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Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas DUAL DIAGNOSIS (CO-MORBIDITY) IN BRIEF

Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

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Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas. DUAL DIAGNOSIS (CO-MORBIDITY) IN BRIEF. Important reference. Co-existing Problems of Mental Health and Substance Misuse Dual Diagnosis A Review of Relevant Literature College Research Unit Vanessa Crawford Editor Professor Ilana Crome, 2001. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

DUAL DIAGNOSIS (CO-MORBIDITY)

IN BRIEF

Page 2: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Important reference

• Co-existing Problems of Mental Health and Substance Misuse

• Dual Diagnosis• A Review of Relevant Literature• College Research Unit• Vanessa Crawford• Editor Professor Ilana Crome, 2001

Page 3: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Aims of today’s course:

• To raise awareness of the nature and prevalence of Dual Diagnosis.

• To enable participants to understand why dual diagnosis is complex.

• To examine brief detection & screening for this client group.

Page 4: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Aims of today’s course:

• Improve knowledge of increased vulnerability in mentally ill to use substances & sub-optimise MH Rx

• To challenge attitudes towards this client group & Mental Health & Addiction Service

response in context that Substance Use is common in UK

Page 5: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Objectives for today’s course:

• To develop your skills in the brief assessment of individuals with a co-morbidity.

• To be able to determine differences and overlap between symptoms of mental health problems and substance misuse.

• For you to feel more confident in being able to manage individuals with complex needs.

• If time Department of Health funded Systematic Review of evidence that cannabis use increases risk of psychotic and affective disorders (June 2005-June 2006)

Page 6: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Definitions of Dual Diagnosis

• “The term dual diagnosis covers a broad spectrum of mental health and substance misuse problems that an individual might experience concurrently. The nature of the relationship between these two conditions is complex………Services need to be clear at the outset which individuals they intend to provide interventions for”

(Department of Health Mental Health Policy Implementation Guide May 2002)

Page 7: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Definitions continued:

• Co-morbidity (Dual Diagnosis) is the co-occurrence of severe mental health problems (and personality disorder) which are caused or complicated by problematic consumption of illicit substances, misuse of prescribed drugs or alcohol.

(Nottingham Dual Diagnosis Team)

Page 8: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Definitions continued:

“The term Dual Diagnosis is not helpful in describing this group. First the term is non-specific and could refer to a whole range of problems.

Secondly low levels of substance misuse

(i.e. not enough to merit a diagnosis of dependence or abuse)

can have a significant effect on those individuals with severe mental health problems and therefore does not warrant the label diagnosis.”

(Graham H et al 2003)

Page 9: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Severe Mental Illness:The DoH sets out 5 defining characteristics:• They are diagnosed (typically with

Schizophrenia or Bipolar affective disorder).• Are substantially disabled due to their illness.• They are currently displaying florid symptoms

as part of an enduring condition.• Have suffered recurring crises resulting in

admissions or interventions.• They may at times pose a significant risk to

themselves or others.

Page 10: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

DoH definition examples:Severity of Severity of substance substance misusemisuse

Severity of mental Severity of mental health problemhealth problem

E.g. A man who drinks 2.5 litres of cider per day and experiences increasing anxiety

E.g. A 22 year old man who has a diagnosis of bi-polar disorder who binge drinks and has started experimenting with intravenous drug taking.

E.g. a young woman who takes ecstacy at the weekend and who is now experiencing depression throughout the week

E.g. A woman with schizophrenia who smokes 2-3 joints daily to compensate for social isolation

HIGHHIGHLOWLOW

HIGHIGHH

LOWLOW

Page 11: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Service Models of joint mental health and addiction services

• Consecutive-dangers slip between services• Addiction services deal with mild/moderate

mental illness mainly affective disorder• Parallel-dangers of sub-optimal treatment• Dedicated DD-not cost-effective deskills• Integrated-DOH recommendation

• Low priority with gate-keeping for both services

Page 12: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Prevalence in the UK

• An inner London Study showed that 36% of people with a psychosis had abused substances. (Tyrer et al 1999).

