Ferguson Collective-Action and Exchange3

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    Collective

    Action

    and

    Exchange:

    aGameTheoreticApproachto

    inprogressforStanfordUniversityPress

    WilliamD.Ferguson

    [email protected]

    or e or s op n o ca eoryan o cyAnalysis,

    IndianaUniversity

    September27,2010

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    toengageincollectiveactiontoovercome

    institutionaltheorists. ElinorOstrom

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    CollectiveActionProblemscreatemarketfailure

    TheabilitytoresolveCAPsunderliesmarketsuccess;CAPsthusunderlieeconomicdevelopment

    FocusingonCAPsasaunifyingtheme,thisbookusesagametheoreticmodelingapproachtounifydiverse

    Developmentsfromnewinstitutionaltheory,informationecon,behavioralecon,networktheory

    Asymmetricinformation,power,motivation&socialpreference,socialnorms,formalinstitutions,2and3

    ,

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    gametheory)

    , , ,

    theoryfor

    graduate

    students

    in

    economics,

    , ,

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    Firstquicklistofchapters

    T encommentsoneac c apter

    Emphasisonearliersections,reciprocity,andsocialnorms

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    ContemporaryPoliticalEconomy

    1) Introduction:Overview2) DomainsofInnovativeTheory

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    PartII:ProblemsofCollectiveAction

    an o v a ono gen s(Foundations MicroPicture)

    e as c conom cso o ect ve ct on

    3) Enforcement,Coordination,andSecondr er o ect ve ct on ro ems

    4) SeizingAdvantage:StrategicMovesandower n xc ange

    5) BasicMotivation:RationalEgoistsand

    ec proca ayers6) FoundationsofMotivation:Rationalityand

    oc a re erence

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    PartIII:Institutions,Enforcement,and

    Exchange

    7) InformalInstitutions

    8 Secon PartyEn orcement

    9) FormalInstitutionsandThirdPartyEnforcement

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    PartIV:NetworksandDynamicsof

    CollectiveAction

    10)NetworksandPoliticalEconomy

    11 AgentBase Mo e san Emergenceo

    Resolution(ornot)

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    PartV:ImplicationsonPolicyand

    Growth

    12)PolicyandPoliticalEconomy

    13 Know e ge,Co ectiveAction,Institutions,

    Location,andGrowth14) Conclusion:MovingForward

    Nowsomedetailsoneach

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    ResolutionofCAPsisnecessaryformarket

    ResolutionCAPsunderlieseconomicpotentialoran qua tyo eve opmentan growt

    Keyrationaleforpolicy

    UnderstandingCAPsisfundamentalforpolicy

    anal sis

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    Chapter1:DomainsofInnovative

    Theory

    Corerecenttheoreticaldevelopments;linkstoCAPs

    InformationEconomics:asym info;principalagentproblems,contracting,enforcement,transactcosts,

    informalandformalinstitutions;relationsbetween2nd

    and3rdparties e av ora conom cs:soc a pre erence,su stant ve

    andproceduralrationality,relationstosocialnorms

    Networktheor :Pro ertiesofnetworks;emer ence

    PolicyLiterature:Punctuatedequilibriumtheory

    GameTheory:classicalandevolutionary

    W t CAPsun y ngconceptua mo e ngapproac

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    Chapter2:TheBasicEconomicsof

    CollectiveAction

    Briefhistor ofthou ht:Hume Smith Coase

    Hardin,Olson,Schelling,North,Ostrom Wideapplicability:PG,externalities,CPR,

    contracting credibleagreements,trust

    TwoPlayerGames:PublicGood,PDascoremodel;assurance,chicken,battle;

    Variants:returnstoscale,benefit/costconditions,

    soc a op ma,ex erna es Illustratedimensionsof/approachestoCAPs

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    , ,

    (Numericalpayoffsrangingfrom 1to2)

    inseparateWor i e

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    BasicPublicgoodsequation:

    i =qi ci+ cj

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    Chapter3:Enforcement,Coordination,

    andSecondOrderCAPs

    FirstandsecondorderCAPs

    Econoftransactionscosts:

    Coordinationandcommitmentforexchange

    Defineandenforcingproprights;

    North:thekeybarriertodevelopment

    Coordinationandassurance(schedules,etc.)

