be decentralized at the state levels. The beneficiaries, especially the

Commercial Agricultural Development Associations (CADAs) and the various Commodity

Interest Groups (CIGs) will be active in the project. Since no new coordination structure will be

created under this project, the NFRA will delegate the functions and responsibilities of day-to-

day implementation coordination to a strengthened National Coordinating Office (NCO), which

will now be called the NCO.

Project Coordination and Oversight

4. At the Federal level, the NFRA, through the NCO, will coordinate project activities on

behalf of the FMAWR. At the federal level, there will be a National Steering Committee

(NSC) with 10 members as follows: Permanent Secretary, FMAWR - Chairman, Ministries of

Finance; Agriculture – Director of Agriculture; Commerce and Industry; Women Affairs;

National Planning Commission; CADA - APEX; NACCIMA; and the Executive Director,

NFRA – Member/Secretary. The NSC will meet twice a year. The Vice-Chairman should come

from the CADA and the NCO will be the secretariat.

5. The functions of the NSC are: oversight functions over the project approve Annual Work

Plan and Budget, review progress of project implementation, advisory support to project

implementation based on project design, encourages collaboration among similar projects and

harmonization of federal and state governments‟ policies on economic growth and development.

6. The day-to-day implementation of the project at the National level will be the

responsibility of the National Coordinating Office (NCO). The proposed staff complements of

the NCO are: Project Coordinator, Project Operations Officer, M&E Officer, Project Accountant

and Procurement Specialist. Support Staff (Internal Auditor, Account Officer, Administrative

Officer, Rural Infrastructure Officer, Training Officer, and Communication Officer. The TORs

for the staff positions will be in the PIM.

7. At the State level, coordination will be carried out by the State Commercial Agriculture

Development Office (SCADO) of the participating states while the oversight, policy and

strategic orientation functions will be performed by the State Steering Committee (SSC). The

State Steering Committee will comprise of 12 members as follows: Permanent Secretary,

68

Ministry of Agriculture – Chairman, Directors of relevant value chain in the Ministries of

Agriculture (2), Finance (1), Planning/Budget, Trade and Commerce, Women Affairs, Rural

Development/Energy Commission, Works, Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Commercial

Agricultural Development Associations (1) PM of ADPs, and SCADO – Secretary. The Vice-

Chairman will come from the private sector and SCADO will be the Secretariat. Invitations to

stakeholders (commercial banks, etc) are on need basis.

8. The functions of the SSC are as follows: oversight functions over the project, approve

Annual Work Plan and Budget, review progress of project implementation, guide and facilitate

project implementation based on project design, periodic monitoring across the State, and

encourage collaboration among similar projects.

9. The day-to-day implementation of the project will be the responsibility of the State

Commercial Agriculture Development Office which will have the following staff complements:

State Project Coordinator, Procurement Officer, M&E Officer, Project Accountant, Agricultural

Productivity and Advisory Services Officer, Commercialization and Business Development

Officer, Rural Infrastructure Officer, Training Officer, Communications Officer, Environment

and Natural Resources Officer, and Support Staff (Internal Auditor, Cashier, Administrative

Officer, Environment Officer and Project Office Assistant).

10. The SCADO will function as a semi-autonomous unit within the ambit of the state ADPs.

All correspondence and Reports to the office of the Executive Director NFRA, and the World

Bank should be copied to the ADP Project Manager.

11. At the Beneficiary level, critical decisions will take place within the CADAs and the

various Commodity Interest Groups (CIGs) which constitute them. The Commercial Agriculture

Development Associations (CADPs) are apex organizations of economic interest groups which

have a common interest in agricultural commercialization. Beneficiaries should belong to a

registered commodity association that supports the value chain of his interest. SCADO should

have a directory of Service Providers that will be providing services to the project beneficiaries.

The Service Providers will be screened by SCADO and their services will be certified by

beneficiary and SCADO officer/agent before full payment. Service Providers will be public and

private sectors operators and there should be a level playing field.

12. Capacity building will be available for project staff, beneficiaries and service providers.

A team of facilitators and other specialists will be deployed to provide related and necessary

Technical Assistance and training support. Once sub-projects are approved for financing by the

SCADO, and successfully screened by the CADA for consistency with state strategy and

compliance with the applicable project guidelines of CIGs, funds equivalent to their share of the

costs for design and implementation are deposited directly to the bank account of the service

provider by the Project Financial Management Unit. The CADA will use participatory planning

process and establish a management committee, consisting of a chairperson, secretary, treasurer,

commercial agriculture development officer (including disadvantaged groups) and

communications/public relations officer as the core management team who will be

democratically elected, and three ex-officio members from the subcommittees on procurement,

maintenance and operations of rural infrastructure component, and supervision and M&E. The

CADAs will choose projects that are economically viable and rely on beneficiary participation to

achieve the goal of viability and sustainability. Consistent with this Project's emphasis on a

balanced treatment of gender, at least one-quarter of the total membership of the CADA

69

management committee are expected to be women. The management structure will include

rules, procedures and guidelines for performance incentives and penalties as well as a system of

checks and balances to prevent possible abuse of public trust. The candidate farm access

roads/energy sub-projects to be rehabilitated and maintained must have been selected through

cross-sectoral (transport, energy and agriculture) participatory approach undertaken together with

Federal and States Governments, LGAs and similar projects (RAMP and Energy Reform

Project). The basis for selection will be prioritization of those segments of rural areas that are

essential for supporting the overall small and medium scale agricultural commercialization,

value-addition and the development objective of the project. The result of the selection process

will be a network of all-weather rural roads providing access for the selected agricultural

development areas over a period of five years and energy connectivity to small and medium

scale commercial farms and agro-processors. Once the implementation plans are finalized, the

sub-components will be implemented through a memo of understanding with relevant agencies

in the states (PHCN and Road Management Agencies) under the guidance of RAMP and the

Energy Reform Project teams at the National and State levels.

13. Disbursements to the project will occur through the preparation of Commercial

Agriculture Development Plans and Sub-project Agreements (SPAs), as described in the PIM.

Each sub-project cost will not exceed $100,000.

14. The total number of beneficiaries expected for the project is estimated at 50,000 small

and medium commercial farms and agro-processors (i.e. 10,000 per state). These beneficiaries

will be selected to reflect the priority commodities or value chain identified by each state. The

eligibility criteria for selecting beneficiaries into the project are attached in Annex 4.

15. Overall implementation of the Project will be done according to detailed procedures

defined in its PIM.

Sub-project cycle

16. The sub-project cycle is organized as follows:

A state-wide information campaign, to be implemented with effect from the project

preparation phase, will increase awareness as well as improve attitude and behaviour

change about the Project and its potential benefits and facilitate comprehension of the

criterion which will be used in the selection of beneficiaries;

Organized Commercial Agriculture Development Associations (CADAs) will

undertake a Needs Assessment of their CIGs and use this to collectively decide on

their local investment priorities, based on their own choices and information provided

concerning the state‟s development objectives and priorities as defined in the Project

Appraisal Document (PAD) or relevant document;

CIGs prepare sub-projects proposals assisted by the Facilitators and local consultants

for activities to be funded under the various project components and sub-components;

Sub-projects‟ proposals from CIGs are submitted to CADAs where they undergo

initial screening against an agreed check-list to determine completeness of the

documentation;

70

The screened sub-project proposals are then submitted to the SCADO, where the

proposed sub-projects are prioritized and approved, based on the associated indicative

resource envelopes;

Sub-projects will comply with the environmental guidelines established in the Project

Implementation Manual (PIM);

Sub-projects‟ Agreements (SPAs) are signed between the CADAs and the SCADOs.

These agreements spell out the terms and conditions for the funding, execution,

ownership, operation and maintenance of the approved sub-projects, including

agreement that the beneficiaries' associations will contribute to sub-project costs,

either in cash or in kind (i.e., labour and/or materials). The minimum level of

contributions will be specified in the respective sub-projects and in the PIM;

Resources, equivalent to the Project‟s share of the cost of the design and

implementation of the sub-projects are then transferred directly from the Project to

the Service Providers‟ bank account. The transfer will be payment against contracts.

Documentations supporting such transfers are as indicated in the FPM under invoice

related payments. These documents will include the approved Commercial

Agricultural Development Plan, SPAs, service provider‟s invoice and

document/report by the beneficiary and SCADO officer/agent certifying the service

of the service provider;

CADAs/SCADOs are responsible for contracting goods, works and Technical

Assistance for sub-project execution, unless otherwise specified in the PIM and the

Financing Agreement (FA). The CADAs may be required to provide an insurance

performance bond or guarantee to be eligible for the disbursement. Beneficiary

associations also bear responsibility for operation and maintenance of all sub-project

investments; and may request Technical Assistance to improve their capability to

manage these investments;

Sub-project irregularities: When fraud or irregularities are committed, the project

will enforce sanctions varying from suspension of disbursements, recovery of the

disbursed funds and prosecution.

71

Implementation Arrangements for the Project

NSC

M&E

M&E

CADPS

SCADP

OSAG

PFMU/SA

Review & approve annual work programs

& budgets of NFRA / NCO

FEDERAL

STATE

STATE BENEFICIARIES

CADAs: Commercial Agriculture Development Associations

NCO: National Coordinating Office

CADPs: Commercial Agriculture Development Plans OSAG: Office of the State Accountant General

CADPs: Commercial Agriculture Development Plans

NFRA: National Food Reserve Agency, Federal

Ministry of Agriculture

PFMU: Project Financial Management Unit

SA: Special Account

SSC: State Steering Committee

SCADO: State Commercial Agriculture

Development Office

Note:

Dotted lines represent flow of funds

SCADO Advisory

Service

Providers

IDA

Contracting

M&E

Contracting

Diagram 1

Sub-projects

Review & approve annual work programs &

budgets of SCADPO/ Review and approval of Sub-projects.

NFRA/NCO/SA

SCADO/CADPS:

Review & approval of

Sub-project

Facilitators/Consultants

Commercial Agriculture Development Associations

72

Annex 7: Financial Management and Disbursement Arrangements

NIGERIA: Commercial Agriculture Development Project

Introduction

1. The financial management assessment, in line with the Financial Management Practice

Manual (FMPM) (November 2005) of the Financial Management (FM) Board, has the objective

of determining whether the implementing entities have acceptable financial management

arrangements, which will ensure: (i) that funds are being used only for the purposes intended in

an efficient and economic way; (ii) the preparation of accurate, reliable and timely periodic

financial reports; and (iii) safeguarding of the entity‟s assets. The Financial Management

arrangement in participating states is based on the PFMU, a robust multi-donor and multi-project

FM platform, which was established in all states from 2002 through the joint efforts of the Bank

and the government and form an integral part of the FM country systems at State level. These

PFMU features strong and robust systems and controls that are not possible in individual ring-

fenced project FM. They were assessed by the Bank and found to be acceptable for the

implementation of Bank-assisted projects. An evaluation is planned in later part of calendar year

2008 to assess their continued effectiveness in the channelling and management of project

resources. Because State PFMUs are responsible for the FM arrangements of on-going projects,

they are reviewed regularly and supported with training on an ongoing basis. At the federal

level, NFRA is presently implementing two IDA assisted projects - PHRD grants for the

preparation of CADP and FADAMA III, and has acceptable FM arrangements based on the

assessment conducted. The most recent reviews showed that these FM arrangements are

adequate for the implementation of this Project at the federal and state levels. The FM

assessment of the federal component indicates that FM risk is moderate. The overall FM risk for

the Project is rated as substantial. However, this will be mitigated by the strong PFMU

arrangement, timely implementation of the FM action plan (Table 2 in Annex 7), and inclusion

of a technical review in the Project as well as substantial follow-up and implementation support.