• A recent study conducted in 2 London Boroughs, Nottingham and Sheffield showed that prevalence of drug taking in people with mental health problems had risen to 44%. (Weaver et al 2003)

Page 13: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Client Profile:

• Male (80%)• Between the age of 23 & 35.• Poly-drug user. (55%)• Engaged in experimental & opportunistic

drug taking.• High levels of risk • (40% inject, violence or suicide)

Page 14: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

In homeless population

• Higher rates of Substance Misuse• Higher rates of SEMI• Higher rates of DD • Increased risk of sharing injecting equipment • Increased risk of unsafe sexual practices as in

all DD

Page 15: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

The drugs that they take:• 49% take stimulants

(amphetamines and cocaine).• Crack smoking is sharply on the

increase.• 27% take heroin.• 37% smoke cannabis and drink

heavily.• 40%+ inject the drugs they take

often straight away and in high risk sites.

Page 16: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Vulnerability to Alcohol Misuse

• Most commonly available and often cheapest drug

• More vulnerability in:– Bipolar and affective disorders– non-compliant, socially isolated

Page 17: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Increased dose recruits additional monoamines

• Dose Low

Page 18: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Cannabinoids neurobiology

• CB1 receptors widely distributed in cortex

• Endogenous cannabinoids (eg anandamide)

• Δ9 THC releases dopamine from nucleus accumbens and prefrontal cortex

• Inhibits GABA & glutamate transmission

Page 19: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Brainstorm.Why might people with severe mental health problems take drugs or alcohol ?

Page 20: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Psychosis is lonely in adolescent development• Substance misuse aetiology as

for general population-fun,escape, relaxation, environmental access

• providing an accepting social in group initially and delays effective early intervention

• Neurodevelopment in brain regions associated with learning for adult roles: motivation,impulsivity also confer addiction learning (Chambers RA, AM J Psych 2003; 160:1041-1052)

Page 21: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

?Already primed dopamine reward circuits

• E.g.70% cf 25% smoke before first symptoms of mental illness

• ?common aspects to both conditions of dopamine circuits dysfunction.

• Volkov ND. Cereb Cortex 2000;10:318-325

Page 22: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Pills DD want

• Development of severe mental illness and substance misuse at key stage of teenage autonomy leads to conflict

• Increases hostility• Familial high expressed emotion

worsens• Further alienates support network• Increases vulnerability to

homelessness and coming within the CJ system

Page 23: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

versus pills DD don’t want

Non-compliance• &to • addiction treatment

Page 24: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Dual Diagnosis worsens SMI outcomes

– Increases relapse rates–Rehospitalisation

– Increases positive symptoms of psychosis

–Worsens clinical and functional outcomes

Page 25: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Interactive work.What are the differences between symptoms of severe mental health problems and symptoms

relating

to drug taking?

Clue ICD

Page 26: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Psychosis during cannabis intoxication

• Surveys of cannabis users

– 15 % report experiencing brief psychotic symptoms (paranoid beliefs / hearing voices)

• Experimental studies of intravenous THC (DeSouza 2004)

– 22 subjects, randomly given IV THC or placebo

– Highly significant increases in psychotic symptom scores

– Completely resolved within 3 hours, and no effect up to 6 months

Page 27: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Cannabis and psychosis

delusions, hallucinations &thought disorder duringcannabis intoxication

acute & transientpsychotic disorder

schizophreniaother ‘chronic’

psychoses

time

psychotic symptoms not due to

direct biological effects of exogenous

cannabinoids

cannabisuse

Page 28: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Cannabis and psychosis persisting beyond intoxicationeffects

• “Cannabis-induced psychosis”: Numerous case reports

• Typically described as onset of psychotic illness following cannabis use, and resolving usually within 1-2 weeks

• Observe acute & transient psychotic illness

• Assumptive role of cannabis in aetiology….but 10% of young adult population use cannabis regularly

Page 29: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Brief Assessment of Clients With Substance

Misuse Problems.

Page 30: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Three main areas of assessment:

• Detection and Screening.• In depth assessment.• Risk assessment.

Page 31: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Dual diagnosis MHPIG states:

• “Since substance misuse among those with mental health problems is usual rather than exceptional and results in poorer treatment outcomes, it is necessary to consider its presence in all assessments undertaken by mental health services”

• But St Georges School of medicine in London recently found that: 26% of clients who reported substance misuse in their survey had not been assessed by acute in-patient staff as having a drug or alcohol problem.