    Enforce,completeinformation:problemofcosts

    SecondorderCAP

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    Enforcement&contractingwithasymmetricinformation

    Adverseselection,lemons,andcoordinationfailure

    Moralhazardandprincipalagentproblems

    Problemofcontractingquality; Requiresinternalenforcementmechanism;types

    Efficiencywagemodel;excesssupplyoflabor

    ,

    i. Implicationsonnonmarketclearing;power(Ch4)

    ii. Zerocontribution2nd and1storder Ch59

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    Chapter4SeizingAdvantage:Strategic

    MovesandPowerinExchange

    Definitionofpower:

    groupstotake,alter,oravoidspecificactionsinamannerthatthe

    formerbelieves(perhapsmistakenly)isinitsowninterestandthatthe

    Powernotpossibleinpurecompetition

    Economicsandformalizingpower

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    GametheoreticrepresentationofLukes3facesofpower;domainsofinfluence:

    Power1:alteringbehavior;Nashcooperative

    Power2:alteringrules;strategicmovesinGT

    Variation:TriadicPower(Basu)andPower2 Power3:alteringbeliefs;conditionedpowerexample

    (Basu) Havelsposttotalitarianstate

    PowerandPoliticalEconomy: Powerbinds distributiontogrowth

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    Chapter5BasicMotivation:Rational

    Egoistsan Reciproca P ayers BeginstoaddressCAPquestionfromch 3

    assume ra ona narrow ra ona y

    Selfinterestaxiom(Bowles):selfregarding,outcomeorientedpreferences;rationalegoists(Ostrom)

    vs.intrinsicreciprocity(Sobel):desiretorewardkindandpunishunkind ...inresponsetofriendlyactions,peoplearefrequentlymuchnicerand

    conversely,inresponsetohostileactions,theyaremuchmorenastyandevenbrutal(Fehr&Gchter)

    BasicModel:u = +(a

    3responses:strategic,materialr&p;socialr&p First2:Publicgoodgame;recip alone,addrategoists,

    , ,

    Playertype,gamestructure,abilitytosanctionmatter

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    Socialrewardspunishments(Socialexchange)

    Materialconsequencesornot(puresocialexchange)

    Multiplayerassurance;lowertippingpoint

    Applications Extensions(scopeofR): Workermorale:Rcanfostertrustforgenuinecooperation

    incomplexjobs;otherPAproblems HoldupProblem:Rpotentialresolution;firmsseekholdup

    tosignaltrust;explicitincentivescancrowdout

    Reci rocalconflict:self fulfillin ex ectationsof

    unkindness Ralonenotenough;contextmatters

    Institutions context:ch 79

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    Chapter6FoundationsofMotivation:

    RationalityandSocialPreference

    Substantiverationalit :consistent oaloriented

    withcognition;classicalGTw/apppayoffs Proceduralrationality:adaptivelearning;

    evolutionaryGT

    SocialPreferencewithsubstantiverationality Otherregardingandprocedureregardingpref

    Intrinsicreciprocity;distributionalpreference

    MoresophisticatedmodelsofR&withdistribution

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    Hollnder:socialexchange,approvalandPG

    SubstantiveRationalityandIncompleteInformation

    Proceduralrationality

    Indirectevolutionarymodels

    e av ora mo e s

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    PartIII:Institutions,Enforcementand

    Exchange

    Northscritiqueofconventionalapproachto

    Institutions,rules

    of

    the

    game,

    informal

    and

    orma ,contrastw t organ zat ons

    i. Structureincentives,

    ii. Reduceuncertaintybyaidingpredictability

    .

