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earthquake in bangladesh
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EARTHQUAKE IN
BANGLADESH
Prof. Dr. Mushtaq Ahmed
Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering
Shahjalal University of Science & Technology Sylhet, Bangladesh
Bangladesh is one of the most earthquake
prone countries in the world. Specialists are
expecting a severe earthquake in this area in
near future, which will cause a serious
human casualty, damages of infrastructure
and other losses. Probability of earthquake in
Sylhet, the most important city of north-
eastern area, is higher than any other cities
of the country.
The tectonic evaluation of Bangladesh
can be explained as a result of collision
of the north moving Indo- Australian
plate with the Eurasian plate. The
whole Indian subcontinent is situated on
the junction of these two plates.
Boundary line between these plates is
very near to Bangladesh.
Location
Probable magnitude in
Bangladesh (in Richter scale)
Assam fault zone
8.0
Tripura fault zone
7.0
Sub Dauki fault zone
7.3
Bogra fault zone
7.0
Source: Bolt (1987)
There are several fault zones active in & around
Sylhet, which are also sources of earthquake.
These are:
Study of ADPC Earthquake Fault Zones
Five Earthquake Scenarios
Seismo-
tectonic
lineaments
capable of
producing
damaging
earthquakes
(Source:
Banglapedia)
Magnitude, EMS intensities of some major historical
earthquakes affecting Sylhet
Name of
earthquake Date
Magnitude
(in Richter
scale)
Intensity
in Sylhet
(in EMS
scale)
Location
of
epicenter
Epicentral distance
(in km)
from
Sylhet
From
Dhaka
Cachar
earthquake
10 January,
1869 7.5 VIII
Jainta,
Assam,
India
90 250
Bengal
earthquake
14 July,
1885 7.0 V
Bogra,
Bangladesh 235 170
Great Indian
earthquake
12 June,
1897 8.7 IX
Assam
basin, India 150 230
Srimongal
earthquake
8 July,
1918 7.6 VII
Srimongal,
Bangladesh 70 150
Dhubri
earthquake
2 July,
1930 7.1 VI
Dhubri,
Assam,
India
195 250
Isoseismal map of Cachar Earthquake 1869 (after Sabri, 2001)
The isoseismal map of great Indian earthquake of 1897
Seismic
Zoning Map
of Bangladesh
(Source:
BNBC)
Some recent earthquakes affecting
Chittagong (Chowdhury, 2005)
Bandarban EQ: magnitude 5.6, November 21,
1997, Epicenter- southern Mizoram, India
Moheshkhali EQ: magnitude 5.1, July 22, 1999,
Epicenter- Moheshkhali
Barkal (Rangamati) EQ: magnitude 5.5, July 27,
2003, Epicenter- 5.7 kilometres SW of Daluchari,
Chittagong
Roninpara EQ: magnitude 5.2, November 7, 2007,
Epicenter- 2 kms WSW of Roninpara, Chittagong
Crack on earth, Rangamati earthquake, 2003
Seismic Zones
Zone 3 = 0.25g
Zone 2 = 0.15g
Zone 1 = 0.075g
Modified Seismic Zoning Map of Bangladesh
existing physical vulnerabilities
Some findings of a survey in ward 7 of Sylhet city
Parameters % of houses
Story 1 storied buildings 2 storied buildings
3 and above storied
buildings
73.34 % 18.34 % 8.32 %
Age of the
houses
0-9 years 10-19 years 20 and above years
63.65 % 17.93 % 18.42 %
Have life
lines
Gas Electricity Telephone
84 % 93 % 45 %
Building use
pattern
Residential Shop Office, School,
Mosque etc.
94.60 % 4.60 % 0.8 %
Some findings of a survey in ward 7
Parameters % of houses
Shape of the
house
Rectangular,
square and
box
L shape U shape Other shapes
76.41 % 15.43 % 3.55 % 6.61 %
Wall type 3” brick wall 5” brick wall 10” brick wall
Tin/ bamboo
wall
5.86 % 87.48 % 0.24 % 6.24 %
Foundation
type
Foot Wall Raft Without
foundation
47.66 % 42.97 % 0.53 % 8.84 %
Width of the
adjacent
road
<5’ 5’ to <10’ 10’ to <15’ 15’ to <20’
3.55 % 61.1 % 27.1 % 7.92 %
Fragility curve for different building types based on EMS intensity (developed by Arya, 2000 and calibrated by Ansary, 2003).
No
.
Types Description
1 EMSB1 1- storied brick masonry of fired bricks with cement or lime mortar; roof is
either of GI sheet or other materials 2 EMSB2 2-storied or taller brick masonry of fired bricks with cement or lime mortar;
roof is generally made of RCC slab. Some weak and old reinforced concrete
frame. 3 EMSC Reinforced concrete frame with low ductility; designed for vertical load only. 4 EMSD Reinforced concrete frame with moderate ductility; designed for both vertical
and horizontal loads. 5 EMSF Mainly bamboo, wooden and steel structures.