Country Issues

2. A review of the implementation of the recommendations of the Country Financial

Accountability Assessment (2000) in January 2005, and a 2006 PEMFAR for Nigeria, observed

that the Federal Government of Nigeria has made a significant effort to advance reform of the

PFM system since 2003. Major achievements so far have been: (i) the adoption of an oil-based

fiscal rule that has greatly improved the quality of macroeconomic management; (ii) launching

of significant steps toward increased transparency of the budget process; (iii) more efficient cash

management; (iv) procurement reforms; (v) updating the legal framework for PFM; (vi)

reallocation of budget resources in support of the MDG-related government functions; (vii)

strengthening monitoring and evaluation; and (viii) introducing a more strategic long-term focus

in budget management. These have clearly helped to reduce waste of public resources,

particularly on the capital budget and payroll. The impact of these early measures is also evident

in significantly improved fiscal and broader macroeconomic outcomes. There is, nevertheless,

much more to do and PFM initiatives and reforms are articulated in the Government‟s NEEDS,

and further articulated in the 7-Point Agenda by the government which sets out policy priorities

that will strengthen the reforms and build the economy so that the gains of reforms are felt

widely. These are supported under the Country Partnership Strategy (jointly developed by IDA

and the United Kingdom‟s Department for International Development, DFID), which are

supported under the CPS specifically through the three Bank-assisted projects (i.e., EMCAP

73

closed December 2007, ERGP, and State Governance and Capacity Building Project). Apart

from Lagos State Financial Accountability Assessment (LSFAA) which was carried out in 2004

and had assessed the overall risks to public funds as high, no other accountability assessment has

been carried out for any other state in Nigeria. However, the SGCBP is assisting some states to

address public financial management issues.

3. Government is in the process of developing a comprehensive National Strategy on Public

Service Reform through a participatory process, aligned with the nation‟s ambition to be one of

the leading economies in the world by the year 2020. The draft strategy has as one of its pillars,

consolidation of public financial management reforms to ensure strategic and efficient allocation

and use of resources, fiscal discipline and value for money in a transparent and accountable

manner through timely financial reporting.

4. Following the Lagos State Financial Accountability Assessment (LSFAA) which was

carried out in 2004 and had assessed the overall risks to public funds as high; the Lagos

Metropolitan Development and Governance Project (LMDGP) is supporting Lagos State in

budget preparation and expenditure management reform, and expenditure tracking in specific

sectors. Other States are now assessing their PFM systems. In February 2008, The Kaduna State

Governments conducted a Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability (PEFA) self

assessment assisted by consultants appointed under the State and Local Government Programme

(SLGP), financed by the UK Department for International Development (DFID). The assessment

noted that some improvements to the PFM system are underway; overall fiscal control has

improved but progress at integrating Kaduna State Economic Empowerment and Development

Strategy (KADSEEDS) with the State‟s PFM systems has been slow and gradual progress is

currently being made. The Ekiti State Public Expenditure Review (PER) report issued in

February 2008 noted that the Ekiti State PFM system has a large scope for improvement. The

Anambra State PEFA report issued in July 2008 shows a very weak PFM system. The state has

however concluded a number of important studies and reviews, which are necessary pre-

requisites for reform. These include a state-wide public expenditure review, participatory

budgeting, design of new chart of accounts and citizen‟s scorecard.

74

TABLE 7.1: Risk Assessment and Mitigation

Risk Risk

Rate

Risk Mitigating Measures

Incorporated into Project Design

Condition for

Negotiation,

Board or

Effectiveness

Residual

Risk

Rating

Inherent Risks

Country Level:

Funds may not be

used in an efficient,

accountable and

transparent way.

H The Country Partnership Strategy

(CPS) that supports Nigeria‟s NEEDS

aims to achieve improved

transparency and accountability for

better governance which minimize

opportunity for corrupt practices. This

has translated into various projects at

the federal and state levels

respectively, focusing on improving

accountability, good governance,

transparency and fighting fraud and

corruption. Reforms in budgeting, FM

systems, procurement and auditing are

being supported.

Robust financial management

arrangements have been established at

the federal and state levels for the

project and these were designed to

mitigate the Country level risk.

None S

Entity Level:

Weak institutional

capacity to

implement the

Project components

and to effectively

monitor progress and

embrace full

accountability for

results.

S The project will be implemented in the

selected states by the SCADO in the

State Ministry of Agriculture

(SMOA). The SSC will perform

oversight, policy and strategic

orientation functions. At the Federal

level, NCO in FMAWR will

coordinate project activities and NSC

will perform oversight function over

the project, approve Annual Work

Plan and Budget at NCO and review

progress of project implementation

across the participating states.

None M

Project Level:

This CADP is the

first (of its kind)

type of agriculture

project by the Bank

H Beneficiaries must meet the eligibility

criteria for participation and should be

legally registered.

Disbursement will occur through the

preparation of CADPs and SPAs.

Disbursement

condition

S

75

Risk Risk

Rate

Risk Mitigating Measures

Incorporated into Project Design

Condition for

Negotiation,

Board or

Effectiveness

Residual

Risk

Rating

Inherent Risks

in Nigeria, no

previous experience

in project

implementation.

NSC will review progress of project

implementation across the

participating states. SSC will conduct

periodic monitoring within the State.

CADAs will undertake spot audits ex-

post to confirm that matching grants

are utilized for the intended purpose.

Adequate training of FM staff at the

federal and state levels.

SCADO should have a directory of

Service Providers that will provide

services to the project beneficiaries.

The service providers will be screened

by SCADO and their services will be

certified by beneficiary and SCADO

officer/agent before full payment.

Budgeting:

Failure to properly

prepare

comprehensive

budget and

effectively monitor

the budget.

M Project budgeting to be synchronized

carefully with government‟s own

budget, time-wise, taking into account

the CADPs from the CADAs

participating in the Project.

Budget execution to be monitored

through quarterly Interim Financial

Reporting (IFRs).

Computerized accounting system at

the federal and state levels includes

budget modules.

Un-audited

quarterly

Interim

financial

report (IFR)

arrangements

and formats to

be agreed

during project

negotiations.

L

Accounting:

Failure to account

for Project funds

adequately and

provide full

supporting

documentation.

M Robust FM arrangements at the

federal and state levels, including the

use of PFMUs to manage project

funds.

Accounting and internal control

procedures established and

documented in project Financial

None L

76

Risk Risk

Rate

Risk Mitigating Measures

Incorporated into Project Design

Condition for

Negotiation,

Board or

Effectiveness

Residual

Risk

Rating

Inherent Risks

Procedures Manual (FPM).

Independent and effective internal

audit function that is focused on risk

management approaches.

Internal Control:

Inadequate

documentation of

transactions,

ineligible

expenditures and

non-retirement of

advances.

M Internal control is strengthened by

using the PFMU arrangement at the

state level – the arrangement features

strong controls.

Robust FPM and staff are familiar

with this FPM.

Independent and effective internal

audit that will focus on risk in its audit

plan.

Adequate follow-up by Bank FM team

on supervision mission findings as

well as provision of further training

for project staff.

None L

Funds Flow:

a. Delays in

release of funds

b. Delays/non

release of

counterpart funds

L

S

Funds flow procedures are fully

documented in the FPM and staff are

familiar with these procedures.

Adequately qualified and competent

FM staffs are available in the PFMUs

and NCO.

Adequate appropriation in government

yearly budget and cash backed.

None L

M

Financial Reporting:

Delayed preparation

and submissions of

quarterly IFRs and

annual audited

financial statements

M Project reporting guidelines included

in FPM.

Implementation to be monitored by

NSC.

None L

77

Risk Risk

Rate

Risk Mitigating Measures

Incorporated into Project Design

Condition for

Negotiation,

Board or

Effectiveness

Residual

Risk

Rating

Inherent Risks

Use of computerized FMS to generate

financial reports (IFRs) and account

for project activities at the federal and

state levels.

PFMU and NCO staff have adequate

experience in Bank reporting

requirements.

Auditing:

Delay in the

submission of audit

report and

inadequate audit

reports.

M Auditors General will be encouraged

to allow use of private sector

accounting firms which will be hired

as external auditors to carry out an

independent audit of the project

financial statements based on TOR

acceptable to IDA.

FMS will ensure external auditor is

acceptable to the Bank.

None L

Overall FM Risk

Rating

S The overall gross risk exposure is

considered substantial for this project.

This will be mitigated by measures

described above, thus reducing the

risk rating to moderate.

M

H-High S-Substantial M-Moderate L-Low

Strengths

4. The use of existing PFMUs in all the participating states is a significant FM strength in

the project that has been identified. The PFMUs are experienced in the implementation of IDA

assisted projects, the staff are trained in Bank fiduciary requirements, they are professionally

qualified and the PFMUs are equipped with computerized FM systems and FPMs. At the Federal

level, staffs of the NCO/NFRA are equally experienced in the implementation of IDA-assisted

projects. The NSC will be responsible for project-oversight function, approve Annual Work Plan

and Budget at the Federal level, and review progress of project implementation across the

participating states. SSC will exercise similar oversight functions as NSC at the state level.

78

Action Plan Addressing the Weak Areas

5. Table below indicates the actions to be taken for the project to further strengthen its

financial management system:

Ref

No. Action Date due by Responsible

1 Agreement of Interim Un-Audited

Financial Report (IFR) formats and

Annual Financial Statement

formats, and external auditors

Terms of Reference.

Negotiations State Ministry of

Agriculture/State

Commercial Agriculture

Development Office and

Federal Ministry of

Agriculture and Water

Resources/National

Coordinating Office with

support and guidance of

International

Development Association

task team.

2 Upgrade the Financial Management

System at National Coordinating

Office and Project Financial

Management Unit and update the

Federal and State Financial

Procedures Manuals.

Before the Board date State Commercial

Agriculture Development

Office in the participating

states and National

Coordinating Office

3 Open Designated Dollar Account,

Current Draw-down account in

Naira, Current (Project) Account

and Naira Counterpart Fund

Account by National Coordinating

Office and State Commercial

Agriculture Development Offices

and IDA advised of authorized bank

signatories

Prior to disbursement

of International

Development

Association credit

proceeds

State Commercial

Agriculture Development

Office in the participating

states and National

Coordinating Office

4 Extension and expansion of

contract/Terms of Reference of

external auditors to cover

Commercial Agriculture

Development Project.

Within 90 days after

Effectiveness.

State Commercial

Agriculture Development

Office in the participating

states and National

Coordinating Office

5 Agreement on Memorandum of

financial services and service

standards between Project Financial

Management Units and the

Agencies.

Negotiations. State Commercial

Agriculture Development

Office/Project financial

Management Units

79

Implementing Entities

6. At the Federal level, the NFRA, through the NCO, will coordinate Project activities on

behalf of the FMAWR, who has overall responsibility for execution of the project. The NSC will

be responsible for project oversight, approval of Annual Work Plans and Budget at the NCO

level, and reviewing progress of project implementation across the participating states. The day

to day implementation of the project at the National level will be the responsibility of the NCO.

7. At the State level, coordination will be carried out by the State Commercial Agriculture

Development Office (SCADO) of the participating states while the oversight, policy and

strategic orientation functions will be performed by the State Steering Committee (SSC). The

SSC will have oversight functions over the project, approval of annual work plans and budget,

review progress of project implementation, guide and facilitate project implementation based on

project design, periodic monitoring across the state and encourage collaboration among similar

projects. The existing PFMUs in each of the participating states will be responsible for

managing the financial affairs of the project at that level. Specifically, the PFMUs will be

responsible for (i) preparing activity budgets, monthly project bank account reconciliation

statement, quarterly Statement of Expense (SOE) Withdrawal Schedule, quarterly Interim

Financial Reports (IFRs), and annual project financial statements; and (ii) ensuring that the

project financial management arrangements are acceptable to the Government and IDA. It will

also forward the reports and statements to State Ministries of Agriculture and Finance and IDA.

8. At the Beneficiary level, critical decisions will take place within the CADAs and the

various Commodity Interest Groups (CIGs) which constitute them. The Commercial Agriculture

Development Associations (CADAs) are apex organizations of economic interest groups which

have a common interest in agricultural commercialization. They will be responsible for the

coordination of the activities of the CIGs within the value chain associations. The CIGs will have

responsibility for sub-project implementation. The beneficiaries should belong to a registered

commodity association that supports the value chain of their interest. SCADO should have a

directory of Service Providers that will provide services to the project beneficiaries. The SPs will

be screened by SCADO and their services will be certified by beneficiary and SCADO

officer/agent before making full payment. Service Providers will be public and private sectors

operators and there should be a level playing field. Once sub-projects are reviewed and

approved by SCADO and successfully screened by the CADA for consistency with their state

strategy and compliance with the applicable project guidelines of CIGs, funds equivalent to their

share of the costs for design and implementation are deposited directly to the bank account of the

service provider by the Project Financial Management. The transfer will be payment against

contracts. Documentation supporting such transfers will be indicated in the FPM under invoice

related payments. These documents will include the approved CADP, SPAs, service providers‟

invoice and document/report by the beneficiary and SACDO officer/agent certifying the service

of the service provider. Financial statements are required to be maintained by CIGs/CADAs

members who receive grants. To mitigate fiduciary risk in OPRC contracts, the output and

performance will be certified by competent independent specialist prior to payment. In order to

be eligible to receive funding under the Project, beneficiaries should be legally registered.

