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Doha Q2 2016 Review Hotel Market Quarterly Report Doha | Hotels Q2 2016

Doha Q2 2016 Review - Colliers International...2 Doha Q2 2016 Review | Aug 2016 | Hotels | Colliers International Q2 2014 Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Forecast FY 2016 Doha SUPPLY Doha saw an influx

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Page 1: Doha Q2 2016 Review - Colliers International...2 Doha Q2 2016 Review | Aug 2016 | Hotels | Colliers International Q2 2014 Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Forecast FY 2016 Doha SUPPLY Doha saw an influx

Doha Q2 2016 ReviewHotel Market

Quarterly Report

Doha | Hotels

Q2 2016

Page 2: Doha Q2 2016 Review - Colliers International...2 Doha Q2 2016 Review | Aug 2016 | Hotels | Colliers International Q2 2014 Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Forecast FY 2016 Doha SUPPLY Doha saw an influx

Doha Q2 2016 Review | Aug 2016 | Hotels | Colliers International2

Q2 2014 Q2 2015 Q2 2016 ForecastFY 2016

DohaSUPPLY

Doha saw an influx of 538 hotel keys in Q2 2016. The

most recent openings included properties such as the

Moevenpick Al Aziziyah and the Centro Capital Doha.

Supply is expected to grow at a strong pace, with a large

pipeline over the next few years. However, more than

20% of the announced forthcoming supply has already

been delayed by one or more years, which leaves more

time for the market to absorb the new supply.

MARKET PERFORMANCE

Due to a drop in oil prices, slowing economic activity and

Ramadan, hotels experienced a decline in demand during

the second quarter of 2016. The hotel market occupancy

is forecasted to close 2016 at 64%, which is still relatively

higher than the occupancy rate in some GCC cities who

are also heavily reliant on the corporate segment.

OUTLOOK

Slowing economic activity is expected to shift demand

for hospitality accommodation towards hotels offering

more affordable room rates.

On the other hand, the upcoming demand generators

such as Lusail City and Msheireb Downtown are

expected to increase the appeal of Doha as a leisure

destination. The increase in leisure tourism will be

gradual over time, and will result in a more diversified

demand base, reducing the risk of being reliant on one

major segment.

KPIs | YOY % CHANGE

OCC

ADR

+15% +1% -13% -11%Occ 64%

-7%US$ 182

-6% +11% -11%

PROJECTED HOTEL SUPPLY │NO. OF KEYS

Source: STR Global, Colliers International

WHAT TO EXPECT

RevPAR

Source: Colliers International

Leisure Demand

Branded Economy & Midscale Hotels

Leisure demand expected to

increase with the growing

number of leisure attractions.

An increase in price-conscious

corporate guests seeking easy

access to the airport and West

Bay.

+4%

Delays in hotel openings

Delays in the delivery of hotel

projects will have a positive

impact on the competitive

landscape of the market.

14,34916,243

17,673

21,19423,567

Q2 2015 Q2 2016 2016(f) 2017(f) 2018(f)

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Doha Q2 2016 Review | August 2016 | Hotels | Colliers International

INTRODUCTION

West Bay is currently represented by 4,178

hotel keys, predominantly 4 and 5-star hotels,

serving mostly corporate and governmental

clientele.

SUPPLY

The announced future hospitality supply is

overwhelmingly 5-star with an expected

average growth of 14% until 2018, with only

one 4-star hotel announced.

The high land cost makes it more challenging for

investors to consider midscale hotels, hence

no such projects are announced in West Bay.

HOTEL PERFORMANCE

Q2 2016 saw a substantial drop in both

occupancy and ADR resulting in a 19% decline

in RevPAR. Corporate demand has decreased as

a result of falling oil prices. In addition to the

market slowdown, the holy month of Ramadan

contributed to the decline in occupancy as well.

Online Travel agents remain an important

source of bookings for the leisure segment,

despite impacting the profitability of the

bookings. Demand from GCC families is typically

seen during weekends as high-end hospitality

offerings West Bay discount their room rates.

OUTLOOK

West Bay is expected to maintain its segment

mix with the corporate market accounting for

more than 75%. The online booking channels

are expected to gain momentum as a result of

the slowed growth in corporate demand.

The announced future supply is expected to

increase the number of fine dining and specialty

restaurants within the district.

With the current decline in RevPAR, hotels

should focus on other sources of income such

as F&B. If successfully implemented, F&B

revenue can account for as much as room

revenue, or even more in some cases. Having a

more attractive F&B offering will also lead to a

more appealing property, thus having the

District in Focus:

West BayCURRENT SUPPLY WEST BAY - HOTELS

Source: STR Global, Colliers International

WHAT TO EXPECT

WEST BAY | KPIs | YOY % CHANGE

OCC

ADR

RevPAR

Q2 2014 Q2 2015 Q2 2016 ForecastFY 2016

+18% -5% -7%-7%

Occ 65%

-8%US$205 -8% +11% -12%+12%

Lifestyle Hotels

Lifestyle hotels with a focus on

offering unique dining experiences

and a differentiated concept will

stand out in a competitive market.

4

28%

6

50%

3

22%

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

No. Properties

No. Keys

Luxury Upper Upscale Upscale

3

Source: Colliers International

Branded F&B

Hotels that introduce new,

branded and interesting F&B

concepts will be able to

compensate part of the drop in

room revenue.