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    CoordinatingconventionsandSocialNorms

    Youngsenforcement

    mechanisms:i. Sharedexpectationsoncoordination

    .

    iii. Internalization(beliefinSN)

    CConventionsusei;ethicallyneutral,sharedstrategies SN:useiiandiii(&maybei):

    behavioralregularityconcerningbehaviortowardsothersthatservesasanethical rescri tionamon some rou

    Contextspecific(seatoncrowdedbus) Basu:ESN(ii),PCN(iii),andRLN(iv notconsideralts)

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    ProblemsofCoordination&Enforcement Drivinggame;focalpoints;schedulesetc.

    4enforcementmechanisms(increasingbreadth)(F72)

    Longevity

    ModelsofSNenforcement ure n erna za on:wea , n erme a e,s rong

    Principledplayersandrationalegoists

    Indirectevolutionarymodelmixedtypesstrong

    internalizationamongsomereducesfitness Fitnessoutcomesrelatetoroleofreciprocity

    Addreci rocalt es workin ro ress ;disci lineres

    SNAllowlargergroups

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    Chapter8:SecondPartyEnforcement

    &EvolutionofSocialNorms

    ,

    incompletecontracting,power,social,

    partyenforcement

    Adaptivelearningandtheevolutionofsocial

    norms mo e s

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    Chapter9FormalInstitutionsand

    ThirdPartyEnforcement

    rd

    enforcement

    Legitimacyandcrowdingout

    Basuon awan econom cs:Lawcanen orceon y

    whatinprincipleSN couldindicate;

    m son ev a ons romex s ng s DifficultiesofamendingSNandefficienciesoflaw

    Implications:whypolicyisdifficult

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    PartIVNetworksandDynamicsof

    CollectiveAction

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    Chapter10NetworksandPolitical

    Economy

    BasicNetworkTheor :

    links,hubs,randomandscalefreemodels Growth,disturbances,diffusion,andstability

    FirmsasNetworks

    Internalorg,subcontracting&enforcement

    Consumerandproducernetworks

    MarketsasNetworks

    Networks,SpatialLocation,andGrowth Networks,InfluenceandPower

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    Chapter11AgentBasedModelsand

    thePossibleEmergenceofResolution PrinciplesofAgentBasedModeling

    Complexity&theconceptofemergence(Epstein)

    EvolutionaryGTandAgentbasedmodeling

    Notesonsoftware

    Examples Theevolutionofnormsoffairness

    Publicgoodsandcollectiveaction

    Schellin smodelofresidentialse re ation

    Beckersmodelofworkerprejudice Minskysmodeloffinancialcontagion;subprime

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    Emergence,collectiveaction,andexchange

    enforcement

    Distribution,power,andgrowth

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    PartVImplicationsonGrowthand

    Policy

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    Chapter12PolicyandPolitical

    Economy

    Marketfailure,2nd and3rd Partyenforcement

    epo cyprocessasase o s

    Advocacycoalitions,punctuatedequilibria,

    g , , y u

    CAPsandImplementation

    Bureaucrats,legitimacy,andsocialnorms

    Lawandeconomicsagain

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    Polic andnetworks

    Coalitions,punctuated

    equilibria,

    implementation,

    diffusion

    o cy e o ns u ona eve opmen

    Embeddedpolicy:policy,socialnorms,2nd &3rd parties

    Polic as remed or im ediment to resolution of CAPs

    Design,accident,intended,andunintendedconsequences

    Policy,distribution&theproblemofcommitment

    Policy,punctuatedequilibria,andpathdependentevolutionofinstitutions

    Afew eneral rinci lesfor olic makin

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    Chapter13Knowledge,Collective

    Action,Institutions,Location&Growth

    Implicationsofnonrivalknowledge , , ,

    locationofproduction

    Povertytraps,growthcircles,anddevelopment GamesandIllustrations

    SiliconValle vs.ruralA alachia

    MultiplayerAssurance

    Agentbasedmodels

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    , , ,

    Institutionsasthefundamentalsource(AJR)

    , ,

    Power,distribution,commitment,institutions,

    an grow

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    Chapter14ConclusionandMoving

    Forward

    development

    thatCAPslieatthefoundationofmarketsuccess,

    failureandultimatel the otentialforand ualit ofeconomicdevelopmentandgrowth

    Directionsforfuturedevelo ment