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EERI Seminar on Next Generation Attenuation Models Development of Corresponding Building Code “Design” Maps Nicolas Luco Research Structural Engineer USGS – Golden, CO USGS Workshop on Seismic Hazards of Guam/Northern Mariana Islands & American Samoa

EERI Seminar on Next Generation Attenuation Models Development of Corresponding Building Code “Design” Maps Nicolas Luco Research Structural Engineer USGS

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Page 1: EERI Seminar on Next Generation Attenuation Models Development of Corresponding Building Code “Design” Maps Nicolas Luco Research Structural Engineer USGS

EERI Seminar on Next Generation Attenuation Models

Development of Corresponding Building Code “Design” Maps

Nicolas Luco Research Structural Engineer

USGS – Golden, CO

USGS Workshop on Seismic Hazards of Guam/Northern Mariana Islands & American Samoa

Page 2: EERI Seminar on Next Generation Attenuation Models Development of Corresponding Building Code “Design” Maps Nicolas Luco Research Structural Engineer USGS

MCE Map (≤‘09 IBC) MCER Map (’12 IBC)

Risk Coefficient Map

Risk Coefficient

0.55

- 0.65

0.65 -

0.75

0.75 -

0.85

0.85 -

0.95

0.95 -

1.05

1.05 -

1.15

1.15 -

1.25

1.25 -

1.35

1.35 -

1.45

1.45 -

1.55

1.55 -

1.65

FIGURE 22-22 RISK COEFFICIENT, 1.0 SEC. SPECTRAL RESPONSE PERIODFOR THE CONTERMINOUS UNITED STATES

Deterministic Map

%g

60 p

late

au

Plateau

60 -

75

SDC D

> 75

SDC E

Deterministic Map of 1.0 second Spectral Response Period(maximum component factor of 1.3)

Deterministic Map

%g

60 p

late

au

Plateau

60 -

75

SDC D

> 75

SDC E

Deterministic Map of 1.0 second Spectral Response Period(maximum component factor of 1.3)

Risk-Targeted Map (1%-in-50yrs P.C.)

%g

0 - 4

.2

SDC A

4.2

- 8.3

SDC B

8.3

- 13.

2

SDC C

13.2

- 35

SDC D

35 -

60

SDC D

60 -

75

SDC D

> 75

SDC E

Risk-Based Hazard Map of 1.0 second Spectral Response Period(maximum component factor of 1.3)

(min) (min)

Hazard Map(2%-in-50yrs P.E.)

%g

0 - 4

.2

SDC A

4.2

- 8.3

SDC B

8.3

- 13.

2

SDC C

13.2

- 35

SDC D

35 -

60

SDC D

60 -

75

SDC D

> 75

SDC E

Hazard Map of 1.0 second Spectral Response Period(maximum component factor of 1.3)

Hazard Curves+

scal

ing

to m

ax d

irect

ion

Page 3: EERI Seminar on Next Generation Attenuation Models Development of Corresponding Building Code “Design” Maps Nicolas Luco Research Structural Engineer USGS

HAZARD Maps DESIGN Maps

e.g., 2014 Update of USGS Hazard Maps

2014 2016 2018

NEHRP Prov’s ASCE 7 Standard Intl Bldg Code

Page 4: EERI Seminar on Next Generation Attenuation Models Development of Corresponding Building Code “Design” Maps Nicolas Luco Research Structural Engineer USGS

EERI Seminar on Next Generation Attenuation Models

Design Maps Development Schedule

• Jan 3, ’12: Placeholder 2015 IBC change proposal submitted

• Jan 11, ‘12: Presented placeholder design maps to BSSC PUC

“Development of Corresponding Building Code ‘Design’ Maps,” N. Luco, USGS July 6, 2012

USGS Workshop on Seismic Hazards of Guam/Northern Mariana Islands & American Samoa

Page 5: EERI Seminar on Next Generation Attenuation Models Development of Corresponding Building Code “Design” Maps Nicolas Luco Research Structural Engineer USGS