Page 32: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

What have I got to lose except my

• Values • Experience• Taboos

• Fears • Prejudices• For a Motivational

approach

Page 33: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Detection and Screening.

• SuMMBAT (Substance Misuse & Mental health Brief Assessment Tool).

• Self report.• Laboratory tests (including urine, hair & blood

screening).• Other forms of screening (Micro-lines & saliva

swabs).• Records and other collected data.

Page 34: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Why Screen?• It gives an accurate snap shot of drugs taken.• Can help establish if the pattern of drug taking is

linked to changes in MH.• A collection of samples over time give a clear

indication of their pattern of drug taking.• Regular screening can act as a point to reinforce

their motivation.• Clients may not be aware or clear of what they have

taken.• If used in a non punitive way it can become an

objective and therapeutic intervention.• It helps us study mood, behaviours and symptoms

and reflect these to the client.

Page 35: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

SuMMBAT:

Page 36: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

SuMMBAT guidelines:Which substances do they take?• Does the client know?• Consider other substances e.g. Px, volatile

substances & mushroomsHow much do they spend?• A general indication of level of consumption.Do they inject/smoke etc?• Which area of the body do they inject into?• Where do they get their works?• Do they inject with anything in particular? (e.g.

lemon juice)

Page 37: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

SuMMBAT guidelines:How often?• Indicates the main pattern of drug taking e.g

regular or binge.How long for?• Indicates the impact that drug use may have

had on M.H.Ps & lifestyle.• Level of tolerance

Page 38: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

SuMMBAT guidelines cont’d:What is their MH diagnosis?• Highlights why a client may be using a

given substance.• Is it directly related to their drug of

choice?What are the positive effects?• Self-medication for illness or Px

medication.• Social inclusion.• Coping mechanisms.• Lifestyle.

Page 39: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

What are the negative effects?

•Physical & mental health

•Finances

•Social effect

•Accommodation

•Work or activity

•Offending.Degree of motivation:•Asking the client what they want to achieve. Control or Abstinence?•Even if motivation is low then some interventions are still indicated.

Page 40: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

SuMMBAT Guidelines Cont’d:What help does the person want?• Education/information.• Harm-minimisation.• Detox.• Abstinence.• Relapse prevention.Any previous treatment?• Useful to ascertain if they have engaged well,

previous detoxes that worked/failed, notable withdrawal experiences and periods of control/abstinence.

Page 41: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Assessment:

• “Accurate assessment is fundamental to the effective management of people with a dual diagnosis.

• The aim of an assessment is to give the practitioner a clear picture of what is going on for that person and what is contributing to their distress”

(RCP Research Unit, 2002. Co-existing problems of mental disorder and substance misuse (dual diagnosis) an information manual.)

Page 42: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Specialist Assessment.• “Specialist assessments are undertaken to

determine the nature and severity of substance misuse and mental health problems, and to identify corresponding need.

• The more comprehensive and focussed the assessment

• the better the understanding will be of the relationship between the two disorders.”

Page 43: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Risk Assessment:• “Routine risk assessment protocols need to address

specific factors for individuals with a dual diagnosis. • The severity of substance misuse, including the

combination of substances used, is related to the risk of overdose and suicide.

• Exploration of the possible association between substance misuse and increased risk of aggressive or anti-social behaviour

• forms an integral part of the risk assessment, and should be explicitly documented if present.” (DoH Dual Diagnosis MHPIG, 2002).

Page 44: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Risk Assessment cont’d:Other aspects to consider include:• Risk to the client and others due to drug

taking paraphernalia. E.g. the potential for needle stick injuries as a result of improperly discarded needles and syringes.

• Risk due to blood borne infections. E.g. Hepatitis and HIV.

• Risk due to overdose i.e. accidental overdose of illicit substances.

Page 45: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Risk Assessment cont’d:

• Risk of abuse by others. E.g. clients can be dis-empowered or abused by drug pushers who prey on them for money or drug users needing a place to “SCORE”.