Disbursements to the project will occur through the preparation of Commercial Agricultural

Development Plans and Sub-project Agreements (SPAs), as described in the PIM. The CADA

will use participatory planning process and establish a management committee, consisting of a

chairperson, secretary, treasurer, commercial agriculture development officer (including

disadvantaged groups) and communications/public relations officer, as the core management

80

team, who will be democratically elected, and three ex-officio members from the subcommittees

on procurement, maintenance and operations of rural infrastructure component, and supervision

and M&E.

Planning and Budgeting

9. Cash budget preparation will follow the government procedures. Financial projections or

forecasts for the life of the Project (analyzed by year) will be prepared. On an annual basis, the

Project Accountant in NCO and PFMUs (in consultation with key members of the implementing

unit) will prepare the cash budget for the coming period based on the work program. The cash

budget should include the figures for the year which is analyzed by quarter. The cash budget for

each quarter will reflect the detailed specifications for project activities, schedules (including

procurement plan), and expenditure on project activities scheduled respectively for the quarter.

All annual cash budgets will be sent to the Task Team Leader (TTL) at least two months before

the beginning of the project fiscal year.

10. Detailed procedures for planning and budgeting have been documented in the FPM.

Internal Control and Internal Auditing

11. Internal control comprises the whole systems of the control framework, financial or

otherwise, established by the NCO and SCADO in order to: (i) carry out the project activities in

an orderly and efficient manner; (ii) ensure adherence to policies and procedures; (iii) safeguard

the assets of the project; and (iv) secure the completeness and accuracy of the financial and other

records.

12. The key elements to ensure a sound internal control system will include:

Internal control environment;

Risk assessment;

Control activities;

Information and communication; and,

Monitoring.

13. Project activities will be periodically reviewed by the Internal Audit Unit (IAU) of the

PFMUs and NCO. The Head of Internal Audit Unit in the PFMU will report to the Project

Manager whilst the Head of IAU in NCO will report to the Director NFRA and at a minimum

they will (i) carry out periodic reviews of project activities, records, accounts and systems; (ii)

ensure effectiveness of financial and accounting policies and procedures, as well as compliance

with internal control mechanisms;(iii) review SOEs; (iv) physically verify purchases and assets;

and (v) carry out other functions as stated in their approved charter. The internal auditors in the

PFMU and at NCO are accountants. They will under-go training in the Bank‟s financial

management and disbursement procedures, as well as training on risk-based auditing.

81

Accounting

14. IDA and Counterpart Funds will be accounted for by the Project on a cash basis,

augmented with appropriate records and procedures to track commitments and to safeguard

assets. Accounting records will be maintained in dual currencies (that is, Naira and Dollar).

15. The Chart of Accounts will facilitate the preparation of relevant monthly, quarterly and

annual financial statements, including information on the following:

Total project expenditures;

Total financial contribution from each financier;

Total expenditure on each project component/activity; and

Analysis of total expenditure into civil works, various categories of goods,

training, consultants and other procurement and disbursement categories.

16. Annual financial statements will be prepared in accordance with relevant International

Public Sector Accounting Standards (IPSAS).

17. All accounting and control procedures will be documented in the FPM and regularly

updated by the Project Accountants and approved by the SCADO and NCO and shared with IDA

and the Government.

Financial Reporting

18. Within the NCO and SCADO, the project managers will ensure that the project accountant

prepares Interim Financial Reports (IFRs) i.e. monthly and quarterly and Annual Financial

Statements, on a timely basis to be submitted by the NCO and PFMU. In compliance with

government reporting requirements, Monthly returns will be made to the Federal and States

Accountants General for incorporation in the governments accounts, as described in the FPM.

These reports and financial statements are outlined below. Quarterly and Annual reports are to be

submitted respectively to: (i) NSC, NCO, SCADO, SSC, State Ministry of Finance (SMOF),

SMOA, FMAWR and Federal Ministry of Finance (FMOF); and (ii) IDA – for the purpose of

monitoring project implementation.

Monthly Reports: On a monthly basis, the NCO and PFMUs will prepare and submit the

following reports to the Project Coordinators:

A Bank Reconciliation Statement for each bank account

A Monthly Statement of Cash Position for project funds from all sources, taking

into consideration significant reconciling items

A Monthly Statement of Expenditures classified by project components,

disbursement categories, and comparison with budgets, or a variance analysis; and

A Statement of Sources and Uses of funds (by Credit Category/Activity showing

IDA and Counterpart Funds separately).

82

Quarterly Reports: The following interim financial report will be prepared by the NCO and

PFMUs (i.e. each state separately) on a quarterly basis and submitted to IDA and the Project

coordinators:

Financial Reports, which include a statement showing for the period and cumulatively

(project life or year to date) inflows by sources and outflows by main expenditure

classifications; opening and closing cash balances of the project; and supporting

schedules comparing actual and budgeted expenditures. The reports will also include

cash forecasts for the following two quarters as well as analysis of disbursements

against contracts.

SOE withdrawal schedule, listing individual withdrawal applications relating to

disbursements by the SOE method, by reference number, date and amount; and

Designated account statement reconciliation, showing deposits and replenishments

received, payments supported by withdrawal applications, interest earned on the

account and the balance at the end of the reporting period.

Each PFMU will submit a copy of the quarterly Project Interim Financial Report to the SCADO.

Capacity of the NCO will be supported under the project should it need to be boosted.

19. Indicative formats for the reports are available in a Bank guideline called “Financial

Monitoring Reports: Guidelines to Borrowers”. The format of IFRs has been agreed at

negotiations.

Annual Financial Statements: The annual Project Financial Statements, which will be prepared

by the NCO and PFMUs, (i.e. each state separately) will include the following:

A Statement of Sources and Uses of funds (by Credit Category and Activity showing

IDA and Parallel Funds separately);

A Statement of Cash Position for Project Funds from all sources;

Statements reconciling the balances on the various bank accounts (including IDA

Designated Account) to the bank balances shown on the Statement of Sources and

Uses of Funds;

SOE Withdrawal Schedules listing individual withdrawal applications relating to

disbursements by the SOE Method, by reference number, date and amount;

Notes to the Financial Statements. Each PFMU will submit a copy of the Project

Financial statements to the SSC. Also, it will forward a copy to NCO. NCO will

submit the financial statements to NSC.

83

Auditing

20. The IDA Financing Agreement will require the submission of audited Annual Financial

Statements for the project, within six months after year end.

21. Relevantly qualified, experienced and independent external auditor appointed for the

PFMU and NCO will audit the project activities based on TOR acceptable to IDA.

22. The auditor will express an opinion on the Annual Financial Statements in compliance

with International Standards on Auditing (ISAs). In addition to the audit report, the external

auditors will prepare a Management Letter giving observations and comments, and providing

recommendations for improvements in accounting records, systems, controls and compliance

with financial covenants in the Financing Agreement.

Financial Management Supervision Plan

23. The financial management arrangements will be reviewed periodically as part of project

and/or PFMU and NCO supervision missions. The first FM review will be carried out after 6

months of project implementation. This detailed review will cover all aspects of FM, internal

control systems, reviewing the overall fiduciary control environment and tracing transactions

from the bidding process to disbursements as well as SOE review. The supervision intensity will

be based on risk, initially on the PAD FM risk rating and subsequently on the updated FM risk

rating during implementation. Reviews will be as follows: FM supervision visits based on risk;

review of quarterly IFRs; review of audited Annual Financial Statements and management letter

as well as timely follow up of issues arising; annual SOE review which will be jointly done with

the post audit review by the procurement unit; participation in project supervision missions as

appropriate; and updating the financial management rating in the Implementation Status Report

(ISR). The Banks project team will play a key role in monitoring the timely implementation of

the action plan.

Fund Flows and Disbursement Arrangements

Bank and IDA Accounts

24. The overall project funding will consist of IDA credit, counterpart funds from the Federal

and State governments and contributions from beneficiaries. IDA will disburse the credit

proceeds through a US$ Designated Account (DA) consisting of: (a) one DA for the federal

component managed by NCO (Account A); and (b) one DA for each participating state which

will be managed by the PFMUs (Account B).

25. Specific funding, banking and accounting arrangements are as follows:

A US$ domiciliary account will be opened in a reputable commercial bank acceptable

to IDA to which the initial deposit and replenishments from IDA funds will be

lodged;

A Current (US$ Interest) Account with a reputable commercial bank acceptable to

IDA to which interest on the DA will be credited;

84

A Current (Drawdown) Account in Naira with bank X to which draw-downs from the

DA will be credited once or twice per month in respect of incurred eligible

expenditures, maintaining balances on this account as close to zero as possible after

payments;

A Current (Project) account in Naira with bank X to which Counterpart Funds will be

deposited;

A Current (Naira Interest) Account in Naira with bank X to which interest on

Counterpart Funds will be credited.

26. All bank accounts will be reconciled with bank statements on a monthly basis by the NCO

and PFMUs. A copy of each bank reconciliation statement together with a copy of the relevant

bank statement will be reviewed monthly by the Project Accountant who will expeditiously

investigate identified differences. Detailed banking arrangements, including control procedures

over all bank transactions (e.g., check signatories, transfers, etc.) will be documented in the

FPM.

27. Additionally, they will each maintain an IDA Ledger Loan Account in US

Dollars/Naira/SDR to keep track of withdrawals from the IDA credit. The account will show (i)

deposits made by IDA, (ii) direct payments by IDA, and (iii) opening and closing balances.

28. NCO and PFMUs will maintain a cumulative record of draw-downs from the IDA credit

that will be reconciled monthly with the Disbursement Summary provided by the Bank.

29. The contributions of the beneficiaries for component 1, sub-component (a) (Technology

Demonstration and Adoption) will be defined in the sub-project agreement between SCADOs

and CADAs. The contribution will be regarded as part of the counterpart contribution for the

project. Simple records will be maintained by the CADA Management Committee to record

contributions in cash, materials and labour and will be subject to both internal and external audit.

The format will be documented in the PIM.

30. The NCO and PFMUs will be responsible for preparing and submitting consolidated

applications for withdrawal, to the Bank as appropriate. Appropriate procedures and controls,

which will be documented in the FPM, will be instituted to ensure disbursements and flow of

funds is carried out in an efficient and effective manner.

85

Funds Flow Diagram

IDA Government Budget

Designated Account (A) Designated Account (B) Project (Naira counterpart

($) NCO ($) SCADO funds) A/C

Draw-down (zero balance) Draw-down (zero balance) Counterpart Fund A/C

Naira A/C Naira A/C Expenditures

NCO Expenditures Matching grants to Other DA Expenditures

CIGs

86

The Flow of Funds under the Grant

Disbursement Methods

31. Disbursement arrangements and use of funds. Proceeds of the financing will follow the

standard Bank procedures for Investment Lending for use by the Borrower for eligible

expenditures as defined in financing agreement. Disbursement arrangements have been designed

in consultation with the Borrower after taking into consideration the assessments of Borrower‟s

financial management and procurement arrangements, the procurement plan, cash flow needs of

the operation and the Borrower‟s prior disbursement experience. Additional instructions for

disbursements have been provided in a Disbursement Letter issued for this project.

32. Disbursement methods. This Credit will be disbursed through various disbursement

methods, including advances, reimbursements, direct payments and special commitments.

Advances will be disbursed into a multiple Designated Account(s) (DAs), one each for the

project management agency at the National Coordination Office (NCO), Federal Ministry of

Agriculture and Water Resources and each Participating State (PFMU). Direct payments are

authorized for payments to larger value contracts, including all Output and Performance based

Roads Contracts (OPRC).

33. The Designated Accounts will be designated in US Dollars and will be segregated from

other financing partners. Considering the cash flow requirements and project design, a flexible

ceiling will be determined for the DAs for the operation, based on 50% of expenditure forecast

as provided in Annual Work Plans and Budgets as approved by IDA, separately for federal

implementing agency (FMAWR) and each Participating State. The first Application from each

Participating State should include as an attachment a copy of the Subsidiary Agreement duly

executed between the Recipient and the Participating State, in form and substance satisfactory to

the Association.

