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Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

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Page 1: Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

Experimental Research&

Understanding Statistics

Page 2: Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

Experimental Research

• Can demonstrate cause-and-effect very convincingly

• Very stringent research design requirements

• Experimental design requires:

» Random assignment to groups (experimental and

control)

» Independent treatment variable that can be applied to

the experimental group

» Dependent variable that can be measured in all groups

Page 3: Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

Fundamentals of Experimental and Quasi-Experimental Research

• Random selection and random assignment :

» Distinguish between “selection” and “assignment”

» Random selection helps to assure population validity

» If you incorporate random assignment

Experimental research

» If you do not use random assignmentQuasi-experimental research

Page 4: Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

Fundamentals of Experimental and Quasi-Experimental Research (cont’d.)

• When to use experimental research design :

» If you strongly suspect a cause-and-effect relationship

exists between two conditions, and

» The independent variable can be introduced to

participants and can be manipulated, and

» The resulting dependent variable can be measured for

all participants

Page 5: Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

Internal and External Validity

• “Validity of research” refers to the degree to which the

conclusions are accurate and generalizable

• Both experimental and quasi-experimental research are

subject to threats to validity

• If threats are not controlled for, they may introduce error

into the study, which will lead to misleading conclusions

Page 6: Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

Threats to External Validity

• External validity—extent to which the results can be

generalized to other groups or settings

» Population validity—degree of similarity among

sample used, population from which it came, and target

population

» Ecological validity—physical or emotional situation or

setting that may have been unique to the experiment

» If the treatment effects can be obtained only under a limited

set of conditions or only by the original researcher the findings

have low ecological validity.

Page 7: Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

Threats to External Validity

• Selection bias.– If sample is biased you cannot generalize to the

population.• Reactive effects.

– Experimental setting.• Differs from natural setting.

– Testing.• Pretest influences how subjects respond to the treatment.

• Multiple-treatment inference.– If the subjects are exposed to more than one

treatment, then the findings could only be generalized to individuals exposed to the same treatments in the same order of presentation.

Page 8: Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

Threats to Internal Validity

• Internal validity—extent to which differences on the

dependent variable are a direct result of the manipulation

of the independent variable» History—when factors other than treatment can exert influence

over the results; problematic over time

» Maturation—when changes occur in dependent variable that may be due to natural developmental changes; problematic over time

» Testing—pretest may give clues to treatment or posttest and may result in improved posttest scores

» Instrumentation – Nature of outcome measure has changed.

Page 9: Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

Threats to Internal Validity (cont’d.)

» Regression – Tendency of extreme scores to be nearer to the mean at retest

» Differential selection of participants—participants are not selected/assigned randomly

» Attrition (mortality)—loss of participants

» Experimental treatment diffusion – Control conditions receive experimental treatment.

Page 10: Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

Experimental and Quasi-Experimental Research Designs

• Commonly used experimental design notation :

» X1 = treatment group

» X2 = control/comparison group

» O = observation (pretest, posttest, etc.)

» R = random assignment

Page 11: Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

Common Experimental Designs

• Single-group pretest-treatment-posttest design:

O X O

» Technically, a pre-experimental design (only one

group; therefore, no random assignment exists)

» Overall, a weak design

»Why?

Page 12: Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

Common Experimental Designs (cont’d.)

• Two-group treatment-posttest-only design:

R X1 O

R X2 O

» Here, we have random assignment to experimental,

control groups

» A better design, but still weak—cannot be sure that

groups were equivalent to begin with

Page 13: Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

Common Experimental Designs (cont’d.)

• Two-group pretest-treatment-posttest design:

R O X1 O

R O X2 O

» A substantially improved design—previously

identified errors have been reduced

Page 14: Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

Common Experimental Designs (cont’d.)

• Solomon four-group design:

R O X1 O

R O X2 O

R X1 O

R X2 O

» A much improved design—how??

» One serious drawback—requires twice as many

participants

Page 15: Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

Common Experimental Designs (cont’d.)

• Factorial designs:

R O X1 O

R O X2 O

R O X1 O

R O X2 O

» Incorporates two or more factors

» Enables researcher to detect differential differences (effects apparent only on certain combinations of levels of independent variables)

Page 16: Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

Common Experimental Designs (cont’d.)

• Single-participant measurement-treatment-measurement designs:

O O O | X O X O | O O O

» Purpose is to monitor effects on one subject

» Results can be generalized only with great caution

Page 17: Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

Common Quasi-Experimental Designs

• Posttest-only design with nonequivalent groups:

X1 O

X2 O

» Uses two groups from same population

» Questions must be addressed regarding equivalency of groups prior to introduction of treatment

Page 18: Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

Common Quasi-Experimental Designs (cont’d.)

• Pretest-posttest design with nonequivalent groups:

O X1 O

O X2 O

» A stronger design—pretest may be used to establish

group equivalency

Page 19: Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

Similarities Between Experimental and Quasi-Experimental Research

• Cause-and-effect relationship is hypothesized

• Participants are randomly assigned (experimental) or

nonrandomly assigned (quasi-experimental)

• Application of an experimental treatment by researcher

• Following the treatment, all participants are measured on

the dependent variable

• Data are usually quantitative and analyzed by looking for

significant differences on the dependent variable

Page 20: Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

Understanding Statistics

Page 21: Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

Descriptive vs. Inferential

• Descriptive statistics– Summarize/organize a group of numbers from

a research study

• Inferential statistics– Draw conclusions/make inferences that go

beyond the numbers from a research study– Determine if a causal relationship exists

between the IV and DV

Page 22: Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

Frequency and Percentage of Responses to Questionnaire

PercentageResponse Frequency of Total (%)

Lecture 15 30Class discussions 10 20Demonstrations 8 16Audiovisual presentations 6 12Seatwork 5 10Oral reports 4 8Library research 2 4 Total 50 100

Page 23: Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

What are Inferential Statistics?

• Refer to certain procedures that allow researchers to make inferences about a population based on data obtained from a sample.

• Obtaining a random sample is desirable since it ensures that this sample is representative of a larger population.

• The better a sample represents a population, the more researchers will be able to make inferences.

• Making inferences about populations is what Inferential Statistics are all about.

Page 24: Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

Statistics vs. Parameters

• A parameter is a characteristic of a population.– It is a numerical or graphic way to summarize data

obtained from the population

• A statistic is a characteristic of a sample.– It is a numerical or graphic way to summarize data

obtained from a sample

Page 25: Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

Sampling Error

• It is reasonable to assume that each sample will give you a fairly accurate picture of its population.

• However, samples are not likely to be identical to their parent populations.

• This difference between a sample and its population is known as Sampling Error.

• Furthermore, no two samples will be identical in all their characteristics.

Page 26: Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

Hypothesis Testing

• Hypothesis testing is a way of determining the probability that an obtained sample statistic will occur, given a hypothetical population parameter.

• The Research Hypothesis specifies the predicted outcome of a study.

• The Null Hypothesis typically specifies that there is no relationship in the population.

Page 27: Experimental Research & Understanding Statistics

Practical vs. Statistical Significance

• The terms “significance level” or “level of significance” refers to the probability of a sample statistic occurring as a result of sampling error.

• Significance levels most commonly used in educational research are the .05 and .01 levels.

• Statistical significance and practical significance are not necessarily the same since a result of statistical significance does not mean that it is practically significant in an educational sense.