• Risk due to violence. Research has shown that this client group is more likely to be unpredictable, aggressive and violent. There is a potential risk to staff due to some of the individuals that a client with a co-morbidity may mix with.

• Risk of relapse as a direct result of their drug or alcohol problem

Page 46: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Harm reduction –CHALLENGES traditional values

Reducing blood borne viral transmission

Reducing quantities of alcohol drunk/drugs used

Page 47: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Recovery Approach in Co-morbidity

• Goal Hierarchy towards abstinence• Personal values & • meaning for life goals• Risk management joint approach with clients and psychiatric & substance misuse services

OpportunityControl

Hope

Page 48: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Other questions you might ask…

• What do they know/understand about the substance and it’s effects?

• What effects do they get from their psychiatric medication?

• What are their social circumstances?• What have they done in the past to help

control or abstain from drug of choice?

Page 49: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Case Study:• Adam is a 34 year old man who has a diagnosis of paranoid

schizophrenia. Until recently he lived at home with his mum and step father. He now lives in a flat in Newtown after being thrown out “For getting lairy” his mum tells you.

• Adam injects around 1 gramme of amphetamines 4 days per week. He also takes heroin which he injects intramuscularly, cocaine which he also injects and occasionally smokes crack. In the past he has drunk heavily and also taken steroids.

• Discuss how you would assess Adam’s needs, what issues you might prioritise and what you would do to try to ensure he receives a comprehensive service.

Page 50: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Stages of treatment:

• Assessment.• Engagement:

Building a therapeutic relationship.Doesn’t necessarily tackle drug and alcohol issues immediately.

• Early empowerment:Gives the client relevant verbal and written information that they may not have had before.

Page 51: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Stages of treatment contd:

• Late empowerment.Helps the client to self monitor using drug/drink diaries.Simple monitoring.Goal setting.

• Action/Active phase.Active detoxification/control of substance taking (based on goals set).Controlled drinking groups.

• Relapse prevention including a relapse prevention plan.

Page 52: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Engagement and risks• UK Mental Health Services• AOT• Early Intervention Services• Substance Misuse can

present in crisis but would normally be excluded from Crisis Team assessment

• Dual diagnosis integrated model with MH Services lead for severe & enduring MI due to limited evidence for dedicated service

Page 53: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

• Psychosocial interventions are the evidenced treatments to improve outcomes not substitute medication for stimulant/cannabis abuse

• No evidence of improved outcome by matching MET=CBT=social Network Therapy=12 step for alcohol(1997 Project Match)

• Community reinforcement programmes- eclectic, intensive,repeatedly available to engage, aftercare is evidenced

Page 54: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

?

Page 55: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

1936 Mythology2006 Limited

Evidence

Page 56: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

1936…

“One moment of bliss, a lifetime of regret ....”

Page 57: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

2004….

“We and about five other studies have shown that if you start taking cannabis early and heavily you are about seven times more likely to develop schizophrenia”

BBC news 22nd Jan 2004

“Prohibitionists love to claim cannabis causes schizophrenia. Mostly because all their other claims have been proved wrong. Just like this one will soon be.”

The Hempire Aug 2004

Page 58: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

ACMD

• Advisory Council on the Misuse of Drugs

– Independent expert body– Remit to review drug situation and advise Government on

prevention / dealing with social problems

• Decision to downgrade based on ACMD report March 2002

• Request by Home Secretary in March 2005 to review evidence

• Department of Health funded Systematic Review of evidence that cannabis use increases risk of psychotic and affective disorders (June 2005-June 2006)

Page 59: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Cannabis and schizophrenia

• Cross-sectional studies show that cannabis use in people with schizophrenia is more common than in general population

• Limitation of cross-sectional studies

– Cannabis increases risk of schizophrenia?

– Schizophrenia increases likelihood of using cannabis?

(self-medication or reverse causation effect)

Page 60: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

time

cohort

cannabis

Longitudinal or cohort studies

no cannabis

Page 61: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Systematic review of cannabis use and risk of developing psychoses

• What is the evidence that cannabis use increases risk of developing schizophrenia?

• What is the evidence that cannabis use increases risk of developing other psychoses?

• What is the evidence that cannabis use in people with schizophrenia results in a poorer long-term outcome?