87

34. Reporting on use of Financing. Supporting documentation will be requested along with

withdrawal Applications as specified in the Disbursement Letter. This will comprise Statements

of Expenditure (SOE) for payments made by Borrower from the amounts advanced to the

Designated Accounts and requests for reimbursements for eligible expenditure. Copies of

original documents or records shall be requested only for certain categories of expenditures

above financial thresholds specified in the Disbursement Letter. The following additional

information will be requested in the Statement of Expenditure:

(i) For disbursement of matching Grants to communities, information on the identity of the

Beneficiary, the identity of the Commodity Interest Group (CIG) and/or the Commercial

Agricultural Development Association (CADA) with the date of its legal registration and

the date of the Grant Agreement with the beneficiary.

(ii) For all payments made to Commercial Agricultural Development Association (CADA) at

Participating States, the reference number/date of Sub-Project agreement between the

SCADO and the CADA.

(iii) In case of „matching grants‟ that are co-financed by beneficiaries and eligible expenditures

that are co-financed by Federal or State Government agencies, the SOE shall indicate for

each expenditure item reported with the Application a) the total amount of expenditure, b)

the amount that has been financed by sources other than IDA, such as Beneficiaries and

counterpart funding from Federal or State Governments, and c) the balance that is eligible

for IDA financing in accordance with the financing agreement.

(iv) For requests for Direct Payment: records evidencing eligible expenditures, e.g., copies of

receipts, supplier invoices, and documentary evidence of delivery/completion of contracted

goods or service. For payments under all Output and Performance based Roads Contracts

(OPRC) an independent verification report of the outputs shall also be provided with each

Application.

Copies of Bank statements and reconciliation statements shall be requested with each

Withdrawal Application.

Counterpart Funding

35 The Government must make all necessary arrangements to ensure the timely mobilization

of the counterpart funds needed for project implementation.

Monthly Replenishment Applications

36. The DAs will be replenished through the submission of Withdrawal Applications on a

monthly basis by the PFMUs and NCO and will include reconciled bank statements and other

documents as may be required until such time as the Borrower may choose to convert to report-

based disbursement.

Disbursements by Category

37. Table 7.2 overleaf sets out the expenditure categories and percentages to be financed out

of the Credit proceeds. Allocations to disbursement categories have been made based on the

project's work plans. Disbursements will be based on the work plans agreed annually with the

Bank. In order to provide maximum flexibility and disbursement based on implementation

88

performance, about 9.46 percent of project funds will remain in the unallocated category until the

mid-term review when they can be allocated as needed to each category under the project.

Table 7.2- Disbursement Categories

Category Amount of the Credit

Allocated

(expressed in SDR)

Percentage of

Expenditures to be

Financed

(1) Civil works 29,600,000 100%

(2) Goods and equipment 35,500,000 100%

(3) Training and

workshops

4,200,000 100%

(4) Consultant services 9,100,000 100%

(5) Grants 10,000,000 100%

of amounts disbursed

to the Beneficiaries

(6) Operating Costs 2,600,000 100%

(7) Refund of Preparation

Advance

700,000 Amount payable

pursuant to Section

2.07 of the General

Conditions

(8) Unallocated 9,000,000

Total Amount 100,700,000

Conclusion Statement:

39. The Financial Management Assessment conclusion is that subject to the recommended

mitigation measures and the recommended action plan being implemented as per agreed time

frame, the project has met the minimum FM requirement in accordance with OP/BP 10.02.

Further, this objective will be sustained by ensuring that strong financial management systems

are maintained for the project throughout its duration. Detailed Financial Management reviews

will also be carried out regularly, either within the regular proposed supervision plan or a more

frequent schedule if needed, to ensure that expenditures incurred by the project remain eligible.

89

Annex 8: Procurement Arrangements

NIGERIA: Commercial Agriculture Development Project

A. General

Country Environment

1 Since Fiscal Year (FY) 2001, Nigeria has been implementing slowly a procurement reform

program based on the recommendations of the 2000 Country Procurement Assessment Review

(CPAR). A review of the progress made on the 2000 CPAR recommendations as reflected in

2007 PEMFAR shows that implementation of procurement reform program has brought about

substantial improvements in obtaining value for money in the public sector expenditure. This has

further introduced some level of transparency into the country‟s procurement process. In this

regard, the CPAR of 2000 has been a positive catalyst, because it supported the agenda of

financial sanitation of the current Government. Some of the actions taken by Government to

advance the procurement reform in Nigeria include (a) creation of the Budget Monitoring and

Price Intelligence Unit (BMPIU) around December 2002 as a Due Process Unit located within

the Presidency. The unit carried out due process reviews for the certification of contract awards

and payments. The recent PEMFAR report indicated that contract prices were reduced

substantially and have reportedly saved the Treasury substantial amount. Since the 2000 CPAR,

collaboration between procurement and financial management has been strengthened

considerably. The Public Procurement Act was promulgated in Nigeria in June 2007 with a view

to further sanitize public procurement system, which has often been the subject of abuse and

corruption. This will further bring significant improvement in the existing procurement system in

the public service and enhance transparency. The Act adheres to the principles of the

UNCITRAL model law, and outlines the principles of open competition, transparent

procurement procedures, clear evaluation criteria, award of contract to the lowest evaluated

tender, and contract signature. The legislative framework is applicable to all procurement

categories (suppliers, contractors, consultants) and must be applied for all public funds regardless

of value. The Act has provisions for exceptions to competitive tendering, which are the

exception rather than the rule. Also, Government has already prepared relevant implementation

Regulations, Standard Bidding Documents (SBD) and Manuals for the Procurement of Goods,

Works and Consulting Services, which describes the minimum contents of the tender and

proposal documents. The essential elements are in line with internationally acceptable

procurement standards. The Procurement Act also presents for complaints and appeals

mechanism to be established to enhance accountability.

2. Procurement Risk at the Country level: Substantial progress in procurement reforms has

recently been made at the Federal Government level. A Bureau of Public Procurement (BPP) has

been established while a procurement professional Cadre has been established in the public

service. The BPP has organized series of trainings and awareness workshops to sensitize this

cadre of professionals with the current procurement processes. Currently, the Government

Procurement Reform Program is being supported by an IDA Credit-ERGP with a substantial

component focusing on procurement reforms. There are also three IDF Grants, to assist Federal

and two State Governments address the weak procurement capacity in the public sector and to

build appropriate partnership with the private sector. The project instrument has been used by the

government to prepare the relevant procurement tools mentioned above. On the other hand,

90

Government is also reforming the Customs practices to modernize and make it more effective,

thereby enhancing private sector confidence in public procurement processes.

3. Procurement risk in the Agricultural Sector at Federal and State levels. All the five

participating states and Federal agency have experience in implementing various Bank-financed

projects in Nigeria that date back to 1974. 12 States are currently implementing the FADAMA

II Project while the 36 States of the Federation will participate in FADAMA III Project which

will soon become effective. The two Agricultural Projects mentioned above have some

similarities with the Commercial Agricultural Project including contracting and making funds

available to beneficiary groups and communities. The complements of staff of the NCO and

SCADO which shall have responsibility of day to day implementation of the project will include

a Procurement Officer (PO). The PO, will further receive additional procurement training on

Bank financed procurement procedures from relevant training institutions, such as Lagos

Business School, Ghana Institute for Management and Public Administration (GIMPA), ESAMI,

etc. An experienced Procurement Specialist will be hired at the Federal level to assist and

coordinate the states‟ procurement functions and provide on-the-job training to the state officials.

The Curriculum Vitae of these Procurement Officers will be reviewed and cleared by the Bank to

ensure that appropriate, qualified and experienced procurement personnel are recruited by the

Borrower.

4. During the implementation of the previous Agricultural projects and ongoing Fadama II

projects, weaknesses identified were addressed by providing adequate guidance and capacity

building initiatives. A contract management workshop was organized specifically for FADAMA

II project teams to militate against identified weaknesses in the contract management and

monitoring of sub-projects. Significant improvements have been noticed in most of the Fadama

II states as reported in the just concluded PPR exercise. However, these need to be strengthened

and sustained in the CADP.

B. Implementation Arrangements

5. The FCADO will integrate project implementation into the regular day-to-day management

activities of its existing (or new units where identified) organizational units as associated with

their respective mandates, under the direction of the Permanent Secretary for the organizational

chart for project implementation arrangements. Partial implementation of the Project will also be

the responsibility of the beneficiaries (e.g., Commercial Agriculture Development Associations

(CADAs), civil society and the private sector groups), who will be involved in the

implementation of the Project through the SCADO. Project management and implementation

arrangements can be summarized as follows:

6. National Coordinating Office (NCO): The Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Water

Resources (FMAWR) will have overall responsibility for execution of the Project, through the NCO

in the National Food Reserve Agency (NFRA). 7. The NCO will serve as the secretariat for National Steering Committee (NSC) and be

responsible for day-to-day federal level coordination. It will also be responsible for ensuring that

Bank‟s procurement guidelines and procedures are followed.

91

Project Coordination and Oversight

8. National Steering Committee (NSC): At the highest level in FMAWR, a National Steering

Committee will be established in accordance the descriptions in Annex 6 of the PAD. The NSC will

however, have no procurement management function but will be responsible for project oversight,

overall policy guidance, coordination with other projects, providing strategic direction and review

and approval of the annual work program and budget of the NCO.

9. State Commercial Agriculture Development Office (SCADO): At the State level, the

SCADO will be responsible for the coordination and implementation of the Project including

procurement while the State Steering Committee will perform the oversight, policy and strategic

orientation functions.

10. Beneficiary level: At the beneficiary level, critical decisions will take place within the

CADAs and the various Commodity Interest Groups (CIGs) which should be legally registered.

The Commercial Agriculture Development Associations (CADAs) are apex organizations of

Commodity Interest Groups which have a common interest in agricultural commercialization.

The CADAs which are already in existence will be responsible for the coordination of the

activities of the CIGs, including procurement and management of the post-harvest handling

centres under the Public-Private Partnership (PPP) arrangements within the value chain

associations. The CIGs will have responsibility for sub-projects implementation. Beneficiaries

should belong to commodity associations that support the value chain of their interest. SCADO

should have a directory of Service Providers that will provide services to the project

beneficiaries. The Service Providers will be screened by SCADO and their services will be

certified by beneficiary and SCADO officer/agent before full payment. Financial and technical

audits of the contracts under OPRC will be undertaken as internal controls before payments are

made to contractors and service providers. Service Providers will be public and private sectors

operators and they should be a level playing field in the selection process which shall be detailed

in PIM.

C. Guidelines

11. Procurement for the proposed Project will be carried out in accordance with the World

Bank‟s "Guidelines: Procurement under IBRD Loans and IDA Credits" dated May 2004; and

revised in October, 2006; "Guidelines: Selection and Employment of Consultants by World

Bank Borrowers" dated May 2004, and revised in October, 2006; and the provisions stipulated in

the Legal Agreement. The various items under different expenditure categories are described in

general below. For each contract to be financed by the Loan/Credit, the different procurement

methods or consultant selection methods, the need for pre-qualification, estimated costs, prior

review requirements, and time frame has been agreed between the Borrower and the Bank in the

Procurement Plan. The Procurement Plan will be updated at least annually or as required to

reflect the actual project implementation needs and improvements in institutional capacity.

12. Procurement of Works: Major works procurement under this project will take place at

each SCADO. The works procured will include: rural network of feeder roads, power lines,

transformers, poles and accessories etc. Procurement will be carried out using the Bank‟s

Standard Bidding Documents (SBD) for all International Competitive Bidding (ICB) contracts

and National SBD agreed with or satisfactory to the Bank. By applying Output and

Performance-based Contracting (OPRC), the procurement will differ from traditional works

92

contracts. While in a traditional contract the scope of works is clearly defined and payments are

made in accordance with the measured amount of works, OPRC pays the contractor as long as he

performs, i.e. complies with the Level of Service requirements. Contract periods of five years are

envisaged, combining initial rehabilitation and maintenance. The procurement will be done

based on the Bank‟s Sample Bidding Document for OPRC under International Competitive

Bidding (ICB) procedures satisfactory to the Bank. An experienced consulting firm will assist

each State with the design and preparation of bidding documents and will further assist in the

evaluation of bids. Contractors for the road packages will be pre-qualified.

13 However, minor civil works estimated to cost less than US$50,000 equivalent per contract,

which are labour intensive, spread over time, and which do not lend themselves to grouping are

therefore unlikely to attract foreign bidders. Such works may be procured under shopping

procedures as detailed in paragraph 3.5 of the “Guidelines: Procurement under IBRD Loans and

IDA Credits” May, 2004 and June 9, 2000 and the Memorandum “Guidance on shopping” issued

by the Bank.