EERI Seminar on Next Generation Attenuation Models

9) Design Maps for Guam

“Briefing on PUC Design Mapping Task Group,” N. Luco, USGS January 11, 2012

Building Seismic Safety Council (BSSC) Provisions Update Committee (PUC) Meeting

ASCE 7-10SS

S1

SS

S1

2014 NEHRP?

Under

Rev

iew

Under

Rev

iew

300% g

315% g

75% g

Page 6: EERI Seminar on Next Generation Attenuation Models Development of Corresponding Building Code “Design” Maps Nicolas Luco Research Structural Engineer USGS

EERI Seminar on Next Generation Attenuation Models

9) Design Maps for American Samoa

“Briefing on PUC Design Mapping Task Group,” N. Luco, USGS January 11, 2012

Building Seismic Safety Council (BSSC) Provisions Update Committee (PUC) Meeting

ASCE 7-10 2014 NEHRP?SS SS

S1 S1

Under Review

Under Review20% g

75% g

50% g

Page 7: EERI Seminar on Next Generation Attenuation Models Development of Corresponding Building Code “Design” Maps Nicolas Luco Research Structural Engineer USGS

EERI Seminar on Next Generation Attenuation Models

Design Maps Development Schedule

• Jan 3, ’12: Placeholder 2015 IBC change proposal submitted

• Jan 11, ‘12: Presented placeholder design maps to BSSC PUC

• Jan-Apr, ‘12: USGS hazard models completed (& published)

• May 5, ‘12: Requested disapproval of placeholder IBC proposal

• May 9, ‘12: Presented finalization plans to BSSC PUC …

“Development of Corresponding Building Code ‘Design’ Maps,” N. Luco, USGS July 6, 2012

USGS Workshop on Seismic Hazards of Guam/Northern Mariana Islands & American Samoa

Page 8: EERI Seminar on Next Generation Attenuation Models Development of Corresponding Building Code “Design” Maps Nicolas Luco Research Structural Engineer USGS

EERI Seminar on Next Generation Attenuation Models

Design Maps Development Schedule

• July, ‘12: Public workshop to finalize consensus hazard models

• July-Aug, ‘12: Ballot final design maps through BSSC PUC

• July 31, ‘12: Submit final design maps to IBC as public comment

• Aug-Sep, ‘12: Public forums in Guam & American Samoa

• Oct 9-10, ‘12: Resolve BSSC PUC vote/comments

• Oct 22-28, ‘12: Final Action Hearings for 2015 IBC

• Nov, ‘12: DOD Unified Facilities Criteria update finalized

“Development of Corresponding Building Code ‘Design’ Maps,” N. Luco, USGS July 6, 2012

USGS Workshop on Seismic Hazards of Guam/Northern Mariana Islands & American Samoa

Page 9: EERI Seminar on Next Generation Attenuation Models Development of Corresponding Building Code “Design” Maps Nicolas Luco Research Structural Engineer USGS

EERI Seminar on Next Generation Attenuation Models

Questions for Today

• Do the (published) USGS hazard models for Guam & American Samoa need to be revised?

• If so, in what way?

• If not, what are the explanations for the differences w.r.t. previous estimates (e.g. the 1997 NEHRP Provisions)?

“Development of Corresponding Building Code ‘Design’ Maps,” N. Luco, USGS July 6, 2012

USGS Workshop on Seismic Hazards of Guam/Northern Mariana Islands & American Samoa

Page 10: EERI Seminar on Next Generation Attenuation Models Development of Corresponding Building Code “Design” Maps Nicolas Luco Research Structural Engineer USGS

EERI Seminar on Next Generation Attenuation Models

9) Design Maps for Guam

“Briefing on PUC Design Mapping Task Group,” N. Luco, USGS May 9, 2012

Building Seismic Safety Council (BSSC) Provisions Update Committee (PUC) Meeting

ASCE 7-10SS

S1

SS

S1

2014 NEHRP?

285% g

275% g

70% g

Page 11: EERI Seminar on Next Generation Attenuation Models Development of Corresponding Building Code “Design” Maps Nicolas Luco Research Structural Engineer USGS

EERI Seminar on Next Generation Attenuation Models

9) Design Maps for American Samoa

“Briefing on PUC Design Mapping Task Group,” N. Luco, USGS May 9, 2012

Building Seismic Safety Council (BSSC) Provisions Update Committee (PUC) Meeting

ASCE 7-10 2014 NEHRP?SS SS

S1 S1

15% g

40% g

30% g