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Doha Q2 2016 Review | Aug 2016 | Hotels | Colliers International

Data for July 2016

Source: Olery; Colliers International

4

GUEST EXPERIENCE INDEX (GEI) - SCORE MAPPING - BY SUBMARKET

RATING BY TYPE OF GUEST

District: West Bay & Diplomatic Area had the

highest GEI rating (85) for the month of July.

Type of Property: 5-star hotels achieved the

highest GEI rating of 85, followed by 4-star

hotels with 79. The lower score in the 3-star

segment shows a lack of quality midscale hotels.

purposes were the most satisfied, with a rating

of 82.19 out of 100, suggesting a lack of hotels

that are properly set up for leisure tourism.

GEI - BY TYPE OF PROPERTY GEI - TOP 10 BRANDS

Source: Olery; Colliers International

Source: Olery; Colliers International

Source: Olery; Colliers International

77Doha Airport

&

City Centre85

West Bay and

Diplomatic

Area

84West Bay

Lagoon

Score out of 100 Doha GEI - 79

The Guest Experience Index (GEI)

are based on online guest reviews and represent a weighted score on a scale from 1 to 100.

68.38

77.21

77.67

82.19

60.00 65.00 70.00 75.00 80.00 85.00

Group

Families

Couples

Business

Rating out of 100

Rank Brand GEI

1 Four Seasons 90.2

2 InterContinental 90.1

3 W Hotel 89.4

4 Crowne Plaza 88.7

5 Kempinski 88.1

6 Grand Heritage 86.7

7 Wyndham Grand 86.1

8 Marriott 85.8

9 Melia 85.7

10 Ritz-Carlton 85.7

71

79

85

73

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

Hotel - 3

stars

Hotel - 4

stars

Hotel - 5

stars

Hotel

Apartments

Score

out

of

100

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Doha Q2 2016 Review | Aug 2016 | Hotels | Colliers International5

Colliers International Hotels

Colliers International Hotels division is a global network of specialist consultants in hotel, resort,

marina, golf, leisure an spa sectors, dedicated to providing strategic advisory services to owners,

developers and government institutions to extract best values from projects and assets. The

foundation of our service is the hands-on experience of our team combined with the intelligence

and resources of global practice. Through effective management of the hospitality process,

Colliers delivers tangible financial benefits to clients. With offices in Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Jeddah,

Riyadh and Cairo, Colliers International Hotels combines global expertise with local market

knowledge.

SERVICES AT A GLANCE

The team can advise throughout the key phases and lifecycle of projects

• Destination / Tourism / Resort / Brand Strategy

• Market and Financial Feasibility Study

• Development Consultancy & Highest and Best Use Analysis

• Operator Search, Selection and Contract Negotiation

• Pre-Opening Budget Analysis and Operational Business Plan

• Owner Representative / Asset Management / Lenders Asset Monitoring

• Site and Asset Investment Sale and Acquisition/Due Diligence

• RICS Valuations for Finance Purposes and IPOs

Our hotels team in the MENA region:

$9 39,200 8,880billion keys Hotel keys

investment value of valued under asset management

projects advised

Page 6: Doha Q2 2016 Review - Colliers International...2 Doha Q2 2016 Review | Aug 2016 | Hotels | Colliers International Q2 2014 Q2 2015 Q2 2016 Forecast FY 2016 Doha SUPPLY Doha saw an influx

About Colliers InternationalColliers International is a leading global real estate services company with more than 16,000 skilled professionals operating in 66 countries. With an enterprising culture and significant employee ownership, Colliers professionals provide a full range of services to real estate occupiers, owners and investors worldwide. Services include strategic advice and execution for property sales, leasing and finance; global corporate solutions; property, facility and project management; workplace solutions; appraisal, valuation; customized research; and thought leadership consulting. Colliers professionals think differently, share great ideas and offer thoughtful and innovative advice that help clients accelerate their success. Colliers has been ranked among the top 100 outsourcing firms by the

11 consecutive years, more than any other real estate services firm.

In MENA, Colliers International has provided leading advisory services through its regional offices located in Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Riyadh and Jeddah since 1996. The latest annual real estate survey by Euromoney Best AdvisorArabia.

colliers.com

Colliers International, 2016

The information contained herein has been obtained from sources deemed reliable. While every reasonable effort has been made to

ensure its accuracy, we cannot guarantee it. No responsibility is assumed for any inaccuracies. Readers are encouraged to consult their

professional advisors prior to acting on any of the material contained in this report.

554 offices in

66 countries on

6 continentsUnited States: 153

Canada: 34

Latin America: 24

Asia Pacific: 231

EMEA: 112

$2.5billion in

annual revenue

2billion square feet

under management

16,000professionals

and staff

Colliers International | MENA Region

Dubai | United Arab Emirates

+971 4 453 7400

For further information,

please contact:

Filippo Sona

Director | Head of Hotels | MENA Region

Main +971 4 453 7400

Mobile +971 55 899 6102

[email protected]

Peter Bibby

Country Director | Qatar

Main +971 4 453 7400

Mobile +974 3356 9433

[email protected]

Saahil Lalit

Associate Director | Hotels | MENA Region

Main +971 4 453 7400

Mobile +971 55 732 2727

[email protected]