14. Procurement of Goods: Goods procured under this Project will include furniture,

Environmental Management Information System (EMIS), project vehicles, computers and

accessories, software, communication and office equipment, etc. Goods procurement will be

done using the Bank‟s SBD for all ICB and National SBD designed on the basis of Bank

Standard Bidding Documents. Procurement for readily available off-the-shelf goods that cannot

be grouped, or standard specification commodities for individual contracts of less than

US$50,000 equivalent, may be procured under shopping procedures as detailed in paragraph 3.5

of the "Guidelines: Procurement under IBRD Loans and IDA Credits" May, 2004, and the

“Guidance on Shopping Memorandum" issued by IDA, June 9, 2000. Such contracts will be

awarded on the basis of written quotation obtained from at least three qualified suppliers in

response to a written invitation. The invitation will include a detailed description of the goods,

including basic specifications, quantities, quotation submission deadlines, completion dates, a

basic form of agreement, and any other relevant information. The Procurement Plan details out

where such method will be applicable. Also, minor civil works may be implemented by the GIGs

using procedures based on the Africa Region‟s Guidelines - Simplified Procurement and

Disbursement Procedures for Community-Based Investments.

15. Selection of Consultants: Consultancy services will among others, include the following:

(i) Technical Assistance, (ii) Technical support for implementation of project management, (iii)

Financial Management and Procurement, and (iv) Prioritization of OPRC intervention areas, and

Feasibility, design and preparation of OPRC biding documents. Consultants will be selected

using Request for Expressions of Interest, short-lists and the Bank‟s Standard Requests for

Proposal, where required by the Bank‟s Guidelines. Short-lists of consultants for services

estimated to cost less than US$200,000 equivalent per contract may be composed entirely of

national consultants in accordance with the provisions of paragraphs 2.7 through 2.8 of the

Consultant Guidelines. Research Institutes, public training institutions and NGOs may be hired

to carry out specific researches, training, distribution and monitoring services in accordance with

paragraph 1.11 (b – d) and 3.16 of the Consultant Guidelines.

16. Operating Costs: The operating costs shall include staff travel expenditures and other

travel-related allowances with prior clearance from IDA; equipment rental and maintenance,

vehicle operation, maintenance and repair, office rental and maintenance, materials and supplies,

utilities and communication expenses and bank charges. Operating Costs financed by the project

93

will be procured using the implementing agency‟s administrative procedures which is acceptable

to the Bank.

17. Trainings, Workshops, Seminars and Conferences: Training, workshops, seminars and

conferences attendance and study tours will be carried out on the basis of approved annual

programs that will identify the general framework for training and similar activities for the year,

including the nature of training/study tours/workshops, the number of participants, and cost

estimates. The participants and beneficiaries of such programs will, in general, be required to file

a report within a stipulated period upon resumption of duty.

D. Assessment of the agency’s capacity to implement procurement

18. An assessment of the capacity of the Implementing Agency to implement procurement

actions for the project was carried out in accordance with Procurement Services Policy Group

(OCSPR) guidelines dated August 11, 1998. The assessment reviewed the organizational

structure for implementing the project and the roles of the key actors in project implementation.

The detail assessment is in the project files.

19. The assessment revealed that the Agricultural Sector at both the Federal and State levels

has a long history of implementing various Bank-financed projects which date back to 1974.

Lagos State which is one of the participating States in this project is currently implementing

Fadama II, while all the five States will also participate in the recently approved Fadama III

project. During the assessment, it was observed that some of the teams that implemented

previous Bank-financed projects have been seconded to work on other programs, therefore

creating gaps in such state‟s procurement capacity. Recently conducted Post Procurement

review identified insufficient knowledge of procedures for selection and employment of

consultant, poor documentation – inadequate record keeping, non adherence to procurement

scheduling and insufficient contract management skills as major procurement weakness in the

Agriculture sector in the participating states. For instance, the later resulted into non payment for

some contracts executed since 1996 under the Cross Rivers Agric Dev. Programme. Capacity

building initiatives under the CADP will focus attention on these lapses. Therefore, Sector

Specific contract management workshop will be organized for project teams not later than six

months of project implementation. To further strengthen the efficient and effective utilization of

Credit fund, the following action plans were agreed with Government during project appraisal.

94

Table 1: Procurement Action Plan

Action Responsibility Due Date Remarks

1 Strengthening of NCO capacity to

manage and coordinate Bank financed

projects.

Bank and NCO On a continuous

basis

Experienced

Procurement

Specialist to be

engaged to

strengthen NCO.

2 Procurement Plan for the first 18

months prepared and agreed with the

Bank

NCO and

participating

states

By Appraisal

Completed.

3 Preparation of Project Implementation

Manual PIM including adoption of the

Generic Procurement manual for Bank

financed Projects in Nigeria.

NCO, SCADO

and Bank.

By Negotiation

Completed.

4 Adoption of the Bank Standard

Bidding Documents for use under

NCB in lieu of lack of National

Standard Bidding Document

NCO and Bank By Appraisal Completed.

5 Training of SCADO on contracting

and monitoring arrangement to

promote accountability and

transparency.

Bank and NCO Not later than 2-

3 months of

project

implementation.

Training to be

repeated by NCO

and SCADO in

each participating

states periodically.

6 Hold periodic meetings with business

communities within the project

environment and organize open

meetings with NCO and SCADO.

NCO and

SCADOs

Not later than 3

months of

project

implementation.

On a continuous

basis.

7 Establish a central complaint

database/website/internet and or hot-

lines

NCO and

SCADOs

Not later than 2

months after

project

implementation.

To reduce the risk

of misuse of project

funds.

8 Establish proper procurement filling

system and develop procurement

tracking system.

NCO and each

SCADOs

During project

implementation

period.

To ensure easy

retrieval of

information/data

and enhance

accountability.

95

Action Responsibility Due Date Remarks

9 Publication of Contract awards and list

of beneficiaries

NCO and

SCADOs

on quarterly

basis

On a continuous

basis.

10 Conduct Independent Technical Audit

(separate from annual external

financial audit

Bank Annually To reduce the risk

of misuse of project

funds.

11 Organize specific Sector Contract

Management training for project

teams of participating States

NCO/Bank First at the

beginning of

project

implementation

and 2nd

run at

MTR.

To improve project

staff cont. mgt.

skills.

E. Procurement Plan

20. The Borrower has prepared procurement plan for project implementation which will

provide the basis for the procurement methods for each participating State. This plan was

reviewed and agreed between the Bank and the Project Team at appraisal and negotiations

respectively, and was made available to the participating States Ministries of Agriculture. It is

also available in the Project‟s database and in the Bank‟s external website. The Procurement

Plan will be updated in agreement with the Project Team annually or as required to reflect the

actual project implementation needs and improvements in institutional capacity.

F. Frequency of Procurement Supervision

21. In addition to the prior review supervision to be carried-out from Bank offices, the

capacity assessment of the Implementing Agency has recommended at least two supervision

missions to visit the field to carry out post-procurement review every year. An Independent

Procurement Audit will be conducted to contribute to the mid-term review exercise.

G. Publication of Results and Debriefing

22. On-line (DG Market, UN Development Business, and/or Client Connection) publication of

contract awards will be required for all ICB, NCB, Direct Contracting and the Selection of

Consultants for contracts exceeding a value of US$200,000. In addition, where prequalification

has taken place, the list of pre-qualified bidders will be published. With regard to ICB, and

large-value consulting contracts, the Borrower will be required to assure publication of contract

awards as soon as IDA has issued its „no objection‟ notice to the recommended award. With

regard to Direct Contracting and NCB, publication of contract awards could be in aggregate form

on a quarterly basis and in local newspapers. All consultants competing for an assignment

involving the submission of separate technical and financial proposals, irrespective of its

estimated contract value, should be informed of the result of the technical evaluation (number of

points that each firm received), before the opening of the financial proposals. The PSU will be

required to offer debriefings to unsuccessful bidders and consultants, should the individual firms

request such a debriefing. All approved CAS/GIGs sub-projects details shall also be published

widely in public media and on a quarterly basis at the NCO web-site and each State Agency

web-site where one exists.

96

H. Details of the Procurement Arrangements Involving International Competition

23. Goods, Works, and Non Consulting Services

(a) List of contract packages to be procured following ICB and direct contracting:

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Ref.

No.

Contract

(Description)

Estimated

Cost

“000”

Procure

ment

Method

P-Q

Domestic

Preference

(yes/no)

Review

by Bank

(Prior/Post)

Expected

Bid-

Opening

Date

Comments

4x4 WD Jeep's,

4x4 WD DC Pick-

Ups & Mini-Buses

1,215.00 ICB NO YES PRIOR MARCH 05,

2009

Post Harvest

Processing

Equipment

6,250.00 ICB NO YES PRIOR MAY 21,

2009

Foundation

Seedlings I & II,

Certified Seeds,

Fertilizers, Agro-

chemical etc.

2,912.50 ICB NO YES PRIOR APRIL 16,

2009

Production

Equipment

Tractors, Animal

Traction, Soil &

Water Testing

Kits, Soil Tillers

9,852.50 ICB NO YES PRIOR JULY 28,

2009

Processing

Equipment

Threshers, Storage

Bins, Squeezers,

freezers etc. for

Fruit, Palm Oil,

Rice, Maize,

Cocoa, Fish, Daily

& Poultry etc.

3,244.30 ICB NO YES PRIOR AUGUST

27, 2009

Construction of

Rural Access

Roads/Rehabilitati

on of Rural

Roads/Road

Maintenance

20,000.00 ICB NO YES PRIOR FEBRUAR

Y 26, 2009

For the 5

Participating

States

Land Development 6,250.00 ICB NO YES PRIOR APRIL 07,

2009

For the 5

Participating

States

(b) ICB contracts estimated to cost above US$500,000 per contract and all direct contracting will

be subject to prior review by the Bank.

97

24. Consulting Services

(a) List of consulting assignments with short-list of international firms.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Ref. No.

Description of

Assignment

Estimated

Cost

Selection

Method

Review

by Bank

(Prior / Post)

Expected

Proposals

Submission

Date

Comments

CADP/CQ/BM

/01

Development of

Business Manuals for

Small and Medium

Commercial Farms.

375.00 QCBS PRIOR April 15,

2009

CADP/CQ/TA/

01

Technical Assistance

and Feasibility Study

for testing and

adoption of new

technologies for the

identified value

chains.

375.00 QCBS PRIOR May 20,

2009

CADP/CQ/WP

D/01

Web Portal

Development &

Establishment of

Commercial

Agriculture

Information Kiosks.

300.00 QCBS PRIOR April 20,

2009

(b) Consultancy services estimated to cost above US$200,000 per contract and single source

selection of consultants (firms) for assignments estimated to cost above US$100,000 will be

subject to prior review by the Bank.

(c) Short-lists composed entirely of national consultants: Shortlists of consultants for services

estimated to cost less than US$200,000 per contract may be composed entirely of national

consultants in accordance with the provisions of paragraph 2.7 of the Consultant Guidelines.

98

Annex 9: Economic and Financial Analysis

NIGERIA: Commercial Agriculture Development Project

9. 1 Overview of the Methodology

1. The Financial and Economic analysis was carried out for the major enterprises under the

eight CADP-focused value chains namely: Oil Palm, Fruit Trees, Rice, Cocoa, Aquaculture,

Dairy, Poultry and Maize. The enterprises include Milk Production, Layers Production, Paddy

Rice Production, Pineapple Production, Cocoa Production, Palm and Kernel Oil Extraction,

Citrus Production, Earthen Pond Aquaculture, Palm fruit Processing, Rice Milling, Pineapple

Processing, Citrus Processing, Broiler Production, Fingerlings Production, Maize Production and

Day-Old-Chicks Production. The objective of this analysis is to ascertain the financial and

economic viability and sustainability of the proposed Nigeria Commercial Agriculture

Development Project. The project is expected to be financially viable to the extent that it will

increase the net financial benefits to participants. Economic viability will be assessed based on

the ability of the project to generate net positive externalities to the agricultural sector of the

participating states. The sustainability objective is to ensure that the interventions proffered by

this project are sustained for at least 10 years after the end of the project.

9.2 Assumptions for Financial Analysis

2. The computation of the financial rate of returns for this project is based on the following

assumptions:

i. The project will directly benefit about 40,000 medium scale enterprises and 10,0004 small

scale enterprises based on the proportions stipulated in the PAD for the agricultural

production and commercialization and the rural infrastructure components of the project.

ii. The project is expected to result in yield increase of a modest 30% over the project life.