Page 62: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Systematic review of cannabis use and risk of developing psychoses

• Longitudinal (cohort) studies• Reverse causation excluded?• Intoxication effects excluded?• Confounding assessed?

personality traits

cannabis use schizophrenia

Page 63: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Systematic review of cannabis use and risk of developing schizophrenia and other psychoses

• Department of Health funded

• Glyn Lewis• Tess Moore• Anne Lingford-Hughes• Peter Jones• Tom Barnes

Page 64: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Search strategy: databases

• Medline, EMBASE, CINAHL, PsycINFO, ISI Web of Knowledge, ZETOC, BIOSIS, LILACS, MEDCARIB, National Research Register

• Contacting experts: Louise Arsenault IOP, Bovasso, Michael Davidson, Mark Weiser NY/Israel, Louise Degenhardt, William Eaton NY, Robert Ferdinand, David Fergusson (Christchurch), John MacLeod, Robin Murray, George Patton Melbourne, Richie Poulton Dunedin, David Semple, Jim van Os Maastrict, Helene Verdoux Bordeaux

Page 65: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Titles and abstracts possibly relevant N = 169

Papers included Psychosis

n=9 (6 studies)Papers included

Depressionn=19

Titles and abstracts which were very unlikely to be relevant, excluded:

n= 3868

Papers not relevant (full papers or

abstract)n=139

Review flow chart

Total hits 6718(Duplicates 2684)

Reference lists expert knowledge and other

databases = 47 Total N=4037

Page 66: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Summary of studies included

N in cohort

Length of follow-up

N with psychotic outcome

Psychosis type Effect of cannabis on risk

Swedish conscripts (Andreasson 1987) (Zammit 2002)

50,087 27 years 362 (0.7%) schizophrenia

Dunedin (Aresenault 2002)

759 11 years a) 190 (25%)

b) 25 (3.3%)

a) psychotic symptom

b) schizophreniform

NEMESIS

(van Os 2002)

4045 3 years a) 38 (1%)

b) 10 (0.25%)

a) mild symptom

b) moderate symptom

EDSP

(Henquet 2005)

2437 4 years a) 424 (17%)

b) 174 (7%)

a) psychotic symptom

b) 2 symptoms

Christchurch (Fergusson 2005)

1055 2-7 years N/A psychotic symptom

ECA (Tien 1990) 4994 1 year 507 (11%) psychotic symptom

Page 67: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Ever use of cannabis: adjusted results - all psychoses

odds ratio

reduced risk increased risk

.009014 1 110.938

Study odds ratio (95% CI) % Weight

ECA (any Sx) 1.30 ( 0.98, 1.73) 16.1

Christchurch (any Sx) 1.28 ( 1.04, 1.57) 17.6

Munich (any Sx) 1.53 ( 1.13, 2.07) 15.8

Munich (2+ Sx) 2.23 ( 1.52, 3.28) 14.1

Nemesis (any mild Sx) 2.76 ( 1.18, 6.46) 6.8

Nemesis (any mod Sx) 24.17 ( 5.44, 107.42) 2.9

Nemesis ('disorder') 12.01 ( 2.24, 64.36) 2.3

Dunedin 15 (schizophreniform) 3.12 ( 0.73, 13.31) 3.0

Dunedin 18 (schizophreniform) 1.42 ( 0.54, 3.74) 5.7

Swedish (schizophrenia) 1.50 ( 1.11, 2.02) 15.8

Overall 1.83 ( 1.39, 2.40) 100.0

Odds ratio: The ratio of the probability of having a disease in a population exposed to a certain risk factor (e.g. cannabis use) and the probability of having the same disease in a population not exposed.

Page 68: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Ever use of cannabis: adjusted results - psychotic disorders

odds ratio

reduced risk increased risk

.009014 1 110.938

Study

odds ratio

(95% CI) % Weight

Nemesis ('disorder') 12.01 ( 2.24, 64.36) 13.2

Dunedin 15 (schizophreniform) 3.12 ( 0.73, 13.31) 16.2

Dunedin 18 (schizophreniform) 1.42 ( 0.54, 3.74) 25.7

Swedish (schizophrenia) 1.50 ( 1.11, 2.02) 44.8

Overall 2.19 ( 1.07, 4.48) 100.0

% weight: statistically adjusted to take account of

actual or potential confounding factors.