21, West Pirmoholla
Building Type EMSB1
25/1, West Pirmoholla
Building Type EMSD
13, West Pirmoholla
Building Type EMSF
Pirmoholla Bazar
Building Type EMSC
36/10, Nurani
Building Type EMSB2
Estimated damage of different types of buildings at EMS intensity IX : 666 out of 1238
Building
Type
No. of
Building
Damage
Ratio
No. of Damaged
Building
EMSB1 506 0.70 354
EMSB2 10 0.73 7
EMSC 626 0.47 294
EMSD 3 0.22 0
EMSF 93 0.12 11
Total 1238 666
Estimated damage of different types of
buildings at EMS intensity IX
Ksb=Db*[M1b*M2b*M3b*M4b]
Human Casualty and Injury
M1b are occupant density rate of building type b.
M2b is the occupancy of buildings at the time of the earthquake. M2b
is 0.62, 0.42 and 0.8 for morning, noon and midnight respectively
(Coburn and Spence, 1992).
M3b is proportion of occupants who are trapped by the collapse of
buildings, which depends on the type of buildings.
M4b depends upon type of casualty (death or injury).
Type of buildings Value of M3b at
intensities:
VIII IX X
EMSB1 and
EMSC
10% 20% 40%
EMSB2 20% 40% 80%
EMSD 5% 10% 20%
EMSF 3% 5% 10%
Type of buildings Value of M4b for
estimating:
Killed injured
EMSB1 20% 30%
EMSB2, EMSC
and EMSD
40% 50%
EMSF 10 % 10%
(Coburn et al., 1992)
Fatalities and injuries due to earthquake of different intensities
0100200300400500600700800900
1000
Mo
rnin
g
Noo
n
Mid
nig
ht
Mo
rnin
g
Noo
n
Mid
nig
ht
Mo
rnin
g
Noo
n
Mid
nig
ht
VIII IX X
No. o
f fa
tali
ties
an
d i
nju
ries
Number of fatality
Number of injury
EMS intensity Time of occurrence
in the day
Number of fatality Number of injury
IX Morning 241 323
Noon 163 218
Midnight 310 416
The total floor space of damaged buildings of ward no. 7 was estimated as 566766 sft, where EMS intensity was considered as IX. Per capita economic loss is Tk. 27074.81. Considering the population of Sylhet as 600000, overall economic loss for the entire City can be estimated as Tk. 16.25 Billion (app.).
Correlation between Damage Ratio & PGA values for pipeline diameter
(After Chen et al., 2002).
Direct monetary losses due to a scenario event
equivalent to 1918 Srimangal earthquake
Damage Grade
Physical
Damage
Water pipeline
repair cost per
point
Loss in
US $
Million
Water pipe
damage point
204
US $ 250
0.051
Assessment of school buildings by RVS method of FEMA 154
No. of
Stories
Performance Score(PS)
PS≤40 40<PS≤70 70<PS≤100 Total
1&2 0 (0) 1 (3.2) 30 (96.8) 31 (100)
3 0 (0) 3 (23.1) 10 (76.9) 13 (100)
4 1 (11.1) 5 (55.6) 3 (33.3) 9 (100)
Total 1(1.87) 8(15.1) 44(83.2) 53(100)
Calculated performance scores of the studied schools and colleges
No. of
Stories
High Risk
Group
Moderate
Risk Group
Low Risk
Group Total
≤2 0 (0) 5 (16.13) 26 (83.8) 31 (100)
3 1 (7.69) 3 (23.1) 9 (69.2) 13 (100)
4 3 (33.3) 2 (22.2) 4 (44.4) 9 (100)
Total 4 (7.55) 10 (18.9) 39 (73.6) 53 (100)
Results of the Preliminary Assessment when distance to fault is within 9 km
to 15 km
Assessment of school buildings by Turkish method
Direct Economic Loss (millions of dollars) in Sylhet City Corporation Area : Scenarios 1-5
Assessment by ADPC
With a view to bringing in control and ensuring a uniform standard of building construction practice in the country, the Bangladesh National Building Code (BNBC) was prepared in 1993 under the aegis of the Ministry of Housing and Public Works. BNBC is a 1000 page detailed document specifying safe and acceptable practices in all aspects of building design and construction for various uses or occupancy.
Government promulgated Building Code as legally binding on all concerned by S.R.O. No. 84-Law/2006 dated 22 May 2006 published in the Bangladesh Gazette on 15 November 2006. A study project has been taken by Housing and Building Research Institute to update the present Building Code.
Bangladesh National Building Code (BNBC) has ten distinct parts addressing different aspects of building construction and building services. Part 1 : Scope and Definitions Part 2 : Administration and Enforcement Part 3 : General Building Requirements, Control and Regulation Part 4 : Fire Protection Part 5 : Building Materials Part 6 : Structural Design Part 7 : Construction Practices and Safety Part 8 : Building Services Part 9 : Alteration, Addition to and Change of Use of Existing Buildings Part 10 : Signs and Outdoor Display
earthquake safety (mock drill) training
Instrumentation, monitoring, survey works
Instrumentation, monitoring, survey works
Earthquake Microzonation map of Dhaka
0 1.5
kilometers
3
24.87°N
24.9°N
24.93°N
91.92°E91.89°E91.86°E91.83°E
0.35g
0.45g
0.90g
1.56g
Diameter=100mm
Diamter=150mm
Diameter= 200mm
Diameter=300mm
Seismic microzonation map of Sylhet
N
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