This target is expected to start within the first year of project up to the optimum specified

for the value chain of interest. Yield increase is expected from the adoption of improved

technology of production, increased availability of energy, and accessibility to high

quality inputs.

iii. The project will result in reduced unit cost of production and increased capacity

utilization. The reduction in costs will result from improved technology adoption.

Another source of unit cost reduction is the expected decline in energy and transportation

costs due to the project activities in the area of infrastructural development. A capacity

utilization of 60 percent is assumed for processing enterprises based on standard practice

in the industry.

iv. It is assumed that all outputs are sold at the prevailing market prices.

v. Investments by project beneficiaries are partly from equity and partly from borrowed

funds. The PAD has made provision for external financing of beneficiaries.

vi. Project life is 5 years but cash flow projection is for 15 years.

vii. The unit of analysis is the enterprise module which varies according to the enterprise.

4 The PAD of CADP specifies a ratio of 80:20 except for Maize staple crop which is reversed.

99

9.3 Assumptions for Economic Analysis

3. The computation of economic rates of returns for this project is based on the following

assumptions:

i. The output and input markets are competitive; therefore this analysis used the

international market prices of tradable goods as the true reflection of opportunity costs.

ii. The analysis used domestic market prices of non-tradable goods as true reflection of

opportunity costs.

iii. Costs and benefits are adjusted for foreign exchange premium to account for foreign

exchange market distortion5.

iv. There is a 15% increase in the size of the business of the average participating

commercial producer, processor, or input supplier over the life of the project. It also

assumes a 0.3% increase in labour use for every 1% expansion in production capacity.

These formed the basis for generating the employment impact of the project.

v. The project will directly benefit an average of 3,125 participants under each of the

modelled 16 enterprises. The distribution of beneficiaries is done along enterprises and

not on participating states‟ basis.

vi. The average size of commercial enterprises at the steady state of the project is expected

to be: 25 hectares for crop production, 30 cattle heads for dairy, 3,000 birds for poultry

production, 1.35 hectares for aquaculture, and 3,000 tonnes per annum for processing.

vii. Fertilizer prices are currently subsidized to the tune of 25% by the Federal Government

of Nigeria, consequently; their prices are adjusted for the subsidy.

viii. For the purpose of this analysis, the economic analysis treats tax and subsidies as transfer

payments. For financial analysis, such adjustments are unnecessary because taxes have

been treated as costs and subsidies as revenue.

ix. The distribution of project costs over the life of the project is presented in the cost tables.

x. The project implementation period is 5 years but the streams of costs and benefits are

extended over 15years period for all the value chains with a total project cost of

US$185.00M.

9.4 Description of Data

4. The following were used as inputs into the financial and economic analysis:

i. Input-output technical coefficients of all relevant enterprises in the value chains.

ii. Domestic market prices of all relevant value chain inputs and outputs are at 2008 constant

prices.

iii. Macroeconomic indicators and policy variables such as interest rates, Composite Price

Index, inflation rates, foreign exchange rates and transfer payments.

iv. Project costs.

5 Foreign exchange premium over the project life of 5 years was computed based on disparity between CPIs and

Inflation rates of Nigeria and the US.

100

9.5 Analytical Procedure

9.5.1 Computation of Financial Rate of Returns

5. The financial analysis starts with the construction of modules of on-farm and off-farm

enterprise budgets for all relevant enterprises in the project value chains. All costs and revenues

were prepared for a production year cycle which may involve multiple cycles of production per

year for some enterprises.

.

i. The financial analysis is done for „without project‟ and „with project‟ scenarios.

ii. Incremental net benefits are estimated for each enterprise module and financial rate of

return, benefit-cost ratio and Net Present Value (NPV) computed for each enterprise

module.

iii. Incremental net benefits stream for the average producer under each of the 16 enterprise

models were estimated by assuming a target production capacity for the average project

beneficiary. The analysis assumed the following average business sizes for project

beneficiaries: crop production (25 hectares of land), poultry production (3,000 birds), and

aquaculture (1.35 hectares of pond area), dairy production (30 heads), processing

capacity (3,000 tonnes/annum). See Table 9.1 below.

iv. The net incremental benefits obtained for the average beneficiary was aggregated to

obtain the flow of incremental net benefits for the projected 50,000 project participants.

v. Financial Rate of Return and NPV were estimated for the entire project.

Table 9.1: Estimated Average Business Size for Project Enterprise Groups

Enterprise

group

Small Scale Producers Medium Scale

Producers

Average

Producer *

Range Mean Range Mean

Crop

production

(Hectares)

2-10 6.25 10-50 30 25

Poultry

production (No

of birds)

500-1000 750 2000-5000 3500 3000

Aquaculture

(Hectares)

0.5-1.0 0.75 1-2 1.5 1.35

Dairy

production

(Heads)

10-15 12.5 20-50 35 30

Processing

(Metric Tonnes)

<2000 1000 2000-5000 3500 3000

*The average producer is a weighted average of small and medium scale commercial producers.

20% are assumed to be small-scale producers and 80% to be medium scale producers based on

information from the PAD.

101

9.5.2 Computation of Economic Rate of Return (ERR)

i. ERR is computed from the economic cash flow analysis.

ii. Relevant elements of financial analysis are re-valued to reflect their economic

(opportunity cost) values.

iii. The stream of incremental net economic benefit from each model enterprise is estimated

for all project beneficiaries.

iv. These figures are carried into the economic accounts for the project and all project costs

are incorporated.

v. The economic NPV and ERR of the project were then estimated.

9.5.3 Estimation of Job Creation and Impact on Income

i. The analysis assumes a 15% expansion in productive capacity of the average beneficiary

over the period of the project. It also assumes a 0.3% increase in labour use for every 1%

expansion in productive capacity.

ii. Using this assumption, the additional jobs to be created over the 15 year-period was

estimated.

iii. The expected impact of project on income levels of beneficiaries was computed on

enterprise basis. This impact was calculated as the percentage increase in the NPV of

project over the net benefit of the “without project” year.

9.5.4 Sensitivity Analysis and Switching Value Test

6. In agricultural projects like the CADP, it is important to test for the effects of probable

changes in prices and costs on earning capacity. Four scenarios were modelled under the

sensitivity analysis; these are 10%, and 20% reduction in output prices as well as costs overruns.

The tests were performed on the aggregate model to determine their effects on the earning

capacity of the project.

7. The switching value analysis was performed to determine the proportion by which the

benefits from the project will have to decline before the NPV falls to zero (break-even-point) and

Benefit Cost ratio (BCR) to 1, and project becomes unfavourable. The switching value was

found to be 28% for this project. At this point, the ERR was equal to the opportunity cost of

capital invested.

9.6 Economic and Financial Analysis

8. The analysis adopts the modular approach for all the enterprises that are captured by the

value chains under this Commercial Agriculture Development Project (CADP). The estimation

of direct project impact on the income of beneficiaries was estimated using the net present values

for each enterprise.

9. The financial analysis presented herein is adequate to estimate the profitability of the

enterprises under the eight (8) value chains of interest to this project. It has established the

measures of project worth and also the likelihood that the entrepreneurs and their EIGs can

access credit through further evaluation of creditworthiness by banks and other credit sources.

102

10. The analysis compared „with‟ and „without‟ project scenarios. There are indirect benefits

to non-project beneficiaries arising from almost all the project components especially technology

diffusion, rural access roads and energy (with respect to processing). For example, neighbouring

farmers will adopt new technologies being used by project farmers. Similarly, roads constructed

by the project will be beneficial to all and sundry with direct impact on transportation cost and

indirect impact on firm-level efficiency gains and profitability levels. Table 9.2 below contains

the direct impact of the project on income of beneficiaries.

Table 9.2 Estimated Project Impact on Beneficiaries’ Income Levels and Employment

Enterprises

Employment

Creation

(No of Jobs)

Impact on

Income Levels

(%)

1 Dairy Production 13.70 18.18

2 Layers Production 1325.38 215.84 3 Rice Production 11.34 228.71 4 Pineapple Production 11.34 502.10 5 Cocoa Production 11.34 52.21 6 Palm Fruit Production 11.34 113.47 7 Citrus Production 11.34 40.76 8 Earthen Pond Aquaculture 606.53 497.50 9 Palm Fruit Processing 1347.84 193.14

10 Rice Milling 1347.84 63.01 11 Pine Apple Processing 1347.84 106.19 12 Citrus Processing 1347.84 104.58 13 Broiler Production 1325.38 574.5 14 Fingerlings Production 4.13 23.45 15 Day Old Chicks Production 1325.38 65.99 16 Maize 4.94 65.19

Aggregate 10053.50 191.55

11. The direct impact on project beneficiaries‟ income level is estimated to vary between

18.18% for Milk production and 575% for broiler production. The indirect impact of project

activities on income levels of non-project beneficiaries is expected to make the project impact

even higher. These impacts are expected to come from rural access road and energy that will

help in reducing transportation and production costs.

12. Besides the effect on income levels, the project will also have significant impact on

employment, which is expected to increase by at least 10,053.5 new jobs over the fifteen year

period of analysis. The jobs to be created will equally have some multiplier effects on the society

through poverty reduction and contribution to aggregate increases in national incomes.

13. The sixteen prototype enterprises included in the financial analysis were treated as on-

going concerns because the project document stipulates that participants must have been in

business for a minimum period of three years. All the enterprises show profitable financial and

economic rates of return as presented in Table 9.3 below.

103

Table 9.3: Estimated Financial and Economic Rates of Return on Value Chain Enterprises.

Enterprises

Estimated

ERR

(%)

NPV*

(Econ)

(US$’ Million)

Estimated

FRR

(%)

NPV (Fin)*

(US$’ Million)

1 Dairy Production 0.19

42.26 0.18 36.19

2 Layers Production 0.22

72.57 0.22 72.57

3 Rice Production 0.19

22.69 0.20 26.22

4 Pineapple Production 0.13

4.62 0.25 51.18

5 Cocoa Production 0.25

203.07 0.18 73.91

6 Palm Fruit Production 0.19

71.18 0.21 89.04

7 Citrus Production 0.20

190.04 0.21 207.91

8 Earthen Pond

Aquaculture 0.20

90.68

0.20 95.16 9 Palm Fruit Processing

0.14

9.40 0.16 22.55 10 Rice Milling

0.12

0.71 0.22 66.45 11 Pine Apple Processing

0.14

17.51 0.16 33.92 12 Citrus Processing

0.13

0.14 0.14 22.30 13 Broiler Production

0.23

18.88 0.22 17.31 14 Fingerlings Production

0.20

71.55 0.22 81.01 15 Day Old Chicks

Production 0.17

247.23

0.23 467.90 16 Maize

0.19

13.04 0.15 5.51

Aggregate

1088.10 1369.13

*Conversion rate is N120 to US$1.00

14. Empirical evidence from the two measures of project worth namely; FRR and NPV as

reported in Table 9.3 indicate that there is sufficient incentive for the participants to embark on

any of the enterprises within the value chains.

15. The estimated financial rates of return (FRR) for the enterprises range between 14% for

citrus processing to 25% for pineapple production. The profitability of many enterprises is

further reinforced by the high net present values as shown in Table 9.3.

16. Fifty thousand direct beneficiaries are targeted for the five-year duration of this project

from a total investment amount of US$185 million.

104

17. The overall Economic Internal Rate of Return for this project is 17%.

Table 9.4: Financial and Economic Cash Flows (US$ 000)

Financial Analysis Yr 01 Yr 02 Yr 03 Yr 04 Yr 05

1 No. of Participants

(without phasing)

50000 50000 50000 50000 50000

2 Investment Costs 6354.6 5632.7 3963.8 2659.8 1360.7

3 Pre-investment Costs 1000.0 - - - -

4 Technical Assistance,

Management and

Monitoring

5074.9 3844.7 2914.6 2605.6 3136.2

5 Total Project Costs 59030.1 50783.2 35946.1 24771.0 14475.0

6 Net Cash Flow (2989870.0) 690700.0 549420.0 449380.0 565530.0

7 Financial Internal Rate of

Return

0.21 - - - -

8 Net Present Value (12%) 1502240.0

Economic Analysis Yr 01 Yr 02 Yr 03 Yr 04 Yr 05-15

9 Net Cash Flow (3161230.0) 670590.0 532520.0 382590.0 509480.0

10 Economic Internal Rate of

Return

0.18

11 Net Present Value (12%) 1204720.0

9.6.3 Sensitivity Analysis

18. The advantage of economic and financial analysis is that they can be used to test what

happens to earning capacity of the project if assumptions made during planning about prices,

costs, become invalid by circumstances in the real world.