Page 69: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Most frequent use: adjusted results - all psychoses

odds ratio

reduced risk increased risk

.009014 1 110.938

Study

odds ratio

(95% CI) % Weight

Swedish (>50 times) 3.10 ( 1.72, 5.58) 18.6

NEMESIS (>weekly) 6.81 ( 1.79, 25.91) 5.9

EDSP (daily) 2.23 ( 1.30, 3.83) 20.1

ECA (daily) 2.40 ( 1.55, 3.72) 24.0

Christchurch (daily) 1.56 ( 1.20, 2.03) 31.3

Overall 2.31 ( 1.62, 3.29) 100.0

Page 70: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

What factors might have lead to studies over-estimating the true association between cannabis

use and psychosis?

Page 71: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

cannabis use

well psychosis

sub-clinical symptoms

Reverse causation

prodrome

Page 72: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

cannabis use

well psychosis

personality traits, other drugs…

Confounding

Page 73: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

cannabis use

well psychosis

continued cannabis use leads to intoxication

symptoms (regular users)

Bias: intoxication effects

Page 74: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Quality assessment of studies included

Reverse causation excluded

Intoxication effects excluded

Number of confounders (% change from crude)

Swedish conscripts (Andreasson 1987)

(Zammit 2002)

++ ++ 11 (30% )

Dunedin

(Aresenault 2002)

- + 4 (no crude results)

NEMESIS

(van Os 2002)

++ + 6 (35% )

EDSP

(Henquet 2005)

- + 9 (15% )

Christchurch

(Fergusson 2005)

+ - 17 (30% )

ECA

(Tien 1990)

++ + 5 (15% )

Page 75: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

What factors might have lead to studies under-estimating the true association between cannabis

use and psychosis?

Page 76: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

cannabis use

well psychosis

attrition greater in cannabis users who become ill?

Bias: attrition

Page 77: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

cannabis use

well psychosis

change in cannabis use over time

Bias: random misclassification

cannabis dose measured inaccurately

Page 78: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas
Page 79: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Sensitive periods of risk?

• Cerebral development incomplete until late teens

(myelination, synaptogensis..)

• Any evidence for greater risk if use cannabis during early adolescence compared to adulthood?

Page 80: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Age at first use of cannabis

• Dunedin– Age 15 (symptoms) *= 6.6 (4.8, 8.3)– Age 18 (symptoms) risk difference = 1.0 (0.3, 1.8)

– Age 15 (schizophreniform) OR = 3.1 (0.7, 13.3)– Age 18 (schizophreniform) OR = 1.4 (0.5, 3.7)

• Swedish conscripts– Age 15 (schizophrenia) OR = 1.2 (1.0, 1.4)– Age 18 (schizophrenia) OR = 1.2 (1.1, 1.4)

*Multiple logistic regression analyses showed cannabis use by 15 years &18 years had more schizophrenia symptoms than controls at age 26yrs

Cannabis by 15 yrs more than 4 times as likely to have schizophreniform disorder at 26 years than controls.

Risk Difference is the risk in the treated group minus the risk in the control group ...Risk Difference is the risk in the treated group minus the risk in the control group ...Risk Difference is the risk in the treated group minus the risk in the control group ...Risk Difference is the risk in the treated group minus the risk in the control group ...Risk Difference is the risk in the treated group minus the risk in the control group ...Risk Difference is the risk in the treated group minus the risk in the control group ...Risk Difference is the risk in the treated group minus the risk in the control group ...Risk Difference is the risk in the treated group minus the risk in the control group ...

Page 81: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Age at first use of cannabis

Risk Difference :

risk in the treated group minus the risk in the control group (confidence intervals).If an experimental intervention has an identical effect to the control, the risk difference will be 0. If it reduces risk, the risk difference will be less than 0; if it increases risk, the risk difference will be bigger than 0.