19. For the purpose of this analysis, the sensitivity test assumes a ten and twenty percent

increase in costs and reduction in prices of outputs.

20. Sensitivity analysis was carried out on both the financial and economic rates of return

which were estimated to be 20% and 17%, respectively. The first scenario was analyzed by

estimating the effect of 10% reduction in output prices. The FRR and ERR dropped to 18% and

15% respectively. The second scenario assumes a 20% reduction in output prices and this

resulted in a decline of FRR and ERR to 16% and 13%, respectively. In the third scenario, a

10% increase in all costs resulted in a decline of FRR to 19% and ERR to 16%. The fourth

scenario involves a 20% cost overrun which resulted in the decline of FRR to 18% and ERR to

15%. These are the worst-case scenario that the project is likely to experience.

21. The switching value test determines the proportion by which the benefits will reduce

before the NPV becomes zero. Benefits will have to decline by 28% from the current level for

the project to be at break-even point. The zero NPV achieved makes the corresponding ERR

105

(12%) equal to the opportunity cost of capital and also makes the Benefit/Cost Ratio to be equal

to one (BCR=1).

22. The rates of return are also dependent on macroeconomic conditions and investment

climate in Nigeria that are outside the control of project management. However, the baseline

studies and other pre-investment studies are within the project management control. If due

diligence is observed in the formation of the economic interest groups and with strict adherence

to terms and conditions in this financial analysis, the rates of return herein are achievable.

9.6.4 Distribution of Benefits

23. The distribution of benefits among the four categories of the value chains is presented in

Table 9.5 below.

Table 9.5: Distribution of Benefits (US$ Million)

Net

Benefit

Yr 01 Yr 02 Yr 03 Yr 04 Yr 05 Yr 06-15 Total %

Contribution

Crops

Producers

(799.07) 40.01 81.21 126.65 189.10 309.21 2730.03 38.88

Livestock

Producers

(388.96) 0.99 35.70 97.74 126.80 131.69 1189.16 16.94

Processors

(744.21) 129.60 130.99 132.41 130.9 136.08 881.91 12.56

Inputs

Suppliers

(1173.12) 469.55 253.7 64.75 31.83 260.89 2220.48 31.62

Total

(3105.37) 640.15 501.63 351.25 243.63 837.87 7021.57

24. From the breakdown of net incremental benefits among the various players within the

eight value chains, the livestock producers (having 4 representative enterprises) have the lowest

amount of US$1,189.16 over the fifteen-year period of analysis. The crops producers consisting

of 6 enterprises have the highest net incremental benefit of US$2,730.03 over the same period.

25. Out of the total net benefit accruable/expected from the entire project, 38.88% is

attributable to crops producers, 16.94% to livestock producers, 12.56% to processors, while

31.62% is accounted for by the inputs supply sub-sector.

106

Annex 10: Safeguard Policy Issues

NIGERIA: Commercial Agriculture Development Project

Potential Long-Term Impacts

1. This project falls into Environmental Category B as no adverse long term impacts are

anticipated. No long-term adverse impacts were identified in the prepared safeguards

instruments: Environmental and Social Management Framework (ESMF); Resettlement Policy

Framework (RPF); and Pest Management Plan (PMP). This project will not fund activities that

will cause an adverse effect on the environment or any form of land acquisition or restriction of

access to sources of livelihoods.

2. The proposed project development objective is to strengthen agricultural production

systems and facilitate access to market for targeted value chains among small and medium scale

commercial farmers in the five participating states. These value chains are: oil palm, cocoa, fruit

trees, poultry, aquaculture and dairy, with maize and rice as staples.

3. The project has two components, namely: (i) Agricultural Production and

Commercialization; and (ii) Rural Infrastructure.

4. The ESMF, PMP and RPF carried out during project preparation have provided

mechanisms to identify impacts beyond the generic ones for which standard mitigation measures

are built and to be applied during the implementation phase. The safeguards impacts identified

are not expected to have any long-term or cumulative impacts. The potential environmental

concerns as identified in the Environmental and Social Management Framework (ESMF) are

those associated with (i) rehabilitation and maintenance of rural roads and energy, including

provision of transformers and extension of power lines to connect commercial farmers and agro-

processing facilities and (ii) agricultural development and commercialization which will lead to

increased production volumes and value added processing and marketing capacity of

agribusiness involved in commodity chains. Environmental protection clauses will be included in

the contract documents for small-scale infrastructure like rehabilitation and/or construction of

rural access roads. The rural access roads rehabilitation and maintenance are expected to have a

limited negative environmental impact since the works will follow the existing alignments.

Project Location and Salient Physical Characteristics Relevant to the Safeguard Analysis

5 It is expected that the project operations will be in five states: Lagos, Kano, Kaduna,

Enugu and Cross River. However, a repeater project is planned to expand to other states after the

closure of this operation.

Measures Taken by the Borrower to Address Safeguard Issues

6. Since the locations and potential negative localized impacts of the future sub-projects were

not known at appraisal, the Borrower has prepared an Environmental and Social Management

Framework (ESMF), a Pest Management Plan (PMP), and a Resettlement Policy Framework

(RPF) for the purpose of identifying and mitigating potential negative environmental and social

impacts at the sub-project planning stage.

107

7. In order to avoid or minimize impacts associated with activities to be funded under the

proposed project, mitigation measures will be implemented as part of sub-project construction

and operation to ensure compliance with national and international environmental and social

guidelines and standards. The ESMF outlines the environmental and social screening process for

sub-projects and proposes capacity building measures, including cost estimates. The ESMF

includes (i) an Environmental Management Plan; (ii) Environmental Guidelines for Contractors;

and (iii) an environmental and social checklists for sub-projects screening.

8. The RPF outlines the policies and procedures to be followed in the event that sub-projects

require land acquisition. The RPF was prepared to minimize and mitigate the potential negative

impacts resulting from project investments. Experience shows that the environmental and social

impacts of infrastructure rehabilitation and maintenance projects are considerably lower than that

of new construction. The RPF provides the overarching framework by which potential

resettlement issues will be addressed. The PMP shows the procedures and steps to be undertaken

to address pest management concerns including capacity building in Integrated Pest Management

(IPM).

9. The three instruments of ESMF, PMP and RPF were discussed in-country on January 12,

2008 and at the Info shop on January 22, 2008.

10. The State Commercial and Agriculture Development Office (SCADO) will be responsible

for the implementation of the ESMF, PMP and RPF. Consultants will be engaged to prepare

Resettlement Action Plans and Environmental Management Plans (EMPs) or Environmental

Impact Assessments (EIAs) as and when necessary. The SCADO will have in place an

environmental officer. This specialist will be responsible for implementing the recommendations

contained in these safeguards instruments, and he/she will be complemented with short-term

national social/environmental safeguards consultants as and when the need arises.

108

Annex 11: Project Preparation and Supervision

NIGERIA: Commercial Agriculture Development Project

Planned Actual

PCN review 09/20/2007 09/20/2007

Initial PID to PIC 10/06/2006 10/17/2006

Initial ISDS to PIC 09/26/2007 09/25/2007

Appraisal 03/24/2008 07/21/2008 – 08/08/2008

Negotiations 09/30/2008 11/26/2008

Board/RVP approval 01/15/2009

Planned date of effectiveness 04/15/2009

Planned date of mid-term review 04/15/2012

Planned closing date 12/31/2014

Key institutions responsible for preparation of the project:

(i) National Food Reserve Agency of the Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Water Resources

(ii) State Agricultural Development Programmes/Ministries of Agriculture from Kano, Kaduna,

Lagos, Cross River and Enugu states

(iii) Federal Ministry of Finance

(iv) Federal Ministry of Environment and Works

(v) National Planning Commission

(vi) African Development Bank

(vii) Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations

(viii) Department for International Development

(ix) United States Agency for International Development

(x) Mars International

Bank staff and consultants who worked on the project included:

Name Title Unit

Lucas Akapa Task Team Leader AFTAR

Simeon Ehui Lead Economist/Sector Leader AFTAR

Adubi Abimbola Senior Agricultural Specialist AFTAR

Nwanze Okidegbe Consultant ARD

Vijayasekar Kalavakonda Senior Insurance Specialist FPDSN

Justin Runji Senior Transport Specialist AFTTR

Waqar Haider Senior Energy Specialist AFTENG

Mohua Mukherjee Senior Energy Specialist AFTENG

Ismail Radwan Senior Private Sector Development Specialist AFTFP

Modupe Dayo Olorunfemi Team Assistant AFCW2

Aisha Kaga Team Assistant AFCW2

Azra Lodi Senior Program Assistant AFTAR

109

Name Title Unit

Hawanty Page Senior Program Assistant AFTAR

Wendy Wiltshire Operations Analyst AFTAR

Sidi Jammeh Consultant AFTAR

Rosemary Cubagee Consultant AFTAR

Subramaniam Janakiram Consultant ECSPS

Jeanette Sutherland Consultant AFTAR

Thomas Muenzel Economist FAO/CP

Michael Morris Lead Economist AFTAR

Poonam Gupta Senior Monitoring and Evaluation Specialist AFTRL

Akinrinmola Oyenuga Akinyele Financial Management Specialist AFTFM

Adenike Oyeyiola Senior Financial Management Specialist OPCFM

Sunday Acheneje Procurement Analyst AFTPC

Bayo Awosemusi Senior Procurement Specialist AFTPC

Mary Asanato Procurement Specialist AFTPC

Macmillan Ikemefule Anyanwu Operations Officer AFTRL

Iain Shuker Lead Agriculture Economist EASRE

Foluso Okunmadewa Lead Social Protection Specialist AFTH3

Stephen Mink Peer Reviewer AFTSN

Dina Umali-Deininger Peer Reviewer SASDA

Eustacious Betubiza Peer Reviewer ECSSD

Steven Jaffee Peer Reviewer ARD

Chukwudi Okafor Senior Social Development Specialist AFTCS

Obadiah Tohomdet Communication Officer AFREX

Africa Olojoba Senior Environmental Specialist AFTEN

Henry Bagazonzya Senior Financial Sector Specialist SASFP

Pierre Werbrouck Consultant LCSAR

T. Mpoy-Kamulayi Lead Counsel LEGAF

Rajiv Sondhi Senior Finance Officer LOAFC

Bank funds expended to date on project preparation:

1. Bank resources: US$762,000.00

2. Trust funds: PHRD US$800,000.00

3. Total: US$1,562,000.00

Estimated Approval and Supervision costs:

1. Remaining costs to approval: $5,000.00

2. Estimated annual supervision cost: $150,000.00

110

Annex 12: Documents in the Project File

NIGERIA: Commercial Agriculture Development Project

1. Request for Co-financing of Fadama III and Commercial Agriculture - Letter from the

Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Water Resources to the Federal Ministry of Finance, 2007

2. Request for IDA Credit to Finance Fadama III and Commercial Agriculture - Letter from the

Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Water Resources to the Federal Ministry of Finance, 2007

3. Extension - NIGERIA: Japanese Grant for Preparation of Proposed Commercial Agriculture

Development Project - Extension of Closing Date of PHRD Grant, TF057799, 2007

4. Potential Beneficiaries for CADP in Kano State, 2007

5. Integrated Safeguards Data Sheet (ISDS) Concept Stage, 2007

6. Kaduna Map (Intervention Site for Commercial Agriculture Project), 2007

7. The PHRD Grant Package - Request, Letter Agreement and the Disbursement Letter, 2007

8. Project Appraisal Document Data Sheet, 2007

9. Commercial Agriculture (Kano) - Submission of Stakeholders workshop completion report,

2007

10. Letter from the Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development Re: Indication of

Interest to Participate in the Proposed CADP in the States of Cross River, Enugu, Kaduna, Kano

and Lagos, 2007.

11. Application for Project Preparation Technical Assistance Grant FY 07 Round 1 Japan PHRD

Technical Assistance Program, 2007

12. Letter from Lagos State Government - Re: Expression of Interest to Participate in the

Commercial Agriculture Development Project.

13. Draft Project Implementation Plan (PIM)

14. Project Cost Tables

111

15. Safeguard Documents:

(i) Environmental and Social Management Framework (ESMF)

(ii) Pest Management Plan (PMP)

(iii) Resettlement Policy Framework (RPF)

16. Bank Staff Assessments:

(iv) Project Concept Note (PCN) Minutes

(v) Quality Enhancement Review (QER) Report

17. Studies under PHRD Grants:

Technical Studies

(vi) Baseline Studies

(vii) Supply Chain Assessment

(viii) Business Development Support (BDS) Market Analysis

(ix) Commodity Feasibility Assessment

(x) Environmental and Social Impact Assessment

(xi) Awareness Raising and Private Sector Mobilization

(xii) Commodity Supply Chain Assessment

(xiii) Project Implementation Manual (PIM)

18. Grant Scheme

19. Maps of areas of Interventions in the Participating States.

20. Assessment of rural network of roads and energy.

112

Annex 13: Statement of Loans and Credits

NIGERIA: Commercial Agriculture Development Project

Original Amount in US$ Millions

Difference between

expected and actual

disbursements

Project ID FY Purpose IBRD IDA SF GEF Cancel. Undisb. Orig. Frm. Rev‟d

P103189 2007 3A-Africa Stockpiles1 MMT GEF (FY07) 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.40 0.00 9.12 0.00 0.00

P094103 2007 3A-Telecommunications APL (FY07) 0.00 144.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 166.36 0.00 0.00

P094084 2007 3A-W.Af Agric Prod Prgm APL WAAPP

(FY07)

0.00 45.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.85 0.00 0.00

P094917 2006 3A-WAPP APL 1 (CTB Phase 2) Project 0.00 60.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.45 0.00 0.00

P094916 2006 3A-WAPP APL 2 (OMVS Felou HEP) 0.00 75.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.36 0.00 0.00

P093826 2006 3A-SRB M. Water Res. Dvpt. APL (FY06) 0.00 91.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 107.84 -4.00 0.00

P083751 2006 3A-West and Central Afr Air Tran TAL (FY06)

0.00 11.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.98 -1.65 0.00

P075776 2006 3A-W Africa Stockpiles 1 GEF (FY06) 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.74 0.00 5.12 3.49 0.00

P079734 2006 3A-E Afr Trade and Transp Facil (FY06) 0.00 184.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 167.29 24.48 0.00

P092473 2005 3A-Afr Emergency Locust Prj (FY05) 0.00 59.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.28 14.44 -4.14

P080413 2005 3A-HIV/AIDs Great Lakes Init APL (FY05)

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.83 3.66 0.00

P080406 2005 3A-ARCAN SIL (FY05) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.03 1.12 0.00

P075994 2005 3A-WAPP Phase 1 APL 1 (FY05) 0.00 40.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.72 6.89 0.00

P070547 2005 3A-GEF Grndwtr and Drght Mgmt TAL

(FY05)

0.00 0.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 6.35 1.68 0.00

P082613 2004 3A-Regional HIVAIDS Treatment Prj (FY04)

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.95 22.94 0.00

P074850 2004 3A-HIV/AIDS Abidjan Lagos Trnspt (FY04)

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.84 0.40 0.00

P074525 2004 3A-WAEMU Capital Markets Dev FIL

(FY04)

0.00 96.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.46 76.91 45.59

P070256 2004 3A-GEF Niger River Basin (FY04) 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.00 0.00 3.90 4.20 0.00

P069258 2004 3A-Southern Afr Power Mrkt APL 1 (FY04)

0.00 178.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 192.44 168.57 0.00

P064573 2004 3A-GEF Senegal River Basin (FY04) 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.26 0.00 2.67 4.70 0.00

P070252 2003 3A-GEF Lake Chad Basin (FY03) 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.90 0.00 1.72 2.90 2.32

P072881 2003 3A-BEAC Reg Payment System (FY03) 0.00 14.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.03 5.07 0.00

P070073 2003 3A-GEF Nile Transbound Env Action (FY03)

0.00 0.00 0.00 8.00 0.00 8.04 13.74 0.00

P063683 2001 3A-Trade Facil SIL (FY01) 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.85 -0.31 0.62

Total: 0.00 1,006.34 0.00 71.30 0.00 1,122.48 349.23 44.39

113

STATEMENT OF IFC‟s

Held and Disbursed Portfolio

In Millions of US Dollars

Committed Disbursed

IFC IFC

FY Approval Company Loan Equity Quasi Partic. Loan Equity Quasi Partic.

1999 AIF 0.00 16.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.00 0.00

1999 AIF (Mgmt) 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

2003 AIFH 0.00 18.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00

2005 Afren 0.00 0.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.80 0.00 0.00

2005 Africa Re 0.00 0.00 10.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.40 0.00

2002 Africap 0.00 1.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.06 0.00 0.00

2006 Cape II 0.00 9.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00

2005 Celtel 0.00 11.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.83 0.00 0.00

2005 LFI 0.00 2.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.00 0.00

2004 Olam 30.00 5.60 0.00 0.00 30.00 5.60 0.00 0.00

2002 Osprey 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00

2001 PAIP 0.00 27.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.62 0.00 0.00

2002 SABCO 0.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.00 0.00 0.00

2006 SABCO 20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

2006 Standard Bank GR 0.00 0.00 75.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

2004 Tullow 0.00 14.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.40 0.00 0.00

2006 Veolia Water AMI 44.62 31.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Total portfolio: 94.62 150.08 85.40 0.00 30.00 55.93 10.40 0.00

Approvals Pending Commitment

FY Approval Company Loan Equity Quasi Partic.

2006 ARECO 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00

2006 Brait IV 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00

2004 BusPartners 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

2003 African Lakes 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00

2006 CCS 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00

Total pending commitment: 0.02 0.06 0.00 0.00

114

Annex 14: Country at a Glance

NIGERIA: Commercial Agriculture Development Project

Sub-

POVERTY and SOCIAL Saharan Low-

Nigeria Africa income

2007

Population, mid-year (millions) 148.0 800 1,296

GNI per capita (Atlas method, US$) 920 952 578

GNI (Atlas method, US$ billions) 136.3 762 749

Average annual growth, 2001-07

Population (%) 2.4 2.5 2.2

Labor force (%) 2.5 2.6 2.7

Most recent estimate (latest year available, 2001-07)

Poverty (% of population below national poverty line) .. .. ..

Urban population (% of total population) 48 36 32

Life expectancy at birth (years) 47 51 57

Infant mortality (per 1,000 live births) 99 94 85

Child malnutrition (% of children under 5) 27 27 29

Access to an improved water source (% of population) 47 58 68

Literacy (% of population age 15+) 69 59 61

Gross primary enrollment (% of school-age population) 96 94 94

Male 105 99 100

Female 87 88 89

KEY ECONOMIC RATIOS and LONG-TERM TRENDS

1987 1997 2006 2007

GDP (US$ billions) 23.4 36.2 146.9 165.5

Gross capital formation/GDP .. .. .. ..

Exports of goods and services/GDP 28.6 45.0 43.2 40.3

Gross domestic savings/GDP .. .. .. ..

Gross national savings/GDP .. .. .. ..

Current account balance/GDP -7.4 7.8 9.5 2.1

Interest payments/GDP 2.6 1.5 0.2 ..

Total debt/GDP 123.8 78.5 5.2 ..

Total debt service/exports 14.1 8.9 10.6 ..

Present value of debt/GDP .. .. 4.7 ..

Present value of debt/exports .. .. 10.8 ..

1987-97 1997-07 2006 2007 2007-11

(average annual growth)

GDP 4.0 5.4 6.2 5.9 7.9

GDP per capita 1.0 2.8 3.7 3.6 5.7

Exports of goods and services .. .. .. .. ..

STRUCTURE of the ECONOMY

0

5

10

15

02 03 04 05 06 07

GCF GDP

Growth of capital and GDP (%)

Nigeria

Low-income group

Development diamond*

Life expectancy

Access to improved water source

GNI

per

capita

Gross

primary

enrollment

Nigeria

Low-income group

Economic ratios*

Trade

Indebtedness

Domestic

savings

Capital

formation

1987 1997 2006 2007

(% of GDP)

Agriculture .. .. 32.0 32.6

Industry .. .. 41.9 39.3

Manufacturing .. .. 2.6 ..

Services .. .. 26.1 28.1

Household final consumption expenditure .. .. .. ..

General gov't final consumption expenditure .. .. .. ..

Imports of goods and services 24.7 37.8 28.1 29.7

1987-97 1997-07 2006 2007

(average annual growth)

Agriculture .. 7.0 7.4 7.4

Industry .. 3.8 -1.0 -2.9

Manufacturing .. .. .. ..

Services .. 14.3 12.4 12.9

Household final consumption expenditure .. .. .. ..

General gov't final consumption expenditure .. .. .. ..

Gross capital formation .. .. .. ..

Imports of goods and services .. .. .. ..

Note: 2007 data are preliminary estimates.

This table was produced from the Development Economics LDB database.

* The diamonds show four key indicators in the country (in bold) compared with its income-group average. If data are missing, the diamond will

be incomplete.

0

5

10

15

02 03 04 05 06 07

GCF GDP

Growth of capital and GDP (%)

115

Nigeria

P R IC ES and GOVER N M EN T F IN A N C E

1987 1997 2006 2007

D o mestic prices

(% change)

Consumer prices 11.3 8.3 8.3 5.5

Implicit GDP deflator 50.1 1.4 19.6 5.1

Go vernment f inance

(% of GDP, includes current grants)

Current revenue .. 20.0 34.1 29.2

Current budget balance .. 11.6 13.5 8.4

Overall surplus/deficit .. 1.0 7.7 1.4

T R A D E

1987 1997 2006 2007

(US$ millions)

Total exports (fob) 7,532 15,539 59,113 64,047

Fuel 6,994 14,850 53,464 56,577

Liquified natural gas .. .. 4,602 6,110

M anufactures .. 40 .. ..

Total imports (cif) 6,392 10,246 30,911 38,944

Food 671 1,219 .. ..

Fuel and energy 27 143 .. ..

Capital goods .. .. .. ..

Export price index (2000=100) 64 71 229 261

Import price index (2000=100) 89 109 125 126

Terms of trade (2000=100) 71 65 182 207

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

01 02 03 04 05 06 07

Exports Imports

Expo rt and impo rt levels (US$ mill.)

0

10

20

30

40

02 03 04 05 06 07

GDP def lator CPI

Inf lat io n (%)

B A LA N C E o f P A YM EN T S

1987 1997 2006 2007

(US$ millions)

Exports o f goods and services 7,757 15,661 62,613 67,225

Imports o f goods and services 6,689 12,448 40,766 49,641

Resource balance 1,068 3,213 21,847 17,584

Net income -2,770 -2,215 -11,254 -17,531

Net current transfers .. 1,841 3,400 3,414

Current account balance -1,727 2,840 13,994 3,467

Financing items (net) 1,649 221 -97 6,037

Changes in net reserves 78 -3,061 -13,897 -9,503

M emo :

Reserves including go ld (US$ millions) .. .. 41,830 51,333

Conversion rate (DEC, local/US$) 4.6 81.1 127.4 125.8

EXT ER N A L D EB T and R ESOUR C E F LOWS

1987 1997 2006 2007

(US$ millions)

Total debt outstanding and disbursed 29,021 28,455 7,693 ..

IBRD 2,939 2,373 534 381

IDA 32 410 1,541 1,929

Total debt service 1,106 1,416 6,805 ..

IBRD 332 519 244 201

IDA 1 4 33 35

Composition of net resource flows

Official grants 14 27 11,383 ..

Official creditors 378 -267 -4,276 ..

Private creditors 425 -258 -1,502 ..

Foreign direct investment (net inflows) 611 1,539 5,445 ..

Portfo lio equity (net inflows) 0 0 0 ..

World Bank program

Commitments 71 0 255 685

Disbursements 385 260 362 335

Principal repayments 125 339 230 196

Net flows 260 -79 132 139

Interest payments 209 183 47 41

Net transfers 52 -262 85 99

Note: This table was produced from the Development Economics LDB database. 9/24/08

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

01 02 03 04 05 06 07

C urrent acco unt balance to GD P (%)

G: 3,893

A: 534

D: 777

B: 1,541

F: 673

E: 275

A - IBRD

B - IDA

C - IM F

D - Other mult ilateral

E - Bilateral

F - Private

G - Short-term

C o mpo sit io n o f 2006 debt (US$ mill.)

116

Annex 15: Map

MAP TO BE INSERTED HERE