Risk Difference is the risk in the treated group minus the risk in the control group ...Risk Difference is the risk in the treated group minus the risk in the control group ...Risk Difference is the risk in the treated group minus the risk in the control group ...Risk Difference is the risk in the treated group minus the risk in the control group ...Risk Difference is the risk in the treated group minus the risk in the control group ...Risk Difference is the risk in the treated group minus the risk in the control group ...Risk Difference is the risk in the treated group minus the risk in the control group ...Risk Difference is the risk in the treated group minus the risk in the control group ...

Page 82: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Summary of findings relevant to clinical practice

• Only one longitudinal study that examines effect of cannabis use on risk of schizophrenia

• Two studies examine other ‘similar’ outcomes:

– Dunedin cohort: 3.5% schizophreniform disorder in 1 year

(200x more than expected 0.015% schizophrenia)

– NEMESIS: ‘needs-based diagnosis’ = most severe symptoms (0.2% in 3 years)

Page 83: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Summary of findings relevant to clinical practice

• Reverse causation unlikely given study designs

• Confounding– Associations all reduced by 15-40% after adjustment– Associations persisted after adjustment– Residual confounding possible

• Intoxication– Unlikely given assessment tools– However, how do you exclude this in regular users?

Page 84: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Support for causality

• Consistency of results– Increased risk of psychoses in all these studies– Not adequately explained by bias, confounding or reverse

causation

• Dose-response effect in all studies that examined this

• Compatible with other sources of knowledge– Cannabis intoxication psychosis– Neurobiology of cannabinoids & abnormalities in schizophrenia

• …There is always room for doubt….

Page 85: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Unanswered questions

• What effect does regular use of cannabis over many years have?

• What about exposure during early teenage years?

• What about use of higher potency forms of cannabis?

• What about risk in those already vulnerable, eg: family history?

• Any other groups where cannabis use may be particularly harmful?– eg: Catechol-O-Methyl Transferase genotype regulates

dopamine metabolism (Caspi et al 2004)

• What about time trends?

Page 86: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Are future studies likely to help?

• Schizophrenia incidence approximately 15/100,000/year

• Cohort study of 10,000 people, followed up for 20 years age 12-32

– Probably about 30 people with schizophrenia…

• More reasonable to study ‘endophenotypes’ of schizophrenia

– eg: specific neuropsychological deficits

• Animal models of endophenotypes may be particular helpful

• Definitive answer not likely in decades to come

Page 87: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

What if someone already has schizophrenia?

• Part of current systematic review; not complete as yet

• Clinical experience and evidence from a number of studies suggest that cannabis use:

– Increases relapse rates– Increases positive symptoms of psychosis– Is associated with reduced compliance with medication– Worsens clinical and functional outcomes

• Strength of evidence regarding this unclear

• Future studies feasible, as well as intervention trials for reducing cannabis use in people with schizophrenia

Page 88: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Public health perspective

Does cannabis cause psychotic illnesses?

or..

‘Would reducing cannabis use reduce the incidence of psychotic illnesses?’

• Assuming the strength of association from studies above are correctly estimated and that cannabis use is truly causal...

• Approximately 10-20% of psychosis outcomes in these studies would not have occurred if no-one used cannabis

Page 89: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Individual perspective

• Individual lifetime risk of schizophrenia is 0.7%

• If using cannabis daily increases risk by 2.5 times:

– Lifetime risk of schizophrenia = 0.7% x 2.5 ≈ 2%

• Individual risk relatively low, but may be much higher if heavy or frequent use, if use more potent forms, or use at an early age

• Furthermore, it may be the only modifiable risk factor there is at present

Page 90: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Clinical perspective

• If someone has experienced any psychotic-like phenomena following use of cannabis should be strongly advised about possible risk of developing a severe psychotic illness

• If a patient has a psychotic illness, they should be routinely strongly advised (including written information) that using cannabis may make this worse

• We should actively target family members of patients with schizophrenia to advise about possible risk if use cannabis

Page 91: Dr Mary Rowlands, Endas

Clinical perspective

• Message to public

The evidence supports the view that using cannabis can increase risk of developing a psychotic illness, including chronic and severe psychotic illnesses such as schizophrenia

• Reference• ACMD Further consideration of the classificatioof cannabis

under the Misuse of Drugs Act 1971, HMSO,2006